GOLD.PRO.OTMS trade ideas
Gold price next week will continue to conquer the new peak?Brian Hello Everyone, Let's Comment on Gold Price Next Week From 31/03/2025 - April 5, 2025
World situation:
Gold prices continue to reach new highs as investors flock to this safe-haven asset, amid growing concerns about the global trade war triggered by US tariff policies. Currently closing at $3,085, up 0.94%, the yellow metal remains the optimal choice in the face of mounting worries about tariffs, trade tensions, and geopolitical instability.
US trade policy, fiscal policy, geopolitical factors, and growth slowdown will support gold prices. Forecasts suggest that $3,100 per ounce will be the next important milestone for gold prices.
Identify:
The upward trend will continue into next week, with support levels indicated on the chart providing backing for gold. Pay attention to the new all-time high, from which the upward momentum will continue to be triggered.
Technically:
Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed.
NOTE:
Note: Brian wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Well, that couldn't have gone any better today on Gold. We got the move into support we wanted to the pip, then the completion of the move up, to the pip, then the move down, to the pip! Currently the short is going well, protected and managed with support approaching here on the 4H chart at the 2997-3000 level. Unless broken, there may be an opportunity to scalp long, but is it worth it after the move we've already had!?
Support below 2995-7 needs to hold while resistance on the flip now 3010!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 3040 with targets below 3010✅, 3006✅, 2997, 2985 and below that 2978
Bullish on break of 3040 with targets above 3050, 3055, 3063 and above that 3067
RED BOXES:
Break above 3037 for 3040, 3047, 3050, 3055, 3063 and 3066 in extension of the move
Break below 3010 for 3006✅, 3000, 2997, 2990 and 2985 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD - Day Trading with RSI 04/02/2025
Weekly and Daily Timeframes (W & D):
GOLD is still in an uptrend, as the RSI's WMA45 is still hovering near the 70 level, and RSI remains above both of its moving averages.
H4 Timeframe:
This timeframe is currently showing a correction. However, it's not yet considered a downtrend because the WMA45 is still in the high region, close to the 70 level. But, RSI has dropped below the WMA45.
At present, the RSI on H4 is facing dynamic resistance from the WMA45 above and has support around the 4x level (43-48). The corresponding temporary price levels are approximately 3128 (resistance) and 3088 (support).
This end-of-uptrend correction on H4 could lead to high price volatility. GOLD may move within a 300–400 pip range (between the resistance from WMA45 and the RSI support around the 4x zone).
H1 Timeframe:
Currently in a downtrend, as RSI is moving below both of its MAs, and the WMA45 has a noticeable downward slope.
H1 also has RSI support at the 30 level (temporary price ~3086) and resistance at WMA45 above (temporary price ~3130).
Since we’re focusing on intraday trading, priority is given to the H1 trend.
Figure 1
Trading Plan: SELL
Entry Zone:
When RSI on M15 approaches upper resistance: levels 50–55 or 65–70.
Confirm Entry:
Conservative/Safe approach: when M5 ends its uptrend and reverses (see example in Figure 1 – M5 ends uptrend when RSI crosses below both MAs).
Or when bearish divergence appears on M5.
Or even earlier, when there’s divergence on M1 and M5's WMA45 flattens out.
Stoploss:
20–30 pips above M5’s recent peak.
Or if RSI on M5/M15 breaks through its previous high.
Take Profit:
100 pips or R:R >= 1:1.
Or when M5’s downtrend ends (when RSI crosses above both MAs).
You can check out the indicators I use here: www.tradingview.com
Gold intraday trading strategyGold continued to rise strongly on Friday, breaking the high and closing. The U.S. gold price stabilized at the 3067 mark and continued to rise, and finally closed back above 3085, almost the highest point of the day. The daily K-line closed with two consecutive positive days of shock and breaking the high. The overall gold price firmly stood above the 3050 mark, continuing the strong unilateral rhythm of the bulls. However, after the opening of today, the gold price continued to accelerate and pierced the 3097 mark, and then fell back under pressure and adjusted rapidly. In the short term, the gold price is expected to usher in repeated long and short fluctuations at the 3100 integer mark. Don’t chase more near 3100 at present. Although it rebounded near 3097 at the opening and then rebounded after touching the lowest level of 3077, this wave of technical adjustments is far from reaching the target. We continue to maintain the idea of retreating and going long.
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3065-73, with a focus on the 3056 first-line support below. The short-term pressure above is 3100-3106. Relying on this range during the day, the main tone of the high-altitude low-multiple cycle remains unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3065-3073, add more when it falls back to 3056, stop loss at 3045, target at 3105-3108, continue to hold if it breaks
Go short first, then go long, and grasp the rhythmGold overall rose and fell last week. After three consecutive positive weekly lines, the upper shadow line was closed. On Friday, it walked out of the adjustment space. The short-term rise slowed down slightly, and it was more inclined to fluctuate at a high level. The daily line turned negative and retreated to correct, and it was in a partial adjustment stage. In the 4H cycle, it did not stabilize above the 3047-57 mark mentioned earlier, so it walked out of the second downward exploration space, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to technical correction rather than trend reversal. From a spatial point of view, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent fundamental negatives, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to focus on whether the 3026 opening high can be recovered in the oscillation range. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035 last week's opening point; on the contrary, if it falls below the 3010 short-term moving average support, the shorts can follow the trend to the expected 3000 mark. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of MACD and the closing of Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of US CPI data on the market.
Gold operation advice: Go short after rebounding around 3030-3040. Go long after stepping back to 3010-3000.If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me. I will release specific signals in real time. Remember to pay attention in time.
Gold Technical Analysis- New ATH 3170+OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold long Now
Entry 3118/3129
1st target 3145
2nd target 3155
3rd target 3165
4th target 3185
Invalid level 1hour Candle close below 3105
XAUUSD - GOLD HITS ALL-TIME HIGH AT $3,085!
🔹 Market Outlook: Amid ongoing economic tensions and a brewing trade war, gold remains a safe-haven asset, pushing prices to new historic highs.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
📈 Elliott Wave Theory suggests a bullish continuation, with Gold expected to reach $3,096.
📊 Price is moving from $3,065 to $3,070, with key upside targets at $3,085 & $3,096.
🎯 Trading Plan:
✅ Buy on dips: Entries between $3,065 - $3,070
✅ Take Profits: $3,085 & $3,096
✅ Stop Loss: Below $3,060
✅ Risk Management: Use trailing stops to lock in profits.
📢 Stay sharp! Volatility is high – trade wisely! 🚀✨
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: SMC Trading point update
This chart is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
1. Ascending Channel:
The price is moving within an upward channel, showing a bullish trend.
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Yellow Boxes: Key support zones where price previously consolidated before moving higher.
Red Arrows: Marking resistance zones where the price faced rejection.
Green Arrows: Indicating support levels where the price bounced.
3. Current Price Action:
Price recently dropped to a key support zone (around $3,050).
A bullish reaction is expected from this level.
If support holds, the price may continue the uptrend toward the target of $3,186.
4. Projected Move:
The black zigzag line suggests a potential bounce from support.
If the support level holds, price could move back up within the channel.
Mr SMC Trading point
Conclusion:
If price respects the support zone, there could be a good buying opportunity.
A break below the support zone would signal potential bearish movement.
Monitoring price action around the yellow zone is crucial for confirming direction.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
SELL XAUUSDSELL XAUUSD due to restriction level. its time to power USD and decreasing the Gold price
DeGRAM | GOLD has grown againGOLD is above the ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower trend line, support level and has already consolidated above the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart maintains an ascending structure.
Trading volumes have decreased.
We expect XAUUSD to continue rising while the indicators are forming a bearish divergence on the 1W Timeframe. It should be taken into account that opening long positions now is quite risky.
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Gold Trade Plan 01/04/2025Dear Traders,
Since the monthly gold candlestick has closed and Trump is implementing tariffs on April 2, the market will be highly volatile. Despite this, gold is maintaining its upward trend and is expected to reach higher highs.
Currently, gold has reached the upper boundary of its channel and is reacting to this resistance. I anticipate a correction to the 3070-3080 range before continuing its rise toward approximately 3200.
Also, keep in mind that I foresee a potential gold correction to the 2980-3000 range soon.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD has broken through the key level of 3110As gold enters a tariff-sensitive week, market risk aversion has intensified. Heightened probabilities of escalating US sanctions against Russia and Iran have reignited uncertainty, driving demand for gold as the world's largest safe-haven asset. Its record-breaking rally reflects the prevailing market sentiment.
Gold is in a sustained uptrend, with bulls steadily advancing and higher lows forming alongside successive new highs. Current market conditions suggest there remains upside potential for gold prices.
For short-term gold trading today, the recommended strategy is to buy on dips as the primary approach and sell on rallies as a secondary tactic. Focus on the key short-term resistance levels at 3115-3120, and monitor the key short-term support levels at 3070-3075.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3085-3090
sl 3070
tp 3100
Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain precise signals.
Gold Analysis March 4Fundamental Analysis
Persistent concerns over the potential economic impact of US President Donald Trump’s tit-for-tat tariffs could act as a catalyst for the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, risk-off sentiment, coupled with expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle early, has caused a sharp decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, has pushed the US dollar (USD) to its lowest level since October 2024 and helped limit the downside in non-yielding gold. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to confirm that XAU/USD has topped out.
Technical Analysis
Today’s trading range is likely to see a fairly high probability of a drop. If it breaks 3116, gold will find its way back to 3081. In case gold breaks the downward structure as analyzed in the upward direction, pay attention to the SELL zone around 3148-3150. Wishing everyone a successful trading day.
Gold Price Analysis April 2The D1 candle has a red candle and the selling pressure has started to take profit of Gold but it is still unclear.
The most recent H4 candle cluster shows 2 important price zones 3135 and 3108. Breaking this boundary will form a new trend.
Trading plan: Gold pushes to 3108 and does not break this zone in the European session, then BUY GOLD to 3124. At the end of the European session, if it breaks 3124, then keep the order to 3135 and 3164 in the US session if it breaks the resistance. If it breaks 3108, do not buy anymore but wait for Sell Break out 3108, target day 3084, pay attention to the price reaction at 3100 (resistance of last night's session). If 3100 is broken, then SELL DCA, not BUY at 3100. Scenario 2: Price does not return to 3108 first but to 3124 in the European session. If it is not broken, then SELL 3124 to 3108 and breaks the 3108 area in the US session, then the TP scenario is the same as scenario 1. If 3124 is broken, then 3135 waits for a breakout when it breaks, it will be better to SELL down today. (Note the SELL scalp point around 3142)
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 3,127.89
1st Support: 3,084.91
1st Resistance: 3,146.14
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Bearish Projection - XAUUSD📉Bearish Projection - XAUUSD
📌On the 4-hour timeframe, the recent bullish trend appears to have completed its fifth wave, reaching the upper boundary of the structure. Additionally, Fibonacci extensions have surpassed the 2.618% level, indicating a potential retracement or corrective phase. Given the strong rally from $2832 to $3146, we anticipate a pullback toward the $2990 - $2945 zone, aligning with the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
The recent surge in gold prices, driven by escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty, has led to significant resistance breakouts across multiple timeframes. With the US Jobs data release** scheduled this week, we could see increased momentum supporting a bearish correction for XAUUSD.
➡️Daily Support - 3010-3000
➡️Key Level - 3056-3044
➡️Expected Price Region - 2990-2945
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
Gold Price Consolidation: Potential Rejection or Breakout?This 15-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from ICMarkets shows price consolidating within a well-defined range. The resistance zone around 3,084 is acting as a ceiling, while the support zone near 3,070 is providing a floor. The price is currently testing the upper boundary, with a possible rejection leading to a drop back towards the support zone. However, a breakout above resistance could trigger further bullish momentum. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering trades.
Note: This is not a trading signal, just my personal analysis based on current market trends.
Unstoppable, GOLD could rise in Big Data WeekOANDA:XAUUSD markets maintained solid gains in the initial reaction to higher-than-expected inflation data, with OANDA:XAUUSD surging to a record high as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset amid concerns that US President Donald Trump’s latest tariffs will spark a global trade war. It is now up more than 17% for the quarter, which would be its best quarterly performance since 1986.
PCE data slightly exceeds expectations, but has limited impact on rate cut expectations
Data showed that the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.4% month-on-month in February, above market expectations of 0.3% and in line with January.
While inflation data was somewhat upbeat, it was not enough to significantly change market expectations for a Fed rate cut.
The Fed has yet to adjust its policy rate this year, having previously cut rates three times through 2024. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by a total of 63 basis points starting in July this year, and could start cutting rates by 50 basis points by mid-year.
Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset that performs well in an environment of political and economic risk and low interest rate expectations.
Trump is about to announce "reciprocal tariffs", and the market is very wary of inflation and growth risks
The market is closely watching the Trump administration's plan to announce "reciprocal tariffs" on April 2. Trump's policies have the effect of promoting inflation, not only increasing the risk of economic recession, but also may exacerbate global trade tensions.
This is beneficial for gold prices!
Looking ahead to next week, in addition to the technical upside and current support for gold, gold prices remain well supported as US economic data continues to highlight slowing growth. Next week’s jobs data is expected to be a significant mover. Any weakness in the labor market could weigh on equities and boost safe-haven demand for gold.
Therefore, as usual, the employment data will be the focus of the economic calendar next week, and more detailed analysis will be sent to readers in the next editions. In particular, along with the economic data, traders also need to monitor how the world reacts to the implementation of US trade tariffs, which are expected to take effect on April 2. This will deeply affect the US Dollar and the price of gold, any risk of escalating tariff conflicts will cause gold prices to increase immediately.
Economic Data to Watch Next Week
Tuesday: US ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Jobs Open
Wednesday: US Global Tariffs, ADP Nonfarm Payrolls
Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI
Friday: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
XAUUSD- GOLD Sell nowXAUUSD- GOLD Selling Setup - Since Gold has reached to its highs and based on Double top reversal pattern and RSI showing Bearish Diveregence , it is expected that market is expected to begin moving in downward direction. despite the fact that market is closing . still we expect to get our TP1 hit and may Tp2 as well. What are your thoughts?
XAUUSD M15 | Bearish Fall Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3133.65, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 3119.35, a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 3150.50, which is above the swing high resistance.
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Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
You must keep your trading mind active, only in this way can you avoid too many stupid trading signals.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
GOLD UPDATESHello folks, like I said from previous note , I closed the idea with single target. with a buy/long positions at 3015.
Now I'm expecting manipulations since we have news today.
The initial target would be the previous highs.
Look for higher targets also 3100 zone.
This is only my view, I Base my idea on Fibonacci retracements expansion above.
Follow for more.
This is not a financial advice. The idea here is long and the target would be the previous high, above price 3100 is just speculation on Fibonacci.
