The pullback may be over soonI believe we’re approaching a bottom in this correction. I’m expecting a double bottom or a dip below it followed by a rebound.
TL0 trade ideas
Yesterday was a great time to buy the dip!I see a lot of money coming in at higher time frames. I will hold for a while, and I also see lots of turbulence. Let’s see what happens after the CPI on June 12 😎
Tesla vs. BYD: The Market’s Greatest IllusionIntroduction: The Tale of Two Companies
You don’t need to be an economist to see it. Just compare Tesla and BYD.
BYD: Founded in 1995, Chinese, over $107 billion in revenue.
Tesla: Founded in 2003, American, with less revenue—but a market cap six times bigger.
The reason? Because one sells cars, and the other sells dreams. And Wall Street loves a good dream.
The Illusion Economy: When Hype Outweighs Reality
Tesla’s valuation isn’t tied to assets, production, or profits. It’s a ritual of collective belief—a performance act where branding replaces substance, and expectation outweighs reality.
It’s the same logic behind a $1,000 jacket that costs $100 to make. Put a fancy logo on it, and suddenly, it’s not overpriced—it’s "premium." You're not just buying a product; you're investing in a lifestyle. Sure. Keep telling yourself that.
Tesla is the $1,000 jacket. BYD is the actual tailor shop.
Tesla vs. BYD: The Numbers Tell the Story
Tesla’s market cap is over $1 trillion, while BYD’s is under $200 billion. Yet, BYD outsells Tesla globally, especially in China, where it dominates the EV market. Tesla’s valuation is built on brand perception, future promises, and speculative optimism, while BYD’s is grounded in actual production and revenue.
Financial Storytelling Over Business Reality
Tesla isn’t just a car company—it’s a financial illusion. Markets rise not on performance, but on promise. Stock prices reflect not what a company is, but what a hedge fund feels it might become. It’s not a business model—it’s mood swings with decimal points.
BYD’s Competitive Edge
Production Power: BYD manufactures more EVs than Tesla annually.
Battery Innovation: BYD’s Blade Battery is safer, lasts longer, and is cheaper than Tesla’s.
Affordability: BYD’s EVs are significantly cheaper, making them more accessible to global consumers.
Market Reach: BYD dominates China, the world’s largest EV market, while Tesla struggles with pricing and competition.
The Consequences of Buying the Dream
Tesla’s valuation isn’t creating better cars. It’s just creating dumber investors.
Investors who think they’re visionaries because they bought into the hype.
Consumers who think they’re elite because they bought the label.
Boards who think they’re gods because someone inflated their stock ticker.
But every illusion has an expiration date. Every bubble has its needle. And when dreams are sold on credit, reality always comes to collect.
Reality Always Comes to Collect
This isn’t growth. It’s speculative theater funded by your retirement account.
Real value doesn’t need hype. It appears in supply chains, production lines, tangible goods, and on profit sheets that make sense even without a TED Talk.
So next time you see Tesla’s trillion-dollar valuation, ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
Tesla UpdateTesla has had quite a rough go at it lately. For those of you on trading view that follow me, you may not have had the daily updates as those on my website, but you should've known too by my posts that a decent drop was coming. Just so I am as clear as I can be, this is just the beginning of this consolidation lower. We might not even be done with this current drop for the minuette a wave either. As annotated by the turquoise label and the turquoise fibs, another low is very possible, and I would go so far as to say very probable. The reason why I think it is probable, is the structure that was created on the move lower. It appears like the move higher that started on 05 June is a miniscule wave 4 with 5 yet to come.
Now, another move lower isn't required by any means. We could easily continue higher from here for minuette wave b. That is why I have drawn some blue retracement fibs. If we have in fact bottomed in (a), then we would be targeting the $328-$350 area for (b).
In short, we either make another low from here to the $263 area finishing (a), or we continue higher for wave (b). MACD/structure seems to be indicating the turquoise count will come to pass. Either way we should head higher again soon. If we can make another low towards the 2.618 then I will likely take a small long position to ride out (b).
[GEX] TSLA Breakdown & Options Trade Idea for 39DTELast week, TSLA dropped hard, likely due to political tensions. Let’s not forget — just a month ago, their EVs were showcased at the White House entrance...
In the span of 30 hours, TSLA fell -22% (see red line below), while SPX barely reacted. Why? Because both realized and implied volatility dropped — remember VIX is around 17/18.
This sharp TSLA drop already seemed overdone, which helped fuel the +5% bounce on Friday.Most TSLA options positions are near-term and still show negative sentiment — but further expirations grow increasingly bullish.
🔍 If you use options GEX matrix , you’ll see the bearish hedging flow gradually turns more neutral-to-bullish.
Most cumulative support/resistance zones lie between 250–340, with spot currently just under the chop zone.
🧠 TSLA Trade Idea
It’s been a while since I posted a neutral Iron Condor, but TSLA might be an exception.
Despite last week’s IV spike, call pricing skew still dominates across expirations — as seen in our Options Overlay indicator.This tells me the market doesn’t fear TSLA crashing below 200. So, I’m aiming to capture premium on the July 18th expiry without day trading.
I’m thinking of something simple, well-manageable in either direction.To refine leg placement, I use visual GEX zones.
🐻🔴 Downside:
Strong put support at 250
Gradual support layers up to 280
🐂 🟢 Upside:
Target area: 340–350 for the July 18 expiry.
📅 Closing the Trade:I'll consider closing or adjusting at 21 DTE or when 50% max profit is hit — per TastyTrade’s studies.
🔁 Rolling Plan:IF short delta on one side drops below ~14 and price pulls away, I’ll roll the untested side to collect more credit.
🧑🏫 I’ll likely post trade management live in Discord for educational purposes.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🦋 Bonus Idea: TSLA Broken Wing Butterfly
If you think TSLA has more downside, a Put Broken Wing Butterfly — like the one shown in my previous YT video — is also a great way to structure this trade using the same GEX levels.
There’s no single way to use Gamma Exposure — it’s the most actionable hedging signal we have. Combine it with your knowledge of strategies and you can trade almost any scenario.
One thing’s for sure — this market moves faster than ever.A single day of internal conflict wiped -22% off TSLA…The next morning, the market already moved on, so as always:
Trade Safe Out There!
TSLA: Uptrend channel bounce, trading between 50 and 200-day SMAHey guys/gals!
So we all know that Tesla took a massive drop last week. It fell about 14%, and was down even 3% after hours at one point. I think we can all agree this crash wasn't technicals driven - it was clearly headline impacted. This was a clear black swan even t, and even in my case, nothing like this has ever happened to me as a trader. It was unforeseeable, forced me to hedge overnight and I'm still having nightmares (lol). Definitely one to remember as I don't think something like this would happen with any other stock. Tesla is truly unique in this sense.
But looking at the bigger picture, the bounce that we experienced on Friday must've been technicals driven, and psychologically influenced, as I am almost certain that the crash was a massive overreaction. People woke up the next day and thought this was severely discounted over a couple social media tweets (I won't go into the politics of things).
As you see on the chart, Tesla may in a new upward channel. At first I figured this may be a bear flag, however due to the upcoming catalyst like the Robotaxi launch - this would likely only be a bear flag if prices crashes below the lower support trend line.
As long as price is within the channel, I'd say things are holding up. We'd likely see a jump towards the upper side of the channel - however it's important to note that $300 and £360 are major resistance points. Robotaxi launch and any future tweets will definitely move price, and I think those will be a factor in determining whether price goes up or crashes below the trend line.
Another thing to point out is that price is currently trading between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The 50-day SMA is acting as vital support, whereas the 200-day SMA is the resistance. If there is a break above the 200-day SMA, price will likely go higher. The opposite may happen if price crashes below the 50-day SMA.
Either way, headlines and technicals mentioned above will continue to influence price.
Note: not financial advice.
Tesla to re-test the 320 levelTesla bounced off the 0.618 fib level and wicked above (bullish).
We have a double red 9 on the 4 hour.
Looking for a recovery bounce to 315-320 level.
TslaFirst off.. that weekly candle was horrendous
Rising wedge here.. you can see it on the rsi as well
The target of this rising wedge is 300 or daily 200sma..
Lets see how wed get there..
We would need to break below 330.00.
351-355 will be strong resistance if you see a test up in that area I would open a short for 330... cover at 330 and wait for the break below to short for 300
The sector tsla trades under is XLY..
I was saying for the last few days that tsla will have trouble unless XLY could clear 218.. now XLY has finished with a similar weekly reversal candle
$TSLA is making moves! 30% Upside Swing🚀 NASDAQ:TSLA is making moves!
The H5_S is almost there—just waiting for that green light 🟢 to lock in the entry!
🔥 Eyeing July 18th $325 Calls if we get the confirmation. Let’s see how this unfolds!
Not Financial Advice
Tesla Monthly TF (Next Target —110-140)I will not bore you with too many details. I will do an analysis based on the moving averages to support my bias, bearish at this point.
April 2024 tests EMA89 as support and this support level holds. This results in a bullish impulse.
The impulse ends December 2024. On the drop, TSLA founds support at EMA55 monthly. There is bounce at this level and this bounce ends as a lower high.
» When this happens, the next moving average in line gets tested, in this case EMA89 or a minimum of 191 as the next target.
EMA55 monthly sits at 229.88 (230). This level will fail as support, why? Because the test of it in March and April led to a lower high and this lower high will be followed by a lower low.
If TSLA had moved higher than December 2024, then any drop or correction would not go below EMA55. Since the action is ending as a lower high, then the next drop which is already underway will break through this level.
The main level for the current move sits around 110-140 based on the long-term. These levels are close to the lows in January 2023 and December 2022.
Technical analysis can help you predict a move regardless of its cause. Don't believe me? See the 'related publications'.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bullish on TSLA if its stay above 290$ USD**INDICATOR SAY BULL🚀 TESLA (TSLA): The Ultimate Showdown – Bullish Surge or Bearish Collapse? 🚀
Tesla (TSLA) has all eyes locked on it , standing at a crossroads that could dictate its next explosive move. Hovering at $295.14 USD , it’s holding onto the crucial $290 USD support level , a make-or-break zone that could either ignite a spectacular rally or trigger a sharp decline.
🔥 Bulls Are Ready to Take Off: If Tesla defends $290 USD , it’s GAME ON. This level acts as a launchpad—a pressure point where accumulation fuels momentum, setting the stage for a surge toward $460 USD. Investors, traders, and market enthusiasts are all watching for this breakout moment, knowing that breaching higher resistance could spark an avalanche of buy orders. Tesla’s chart suggests a brewing storm of demand, one that could shatter expectations and push the stock into new highs.
⚡ Bears Are Lurking in the Shadows: But danger is never far away. A slip below $290 USD could signal the end of bullish dominance, dragging TSLA into a downward freefall toward $220 USD or even $200 USD . This break would suggest weakening momentum, market hesitation, and potential large-scale selling pressure. Bears will seize the opportunity, forcing Tesla into a recalibration phase—one that could reshape investor sentiment for weeks to come.
🔥 Tesla’s Next Move? A Market-Defining Moment! 🔥
This isn’t just another stock movement—it’s a battle between fear and ambition, bulls and bears, excitement and caution. Tesla is standing on the edge of innovation and volatility, making its current price action one of the most thrilling showdowns in the market today.
Will it skyrocket toward greatness , or will the bears drag it down?
Whatever happens next, one thing is certain— this ride will be unforgettable . Buckle up! 🚀⚡🔥
Let me know if you want even more refinements or additional angles! 😎🔥
Subscribe for more!
TESLA PRICE ACTION JUNE 5TH 2025Welcome to Tesla weekly &there is a news about Elon going against the bill from trump.
I will never buy their news as they are manipulating retailers.
I am buying & I have discussed all the important levels here,
If you have any doubts, feel free to leave your comments here.
Safe Entry ZoneCurrent Movement is Down.
The Green 4h Zone @ 277-271 price level is strongest support level price targeting.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
TSLA Short Entry | Recession UnderwayI have added to NASDAQ:TSLA short.
I have also linked my previous Tesla short chart from 2022.
Nothing has changed with Tesla. The company is severely over-valued.
I will continue to provide updates.
Tesla TSLA 🧠 Breakdown of this setup:
The pattern is an inverse head‑and‑shoulders, signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish momentum.
Technical commentators highlight crucial support near $300, suggesting that’s the fueling station before lift-off
After breaking the neckline, measured upside targets land in the $400–420 zone, fitting that “rocketship” trajectory vibe
🎯 Launch Pad & Destination
Pre‑launch dip: ~$300 sets the inverse H&S bottom.
Ignition point: Breakout above neckline brings liftoff.
Orbit target: ~$420—your mission succesfully completed.
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp DropTesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp Drop
When analysing the Tesla (TSLA) stock price chart six days ago, on the morning of 5 June, we:
→ highlighted Elon Musk’s critical comments regarding the spending bill promoted by the US President;
→ noted that a potential rift between Musk and Trump could have long-term implications, including for TSLA shares;
→ outlined an ascending channel (marked in blue);
→ suggested that the price might correct from the upper to the lower boundary of the channel.
This scenario played out rather aggressively: later that same day, during the main trading session, Tesla’s share price dropped sharply to the lower boundary of the channel amid a scandal involving Musk and Trump.
However, the lower boundary of the channel predictably acted as support. Yesterday, TSLA shares were among the top five performers in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), gaining around 5.6%.
As a result, TSLA stock price climbed back above the psychologically important $300 mark, recovering from the previous week’s sell-off.
Why Are Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rising?
Bullish drivers include:
→ The upcoming launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service, provisionally scheduled for 22 June. Elon Musk has stated he intends to use the service himself.
→ Easing of tensions with the US President. Donald Trump declared that he has no intention of "getting rid of Tesla or Starlink" should he return to the White House.
→ Continued support from Cathie Wood, the prominent asset manager, who once again reaffirmed her confidence in Tesla’s future success.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Chart
Today, TSLA’s share price is hovering near the median line of the previously identified ascending channel – a zone where supply and demand typically seek equilibrium.
Also worth noting is the $320 level: in May, it acted as support, which suggests it may now function as resistance.
Given these factors, it is reasonable to expect that the sharp recovery from the 5 June low may begin to lose momentum, with the price likely to stabilise and form a consolidation range following the recent spike in volatility.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TESLA SHORT?Are we win for a surprise with tension between Trump and Musk intensifies, with recent comments from President Trump regarding Tesla, we could be in for a bearish probability towards 100 key price level.
Is Tesla telling a classic story right on its chart?This looks like a textbook example of Richard Wyckoff's "Creek" analogy. For months, the stock faced a "creek" of selling pressure around the $280-$300 resistance line, turning back any attempt to move higher.
Before the big move, the price "backed up" to a Last Point of Support (LPS) to gather steam—that was the dip we saw back in Phase D. Then came the powerful "Jump Across the Creek," a breakout with strength and volume, launching us into what appears to be Phase E.
But the story isn't over. The sharp pullback we're seeing now isn't necessarily failure. It's the critical "Back-Up to the Edge of the Creek." The stock is testing if the old resistance (the far bank of the creek) will now hold as new support.
The question now is: Does the ground hold for the next launch higher, or does the price fall back into the water? This is the moment of truth.
Tesla Daily, Update (Bearish Trend Extends)Today TSLA produced the highest bearish volume session since July 2020. This high volume and strong sellers pressure shows up to break EMA55, EMA89 and MA200 daily as support. Needless to say, this is a very strong bearish development.
The break of this long-term support comes after a major lower high. May 2025 much lower compared to December 2024.
My point is to alert you of a much stronger correction than expected on this stock. Now that MA200 has been lost as support, with the highest volume in five years after a strong lower high, we can expect the continuation of the bearish trend.
I will look at Tesla on the monthly timeframe in a separate publication.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
TSLA road to $526... to $10... to da mooo00nHaters gonna hate, but these patterns need to complete, nevermind most of the holders bought in at 10 usd, and that's where the support is.
Not financial advice, not funancial either badum tss
TSLA BUYBUY TSLA at 272.00 to 248.00, riding it back up to 470.00 to 515.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 213.00!
If anyone likes long mumbo jumbo garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than
run as fast as you can from the markets, because it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just my opinions of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
