SunsetToday the stock tried again to get a new top - successfully. But the top has been sold immediately! This week we have seen 3 windows. All of them are still open.
This jumping from window to window shows an overaware market, perhaps artificial(AI!) pumping.
The sale of the recent top is confirming my view.
I am selling.
NVD trade ideas
NVDA: Ascending triangle break, bull flag on S/R retestHey traders! I'm back and once again, I've spent almost the whole evening (lol) trying to figure out the odd, strange price action we've seen from NASDAQ:NVDA over the past few weeks, and especially today!
As we all know (I assume), Nvidia failed to disappoint on earnings once again, and we saw a HUGE gap up overnight, as far as up to the $143 mark. However, we soon began to see a dip. That's fair, as traders will likely sell and take profit.
However, the dip became a larger dip, and Nvidia finished the day basically at 3.2%. But it seems that the pullback may been pretty healthy.
Because as you can see from the chart, Nvidia has been forming an ascending triangle ever since the 14th May. That was after the sweet run it had prior to that. It has tested the £136-137 area as a major resistance line ever since until finally, a strong earnings report sent Nvidia above the line.
After the gap up, throughout the day, the stock went into a controlled, composed downward channel which what we like to call, a bull flag. This is taking into consideration market hours, not extended hours. This bull flag is bullish in its own way, but it is also a sign of a retest of the $136-137 resistance zone. This is officially a support zone now.
A successful retest from this support zone will cause a bounce, especially from the support trendline, and likely send the stock towards $140+, possibly extending its reach to $150 if broader market strength (Nasdaq) continues.
On the contrary, a dip below the support line and a crash below the red support trendline, would likely send the stock lower to $133 as next support.
As long as Nvidia maintains $136-137, the bulls are in control.
Note: Not financial advice. Please do your DD.
NVIDIA/USD 4 HR./ CORRECTIVE WAVE B NORTH IS LIKELY OVER!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 123! 2). Risk Assets are Weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline is intersecting with target fib. level 100% TOWARDS 123! 6). Corrective wave C is likely dropping to complete wave 4. 7). At the bottom of wave 4 we will look for a long (Buy) position!
NVDA roadmap of Support / Resistance levels going into Earnings
NVDA earnings soon that the entire world will be watching.
Plotted are key levels mapped by its Genesis and Covid fibs.
Look for the move to stop and rebound at one of these zones.
$ 140.35-141.09 is the first resistance above.
$ 148.64-150.04 is the All Time High resistance.
$ 122.25 is a Golden Covid fib for bulls to hold.
$ 111.63-113.56 is pretty much Bulls' Last Stand
See "Related Publications" links to the right ----------->>>>
for previous plots that played out EXACTLY.
.
Nvidia Update ahead of Quarterly results In this video I recap my previous Nvidia video where I anticipated a rangebound price action with the possibility of a new low for longs leading towards Quarterly earnings.
With the highly anticipated results only days away I outline the possibility for price to pull back into a really strong level of support for a possible long entry .
Tools used
TR Pocket
Fibonacci
Anchored VWAP
Volume Profile
Thankyou for your continued Support
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector.
The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence.
📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation.
🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows.
Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market.
Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140.
The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print.
🔴 Downside risk scenario:
In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support.
💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea
ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy.
Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option.
Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing:
-Support (squeeze zone) around $125
-Call resistance around $140
-A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150
These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive.
How would I personally start this:
Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops.
If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares.
Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium.
If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV.
👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession.
I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well.
💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
$NVDANASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings post-market tomorrow.
📈 Price climbing, but volume is fading — signs of weakening interest and a likely reversal.
⚠️ If $140 doesn’t break with tomorrow’s open, expecting a drop toward $124–$122 during the day.
📉 Further downside likely this week, with possible support forming around $115.
30-min chart included for context.
#NVDA #Stocks #Trading #Earnings #TechnicalAnalysis
Nvidia (NVDA) Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Nearing Its EndThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for NVIDIA (NVDA) indicates a bullish trend unfolding as an impulse structure since the low on April 21, 2025. From that low, the stock completed wave 1 at $111.92. The stock then followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2, which bottomed at $104.08. The subsequent rally in wave 3 displayed strong momentum, characterized by a nested impulse structure in a lesser degree. Within wave 3, the first sub-wave, wave ((i)), peaked at $115.40, with a brief dip in wave ((ii)) to $110.82. The powerful wave ((iii)) surged to $136.89, followed by a shallow pullback in wave ((iv)) to $132.65. The final leg, wave ((v)), concluded at $137.40, completing wave 3 on a higher degree.
The corrective wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag pattern. From the wave 3 peak, wave ((a)) declined to $130.59, wave ((b)) rebounded to $134.23, and wave ((c)) completed the pullback at $127.80, finalizing wave 4. NVIDIA has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave 5. As long as the pivot low at $104.08 holds, the stock is expected to extend higher in wave 5, completing the cycle from the April 21 low. Following this, a larger-degree three-wave pullback is anticipated, offering a potential pause in the bullish trend.
What’s Happening with Nvidia (NVDA) Ahead of Earnings?What’s Happening with Nvidia (NVDA) Ahead of Earnings?
After an extended weekend due to Veterans Day in the US (observed on Monday), financial markets are returning to active trading. The highlight of the week will be Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings report, scheduled for Wednesday after the close of the main trading session.
What You Need to Know Ahead of Nvidia’s Earnings
According to media reports, market participants are concerned about:
→ escalating trade tensions between the US and China;
→ increasing competition;
→ Nvidia’s premium pricing at a time when the GPU market is shifting towards more affordable alternatives;
→ downward revisions to earnings per share, which some interpret as a sign that Nvidia’s report may fall short of expectations.
On the other hand, Reuters reports that Nvidia is set to unveil a new processor that:
→ is designed specifically for AI applications;
→ is based on the Blackwell architecture;
→ will not be subject to US export restrictions on chips sent to China;
→ is expected to be cost-effective.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) Stock
Today’s NVDA price chart suggests that the descending channel (marked in red) may be forming a large bullish flag — a continuation pattern that typically indicates a potential resumption of the uptrend after a corrective phase.
Price action in Nvidia stock has slowed near the upper boundary of the channel — a sign of temporary equilibrium between supply and demand (this could also be interpreted as traders adopting a wait-and-see stance ahead of the earnings release).
Given that the earnings report is a potentially strong price catalyst, a breakout from the bullish flag cannot be ruled out. Such a move could signal the start of a new phase in NVDA’s long-term upward trend (as indicated by the arrow on the chart).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
This 3 Step System Will Show You The Trending StockThis is a powerful chart for you to watch.
Because its following the Rocket booster
strategy.
The Rocket booster Strategy has 3 Steps;
1-The price has to be above the 50 EMA
2-The price has to be above the 200 EMA
3-The price should gap up or trend up.
In order for us to know whether the price
will trend up we are using the ADX indicator.
We make sure that the Blue line
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This confirms the last step of the rocket booster
strategy.Also remember that the NASDAQ is up-trending.
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NVDA Q1 Earnings: Strong Fundamentals Amid Geopolitical NoiseDespite recent trade restrictions, Nvidia has shown remarkable operational strength, beating expectations with $44.1 billion in revenue and a 73% YoY growth in its data center segment, fueled by rising demand for artificial intelligence. While international tensions led to a projected $8 billion loss, the market responded with confidence—viewing it as a temporary adjustment rather than a structural threat. This strong financial position supports our CALL contract entry, which is already gaining value. If tomorrow’s GDP data confirms economic stability, we could see another bullish move, and if our technical target is reached, we’ll exit as planned.
Controlled Risk Growth Strategy🚀 We begin with NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ): Tech, AI, and a long-term vision.
Hi community 👋, today I’m sharing the launch of a solid strategy designed to achieve steady growth while maintaining strict risk control in every step.
✅ General strategy:
Max risk per trade: 6%
High-potential trades limited to 15% of portfolio
Based on a custom technical and fundamental 20-point validation system
💥 First trade activated:
🎯 CALL on NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA)
📅 Expiration: September 19, 2025
💵 Strike: $134
💰 Premium: $1,515 (~5% of portfolio)
📅 We're also watching closely the upcoming earnings report on May 28, which could trigger a strong revaluation of the contract if projections are confirmed.
🧠 Why NASDAQ:NVDA ?
NVIDIA isn’t just hype. It’s at the core of multiple tech revolutions:
🔹 Undisputed leader in AI chips
🔹 Key supplier to tech giants (Amazon, Microsoft, Tesla, OpenAI…)
🔹 Developer of CUDA platform used in AI, scientific modeling, and 3D rendering
🔹 Rapid growth across data centers, gaming, and autonomous vehicles
🔹 Strong acceptance from institutional and retail investors
🔹 Consistently high demand and growing global interest in its training tech
🌐 Ongoing and future projects:
Expanding its ecosystem with generative AI
New business units focused on health, defense, and smart cities
Strategic global partnerships in semiconductors and infrastructure
🛡️ Risk management first:
Planned entries
Measured risk
Clear expectations
📌 If you’re looking to copy a strategy that balances vision, analysis, and discipline, you’re in the right place.
#NVDA #CALLoption #RiskManagement #SmartInvesting #TechStocks #PopularInvestor #AIStocks
$140 NVDA to the downside?I am seeing a previous ORD Block to be tested at $139/140 after that I might expect some sort of "news" to break and start a selling to fill both Gaps on the downside before it continues.
It might happen or not, but my experience shows me manipulation is quite real. And we got to account for that guy that saw the market collapse before anyone you know that famous housing problem that even made a movie about it? He is shorting NVDA as well. I do not believe in any of them, but I would be careful. Unless NVDA doesn't break strongly above $140 and retest without problems. I would bet going down eventually too.
For now going up.
What to Watch in Nvidia Earnings and Key Technical LevelsStock markets around the globe are turning their focus to one key earnings report: Nvidia. AI has been the primary driver of the U.S. stock market over the past few years, and Nvidia’s earnings are widely viewed as the best indicator of growth in the AI sector. The correlation between Nvidia and broader U.S. stock performance as well as its influence on global equities, crypto, and FX is strong enough for the world to fixate on this report.
Nvidia is expected to report $0.88 EPS for the first quarter of FY2026, representing a 43.36% year-over-year increase, but a slight decline quarter-over-quarter. The company previously guided revenue between $42.14 billion and $43.86 billion, with market consensus currently at $43.317 billion, in line with that range.
The key revenue stream, Data Center, is expected to generate $39.357 billion, reflecting 74.44% growth. Some analysts are forecasting as high as $42.051 billion for this segment alone.
At a forward P/E ratio of 27.6x, Nvidia is trading well below its 1-year (32.1x), 2-year (33.7x), and 5-year (40.1x) historical averages. This more favorable valuation, coupled with strong AI tailwinds, could present a solid medium- to long-term buying opportunity if earnings and guidance support the growth narrative.
After breaking out of the downtrend, NVDA approached the 140 resistance level but failed to break through. Following the upcoming earnings release, if Nvidia pulls back to either 118 or 110, those levels could present buying opportunities, assuming the report isn’t significantly negative.
It’s worth noting that sometimes real market expectations run much higher than the analyst consensus, which can lead to a selloff even after a strong earnings report.
The 154 level remains the key resistance for now, and in our view, a breakout this week carries a relatively low probability. If the report tomorrow exceeds expectations, 154 could still act as a barrier and trigger some profit-taking by Nvidia bulls.
NVDA - PULLBACK AND FINAL PUSH UNTIL CORRECTIONGood Morning,
Hope all is well. NVDA accomplishing quite the push since finding its support in April. We are looking for a pullback and one final push before initiating a corrective wave. If the corrective wave holds above the previous bullish trend you could expect another strong bullish push.
Enjoy!
NVDA will drop this yearUnless we witness a breakout or signs of one, we will head down. Next year, we will head back up higher than ever, which will increase our chances of breaking out and potentially spiking up 50-200% . For now, I anticipate a significant drop, but ensure your stop-loss is ready in case of a breakout. If that’s the case, I’d buy a long. For now there are no signs of such so I am shorting.
This analysis is solely from charts
Good luck traders
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-25NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-25)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Mixed technical signals—bullish on daily, bearish on 5-minute; neutral overall; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bearish; recommends buying the $128 put at ~$3.60 for a 50–100% profit target; confidence 72%. Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish but views premium/risk as unfavorable for buying; instead suggests selling the $130 put; confidence 70%. Gemini/Google: Strong intraday bearish technicals and negative sentiment; recommends buying the $120 put at ~$1.24 as a day trade; confidence 65%. DeepSeek: Moderately bearish but sees premiums >$1 as too rich; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: • Overall moderately bearish bias for NVDA into weekly expiry. • Rising VIX, max-pain near $126, and negative news support downside. Disagreement: • Trade/no-trade: Grok and DeepSeek pass, Claude, Gemini and Llama propose trades. • Strike selection: Claude prefers $128 put; Gemini $120 put; Llama sells $130 put. • Strategy type: All bearish ideas are buy puts except Llama, which suggests naked put selling. Conclusion Overall Market Direction: Moderately Bearish for the week ending 2025-05-30. Recommended Trade: Buy a weekly put to capture the expected pull toward the $126 max-pain level. • Instrument: NVDA 2025-05-30 $128 Put • Entry Timing: At market open • Entry Price: $3.65 (ask) • Profit Target: $5.48 (≈50% gain ⇒ midpoint sell or scale) • Stop Loss: $2.56 (≈30% loss) • Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 70% Key Risks and Considerations: • Intraday oversold conditions could trigger a short-term bounce. • Theta decay accelerates late in the week—need timely exit. • Holiday-shortened week may damp momentum. • Liquidity is good at the $128 strike but bid-ask spread and slippage can impact execution.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "put", "strike": 128.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 5.48, "stop_loss": 2.56, "size": 1, "entry_price": 3.65, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 10:57:51 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: NVDA 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 128.00 💵 Entry Price: 3.65 🎯 Profit Target: 5.48 🛑 Stop Loss: 2.56 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-25 10:58:05 EDT
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.