(Daytring) APPL quickly trade1. Premarket created a support line
2. Sma 200,50 is here
3. Price goes up in the moring just pull back to retest.
=> entry. Take profit whenever i feel good
APC trade ideas
Breaking out!The price breaks through the purple resistance and is preparing to start an upward movement.
A compression triangle formation is taking shape, with the lows resting on the underlying purple trendline.
At $203.3, the weekly 100-period simple moving average (SMA100, green line) is located. A close above this level would be an important confirmation of the bullish reversal.
AAPL can we hit 260?
Appears we are making a correction down to the levels of 208 then if that does not hold 205 with a possible drive up to the 260.
Question is are we going drive deeper with the correction ?
Be Careful folks this is a wild one
Trade Smarter Live Better
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Apple May Dip to $203 FVG Before Resuming UptrendFenzoFx—AAPL (Apple) is bullish, testing the $210.0 resistance while Stochastic warns of an overbought market.
A dip to the bullish FVG at $203.0 is likely before the uptrend resumes.
$AAPL Long Setup – Range Breakout Potential with Tight RiskApple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is finally showing signs of strength after a prolonged sideways range. Price is attempting to break above the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart while MACD is starting to curve upward—indicating a potential shift in momentum. After holding the $190–$200 zone as support for months, this move above $200 could trigger a short-term breakout toward the $220–$226 levels.
The current setup has a clean structure with a 4.27 risk/reward ratio:
Entry: $200.30
Stop: $195.07 (below recent range lows)
Target: $222.61 (prior high + pivot cluster)
If this move holds, it could mark the start of a trend reversal in Apple following months of chop. Solid setup for a 2–4 week swing trade or as part of a core position rebuild.
Let me know if you're playing this one or waiting for confirmation above $208.
AAPL Options Sentiment (GEX) – Gamma Exposure Analysis* Gamma Wall / Call Resistance is forming between 213.55 – 216.23, aligning with major GEX levels (GEX7/8) and 2nd/3rd Call Walls. That area is a potential profit-taking zone or rejection spot for bulls if tested again.
* High Volume Level (HVL) at 202.5 is marked with strong support (from the green tag), meaning sellers must break below that level with force for a bearish continuation.
* Below that, we have layered PUT support walls at 200 and 195, reinforcing 198–202 as a major demand zone.
* Current IVR: 27.6, IVx avg: 31.4 — fairly low, suggesting neutral-to-slightly-bearish premium pricing.
* PUTs 3% weighted dominance also implies defensive positioning, but not aggressively bearish.
🔍 Options Insight:
If price stays under 213 and fails to reclaim 212.55–213.55 zone, the bias is toward a grind back toward 205–202.5.
Watch for volatility around July 11 expiration — if 202.5 fails, 200 strike puts may surge.
📈 Potential Options Trade Setup:
* Bearish setup (if rejection confirmed below 213):
* Entry: Near 212.5
* Target: 202.5
* PUT: July 12 or 19 $205P or $202.5P
* Bullish recovery scenario:
* Entry: Above 213.55 with strength
* Target: 216+
* CALL: July 12 $215C for short-term squeeze play
AAPL 1-Hour Chart – Price Action & Structure
* Break of Structure (BOS) occurred above 212.55 but was not sustained.
* Price is now pulling back from the mid-supply zone (purple box) and is attempting to hold above 209 support.
* Trendline support broken, and now retesting from below — suggesting a weakening trend unless 213 is reclaimed quickly.
* Major support at 199.26 aligns with a previous CHoCH zone, forming a clean demand zone.
* Volume is fading slightly on this decline, but there’s no strong absorption yet.
🧠 Intraday Bias Suggestion:
If AAPL can't reclaim 212.5–213 on bounce, the market may pull toward the HVL zone (205–202.5).
However, if we get a reclaim of 213.5 with volume, the trendline flip becomes bullish again — target 215–216.
Summary Recommendations
* For Options Traders:
* Favor PUT debit spreads or single directional PUTs if price stays below 212.5.
* Avoid naked CALLs until a break above 213.5 confirms strength.
* IV is low — good time to buy premium, not sell it.
* For Stock Traders (Intraday or Swing):
* Consider shorting pops into 213 with stop above 215.
* Look for long entries near 202.5–200 with tight stops if structure holds.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
Update on the markets 7/7/2025SPY is at support after a down day, I expect a bit of a bounce overnight, but maybe not. USOIL is looking better, as Well as GOld. NG not really going anywhere yet. BTC still looks like it will drop.
How Sell Side Institutions Move Price: BuybacksThere are Buy Side Institutions, aka Dark Pools, and there are Sell Side Institutions, the Money Center Banks and Giant Financial Services companies. These two groups dominate the market activity and move price in entirely different ways and for entirely different reasons.
Sell Side Institutions are short-term TRADERS. They are not allowed, nor do they wish, to hold stocks for the long term. The Sell Side trades stocks and has the most experienced, most talented, and most sophisticated floor traders in the world.
Buy Side Dark Pools have floor traders as well but they are strictly long-term investment companies managing the 401ks, pension funds, ETF long-term investments on behalf of the Middle Class of America and, in some instances, other nations.
Sell Side Institutions may buy a stock and hold for a few weeks or months but strictly for the short-term profits.
The Sell Side are also the Banks of Record who do the BUYBACKS on behalf of the Corporation which has made the decision by the Corporation's Board of Directors to do a buyback program, which tend to last many months or longer. Corporations do not have stock traders on staff. So the Bank of Record does the actual buying of the shares of stock.
The reasons for doing a Buyback:
To lower the outstanding shares which can create some momentum runs during high buying demand from retail groups and other investors.
Buybacks are intended to move price UPWARD in runs. The price range is established by the corporation. The runs are created by the Bank of Record.
Buybacks also increase dividend yields for long term investors, including pension fund investors.
NASDAQ:AAPL has a mega buyback that was approved in May but has just started now.
Buybacks can be a great strategy for trading stocks this year as many corporations will be doing buybacks due to the reduction of their taxes and more benefits to corporations.
Now is the time to start watching for buyback runs.
Apple Stock in 10 years perspective: Stability or New Heights?The future of Apple stock remains a hot topic among investors and analysts. For today’s July, the company’s market capitalization has climbed to $3 trillion, up from $2.9 trillion (a year ago, on May 2024). But can this tech giant continue to deliver significant returns for shareholders over the next decade? Let’s take a quick look on it.
AI’s Take on the Future
Recently, ChatGPT highlighted Apple NASDAQ:AAPL as a top contender among stocks poised to generate substantial wealth by 2035, outranking peers like Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA . The prediction has sparked curiosity, but what do real-world experts think?
Analyst Perspectives: Strengths and Challenges
Opinions on Apple’s outlook vary. On one hand, the company boasts a robust financial foundation, steady revenue from subscriptions, and substantial cash reserves. On the other hand, some analysts argue that its current share price is overstretched. Apple’s forward P/E ratio—based on projected earnings for the next 12 months—stands at 27, compared to the S&P 500’s near 22, suggesting investors are paying a premium for future growth.
Additionally, Apple faces mounting competition and regulatory pressures. The key question is whether it can maintain its edge in a fast-evolving tech industry.
Services and Devices
In recent years, Apple has leaned heavily into services like subscriptions and digital platforms, delivering high-margin and recurring revenue. Yet, its core business still hinges on device sales, particularly the well-known iPhone. Without groundbreaking new products, the company risks getting stuck in a cycle of incremental updates, potentially slowing its growth trajectory.
Financial Resilience
Despite these challenges, Apple’s financial metrics remain impressive. Its market cap has risen to $3 trillion, and it continues to generate significant free cash flow. The company also offers modest dividends, making it attractive for those people, who prefer and seek stable returns.
What to Expect from Apple by 2035?
Apple stands as one of the most dependable long-term investments, but we shouldn’t expect the explosive growth, just like it was at their early years. Of course iconic brand, loyal customer base, and adaptability— is a strong side and support its stability. But the high share price, competitive pressures, and reliance on certain hardware components may limit and slow down its upside.
Can Apple make you wealthy by 2035? It depends on your goals, risk tolerance and the size of your investment. For those seeking stability and modest gains, Apple is a solid pick. But if you’re chasing rapid wealth, you might need to look elsewhere for higher-risk opportunities.
Apple: Next Week’s Long Trade Opportunity with Upside PotentialCurrent Price: $213.55
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $225
- T2 = $240
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $210
- S2 = $200
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Apple.
**Key Insights:**
Apple continues to lead the technology sector with sustained bullish momentum. Strong seasonal trends averaging 13.4% gains during July and August further underscore its upside potential. AI-driven product developments and its role in mega-cap leadership positions it for ongoing strength, though near-term overextension risks persist.
**Recent Performance:**
Apple gained 6% last week, spotlighting its dominance among mega-cap stocks as a leader of the broader tech rally. While the "Magnificent 7" stocks, including Nvidia and Tesla, showed mixed signals, Apple has preserved relative strength and upward momentum.
**Expert Analysis:**
Portfolio managers have expressed confidence in Apple as part of the "big three" tech stocks, favoring its innovation and operational strategies despite valuation concerns. The mixed sentiment, with mentions of potential put activity, suggests cautious optimism, but its breakout above $213 highlights stronger short-term opportunities.
**News Impact:**
Apple’s AI initiatives, such as outsourcing Siri's development, contribute positively to market sentiment. Additionally, anticipation of earnings season strength in late July adds weight to bullish strategies. As mega-cap stocks maintain leadership, Apple’s pivot into AI-driven innovation reinforces its critical role in technological advancement.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on robust performance trends, seasonal advantages, and a supportive macro backdrop, a LONG position on Apple offers strong upside potential with defined risk parameters.
AAAPL: Updated Outlook and Best Level to BUY/HOLD 70% gains________________________________________
Apple Outlook: July 2025–Q1 2026
After peaking near $200 in late May, Apple (AAPL) remains under correction territory despite pockets of resilience, closing July around $193. The current correction is projected to persist until Q1 2026, as global macro and policy headwinds weigh on the broader tech sector. Technicals suggest AAPL could find its cycle low between Q3 and Q4 2025, potentially setting the stage for a renewed bull run into late 2026. Pullback until 170/175 USD. 📉
Catalysts Shaping Apple’s Stock Price in 2025–26
1. AI Integration and Apple Intelligence
Strength: 9/10
The roll-out of on-device Apple Intelligence features—including an upgraded Siri, ChatGPT integrations, and generative AI tools—continues to build anticipation for a major iPhone upgrade supercycle. Initial adoption has been strong, but broader impact will hinge on Q4 developer and enterprise feedback. 🤖
2. Services Segment Growth
Strength: 8.5/10
Apple’s Services business (App Store, iCloud, Apple Music, AI-powered subscriptions) is projected to post double-digit growth into Q4 2025, with consensus revenue estimates at $25–27B for the quarter. Analysts see upside from new AI-driven service bundles, which could add $5–8B in annualized revenue by 2026. 💡
3. Gross Margin Expansion & Cost Efficiencies
Strength: 8/10
Apple’s gross margin is forecast to improve by up to 60 basis points in Q4 2025 as the product mix tilts toward higher-margin services, and as component costs ease. Operational efficiencies from supply-chain automation may further cushion profit margins amid macro uncertainty. 📊
4. iPhone 17 Product Cycle
Strength: 7.5/10
The iPhone 17 lineup—rumored to include advanced polymer batteries and potential foldable form factors—is expected to launch Q4 2025, giving Apple a competitive hardware edge versus Android rivals. Early channel checks point to pent-up demand, though upgrade rates may lag previous cycles due to consumer caution. 📱
5. Vision Pro & Hardware Diversification
Strength: 7/10
Next-gen Vision Pro headsets and new AR/VR devices, boosted by Apple Intelligence, are expected to drive incremental growth in Q4 2025. However, high price points and limited mainstream adoption keep near-term impact contained. 🥽
6. Share Buybacks & Dividend Policy
Strength: 7/10
Apple’s $110B share buyback authorization and steady dividend growth provide valuation support, but recent market volatility has prompted a more cautious pace of repurchases. Yield-seeking investors are watching closely for any pivot in capital return policy if macro pressures persist. 💵
7. Supply Chain & Trade Policy Risks
Strength: 6.5/10
Escalating U.S.–China trade tensions—including the risk of expanded tariffs or tech export bans—remain a top concern. Apple is accelerating its assembly shift toward India and Vietnam to diversify risk, but any new policy shocks in Q4 could hit margins and unit volumes. 🌏
8. Regulatory & Antitrust Pressures
Strength: 6/10
The EU’s Digital Markets Act and potential U.S. antitrust probes could force Apple to further open up its iOS ecosystem by year-end, potentially capping Services revenue growth and adding compliance costs. ⚖️
9. Macro & Interest-Rate Environment
Strength: 5/10
With the Fed signaling “higher for longer” rates through mid-2026, tech sector valuations remain under pressure. Analysts see this limiting multiple expansion even if EPS growth resumes in late 2025. 📈
10. Smartphone Market Competition
Strength: 5/10
Aggressive pricing and innovation from Samsung and Chinese OEMs are intensifying competitive pressures, especially in emerging markets. Apple’s share gains are likely to slow until the macro environment improves and new hardware cycles fully materialize. 🥊
________________________________________
Analyst Projections for Q4 2025:
• Consensus Revenue: $108–112B (up ~4% YoY)
• EPS Estimate: $2.30–$2.42
• Gross Margin: 45–46%
• iPhone Unit Growth: 2–3%
• Services Revenue: $25–27B
Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan maintain “Overweight” ratings, but expect rangebound performance until macro and trade uncertainty clears. Most price targets for Q4 2025 hover between $195–$215, with upside potential post-correction into 2026. 📊
________________________________________
Analyst / Firm Date Rating Price Target (USD)
Barclays 06/24/2025 – 173 ()
Jefferies (E. Lee) 07/01/2025 Hold (Upgraded) 188.32
UBS (D. Vogt) 07/03/2025 – 210.00
J.P. Morgan (S. Chatterjee) 06/26/2025 Overweight 230.00
Morgan Stanley (E. Woodring) 03/12/2025 Overweight 252.00
Evercore ISI 01/31/2025 – 260.00
Redburn Partners 01/31/2025 – 230.00
D.A. Davidson (G. Luria) 05/02/2025 – 250.00
TradingView Consensus (avg) – Consensus 228.98
TipRanks Consensus (avg over 3mo) – Consensus 226.36
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 7/7Apple has faced prolonged downward pressure from bearish investors. Despite its best efforts and some dips, the stock has steadily maintained a baseline price of 200 USD. The flag pattern required some adjustments along its path to break out, primarily due to geopolitical issues and economic variables. Ultimately, Apple broke out to the upside in the week of June 30th, as predicted in my earlier posts. This breakout resulted from end-of-Q2/H1 sell pressure, delivering a 7.56% gain or 15 USD. This is a very bullish sign for Apple, and with the tailwinds forming for September product releases, we can expect further gains as traders return and volume increases.
If Apple follows its historical profit trajectory (see pink line), we could see a new all-time high (ATH) in the region of 270 USD in September. The green resistance and support levels are highlighted, and I may use these to adjust my position, considering whether to short or go long once confirmation is established on the daily timeframe.
Apple has significantly underperformed compared to the other Magnificent 7 stocks, but I don’t believe it’s a company you should bet against in the current climate. With a slow rollout of AI and recent statements from Apple, they may not always be first to market, but they generally execute well. The remarks regarding Sony, Samsung, and Netflix by Apple were very revealing and demonstrate a solid long-term strategy. However, there may be some bumps along the way as they work toward their goals, potentially involving acquisitions.
The fear spread in the media is similar to the FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) often associated with Bitcoin, and this is typically a good time to buy. Remember the saying: if retail investors miss the boat, it’s gone, but if institutions miss it, they often bring the boat back.
While this is not financial advice, based on the green weekly candle, it's hard not to pay attention, and Apple may now have a very positive year ahead! Especially with the weakening dollar and reports stating that this will benefit them greatly.
My large long position is still intact, and my target price will depend on how we manage supports and resistances. I am looking to take profits at over 260 USD.
Apple UpdateThe way this pattern has been moving is very indicative of a B wave. It has been complex and very choppy. Needless to say, I have removed the lower target box from the chart and believe we should be headed to the upper larger target box from here. It appears, to my eyes, that price is within the micro-wave 3 of (c) of B. Once B completes, price should be headed to the $150-$110 area to complete minor wave C. This won't happen overnight but will take time. Be patient as these things can take a while.
Apple Is Climbing the Fibonacci Channel Ladder – Step 5 Ahead?On the monthly chart, Apple (AAPL) is steadily moving within a well-defined ascending Fibonacci channel, like climbing a ladder — step by step.
The price is currently testing Step 4 , a zone that has acted as a strong resistance barrier.
Despite the pressure here, the structure still appears bullish, and even a minor pullback might simply be a pause before the next move.
If momentum picks up, we could soon see a breakout toward the next step — targeting 234 at Step 5.
The trend remains technically intact unless the channel is broken, and the overall formation still leans toward continuation.
Apple's (AAPL) 2009 Long-Term Trendline BounceTechnicals:
After a daily a-b-c to long-term horizontal trendline support, when we zoom out, we can see Apple's 2009 Long-Term Trendline Bounce.
Monthly Chart:
APPLE Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 213.58
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 208.03
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$AAPL On The Run? NASDAQ:AAPL breaking out of the stage 1 and entering a stage 2 breakout back to prior support and resistance zones.
RSI is a little hot at 67.52 so it may trade sideways to allow a cooling off phase before grinding higher to reach its value. News is that it is investing in the USA.
Stop loss would be a trailing stop loss of $4.48.
AAPL LONG 05/07/2025Price has been moving inside a multi-year bullish tunnel, price has also broken a minor resistance level of 207$ with a nice bullish engulfing candle with some increase in volume on the last few daily candles.
Analysis HTF - Weekly
execution LTF - Weekly
Candle pattern - Bullish engulfing
Acceleration - Check
Volume - Check
Structure - Check
Moving average - X
Base rate - 70%(to hit stop loss)/30% to succeed
With the acceleration, volume pattern and strong multi year structure I suggest a base rate of 55%/45%(to succeed)
Good luck
APPLE: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
APPLE
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short APPLE
Entry - 213.58
Sl - 217.99
Tp - 204.49
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Watch OutIf it breaks the 214 supply zone the next one to break is the 224 zone. I know most people would put stop loss around 193. However, that's where my smart money friend places his huge buy orders. He calls it the demand zone. Not financial advice.
Apple: More Room to RunWe still allow more room for Apple’s magenta wave (B) to extend upward before wave (C) takes over, pulling the stock toward the low of green wave . Thereafter, green wave should start (above $168) and initiate the next advance, lifting the stock toward resistance at $260.10. A break below $168, however, would activate our alternative scenario, in which blue wave alt.(IV) targets a deeper low (32% probability).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Light at the end of the Tunnel for AAPLI have been tracking this pattern that NASDAQ:AAPL started forming in April for some time now.
This is a classic symmetrical triangle formation with significant consolidation in the last trading sessions. This patterns typically lead to a breakout in either direction, and since price is near the apex, a breakout is imminent within 1–3 trading sessions.
Current Price: $201.60 (slightly above the key $201 support/resistance zone).
Key Support: $198.62 (recent higher low).
Major Support: $189.10 (multi-month low).
Resistance Zone: $202.30 (pre-market), then $210.45 (EMA 200/50 convergence).
EMA 50/200 Cross: Both EMAs are converging at ~$210.45, which has become a significant resistance ceiling.
Typically, this is bearish when price is below both 50 and 200 EMA. However, the MACD and RSI indicators both support an imminent bullish move forming with an increase in volume.
With headwinds from antitrust issues in the EU and U.S. I wont be surprised if this breaks out significantly upwards with some positive news acting as the catalyst.
The conservative trader will place a straddle aiming for $210.45 (EMA resistance) upside and but $192–194 (prior demand zone) downside.
The riskier and probably more rewarding bet would be to place a call aiming for the $218-$224 resistance zone after this breaks $202.30
