TL0 trade ideas
TESLA Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 345.78
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 308.21
Recommended Stop Loss - 364.73
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Tesla Update Longs and shorts At the start of the video I recap my previous video and then bring us up to date with the present price action .
In this video I cover Tesla from the higher time frame and breakdown both a long term bullish scenario as well as a local bearish scenario .
Both of these scenarios present longs and short entries for day trade opportunities and swing positions .
Tools used Fibs , TR pocket , Volume profile , Pivots , and vwap .
Any questions ask in the comments
Safe trading and Good luck
TESLA JUN 2025Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) rejected from the $305–$350 resistance zone after a strong rally.
Price is now testing the lower end of the previous breakout range, with potential for deeper retracement.
Below $305, the next key support lies in the $250–$220 accumulation zone, where $23B was previously bought.
If this level breaks, watch for possible institutional defense at $200 and $180 weekly, where large orders are sitting.
On the upside, a confirmed breakout above $350 could open the path toward the target zone at $500, although strong resistance is expected between $500–$550, where $55B was previously sold.
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Tesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion MeltdownTesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion Meltdown, Chinese Rivals on the Attack, and a Faltering Shanghai Fortress
A tempest has engulfed Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth, wiping a staggering $152 billion from its market capitalization in a single day. This monumental loss, the largest in the company's history, was triggered by a dramatic and public feud between CEO Elon Musk and former U.S. President Donald Trump. The confrontation, however, is but the most visible squall in a much larger storm. Lurking just beneath the surface are the relentless waves of competition from Chinese automakers, who are rapidly eroding Tesla's dominance, and the ominous sign of eight consecutive months of declining shipments from its once-impenetrable Shanghai Gigafactory.
The confluence of these events has plunged Tesla into a precarious position, raising fundamental questions about its future trajectory and its ability to navigate the turbulent waters of a rapidly evolving automotive landscape. The narrative of Tesla as an unstoppable force is being rewritten in real-time, replaced by a more complex and challenging reality.
The Trump-Musk Spat: A Bromance Turned Billion-Dollar Blow-Up
The relationship between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, once a seemingly symbiotic alliance of power and influence, has spectacularly imploded, leaving a trail of financial and political wreckage in its wake. The public falling out, which played out in a series of scathing social media posts and public statements, sent shockwaves through Wall Street and Washington, culminating in a historic sell-off of Tesla stock.
The genesis of the feud lies in Musk's vocal criticism of a sweeping tax and spending bill, a cornerstone of the Trump administration's second-term agenda. Musk, who had previously been a vocal supporter and even an advisor to the President, lambasted the legislation as a "disgusting abomination" filled with "pork." This public rebuke from a figure of Musk's stature was a direct challenge to Trump's authority and legislative priorities.
The President's response was swift and sharp. In an Oval Office meeting, Trump expressed his "disappointment" in Musk, questioning the future of their "great relationship." The war of words then escalated dramatically on their respective social media platforms. Trump, on his social media platform, threatened to terminate Tesla's lucrative government subsidies and contracts, a move that would have significant financial implications for Musk's business empire. He also claimed to have asked Musk to leave his advisory role, a statement Musk labeled as an "obvious lie."
Musk, in turn, did not hold back. On X (formerly Twitter), he claimed that without his substantial financial support in the 2024 election, Trump would have lost the presidency. This assertion of his political influence was a direct jab at the President's ego and a stark reminder of the financial power Musk wields. The spat took an even more personal and inflammatory turn when Musk alluded to Trump's name appearing in the unreleased records of the Jeffrey Epstein investigation.
The market's reaction to this public spectacle was brutal. Tesla's stock plummeted by over 14% in a single day, erasing more than $152 billion in market capitalization and pushing the company's valuation below the coveted $1 trillion mark. The sell-off was a clear indication of investor anxiety over the political instability and the potential for tangible financial repercussions from the feud. The incident underscored how intertwined Musk's personal and political activities have become with Tesla's financial performance, a vulnerability that has been a recurring theme for the company.
The Chinese Dragon Breathes Fire: Tesla's EV Dominance Under Siege
While the political drama in Washington captured headlines, a more fundamental and perhaps more enduring threat to Tesla's long-term prosperity is brewing in the East. The Chinese electric vehicle market, once a key engine of Tesla's growth, has become a fiercely competitive battleground where a host of domestic rivals are not just challenging Tesla, but in some aspects, surpassing it.
Companies like BYD, Nio, XPeng, and now even the tech giant Xiaomi, are relentlessly innovating and offering a diverse range of electric vehicles that are often more affordable and technologically advanced than Tesla's offerings. This intense competition has led to a significant erosion of Tesla's market share in China. From a dominant position just a few years ago, Tesla's share of the battery electric vehicle market has fallen significantly.
One of the key advantages for Chinese automakers is their control over the entire EV supply chain, particularly in battery production. This allows them to produce vehicles at a lower cost, a crucial factor in a price-sensitive market. The result is a growing disparity in pricing, with many Chinese EVs offering comparable or even superior features at a fraction of the cost of a Tesla.
Furthermore, Chinese consumers are increasingly viewing electric vehicles as "rolling smartphones," prioritizing advanced digital features, connectivity, and a sophisticated user experience. In this regard, many domestic brands are seen as more innovative and in tune with local preferences than Tesla. This shift in consumer sentiment has been a significant factor in the declining interest in the Tesla brand in China.
The numbers paint a stark picture of Tesla's predicament. While the overall new-energy vehicle market in China continues to grow at a remarkable pace, Tesla's sales have been on a downward trend. This is a worrying sign for a company that has invested heavily in its Chinese operations and has historically relied on the country for a substantial portion of its global sales.
The pressure on Tesla's sales in China is so intense that its sales staff are working grueling 13-hour shifts, seven days a week, in a desperate attempt to meet demanding sales targets. The high-pressure environment has reportedly led to high turnover rates among sales staff, a clear indication of the immense strain the company is under in this critical market.
The Shanghai Gigafactory: A Fortress with a Faltering Gate
The struggles in the Chinese market are reflected in the declining output from Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory. For eight consecutive months, shipments from the factory, which serves both the domestic Chinese market and is a key export hub, have seen a year-on-year decline. In May 2025, the factory delivered 61,662 vehicles, a 15% drop compared to the same period the previous year.
This sustained decline in shipments is a significant red flag for several reasons. Firstly, the Shanghai factory is Tesla's largest and most efficient production facility, accounting for a substantial portion of its global output. A slowdown in production at this key facility has a direct impact on the company's overall delivery numbers and financial performance.
Secondly, the declining shipments are a direct consequence of the weakening demand for Tesla's vehicles in China. Despite being a production powerhouse, the factory's output is ultimately dictated by the number of cars it can sell. The falling shipment numbers are a clear indication that the company is struggling to maintain its sales momentum in the face of fierce competition.
The situation in China is a microcosm of the broader challenges facing Tesla. The company's product lineup, which has not seen a major new addition in the affordable segment for some time, is starting to look dated compared to the rapid product cycles of its Chinese competitors. The refreshed Model 3 and Model Y, while still popular, are no longer the novelties they once were, and are facing a growing number of compelling alternatives.
A Confluence of Crises: What Lies Ahead for Tesla?
The convergence of a high-profile political feud, intensifying competition, and production headwinds has created a perfect storm for Tesla. The company that once seemed invincible is now facing a multi-front battle for its future.
The spat with Trump, while seemingly a short-term crisis, has exposed the risks associated with a CEO whose public persona is so closely tied to the company's brand. The incident has also highlighted the potential for political winds to shift, and for government policies that have benefited Tesla in the past to be reversed.
The challenge from Chinese automakers is a more fundamental and long-term threat. The rise of these nimble and innovative competitors is not a fleeting trend, but a structural shift in the global automotive industry. Tesla can no longer rely on its brand cachet and technological lead to maintain its dominance. It must now compete on price, features, and innovation in a market that is becoming increasingly crowded and sophisticated.
The declining shipments from the Shanghai factory are a tangible manifestation of these challenges. The factory, once a symbol of Tesla's global manufacturing prowess, is now a barometer of its struggles in its most important market.
To navigate this storm, Tesla will need to demonstrate a level of agility and adaptability that it has not been required to show in the past. This will likely involve a renewed focus on product development, particularly in the affordable EV segment, to better compete with the value propositions offered by its Chinese rivals. It will also require a more nuanced and strategic approach to the Chinese market, one that acknowledges the unique preferences and demands of Chinese consumers.
The coming months will be a critical test for Tesla and its leadership. The company's ability to weather this storm and emerge stronger will depend on its capacity to innovate, to compete, and to navigate the complex and often unpredictable currents of the global automotive market. The era of unchallenged dominance is over. The battle for the future of electric mobility has truly begun.
Tesla Wave Analysis – 5 June 2025
- Tesla broke the support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 260.00
Tesla recently broke the support zone located between the support level 294.00 (former resistance from April and March) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from April.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active minor ABC correction 2 from the end of May.
Tesla can be expected to fall to the next support level 260.00, which is the former resistance from the start of April.
TESLA: Patience Is KeyAdmittedly: The news surrounding Tesla is not particularly exciting at the moment. Nevertheless, it is unlikely that the share price of the e-mobility pioneer will plummet. Rather, it is now important to wait for an ideal entry point.
The share has currently recovered significantly from its recent lows and a long entry would offer a suboptimal RRR. Instead, we assume that the price will move sideways to negative in the coming weeks and months, in line with the rather bearish annual seasonality, which usually lasts until September or October. The entry point shown at around USD 260 would then provide an ideal RRR for a long trade that would take us to the ATH area and possibly beyond.
Everything we know about the Trump - Musk divorce (so far)
Elon Musk publicly criticised Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” as a “disgusting abomination” that would explode the U.S. deficit and “bankrupt America.” The bill is projected to add $2.5 trillion to the U.S. deficit over 10 years.
Musk claimed Trump wouldn’t have won the 2024 election without his support, calling the backlash “such ingratitude.”
Musk then alleged on X that Trump appears in the Epstein files. This marks a serious escalation (but we all thought this before Musk confirmed it right?)
Trump followed up on Truth Social by calling Musk “crazy” and hinting at cancelling federal contracts with his companies. Trump wrote that cancelling subsidies for Musk’s companies “could save billions,”.
Tesla has wiped out ~$100 billion in market value. Tesla now politically exposed?
Musk floated the idea of creating a new centrist political party, criticising both Democrats and MAGA Republicans. “We need a party that actually represents the interests of the people. Not lobbyists. Not legacy donors. Not extremists.”
TSLA | Long Bias | Double VWAP + ABC Setup | (June 5, 2025)TSLA | Long Bias | Double VWAP + ABC Setup | (June 5, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Tesla is pulling back just as we anticipated, but strong technical support from a double VWAP level and a developing ABC correction is hinting at a potential bullish reversal. Momentum could build soon — this is a key area to watch!
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: Current VWAP support near $230 (adjust per actual chart level)
Stop Loss: Below VWAP + liquidity zone (~$225 suggested)
TP1: $363
TP2: $395
Partial Exits: Consider profit-taking along the way; over 50% of the position to be closed around the $363–$395 range.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Support Factors: We're holding the double VWAP level and near the left-side value area high (around $294), with ABC corrective structure playing out.
✅ Money Flow: On the 4H chart, money is flowing out, but on the 30min it's stabilizing near 0 — watch for a potential turn.
❌ Risk Zone: We might see a short liquidity grab under the VWAP before the real move starts. Be patient with entries.
📰 Sentiment & Fundamentals: Tesla dropped due to new tariffs, but the news around Robotaxi services could spark a sharp rebound. Wall Street is watching closely as EPS continues to underperform forecasts.
⚠️ Valuation Caution: Despite a sky-high P/E ratio (189), Tesla remains outside normal valuation rules, like Nvidia. Keep that in mind when thinking long-term.
4️⃣ Follow-Up:
I’ll be monitoring this setup closely — especially how price reacts around VWAP and whether money flow turns green. Updates to come if conditions change!
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: $TSLA6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
Legging in slowly... again
- valuation is not for this post, i've put it out there last time
- after riding in many teslas in LVN (obviously not my first time) i was AMAZED at how many ubers were using FSD at my request and talking about how it's improved light years since the few versions ahead
- this is now a humanoid-focused company, i'm entirely convinced it will happen and of the three companies out there, only one is public
- and they're coming. given progress in AI (I'm so close to this)... we'll probably see them commercially in kitchens, old ppl homes etc. in a matter of years, at most. I'd guess we see a few out in the wild in two years...
- so while it's hard to wrap my head around the "valuation" in a car context... a trillion bucks for a company in the process of disrupting the entire global services industry, is too cheap.
- send it lower.
- i'm starting my LT position here and want it it lower.
V
WILL IT HOLD THE LINE this time ?Hello ,
one of big boy players .
And my 30000 overview .
Yes I like to look far away to see whats is the haos about ........
Many many many !!!! learned that you dont play that one down ;) .... However charting can be helpfulll .
You in it ? You know why .....
Am I ?
NO .
Is there potential to Fly .. YES.....
What you see here is very simple aproach to charting using the most old simple aproach .
Can I make this complicated and get your head spin ? YES.
some fundamentals dont change .......
SUPPLY / DEMAND is one of them .
Here you can see how this price reponded to market conditions ,
Yes im talking about price at this poin only . (why) ( other metricks are out )
Deeper rabbit O >>>
ONLY one way is simply put this on Play mode and that would be the only one way to watch this develop .
This can deserve deeper brake down eventualy.
But I belive that this mode its great for the company volatility .
cheers !.
Any OPINIONS ?
TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025📉 TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025
🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bearish into June 6 Expiry
🧠 Model Breakdown
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Bias: Bullish (Contrarian)
Setup: 5-min RSI oversold (~23.5); daily momentum weakening.
Trade: Buy $372.50C @ $0.88 → Bounce play
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Bias: Bearish
Setup: Daily/M5 MACD bearish; RSI oversold; max pain magnet at $340
Trade: Buy $340P @ ~$5.55
Confidence: 75%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Bias: Bearish
Setup: Below EMAs; RSI oversold; mixed longer-term read
Trade: Buy $342.50P @ $6.65
Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Bias: Bearish
Setup: Daily MACD bearish crossover; oversold short-term
Trade: Buy $320P @ $1.06
Confidence: 65%
🔹 DeepSeek
Bias: Bearish
Setup: MACD and EMAs confirm bearish setup; near max pain
Trade: Buy $340P @ $5.60
Confidence: 75%
✅ Consensus Summary
📉 4 of 5 models favor puts on TSLA
🧲 Max Pain at $340 is the dominant magnet
📉 Bearish MACD across timeframes; under EMAs
🔄 Short-term RSI is oversold — bounce risk acknowledged
📰 Mixed Tesla headlines & falling VIX offer minor support
🎯 Recommended Trade
💡 Strategy: Bearish Naked Weekly Put
🔘 Ticker: TSLA
📉 Direction: PUT
🎯 Strike: $340
💵 Entry: $5.60
🎯 Profit Target: $8.40 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $4.48 (−20%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 73%
⚠️ Key Risks to Watch
🔄 Bounce Risk: RSI oversold — snapback could occur
📰 Tesla news (Powerwall, China) could surprise to upside
🧲 Max pain at $340 may anchor price near entry
⌛ Weekly theta decay means early move is essential
TSLA long term game!See I think TSLA is a long term stock. With the innovation it is doing in energy, automobile, robotaxi(FSD), robotics... I believe it is in the front of technology for human kind.
TSLA will inevitably impact each and every aspect of our day to day life.
There is recent pullback potential to the Fib 0.5 of price $290, and that price is the resistance turned support. I believe it will retrace and people who were thinking to buy TSLA, might be a nice chance, just my simple opinion.
A few bullish candle stick pattern in $282-$290 will support the long movement, I believe.
Tesla Recovers After Announcement of Trump–Musk DialogueBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
After a session marked by a sharp decline, Tesla shares rebounded strongly in after-hours trading. The catalyst: a *Politico* report revealing that President Donald Trump’s advisors have scheduled a phone call with Elon Musk for today, Friday, in an effort to ease tensions following a public dispute between the two figures. On Thursday, Tesla suffered one of its worst declines of the year, plunging 14.26% and wiping out more than \$150 billion in market value within hours. This brings the quarterly loss to 25.70%. However, news of a potential reconciliation pushed the stock back into positive territory, closing at \$288.35 with a 2.31% recovery, sparking speculative after-hours trading that could extend into the week’s final session.
The clash erupted after Musk criticized a new tax cut bill championed by the White House. Trump promptly responded by threatening to reassess federal contracts awarded to Musk's companies, such as SpaceX. Tensions escalated further when Musk, via social media, hinted at alleged ties between Trump and the late financier Jeffrey Epstein.
According to *Politico*, although Trump has publicly projected an air of indifference, his advisors have been working behind the scenes to de-escalate the feud and avoid broader political and economic fallout. The scheduled call on Friday may mark the beginning of a truce.
It’s worth recalling that during his tenure at the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) under Trump’s administration, Elon Musk faced accusations of conflicts of interest, particularly for pushing deregulatory policies that directly benefited Tesla and SpaceX. These actions triggered public protests, the "Tesla Takedown" boycott movement, and investor concerns over Musk's divided attention—ultimately harming Tesla’s reputation and market valuation.
Tesla Under the Microscope: Between Market Rebound and Financial Pressure
The technical rebound has offered investors some relief, but Tesla’s challenges extend beyond the political arena. As of 2025, the stock is down nearly 25% amid shrinking global EV demand, intensified competition, and margin pressure. In its Q1 2025 earnings report, Tesla posted \$21.3 billion in revenue, down 5% year-on-year. Net income also fell to \$1.04 billion, dragged by an aggressive discount strategy and rising operational costs. Gross margin declined to 17.2%, while free cash flow stood at \$620 million. Despite these headwinds, the company maintains a strong financial position, with \$22 billion in cash and \$7.8 billion in total debt. Tesla currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56, well above the industry average, reflecting high—though increasingly questioned—growth expectations.
Technical Outlook: Key Support Level in Sight
From a technical perspective, Tesla has found crucial support around the \$271.22 level. This bounce aligns with the beginning of a bearish consolidation cross seen on Wednesday. If the 200-day moving average remains below the 100-day and the 50-day adjusts downward, further bearish momentum could ensue. A break below this level may lead to a decline toward \$250. Conversely, a sustained recovery could push the stock toward the previous control point at \$361.93, though not before consolidating around the \$320 resistance zone. The RSI shows clear signs of extreme overselling at 19%, potentially signaling the door to an upward move.
In the short term, everything hinges on the outcome of today’s Trump–Musk conversation, which markets will be watching very closely.
Conclusion
The clash between Musk and Trump has left visible scars on the market. While a possible rapprochement may open a window for stabilization, Tesla’s financial and technical fundamentals reveal ongoing challenges. Any recovery could prove as volatile as the leadership surrounding it.
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Stock Of The Day / 06.06.25 / TSLA06.06.2025 / NASDAQ:TSLA
Fundamentals. Negative background due to the conflict between Musk and Trump.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Pullback on an uptrend
Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume.
Trading session: The primary impulse from the opening of the session was stopped at 312.70, after which a smooth, long pullback followed. At 12:00 p.m., volumes appeared and the price sharply returned and tested the level of 312.70, and the next pullback was significantly smaller than the previous one. We are considering a short trade to continue the downward movement in case of breakdown and holding the price below the level.
Trading scenario: #breakdown with retest of level 312.70
Entry: 310.94 after the breakout, retest and holding below the level.
Stop: 313.06 we hide it above the tail of the retest.
Exit: Cover the position at 279.47 when the structure of the downward trend is broken amid price acceleration and volume growth.
Risk Rewards: 1/14
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
TSLA cooling offI know Tesla lovers hate to see a short post on the stock. Okay... it's cooling off... lol.
*another news report states he's leaving gov't; trump holding on tight... we shall see
*alleged new growth story incoming... check news and see what you see
*TA (technical analysis) look like a pullback in order... 330-325
Do you see what I see? Or you are feeling like it's a straight moon shot?
Have a great weekend.