GOLD.PRO.OTMS trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Ascending Channel โ Bearish Move Ahead?๐ Market Structure:
Gold was moving in an ascending channel, but price has now broken below the support trendline.
This suggests a possible trend reversal or correction.
๐ Key Levels:
Resistance : $3,125 - $3,170
Support: $3,054 - $3,035
Target: $3,000 - $2,995
๐ Trade Idea:
A pullback to support-turned-resistance could give a short entry.
Bearish target: $3,000 if rejection holds.
Invalidation: If price reclaims $3,125.
๐ Watch for:
Price reaction at the former channel support.
Possible retest before further drop.
Let me know if you need any modifications! ๐
Gold longTime to enter a long position from 3065.
I think it retraces back .
And then i will look for shorts again.
Gold price hits a new all-time high!Market news:
In the early Asian trading on Thursday (April 3), spot gold continued to rise, once refreshing its historical high to $3,168/ounce, as US President Trump declared a national emergency on Wednesday to enhance the competitive advantage of the United States, protect US sovereignty, and strengthen US national and economic security. He will impose a 10% benchmark tariff on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of the largest US trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war launched after his return to the White House, and the market risk aversion sentiment has risen sharply. After the news of large-scale tariffs came out, the market risk aversion sentiment rose sharply in the early Asian trading on Thursday, US stock futures plummeted, and Dow futures plunged more than 1,100 points. London gold prices soared, and international gold prices soared after US President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on global trading partners. Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. When people's concerns about the global economy intensify, investors regard gold as a safe haven. Such concerns have helped gold prices rise 19% so far this year after a strong rally in 2024, driven mainly by massive central bank purchases and strong demand in Asia. The dollar index fell after Trump's tariff plan was announced, making gold more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors need to pay attention to the number of layoffs in challenger companies in the United States in March, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending March 29, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data in the United States in March. In addition, investors need to pay attention to the market's further interpretation of Trump's tariff policy and the response measures of various countries, and pay attention to changes in national stock market performance and risk aversion.
Technical Review:
At the daily level, gold started the downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous continuous rise in one fell swoop. However, the current moving average system still maintains an upward divergent trend. The 4-hour trend of gold temporarily maintains a high range of oscillation repair. At present, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, and tends to continue to maintain a high-level oscillation repair trend during the day. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a golden cross with upward bullish arrangement. Although gold fell below the moving average support yesterday, the strength of gold bulls to bottom out and rebound is still relatively strong, and with the support of gold safe-haven, gold bulls are still better. As long as it does not break 3100, it will continue to be strongly bullish.
Today's analysis:
The news of gold early in the morning upgraded the risk aversion, and gold broke upward again. Then the previous resistance of gold has now become support again. The previous platform support of gold at 3135 has broken upward, so gold has now formed support at 3135. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy. Since after the shock, gold bulls have exerted their strength again under the stimulation of risk aversion, the trend continues to belong to bulls, and gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy.
The 1-hour moving average of gold turned upward again, and gold bulls regained control of the home court. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy on dips on the previous platform support of 3135. Now risk aversion stimulates gold to rise. Don't chase it directly at high levels for the time being, and wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. As risk aversion is upgraded, gold buying will continue to be strong and gold is expected to rise to a higher level.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3132-3135 buy, stop loss 3124, target 3160-3170;
Short-term gold 3174-3177 sell, stop loss 3185, target 3140-3130;
Key points:
First support level: 3140, second support level: 3133, third support level: 3120
First resistance level: 3166, second resistance level: 3174, third resistance level: 3187
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown (1H + 4H Combo)
gold can spike briefly in early Tokyo session if BOJ doesnโt act immediately.
NO, it wonโt last if BOJ hits the market or USD/JPY reverses.
1. Price Action โ Tensionโs High
โข 4H: Classic Evening Star showing up. Thatโs a solid bearish reversal โ sellers are circling.
โข 1H: Weak bullish candle trying to break out, but itโs soft. Feels like bulls are exposed.
โข Inside Bar on 1H: Tight, coiled range. Somethingโs about to pop โ either a breakout or a flush.
2. Range Game โ Price is Trapped
โข Right now, weโre chopping between 3,154 โ 3,160.
โข Price is teasing strength but keeps rejecting resistance.
โข Trap zone is active โ donโt chase a late bull move here, thatโs how you get clipped.
3. Indicator Signals โ Read Between the Lines
โข VWAP on 1H: Flat. Price is just above, but thereโs no real conviction.
โข Volume:
โข 1H: Dropping off โ sellers may be setting the bait.
โข 4H: Climbing โ looks like big money is getting ready to pull the rug after drawing in late buyers.
4. Trend Check โ Short-Term Pullback Brewing
โข 1H: Price is pushing into resistance โ feels toppy.
โข 4H: Overbought vibes, and bearish divergence is starting to creep in.
5. Volume โ Telling the Real Story
โข 1H: Weak follow-through. Buyers are drying up.
โข 4H: Volumeโs picking up, but it could be climax buying โ one last push before it rolls over.
6. Key Zones โ Support & Resistance
โข Resistance: 3,160 โ 3,175. Price hit it and bounced like it ran into concrete.
โข Support: 3,132 โ 3,122. Thatโs where buyers show up with bags of cash.
โข A clean break below 3,154 opens the trapdoor.
7. Momentum โ Running Out of Gas
โข Bulls tried. Theyโre tired.
โข No solid follow-through = bears lining up to take control.
8. Elliott Wave โ The Final Push
โข This looks like a stretched-out Wave 5. Itโs spent.
โข Correction Wave A likely on deck โ target: 3,132.
9. Harmonics โ Pattern Breaking Down
โข Bearish AB=CD pattern forming, but the D-point never reached 3,172.
โข Itโs rejecting early โ could be a heads-up for reversal traders.
10. Volatility โ Calm Before the Storm
โข Nikkeiโs dropping โ thatโs risk-off. Could give gold a short-term pop.
โข But if the BOJ steps in and the yen strengthens, USDJPY drops, and gold might not hold gains.
โข No major moves out of Cambodia/Vietnam yet, but keep an eye on JPY volatility.
โธป
Trade Setup โ Asia Session Plan
โข Order: Sell Stop @ 3,153.00 (wait for the breakdown)
โข Take Profit: 3,132.00 (targeting the demand zone)
โข Stop Loss: 3,163.00 (tight stop just above resistance)
โข Confidence: 88%
โธป
Why This Trade Makes Sense:
โข Youโve got a bearish reversal on the 4H and no real volume to support a bullish breakout.
โข A breakdown from this range opens up a clean downside run.
โข Asiaโs risk-off, but gold already reacted โ the juice might be gone.
โข 2.1 R:R setup โ tight, sharp, and efficient.
=========
SHORT-TERM: Goldโs Got a Window โ But Itโs Narrow
โข Nikkeiโs drop = risk-off vibes.
โข Tariff tension = safe haven demand rises.
โข Asian traders might push XAUUSD up a bit early, sniffing fear in the market.
โข If BOJ stays silent, gold pumps toward 3,162 - 3,170.
Day trade XAU- Wed, 02 Apr 2025. Back to BullishPrice structure short term has higher low.
Price push-up move higher.
Green plan will be active today.
This plan for study purpose, not financial advice! Self control yours action!
Good luck mates!
#MakeCent #TradingMakeSense
Gold market trend analysisGold risk aversion pushed up gold prices, but the bulls failed to continue, and gold prices fell after rising. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour gold price remained above the moving average, and the bullish trend remained unchanged. Structurally, the rise in gold prices was symmetrical in time and space, and the early decline was in line with expectations. The hourly chart showed a weak short signal and diverged. At present, the upper resistance is at 3137-3141, and the lower support is at 3111-3106. In terms of operation, I suggest that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented by high short.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to pull back to 3105-3100 long, stop loss 3092, and the target is 3130-3150.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to rebound to 3139-3144 short, stop loss 3150, and the target is 3120-3105.
Mid-day trend downCAPITALCOM:GOLD
Time Frame 15 Minutes Gold Chart
Look at the volume on the chart, the price once moved towards the volume resistance but could not move forward and now we are seeing the price return to the high volumes
From the sellers' point of view, this is a sell level for the gold trend and our target targets are 3093 and 3073
XAUUSD M30 NEW OUTLOOK XAUUSD M30 OUTLOOK
according to M30 analysis XAUUSD market is in falling pressure from few hours and now market almost at support level so wait for good opportunity market will be fly from support level
be careful use money management
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
REGARD ALBERT
GoldXAUUSD
- Order Block
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " AB " Corrective Wave
- Break of Structure
- RSI - Divergence
- S / R Level
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 2nd April 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Analysis:
-Strong rejection from ATH 3148
-Looking for bearish structure on lower timefram
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3140
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Possible long on xauusdPrice is above previous week high(pwh).mitigation block at previous day high used as the entry criteria for trend continuation
Xauusd smart money trap H1XAUUSD GOLD update | H1 timeframe ๐
What we are observing ?
Market is in induction process
- We are waiting for one more move for bullish we set the region in which we will open our positions with 60-70 Pips sl according to our Equity
Target would be 3148.00
#XAUUSD
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,132.31
Target Level: 3,059.08
Stop Loss: 3,180.97
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis โ Key Zones & Potential Movem๐ต Key Price Levels:
Current price: ๐ $3,130.99
DEMA (9): ๐ต $3,138.21
Target price: ๐ฏ $3,174.92
๐ Zones Identified:
๐ข Demand Zone (Support) โฌ๏ธ: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in.
๐ก RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) ๐: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up.
๐ด Supply Zone (Resistance) โฌ๏ธ: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement.
๐ Potential Price Action:
๐น Scenario 1 (Bullish ๐): A retrace to the RBR Zone ๐ก could lead to a bounce ๐ toward the Target ๐ฏ at $3,174.92.
๐น Scenario 2 (Bearish ๐ป): If price drops below the Demand Zone ๐ข, it may signal a trend reversal ๐.
๐น Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone ๐ด, it may continue rallying ๐ toward the target point.
Gold adjustment continues to riseFrom the 1-hour gold chart, overnight gold closed at around 3123, with a starting point of 3076 and a high of 3128. The US session bottomed out and rebounded to a low of 3100, and retested the low of 3111 in the early morning.
โToday's Asian session continued to rise to around 3148, with a starting point of 3119. The current trend fell back. But it did not break the upward trend line. The overall structure is still running strongly.
Intraday key points: top and bottom conversion support 3128 - 3125, and the upper potential channel upper rail top pressure 3155 - 3157.
In terms of operation, it is still mainly long:
1. Extremely strong strategy: that is, if it fluctuates in the range of 3128 to 3110 after midnight, it will go long on dips when the Asian session retests the low point, or break 3128 to chase long.
2. European trading strategy: split positions to go long near 3132-33, 3125-28, and adjust positions to exit if it breaks 3119.
3. Oscillation strategy: European trading breaks the watershed 3119 and turns to oscillation to go long. Pay attention to the support of 3111-3110 and 3100. Whether you can make a long decision on the spot, be cautious to go long if the European and US tradings fall.
4. Pressure risk reminder: above 3156-57, you can consider shorting, and if the speculative loss breaks 3165, adjust positions to exit.
5. Risk event: Trump will announce equal tariffs. If it meets or exceeds expectations, the price of gold is expected to rise again; if the policy is relaxed, the price of gold may usher in a substantial adjustment.
GOLD SHORT SETUP: TARGETING $3,100 FROM OVERBOUGHT CONDITIONSGOLD SHORT SETUP: TARGETING $3,100 FROM OVERBOUGHT CONDITIONS
Looking at the current Gold chart, we're seeing potential exhaustion signs near all-time highs. While the trend remains strongly bullish (all moving averages pointing up), several indicators suggest we may be due for a pullback to the $3,100 level.
Key Observations
Overbought RSI (77.09): The RSI is showing overbought conditions without divergence yet, but at levels where previous corrections have occurred.
Extreme Stochastic (97.99): Nearly maxed out at 98, suggesting limited upside momentum remains.
Williams %R near zero (-2.44): Showing extreme buying pressure that historically doesn't sustain.
CCI above 140: At 146.61, well into overbought territory.
Moving Average Spacing: While all MAs signal "Buy," the distance between recent EMAs (10, 20) and price indicates stretched conditions.
Risk Management
This is a counter-trend trade against strong bullish momentum, so position sizing should be conservative. The R2 pivot at $3,045 and the 10-day SMA at $3,046 should act as initial support levels and could provide clues about whether the pullback thesis is playing out.
GOLD:Short positions are dominant in New York sessionToday, gold jumped higher and opened higher. After filling the gap, it continued to rise, breaking through the 3100 mark and approaching 3130. The excessive and rapid rise caused the MACD indicator to diverge, giving us the opportunity to short this time, from which we gained 1000+ points of profit. Together with the profit of nearly 2000 points in the Asian session, we have gained more than 3000 points of profit today.
At present, the price is still falling, with weak support roughly around 3107 and strong support around 3098. Before the start of the US session, the price is expected to fluctuate in the 3100-3130 area. There will be large fluctuations after the opening, and the possibility of falling from a high position is greater, so the US session can pay more attention to the opportunity to short at a high position.
gold sell limitsuse proper risk management
higher highs
bull trend
week opening
Update:we waiting for proper selling scenarios price is high enough to sell on proper conditions
How to interpret the rise or fall of gold at the opening?From the 4-hour chart of gold, since the low point of 3012 stabilized, it has been rising strongly all the way. 3086 briefly suppressed a negative line. As long as it maintains a strong unilateral trend, this negative line is likely to be a single negative line. Then we must hold the MA5-day support of 3070. If it cannot be held, the MA10-day position below 3054, which is also the intraday low, will support it. From the hourly chart, it closed strongly at a high level overnight, and continued to rely on the MA10-day moving average to rise. It is in a forced short and slow rise, and fell back to the low point of 3066. You can go long near this position on Monday. But if it is particularly strong, don't give it a chance. However, before the key resistance of 3087 is broken, it is not recommended to be too aggressive. Aggressive people can stop loss again. If the market breaks through 3087 on Monday, look at about 10 US dollars, and then you can continue to go short, unless the market closes and stabilizes at 3100. Pay attention to the support around 3066. Gold may have a double top in 30 minutes. Don't chase more for the time being. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a decline, otherwise the adjustment range at high level may be large. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold next Monday is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3097-3100 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3057-3060. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
When gold falls back to around 3066-3070, buy two-tenths of the position in batches, stop loss at 3045, target around 3080-3090, and look at 3100 if it breaks;
XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis๐ Gold prices have experienced volatility following the announcement and implementation of President Trump's new tariff policies. Initially, gold surged to a record high of $3,148.88 per ounce as investors sought safe-haven assets amid escalating trade tensions. However, subsequent market reactions, including stock market sell-offs and profit-taking activities, have led to a retreat in gold prices.
๐ Key Levels:
-Resistance: $3,056.09 โ
-Support: $3,002.63 โ
(if broken, next support at $2,954.46)
๐ Market Scenarios:
Bullish: If gold holds above $3,002.63 and breaks through $3,056.09, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. ๐
Bearish: A sustained move below $3,002.63 may indicate further downside towards $2,954.46. ๐
๐ This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD H12 IdeaGold Rally Pauses, But Bullish Trend Holds
Gold hit an all-time high of $3,167.84 earlier this week amid safe-haven buying sparked by President Trumpโs new tariffs and China's retaliatory duties, which intensified global recession fears. The resulting forced selling in equities caused a brief pullback in gold prices. However, this dip is seen as mechanical, not sentiment-driven, with gold still up over 15% this year, supported by central bank buying, strong institutional interest, and ETF inflows. The pullback is likely temporary unless new macroeconomic shifts emerge.
Ongoing Risks Support Goldโs Long-Term Bullish Outlook
Despite recent market volatility, the drivers behind goldโs rally remain intact. Mohamed El-Erian raised U.S. recession odds to 50%, while Goldman Sachs raised theirs to 35%. The Fed has warned of slower growth and higher inflation due to tariffs, and gold's role as a hedge against these risks is vital.
Focus on Upcoming Data
Next week, key data will be in focus: the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, CPI report on Thursday, and consumer sentiment data on Friday. If CPI surprises to the upside or the FOMC minutes reveal a more dovish stance, gold could see renewed buying interest. Traders should view pullbacks as buying opportunities, as inflation, trade tensions, and recession risks continue to support gold.
Technical Outlook
If gold tests support at $3,000.28 and holds, it may attract new buyers. A break below could bring the $2,852.34 level into play. Shorting is risky, but if pursued, exit over $3,167.84 with objectives at $3,000.28, $2,852.34, and the 52-week moving average at $2,601.40.
