TL0 trade ideas
Why TSLA will Crash based On Copper TarrifsHere’s why that bearish outlook is gaining traction:
Copper costs are surging: Tesla uses over 180 pounds of copper per vehicle. With prices spiking 13% in a single day and a 50% tariff looming, production costs are rising fast.
Analysts are cutting price targets: UBS, JPMorgan, and Bank of America have all lowered their forecasts for Tesla, citing margin pressure and weakening demand3.
Brand sentiment is shaky: Tesla’s recent delivery miss and political controversies around Elon Musk have added to investor unease.
Tariff ripple effects: The broader trade war is expected to disrupt supply chains and inflate costs across the EV sector5.
That said, some analysts still see long-term upside if Tesla can pivot quickly—especially with its AI and autonomous driving ambitions. But for now, the market is reacting to the immediate risks.
Overall Enter Short for Gains of 3-5 percent.
Tesla (TSLA) Market UpdateTesla NASDAQ:TSLA shares dropped nearly 7% after Elon Musk dismissed analyst Dan Ives' suggestion to scale back his political activities. Musk also proposed a new pay package, raising concerns among investors about potential distractions from Tesla’s core business.
📊 Upcoming Catalyst:
Tesla is set to report its Q2 earnings on July 23, with investors eagerly awaiting updates on the company’s financial performance and the newly launched robo-taxi service in Austin, Texas.
⚠️ Sentiment:
Recent bearish headlines include:
Concerns over potential Robotaxi issues
The ongoing Trump/Elon Musk political drama
📈 Trading Opportunity (Long Setup):
Despite the negative sentiment, this dip could offer a solid long entry opportunity:
Entry Zone: $275–$270
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $315
TP2: $335
Stop Loss: Close below $265
TSLA Long Idea — Buying the Support After News-Driven DipNASDAQ:TSLA price has stabilized near the key $290–291 support zone, a level that has previously triggered rebounds. This presents a solid entry opportunity with limited downside risk.
Context: The recent drop was triggered by headlines involving the U.S. President and Elon Musk. If this was mainly speculative noise, now could be the best time to buy, as the market absorbs the news and finds technical support.
Technical Setup:
• Strong support at $290–291 holding firm.
• Stochastic is in the oversold zone and starting to turn upward.
• Bollinger Bands tightening — breakout likely.
• Target: $307.45 (+4.57%)
• Stop-loss: $289.09 (−1.68%)
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.72
Expected move by July 9, 2025. With strong technical signals and fading news impact, this setup offers a favorable risk/reward for bulls looking to ride a rebound.
Long TESLATrading Fam,
Today my indicator has signaled a BUY on $TSLA. The technicals align. M pattern looks to have completed at strong support (RED TL) and is bouncing upwards inside of a solid liquidity block. Buyers are stepping in. I'm in at $315 and will shoot for $430 (probably taking some profit along the way). My SL is currently $241 but will trail as we enter profit.
Best,
Stew
TESLA (TSLA) ARE WE HEADING TO 336? Morning Folks
It appears we are trying to break the highs of 304 and if we are successful a nice range up to 327-336 makes sense. However be careful if sink back down under 289 which then can see levels of 259 getting hit.
What are your thoughts on Tesla? Put in the comments section below
Kris Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
TSLA Caught in Tug-of-War-TA for July 10TSLA Caught in Tug-of-War: Key Gamma & Price Action Setups Unfolding ⚠️
🔍 GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis:
Tesla’s options market is highly polarized heading into the week.
* Gamma Walls: Strong Call Wall near $304–$310, showing potential upside magnet if bulls regain control. Above this, the $317.5–$320 zone could trigger a gamma squeeze.
* Put Walls: The $288–$285 zone represents a heavily defended downside, marked by high negative NET GEX and multiple put walls.
* Current GEX Bias: Negative gamma regime persists, increasing potential for volatile moves and sharp directionality.
* IVX is elevated at 61.1, with IVR 17.4, suggesting the options market is pricing in moderate near-term volatility.
📈 Options Trade Ideas:
* Bullish Setup: Consider July 12/July 19 300c–310c debit spread if price confirms reclaim of $300, targeting a gamma squeeze toward $317.5–$320.
* Bearish Setup: If price breaks below $288, buy 285p–275p vertical or 295p straight puts, expecting continuation toward $280 and below.
🕒 1H Price Action Outlook:
Tesla remains stuck in a tight consolidation wedge, showing a battle between supply at $300–304 and demand near $288–290.
* Structure: Market formed a bullish BOS earlier this week but failed to extend higher. The latest CHoCH + rejection from $300 zone suggests sellers are still active.
* Range: Coiling inside a triangle formation with tightening price action. A breakout or breakdown is imminent.
* Demand Zone: The green liquidity block around $284–$288 has held firm so far.
* Trendlines: Price is being compressed between a descending trendline (supply) and ascending trendline (demand), signaling a make-or-break moment.
🎯 Intraday Trade Plan:
* Bullish Case:
* Entry: Above $300 with volume
* Target: $304 → $310 → $317
* Stop: Below $294
* Bearish Case:
* Entry: Breakdown below $288
* Target: $284 → $280
* Stop: Above $295
💭 Final Thoughts:
TSLA is in a pressure cooker. A breakout above $300 opens the door to gamma-driven upside, but continued compression or a loss of $288 support could trigger a fast liquidation. Monitor volume closely — this wedge is near resolution.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
Important Volatility Period: Around August 21
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(TSLA 1D chart)
The medium-term trend is maintaining an uptrend.
However, if the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintains, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so caution is required.
The support zone is
1st: 222.15-235.59
2nd: 172.16
Around the 1st and 2nd above.
The 268.07-311.48 zone is an important support and resistance zone.
If the price is maintained above this zone, there is a high possibility that a full-scale upward trend will continue.
However, since a resistance zone is formed in the 347.21-382.40 zone, we need to look at how this zone is broken upward.
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When it falls to the 172.16-234.59 zone, we need to find a time to buy.
If not, we need to buy when it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 zone.
It would be better to buy at a lower price, but since the investment period will inevitably be longer, I think it is better to buy when an upward trend is detected.
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The important volatility period is around August 21st, but before that, we need to check the movement around July 25th.
If it falls below 268.07 after August 21st, it could lead to further decline.
If it rises above 311.48 and maintains the price during the movement around July 25th, it could lead to further increase and it seems likely to create a trend after the volatility period around August 21st.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Tesla Share Price at Key Technical LevelTesla’s share price has returned to a well-established upward trendline. The key question now is: will this trendline act as support and trigger a bounce, or will it be breached, attracting further selling pressure and pushing the price lower?
We’d love to hear your thoughts — will the bulls defend this level, or are the bears gaining ground?
$TSLA: Battleground stock. There’re better way to make money. In this bull market where almost all the stocks are working, NASDAQ:TSLA seems to be still in the penalty box. When NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT are at ATH and most of the Mag7 are near to the ATH. NASDAQ:TSLA is still 33% below its ATH of 484 $. And the price action is not particularly bullish. This week NASDAQ:AVGO crossed NASDAQ:TSLA with a larger Market Cap cos. May be NASDAQ:AVGO should replace NASDAQ:TSLA in MAG7. A food for thought.
With such poor price action and the price stuck within the 0.618 and 0.382 Fib retracement levels the stock has not looked bullish recently. IN this recent market reversal all the speculative sectors like Quantum, Space stocks and Drone stocks are working, NASDAQ:TSLA is still searching for direction. In my opinion NASDAQ:TSLA has a great future with a visionary leader, but it might end up being a good company but not a good stock. With controversy surrounding the leadership it has become a battle ground stock. There are many large cap liquid stocks where the positive momentum is working. Until the stock breaks out of this consolidating pattern it’s better to make money somewhere else.
Verdict: Stay on sidelines for NASDAQ:TSLA stock. Accumulate if you need to. Buy it above 400 $ once momentum is back.
TSLA at Critical Compression – Will 300 Break or Reject Again?🔍 Options Sentiment (GEX) Insight:
TSLA is currently sitting just below the $300 call wall — a key resistance level with 71.83% call gamma. This makes $300 a battleground where dealers are likely to defend against upward movement unless there's a significant catalyst or volume thrust. The highest positive call gamma is stacked at $320, making that the next magnet level if $300 is breached with strength.
Below, the $290 level is critical, hosting a major PUT wall and high-volume liquidity (HVL). A break below could trigger acceleration toward $285–$280, where the strongest negative NET GEX exists — signaling potential dealer hedging flows in favor of downside momentum.
Options Trade Ideas:
* Bullish Scenario (Breakout):
* Buy CALL if TSLA breaks and holds above $300, targeting the $310–$317.5 range.
* Ideal setup: Use 310c or 315c, 1–2 weeks out, looking for gamma squeeze.
* Bearish Scenario (Breakdown):
* Buy PUT if TSLA breaks and holds below $290, targeting $285 → $280.
* Ideal contracts: 280p or 285p, especially if IV remains low (IVR is at 21.3).
* Be cautious of chop inside the $290–$300 zone — it's gamma neutral.
📈 1-Hour Technical Structure:
TSLA is trading inside a descending wedge with a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) confirming near the lower boundary of the wedge. There is a visible bullish OB (order block) between $288–$290, which acted as support in the last two sessions.
* Trendline Resistance from recent highs still caps upward movement unless $300 is reclaimed decisively.
* A strong bullish breakout above $300 could flip the structure fully bullish and initiate trend continuation toward $320.
* Failure to hold $290 could invalidate the CHoCH and confirm a BOS (Break of Structure) back to the downside.
Intraday Trade Scenarios:
* Scalp Long:
* Entry: $297.50 (if holds and reclaims above $300)
* Target: $307 / $310
* Stop: $293.94 (below last swing)
* Scalp Short:
* Entry: Break below $288.77
* Target: $285 → $280
* Stop: $293.94
Final Thoughts:
TSLA is consolidating near a major decision zone. $300 remains the trigger level for a directional move, and option flows suggest an explosive resolution if either side breaks. Stay nimble, wait for confirmation, and trade with clear invalidation in mind.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Tesla on the Edge – Key Support or Deeper Drop?📉 Tesla on the Edge – Key Support or Deeper Drop? 🔥🔍
Tesla is in freefall, dropping nearly 9% today. The stock has plummeted from its highs near $500, now testing the critical $220-$200 support zone.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Holding $220 could trigger a relief bounce towards $275+.
📌 A breakdown below $200 could open doors to $160-$180, or worse.
🔎 What’s Happening?
Tesla, along with X and SpaceX, is under intense scrutiny amid political pressure, regulatory battles, and even cyberattacks. This aligns with the broader market uncertainty, as Bitcoin struggles to reclaim $79,478.
👀 Elon Musk is in the spotlight, facing global resistance, from social media wars to business challenges. Could this spell opportunity or more downside for Tesla?
⚡️ Will TSLA rebound, or is it heading even lower? Let me know your thoughts below!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
#Tesla #TSLA #ElonMusk #StockMarket #Trading #TechStocks
Tesla's Self-Inflicted Crisis of ConfidenceInvestors wanted Elon Musk to double down on EVs. Instead, they got a new political party and another reason to sell the stock.
Musk vs Trump: A Fight Investors Didn’t Ask For
Tesla’s latest sell-off has little to do with earnings or electric vehicles. Shares dropped 6.8% on Monday after Elon Musk announced plans to launch a new US political party, escalating his feud with Donald Trump and reigniting investor concerns about distraction at the top.
The fallout from Musk’s political re-entry has been swift. Tesla’s valuation has lost over $200 billion since late May, when Musk’s role in Trump’s short-lived government efficiency task force came to an end. His renewed focus on political activism contradicts April’s pledge to spend “far more” time on Tesla, and comes at a moment when the business is already under pressure from slowing EV sales and collapsing regulatory tailwinds.
Politics, Profits and a Shrinking Mandate
Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful bill” is slashing support for electric vehicles across the board. Gone is the $7,500 federal tax credit, set to expire in September. Gone too are the emissions penalties that allowed Tesla to bank billions in regulatory credits from legacy automakers. William Blair analysts estimate that over $2 billion in high-margin profit is now at risk.
The political clash is getting personal. Trump has mocked Musk’s behaviour as a “train wreck”, suggested deportation, and floated nationalising SpaceX. Investors, meanwhile, are left questioning whether Musk’s growing list of battles is starting to erode Tesla’s long-term advantage. The distraction risk is real, and the market is responding.
Technical Breakdown: Key Levels in Play
Tesla’s share price has woefully underperformed this year. The stock is down 22% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 is up 6%. Recent price action highlights just how vulnerable Tesla has become to the political whims of its CEO. The public fallout with Trump helped define a new swing high in May, which now acts as clear resistance. A new swing low was formed in early June, and that is now the short-term level bulls need to defend.
Adding Keltner Channels to the chart puts the recent volatility into perspective. The sideways bands and price bouncing between them show a market stuck in broad equilibrium. There’s little directional conviction, but that may be changing. Monday’s sell-off pushed Tesla below the volume-weighted average price anchored to the April lows. If the shares remain below this VWAP and break under the June swing lows, it would confirm the attempted recovery has failed and signal that the bears are back in control.
For now, Tesla isn’t trading like a high-growth innovator. It’s trading like a politically charged meme stock with no clear trend and no adult supervision.
Tesla (TSLA) Daily Candle Chart
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Tesla (TSLA) Leads Declines in the Equity MarketTesla (TSLA) Leads Declines in the Equity Market
Yesterday, President Trump announced that letters had been sent to the United States’ trading partners regarding the imposition of new tariffs — for instance, a 25% tariff on goods from Japan and South Korea. This marks a return to “trade diplomacy” under the America First strategy. The tariffs are scheduled to take effect on 1 August, though the date remains subject to revision.
As we highlighted yesterday, bearish signals had begun to emerge in the US equity market. In response to the fresh wave of tariff-related headlines, the major indices moved lower. Leading the decline — and posting the worst performance among S&P 500 constituents — were shares of Tesla (TSLA). The sell-off followed news of a new initiative by Elon Musk, who now appears serious about launching a political “America Party” to challenge both the Republicans and Democrats.
Trump criticised his former ally’s move on his Truth Social platform, and investors are increasingly concerned about the potential impact on Tesla’s business. Tesla shares (TSLA) fell by more than 6.5% yesterday, accompanied by a broad bearish gap.
Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Chart
On 2 July, our technical outlook for TSLA anticipated the formation of a broad contracting triangle in the near term. Yesterday’s price action appears to confirm this scenario:
→ The sharp move highlighted the lower boundary of the triangle (marked in red);
→ The $317 level — where the previously rising channel (marked in blue) was broken — acted as resistance.
It is worth noting that during yesterday’s session, TSLA did not fall further following the gap down. In other words, the bears were unable to extend the sell-off, suggesting that the stock may attempt a recovery towards the $317 level. This area could potentially act as a central axis within the developing triangle pattern.
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