Gu outlook (4h)4h is also bullish.
We can see price has already begun the pullback phase.
I'm anticipating price to reach 1.3000 level before continuing the overall trend
GBPUSD_SPT trade ideas
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 4, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD briefly broke above 1.32000 for the first time in six months on Thursday and climbed to fresh highs amid widespread weakness in the US Dollar. The Trump administration's reciprocal tariffs and flat tariffs knocked the legs out from under market sentiment, despite a delayed reaction to the tariff announcements that followed after US markets closed on Wednesday.
A fairly quiet calendar of economic publications is expected in the UK this week. However, investor attention will be focused on Friday's release of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. This data could have a major impact on market sentiment as the US economy enters a post-tariff phase. The March employment report is predicted to be a marker of sorts for the impact of the Trump administration's trade policies.
In addition, the ISM's US services business activity index (PMI) for March, released on Thursday, added to the negativity by falling to 50.8, its lowest level in nine months. The drop in the index was one of the fastest since the pandemic began. Weakening business activity and declining consumer optimism began before the tariffs went into effect, and are unlikely to normalize quickly anytime soon.
President Donald Trump approved the imposition of a 10 percent duty on all imports starting April 5, and the counter tariffs took effect on April 9. Analysts at Fitch Ratings believe U.S. GDP growth will be lower than the March forecast, which had previously been adjusted downward. The agency also warned that the effect of the tariff policy may affect the decisions of the Federal Reserve: the Fed may suspend the easing of monetary policy while it assesses the impact of duties on inflation and labor indicators.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.30900, SL 1.30200, TP 1.32000
GBPUSD(20250404)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Countermeasures from many countries against the United States - ① It is reported that Europe will slow down the pace of tariff retaliation; EU member states will vote on countermeasures against US steel and aluminum tariffs on April 9; ② Macron said that the response to US tariffs will be larger than before, and called on French companies to suspend investment in the United States. France may plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on large US technology companies. ③ Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Canada will impose a 25% tariff on all cars imported from the United States that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3092
Support and resistance levels
1.3325
1.3238
1.3181
1.3003
1.2946
1.2859
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3181, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3238
If the price breaks through 1.3092, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3003
Skeptic | GBP/USD Deep Dive: Major Trend, Trade Setups!Hey guys, welcome back! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Let’s dive into GBP/USD , a pair that’s been in a strong uptrend and has the potential for another solid price jump. We’ll break it down across multiple timeframes , do a deep analysis , and at the end, I’ll share high-probability long & short setups with clear triggers—so stick around!
Daily Timeframe Analysis
As you can see, GBP/USD has been respecting an uptrend channel , reacting well to both the upper, lower, and midlines —a key characteristic of a strong trend. Each time price makes a jump, it enters a range box (re-accumulation phase) before breaking out to continue the trend.
Currently, we’re inside another range between 1.28720 - 1.29883 . A breakout in either direction can give us a trading opportunity, but given the major trend is bullish , I prefer trading in the direction of the trend unless we get a clear reversal signal.
4H Timeframe Analysis
The uptrend channel remains intact , and we’re still within the Consolidation phase . We recently saw a fake breakout , which could mean that the next breakout might happen with stronger momentum.
Trade Setups
✅ Long Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed breakout of 1.29883
- Confirmation: RSI breaking above 65.33 (which acts as an overbought signal in this case)
- Preferred Order: Stop Buy above resistance to catch momentum
❌ Short Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed break of 1.28682
- Risk Management: Since this is against the trend, take quick profits and use a tighter SL to manage risk efficiently.
What are your thoughts on GBP/USD? Drop your opinions in the comments! Let’s grow together, not alone. 🚀🔥
GBPUSD "Buy"We still have opportunity to go LONG on GBPUSD since the premium isn't filled.Remember the Supply zone must be taken before possibly change ideas for maybe short.
As for me,I predict the USD pairs to continue going LONG still supply is swept ✍️
GBPUSD Short Term Buy IdeaM15 - Strong bullish momentum
No opposite signs
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 25/03/2025We had a good trading session with the Judas Swing Strategy two weeks ago, as the strategy delivered 3 solid setups, 2 on FX:EURUSD and 1 on $GBPUSD. And guess what? All three hit their targets!
That’s a massive 6% gain for the week! And with these impressive results we wanted to see how the strategy will perform last week.
The strategy did not produce any setups on the currency pair we monitor ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD ) on Monday 24th March and instead of forcing setups like other traders would we sat that day out. Why was this possible? we had backtested the strategy and had enough data to prove that when we stick to this strategy long term we'd be in putting ourselves in a profitable position.
On Tuesday, we returned to the trading desk, scouting for setups, when we noticed a potential opportunity on $GBPUSD. The currency pair had swept liquidity at the high of our zone, signaling a possible shift in direction. We then shifted our focus to selling opportunities for the session. Our strategy required waiting for a break of structure to the downside, followed by a retracement into the FVG before executing a trade
After waiting for an hour and 15 minutes, we finally got the break of structure to the downside. The only step left was a retrace into the FVG. After some patience, the retrace materialized, meeting all the criteria on our entry checklist. We executed the trade, risking 1% of our account with a target return of 2%
Trade Details:
Entry: 1.29513
Stop Loss: 1.29611
Take Profit: 1.29311
After entering the trade, price consolidated around our entry point for a while, showing no clear direction. However, we remained unfazed, trusting our well-backtested strategy, which has a 50% win rate. With a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, we know that consistently following our strategy will yield profits in the long run. Since we had risked only what we could afford to lose, the slow price movement didn’t shake our confidence
Unfortunately, this trade didn’t go in our favor and ended up hitting our stop loss. This serves as a reminder that not every trade will reach take profit and that’s perfectly okay. Losses are an inevitable part of trading, but what truly matters is maintaining a solid risk management strategy, sticking to a proven system, and thinking long-term. As traders, our edge comes not from winning every trade, but from executing consistently and letting probabilities play out over time
GBPUSD INTRADAY breakout higher supported at 1.3050Trend Overview
The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish trend, with recent price action confirming a breakout above the previous consolidation zone.
Key Levels & Scenarios
Support: 1.3050 (previous consolidation range)
A bullish bounce from this level could sustain the rally.
Upside targets: 1.3240, followed by 1.3270 and 1.3300 over the longer term.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
A daily close below 1.3050 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Downside targets: 1.3010, followed by 1.2960 and 1.2910.
Indicators & Market Sentiment
Momentum indicators support the bullish bias, but price action needs to hold above 1.3050.
Volume confirms buying interest, reinforcing the breakout potential.
Conclusion
As long as 1.3050 holds as support, GBP/USD remains in a bullish structure, targeting 1.3240 and beyond. A break below 1.3050 would shift the focus toward 1.3010 and lower retracement levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Thu 3rd Apr 2025 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
GU-Thu-3/04/25 Top down analysis-Finally GU breakout!Analysis done directly on the chart
Who's been patient and was not lost inside this wide range
will be rewarded with good clean bullish movement.
Clever decision to wait out until Trump's tariffs being
announced. Now it is a good time to buy and take good trades.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD(20250403)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs".
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.2976
Support and resistance levels
1.3100
1.3053
1.3023
1.2928
1.2898
1.2852
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3023, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3053
If the price breaks through 1.2976, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2928
GBPUSD upside target 1.331-1.343On the daily chart, GBPUSD continues to rise, and the bullish trend is obvious. At present, we can pay attention to the support of 1.304-1.306 area. If it falls back and stabilizes, we can consider going long. Pay attention to the previous supply area of 1.331-1.343 above.
GBPUSD InsightHello, subscribers!
Great to see you all. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The European Commission is reportedly considering short-term economic support measures to assist sectors impacted by President Trump’s tariffs, while China is restricting domestic companies’ investments in the U.S.
- In a speech at the White House Rose Garden, President Trump announced a reciprocal tariff policy, imposing a universal 10% tariff on all imports, with higher individual tariffs on the "worst" countries from the U.S. perspective. He left room for negotiations, suggesting possible future adjustments.
- Europe strongly criticized the reciprocal tariffs, calling it an “Inflation Day,” while Canada announced retaliatory measures, and China is also escalating its response.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 4: U.S. March Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s speech
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
With Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement increasing market volatility, GBPUSD swiftly broke through the previously resistant 1.30000 level. In the short term, an upward move toward 1.31500 is expected. If it breaks above 1.31500, further gains toward 1.34000 are likely. However, if resistance is encountered in this range, a pullback toward 1.28500 could occur, making it crucial to monitor price action at resistance levels.
GBPUSDMy option about GBPUSD Is more bullish so that zone is good and strong support,if the price comes to that zone it can pullback
GBPUSD break or bounce? Thoughts?GU has been moving sideways for weeks now, is it time for a breakout or will it tumble back down to find support?
GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥GBP/USD TRADE PLAN🔥
✅ Market Bias: Bearish 📉 (Downtrend) ✅ Trade Type: Trend Continuation
📌 ENTRY TYPE: Sell Trade – Pullback Entry ⭐ Confidence Level: 🔵⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High)
📌 STATUS: Price is within the entry zone; monitoring for confirmation signals.
📍 ENTRY ZONE (SELL):
Primary Entry Zone: 1.2950 - 1.2975
Secondary Entry Zone (if deeper pullback occurs): 1.3000 - 1.3025
📌 STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 1.3030 (Invalidation level)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥉 TP1: 1.2850 (Partial profits & SL to breakeven)
🥈 TP2: 1.2800
🥇 TP3: 1.2750 (Final target)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Primary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:3
Secondary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:4
📌 Reason for Entry:
Bearish Trend: GBP/USD has been dominated by a downward correctional wave, indicating a bearish outlook.
Technical Resistance: The pair faces resistance near the 1.3000 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong barrier.
Fibonacci Confluence: The 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with the entry zone, providing additional confluence.
📌 CONFIRMATION REQUIRED BEFORE SELLING:
H1 Bearish Candlestick Rejection: Look for a pin bar or engulfing pattern at the entry zone.
Volume Increase at Supply Zone: Indicates strong selling pressure.
Lower Timeframe Bearish Divergence: On M15/H1 charts for extra confluence.
❌ DO NOT take the trade if the price breaks above 1.3030 without a bearish reaction.
📌 RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDER:
💰 Risk 1-2% per trade. Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits.
📌 TRADE VALIDITY & INVALIDATION CONDITIONS:
✅ Trade Validity: Must tap entry within the next 24 hours.
❌ Invalid if:
Price misses the entry zone and moves straight to TP1/TP2.
Fundamental shift changes trade bias (e.g., major news event).
Price breaks above 1.3030 = Trade invalidated.
📌 FUNDAMENTAL CHECKS & SENTIMENT ANALYSIS:
GBP Weakness: The British pound has fallen significantly against the US dollar, testing key support levels.
USD Strength: The US dollar remains strong amid global economic uncertainties.
COT Report: Indicates institutions adding to USD long positions, reducing GBP longs.
🚀 FINAL TRADE PLAN SUMMARY:
SELL GBP/USD on a pullback into 1.2950 - 1.2975 (or 1.3000 - 1.3025 if a deeper correction occurs).
Targeting: 1.2850 → 1.2800 → 1.2750.
SL: Above 1.3030.
**Trade valid for the next 24 hours.
🚀 EXECUTE WITH INSTITUTIONAL PRECISION! 🔥
gbpusd📊 GBP/USD Analysis – Bullish Outlook with a Short-Term Correction
The GBP/USD pair is in an uptrend and approaching a key resistance zone. A short-term correction is expected before the price resumes its upward movement from the 1.29578 support level. 📈
🔹 Resistance Zone: The red area where sellers may step in.
🔹 Key Support Level: 1.29578, which could serve as a potential buy entry.
🔹 Indicators:
✅ MACD shows weakening bullish momentum.
✅ Stochastic is in the overbought zone, signaling a possible correction.
📌 If the price breaks above this resistance zone, a stronger bullish move could follow! What’s your take? 💬🔥 #GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #Forex
GBP/USD Stalls Beneath 1.30 – Breakout or Bull Trap?The British pound continues to grind higher against the U.S. dollar, now trading at 1.2982 (+0.46%), but price action remains capped within a tight consolidation box just below the psychological 1.30 handle.
🔹 Price is holding above the 200-day (1.2809) and 50-day (1.2704) SMAs, maintaining a bullish structure.
🔹 RSI is at 62.90, comfortably in bullish territory but not overbought.
🔹 MACD is flat but still positive, suggesting momentum is stalling but not yet reversing.
The range between 1.2875 and 1.30 has held for over two weeks. A confirmed breakout above 1.30 could set the stage for a rally toward the 0.786 retracement at 1.3148, while a downside break might trigger a retracement toward the 200-day SMA or even 1.2700.
This range won’t last forever — the bulls and bears are coiling for the next big move.
-MW
Gu outlook Weekly and daily are bullish
4h we are having a pullback.
Ihr and 15 min structure has shifted bullish.
Expecting price to push up to shift structure of 4h to bullish.
But still keep in mind price is at a supply zone which is inline with the trendline.
We may Expect Gu to have 1h oullback before the buy
GBP/USD Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ GBP/USD news:
➡️ The US dollar is showing weakness against the British pound ahead of Trump's tariff announcement. The pair is currently trading near the 1.3000 level, following weak macroeconomic data released during the US trading session on Tuesday. The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 49 in March from 50.3 in February, while the JOLTS Employment Number fell to 7.56 million in February from 7.76 million in January. Both figures were below analysts' expectations. The strong ADP data still failed to stop the pair's short-term rally
➡️ US President Donald Trump will announce the new tariff regime at 20:00 GMT on Wednesday.
➡️ US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said late Tuesday that the tariffs announced on Wednesday will be the highest level yet imposed. Countries will then have the opportunity to take steps to lower these tariffs, he added.
Personal opinion:
➡️ GBP/USD will find it difficult to break out to the 1.3000 zone as buyers are waiting and evaluating the tariff policy.
➡️ Moreover, RSI is close to overbought territory and buying momentum is slowing down
➡️ In short, this pair will move within the trend line and may break down to 1.2870 after the tariff news is announced
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GBP/USD 1.2970 - 1.2980
❌SL: 1.3010 | ✅TP: 1.2930 - 1.2890
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Just broke through a high liquidity zone!!It just broke through a high liquidity zone!!
The marked line is the arrival point.
We still have plenty of profit-making possibilities left, so be patient.
Wait for a good pullback with the corresponding manipulation to find a good re-entry!!
If the market goes without us, it's better to take a loss where we don't know what we're doing.
Note: (A fairly crowded zone is always a liquidity zone.)
Keep it simple!
If you liked it, don't forget to follow me!
