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GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

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Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1 The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4 Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7 However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon. Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price. Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy. Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices. Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings. The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment. Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking. However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power. Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run. In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3091.4 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3108.1 My Stop Loss - 3083.4 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY? In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability. Markets across the board took a hit: 📉 US, European, and Asian equities 📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red. 🔍 So, What Actually Happened? Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell. Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time? ➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos. 📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes. 🧨 The Start of Something Bigger? Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings. Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain. If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off. 📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating: ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected) Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9) New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell 👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy. 🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become. Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous. 🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire. 🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner? Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations: A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025 Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2) There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control. ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action Right now, your best position might be… no position. "Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take." This isn’t the time to chase wild price action. It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion. 📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD 🔺 Resistance: 3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167 🔻 Support: 3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054 SL: 3050 TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 💬 Final Thoughts The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm. Gold is in the eye of that storm. Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control. 📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades. Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital. 🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Aggressive sell set up🔍 Institutional Liquidity Analysis • Liquidity Zones: • Above: $3,118–$3,120 (weak highs & EQH) • Below: $3,111–$3,108 (liquidity pool & EMA cluster) • Point of Control (POC: $3,114.33) just under current price → suggests price may sweep down before true move • Volume Clusters: Exhaustion at current candle top (weak bullish imbalance). Institutions may be preparing a liquidity sweep soon. ⸻ 📈 Momentum Indicators • RSI (1m): Entering overbought territory → signal for short-term reversal • MACD (15m): Still bearish but trying to cross bullish, early confirmation • VWAP: Price hovering just above VWAP zone, potential for mean reversion • EMA 50 & 200: Tightening up – possible micro-pullback or trap setup ⸻ 📰 News Impact Summary Recent headlines from TradingView suggest: • Gold hit all-time highs but reversed due to Trump Tariff headlines and risk-off shift • Macro tone is now uncertain, with gold reacting to short-term risk sentiment, not long-term dovish Fed policy • Sentiment = Neutral to Bearish, especially after euphoric highs were sold off ⸻ 🛑 Trade Decision: SELL SETUP (High Probability – 75-80%) Price is entering minor supply, and forming equal highs just under $3,118 – classic trap pattern for liquidity sweep. Entry: $3,116.50 – $3,118.00 (watch for rejection wicks or engulfing patterns on 1m) Stop Loss: Above $3,120.50 (above weak high + institutional wick trap) Take Profit Targets: 1. TP1: $3,111.50 → POC retest zone 2. TP2: $3,108.00 → Demand zone base 3. TP3: $3,104.00 → Discount rebalance Risk-Reward: Minimum 3.2:1 R:R ⸻ 🚨 Final Institutional Verdict: 🔴 SELL at Premium! Price is now in a liquidity engineering zone, with high likelihood of pullback toward POC or lower imbalance. Institutions likely to grab liquidity above equal highs, then rotate price lower. ⸻ ⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan • Confirm on 1m with bearish engulfing OR SFP wick • Volume spike + RSI > 70 = trigger for entry • Monitor order book flow and footprint for absorption near $3,116–$3,118 ⸻ WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! Let’s trap the trap! Institutions are hunting liquidity – we hunt with them! SELL NOW and BANK those pips! 💰🔥📉🚨💣💵
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
NFP - Shorting GoldThe gold market experienced huge fluctuations on Thursday, which created very good profits for us. During the entire trading process, we seized the profits of fluctuations of more than $50. The unemployment rate and NFP data during the US trading session on Friday, as well as Powell's speech on the economic outlook, are the focus of Friday's trading. Judging from the data released in March, the unemployment rate and NFP are more likely to be bearish for gold, so when trading data, my plan is to focus on short positions. At present, in terms of technical form, the indicators show that the bulls have not ended. In this case, the transaction needs to pay attention to the 3123/3136 resistance. If it cannot break through, the price is expected to fall again to 3103 or even 3086. Overall, today's trading focus is to sell at high levels.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices 1. Impact of tariff policies - Base tax rate 10% + "reciprocal tariffs": Trump's radical tariff policy far exceeds market expectations, directly triggering concerns about escalating global trade frictions and triggering market risk aversion demand. 2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar: Tariffs may weaken the competitiveness of US exports, and the Federal Reserve may introduce loose policies, which will put pressure on the US dollar and further support gold. 3. Gold's safe-haven properties have exploded Gold, as a hard currency without sovereign credit risk, has become a "safe haven" for funds. 4-hour cycle: Confirmation of strong structure: 3100 support: Multiple retracements have not been broken, forming an "ascending triangle" consolidation pattern, and a sharp breakthrough in the early trading confirms the continuation of the trend. Target forecast: Short-term: US$3,200 (integer psychological barrier + fermentation of risk aversion). Medium-term: If it breaks through 3,200 points, the next resistance level is 3,218 points. 1-hour chart strategy: Key watershed 3100: This week's lows gradually moved up (3076→3100→3106). If the callback does not break this position, the trend will not change. Intraday strength and weakness dividing line 3130: Yesterday's box top broke through and turned into support, which is in line with the principle of "top and bottom conversion". Ideal intraday long position: 3115-3120 area, stop loss 3105. Patiently wait for the callback Aggressive strategy: If the gold price stands above 3150, you can chase long with a light position, with a target of 3173→3200.
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Grace_00007
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Analysis This chart provides a technical outlook on **Gold (XAU/USD)**, showing possible **bullish** and **bearish** scenarios based on price action and support/resistance levels. Bullish Outlook Key Support Holding**: Gold is staying above **$3,125-$3,130**, showing buyers are stepping in. - **Uptrend Structure**: Price is following a rising trendline, meaning bullish momentum is intact. - **Breakout Zone**: If Gold surpasses **$3,155-$3,160**, it could rally toward **$3,170-$3,180**, as no major resistance exists in that range. What to Watch? - A strong breakout with volume above **$3,155-$3,160** confirms upside potential. - Look for support at moving averages (EMAs) to validate trend continuation. Bearish Outlook - **Resistance Rejection**: If Gold fails to break above **$3,155-$3,160**, it might face selling pressure. - **Break Below $3,140**: If price drops under this level, it could target **$3,125-$3,110**, which is the next key support. - **Further Downside**: A breakdown below **$3,110** could lead to a deeper decline towards **$3,090-$3,080**. What to Watch? - A drop below **$3,140** with strong volume could confirm further downside. - If selling pressure increases, Gold may retest lower support zones. Final Thought Gold is currently in an **uptrend**, but traders must monitor key levels: ✔ **Bullish if** it breaks **$3,160** 📊 ✔ **Bearish if** it falls below **$3,140** 🔻 Stay cautious and wait for price confirmation before making a move! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by elitetrader9090
April 3, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: After Trump announced details of new tariffs, the market turned highly active. From a fundamental perspective, this provided strong support for gold. Pay attention to the 3105 level, which was quickly tested following Trump’s statement before price rallied higher. Unless a clear reversal signal appears, the main strategy remains: buy on pullbacks to support. Key Levels to Watch: 3170–3175: Bullish target zone 3168: ATH resistance 3156: Resistance 3142: Bullish/Bearish pivot line 3120–3138: Price consolidation / value zone 3105: Strong intraday support Short-Term Trading Strategy: For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3146. Watch 3142 first; if the decline continues, monitor 3138, 3133, and 3128. For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price holds above 3156. Watch 3160 for confirmation; if momentum continues, target 3165, 3168, and 3170. 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ombabibi
Some history....GOLD HISTORY: 1970 TO 1980: Gold has a strong bubble rise that falls 50% when it breaks. 2001 to 2011: 10 year up trend Gold rises further with virtually no setbacks until 1919, but then collapses to $1019. 2015 to 2025: 10 year up trend still at the moment. The gold price has increased from $1019 in December 2015 to well over $3155 today without serious dips or pullbacks. It is easy to see why this attracts investors, especially when compared to the turbulence in the stock market over the same period of time. It is also easy to see why people might expect that gold will continue to rise after watching it gain consistently for well over a decade. However, history shows that asset prices cannot continue to go up indefinitely. There are always pull backs, crashes, and bear markets. The last time this happened to gold is a distant memory, but we all remember recent examples such as the tech stocks in the '90s and home prices in the '00s. Now, lets see Elliot wave principle. When an extending wave 5 ends ( we are at one at the moment), we will see a swift correction down to sub wave 2 of this wave 5. So, the opportunity presents in two ways. First, we know it will be a rapid correction, which means we will not have to wait long for realizing our profits. Secondly, we know approximately how far the down move will likely travel. At this moment , we are looking for the same escenario as 2008. Wave 3 travels 5.618 from wave 1, then wave 4 made a correction to the 38.2% zone, and finally wave 5 was equal to the entire previous 1-3 movement. This is what is happening right now as welll. It is always easier to identify assets that are bubbling than to predict when the bubble will pop. Gold has much more downside than upside at this point, but this has been true for years without slowing price gains. Home prices and tech stocks also suggest that bubbles can exist for years even after objective measures (e.g. P/E ratios or rent to buy ratios) show that markets are out of equilibrium. It is anybody's guess when gold will correct, but it is very likely that it will be ugly when it does.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TRADINGACPVIP
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout: Next Target $3,181?"Key Observations: Current Price: Gold is trading at $3,127.450 at the time of the chart. Trend: The chart exhibits a strong uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows. Support Levels: Several support levels are marked in the $3,010 - $2,999 range, extending down to around $2,906. Resistance and Target: The immediate price range is highlighted, suggesting possible consolidation. A breakout above this range could lead to a target around $3,181. Chart Annotations: A retracement (red structure) indicates a short-term correction before continuation. A breakout structure (black lines) suggests a previous significant upward movement. The range and possible continuation are marked, indicating that the price may consolidate before attempting to reach the target. Trading Perspective: If price holds above the range, we may see bullish continuation towards $3,181. A break below support levels could signal a deeper pullback towards $3,010 or lower. This chart suggests a bullish outlook, with potential for more upside if momentum continues. Traders might look for confirmations before entering long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
Gold bulls encounter resistance, high-level adjustmentsYesterday, the gold market showed an abnormal trend. The Asian and European sessions broke the routine and showed a clear weak pattern, showing the characteristics of a bear market of "fast decline without rebound". It is particularly noteworthy that despite the positive US manufacturing data released in the evening, gold has abnormally fallen into the dilemma of "good news but no rise", which is often an important signal of trend reversal. Today, the market focus is on the change in tariff expectations. If the expectations are significantly reduced, it will be the last straw that breaks the camel's back for bulls - the previous rise was largely based on tariff expectations. Key technical nodes Bull-bear watershed: Key resistance above: 3124-3128 area (rebound high after testing 3100 yesterday) Secondary resistance: 3135-3140 area (strong pressure zone) Ultimate resistance: 3160-3165 (trend line extension) Downward target: First look at the breakthrough of 3100 Main target area: 3077-3057 (previous intensive trading area) Deep correction may touch 3030-3000 Trading strategy recommendations Main strategy: short on rebound Ideal shorting area: Preferred 3124-3128 range Focus on 3135-3140 area for strong rebound Consider 3160-3165 range in extreme cases Stop loss setting ： 10-8 dollars above each resistance zone Strict stop loss after breaking through the previous high Target position: Phase 1: 3100 mark Phase 2: 3077-3057 Phase 3: 3030-3000 Key points for auxiliary observation The strength of the rebound in the Asian session will determine the timing of shorting in the European session If the rebound is too large (exceeding 3140), it may turn into high-level fluctuations Tariff-related news needs to be paid attention to in real time, which may cause violent fluctuations Risk warning If Trump suddenly announces the expansion of the tariff scope, short positions need to be closed immediately If the US economic data continues to weaken, it may slow down the pace of decline Geopolitical emergencies may temporarily boost risk aversion demand The current market has shown signs of fatigue, and investors are advised to remain vigilant and seize possible opportunities for trend reversals. Strict risk control and flexible position adjustments will be the key to dealing with potential violent fluctuations. Remember: when the market begins to become numb to positive news, it often indicates that the trend is about to change.
FX:XAUUSD
by Golden_Legend