GBP/USD Testing Key Resistance: Time to Short the Pound?Let's break down the market structure on GBP/USD. Starting with the weekly chart, we can see that price has been respecting that yellow weekly support at 1.28626 and hasn't closed below it yet. However, GBP/USD has struggled to break back above the 21 EMA, which is sitting around 1.30468, and looks like it could face more downside pressure unless it can retest those higher levels. The next key weekly resistance is 1.31578, which is a long way up if bulls decide to take control, but so far, the bearish trend is holding.
On the daily chart, price is attempting a slight recovery after bouncing off that daily support at 1.29000, but notice how the 8 and 21 EMAs are still trending down. We can see that the candles are showing some buying momentum, but until we see a strong close above the daily resistance at 1.30162 or even higher around 1.31093, this looks like a potential sell opportunity on the pullback. If price fails to close above 1.30162, we could see a continuation down to retest 1.28626 or even 1.27467.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we see that GBP/USD has broken above the trendline resistance and is now sitting right at that key daily resistance. I'm watching for either a solid rejection here or a breakout confirmation. If I see bearish price action forming here, I'd look to sell around 1.30139 with stops above the 1.30500 mark and target 1.28626 for a quick ride down. If we get a breakout above 1.30162, though, I'd wait for a retest to get in on the long side. We want to be in and out by Friday, so let's stay sharp and trade smart!
Happy trading fam, let’s get these pips!
