GBPUSD_SPT trade ideas
GBPUSD TRADE SETUPWait for retest the entry level and multiple wick rejection and bearish momemtum candle then take a trade for Sell otherwise skip this setup
POTENTIAL REVERSALTECHNICAL
SMT focuses on identifying when two/three positively correlated assets deviate from their typical symmetrical price movements, suggesting potential market manipulation or imbalances.
Bullish SMT
DXY is currently trading above PWH , EURUSD below PWL while GBPUSD is struggling to go bellow PWL. Therefore, In this scenario we see Bullish SMT happening between DXY, EURUSD and GBPUSD.
Why it matters
Key Level: SMT can be used to confirm an important level and liquidity grab.
Trend Reversal: SMT divergences can help traders identify potential trend reversals, allowing them to enter trades with a better understanding of the market's potential direction.
Institutional Activity: SMT divergences can indicate that institutional traders (or "smart money") are accumulating positions, which can signal a potential shift in market sentiment.
FUNDAMENTAL
From the next week forward, we may see more volatility injected into the market, bringing prices to the critical level. This is due to the great number of high-impact news available. Monday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday are likely to be volatile days.
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Breakdown SetupThis chart presents a bearish trading setup for GBP/USD on a 4-hour timeframe from OANDA.
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel Breakdown: GBP/USD was previously trading inside an ascending channel, but it has now broken below support, signaling a potential downtrend.
Retest Level: The price is currently retesting the broken support at 1.29645, which may act as a new resistance.
Resistance Zone: The key resistance level is at 1.30261, marking the last swing high before the breakdown.
Bearish Target: The expected downside target is at 1.26827, aligning with a previous demand zone and support level.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Consider short positions after rejection from the 1.29645 retest.
Stop Loss: Place above 1.30261 to avoid false breakouts.
Take Profit: First target at 1.26827, with the possibility of further downside.
Market Outlook:
If the price fails to reclaim the broken support and starts dropping, it could confirm a bearish trend continuation, making this a strong short setup.
3m and weekly supply incontrol 3m chart show the price will drop and weekly chart show the downside, going long is not a good idea, so take a sell at every h4 supply or daily supply,
GBPUSD (15M) - Detailed Execution Zones Based on ICT & Price Act
GBPUSD (15M) - Detailed Execution Zones Based on ICT & Price Action
Bias: Bearish, Unless Price Reclaims 1.29644
- Current Trend: Downtrend, rejecting key liquidity levels.
- Liquidity Dynamics: Sell-side liquidity taken at EPL (1.2920), weak reaction.
- Market Structure: Bearish, no confirmed bullish shift.
---
Bullish Execution Plan (Low Probability Unless Price Reclaims Key Levels)
Buy Entry 1: 1.2920 - 1.2930 (Liquidity Grab & Reversal)
- Confluence: 20ADR Level + Potential Bullish Order Block + EPL Sweep.
- Trigger: Price sweeps below 1.2920, shows bullish rejection (engulfing/strong wick).
- Target: 1.2950 (1/3ADR Level) → 1.29644 (CBR Retest).
- Stop Loss: Below 1.2900.
- Risk: Medium.
Buy Entry 2: Break & Retest of 1.29644
- Confluence: Previous Resistance + 1/3ADR Level + Daily Open (DO).
- Trigger: Strong close above 1.29644, bullish retest.
- Target: 1.2980 → 1.30031 (ADR Highs).
- Stop Loss: Below 1.2950.
- Risk: High (fakeouts likely).
---
Bearish Execution Plan (Primary Plan, Based on ICT Concepts)
Sell Entry 1: 1.29644 (CBR Retest & Rejection)
- Confluence: DO Level + EPH (Liquidity Above) + Bearish Order Block.
- Trigger: Price taps 1.29644, forms rejection candle.
- Target: 1.2950 (1/3ADR Level) → 1.2930 → 1.2920 (EPL).
- Stop Loss: Above 1.2980.
- Risk: Low.
Sell Entry 2: Break & Retest of 1.2920 (EPL Breakdown)
- Confluence: Structural Breakdown + New York Session Confirmation.
- Trigger: Candle closes below 1.2920, retests as resistance.
- Target: 1.2900 (20ADR Target) → 1.2870 (Final TP).
- Stop Loss: Above 1.2935.
- Risk: Medium.
---
Final Thoughts & Execution Summary
- Main Idea: Watch for a 1.29644 rejection to enter shorts.
- Alternative Buy Plan: If price drops to 1.2920, look for bullish reactions.
- High Probability Play:
Short 1.29644 → TP1: 1.2950 → TP2: 1.2930 → TP3: 1.2920
- Primary Play: Sell at premium, target new lows.
GBPUSD – Bearish Setup Forming | Fair Value Gap Rejection PlayThe 4H chart on GBP/USD shows a clean bearish market structure, with price currently in a corrective phase after recent downside momentum. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been identified between the 1.29700–1.30000 range, which acts as a key supply zone for potential short setups.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A visible imbalance was left after an aggressive bearish move—marked in the yellow zone.
Price is expected to retrace into this inefficient zone to fill orders before continuing downward.
The anticipated entry for shorts is around 1.29798, near the midpoint of the FVG.
2. Bearish Market Structure
Lower highs and lower lows dominate the current structure.
The bounce is corrective in nature and lacks momentum, indicating a potential bull trap.
Expecting a short-term retracement up to the FVG zone, followed by a continuation to the downside.
3. Target Zone
Target: 1.28042 — this level sits just above a previous demand zone, making it a natural TP1.
This area also overlaps with previous price reactions, giving it high confluence.
🧠 Trade Idea
Entry: ~1.29798 (within the FVG)
Target: 1.28042
Risk Management : A stop loss above 1.30000 or above the upper boundary of the FVG to account for false breaks.
Rationale: Risk-reward is favorable due to tight invalidation zone and strong downside continuation probability.
⚠️ Key Notes
Watch for confirmation at the FVG zone such as bearish engulfing or lower timeframe break of structure.
If price breaks above 1.3000 and holds, the idea will be invalidated.
GBP/USD Trade idea
GBP/USD is currently around 1.29165.
A recent bearish move has been observed.
There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the H4 timeframe just above the current price.
Expected Price Action (Blue Path):
Price might first move upwards to fill the H4 Fair Value Gap, potentially reaching the 1.29801 level (previous high area).
This area could act as a liquidity grab or inducement zone.
Main Expectation (Red Path):
After hitting the FVG area and liquidity zone, the price is expected to reverse downward.
The target for this move is 1.28121, where there is another key demand area / Weekly Fair Value Gap (W-FVG).
Key Levels:
FVG (H4) – Target for potential upward move.
1.29801 – Liquidity / potential reversal zone.
1.28121 – Main downside target after rejection.
GBPUSD Sell Position 24-28 March 2025Hello everyone, dzhvush here!
I am looking for selling position on GBPUSD chart. All week I am going to look to opportunities for selling. We have news also. Be careful, pay attention and trade.
If you agree with me, drop a comment !
GBPUSD - Opportunities for Selling
USDJPY - Buying opportunities can be sought
Best Regards
dzhvush
sell position on GBPUSDthe pair reacted to trendline which its polarity has changed multiple times and is a robust one
we will enter short on the pair as depicted on the chart
SL is above 76.4% fibo and target are on the key level below
RR>2
lets see what the market will play out
GBPUSD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.2937 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.2963
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
"A big move is coming! GBP/USD just broke structure—Price action on the GBP/USD (3H timeframe) has shown a Change of Character (ChoCH), indicating a potential bullish reversal. After forming a strong base, buyers have stepped in, pushing the price above the recent structure.
Key Highlights:
ChoCH Breakout: A shift in market structure suggests bullish momentum.
Targeting Supply Zone: The next key level of interest is around 1.2750 - 1.2800, where sellers may step in.
Wave 3 to Wave 4 Transition: Aligning with Elliott Wave Theory, this move could be part of a corrective structure before further upside/downside.
Market Recap And Next Weeks Plan📉 Market Recap & Next Week’s Plan
Last week, we saw GBP/USD make a bullish push early in the week, forming a high on Wednesday before reversing and breaking structure on the 4H time frame.
Key levels of 1.29512 and 1.29105 were taken out, signaling a potential shift towards a bearish move.
Next Week’s Expectations
I’m anticipating a retracement before continuation, and I’ll be watching for selling opportunities at key levels.
📍 Potential Sell Zones:
🔹 1.29622 (High-interest POI, higher probability of forming)
🔹 1.29794
🔹 1.29893
📍 Potential Buy Zone (If Market Drops Further):
🔹 1.28848
Overall Bias:
📉 Bearish – I’ll be focused on selling opportunities unless the market structure shifts significantly.
Patience is key. Let’s see how the market develops this week.
💬 What’s your bias for next week? Let me know in the comments. 👇
#ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GBPUSD #TradingPlan
Gbpusd 4h chart analysisGbpusd 4h chart analysis.
gbpusd 4h time frame analysis on the base of ict and smc
please trade with conformation
GBP/USD: Weekly Analysis and Key LevelsThis week, the GBP/USD exchange rate has experienced notable fluctuations. As of March 22nd, the pair stood at 1.29114, down 0.00540 (0.42%) from the previous day. The intraday high reached 1.2971, while the low touched 1.2887. On Thursday (March 20th), the Bank of England announced its interest rate decision, keeping the benchmark rate unchanged at 4.5% with an 8-1 vote. Following the announcement, GBP/USD faced brief downward pressure as the central bank did not signal potential rate cuts. However, the pair later regained some ground due to a weakening US dollar index.
Closely monitor the breakout of key levels. The area above 1.3010 is a significant resistance level. If the exchange rate can decisively break through and stabilize above this level, consider going long on dips in the short term, targeting 1.3050 or higher. Below, the 1.2860 level is a crucial support zone. If the exchange rate breaks below this level and sustains the move, consider cutting losses or going short on rallies, as further downside potential may open up. Until the exchange rate clearly breaks through or falls below these key levels, it is advisable to remain on the sidelines and wait for clear trend signals to emerge.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
GBP/USD LONGHi !
Based on the current price action and I have prepared 2 trades for next week.
First is a long position from 1.287 where is VAL , price has respected this area, making it a good level for initiating a smaller long position with limited risk.
Forward I am looking at 1.3 area and looking to scaling in after confirmation above 1.302 ensures that I participate in the trend continuation without overexposing prematurely.
Step 1: Small Entry at 1.287
Entry: Long position at 1.287.
Stop Loss: Below 1.2800.
Take Profit: Partial profit near resistance at 1.3000, or hold until breakout confirmation.
Step 2: Scale In After Breakout
Entry Trigger: Wait for price action to break and hold above 1.302 (confirmed by strong candlestick close or volume spike).
Entry Price: Enter larger position at 1.302.
Stop Loss: Below recent breakout level (~1.295).
Take Profit Levels:
First Target: 1.3200.
Second Target: 1.3400.
FX:GBPUSD
Gbp/Usd is BearishThe price has reached the supply zone area in which it has turned into a flipzone .. And i am expecting to go short and hold .
I will see how it goes .
Happy Trading
GBPUSD on the premium level of Supply The GBPUSD has tapped into the premium level of Supply, giving me the Edge to short a position. Sipping from 1.2913 price range we can envisage a drop from next week ... Sieze the moment now.
GBPUSD - Nearly 1,000 Pips In 2025!GBPUSD was sideways around $1.29452 after a surprise news from the UK caught sterling bulls unprepared. The UK economy surprisingly shrunk by 0.1% in January, month on month, according to the latest GDP figures released by the Office for National Statistics.
With price reaching up into the premium SIBI, there is a chance for a minor pullback. Risky, yet possible with this weeks high impact events
GBPUSDtrade base on biger time frame daily ressistance.with 4h bearish divergence.
Sell Limit 1.30172
Stop Loss 1.32120
Take profit 1.28224
RRR 1:1
gbpusd sell tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, indicating weakening momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bearish crossover, further supporting the potential for a downward move
