APC trade ideas
AAPL to 189Apple broke out of a symmetrical continuation triangle in a 1-hour timeframe, which is considered a bullish signal. I expect the price to reach around 189 in the short term.
2 buys - 2 sells2 buys - 2 sells
Buy
AAPL
long 167
stop 165
profit 183
5/17 expiry options data
Put Volume Total 16,895
Call Volume Total 20,372
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.83
Put Open Interest Total 185,147
Call Open Interest Total 297,940
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.62
TSLA
long 170
stop 160
profit 215
5/17 expiry options data
Put Volume Total 19,774
Call Volume Total 21,723
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.91
Put Open Interest Total 338,298
Call Open Interest Total 347,605
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.97
Sell
MSFT
short 425
stop 431
profit 378
5/17 expiry options data
Put Volume Total 9,102
Call Volume Total 14,235
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.64
Put Open Interest Total 91,952
Call Open Interest Total 155,447
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.59
NVDA
short 940
stop 975
profit 712
5/17 expiry options data
Put Volume Total 17,790
Call Volume Total 29,114
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.61
Put Open Interest Total 204,324
Call Open Interest Total 300,619
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.68
AAPL Long Term: A Bite Out of Innovation Still Worth Chewing OnThe tech giants of yesterday aren't always the titans of tomorrow. Ask any BlackBerry or Myspace user. But Apple (AAPL) seems different. It's a brand synonymous with sleek design, intuitive interfaces, and a rabidly loyal fanbase. Yet, whispers abound that Apple's best days are behind it. Is this a reason to abandon AAPL? Not necessarily. Here's why a long position on Apple might still be a juicy investment.
Peak Influence, Peak Products Not Synonymous
There's a valid argument to be made that Apple's cultural influence has peaked. The days of revolutionary product launches that sent shockwaves through the tech world might be over. The iPhone, for instance, forever changed the mobile landscape, but incremental updates might not hold the same groundbreaking appeal.
However, strong influence doesn't guarantee a stagnant product line. Apple's design language and user experience (UX) philosophy remain best-in-class. While competitors scramble to mimic features like multi-touch interfaces, Apple continues to refine and innovate within its established ecosystem. The upcoming AR/VR headset, rumored for release in the coming years, is a prime example. It has the potential to be a game-changer, much like the iPhone was in its time.
The Loyal Legion: A Moat Wider Than Ever
One of Apple's greatest strengths is its fervent user base. Apple users are notoriously loyal, often deeply entrenched within the company's ecosystem of devices and services. Switching from iPhone to Android, for instance, can be a significant hurdle due to factors like iMessage integration and a user interface many have grown accustomed to. This loyalty translates to recurring revenue streams through things like App Store purchases and iCloud subscriptions.
Furthermore, Apple isn't resting on its laurels when it comes to user loyalty. Services like Apple Music and Apple TV+ are constantly improving, offering compelling reasons for users to stay within the Apple fold.
The Maturing Tech Landscape: A Friend, Not a Foe
It's true, America's tech dominance isn't what it once was. But that doesn't spell doom for Apple. The rise of other tech powerhouses like China shouldn't be seen as an existential threat, but rather as a sign of a maturing tech landscape. This fosters healthy competition, pushing companies to constantly innovate and improve their offerings.
Apple, with its immense resources and proven track record, is well-positioned to thrive in this environment. The company has a global presence, a strong brand image, and a loyal user base – all of which are assets that can't be easily replicated.
A Bite-Sized Conclusion
Apple might not be the revolutionary force it once was, but that doesn't mean its best days are over. The company continues to produce high-quality products with a focus on design and user experience. Its loyal user base and focus on services provide strong foundations for continued growth. While the broader tech landscape is evolving, Apple's position within it remains secure. So, for investors seeking a long-term play in the tech sector, AAPL might still be a bite worth taking.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Analyzing Apple's Gap Dynamics and Retracement LevelsHere's a simple setup for the Apple stock. Following the quarterly earnings release, the stock opened with a significant up-gap. However, the price was unable to surpass the level of the previously open gap from February 12, 2024. Currently, a downtrend is establishing itself in the Apple stock, and interestingly, the newly opened gap caused by the quarterly earnings is nearly at the identical level as the 61.8% retracement of the upward movement since April 19, 2024.
Hunting for Trend Days Part 3: Case Studies and PsychologyWelcome to the final instalment of our series on hunting for trend days. In Part 1, we covered the fundamental characteristics of trend days and essential tools for identifying them early. Part 2 delved into advanced strategies for maximising opportunities and effectively managing trades during trend days. Now, let's explore case studies of successful trend day trades and delve into the psychology behind trading trend days.
Case Studies:
Here are some real-world examples of how trades can be taken and managed on trend days using the techniques covered in Part 1 and Part 2.
Each example will be viewed through the prism of the three C’s – Context, Catalyst, and Consistency .
Context refers to conducting higher timeframe analysis on the daily candle chart. Catalyst refers to the confluence of evidence that a trend day is taking place. And Consistency refers to how we consistently select and manage trend day trades on the 5min candle chart.
Case Study 1: EUR/USD
Context:
The higher timeframe daily candle chart provides valuable context for the impending trend day. We can clearly see that daily trading ranges have been contracting for several consecutive days. This puts day traders on high alert for an expansive range day in either direction.
15th Jan 2024: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Catalyst:
The following day, at the start of European trading, EUR/USD has already broken and held below the prior days low (PDL). EUR/USD has also broke below the daily compression pattern (highlighted above) and the market is holding below a downward sloping volume weighted average VWAP. This is enough confluence of evidence that a trend day is taking place and traders can start to position themselves accordingly.
16th Jan 2024: EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Consistency:
Entering managing trades on trend days should not be over complicated, the most important aspect is consistency of method and approach.
A simple trend following day trading entry and exit technique can be employed on trend days:
Entry: Break below swing support and 9 period EMA
Exit: Break and close above 9 period EMA.
(Blue arrows = Entry, Red arrows = Exit)
16th Jan 2024: EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Case Study 2: Apple (AAPL)
Context:
Again, the higher timeframe context is key. As Apple’s share price approached a key level of long-term support the daily ranges started to contract and the market started to consolidate within a falling wedge pattern. This puts day traders on high alert for an expansive range day in either direction.
10th APR 2024: AAPL Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Catalyst:
Prior to the trend day developing there were several early warning signs within the first hour of trading. Having gapped slightly higher at the open, the shares broke and held above the PDH. Price was also holding above an upward sloping VWAP and breaking above the falling wedge consolidation pattern that formed on the daily candle chart.
11th APR 2024: AAPL 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Consistency:
Again, a simple trend following day trading entry and exit technique proves effective.
Entry: Break below swing support and 9 period EMA
Exit: Break and close above 9 period EMA.
(Blue arrows = Entry, Red arrows = Exit)
11th APR 2024: AAPL 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Psychological Insights:
1. Patience and Discipline:
Successful trading during trend days requires patience and discipline. It's essential to wait for confirmation of the trend and avoid impulsive decisions based on emotions or fear of missing out (FOMO). Stick to your trading plan and only take high-probability setups that align with your strategy.
2. Flexibility and Adaptability:
While it's crucial to have a trading plan, it's also essential to remain flexible and adapt to changing market conditions during trend days. Be willing to adjust your strategy based on evolving price action and market dynamics, and don't hesitate to cut losses when necessary.
3. Emotional Control:
Managing emotions such as greed, fear, and overconfidence is critical for successful trading during trend days. Avoid letting emotions dictate your trading decisions and maintain a rational and objective mindset at all times. Remember that losses are part of trading, and it's essential to stay focused on long-term profitability.
Conclusion:
Pursuing trend days can present both opportunities and challenges for day traders. While traders may benefit from consistent trending price movements, it's crucial to identify trend days early, apply effective trading strategies, and maintain psychological discipline to navigate the potential risks successfully.
We hope this series has provided valuable insights and practical techniques for navigating trend days with confidence and competence. Remember to continuously refine your skills, adapt to changing market conditions, and always prioritise risk management.
Happy trading, and may the trend days be ever in your favour!
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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AAPL POTENTIAL REVISIT ON MAJOR RESISTANCE ZONEAAPL has verified a bullish breakout from the formed channel. The false breakout on the identified support suggests a robust rebound from recent lows. Anticipating a rally continuation, aiming to reclaim the resistance before a potential sell-off. However, as the resistance stands as a formidable sell zone, a downward price shift is expected upon reaching the highlighted region.
Apple versus Cameco V2In less than 4 years...
Apple is down OVER 70% priced in Cameco.
#uranium #cameco #tech #apple NYSE:CCJ NASDAQ:AAPL
iPads Expected at Apple Event, But Hold On For the AI ChipsApple enthusiasts can finally breathe a sigh of relief. The wait for new iPads is nearly over, with a splashy Apple event titled "Let Loose" scheduled for today. This comes after an unusually long gap between iPad releases.
New iPads Take Center Stage
According to reliable sources, the spotlight will be on the latest iPad lineup. Rumors suggest the unveiling of a new iPad Pro boasting a cutting-edge OLED display, potentially accompanied by a larger 13-inch version. An upgraded iPad Air with a similar display technology might also be part of the show.
M4 Chip: A Surprise Guest?
While the focus is firmly on the iPads, whispers suggest a surprise appearance by the next-generation M4 chip. This unveiling would be a mere six months after the launch of the M3 series, prompting speculation about Apple's strategic direction.
A.I. Chip Development: A Side Story
An article from Wall Street Journal also touches upon Apple's development of a custom-designed chip for artificial intelligence applications within data centers. However, the Wall Street Journal report casts doubt on whether this chip will ever see real-world deployment.
wsj.com/tech/ai/apple-is-developing-ai-chips-for-data-centers-seeking-edge-in-arms-race-0bedd2b2
Investor Takeaway
The "Let Loose" event holds significant promise for Apple investors. The launch of new iPads, particularly the potentially premium iPad Pro models, could generate a surge in sales. The M4 chip, if confirmed, could further solidify Apple's position as a leader in chip technology. While the A.I. chip development is intriguing, investors should likely focus on the more immediate impact of the upcoming iPad releases.
AAPL Bearish Crab Pattern Will Start at 197$the detail is shown in the above Idea.
I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Harmonic pattern.
We are still in an uptrend and probably we see a significant decline toward the Crab support line in the Next Weeks.
AAPL Resistance and Support Levels Is shown in this chart.
GOOD Luck
Apple - gunning for last leg of rebound towards 200? Apple NASDAQ:AAPL is in the up leg of phase B of the distribution mode. There would be a potential last leg of upside targeting 200 resistance before a selling. Yesterday strong buying pressure saw return of the bullish buyers.
Also, you may watch out for S165.00 support as a strong potential rebound.
🚩are raised when share buybacks bought at 28 PE multipleRed flags 🐻🚩 are raised when Mega Caps go overly aggressive with buybacks and increased dividends to with the Price to Earning Multiple being 28 . The company's high Debt to Equity ratio that is higher than 1.4 is quite high in a time of lowering sales
Apple ‘s announcement of its largest-ever $110 billion share buyback has sparked a debate among investors.
Warren Buffet has sent his message by offloading Apple shares.
Mediocre Results
This news came despite poor top-line results. Revenue fell 4.3% from $94.8 billion a year ago to $90.7 billion for the quarter ending March 31, 2024. Moreover, its operating income was down 1.48% to $27.9 billion.
Are you shorting?
We have set out FIB downside price targets
$APPLE - Lickely to visit 155 usd?We wake up with the news that Warren Buffet has sold a grand part of his $APPLE shares. Looking at the graph, the price has "casually" printed several bearish patterns and divergences, and it's currently potentially reacting to the 0.709 fibo of the bearish pullback, in order to look... lower prices?
A double top with bearish divergence is a very strong bear signal, I guess bulls will let the price go lower until around 152-155 usd that is a high demand zone and where the Weekly EMA 200 passes through.
Let's see how it goes.
Curious fact: Warrent Buffet sold almost 30% of his $APPLE shares since the start of the year. The price did the second top on December 2023, so Warren did a perfect move from a trader technical point of view.
Apple UpdateAs y'all know, I entered a position of 10 puts BTO in Apple on Friday. Price has been following/hitting my target boxes for some time now. We have a clear 3-wave move into this latest box, and it matches with my thought process on the S&P as a whole. Not to mention the 4HR MACD looks as if it is about to run out of steam. There is a chance we get another high up to the 0.786 retracement fib @ $192.17 before falling lower. The puts that I bought don't expire until August though, and the strike is right ABOVE the 1.0 extension down. This means I have plenty of time left on them, and if my count is right, is above the minimum price should drop too. If price ends at the 1.618, which is very common, then it should drop to $136.21. That's almost $20 below my strike price. Needless to say, I feel I am very well positioned for the upcoming drop.
AAPL - out of the chop zone, are we out of the woods?AAPL - got out of the 170-180 chop.
It's sitting right in the gap from mid-February and that can act like a resistance.
I'd like it to stay above 100 and 200SMA around 180 and not fall below.
Below I'd be out.
AAPL Trigger first Slow Turtle Buy
Triggers first Slow Turtle in 2024.
Gap Up breaks above 180 and key EMA lines.
Its now become Bullish but resisted by Downtrend line
Take note on AAPL price structure where it will do a pit stop at every 10$, ie 170, 180, 190, 200
MCDX Retailer (Selling Volume) is now become insignificant (0%) while Banker (Buying Volume) starting to show up with weak 1%.
Note : Historically, AAPL shows relatively higher chances of rally even with 1% Banker detected.
FiFT Spike after show sign of Bullish Divergence (i.e Price showing lower low while FiFT making Higher Low)
Summary
It is now BULLISH but not yet uptrend. Other volume parameters (MCDX and FiFT) looks good.
Look for BoD around 180 zone or wait for breaks above Trendline and Retest
APPL could repeat previous trend of strong weekly RSI reversalsApple has in the past six years had very strong reversals from oversold RSI on the weekly timeframe. The last four since 2020 were as such:
Feb 20 - Mar 20
82 > 54 > 100 (85% return low to high)
Jan 22 - May 22
182 > 128 > 175 (40% low to high)
Aug 22 - Jan 23
177 > 123 > 199 (61% low to high)
Dec 23 - ???
197 > 165 > ???
We have last shown a strong support at 165 formed in October 2023. I am expecting Apple to test this support and either come to 160 or go on a very strong push up.
The catalysts to support this movement include earnings on May 2nd, as well as the earnings reports for much of big tech from April 22 - 26. WWDC is expected to be a very big one for Apple. AI is confirmed to be a large point of excitement. If Apple can follow through on delivering something that can be shown to provide a fresh take on their products that will make it hard for current users to not upgrade, than we could see the largest cycle of the iPhone ever seen.
Price target for Apple sits at 250 EOY, with 200 reached by this summer for WWDC.
Positions:
225 Apple shares at 181 average
37 235 Call contracts for Jan 17 2024
3 215 Call contracts for Jan 17 2024
Apple updateApple buy stop just started to run,I will be looking for more opportunities to open more buys after retest,n I wish you all the best n the patience to wait for more reward.
AAPL Apple Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AAPL before reaching all time high:
or sold the beginning of the retracement:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 177.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-3,
for a premium of approximately $2.36.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Can AI Be the iPhone's New Ace in the Hole?Apple, the tech giant synonymous with innovation, has faced a slump in iPhone sales. A recent report showed a 10.5% year-over-year decline, raising concerns among investors and analysts. However, a glimmer of hope emerges with Apple's growing focus on Artificial Intelligence (AI). Analysts are increasingly optimistic that these "nascent" AI offerings could be the key to reigniting iPhone sales.
The smartphone market has become increasingly saturated. Consumers are holding onto their devices for longer periods, with incremental upgrades failing to excite. Apple needs a game-changer, a feature so compelling that it compels users to upgrade. AI has the potential to be that difference-maker.
Here's how AI could breathe new life into iPhone sales:
• Personalized Experiences: AI can personalize the iPhone experience to an unprecedented level. Imagine an intelligent assistant that anticipates your needs, proactively adjusts settings, and curates content based on your preferences. This level of customization could make the iPhone feel like an extension of yourself, fostering a stronger connection with the device.
• Smarter Camera Features: AI can revolutionize smartphone photography. Advanced image recognition could remove unwanted objects from photos in real-time, suggest optimal composition based on the scene, and even enhance low-light shots. Such features would not only elevate photo quality but also simplify the process, making professional-looking photos accessible to everyone.
• Enhanced Security and Privacy: Security breaches and privacy concerns are major pain points for smartphone users. AI can play a crucial role in safeguarding user data. Imagine facial recognition that adapts to changes in your appearance or voice recognition that discerns between authorized and unauthorized users. Coupled with on-device processing of sensitive data, AI could make iPhones the most secure smartphones on the market.
• Voice Assistant Revolution: Siri, Apple's current voice assistant, faces stiff competition from Google Assistant and Amazon Alexa. AI advancements could transform Siri into a truly intelligent companion. Imagine a voice assistant that understands complex questions, engages in natural conversations, and seamlessly integrates with other smart home devices. This would not only boost user convenience but also position the iPhone as the central hub of the smart home ecosystem.
• Augmented Reality (AR) Applications: AI can be the driving force behind innovative AR experiences. Imagine using your iPhone to overlay furniture virtually in your living room to see how it looks before you buy it. Or, perhaps utilizing AI-powered translations in real-time during conversations abroad. Such AR applications, powered by AI, could unlock a whole new realm of possibilities for iPhone users.
Of course, challenges remain. Integrating complex AI features requires significant processing power, which could strain battery life. Additionally, ensuring user privacy while leveraging AI capabilities is paramount. Apple must strike a delicate balance between innovation and user trust.
Despite these challenges, the potential benefits are undeniable. By harnessing the power of AI, Apple can create a truly intelligent and personalized iPhone experience. This, in turn, could reignite consumer interest and propel iPhone sales back to new heights.
The success of this strategy hinges on Apple's ability to execute. They must develop robust AI features that are not just gimmicks but genuinely enhance the user experience. If Apple can achieve this, the iPhone might just reclaim its position as the most coveted smartphone on the market, breathing life back into sales and solidifying Apple's reputation as a leader in cutting-edge technology.
AAPL NASDAQ US MARKETS GANN ANALYSIS 04 MAY 2024...Apple share has been doing rounds between 168 and 198 from 19 Apr 2023 and recently 24 Apr 2024. So whole year we have seen the trading range where we got 2 up and 2 down moves in this trading range. Trading this range we coud hve reduced the cost of holding by 30 multiplied by 4 times which is 120 points with the current price at 183 odd. The holding cost rediced to 63 USD after collecting 120 USD in 1 year trading it on Gann Levels.
W. D. Gann in one of the books has mentioned the cycle of 24 points. Now 168 is 24x7 cycle which is very near the odd square of 13. So after 168 comes 192 adding 24 points which is important for Apple share. So here 180 becomes important on it at 50% level. Next above 180 price next 50% level resistance is 204. We have made a high at 199.62 yet to cross to 200 mark. So Apple faces resistance at 204 to be watched henceforth.
Chart show two important levels at 168.25 and 197.63. The trend level to attempt the high of 199.62 is 182.94. Momentum can be seen only above this level at current price. We have price and time squaring level at 183 on Apple share. So watch critically at 183 the price action ahead.
Happy Trading !!!
Apple: "Buy the dip " in short term?Hi Traders!
On the daily time frame NASDAQ:AAPL has completed an important bullish structure and it is currently working on a corrective structure on the intraday chart. That said, in our view, Apple will trigger a bullish corrective structure in the near term, with ABC Pattern or a harmonic structure. With this in mind, our view is bullish with “Buy The Dip” with Target 1 around 180 area.
Trade with care
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