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MSF trade ideas

IS THIS MAG7 DARLING ABOUT TO CRASH?!NASDAQ:MSFT 🔥 IS NASDAQ:MSFT ABOUT TO FALL OVER 21%?! 🔥 Let's not panic yet, but Microsoft's weekly charts are flashing some intriguing signals. Here’s the lowdown: As long as NASDAQ:MSFT stays within its symmetrical pattern, we’re in the clear. But if it breaks downward, we’re looking at a potential 6% drop from the Volume profile shelf and possibly a dangerous 22% plunge, breaking the 2024 Head & Shoulders pattern. Enter the "Low Five Setup"—the bearish counterpart to my "High Five Setup." Key factors to watch: - Williams %R: Lower High - MACD: Dangerously close to crossing below the zero line (BEARISH) - RSI: Below RSI MA with lower highs, at 46—lots of room before oversold - Trend: Lower high, red through yellow downward move indicating a downtrend on the weekly chart Microsoft has been Wall Street’s golden goose, untouched by the FUD that hit the MAG7 stocks. Apple had China FUD, Tesla faced the ELON BAD FUD, Google with AI SEARCH FUD, Amazon with spending and margins FUD, Meta with metaverse spending FUD, and Nvidia with growth concerns FUD. But as Willy Wonka taught us, every golden goose lays a bad egg sometimes. This is a weekly chart setup, so it will take time to play out. No one's immune to Wall Street’s FUD wrath, not even Microsoft. We shall see what happens... P.S. I’m not in this name yet—just putting it on your radar. We’re early to the party, just like I always am with my setups. If you’re still here, you value solid, well-thought-out market analysis. Props to you! Have a great Sunday, friends! 👊 Not Financial Advice #HighFiveSetup #LowFiveSetup
NASDAQ:MSFT
by RonnieV29
Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings ReportMicrosoft (MSFT) Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings Report On 9 October, our analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) suggested that the stock price: → Was forming an ascending channel (shown in blue on the chart); → Could see a rebound from its lower boundary (indicated by an arrow). Since then, the price indeed moved upward from this support around the $411 level, even surpassing $437. However, following Microsoft’s Q3 earnings report released post-market yesterday, the share price faced heightened volatility. In the Q3 report: → Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.30, exceeding the expected $3.10; → Gross revenue was $65.58 billion, also above the forecasted $64.57 billion. Despite these positive figures, MSFT shares saw a decline due to high volatility during after-hours trading, reaching $444 at one point and then falling to around $410. This drop may be due to Microsoft’s rising expenses. As reported by The Wall Street Journal, Microsoft’s capital expenditures in 2024 have hit $53 billion (about 28% of revenue), a substantial increase from the 12% average of revenue allocated to capital costs between 2014 and 2023. As of pre-market trading today, MSFT is trading around $417 (approximately -4% from yesterday’s close), likely setting the opening level for today’s main session. Today’s technical analysis of MSFT suggests that the opening may see a bearish gap, potentially pushing MSFT’s price toward the lower boundary of the ascending blue channel, where a new consensus between buyers and sellers could emerge. This sets up two scenarios: → Bulls may see an opportunity for another rebound; → Bears could aim for a breakdown of this key support level, with potential testing of the psychological $400 level. Analyst sentiment remains positive. According to TipRanks surveys: → 27 out of 30 analysts recommend buying MSFT shares; → The average 12-month target price for MSFT is $503. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
5
Microsoft (MSFT): Can Earnings Sustain the Trend Channel?With Microsoft set to report earnings, investors are keenly watching updates on AI-related spending, especially growth within Azure and Copilot, as well as broader financials. A significant focus will be on capital expenditures (Capex) for generative AI initiatives, expected to rise from $9.92 billion a year ago to an estimated $14.74 billion in this recent quarter. Beyond revenue and earnings, the market is waiting to see how these hefty investments are shaping the company’s growth trajectory. Technically, NASDAQ:MSFT continues to test the lower bound of its trend channel—a level that may weaken with repeated retests. The stock’s reaction to earnings will reveal if this support can hold. The formation suggests a potential head and shoulders pattern, particularly if NASDAQ:MSFT dips below the neckline support at $388 with declining volume. For now, we’re maintaining our cautious outlook. If Microsoft fails to hold its key support levels, it may confirm the bearish trend we’ve been observing. As always, we’ll provide updates if any significant developments occur after the earnings report.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by freeguy_by_wmc
Bullish on MSFT see which side it chooses on earnings!I spy a double bottom on the weekly. If MSFT can break above the neckline of this double bottom around 441, we can take it up to 468 (it’s previous ATH). I would expect a pull back or some basing here, but then see potential to create new high after. MSFT is currently holding above its downtrend line formed from July and September peaks. If it breaks down: I not looking to trade this to the downside unless it breaks the recent uptrend line around 415 - 420. Even so, I wouldn't expect a significant or long term decline. I personally would wait for the move up.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by emanuelaelias
MSFT Technical Analysis for Oct. 28, 2024Trend and Price Action: MSFT has seen a mix of upward and downward movements, with price consolidating near resistance levels. The trendline suggests some recent selling pressure as MSFT has started to pull back from its highs around $432.52. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Key resistance is around $432.52, where MSFT may face selling pressure. A strong breakout above this could signal further upside, potentially targeting $435. Support: Immediate support is around $427.70, and stronger support lies near $424.22 and $422.39. These levels could serve as buying zones if MSFT retraces. MACD Indicator: The MACD is currently showing a slight bearish tendency. If this continues, it may signal short-term downward pressure, aligning with the recent resistance level rejection. Volume: Volume appears moderate, indicating consolidation. If volume increases on a downward move, it could signal stronger selling pressure. Suggested Strategy Bullish Scenario: If MSFT breaks above $432.52 with volume, consider entering long, targeting $435, with stops below $430 for risk control. Bearish Scenario: If MSFT fails to break above resistance, consider short entries near $432 with targets at $427 or $424. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
2
MSFTMSFT broke up the daily trendline which was formed through the tops of the 5th July and the 19th September, but bulls did not manage to close above it this Friday. On the daily charts 100 EMA is above 200 EMA, as it is the same on the 30 mins TF, where the price fluctuates in the uptrend channel. Daily lower trendline is confirmed by third rejection and price going up from the support on the 16th October. With the upcoming earnings report I expect some volatility and potential buy setup forming near the 30 min channel support and daily trendline support in the price region of 415.70-418.70. I am ready to open long position at or around 417.90, with SL below daily trendline (but not below 412.75) with potential partial TP at the top of 30 min channel close to 435 and then at 442. If on daily TF MSFT closes above 443, that would signal potential rapid movement up and testing highs of 470, but I don't expect this to happen too soon.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Aitvaras007
Microsoft AI targeting $456 as Innovation Drives GrowthI made the post again because I didn't like how the chart looked. Microsoft is gaining bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $422 level. A breakout above the $441.85 resistance would confirm further upward movement, setting the stage for the stock to test the $468 weekly resistance. With a solid 5.05 risk-to-reward ratio, this setup offers a compelling opportunity for traders, while managing risk with a stop-loss at $416. Microsoft’s fundamentals continue to support its growth. Its dominant position in cloud computing through Azure, expansion in artificial intelligence with Copilot, and strong performance in enterprise software have solidified its role as a market leader. As demand for AI and cloud services grows, Microsoft’s diversified revenue streams position it well for sustained upside. With technical and fundamental strength behind it, MSFT appears primed to reach the $456 level and beyond in the near term. NASDAQ:MSFT
NASDAQ:MSFT
by The_Trading_Mechanic
Microsoft AI targeting $456 as Innovation Drives GrowthMicrosoft is gaining bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $422 level. A breakout above the $441.85 resistance would confirm further upward movement, setting the stage for the stock to test the $468 weekly resistance. With a solid 5.05 risk-to-reward ratio, this setup offers a compelling opportunity for traders, while managing risk with a stop-loss at $416. Microsoft’s fundamentals continue to support its growth. Its dominant position in cloud computing through Azure, expansion in artificial intelligence with Copilot, and strong performance in enterprise software have solidified its role as a market leader. As demand for AI and cloud services grows, Microsoft’s diversified revenue streams position it well for sustained upside. With technical and fundamental strength behind it, MSFT appears primed to reach the $456 level and beyond in the near term. NASDAQ:MSFT
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by The_Trading_Mechanic