$TSLA Bullish Pennant Forming on Daily – Breakout Loading?Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is currently trading within a bullish pennant formation on the daily timeframe — and this one is textbook.
It entered the pennant from lower prices, forming a clear flagpole. Since then, price has been compressing between:
📉 Two descending resistance levels → Lower highs
📈 Two ascending support levels → Higher lows
This symmetrical tightening creates a classic bullish continuation setup — if the breakout confirms. Also found support at horizontal level of support/resistance $229.
What I’m watching:
⇒ Break above pennant resistance with volume
⇒ Reaction to any macro or Tesla-specific news during this compression (earnings July 23)
TSLA has a habit of explosive moves after consolidation. Keep this one on high alert.
#TSLA #Tesla #technicalanalysis #bullishpennant #tradingview #DisciplineTrading
TL0 trade ideas
TESLA falling down to 250 USD?Tesla is consolidating in a tight range, showing bearish pressure near the lower boundary of the formation. Moving averages (MA 5/10/30/60) are flattening, indicating a loss of bullish momentum, while the Wavetrend oscillator has issued a sell signal (bearish crossover below the zero line). A downside breakout from this range projects a potential move toward the $250 level, as illustrated by the measured move. This bearish scenario gains validity if price breaks below the $315 support level.
Possible TP: 250 USD
Tesla Rolls Out Much-Awaited Robotaxis. Buy or Sell the Stock?They’re here. After years of tweets, teasers, and timelines that aged like unrefrigerated dairy, Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA officially launched its long-awaited robotaxi service in Austin, Texas.
The self-driving revolution, we were told, would arrive like a lightning bolt. Instead, it quietly rolled up to the curb with a safety monitor riding shotgun.
On Sunday, ( as promised ) a small, highly curated fleet of Teslas — fully driverless, but not entirely unsupervised — began picking up paying passengers in an isolated section of Austin. CEO Elon Musk, as usual, led the cheer squad, declaring victory on X.
“Super congratulations to the Tesla AI software and chip design teams on a successful robotaxi launch!! Both the AI chip and software teams were built from scratch within Tesla.”
Investors, naturally, perked up. Tesla shares edged higher by more than 5% Monday morning as Wall Street tried to figure out whether this was the long-awaited catalyst for another rally… or just another “sell-the-news” moment that fizzles as quickly as the hype fades.
🔔 The Soft Launch Heard Around The Internet
Let’s not get carried away. This wasn’t a citywide revolution. Tesla’s launch was extremely limited — more of a PR exercise than a true market rollout. Only a handful of Teslas were involved, operating in a tightly controlled, geofenced area.
The riders? Carefully selected influencers, many of whom were more excited to film TikToks than analyze technical driving capability. In other words, this wasn’t exactly New York City rush-hour stress testing.
The rides cost a flat fee of $4.20, because, of course they did. And while the cars drove themselves, safety monitors sat in the front passenger seats — a very human reminder that the project is still very much in beta mode.
The bigger question for investors: Does this prove Tesla’s technology is ready for prime time? Or is it simply an appetizer served years before the main course?
📈 The Market Reaction: Buy the Rumor, Sell the Launch?
Here’s where things get tricky for traders.
The stock market, as always, is forward-looking. Tesla stock didn’t just wake up bullish on Monday because of a few rides in Austin — it’s been rallying for months because of the promise of robotaxis.
Since Tesla’s big October 10 robotaxi event — where Musk laid out plans to launch a self-driving cab service in 2025 — shares have climbed roughly 35%. Much of that gain is already baked into expectations for Tesla finally delivering on what Musk has been promising since at least 2016.
Now that the product is technically “live,” even in tiny demo form, some traders are wondering: is this the start of an even bigger rally?
The answer probably depends on how fast Tesla can scale. And that’s where reality gets stickier.
🤔 The Scaling Problem: A Long Road Ahead
As exciting as Sunday’s launch may have been for influencers and Tesla superfans, it’s not exactly proof of scalability. Deploying 10 carefully monitored cars in a tiny slice of Austin is one thing; blanketing entire metro areas, or states, or countries is another beast entirely.
Tesla’s AI software may be improving, and its in-house chip design gives it some vertical integration advantages. But scaling fully autonomous fleets will require navigating a minefield of regulatory, safety, and logistical challenges — not to mention stiff competition.
Alphabet’s Waymo is already operating robotaxi services in Phoenix, San Francisco, and Los Angeles, with years of public road testing under its belt. Cruise (General Motors) ran its own driverless service before recently pausing operations after high-profile safety incidents. The technology arms race is fierce — and far from settled.
Industry experts continue to caution that mass-market robotaxis may take years — if not decades — to fully materialize. And while Tesla loves to move fast and break things, cities, regulators, and insurance companies tend to prefer a bit more caution when thousands of driverless vehicles are involved.
📝 What’s Actually Priced Into Tesla Stock?
Here’s where this gets existential for Tesla bulls.
A huge chunk of Tesla’s market valuation — some would argue most of it — now rests on the idea that it isn’t just a car company. It’s an AI company. A software company. A robotics company. A future robotaxi empire. If those narratives start to weaken, so does the multiple.
Tesla remains dominant in EV production and it still benefits from profit margins (about half of the profits coming from selling regulatory credits to other carmakers). But even Musk himself has made clear that Tesla’s long-term valuation depends heavily on successfully delivering robotaxis and humanoid robots.
If Sunday’s soft launch is the start of something truly scalable, then maybe the valuation holds up. If it stalls — either due to regulatory hurdles, technological ceilings, or public skepticism — the market may need to reevaluate just how much of Tesla’s price reflects reality versus dreams.
👀 Bottom Line: Revolutionary or Just Another Test Ride?
So, should you buy or sell Tesla after its long-awaited robotaxi debut?
That depends on how you frame this moment. The bulls see a trillion-dollar industry being born, with Tesla perfectly positioned. The bears see a carefully staged PR event masking how far away true autonomy still is.
For now, Tesla gets credit for being bold — even if it’s bold enough to roll out a very small, very managed test.
But markets eventually ask: “What’s next?” And unless Tesla can quickly scale from 10 cars in Austin to fully functioning fleets in major cities, a victory lap here could feel a little premature.
As always with Tesla: the story is thrilling, the stock is volatile, and the future is still very much under construction.
And with its earnings just around the corner — you’re following the earnings calendar , right? — things might just be getting exciting.
Off to you : Which side are on? The bullish traders looking to add to their long positions or the bearish sellers who’ve been calling “overvalued” for years? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Tesla: Back on Track?Tesla has resumed downward momentum, aligning with our primary scenario and moving away from resistance at $373.04. As part of the ongoing turquoise wave 5, we expect continued selling pressure: it should break below the $215.01 support. This would complete magenta wave (3) of the current bearish impulse. A reversal back above $373.04 – and especially a breach of $405.54 – would force us to adopt the 38% likely alternative scenario. Under this count, the correction low of blue wave alt.(II) would be already in, and Tesla would now be rallying in wave alt.(III) .
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Tesla (TSLA) -Bullish Reaccumulation Setup | Smart Money conceptTesla shows a clean CHoCH followed by BOS structure, indicating a potential bullish continuation. The market is forming equal lows into a demand zone (green box), suggesting a possible liquidity sweep before a move higher.
Key Technical Points:
CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed on strong bullish impulse.
BOS (Break of Structure) signals market intent to continue upward.
Ascending triangle structure with multiple support tests (marked "S").
Anticipated sweep into demand zone: $308–$312 area.
Potential upside target: $365–$375 supply zone.
Bias: Bullish on confirmation of demand reaction.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before investing.
"Tesla: Accumulating Before Takeoff?"Tesla's acting weird, but to me, it looks like it's just loading up. Every time it hits that $320 zone, it bounces back hard. That’s not random — there’s volume, and it’s holding that level with respect.
If it breaks above $330 with solid volume, this thing could easily hit $356 or more. And with earnings coming up and all that robotaxi noise Elon keeps teasing… wouldn’t be surprised if it pops hard.
I’m not saying buy right now, but I’ve got my eyes on it. If I see confirmation, I’m jumping in with a long contract. Now, if it drops below $312 with conviction, I’m out — no hard feelings.
This could get real interesting. Stay sharp.
TESLA: Bulls Will Push
The price of TESLA will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Diamond Reversal Forming On Tesla ($TSLA)This pattern on TSLA fits the outline for a diamond reversal that is referenced on Investopedia.
It has all the "classical" facets of a diamond reversal which is a high (A), a low (C) a higher-high.
Furthermore, this is happening alongside a very similar pattern on NFLX and some bearish patterns on many other stocks.
Similar forms also occurred on SPX in 2021-2222 and Bitcoin in 2021.
The move up from the 2023 lows has the form of an ABC up... which suggests another 5 wave downmove on-par with or even exceeding the previous downmove is on the way.
The move off the highs was a whole 75% so even presuming a moderate 1:1 ratio, the next wave down could be very aggressive which means that an excellent short could be lining up.
Trade safe and be careful out there.
Short setup TiqGPT MARKET NARRATIVE:
Analyzing the Tesla Inc. charts across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent downtrend from the daily (1D) to the 1-minute (1m) timeframe. The price action shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicative of a bearish market structure. The 1D chart reveals a significant bearish momentum with recent candles closing near their lows, suggesting strong selling pressure. This trend is echoed in the 4-hour (4h) and 1-hour (1h) charts, where price has failed to reclaim higher levels, instead forming bearish continuation patterns.
The 15-minute (15m), 5-minute (5m), and 1-minute (1m) charts provide a more granular view of the selling pressure, with price consistently making new lows. The absence of significant bullish retracements across these lower timeframes indicates that liquidity is being taken rather than created, as sellers push the price downward without substantial opposition.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in a distribution phase, offloading shares which is evident from the sustained downward movement and lack of significant pullbacks. This suggests a continuation of the bearish trend with potential further downside.
LEARNING POINT:
The consistent lower highs and lower lows across all timeframes highlight a strong bearish momentum engineered by institutional selling pressure.
SIGNAL: WAIT
SYMBOL: TSLA
ENTRY PRICE: $317.60
STOP LOSS: $322.00
TARGET PRICE: $310.00
CONDITION: Sell on a slight pullback to $317.60, which aligns with recent minor resistance levels on lower timeframes.
RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.7 (Risk=$4.40, Reward=$7.60) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters.
Momentum & Exhaustion: No signs of exhaustion in selling, with candles closing near lows.
Liquidity Behavior: Continued push lower without significant retracements suggests ongoing institutional distribution.
Pressure Analysis: Strong selling pressure evident from the lack of bullish counter-moves.
Context Awareness: Price is trending down with no significant areas of demand observed that could halt the bearish momentum.
STRATEGIES USED:
Multi-Timeframe Bearish Continuation
Distribution Phase Trading
URGENCY: HIGH
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$4.40, Reward=$7.60, Ratio=1:1.7 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Risk = $322.00 - $317.60 = $4.40
Reward = $317.60 - $310.00 = $7.60
Ratio = $7.60 / $4.40 = 1.72
RECOMMENDATION:
The calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.72 does not meet the minimum requirement of 2:1. Therefore, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better risk/reward setup or further confirmation of institutional activity that could provide a more favorable entry point.
TESLA..(TSLA) 30M TIME FRAME..Tesla (TSLA) on a 30-minute timeframe using Ichimoku Cloud along with trendlines and breakout levels.
There are two target levels indicated:
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🔵 Immediate Target Point (Breakout Target):
Price Level: ~$350
This seems to be the first breakout target if price breaks above the current resistance zone.
Based on the measured move from the ascending triangle or trendline breakout.
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🔵 Extended Target Point (Full Target):
Price Level: ~$375–$380
This is the higher target possibly based on a full breakout move from the bottom of the triangle pattern to the top projection.
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🟢 Current Price: ~$327.55 (at the time of the screenshot)
🧠 Suggested Trade Plan (if you’re trading this setup):
Entry: Above breakout level (possibly ~$335–$340)
First TP: $350
Second TP: $375–$380
Stop Loss: Below trendline or recent support (~$320 or slightly lower)
Let me know if you want a risk-reward analysis or SL/TP calculator based on your entry.
Safe Entry Zone TeslaGreen Zone is Safe Entry Zone.
Target is Take Profit line.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
TSLA Elliott Wave Analysis | Bullish Scenario UnfoldingThis chart presents a detailed Elliott Wave analysis on Tesla (TSLA) in the 4-hour timeframe.
The price structure from the April low suggests a completed corrective ABC pattern, forming a solid wave (4) base.
A new bullish impulse appears to be underway, with wave (1) and (2) of wave (5) already confirmed.
We are now tracking the development of wave (3), which has the potential to extend toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone around $426, with intermediate resistance at $406.84 (1.414 Fib).
The projected wave (5) could complete near $440, marking the end of a larger degree 5-wave impulse structure.
Key levels to watch: support near $320.47 (0.5 retracement level of wave 1–3) and resistance at $360–380 before the next leg higher.
Two possible scenarios are outlined:
Primary Path (solid lines): Strong bullish continuation toward wave D and (5).
Alternate Path (dotted lines): Short-term correction back to the trendline support before resuming the uptrend.
The chart also highlights the breakout from a long-term descending trendline and a potential cup-and-handle continuation pattern, supporting the bullish thesis.
📈 Trade Plan: Watching for confirmation above $360 to target $406 and $426+ in the coming weeks. Stops should be considered below $310 depending on risk tolerance.
NFA
Tesla (TSLA) 1H Chart – Wyckoff Cycle in ActionThis chart reflects a textbook Wyckoff pattern unfolding on TSLA’s 1-hour timeframe:
🔹 Accumulation Phase observed early May
🔹 Followed by Manipulation & Distribution – classic trap before markdown
🔹 Sharp selloff led to another Accumulation zone around $305
🔹 Further manipulation wicks indicate smart money involvement
🔹 Now projecting a move towards $360–$370 distribution zone
📌 Structure breakdown:
Smart Money Accumulation ➡️ Manipulation ➡️ Distribution
Bullish momentum building from $306 support
Eyes on reaction near the marked green distribution box 📦
📅 As of June 15, 2025 – chart aligns with Wyckoff theory and institutional behavior.