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GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

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Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout: Next Target $3,181?"Key Observations: Current Price: Gold is trading at $3,127.450 at the time of the chart. Trend: The chart exhibits a strong uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows. Support Levels: Several support levels are marked in the $3,010 - $2,999 range, extending down to around $2,906. Resistance and Target: The immediate price range is highlighted, suggesting possible consolidation. A breakout above this range could lead to a target around $3,181. Chart Annotations: A retracement (red structure) indicates a short-term correction before continuation. A breakout structure (black lines) suggests a previous significant upward movement. The range and possible continuation are marked, indicating that the price may consolidate before attempting to reach the target. Trading Perspective: If price holds above the range, we may see bullish continuation towards $3,181. A break below support levels could signal a deeper pullback towards $3,010 or lower. This chart suggests a bullish outlook, with potential for more upside if momentum continues. Traders might look for confirmations before entering long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
Gold bulls encounter resistance, high-level adjustmentsYesterday, the gold market showed an abnormal trend. The Asian and European sessions broke the routine and showed a clear weak pattern, showing the characteristics of a bear market of "fast decline without rebound". It is particularly noteworthy that despite the positive US manufacturing data released in the evening, gold has abnormally fallen into the dilemma of "good news but no rise", which is often an important signal of trend reversal. Today, the market focus is on the change in tariff expectations. If the expectations are significantly reduced, it will be the last straw that breaks the camel's back for bulls - the previous rise was largely based on tariff expectations. Key technical nodes Bull-bear watershed: Key resistance above: 3124-3128 area (rebound high after testing 3100 yesterday) Secondary resistance: 3135-3140 area (strong pressure zone) Ultimate resistance: 3160-3165 (trend line extension) Downward target: First look at the breakthrough of 3100 Main target area: 3077-3057 (previous intensive trading area) Deep correction may touch 3030-3000 Trading strategy recommendations Main strategy: short on rebound Ideal shorting area: Preferred 3124-3128 range Focus on 3135-3140 area for strong rebound Consider 3160-3165 range in extreme cases Stop loss setting ๏ผš 10-8 dollars above each resistance zone Strict stop loss after breaking through the previous high Target position: Phase 1: 3100 mark Phase 2: 3077-3057 Phase 3: 3030-3000 Key points for auxiliary observation The strength of the rebound in the Asian session will determine the timing of shorting in the European session If the rebound is too large (exceeding 3140), it may turn into high-level fluctuations Tariff-related news needs to be paid attention to in real time, which may cause violent fluctuations Risk warning If Trump suddenly announces the expansion of the tariff scope, short positions need to be closed immediately If the US economic data continues to weaken, it may slow down the pace of decline Geopolitical emergencies may temporarily boost risk aversion demand The current market has shown signs of fatigue, and investors are advised to remain vigilant and seize possible opportunities for trend reversals. Strict risk control and flexible position adjustments will be the key to dealing with potential violent fluctuations. Remember: when the market begins to become numb to positive news, it often indicates that the trend is about to change.
FX:XAUUSD
by Golden_Legend
Gold Next 24 to 48 hours (02/04/2025)OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is likely to remain within a tight range, possibly edging slightly higher due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data focus and Tariff, but a significant breakout seems unlikely in just 24 hours. Our estimate is 60% probability that the price stays between $3,105 and $3,150, with a 30% chance of inching above $3,150 and a 10% chance of dropping below $3,105. This is a short-term view only Check our Profile Happy Tradding
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Deluxeanalysisandsignals
XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Golden Times!Another week of record gold prices, the media attention phase has properly begun. Monday's pop higher above the trend line shows acceleration, today's pullback was perfect in kissing back that trend line and another long entry. We are in a larger wave 3 up, within that wave we are in minor wave 3 up, still waves 4 and 5 to finish this strong move...at some point in April or perhaps May, we will top out as a larger wave 4 takes hold, that could coincide with stock market routs...too early to say. Would not be surprised to see another $200-300 by April, perhaps a blow off much higher. Longer time frames point to a major wave 5 up in this long bull run, a move that will have the public diving in with both hands, the greed and mania phase, you can be assured that the economy and banking systems will be stressed to say the least. Gold and silver are rising simply because of safety, hedging and investment, silver will out perform gold at some point and catch up. The manipulation game is coming to an end as the scales correct. Appreciate a thumbs up, God Bless you all and good trading!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fractal777
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel โ€” New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven. Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension โ€” a level that aligns closely with $4,270. BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty โ€” suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets. Weโ€™ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, goldโ€™s breakout seems far from over. ๐Ÿ“Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 โ€” a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market. ๐Ÿ“This breakout is not a wick or deviation โ€” Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase. ๐Ÿ“Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618). ๐Ÿ“The March 2025 candle is extremely strong โ€” nearly a vertical move โ€” and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on Aprilโ€™s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish. ๐Ÿ“Š Technical Outlook: โœ… Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point. โœ… Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618). โœ… Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections. ๐Ÿ“Key Support Levels: โ— $2,948 โ€“ Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib) โ— $2,609 โ€“ Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift ๐Ÿ“Key Resistance Levels: ๐ŸŽฏ $3,582 โ€“ Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib) ๐ŸŽฏ $4,270 โ€“ Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414) ๐ŸŽฏ $4,608 โ€“ Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle ๐ŸŒ Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025): ๐Ÿ›‘ 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides. Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East. U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing. Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on โ€œAmerica Firstโ€ policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order. All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold โ€” the original safe haven. ๐Ÿ“ˆ 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels 2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize. The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves. This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks. ๐Ÿ“‰ 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure โ€“ Gold Poised to Outperform? Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly. Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations โ€” hash rate divergence suggests instability. With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs. Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum. This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold. ๐Ÿ›ข 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns. The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth. The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter โ€” typically gold-positive. ๐Ÿ“‰ Bearish Scenario: โŒ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure. This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout โ€” but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely. โšก Summary & Alignment: ๐Ÿ”น Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270โ€“$4,600 targets. ๐Ÿ”น Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce goldโ€™s bullish case. ๐Ÿ”น Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold. ๐Ÿ”น Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs โ€” gold thrives on instability. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270โ€“$4,600 over the coming quarters. Original idea: Intra idea: Tags: gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
XAUUSD-GOLD can still break upward ? read captionGold (XAU/USD) has just soared to a new all-time high, reflecting heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties. The surge comes as global markets react to inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and shifting monetary policies, further strengthening goldโ€™s position as a premier store of value. With central banks increasing their reserves and investors seeking stability, the precious metal continues to shine, marking a historic moment in the financial markets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 1st April 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -ISM Manufacturing PMI -JOLTS Job Openings Analysis: -Strong bullish closure on daily -Looking for continuation to the upside after 4hr structure retest -Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3100 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
XAU/USD (Gold) AnalysisXAU/USD (Gold) 4H Analysis Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a strong uptrend, trading around $3,128.41, well above the 50-period moving average (blue line). This moving average has been acting as dynamic support, reinforcing bullish momentum. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Bullish Scenario: As long as Gold remains above the 50-period moving average, the uptrend is intact. A retracement to the highlighted support zone could provide potential buying opportunities before the next move higher. ๐Ÿ“‰ Bearish Scenario: A break and close below the support zone could indicate a deeper pullback. However, as long as price remains above the 50 MA, the overall trend remains bullish. โš ๏ธ Risk Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a trading signal. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by juniormoseki1
XAU/USD BuyHello dear traders I try to guide you in trading and creating trading positions and share my trading ideas with you so that if I make a profit, you can also make a profit with me. These analyzes are done with great complexity and all technical parameters are taken into account as much as possible. And finally, it is presented to you in a completely simple and practical way to use them. Be sure to follow the capital management. Do not risk more than 1% of the capital in any of the positions. Keep in mind that you are responsible for all trades. (Good luck)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by khakzadi
Gold hits new highGold has recently seen a strong bullish rise, and the price has hit a new high. In the Asian session, gold retreated to the 3085 line and then rebounded and continued to rise. The current price is 3112. In the 4-hour view, gold continued to rise to the 2830 line, breaking through after the previous two adjustments. This is also the third breakout and rising pattern. The price bullish trend is stable. The price is high, so we donโ€™t blindly short at high levels, but we canโ€™t aggressively chase more. In terms of operation, we still maintain the idea of โ€‹โ€‹low longs and high shorts as a supplement. From the current trend of gold, the support below is 3085-3080. Donโ€™t guess the top if the current trend above has not formed stagflation. In terms of operation ideas, it is recommended to arrange long orders in the 3080-3085 area of โ€‹โ€‹gold, with a stop loss of 3070. The upward target is 3100 and 3120.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Wealth-Helmsman
GOLD:Short positions are dominant in New York sessionToday, gold jumped higher and opened higher. After filling the gap, it continued to rise, breaking through the 3100 mark and approaching 3130. The excessive and rapid rise caused the MACD indicator to diverge, giving us the opportunity to short this time, from which we gained 1000+ points of profit. Together with the profit of nearly 2000 points in the Asian session, we have gained more than 3000 points of profit today. At present, the price is still falling, with weak support roughly around 3107 and strong support around 3098. Before the start of the US session, the price is expected to fluctuate in the 3100-3130 area. There will be large fluctuations after the opening, and the possibility of falling from a high position is greater, so the US session can pay more attention to the opportunity to short at a high position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur