$VRA, one more retest of $6-7 range, sets up long-term uptrend$VRA has been in a bear market for the last 9-10 years. As with many value stocks, it's looking primed for a trend reversal.
It looks like we should get one more retest of the lows at $6.16-$7.67 in April-May which should setup the chance to break out of the downtrend channel.
Upside = Moon
ELI trade ideas
VRA - Small downside, Large upsdie, bouncing on oversold RSI. I've been watching this one for a few days. It historically bounces off the 35% - 25% RSI mark, and is approaching 30% right now with a turn upwards starting - You can see it in the MACD as well as the momentum and moving average are about to cross. I am entering 11/20/2020 $5 calls with stop losses at $4.80 and $4.51. With price targets at $7.60, $8.40, and $10.60. Let me know your thoughts!
Price action & Psychology - Resistance, consolid., continuationHello !
Key points :
Resistance broken on high volume and wide range candles
Consolidation phase and support hold
Huge price rejection on the hourly + high volume
Relative strength (compared to today's market conditions)
I've left some charting from the previous trade on this analysis, to get a context. On the previous analysis, we said that basically, what happens after an "ABCD" pattern, is that the "D" makes a new low (depending on what chart you're looking at it must not be an all-time low). So we're entering a new trend. As we know, stocks nearly always move in waves (higher highs, higher lows when uptrending, reverse for downtrending).
What happens here, is that the stock needs some room to "breathe" before resuming the trend. Some people are taking profits (like I did yesterday), others are joining the party, while others wait on the sidelines.
BUT , there's still a "healthy" balance between the different actors, otherwise, if the conviction was gone or there would have been enough sellers to absorb the buy orders, the stock would have reversed right away.
The 2 reasons for a stock price (or any other security) to go up (reverse for down)
Fundamentally, there are 2 reasons :
There are not enough sellers to absorb buy orders (buyers > sellers)
Traders/investors think that the stock is cheap (they have the belief that the stock will go up in the future, i.e. the conviction)
***Disclaimer : This is not an advice to buy the stock. Please, be aware that trading is a matter of probabilities, it takes only ONE trader to deny your trade.***
Thanks for reading and if you have suggestions or wanna discuss the idea, just leave a comment, I'll be happy to answer.
Price action & Psychology - ABCD Pattern, what's next ?Hello !
Key points :
New trend starting after ABCD pattern
First pullback occuring on 50% retracement
Volume on uptrend is higher than downtrend
Consolidation taking place
ABCD Pattern
This isn't a quite regular ABCD pattern, even though the time between AB and CD is almost equal (or near). What I look for when trading this pattern, is either the pattern himself (buying the "D", or the "new low") or what happens after it. In most cases the "D" from the pattern marks the start of a new trend.
Volume & first pullback
You can see that the volume that made the stock go up (from the "D") is way higher than the volume that formed the pullback. Some traders toke profits while others sold for a losing trade because they bought too late (greed).
Consolidation
Recognize a consolidation :
1) Narrow range
2) Low volume
3) Support zone
***Disclaimer : This is not an advice to buy the stock.***
Thanks for reading and if you have suggestions or wanna discuss the idea, just leave a comment, I'll be happy to answer.
$VRA Golden Cross in Vera Bradley Entry level $11.80 = Target price $13.25 = Stop loss $11.45
Golden cross buy signal complete.
Indicators all bullish.
Long term channel well respected, next move to the top.
Short interest 8%.
Company profile
Vera Bradley, Inc. designs, produces, markets and retails accessories for women. Its products include handbags, accessories and travel and leisure items. The company operates through two segments: Direct and Indirect. The Direct segment consists of the sales of Vera Bradley products through full-price and outlet stores. The Indirect segment handles the sales of Vera Bradley products to specialty retailers, which are located in the United States. It also offers accessories, which includes wallets, wristlets, eyeglass cases, cosmetics cases, and paper and gift products. The company was founded by Barbara Bradley Baekgaard and Patricia R. Miller in 1982 and is headquartered in Roanoke, IN.
$VRA Vera Bradley trade setupEntry level $11.50 = Target price $12.39 = Stop loss $11.25
8.78 % short interest.
24.40 P/E ratio
Company profile
Vera Bradley, Inc. designs, produces, markets and retails accessories for women. Its products include handbags, accessories and travel and leisure items. The company operates through two segments: Direct and Indirect. The Direct segment consists of the sales of Vera Bradley products through full-price and outlet stores. The Indirect segment handles the sales of Vera Bradley products to specialty retailers, which are located in the United States. It also offers accessories, which includes wallets, wristlets, eyeglass cases, cosmetics cases, and paper and gift products. The company was founded by Barbara Bradley Baekgaard and Patricia R. Miller in 1982 and is headquartered in Roanoke, IN.