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GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

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3.3 Short-term technical analysis of goldThe gold market completed its February structure last week. Looking back at the market in February, the market fell back after opening at 2880.9 at the beginning of the month. The monthly line reached a low of 2770.47 and then the market fluctuated and rose strongly. The monthly line reached a high of 2956.3 and then the market fell back due to profit-taking in the late trading. The monthly line finally closed at 2859 and closed in an inverted hammer pattern with an upper shadow longer than the lower shadow. After the end of this pattern, the market will have certain pressure to continue to adjust in early March. However, the large cyclical bullish pattern is complete and the trend is still bullish.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
BEARS ARE TRAPPED - $2990's SOONAs illustrated, Im visualizing a strong beginning to a historical bullish MARCH. On average in 15, 10, and 5 years, MARCH has been mostly bullish. To anticipate a bullish march, FEB must make sense and leave a few clues that could indicate a healthy setup for a potential buy opportunity. In this case, FEB made a natural correction toward the end of the month which makes total sense and it is completely appropriate and necessary to setup March for what COULD be next: A STRONG BULLISH MARCH that could potentially take the yellow metal to see $3,000 USD/Oz for its first time in history. The setup looks beautiful; with a bullish engulfing candle closing above previous candles, and such bounce having taken place below a major daily support and very near FEB's breaker block that served as a major support - trampoline level for the month (of February) to expand so strongly. Market has grabbed liquidity at a discount price level, below the 50% retracement of the expansive move of FEB; yet another positive sign of a potential continuation to the upside since: THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND . I could be off in my timing by 1 week; maybe 2 AT MOST.. But there will be a continuation simply because the demand for gold just keeps rising with all the BS going on around the world + USA's insane tariffs THAT COME INTO EFFECT IN MARCH ... JOIN THE DOTS @!#$% ... -- GOOD LUCK!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
Tokyo Session Playbook – Monday, March 4, 2025📅 Session Context: ✅ Friday’s Closing Impact – End-of-week profit-taking & Smart Money positioning ✅ Monday’s Open Setup – Liquidity resets & possible stop hunts ✅ End of Month → New Month Flows – Portfolio rebalancing impact ✅ Trump’s Tariff Policies & Global Risk Sentiment – Risk-on/risk-off flows into gold ✅ Upcoming Key Economic Data – Asian market sentiment will react to global factors Considerations for Tokyo Session 🔹 Fundamental Impact – Economic News & Trump Tariffs Trump’s Tariff Policies → More global uncertainty = Bullish for Gold Chinese Market Reaction → Strong demand from China usually supports Gold US Dollar Strength → If USD weakens, Gold will push higher 🔹 VSA & Market Maker Logic If VSA shows Weak Buying → Expect early liquidity sweep & reversal. If VSA shows Strong Buying → Institutions are preparing for London breakout. Market Makers will likely trap retail traders before big moves. Asia will set the liquidity traps for London & NYC expansion. Tokyo will likely liquidate weak hands before a decisive move during London/NYC. 🔷 Key Technical Levels ✅ POC (Point of Control) → $2,857.44
✅ VAH (Value Area High) → $2,868.00
✅ VAL (Value Area Low) → $2,849.00
✅ VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) → $2,853.14 📌 Interpretation: Above VWAP ($2,853) → Tokyo session will try to push price toward $2,868-$2,875 (liquidity grab zone). Below VWAP ($2,853) → Expect a dip into $2,849-$2,832 to clear stop losses before a reversal. 🔷 How Tokyo Will Play the Game Scenario 1: Bullish Play (Strong Gold Demand in Asia) ✅ Trigger: Smart Money absorbs liquidity at $2,849-$2,853 and price holds above VWAP.
✅ Institutional Confirmation: Positive Delta & Increasing Bid Volume Absorption at liquidity zones (VAL & VWAP)
✅ Execution Plan: BUY: $2,849 - $2,853 STOP LOSS: Below $2,832 TARGETS: TP1: $2,868 (VAH) TP2: $2,875 (Liquidity Pool) TP3: $2,885 (Breakout Target) 🎯 Why This Works? Asia accumulates long positions before sending price higher in London. Gold demand in Asia is strong due to risk-hedging. Expect a slow grind up before liquidity spikes in London. Scenario 2: Bearish Play (Liquidity Grab Before Reversal) ✅ Trigger: Price spikes to $2,868-$2,875 but rejects with weak buying pressure.
✅ Institutional Confirmation: Negative Delta & Sell Imbalances Above VAH Large Orders Absorbing Buys (Liquidity Trap)
✅ Execution Plan: SELL: $2,868 - $2,875 (Fakeout Zone) STOP LOSS: Above $2,885 TARGETS: TP1: $2,853 (VWAP) TP2: $2,849 (VAL) TP3: $2,832 (Deep Reversal Zone) 🎯 Why This Works? Institutions fake the bullish move, trap retail longs, then dump the price. Gold has a history of early session stop-hunts before reversing. High probability of selling pressure before London takes control. Tokyo Session Execution Plan 🔥 Primary Play: BUY THE DIP (Bullish Accumulation Plan)
✅ ENTRY: $2,849 - $2,853 (If price holds above VWAP)
✅ STOP LOSS: Below $2,832
✅ TAKE PROFITS: TP1: $2,868 TP2: $2,875 TP3: $2,885 🔥 Alternate Play: SHORT THE FAKEOUT (Bearish Rejection Plan)
✅ ENTRY: $2,868 - $2,875 (If price rejects with weak delta)
✅ STOP LOSS: Above $2,885
✅ TAKE PROFITS: TP1: $2,853 TP2: $2,849 TP3: $2,832
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Down for goldHi traders, Last week XAUUSD started up and consolidated. The corrective pattern is not finished yet so I wait for more development. Next week we could see one more move down to finish a crrection down. But let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for more development. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EduwaveTrading
GOLD 4 HOURS MOVE WILL POSSIBLE AFTER WEEKEDThe daily chart for the XAU/USD pair shows is little changed for a second consecutive day, yet at the same time, it posted a lower high and a lower low, which skews the risk to the downside. However, the same chart shows that intraday dips below a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) quickly attract buyers. Technical indicators, in the meantime, remain within positive levels, although with uneven strength. The near-term picture shows buyers battling to retain control. The XAU/USD pair is currently developing above all its moving averages, although a flat 100 SMA stands at $2,911.50. The 20 SMA, in the meantime, advances below the longer one. Finally, technical indicators diverge around their midlines, with the Momentum indicator aiming lower yet the Relative Strength Index (RSI) advancing. The bearish potential remains limited, with dips likely to keep attracting buyers. Support levels: 2,911.50 2,894.25 2,876.90 Resistance levels: 2,927.90 2,941.40 2,956.10 Fundamental Overview Spot Gold consolidated in the $2,910 region for most of this Thursday, attracting buyers on an intraday dip to $2,891.27. Financial markets kept swinging at the pace of sentiment, with prevalent demand for safety maintaining the bright metal afloat.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_Gold_Signals
XAU/USD 07 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent. Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Today's gold 19-20 short, waiting for the evening non-agriculturGold, yesterday's trend also caught the market off guard. Before the non-agricultural results are released, it is very likely to continue to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term. At present, the amplitude of the volatility is too large. The current support below is maintained at the 90 line, and the pressure above is maintained at the 20 line. In the short term, we can do some volatile operations around this range. Once a breakthrough occurs, we can continue to follow up in the later period. The previous value of non-agricultural is 14.3, and it is expected to reach 16. The value in the evening is likely to be higher than 16, which may also achieve a negative effect. In the day, we still wait for the bulls to pull back and short around 19-20, with a target of around 05-90 and a loss of 28.5.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Labaron
2
XAUUSD | GOLD Reaching Exhaustion – Potential Reversal Incoming?📌 Gold at Key Resistance – Will the Bulls Hold? 🔸 Gold has been on a strong bullish rally, but it's now testing a major supply zone at $2,908 - $2,910. 🔸 The recent upside was fueled by inflation concerns, a weakening USD, and safe-haven demand. 🔸 However, with Fed speakers hinting at no early rate cuts, gold could face pressure. 🏦 Interest Rate Outlook & Dollar Strength 🔹 The Fed’s higher-for-longer stance remains a key headwind for gold. 🔹 If bond yields rise, gold could see profit-taking, leading to a potential correction. 🌎 Market Sentiment & Economic Data 🔸 Traders are eyeing the upcoming NFP report & Powell’s speech, which could trigger volatility. 🔸 If economic data remains strong, gold might struggle to maintain bullish momentum. 🔍 Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe) 🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure 🔹 Supply Zone: $2,908 - $2,910 (Strong resistance) 🔹 Support Levels: 🔸 $2,710 – First potential retracement level. 🔸 $2,521 – Major demand zone (high probability buy area). 🔄 Potential Bearish Reversal Setup 📌 Price is testing strong resistance, indicating a possible pullback. 📌 Rejection & weak bullish momentum suggest a shift in market structure. 📌 Bearish confirmation if price fails to break and hold above $2,910. 📊 Trade Plan 📉 Bearish Scenario ✅ Sell if price fails to break resistance → Target: $2,710 & $2,521 ❌ Invalidated if price breaks & holds above $2,910 📈 Bullish Alternative 🔹 If price holds above $2,910, we could see a breakout towards new highs. 🔥 Final Thoughts: Gold is at a critical decision point! Will we see a strong rejection, or is a breakout coming? Comment below! 📉👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
Gold, beware of a high-rise fallGold maintained a shock-washing mode yesterday, but eventually pulled up again to around 2930. In yesterday's article, the emphasis was on the idea of ​​going long. Yesterday, we saw gold fall in the morning and evening, both suggesting going long. No matter how the market moves, no matter how the main force washes, direction is above all else, and the point determines the outcome. In a shock market, although it is bullish, once it enters the middle position, it will be extremely passive, so it is necessary to get stuck and be patient. At present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2930, and the short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term maintains a high-level shock operation. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the momentum was obviously insufficient. After being under pressure near 2930, it fell again. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, there is a high probability of shocks around a high-level large range. Even if it does not break through, the short-term is just a callback again, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to shock in a high-level large range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish. Operation plan, the long positions last night are still held after reducing positions. Today, focus on whether it will break through 2930 again. If it still cannot break through 2930 to create a new high, all long positions need to be exited. If it breaks through 2930 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2930-2945 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. In the short term, once the pressure area is touched and a short signal appears, the short-term intraday short-term can wait for the opportunity to go short and see the support area below the retracement is concentrated in the 2900-2890 area. At the same time, this area is the area where pressure turns to support after the breakthrough. Therefore, to do more, you also have to wait for the retracement to this area again before there is room for operation. Since it has been characterized as a volatile market, do not chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for the operation position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Labaron
1
Gold Trend Today - Continue to Increase?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: 👉Gold prices held steady on Thursday as speculation grew that U.S. President Donald Trump might ease some tariffs, particularly those related to automobiles under the USMCA trade agreement. However, uncertainty persists, and XAU/USD remains largely unchanged at $2,919. 👉On the economic front, ADP data showed a significant slowdown in private-sector job growth for February compared to January. Meanwhile, the latest ISM Services PMI indicated continued business expansion. Despite this, concerns over rising inflation linger, as the Prices Paid sub-index surged above 60, signaling that producers are facing higher costs, which could lead to another wave of inflation. 👉As a result, money market traders adjusted their expectations for rate cuts in 2025, pricing in 71.5 basis points of easing, down from 81 bps on Tuesday. 👉On the geopolitical side, a senior aide to Ukraine’s President Zelensky discussed peace efforts with the U.S. National Security Advisor, with both sides agreeing to an upcoming meeting. This development, along with rising U.S. Treasury bond yields, could exert downward pressure on gold prices. Personal opinion: 👉Gold will have a bounce back to the trend line and then bounce back following the main uptrend 👉Note: prioritize evaluating the latest information on President Trump's tariffs Analysis: 👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy GOLD 2900 – 2903 (European session) ❌SL: 2895 | ✅TP: 2910 – 2916 – 2926 👉Sell GOLD 2953 – 2955 ❌SL: 2961 | ✅TP: 2948 – 2942 – 2936 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis: 1. Trend Analysis: • 1H Chart: Clear uptrend with a pullback and price stabilizing near 2918. • 15M Chart: Price has been consolidating after a recovery from a dip. • 3M Chart: Market is forming higher lows, showing strength. 2. Indicators: • MACD: • 1H Chart: Bullish momentum, MACD line above signal line. • 15M Chart: MACD recovering from a dip. • 3M Chart: Weakening bearish momentum, signaling potential reversal. • RSI: • 1H Chart: 53.84 (neutral, with room for upside). • 15M Chart: 50.50 (balanced, indicating neither overbought nor oversold). • 3M Chart: 57.78 (leaning bullish). 3. Support & Resistance Levels: • Support: 2910, 2895 • Resistance: 2928, 2946 Fundamental Analysis: • Gold’s recent movement is supported by: • Dollar weakness due to expectations of Fed rate cuts. • Geopolitical uncertainty keeping gold as a safe-haven asset. • U.S. Treasury Yields stabilizing, giving gold more upside room. Trade Execution: • Entry: 2918 • Stop Loss (SL): 2908 (10 points) • Take Profit (TP): 2938 (20 points) • Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 Rationale for Trade: • Momentum is bullish across timeframes. • Good confluence of technical and fundamental factors supporting upside. • Risk is well-managed with a strong RRR of 2:1. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Xauusd surely fly XAU/USD trades near a fresh weekly high of $2,929.65, with higher highs in sight. The bright metal benefited from the broad US Dollar’s (USD) weakness, the latter affected by tepid United States (US) data and President Donald Trump’s massive tariffs on trade partners. President Trump addressed Congress late on Tuesday and played down the potential negative effects of his latest round of tariffs. “. There'll be a little disturbance, but we're okay with that. It won't be much,” Trump said, adding that reciprocal tariffs on trading partners will come into effect
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
GOLDThe ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and ISM Services PMI might affect the DXY (US Dollar Index) and Gold trade directional bias today: 1. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (2:15 PM) Forecast: 141,000 jobs Previous: 183,000 jobs Impact on DXY: Stronger-than-expected data: Could strengthen the DXY as it suggests a robust labor market, potentially leading to tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. Weaker-than-expected data: Might weaken the DXY if it indicates a slowdown in job creation, potentially leading to looser monetary policy expectations. Impact on Gold: Stronger-than-expected data: Could put downward pressure on gold prices as a strong labor market might lead to increased risk appetite and expectations of higher interest rates. Weaker-than-expected data: Might boost gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets in response to economic uncertainty. 2. ISM Services PMI (4:00 PM) Forecast: 52.5 Previous: 52.8 Impact on DXY: Above-forecast data: Could support the DXY by indicating a healthy services sector, which is a significant part of the U.S. economy. Below-forecast data: Might weaken the DXY if it suggests a slowdown in the services sector, potentially impacting economic growth. Impact on Gold: Above-forecast data: Could reduce demand for gold as a strong services sector might boost risk appetite and reduce the need for safe-haven assets. Below-forecast data: Might increase demand for gold as investors become cautious about economic growth. Overall Trade Directional Bias: DXY: A strong ADP report combined with a robust ISM Services PMI could support the DXY, while weaker-than-expected data in both could lead to a decline. Gold: Conversely, weaker-than-expected data in both reports could boost gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets, while strong data might reduce demand for gold. Trading Strategy: Buy DXY/Short Gold: If both reports are stronger than expected. Sell DXY/Long Gold: If both reports are weaker than expected. Neutral or Wait: If the reports are mixed or align closely with forecasts, as market reactions might be muted. CHART REPORT ; buyers broke out of ascending bullish trendline and failed to create a new high above 2920,a sustain move above 2920 will open 2947 as the next supply roof, as more pressure persist we could see 2957-2966 as final supply roof.the price movement is trapped between 2920 and 2900 awaiting clear directional bias from economic data print(ADP AND ISM) from the floor 2880-2885 is a good discount for buyers to resume buying and below 2880-2885 is 2870-2867 for buy. the market need buy liquidity to upswing, stay alert
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
If rejection happens again at $2,920, expect a drop to $2,892📊 Deep Real-Time Analysis of XAU/USD (15m Chart) 🔥 March 5, 2025 – Market Structure, Candlestick Pattern & Trade Decision 📌 Key Observations From Your Chart: 1️⃣ Price Action & Market Structure ✔ Price is consolidating between $2,910 - $2,920 (red box) → This is a tight range, signaling potential breakout or breakdown. ✔ Multiple wicks rejecting $2,920 → Indicates strong resistance at this level. ✔ Higher lows forming → Suggests bullish accumulation, but price needs to break above $2,920 - $2,926 for confirmation. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels 🔹 Strong Institutional Support: $2,910 → Minor liquidity zone (held multiple times). $2,900 - $2,902 → Strong institutional demand. $2,890 - $2,892 → Next key institutional support. 🔸 Major Institutional Resistance: $2,920 - $2,926 → Immediate breakout level. $2,930 - $2,950 → Strong supply zone. 📉 Candlestick Pattern Analysis (Last 5 Candles - 15m Chart) 1️⃣ Candle #1 (Left-most) Bearish rejection candle → Price tried to break above $2,920 but failed. Wick on top suggests selling pressure. 2️⃣ Candle #2 Indecision Doji → Shows hesitation between buyers and sellers. Market is waiting for confirmation. 3️⃣ Candle #3 Bullish engulfing candle → Indicates some buyers stepping in. Failed to close above $2,920, which is a warning. 4️⃣ Candle #4 Weak bullish candle → Lower wick shows buyers are defending $2,910, but strength is lacking. 5️⃣ Current Candle (Live) Attempting to push up but still under resistance. If this candle closes strong above $2,920, bullish breakout likely. If rejection happens again at $2,920, expect a drop to $2,900 or lower. 📢 Trade Decision – Should You Buy or Sell? 📍 Best Trade Setup Based on Current Data ✅ Buy Setup (ONLY IF Breaks Above $2,920) 📍 Entry: Buy at $2,921 - $2,922 (Breakout Entry) 🎯 Target: TP1: $2,926 TP2: $2,930 TP3: $2,950 ❌ Stop-Loss: $2,910 (Below current structure). ❗ DO NOT Buy Yet – Wait for a Clean Break Above $2,920. 🚨 Short Setup (Higher Probability Trade Right Now) 🔻 Short XAU/USD Now at $2,918 - $2,920 (Sell on Rejection) 📍 Entry: $2,918 - $2,920 (Sell if price rejects this zone again) 🎯 Target: TP1: $2,910 TP2: $2,900 TP3: $2,892 ❌ Stop-Loss: Above $2,926 (Invalidates short thesis). 🔥 Final Verdict – Sell Now or Buy Later? 📌 Best Trade Right Now: SHORT XAU/USD at $2,918 - $2,920. 📌 Only Buy if price breaks and closes above $2,921. 💰 Execute with confidence & monitor order flow for confirmation! 📊🔥
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MAHARLIKA_FX