GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBPUSD_SPT trade ideas
GBPUSD: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD formed an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
Your next signal to buy will be a bullish violation of its neckline.
To confirm a breakout, we will need a daily candle close above 1.362.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 1.37 level then.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Massive GBP/USD Reversal Ahead? Head & Shoulders FormationGBP/USD is at a critical technical juncture following a sharp bullish impulse that pushed the pair above the 1.34 handle, printing a strong weekly bullish engulfing candle and breaking out of a multi-week consolidation zone. This move unfolded in a macro context where the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness, with Non-Commercial net long positions dropping drastically—from around 20,000 to less than 5,000 contracts. This shift points to a fading speculative appetite for the dollar, historically a leading indicator of upcoming corrective phases or broader declines in the DXY.
On the flip side, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report on the British Pound reveals that Non-Commercials (typically hedge funds and asset managers) remain net long on GBP, with a slight increase week-over-week. However, Commercials (generally institutions and hedgers) have aggressively built up a significant net short position—levels that in the past preceded major reversals on the pair. This divergence between speculators and institutional hedgers suggests short-term bullish potential, but with rising risk of exhaustion near current resistance levels.
Adding fuel to this outlook is the retail sentiment: approximately 63% of retail traders are currently short GBP/USD, with an average entry price around 1.3021. This kind of retail crowd positioning, typically inefficient from a historical perspective, adds contrarian support for further upside, as long as price holds above the 1.3340 structure.
From a seasonality perspective, June tends to be a mildly bullish-to-sideways month for GBP/USD, especially when looking at the 10- and 15-year seasonal averages. While the seasonal bias is not particularly strong, there’s also no statistical downward pressure this time of year, leaving room for technically-driven moves influenced by liquidity and sentiment rather than macro patterns alone.
On the technical front, the daily chart shows a steep rally capped by a large green candle on Monday, breaking cleanly through the 1.34 resistance zone. The price is now hovering inside a key supply area between 1.3499 and 1.3550—a historically reactive zone that has triggered major rejections in previous months. How price reacts here will likely shape the next major swing. A confirmed breakout and consolidation above 1.3550 would open the door for an extension toward 1.37–1.3750. Conversely, a sharp rejection followed by a break below 1.3412—and especially under 1.3340—would set the stage for a deeper correction toward 1.3170.
The RSI is currently showing early signs of momentum loss, although no strong bearish divergence has emerged yet. This implies that the pair could still fuel another push higher before running out of steam—possibly forming the right shoulder of a head & shoulders pattern if the rejection scenario plays out.
GBPUSD will continue to rise and break last week's highGBPUSD is correcting lower in the range at the end of the week. This pullback is heading towards the 1.350 support. There will be a bullish reaction at this area. Or if the selling pressure really takes over the market at this support area, then pay attention to the 1.346 bottom for the BUY strategy of this currency pair.
On the other hand, 1.360 will prevent the price increase. It will act as strategic resistance before a new extended breakout to the upside.
The uptrend is more likely to continue than the downtrend, so prioritizing BUY signals will bring better profits to the currency pair.
Support: 1.350, 1.346
Resistance: 1.360, 1.366
GBPUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.3589 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.3538
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
We are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern on the GBP USD chart. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear (of course, you can count them so that they become an ABC zigzag, isn't it interesting!) and you can even count their subwaves. Now wave 5 is completing and we are witnessing multiple divergences in wave 5. With the breakdown of the trend line drawn below and a pullback to it, we can expect the price to fall to the specified support. The first support is 1.305 and then 1.2800.
Good luck and be profitable.
GBPUSD – Rejection From New Price High Questions UptrendThe escalation in geo-political risks overnight in the Middle East, marked by Israel's attack on Iranian nuclear sites which was followed by Iran's retaliatory drone strikes against Israel, have seen a rush to safe haven assets, which this time included buying dollars (a rarity of late!).
This has seen GBPUSD fall quickly from a fresh 2025 high hit early this morning at 1.3633, back down to lower levels around 1.3540 (at time of writing) and questions whether the highs for GBPUSD may now be in place in the short term, with traders possibly reluctant to add to fresh longs into the weekend, and ahead of next week's Bank of England (BoE) rate meeting on Thursday (June 19th).
Looking forward into the Friday close, traders may now be on headline watch, especially considering Iran's vow to respond to Israel's initial attack with harsh blows against both Israel and the US. Any attack by Iran against US targets, while potentially unlikely, could be viewed as a level up and President Trump has stated that the US are on high alert just in case.
On the data front, the US Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment for June is released at 1500 BST today. This will provide the next update on US consumer inflation expectations as well as sentiment, which although important are possibly unlikely to shift the focus of traders from progress reports regarding geo-political developments in the Middle East.
Technical Update: Rejection From New Price High Questions Uptrend
Of late, it has been a positive phase of sentiment that has been evident for GBPUSD, as a price pattern of higher highs and higher lows has formed, as the chart below shows.
This has resulted in a new recovery price high being posted this morning at 1.3633, which represents the highest trade in GBPUSD since late February 2022. However, so far this new upside extreme in price has held and seen price weakness emerge.
This may now see some traders questioning the ability of GBPUSD to maintain its current upside momentum, even suggest the potential of a more extended phase of weakness.
What support and resistance levels might be worth watching to maybe help determine the next direction of price movement?
Potential Support Levels:
Having held price weakness seen earlier this week, the rising Bollinger mid-average may continue to be a support focus. This currently stands at 1.3504, and closing breaks below this level, if seen, might result in a more extended phase of weakness.
Such downside breaks in price, while not a guarantee of further price declines, could see focus then shift to potential support at 1.3444, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and if this in turn gives way on a closing basis, towards 1.3385, the deeper 50% retracement level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As the chart below shows, sellers have been found this morning at the 1.3633 level and may be again. This could prove to be the first resistance point to monitor if fresh attempts at price strength are seen over coming sessions.
Successful closing breaks above 1.3633 as a result, could point to an extension of the current uptrend pattern, with the next resistance level then potentially being 1.3749, which is the January 2022 high.
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GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk |GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk | Will Support Hold for a Bounce?
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Overview
The British Pound (GBP) is under pressure as risk sentiment deteriorates following a sharp escalation between Israel and Iran.
Israel launched a major military campaign, striking dozens of nuclear and military facilities in northeastern Tehran.
PM Netanyahu announced the start of "Operation Rising Lion", aimed at eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat.
US President Donald Trump voiced support, stating that Iran “must never have a nuclear bomb.”
Investors reacted by fleeing to safe-haven assets, pushing the US Dollar (DXY) from 97.60 to nearly 98.30.
Meanwhile, next week’s Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve meetings are in focus. Both are expected to hold rates steady, but weak UK economic data may pressure the BoE to adopt a more cautious or dovish tone.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔸 Trend Structure
GBPUSD broke down from its recent high at 1.36288 and is now approaching key support between 1.35350 and 1.34957.
As long as 1.3495 holds, the move appears to be a technical correction, not a reversal.
🔸 Fibonacci & Moving Averages
Current price sits near Fibonacci 0.236 retracement of the recent swing.
Price is trading below the EMA 13 & 34, but EMA 200 near 1.353x still acts as potential support.
🔸 Resistance to Watch
The next upside target sits at 1.3588, followed by the previous high at 1.3628.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Risk aversion is dominating due to geopolitical headlines.
GBP is vulnerable as a risk-sensitive currency.
However, if tensions ease and central bank decisions next week come in line with expectations, GBP could rebound from its currently discounted levels.
🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion
✅ BUY ZONE: 1.35350 – 1.34957
Stop-Loss: 1.3460
Take-Profit Targets: 1.3588 → 1.3628
Enter only on bullish price action confirmation around the support zone.
✅ Conclusion
GBPUSD is trading under geopolitical stress, but the technical setup around 1.3495 – 1.3535 offers a potential bounce zone. A short-term recovery could unfold if sentiment stabilizes and central banks maintain the expected policy stance.
GBPUSD Key Levels Structure Outlook & Price ZonesSharing a personal breakdown of the levels I’m watching on GBPUSD based on structure and price behavior.
This is not financial advice just how I approach the chart and prepare for possible scenarios.
Focusing on key zones, market structure shifts, and reaction areas.
Let the market confirm. I stay reactive, not predictive.
Weaker PPI Caps Dollar Strength in GBP/USDGBP/USD fell to around 1.3530 early Friday as escalating tensions in the Middle East supported demand for the US Dollar. Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran raised fears of retaliation, with Iranian officials warning of severe consequences for both the US and Israel, pressuring risk-linked currencies like the Pound. However, weaker US PPI data limited further USD strength. May’s PPI increased just 0.1%, below the 0.2% forecast, while the core PPI also came in softer. Attention now turns to the upcoming Michigan consumer sentiment report.
Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
GBPUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.354.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.345 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/USD Short and GBP/USD ShortEUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GU-Fri-13/06/25 TDA-Difficult zone, prioritize risk management!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
June definitely showing slower price action,
tighter range movement (average daily movement).
This is how markets work! Some months it gives
good push, wide average daily movement. Some others,
it gives less average daily movement and slower pushes.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD | MAJOR SUPPLY ZONE JUST HIT! | Bearish Setup Brewing?Price has just tapped a key 15-min supply zone (1.3600–1.3610), showing signs of hesitation. This area has acted as a liquidity magnet — and it looks ripe for a reaction. Could this be the top before the drop? 📉
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🔍 Here's What I'm Seeing:
🔵 Supply Zone: 1.3600–1.3610 (Blue zone) — Heavy resistance overhead
🔁 Price rejected this level once already — double top or bull trap?
🟠 Demand Zone Below: 1.3465–1.3480 (orange zone)
📉 Mid-level support: 1.3539 — Watch for break and retest
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🔽 SELL PLAN:
Entry: If price breaks below 1.3590 with momentum
SL: Above 1.3615
TP1: 1.3539
TP2: 1.3465 (Major demand zone + imbalance)
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⚠️ BONUS INSIGHT:
The visible range POC lines up near 1.3539 — expect high-volume reaction here. Smart money may run stops above 1.3610 before pushing lower. Look out for fake breakouts.
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💬 Do you think GBPUSD will reject hard or break above for a new high?
Comment below! 👇
✅ Follow @FrankFx14 for more sniper setups!
#GBPUSD #ForexSignals #SmartMoney #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #ForexTrading #Scalping #IntradaySetups #LiquidityGrab #FrankFx
GBPUSD - Confluence📊 Multi-Timeframe Confluence – GBPUSD 1H & 15min
This chart perfectly illustrates how traders can use the ELFIEDT RSI + 3SD Reversion Strategy for top-down confluence trading, combining signals from multiple timeframes to increase the confidence and quality of trade entries.
🟢 What Happened at the Yellow Line:
✅ 1H Chart — Buy Signal Triggered
The strategy printed a clear “UP” signal as price pushed below the lower volatility band with RSI deeply oversold. This marked a significant exhaustion point on the higher timeframe, signaling that the downtrend might be overextended.
✅ 15min Chart — Cluster of Buy Signals
At the exact same point in time, the 15-minute chart also showed multiple “UP” signals, confirming short-term exhaustion with RSI recovery already starting to form. The RSI indicator also dipped into oversold territory and began turning upward — a strong confirmation that momentum was shifting.
✅ Powerful Bounce Followed
After this dual-timeframe signal alignment, price reversed strongly and rallied for several candles, offering a clean move with both trend and momentum shifting in your favor.
📈 How You Could Have Traded It:
Start with the 1H timeframe and wait for an “UP” or “DOWN” signal — this gives your macro bias.
Drop to the 15min timeframe and look for the same signal type (e.g., “UP” + “UP”).
Confirm RSI turning or divergence for added conviction.
Place stop-loss just below the signal wick and use a reward target based on previous structure or a 1:2+ risk-reward ratio.
🎯 Why Confluence Matters:
When a lower timeframe entry aligns with a higher timeframe signal, you're no longer guessing — you’re trading with multi-layer confirmation. This not only increases your confidence, but also helps filter out weaker setups.
This example shows the true strength of the ELFIEDT Reversion Strategy — combining statistical exhaustion, RSI momentum shifts, and multi-timeframe alignment to give you some of the most reliable reversal opportunities in any market.