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AMD trade ideas

AMD Swing trade ideaI like the OF on the H4 time frame here in AMD and have some swing positions open. I already took off some positions on this same trade idea with target as PDL that already puts me in profit on this trade as AMD was a nice sell off in the AM session. The rest of the trade is risk free and will be managed accordingly next week. Rejection from H4 SIBI, taking out buy stops and heading towards sellside liquidity confirms bearish orderflow may be in play. Possibly MMSM here. Any displacement from this level would be further confirmation for price to trend lower.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TradesofThunder
Wedge inside a wedge with upward intentionsOn daily chart the price is inside huge downward wedge, which in the long run should reach price of 218.77. On hourly chart we can see a local downside wedge inside the global big one. This indicates that the price is currently in correction. Prediction A) The price continues to go up since it has bounced off the bottom of global wedge and recently tested MA200, it should break the local channel and MA200 and go up to price 120.00, then globally the price should continue to go up to 218.77 and reach the global wedge top. Prediction B) The price will break the local channel downward and drop to level 109.93, then bounce off of it and continue up to 218.77. It would be best to wait for price to reach level 109.78 and wait for reversal signals to ride the price up to level 218.77. Of course, this trend might continue for a few months and global politics might change the price course, but at the moment technical analysis gave me this idea. This is not a financial advice, please do your own due diligence if you plan to trade. Also, please feel free to comment your thoughts and predictions about the price action for the upcoming days.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by OleksandraVolodymyrivna
AMD Near Key Resistance! Trade Setups forTechnical Analysis (TA) Overview AMD is currently trading near 114-115, moving within an ascending channel. The stock is facing resistance at 115.55, which aligns with a gamma resistance zone. If buyers push it past this level, AMD could test 116-120, but failure to hold support could lead to a move back toward 110 or lower. 📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels: * Resistance: 115.55 (key resistance), 116.11 (previous high), 120 (call wall) * Support: 113.06, 110.37, 108-105 (strong put support) 📌 Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover—momentum is weakening. * Stoch RSI: Near oversold (31.96), meaning downside may be limited. * Volume Profile: Heavy trading volume around 114-115, meaning price could consolidate before its next move. Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment 🔹 Call Walls (Resistance): * 115.55-116.11: Short-term resistance; needs momentum to break. * 120: Highest call resistance—bulls must sustain a breakout. 🔹 Put Walls (Support): * 110: Strong put support; if broken, could trigger downside to 108-105. * 105: Critical support—bears need volume to push below. 🔹 Options Sentiment: * IVR: 9 (low implied volatility—potential for a breakout). * Call Open Interest: 28.6% – Bullish positioning is growing. Trade Scenarios for Tomorrow ✅ Bullish Setup: * If AMD breaks above 115.55, expect a push toward 116-120. * Ideal entry: Above 115.55, stop-loss below 114. * Profit targets: 116, 118, 120 (extension). ❌ Bearish Setup: * If AMD fails at 115 and breaks below 113, expect a move toward 110-108. * Ideal entry: Below 113, stop-loss above 115. * Profit targets: 110, 108, 105. Probability Estimate for AMD’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 115.55 (Targets 116-120) Scenario Probability (%): 50% Reasoning: AMD is in an ascending channel, meaning bulls are still in control. • Needs strong volume to break through 115.55-116 levels. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 113-115.55) | 35% | - Volume profile suggests heavy trading activity around 114-115, meaning price may consolidate. * MACD suggests weak momentum, signaling possible chop before a breakout. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 113 (Targets 110-105) | 15% | - Bearish MACD crossover signals weakening momentum. * If 113 fails, expect downside toward 110-105. | Final Thoughts * AMD needs to break 115.55 to continue higher toward 116-120. * If 113 fails, selling pressure could increase, pushing price to 110-105. * IVR is low, meaning options are cheap, but also suggests low volatility. 🔹 Best Trading Plan: * Bullish Play: Look for a breakout above 115.55 → target 116-120. * Bearish Play: Watch for rejection at 115.55 or a break below 113 → target 110-105. 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade with proper risk management.
NASDAQ:AMD
by BullBearInsights
AMD: Hit rock bottom. Huge upside potential from here.Advanced Micro Devices Inc turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.032, MACD = -2.460, ADX = 22.524) signaling a potential reversal of the long term bearish trend. This month the price hit the 1M MA50 and if it managed to close the 1M candle over it, we expect to have a market bottom formed much like October 2022 and April 2018. A rally of at least +275% started following both of those bottoms. We believe the risk of buying here is low and the reward high and thus turn bullish (TP = 390.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by InvestingScope
1
AMD 24hr potterbox with possible projectionAMD 24hr potterbox with possible Projection. Its about time for AMD to come back to life and i think this could be a buying opportunity when it starts to bounce off of the floor $98.64 ish It seems to be at some good resistenct and support levels. IN my opinion. I know my bull flag is not exactly to spec but you can clearly see the pattern its following. I would like to see it above $154.18 ish .the 50 percent line or cost basis before i will consider it. Its a good one to keep a eye on. AMD was at some good highs. lets hope this market will give us some great plays in the coming months. Happy Trading
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by potrod
'AMD' OR 'MAD' UPSIDE POTENTIAL ~ COMPUTE POWERWe've noticed an interesting pattern where NVDA bounced back last week from the DEEP SEEK wash, while AMD has been churning downwards, but their recent earnings and suggested last few days of activity means that someone is interested at these levels for big $. It's likely we see some consolidation here for a few days to weeks but quiet likely to have a very rapid momentum to the upside towards $155. Not financial advice, open to discussion, play at your own risk.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by gsaad
AMD: It's A Golden Buying OpportunityHello, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc engages in the provision of semiconductor businesses. It operates through the following segments: Computing & Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. The Computing and Graphics segment includes desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units, data centre and professional GPUs and development services. The Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment includes server and embedded processors, semi-custom System-on-Chip products, development services and technology for game consoles. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- As shown Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- Awaiting 0 crossover on MACD Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown below Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target as shown $244 AMD shares are currently trading near their 52-week lows after the top reached in March 2024. Just A day after inauguration the Trump administration announced the Stargate AI Infrastructure initiative in collaboration with OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle. According to Aaron Rakers, a Semiconductor and IT Hardware analyst, the initiative aims to deploy an immediate $100 billion for AI data center construction, starting with an ongoing project in Abilene, Texas, with the potential to scale up to $500 billion over the next four years. While this development is expected to benefit AI infrastructure and semiconductor companies, OpenAI's press release specifically mentioned NVIDIA and ARM as key initial partners, omitting AMD. This raise concerns that AMD may have missed a crucial opportunity in the AI investment boom. While this might be seen as negative there is positive news coming in from the US government, Yesterday 11th February 2025 JD Vance said the administration of President Donald Trump "will ensure that the most powerful AI systems are built in the U.S. with American-designed and manufactured chips.” This gives hope for United States of America AI companies in the coming years. Recently Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market as well. DeepSeek a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. If hyperscalers begin reassessing the necessity of massive GPU clusters, it could impact long-term demand for training hardware. However, near-term spending on AI infrastructure remains strong, with companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon and Google continuing their multi-billion-dollar investments as per their recent Q4 earning updates. While DeepSeek has stirred significant discussion in the semiconductor space, it is yet to showcase any ground-breaking advancements beyond what OpenAI already offers. Having tested the product, we noticed that OpenAI has quickly updated its reasoning capabilities to match DeepSeek's edge over ChatGPT. One of the biggest limitations of generative AI platforms remains their outdated datasets, often capped at 2024. We expect this to disappear with time. It's still too early to determine the full impact, but if DeepSeek’s approach gains widespread adoption, new AI market leaders could emerge, potentially shifting market dynamics. Moreover, DeepSeek's success disrupts the dominance of U.S. firms and highlights vulnerabilities in the effectiveness of export controls on high-end chips. Despite missing out on the Stargate initiative, AMD has expanded its AI chip portfolio and achieved a significant milestone by securing a spot in Dell’s new commercial AI PC lineup. The commercial PC market, which accounts for 55% of total PC shipments, remains a crucial battleground for vendors. Dell, holding 15% of the total PC market and 23% of the commercial segment, is the third-largest commercial PC vendor, with over 85% of its unit sales tied to commercial customers. Following AMD’s recent earnings report, the stock plunged 10% in premarket trading. While the company posted solid Q4 results, weaker-than-expected guidance on data center sales weighed on investor sentiment. Lastly, China represents a significant revenue source for AMD. However, the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 28, 2024 Net Revenue: $25,785 million, reflecting a 14% increase from $22,680 million in 2023, driven by strong performance in the Data Center and Client segments. Gross Profit: $12,725 million, with a gross margin of 49%, up from 46% in 2023, due to a favorable revenue mix shift towards higher-margin segments. Operating Income: $1,900 million, a significant increase from $401 million in 2023, primarily due to higher revenue and improved gross margins. Net Income: $1,641 million, compared to $854 million in 2023, driven by increased revenue and operating income. Diluted EPS: $1.00, up from $0.53 in 2023, reflecting the company's improved profitability. Revenue Segments: The Data Center segment saw a significant increase in net revenue, driven by higher sales of AMD Instinct GPUs and AMD EPYC CPUs. The Client segment also experienced growth due to increased unit shipments and higher average selling prices of AMD Ryzen processors. However, the Gaming and Embedded segments faced declines in net revenue due to lower semi-custom product revenue and normalized inventory levels, respectively. New Product Launches: AMD launched several new products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors, AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, and the Ryzen 9000 series processors. These products are designed to deliver leadership performance in gaming, productivity, and AI capabilities. New Production Launches: The company expanded its adaptive computing portfolio with the launch of the Versal Series Gen 2 devices, including the Versal AI Edge Series Gen 2 and Versal Prime Series Gen 2 adaptive SoCs, which enhance AI-driven embedded systems. Future Outlook: AMD plans to continue its focus on AI and enterprise markets, with expectations to complete the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025. The company also intends to seek a strategic partner for ZT Systems' manufacturing business. Sales Units: The Client segment reported a 34% increase in unit shipments, reflecting strong demand for AMD mobile and desktop Ryzen processors. Geographical Performance: International sales accounted for 66% of net revenue in 2024, indicating a strong global presence and continued significance of international markets in AMD's sales strategy. CHALLENGES AND RISKS Market and Competitive Risks: The company faces significant economic and strategic risks due to the dominance of Intel and Nvidia in their respective markets, which may limit AMD's ability to compete effectively. The semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, with severe downturns that have historically affected the company. Operational Risks: The company relies on third-party manufacturers, which poses risks if these suppliers are unable to meet demand or if there are disruptions in the supply chain. Potential security vulnerabilities in products and IT outages or cyberattacks could also disrupt operations. Legal and Regulatory Risks: Government actions that may limit product exports and evolving expectations regarding corporate responsibility could result in additional costs and reputational harm. Management Strategies: Management is focusing on timely product introductions and maintaining product quality to provide value to customers. The company is also investing in AI capabilities to meet the growing demand for AI solutions, although the trajectory of AI adoption remains uncertain. Market Risks: The company is exposed to unfavorable currency exchange rate fluctuations, which could adversely affect profitability and cash flows. Additionally, potential changes in tax regulations and the realization of deferred tax assets could affect financial results. STRATEGIC INITIATIVES IN 2024 Strategic Initiatives: In 2024, AMD focused on expanding its AI capabilities and data center infrastructure. The company launched multiple leadership products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors and AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, to enhance its high-performance computing portfolio. AMD also acquired Silo AI Oy to bolster its AI software capabilities and entered into an agreement to acquire ZT Systems to enhance its AI and compute infrastructure offerings. Capital Management: AMD repaid its 2.95% Senior Notes due 2024, reducing its total debt from $2.5 billion to $1.8 billion. The company returned $862 million to shareholders through the repurchase of 5.9 million shares of common stock. As of December 28, 2024, $4.7 billion remained available for future stock repurchases. AMD maintained a revolving credit facility of $3 billion and a commercial paper program, both of which were undrawn during the year. Future Outlook: AMD plans to close the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025, subject to regulatory approvals. The company intends to seek a strategic partner to acquire ZT Systems' manufacturing business. AMD expects to continue leveraging its cash, cash equivalents, and credit facilities to fund operations and strategic initiatives, including potential acquisitions and capital expenditures, over the next 12 months and beyond. Our recommendation When it comes to AI beneficiaries and hardware for AI applications, AMD has failed to get the highlight it deserves. This has greatly led to a lot of investors looking at Nvidia vs AMD. However, over the last few weeks, Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market due to its ability to make programs with less powered chips. DeepSeek's V3 a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. As a result of this, we expect more focus to move to alternative companies that are involved in AI infrastructure. AMD remains well positioned to compete with its competitors all round. In November 2024, AMD showcased its ongoing high-performance computing (HPC) leadership at Supercomputing 2024 by powering the world’s fastest supercomputer. In March 2024, AMD stock reached the all-time high at $227.30. The stock has since retraced by 53.8% to its current price of $110.48. This correction, coupled with the strong fundamentals the company has signals that AMD remains a solid hold in the long term and a great buy from the current levels. AMD continues to focus on expanding its AI capabilities and data centre infrastructure. On 11th February 2024, AMD announced the signing of a Letter of Intent (LOI) with the Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) of France to collaborate on the advanced technologies, component and system architectures that will shape the future of AI computing. This effort underscores the AMD commitment to fostering international collaborations that accelerate AI innovation, making AI more inclusive and sustainable, and strengthening cooperation, in particular, between the United States and European research institutions. It also opens up for opportunity for more income from the Europe market. For the full year 2024, AMD reported record revenue of $25.8 billion, gross margin of 49%, operating income of $1.9 billion, net income of $1.6 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $1.00. On a non-GAAP (*) basis, gross margin was a record 53%, operating income was $6.1 billion, net income was $5.4 billion and diluted earnings per share was $3.31. A key risk for AMD is the trade war between the united states and China. China represents a significant revenue source for AMD and the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook. Our view on Advanced Micro Devices is BUY/HOLD with a target of $244. This is a 120.48% return on the stock from the current price of 110.48. Sources: www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by thesharkke
17
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL (1/7) Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀 (2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT • Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09) • Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰 • Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔 (3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM • Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates) • Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡 • Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty? (4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON • AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability • Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️ • Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗 (5/7) – RISK FACTORS • NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share • Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉 • TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups • The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high (6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐 Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips Strong cash flow fueling R&D Weaknesses: Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism Opportunities: AI expansions beyond GPU domination Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖 Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology Threats: Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel) Economic slowdowns Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️ (7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA? 1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DCAChampion
1