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GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

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11.4 Gold daily line support high position is not guaranteedIn terms of gold, the overall gold price fell last Friday. The highest price rose to 2762.08 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 2733.08, closing at 2734.94. Looking back at the details of the gold market performance last Friday, the price stopped rising in the short term after the opening of the morning session, and then maintained a state of fluctuating rise during the day. At the same time, during the US session, the price rose and fell with the help of data, and then the price continued to fall weakly, and finally ended in a big negative state on the daily line. Today, Monday morning, it opened directly with a gap down. From the low point, the 2731-2734 range is the long-short watershed position at the daily level. Pay attention to the downhill performance of this area in the future. Once it breaks down, the band is expected to be further under pressure in the future. At the same time, from the four-hour level, pay attention to the resistance of the 2755-2756 range for the time being, and wait for the subsequent price to step back and then go short. As long as the price does not temporarily break the high point of last Friday, it will be treated as short first. There are signs of correction in the short term in the one-hour chart. At the same time, the price is in the key support area of ​​the daily chart, so we will wait for the price to fall back and then go short. Once the price breaks below the 2731-2734 area, it is expected to be under further pressure.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by David_strategy
1
NOVEMBER 2024 OUTLOOKTechnical Analysis At a local high of $2,736, the gold markets demonstrates a robust upward trend with key technical indicators reflecting bullish momentum. Immediate resistance levels are anticipated near the psychological markers of $2,750 and $2,800. These round numbers often attract significant trading interest and can act as natural resistance levels as traders look to lock in profits. If we manage to surpass these levels, the next possible resistance zone may be around $2,850, where the market might encounter another wave of selling interest. On the support side, the nearest level is around $2,700, which could serve as a safety net if the price experiences a short-term pullback. Should gold dip further, the $2,650 level may offer additional support, aligning with zones where buyers have historically shown interest. This current uptrend is further confirmed by the positioning of the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, both well below the current price. The 50-day MA, likely near $2,600, serves as a dynamic support level in the short term, while the 200-day MA around $2,500 supports the long-term bullish structure. Indicators reinforce this trend, with the RSI likely approaching or exceeding 70, suggesting that the asset may be in overbought territory. This level indicates a strong bullish presence but also warns of potential profit-taking or consolidation in the near term. Meanwhile, the MACD remains positive, confirming strong upward momentum. However, declining histogram bars could hint at slowing momentum, signaling that the asset might enter a consolidation phase before deciding on its next direction. Fundamental Analysis The current elevated price level of gold reflects ongoing concerns around inflation, global economic stability, and demand for safe-haven assets. Inflation remains a driving force in the gold market, as investors often turn to gold as a hedge against rising prices, preserving purchasing power during inflationary periods. Should inflationary pressures persist, they are likely to sustain demand for gold, supporting its price at higher levels. Additionally, central bank policies play a crucial role in influencing gold prices. If the Federal Reserve or other major central banks signal a more dovish stance—such as a pause or reduction in interest rate hikes—gold could attract even more buyers, as lower rates tend to reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Global market instability is another significant factor, with geopolitical tensions and slowing economic growth driving investors toward safer assets. With concerns over potential economic downturns, gold becomes more attractive as a reliable store of value. Currency dynamics, particularly the strength of the US dollar, also play a pivotal role. Gold prices and the dollar generally have an inverse relationship; thus, any weakness in the dollar can support gold’s upward trajectory. As the dollar faces potential depreciation amidst global uncertainties, this relationship could further bolster the gold markets. Finally, seasonal trends also come into play. Historically, November can see increased volatility in gold as markets adjust positions ahead of the year-end. Demand for safe-haven assets often rises during this period, providing additional support for gold prices. This combination of inflation concerns, central bank policy shifts, economic uncertainties, and seasonal influences is likely to maintain high demand for gold through November, with room for additional gains if these factors persist. Long Term Projections Bullish Scenario: If XAU/USD maintains support above $2,700 and demand remains strong, a push toward $2,850 and possibly $2,900 could occur, particularly if global uncertainty rises or inflation expectations grow. Bearish Scenario: If the price falls below $2,700, a pullback toward $2,650 or even $2,600 could ensue. Bearish momentum may pick up if the dollar strengthens unexpectedly or if economic stability improves. Consolidation: Given the high RSI, consolidation between $2,700 and $2,750 may occur if traders take profits and wait for new catalysts before pushing prices higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingsFX_official
XAUUSD 3M 1. Elliott Wave Structure and Key Levels Wave 5 Completion (2,747.14): The fifth wave peaks around $2,747.14, reaching a 1.618 extension, suggesting this could be a point of reversal. The formation of volume divergence at this level indicates potential weakness in bullish momentum, marking a critical level to watch for a possible trend change. Wave 1 (Current Correction Phase): The chart shows a beginning corrective move from Wave 5, indicating an A-B-C structure may follow. This corrective phase could bring prices down to fill previous gaps and approach key support levels. 2. Wyckoff Phases and Distribution Structure Phase A (Accumulation - $1,046.23 to $1,512.84): This phase includes a consolidation around the $1,046.23 low and forms the base before a significant rally. The Automatic Rally (AR) and Secondary Test (ST) suggest the end of Phase A and a potential upward shift in market sentiment. Phase B (Mark Up and Distribution at Resistance): After accumulation, prices move up in a mark-up phase, testing the Resistance Line of BC Distribution. This area includes Upthrust (UT) and Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD), which are signs of potential distribution before a downtrend. Phase C (Breakdown Expected): Phase C may involve the start of a downtrend from Wave 5, with price likely returning to lower levels for further testing. This phase includes the Sign of Weakness (SOW) and anticipates a retest of support near $1,512.84. 3. Fibonacci Levels 0.618 Retracement ($890.62): The 0.618 retracement level is marked as a strong support, below which price should not pass without invalidating the bullish wave structure. This level could act as a long-term support area during the corrective phase. 1.236 Extension ($2,369.74): The 1.236 level marks a significant potential reversal area for Wave 5. A move back to this level could signal the completion of a deeper pullback, possibly a key point of interest for traders looking for long-term entries. 4. Liquidity and Key Order Blocks Liquidity Void: The chart highlights a liquidity void in the three-month time frame (3M), representing an area where price may revisit to fill previous inefficiencies. This void may act as a magnet, attracting price downward in the corrective phase. Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) Area: The Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) near the recent highs represents a key area where stop losses and limit orders are likely concentrated. This region may experience volatility as larger players look to capitalize on retail stop losses. 5. Support and Resistance Lines Resistance Line - BC Distribution ($1,720.00): The $1,720.00 level acts as a key resistance line in the distribution phase. A break above or below this level in Phase B may confirm the direction of the trend and could signal a shift in momentum. Support Line - AR Distribution ($1,512.84): The $1,512.84 level serves as a critical support in the accumulation phase and may act as a bottom if the market revisits this area in the corrective structure. 6. Break of Structure (BOS) and Market Sentiment Shifts BOS Wave 3 (12M): The Break of Structure (BOS) in Wave 3 on the 12-month chart signals a major structural shift, often indicating the end of one trend and the beginning of another. This point may see increased volatility and shifts in market sentiment. BOS in Phase B (3M): The BOS within Phase B on the three-month time frame highlights potential points of interest for continuation or trend reversal. It indicates that a shift in sentiment may occur, influencing market participants to prepare for trend changes. 7. Dealing Ranges and Points of Control (POC) Dealing Range (12M-3M): This range, marked at recent swing high and low levels, provides a boundary for price movement, with the Point of Control (POC) likely aligning with high-volume areas. The dealing range helps in identifying areas where price could consolidate or reverse. Current Trend (Dealing Range for Wave 4): The range defined for Wave 4, including swing highs and lows, offers insight into the ongoing market structure. Observing price behavior within this range helps to gauge the momentum of the corrective wave. 8. Next Week’s Trading Plan Primary Strategy: The corrective phase is expected to continue, with a probable downward move to fill liquidity voids and test lower support areas. Key Target Levels: Downside Targets: Monitor support around $1,720.00 (Resistance Line) and $1,512.84 (Support Line). These levels could provide entry points if price tests and holds as support. Upside Targets: Watch for potential shorting opportunities if price retests resistance near the recent swing high at $2,747.14. Risk Management: Stop-loss orders should be placed above recent highs around $2,800.00 to manage risk if there’s an unexpected upward move. Volume and Price Action: Look for volume divergence or signs of weakness near resistance levels, especially around the 1.618 level ($2,747.14), as they could signal a trend reversal. Summary of Key Points Wave 5 likely completed at $2,747.14, with a corrective A-B-C structure now underway. Wyckoff Distribution phase suggests further downside as Phase C unfolds, targeting key support levels. Liquidity voids and POC levels act as magnets for price, which may revisit these areas during corrections. The Resistance Line at $1,720.00 and Support Line at $1,512.84 are essential for tracking entry and exit points in line with the current downtrend.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by spacedevil
Gold Hits 3-Week Low: Recovery or Further Decline?Gold prices dropped over 3% to a 3-week low on Wednesday (Nov 6) as the USD strengthened following Donald Trump’s victory. Gold has reached a critical support level around 2,642.534 USD/oz, acting as a key "stop point." If strong buying interest emerges here, gold may see a short-term recovery. However, if this support level doesn’t hold, the next downside target could be 2,588.110 USD/oz, where additional buying pressure is expected. The 34 and 89 EMA lines are currently above the price, indicating that the downtrend still dominates. To confirm a recovery, the price needs to climb back above lost resistance levels. Conversely, if selling pressure persists and the price stays below the EMAs, the downward trend is likely to intensify. Investors should closely monitor price reactions at these support and resistance levels, especially as global political and economic factors could lead to strong market volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Zola_Hello
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,759.46 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2,790.71 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 2,715.59 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
More Bearish Moves In ComingAs the year draws to a close, we’ve seen gold maintain a strong bullish trend throughout. However, with the year-end approaching, banks, institutions, hedge funds, and other major market players are likely to start unwinding their long positions. This shift could create increased bearish momentum for gold from now until the end of the year. For November, I expect continued bullish action as these institutions gradually reduce their long exposure, creating short-term buying pressure. After this phase, I anticipate a period of consolidation before price resumes a downward push. If gold price consolidates around the 2760.00 level, I’ll be watching for an opportunity to short down to the 2680.00 range, which could provide solid support. Should price break below this consolidation pattern, we can expect a continued bearish trend to unfold. However, if price holds within the pattern without breaking lower, it may signal a continuation of the current upward movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by laurettaelorm
The world gold price suddenly went into limboMarex analyst Edward Meir said: "Investors are buying when gold prices are on the rise. This strategy was maintained throughout the US election because there was a lot of volatility." Ms. Kamala Harris - Vice President of the Democratic Party - currently has a support rate of 46%, temporarily leading former President Donald Trump who has a support rate of 43%. Gold prices rose more than 4% in October as investors poured money into safe assets, partly due to tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty in the US election. Markets are now focusing on the US nonfarm payrolls report for clues about the health of the world's largest economy. Traders see a 95% chance that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, according to CME's FedWatch tool. Zero-yielding gold thrives in a low interest rate environment. Data just released US labor costs recorded the smallest increase in more than three years in the third quarter, while the number of Americans filing new unemployment claims fell to a five-month low last week. before.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
UNSTAOPABLE FALL OF GOLD (NFP BEAR BIAS)The Gold Market experience a drop to the downside with investors taking out some profits yesterday. Now following up with fundamentals like Unemployment claims for the month of October, we looking forward to an increase in employment rate and decrease to unemployment rates therefore, the earnings for October should be higher as the big techs recorded huge gains. Technical Factors remains bullish for the longer term, only a marginal drop not extending below 2700 then a push to the upside for the Christmas season. NFP SIGNALS IN ANTICIPATION Selling Gold with my Team and hold to the 2700 levels before we look for more buys to 2800 and 3000 respectively
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by just1journal
Bears are strong, follow the trendGold fell sharply on Thursday, and the current price fell below the previous low. The key is whether it can continue today. Today is the first day of the monthly line change, and the amplitude space is large. The probability of covering this month is very high. The four-hour rebounded at the lower track support, breaking the bottom as a whole. It is currently in a weak rebound, and the overall situation is short! Gold fell sharply in the NY market yesterday, and the daily high fell and covered. Gold still has downward momentum after the rebound. Gold in the Asian session continues to be short, and plans to be around 2758! The rebound is to give a better opportunity to short. Today's non-agricultural data, gold shorts will continue to exert their strength, and we will remain cautious in trading. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a dead cross downward, then the downward space of gold will continue to open up. Trading strategy: 2727~2758 range sell high and buy low. But exit the market before the release of NFP data, and wait for the market to stabilize before trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-goldFX
Gold Market Outlook: Analyzing Buy Signals and ATH PossibilitiesA great purchase opportunity is indicated by our current market analysis , which shows a tested support level at 2735-2730 . Given these indicators, the market might hit a new all-time high (ATH) . My research suggests that XAUUSD is a good buy , especially as fundamentals imply that the dollar may depreciate , likely strengthening gold’s value. Additionally, we can expect selling pressure around the supply level of 2773-2780 , but I’m also confident that NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) shows a compelling buying opportunity . A* boost would be greatly appreciated if you found this analysis useful; it’s always encouraging to know my observations are understood!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by bluechipfx
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week, which we have been tracking and trading for the last two weeks and only updating the retracement and swing range, as we go on. Last week we stated that we had candle body close gap open to at 2737 on market open but needed ema5 cross and lock will further confirm this. - This played out last week perfectly and gave us the mea5 lock confirmation followed with the target hit. We also stated that we had a bearish target below at 2715. - This target a=was also completed last week We now have a candle body close above 2737 opening 2760 and ema5 cross and lock will further confirm and solidify this gap. We have support below at 2737 and weighted support at 2715. A break below the weighted support will open the range below otherwise we are likely to see bounces from these support levels. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2760 (EMA5 LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL FURTHER CONFIRM THIS) POTENTIALLY 2779 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2779 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2797 POTENTIALLY 2814 BEARISH TARGETS 2737 2715 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2715 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2693 - 2669 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
Gold Roadmap==>>Short term!!!The recent CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings reports are both pivotal indexes for gold’s market reaction. A lower-than-expected JOLTS report , indicating fewer job openings, suggests possible economic slowing, which tends to support higher gold prices as investors look for safe-haven assets. On the other hand, if the Consumer Confidence Index shows strength, it can signal economic resilience, potentially reducing demand for gold as risk-on assets may become more attractive. Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in ✅ yesterday's post ✅. Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that we should wait for wave 4 of Gold in the 15-minute time frame . Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Gold to decline to at least the Support zone($2,761-$2,756) and the Uptrend line . ⚠️Note: If Gold goes over PRZ, we have to wait for $2,800(at least)⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Yesterday we said we would continue with the plan and look to complete our targets which has worked well today. Our red boxes performed well as well as our bias bearish below level which gave the tap and bounce from 2771, we wanted 2770. Targets completed today: 2755, 2762, 2768 This leaves us with one target level remaining sitting at the 2779 and 2780 price points, which if we can support at the indicated levels we feel should be achieved. We're too high now again to long so unless we get a pullback, we'll follow the plan and look for RIPs from the higher levels for the attempt to short. A great day on the markets completing not only the gold targets but another 10 targets hit across the other pairs we apply the algo to. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
3
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that last week, before filling the gap between $2715.5 and $2716.5, the price started rising from the $2717 area and managed to reach $2747.7. After closing at this level on Friday, we saw that over the weekend, with global markets closed, Israel launched its attack on Iran. However, since this attack was lighter than expected, the markets opened today with a large negative gap in gold. The price opened around $2734, with over a 130-pip gap, but within a few hours, this gap was filled as the price rose to $2744. As you can see on the chart, there are currently two remaining price gaps. One is between $2715.5 and $2716.5, and the other is between $2744.5 and $2747.2. Which gap do you think will be filled first? Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
23