TESLA PRICE ACTION 20JUNE 2025This is the price action of Tesla . I have discussed everything deeply and if you have any doubts then feel free to message or leave a comment.
I am bullish on Tesla.
NOTE:DO NOT SHORT TESLA
TL0 trade ideas
Tesla update, watch 343 level!boost and follow for more ❤️🔥 tsla broke the trend support mentioned in my last analysis, doesn't surprise me too much I did mention it was likely, now look for a daily close above 343, if we can get that then the rally to and past 400+ will come in the blink of an eye 🎯👁️
that is all, I am done posting for today.. I hope you all have a great weekend! stay safe and see you soon ⚡✌️
TSLA JUNE 20 2025 READ NOTESThis is momentum based price targeting & Tesla can easily do $390 but before that 342 is a solid resistance. From there we can get a dip and then price can continue the up move further
ANY NEWS IS TO BE AVOIDED
Now price action which is way superior is clearly suggesting the same up move.
I fact RSI is saying $400++ can come but it would be super dafe to exit around $390
If you nave any doubts then you can leave a comment.
TSLA TO 1600, YOU SAW IT HERE FIRSTHere's the TA that takes Tesla legitimately to 1600.
The monthly chart has a trend that is currently acting as support.
The price has fallen under that trend.
Price action is also over a massive support trend from the weekly chart.
These are the two thickest green trends.
When you zoom back and look at TSLA as a whole, you see the bigger picture.
You have a situation where the low side takes you to around $60 to 70 dollars with a low of around $48. And then you have the high side taking you to around 1600. It sounds like a candidate for a stock reverse split.
Essentially, don't miss out on this potential solar data fast car thingy ready to really zoom.
Here is the chart with the auto fib numbers showing potential targets.
Remember, this likely doesn't occur all in one night, but the projection is really looking like it takes off from earnings. Projection line in yellow.
You have an opportunity where short term trends go to a strong long term trend which climbs to a support trend meaning price can literally take off from multiple of these trends meaning, we can price action go from 420 down to 250 and back up to 1600 in less than a year total.
TSLA – Long Trade Analysis (30-min chart)!📈
🟢 Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
Price is breaking out of a tight triangle, indicating potential momentum buildup. Volume spike confirmation would strengthen the move.
🛒 Entry: Around $322.05 (breakout zone)
🎯 Target Levels (Upside):
TP1: $327.38 (minor resistance)
TP2: $333.72
TP3: $339.71 (strong resistance zone from early June)
🛑 Stop-Loss:
Below $317.30 (triangle base support and recent consolidation low)
This gives a risk/reward ratio of approx. 1:2.5, which is solid.
🧠 Why This Setup Makes Sense:
TSLA is moving ahead of the June 22 robotaxi event
Strong support trendline from June 6
Breakout is aligning with bullish sentiment and upcoming catalyst
Market is bullish overall, helping large-cap tech
⚠️ What to Watch:
Watch for fake breakouts — wait for candle close or volume confirmation
Be ready for volatility as event news can cause whipsaw action
Option traders: Consider bull call spreads if IV is high
What Is T-Distribution in Trading? What Is T-Distribution in Trading?
In the financial markets, understanding T-distribution in probability is a valuable skill. This statistical concept, crucial for small sample sizes, offers insights into market trends and risks. By grasping T-distribution, traders gain a powerful tool for evaluating strategies, risks, and portfolios. Let's delve into what T-distribution is and how it's effectively used in the realm of trading.
Understanding T-Distribution
The T-distribution in probability distribution plays a crucial role in trading, especially in situations where sample sizes are small. William Sealy Gosset first introduced it under the pseudonym "Student". This distribution resembles the normal distribution with its bell-shaped curve but has thicker tails, meaning it predicts more outcomes in the extreme ends than a normal distribution would.
A key element of T-distribution is the concept of 'degrees of freedom', which essentially refers to the number of values in a calculation that are free to vary. It's usually the sample size minus one.
The degrees of freedom affect the shape of the T-distribution; with fewer degrees of freedom, the distribution has heavier tails. As the degrees of freedom increase, the distribution starts to resemble the normal distribution more closely. This is particularly significant in trading when dealing with small data sets, where the T-distribution provides a more accurate estimation of probability and risk than the normal distribution.
T-Distribution vs Normal Distribution
T-distribution and normal distribution are foundational in statistical analysis, yet they serve different purposes. While both exhibit a bell-shaped curve, the T-distribution has thicker tails, implying a higher probability of extreme values. This makes it more suitable for small sample sizes or when the standard deviation is unknown.
In contrast, the normal distribution, with its thinner tails, is ideal for larger sample sets where the standard deviation is known. Traders often use T-distribution for more accurate analysis in small-scale or uncertain data scenarios, while normal distribution is preferred for larger, more stable datasets, where extreme outcomes are less likely.
Application in Trading
In trading, T-distribution is a valuable tool for analysing financial data. It is primarily used in constructing confidence intervals and conducting hypothesis testing, which are essential for making informed trading decisions.
For instance, a trader might use T-distribution to test the effectiveness of a new trading strategy. Suppose a trader has developed a strategy using the technical analysis tools and wants to understand its potential effectiveness compared to the general market performance. They would collect a sample of returns from this strategy over a period, say, 30 days. Given the small sample size, using T-distribution is appropriate here.
The trader would then calculate the mean return of this sample and use T-distribution to create a confidence interval. This interval would provide a range within which the true mean return of the strategy is likely to lie, with a certain level of confidence. If this confidence interval shows a higher mean return than the market average, the trader might conclude that the strategy is potentially effective. However, it's important to note that this is an estimation and not a guarantee of future performance.
How to Plug Probability and Normal Distribution in Your T-Calculation
To use a T-calculator for integrating probability and normal distribution, follow these steps:
- Input Degrees of Freedom: For T-distribution, calculate the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one).
- Convert Z-Score to T-Value: If using normal distribution data, convert the Z-score (standard deviation units from the mean in a normal distribution) to a T-value using the formula: T = Z * (sqrt(n)), where 'n' is the sample size.
- Enter T-Value: Input this T-value into the calculator.
- Calculate Probability: The calculator will then output the probability, providing a statistical basis for trading decisions based on the T-distribution.
Limitations and Considerations of T-Distribution
While T-distribution is a powerful tool in trading analysis, it's important to recognise its limitations and considerations:
- Sample Size Sensitivity: T-distribution is most effective with small sample sizes. As the sample size increases, it converges to a normal distribution, reducing its distinct utility.
- Assumption of Normality: T-distribution assumes that the underlying data is approximately normally distributed. This may not hold true for all financial data sets, especially those with significant skewness or kurtosis.
- Degrees of Freedom Complications: Misestimating degrees of freedom can lead to inaccurate results. It's crucial to calculate this correctly based on the sample data.
- Outlier Sensitivity: T-distribution can be overly sensitive to outliers in the data, which can skew results.
Advanced Applications of T-Distribution in Trading
T-distribution extends beyond basic trading applications, playing a role in advanced financial analyses:
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The Bottom Line
The T-distribution is a powerful tool, offering nuanced insights in scenarios involving small sample sizes or uncertain standard deviations. Its ability to accommodate real-world data's quirks makes it invaluable for various trading applications, from strategy testing to risk assessment. However, understanding its limitations and proper application is crucial for accurate analysis.
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On the edge of bullish breakdownCurrent price is in a falling wedge and consolidating in 310-330 above 100 SMA within a long-term uptrend channel. Two grey circles mark previous & current consolidation zones - a clear attempt to highlight a repeating pattern that may lead to a breakout, just like in late April. MACD/RSI show signs of bullish momentum recovery. PT: 350. NFA!
TESLA: Can double its price ($640) by the end of the year.Tesla is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.064, MACD = 4.910, ADX = 24.971), consolidating for the past week, but remains over its 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 nonetheless. Since the major market bottom on January 6th 2023, it's been trading inside a Channel Up and this is its 3rd bullish wave. The 2 prior rose by +196.67% from the bottom of the pattern (despite the 2nd breaking marginally under it). Consequently, this suggests that Tesla can rise by +100% from the current $320 level, before the Channel Up tops (HH) again. We are bullish, TP = 640.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Tesla May Be StallingTesla bounced between early April and late May, but now it may be stalling.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the weekly low of $331.39 from May 22. TSLA fell below that level two weeks ago and was rejected at the same price area last week. Has old support become new resistance?
Second, the stock has fallen under its 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). The 8-day EMA is also at risk of slipping below the 21-day EMA. Such patterns may reflect short-term bearishness. Falling MACD paints a similar picture.
Third, the EV stock peaked at $488.54 in December -- above its previous high of $414.50 from November 2021. But it failed to hold, which could be viewed as a false breakout.
Those signals could focus traders’ attention on the April low of $214.15, which is still more than $100 below TSLA’s close on Tuesday.
Finally, TSLA is an active options underlier. (Its average daily volume of 2.6 million contracts last month ranked third in the entire market, according to TradeStation data.) That could make it easier for traders to take positions with calls and puts.
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TSLA It’s still downtrendIf break support 297 below then It’s going down till 153 , (extention is 125)
The stock market is highly volatile. Please be very careful with your investments.
TSLA: Triangle PatternResearching the market through structural lens, particularly the topology of trapped liquidity buildup and compression of volatility, that leads to a proportionally heavier move once a breakout occurs.
Raw compression area derived from waves of higher degrees (2nd, 3rd)
The longer price consolidates within boundaries of a triangular formation, the more significant the breakout tends to be.
TSLA - idk im probably wrong.. should we buy itThese hacks, TRUMP and ELON... they're in KAHOOTS I tell ya...
Who lets the Prez babysit their son, only to have a public controversy.
On some actual thesis... TSLA is the first to get any type of sell of since april!
LET IT LEAD THE WAY
TSLA trade of the weekThis idea is something new where I'm asking my HIGHLY EXPERIMENTAL dowsing work for a "best bang for your buck" trade at the beginning of the week. Last week was pretty good saying to short SPY on Wed., so I'm going to journal these and see if it can be consistent.
If this aligns with YOUR work, great.
The idea is TSLA has a spike up towards the upper gap around $326-28. My levels on TSLA often are overshot, but anyway. Then watch for it to head towards the lower gap in the $310-307 zone and possibly down to $302.
My work is INCONSISTENT. There's more going into this than just looking at an indicator. This is energy, intention, intuition and God knows what else and it's more for myself than you. But, if you're interested, I'm happy to answer questions and share as I hope it inspires your own sense of what is possible beyond just the physical world.
TSLA Honey Ticking Bull Trap!TSLA has a beautiful big ars bear flag! While it should have broken down to trigger a short trade, it decided to Honey Tick people right into a Trap!
It formed a perfect MEGAPHONE in wave 3 up that has now CRACKED! This is a much juicer short setup with the potential of collapsing from here and taking out the entire bear flag and MORE!!
First, we need a lower low and then a lower high and off we GO BABY!!!
Don't Get HONEY TICKED!
As I always say, never EVER!! Invest in toxic people like Elona. They always blow themselves up in the end. It's in their nature!
Click boost and follow, let's get to 5,000 followers. ;)
TSLA – Short Trade Setup!📉
🔍 Pattern: Rising wedge breakdown
📍 Entry: ~$329.09 (breakdown candle near resistance)
🎯 Target: $319.37 (first support), $314.54 (major support)
🛑 Stop-loss: $331.74 (above wedge and resistance zone)
✅ Why this setup?
Price is rejecting from wedge top + supply zone
Bearish structure with lower highs forming
Clear breakdown below ascending trendline
Good risk-reward targeting previous demand zones
🕒 Timeframe: 30-minute
📈 Bias: Short / Reversal from resistance
Tesla🚗 Tesla (TSLA) – Long-Term Bullish Outlook 📈
Tesla is showing extreme bullish strength across higher timeframes, supported by strong fundamentals, innovation momentum, and institutional interest. The current price action suggests a solid long-term buying opportunity for patient investors and swing traders alike.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
The stock has broken key resistance levels and is maintaining higher lows.
Momentum indicators support continuation of the uptrend.
Volume and sentiment remain favorable.
📅 Investment Horizon:
Mid to Long Term (Up to 2 Years)
🎯 Target Levels:
➡️ 500 – First major resistance
➡️ 700 – Medium-term breakout target
➡️ 900 – Long-term bullish target based on macro and chart structure
📌 Strategy:
Buy on dips or sustained breakouts. Suitable for long-term portfolios with a 1–2 year holding perspective. Risk management and scaling in recommended.
💬 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
#TSLA #Tesla #Stocks #TradingView #Investing #Bullish #LongTerm #SwingTrade #GrowthStocks
$TSLA | Robotaxi Launch Incoming? - Plan Rock Solid w/ 3 TradesNASDAQ:TSLA
Launch could be as soon as Sunday, June 22. However, Musk has emphasized safety as priority. There is the potential to undercut traditional taxi services at less than $0.20 per mile. Tesla’s government and military contracts are key growth drivers but further clash between Musk and President Trump could cause further volatility in price action. Long-term $271 is a critical price point. There are several ways to play Tesla:
* Range between $270 and $350
* $330 to $400 into price discovery
* Breakdown under $270 targeting $212 and $204
TSLA Failing at Gamma Wall! Will $322 Hold or Collapse Into $315🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown:
* Gamma Exposure Zones:
* Major Resistance (Gamma Wall): $327.50 → current rejection zone
* Second CALL Wall: $340 → unlikely unless gamma squeeze kicks in
* Strongest CALL Zone: $350 (very unlikely without broader tech rally)
* PUT Support Zones:
* $322.50 → HVL + initial gamma flip
* $315 = highest negative GEX / heavy PUT support
* $310 = 3rd PUT wall — deep flush risk
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 25.2 (moderate)
* IVx avg: 70.5
* Calls Flow: 71.5% → bullish interest still high
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (tilted bullish but with risk below $322.50)
* Interpretation:
* TSLA is trading below the Gamma Wall at $327.5 and just cracked the HVL zone at $322.5 — this is a bearish transition point.
* GEX model shows put acceleration below $322. If bulls don’t step in quickly, it could slide fast to $315 or even $310.
🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown:
* Current Price: $325.00
* Structure:
* Multiple CHoCHs and BOS levels near $330–$327
* Bearish wedge breakdown from consolidation just occurred
* Breakdown candle volume surging = institutional selling confirmed
* Entering demand zone (green box) near $324 → temporary bounce possible
* Trendlines:
* Broken wedge & horizontal support = confirms downside pressure
* If $322.50 fails, next liquidity is $315 (GEX + prior BOS zone)
⚔️ Trade Setups:
🟥 Bearish Setup (High Probability):
* Trigger: Continuation below $322.50
* Target 1: $315 (PUT support)
* Target 2: $310
* Stop-loss: Above $327.50 (Gamma Wall)
Price is transitioning below gamma support and into negative delta zone — watch for acceleration if $322.50 loses volume bid.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Needs Reclaim):
* Trigger: Reclaim of $328
* Target 1: $331.20 (minor resistance)
* Target 2: $336–$340 (CALL wall / next GEX magnet)
* Stop-loss: Below $324.50
Would need strong market reversal and SPY/QQQ support for this to play out.
💭 My Thoughts:
* TSLA is transitioning into a bearish zone, especially with this CHoCH + GEX rejection from $327.5.
* Volume spike shows sellers are stepping in — bounces are sell opportunities unless reclaimed fast.
* Call buyers are still heavy (71.5%) — if this unwinds, downside could be even faster.
* Great setup for PUT spread or directional PUTs on breakdown.
🔚 Conclusion:
TSLA has rejected from the $327.5 Gamma Wall and now cracked a key support. With structure and options data aligned, a flush to $315 is on watch if $322.5 breaks cleanly. Bullish only above $328 with strength.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and execute trades based on your own strategy.
SPY & MegaCap strengthSPY saw a very strong gap up, negating most of the selling from last week.
despite rising tensions in the middle east - investors have shrugged off volatility and bought the initial dip.
This may be proving that "war" is good for stocks.
we observed a very close correlation between the indices and oil today.
As oil reversed higher - markets saw a bit of weakness. As oil fell markets rallied.
TSLA trying to break a 4 hour bullish pattern
META new Smart Glasses release causing a surge.
MSFT new all time high tap
NVDA firm with ripping semiconductors
GOOGL looking strong for continuation
AMZN moving nicely off support
AAPL lagging the mega's but positive
TSLA Bullish to $350I’m still bullish on TSLA. As long as it stays above the orange trend line I expect us to grind higher. RSI is not in overbought territory. $350 is the target.
Take a bullish position on TSLA as price action confirms upside
Current Price: $325.31
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $335.00
- T2 = $345.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $320.00
- S2 = $315.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla has shown substantial resilience in the tech-heavy market, with bullish sentiment linked to its innovative product lineup, particularly autonomous vehicles and the forthcoming robo-taxi launch. Institutional investors have actively increased positions, signaling long-term confidence in Tesla’s disruptive growth narrative. However, mixed profitability metrics and emerging competition in the global EV space keep valuations under scrutiny. Tesla’s price action around $325.31 suggests that the optimism surrounding potential catalysts outweighs near-term concerns, with technical momentum favoring further upside gains.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla has demonstrated significant strength in recent trading sessions, successfully recovering from a minor pullback that aligned with broader market volatility. The stock climbed steadily from its $300 support level and has outperformed the broader tech sector during a period of overall market uncertainty. Heavy volume and speculative trading suggest strong engagement from both institutional and retail participants.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical outlook for Tesla indicates bullish divergence on the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) coupled with a successful retest of its 50-day moving average. These factors affirm that momentum remains firmly to the upside. Analysts highlight Tesla’s ability to set remarkable trends within the EV sector, backed by advancing autonomous technologies and renewable energy solutions. Near-term resistance sits at $335, where a breakout would likely trigger further upward movement toward $345.
**News Impact:**
Recent news regarding Tesla’s upcoming robo-taxi launch in June has considerably bolstered investor sentiment. Market participants view this innovation as a key milestone that could redefine Tesla’s growth trajectory. However, declining EV sales in Europe and the United States remain a concern, potentially capping excessive bullish momentum. Traders should watch for more clarity on macroeconomic factors influencing demand.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Tesla’s combination of technical strength and ground-breaking product developments underpins a favorable trading outlook. A long position with well-defined stops below $320 offers an attractive risk/reward setup, targeting $335 and $345 sequentially. While global sales trends warrant close monitoring, Tesla’s leadership within the EV and tech space supports a bullish thesis in the short term.
TESLATesla is in the correction right now for bigger structure. It can go up to break the recent top with small correction or it can breakdown further before a push up.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
TSLA: Gamma & Price Action Aligning for Potential Bullish-Jun 16TSLA: Gamma Setups & Price Action Aligning for Potential Bullish Run
1️⃣ Options GEX Insights
* Gamma ‘walls’ building: Strongest Call protection at 335–350, anchored by the largest NETGEX/Call Wall — signaling substantial gamma support in that zone.
* Current call exposure stands at 76.1%, with puts at 23.9%. With IV suppressed (28.2 vs 78.6 avg), volatility is compressed—ideal for a quick rebound if triggered.
* Price is near 325, resting above the 317.5 HVL, and poised to test the gamma shelf near 335–340. Entry into 0–5DTE or 3DTE calls around 325–330 offers leverage as gamma accelerates through these walls.
2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart & Trade Plan
* Structure: Broke down below ascending range, but just executed a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) reversal near 309–310.
* Current trend: Eyes stacked higher lows (HL), structure confirmed—momentum is rebuilding.
* Key Zones:
* Entry area: on pullback/support near 325–326
* Target: 332.99–335+ (aligned with Call Wall)
* Invalidation: below 319.11, which would signal loss of structure.
⏫ Trade Suggestion: Consider initiating a bull entry on dip into 325–326, targeting 332–335 for the short term, and scaling out or trailing into gamma resistance zones.
🧠 Why I’m Interested
The alignment here is compelling: Options flow shows strong net gamma support ahead, IV is low (less decay hit), and structure reset (HL + BOS) confirms a textbook SMC setup. TSLA is carving out a classic bull signal off gamma-based support—ideal for scalping or short-term leg trades.
🚨 Disclaimer
This is not financial advice—purely educational. Trade with proper risk management, and be aware options carry unique risks, including rapid theta decay and volatility shifts.
