AMD trade ideas
AMD Stable Channel Up targets $168.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 08 market bottom. With the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support since April 30, the pattern has shown incredible consistency, with the past two pull-backs almost touching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, given also the fact that the 4H RSI is supported by the Higher Lows trend-line, we view the current bounce as a solid buy opportunity for the short-term. We are targeting $168, which is the -0.5 Fibonacci extension, the level that the previous Higher High reached.
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AMD UpdateAs I have mentioned, this move higher is either an extended minor A wave, or it is the beginning of another bull run. I side with the extended A wave due to not only the structure of the chart, but also the broader market as a whole. If this is the case, then price will likely drop to the $100-$110 area to complete minor B. Minor C would ideally take us back up to the $170-$190 area completing intermediate (B). I cannot say how long all of this will take us, but intermediate (A) took 13 months to complete. It would not be a stretch to say we still have 8-10+ months before (B) completes.
Let's just take this one step at a time though. That means we need to watch for price to take us to the low $100's for minor B next.
AMD new range higherAMD essentially hit my buy zone that I called months ago almost to the T. Now with renewed strength and the market realizing there is share for both NVDA and AMD, the stock rips. I believe it will push up into this zone over the next week weeks and consolidate here. I am not currently in this trade but I did short AMD on the prior pivot.
Sometime in August we likely enter this range and I may start to sell CSP in the demand zones that form.
AMD: Elliott Wave Cycle Shows Impulsive RecoveryAMD has seen a deep retracement from its 2024 highs, but it now looks like the stock is trying to stabilize. However, a straight push to new highs may not be likely just yet, as we’re still tracking an ongoing running triangle—an A-B-C-D-E pattern.
Looking at the daily chart, things do look promising for more upside into wave D as we’re seeing a clean five-wave move up on the lower time frame, suggesting we may be in wave A of that D-leg. After a pullback, there could be some very interesting opportunities on the long side.
Support levels on dips to watch are around 115 and 123, while upward projections for this three-wave D-leg rally could be toward the 166 gap area and potentially 185.
Highlights:
Direction: Up after pullback
Support: 115–123
Upside projection: 166 (gap), 185
Grega
Safe Entry Zone AMDPrice Rejected From Resistance.
Safe Entry Green Zone.
Target after that 162$ price level.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock (safe way):
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
Take Care & Watch OUT !
How 3 Bullish Timeframe Signals Suggest a Buy Opportunity on AMDHow 3 Bullish Timeframe Signals Suggest a Buy Opportunity on AMD Stock
AMD stock has flashed a compelling multi-timeframe buy signal based on a weekly breakout, daily reversal, and 4H stochastic
momentum shift—all aligned with the 50 and 200 EMA and Stochastic RSI indicators.
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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is showing a promising technical setup for bullish traders. An alignment across the weekly, daily,
and 4-hour charts is sending a powerful message: momentum may be shifting in favor of buyers.
This article breaks down how two key indicators—EMA (50 and
200) and the Stochastic RSI—are lining up across three timeframes to support a potential upward move.
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Weekly Chart: Breakout in Progress
The first signal comes from the weekly chart, where AMD has broken above a recent resistance level. Price has cleared previous
consolidation highs while staying well above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, a classic sign of long-term strength.
This breakout is significant because weekly chart patterns carry more weight and often lead to sustained price trends. The bullish
separation of price from the 50 and 200 EMAs is a signal that long-term traders are regaining control.
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Daily Chart: Reversal Pattern Confirmed
On the daily chart, a clear reversal has taken shape. After a recent pullback, AMD found support near the 50 EMA and bounced
higher. The 200 EMA remains below, confirming the overall bullish structure.
This bounce is further validated by the Stochastic RSI crossing
back above the oversold region, a strong signal that short-term selling pressure has been exhausted. When momentum indicators
and price structure both confirm a reversal, it often leads to an upward follow-through.
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4-Hour Chart: Early Momentum Reversal
Drilling down into the 4-hour chart, a timely reversal is unfolding.
AMD rebounded strongly from a lower support zone while holding above the 50 and 200 EMAs. Most notably, the Stochastic
RSI has crossed bullishly, confirming the momentum shift from sellers to buyers.
This 4-hour signal adds precision to the daily and weekly bullish bias. Short-term traders may use this to fine-tune entries, while
longer-term investors may see it as confirmation to scale into positions.
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Conclusion: Multi-Timeframe Confluence Supports a Buy Bias
When the weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts align with bullish
signals from both price action and indicators like the EMA (50 and 200) and Stochastic RSI, the odds often favor the bulls.
While no signal is guaranteed, this kind of multi-timeframe confluence is rare and valuable. It suggests momentum is building
from the ground up—starting with short-term traders and expanding into longer-term buying interest.
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Disclaimer:
This article is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Use a simulation trading account before you trade with
real money and learn risk management and profit-taking strategies. Trading is risky and past performance does not
guarantee future results.
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$AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup🔻 NASDAQ:AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup (Jul 18 Exp)
📅 Trade Opened: July 3, 2025
🛠 Strategy: Buy to Open (BTO) Put Debit Spread
📉 Strikes: $31 / $30 (Jul 18 Expiration)
💵 Cost (Premium Paid): $0.21
🎯 Trade Thesis
This setup aims to capture short-term downside in NASDAQ:AMD via a low-cost, defined-risk spread. The trade fits within my broader portfolio of OTM spreads under $0.25.
Key Drivers:
🔻 Semi sector under pressure – NASDAQ:AMD showing relative weakness.
📉 Breakdown below key support near $31 and rejection at VWAP.
🧾 Weak momentum – MACD trending down, RSI near 44.
🔄 Trade enters into earnings season volatility.
📊 Technical Setup (Daily)
EMA(4) < EMA(8) < EMA(15): Bearish structure fully intact.
VWAP: Price rejected from 30-day VWAP zone.
MACD/RSI: Momentum still fading, no signs of bullish divergence.
⏳ Strategy Notes
Max loss: $0.21
Max gain: $0.79
Risk/reward structured for a drop into or below $30
Expiration: July 18
🧠 Journal Note
Most of my trades are swing-based using OTM debit spreads with tight risk control. No same-day entries — setups must have defined technical compression and short-term catalysts.
-This zone of 138 USD is really important-AMD📈 AMD Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout in Sight?
"We are currently testing the parallel channel at $138 for a potentially very bullish confirmation afterward. If confirmed, I would set a target at $170 USD."
🔍 Let’s break it down:
- 🧭 Key Level at $138: AMD is hovering around a critical resistance level within a well-defined parallel channel. This zone is acting as a decision point—either we break out with strength or face a pullback.
- 🧠 Head and Shoulders Pattern: The chart shows a classic inverse head and shoulders formation (Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder), which is typically a bullish reversal signal. If the neckline (around $138) is broken with volume, it could trigger a strong rally.
- 🚀 Bullish Confirmation: A confirmed breakout above $138, especially with strong volume and momentum indicators turning positive, could ignite a powerful uptrend. This would validate the bullish thesis.
- 🎯 Target at $170: If the breakout is confirmed, a price target of $170 is ambitious but realistic. It aligns with the upper bounds of the projected move from the head and shoulders pattern and the channel extension.
- 🛑 Risk Management: As always, keep an eye on false breakouts. A failure to hold above $138 could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
💡 Final Thoughts: AMD is at a technical crossroads. A breakout above $138 could be the spark for a major bullish run toward $170. Keep your eyes on volume, momentum, and confirmation signals. This could be a textbook setup for swing traders and long-term bulls alike. 📊🔥
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Thank you!
Subcribe TSXGanG! 💡🎯
Long 4HR AND Weekly ( Finishing Wave 1)
4HR
NASDAQ:AMD is close to potentially finishing Wave 5 of a larger degree wave 1.
$154 is the calculate Fib extension of Wave 1+3 for a wave 5 however, there is plenty room for the stock to run with multiple $160+ Analyst upgrades.
From the Close Price on 6/27 to $160 there is a potential 11% upside.
I believe any negative sentiment on trade with Canada will dissipate sooner than later as we seen throughout the entirety of the year so far with all trade talks failing to hold the markets down.
WEEKLY
The MACD has finally finished above the neutral zone increasing bullish sentiment and strength on this one moving forward as this is a bullish signal.
On both time frames this is a very clear breakout against the Multi year Resistance channel from its previous ATH with price against within the channel showing tons of strength in momentum.
A further outlook for this stock shows a possible wave 3 on the weekly chart targeting the upper trendline at over $300.
If you feel you missed the opportunity to get a long term position, there is always a second chance on on micro wave 2. That would give you retracements down to $100, $110, and $120. I'm rounding up the Fib levels for simplicity.
I currently hold 100 shares at an average of $118 and look to add more beneath my average.
I also am holding multiple contracts with a $140 strike out until the end of July and $160 strike out until September. I do not plan on trimming any contracts until the $150 stock price.
Use this information for educational purposes only as this is not financial advice.
AMD: Looking a bit bearish Sort of taking a break from posting about SPY which never seems to do anything interesting.
So posting about AMD which I have been day trading more frequently recently.
Looking at AMD, expecting some upside initially to 145 region, perhaps a gap up into Monday, but overall, the impression is a pullback towards 136.55 and potentially 134.
Probability is to the downside here with the general forecasting outlook being rather bearish tilted.
Let's see what we get on Monday, but expectation is that the pullback should be starting Monday, mid-Monday.
Not advice and as always, safe trades!
Reversal on AMDI have a very simple analysis on AMD. As you see from this chart, we have seen in the past at points 1 and 2 that after a brutal bearish trend, the stock has rebounded at subsequent earnings. Assuming today's Earnings are also a beat, which I expect them to be, We will see a nice trend reversal on this stock. This stock has been beaten, kicked for a while now and I believe based on the past instances, we will see it rally up. The question is rally how much? Only time will tell, but given the Earnings are a beat, we won't see the stock go down like it happened the last earnings call.
HERE IS THE #CHART $AMD Bullish with consolidation risk. Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is at $143.81, up 0.09% daily and 25.14% monthly, as shown in the finance card above. X posts highlight strong momentum, with a breakout above the 200-day SMA ($129.74) and a potential Wave 5 targeting $154-$160, supported by analyst upgrades (Mizuho, Melius to Buy; targets $140-$175). AI chip demand (MI350 outperforming Nvidia’s B200, Oracle/Zettascale deals) and 40% YoY revenue growth drive optimism. However, a high P/E (105.42) and choppy price action suggest a possible pullback to $141.63-$142. Support is at $141.63; resistance is at $147.75-$150. A break above $147.75 could target $154; a drop below $141.63 risks $138
Trading Thesis: Silicon Whiplash – AMD Coiling for a Re-Launch🧠 Trading Thesis: “Silicon Whiplash – AMD Coiling for a Re-Launch to $164+?”
📉 Ticker: NASDAQ:AMD
🗓️ Timeframe: Daily (1D)
📍 Current Price: $144.42
📈 Fibonacci Expansion Target: $164.54 (1.236 extension), $174.98 (1.382 extension)
📉 Support Zone: $120.78
🔭 Play Duration: 2–4 weeks (event-based structure)
🔍 WaverVanir Thesis
Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is presenting a high-conviction pullback-to-launchpad setup.
After reaching the $147.75 resistance (1.0 Fib extension), AMD has begun carving out a potential W-pattern reaccumulation that could send it to $164.54+. This setup aligns with AI infrastructure momentum and strong GPU/CPU roadmap tailwinds into Q3.
⚡ Catalyst Radar
🚀 MI300 AI GPU Rollout: Recent guidance confirms massive momentum in AMD's data center AI segment, expected to double in Q3. MI300X is gaining traction in the hyperscaler race (vs. NVDA).
💰 AI Arms Race: AMD is aggressively capturing GPU demand in sovereign AI, defense compute, and private AI stack builders (OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta).
📅 Earnings Catalyst: Next report in early August. Expect YoY revenue growth rebound + margin guidance upgrade.
📐 Technical Blueprint
📉 Support Zone: $120.78 (Golden Pocket reversion area)
📊 Pullback Scenario: If price rejects from $147.75 again, a W-pattern retrace to $124–121 would offer a prime long entry.
📈 Upside Targets:
Target 1: $164.54 (1.236 Fib extension)
Target 2: $174.98 (1.382 extension)
🔍 WaverVanir DSS Signal
The DSS signal model confirms:
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) bullish orderblock was reclaimed at $115
Volume profile shows breakout from low-volume node — setting up for a clean sweep to higher liquidity zones
Momentum divergence on RSI and MACD supports the "cool-off before liftoff" thesis
🧠 Strategic Setup
Scenario Trigger Action
Bullish Continuation Break + close above $148 Chase breakout with $155/$165 calls
W Reversion Entry Drop to $124–121 with holding wick Long entry with call spreads into earnings
Bearish Breakdown Close below $118 Wait and reassess — structure invalidated
⚠️ Risk Management: Tighten stops below $117. Risk defined. No long if structure breaks down on high volume.
✅ Summary
AMD’s structure screams accumulation, not distribution. The convergence of technical structure, fundamental catalysts, and AI expansion cycles makes this one of the highest-risk-adjusted setups heading into earnings season. We are watching for pullbacks to enter long toward $164–175.
🧩 #Tags:
#WaverVanir #AMD #Semiconductors #AITrade #MI300 #GPUWar #FibExpansion #TradingThesis #NVDA #OptionsFlow #AIInfrastructure #SmartMoneyConcepts #VolumeProfile #WPattern #NASDAQ100
Breakout Alert: AMD Head & Shoulders Points to $160+Overview
Name: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Ticker Symbol: AMD
Exchange: NASDAQ
Founded: 1969
Headquarters: Santa Clara, California, USA
CEO: Lisa Su (as of 2025)Sector: Technology / Semiconductors
About
AMD is a leading semiconductor company known for its high-performance computing and graphics solutions. It competes with Intel and NVIDIA in the CPU, GPU, and data center markets. Its product line includes Ryzen (desktop/laptop CPUs), EPYC (server CPUs), and Radeon (GPUs), with strong expansion in AI and custom silicon for next-gen applications.
Fundamentals
Earnings: AMD reported strong Q1 2025 earnings with a beat on both revenue and EPS, supported by explosive demand in the AI and data center segments.Revenue: $6.52B, up 21% YoY
Outlook: The company raised guidance for the second half of 2025 as it expects to benefit from the AI chip boom and new product rollouts.
Technicals (4H Chart)
Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern confirmed with neckline breakout around ~$117
Breakout from Falling Channel aligning with bullish reversal structure
Price surged past resistance with strong volume, currently at $126.39 (+9.71%)
RSI at 65.88, approaching overbought but not signaling weakness
MACD bullish crossover, confirming momentum
Short-term target range: $145–$150, with extended projection up to $162.75
📌 Support Levels: $117, $111.50📈 Target Price (TP): $162.75 (based on pattern breakout height projection)
💡 My Take
AMD just pulled off a textbook bullish reversal — inverted head and shoulders breakout combined with a falling channel exit. With strong macro trends in AI hardware and data center expansion, this move feels well-supported fundamentally and technically.
The clean neckline breakout and explosive candle suggest continuation. I am expecting a potential consolidation around $130–$135ish before next leg to $150+. If momentum holds, $162+ is possible before August.
💼 Position
Type: AMD 145 Call
Expiry: July 03, 2025
Quantity: 15
Average Cost Basis: $.038
Date Purchased: June 12, 2025
Last Price: $0.47
Total % Gain/Loss: +23.4%
I entered after the neckline break and riding the wave. AMD’s setup is too clean to ignore — high conviction play.
$AMD – Major Support Flip?📊 Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:AMD looks poised for a breakout continuation, with multiple technical signals aligning:
Price recently flipped major historical support/resistance (~$132.75–133.18), a level that has acted as a launchpad multiple times in the past (highlighted by the boxed reactions).
After a strong rally, a pullback into this zone (marked by the arrow) would be healthy and may offer a prime long opportunity if the level holds.
Bullish projection targets a move toward the next key resistance area around $184.52, followed by a long-term fib extension / prior high zone at $226–227.60.
Structure remains clean – bullish continuation pattern after a breakout from a prolonged range.
⚙️ Macro & Fundamental Drivers
🧠 AI & Data Center Tailwinds
AMD continues to be a major beneficiary of the AI boom, especially with its MI300X AI GPU chips entering competition with Nvidia's offerings.
Big cloud customers (Microsoft, Meta, Amazon) are increasing adoption of AMD’s accelerators in 2025 deployments.
Analysts are increasingly bullish on AMD’s data center market share gains in 2H 2025.
💼 Earnings Momentum
Strong recent earnings report beat both revenue and EPS expectations.
Forward guidance remains upbeat, driven by AI, custom silicon, and embedded segments.
Gross margins expanding — indicating strong operational leverage.
📉 Rate Cut Hopes + Tech Rotation
Markets are pricing in Fed rate cuts late 2025, improving sentiment for high-beta tech.
Institutional flows are rotating back into semiconductors after a Q2 pullback.
🇺🇸 CHIPS Act Support
U.S. government funding continues to support domestic chip production, indirectly benefiting AMD by bolstering its supply chain and CapEx plans.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $133–138 (retest zone / support flip)
Stop Loss: Below $130
Target 1: $184.52
Target 2: $203.71
Target 3 (Stretch): $226–227
⚠️ Risks
Macro risks: Unexpected Fed hawkishness or broader tech selloff.
Competitive risks from Nvidia or delays in data center adoption cycles.
📌 Conclusion
NASDAQ:AMD is retesting a critical structural level with strong bullish momentum. With the AI narrative heating up, macro tailwinds forming, and technicals aligned, this could be the next major breakout candidate in the semiconductor space.