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GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

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Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 8th April 2024)Bias: No Bias USD News(Red Folder): -None Analysis: -Strong bearish closure, price respected 0.618 fib level -Looking for retest on 0.618 fib level or break & retest on daily structure -Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3015, 2950 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by HM_fxtrading
XAU/USD 07 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per last Friday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish iBOS indicating bullish phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15/H4 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,970.215 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Intraday Gold Idea 07/04/2025Gold (XAUUSD) Price has moved nearly 900 pips so far today with huge volatility. While the daily and higher timeframes remain bullish, lower timeframes show a bearish pullback after rejecting 3053. Bearish path: Targeting 3005–2998 if the pullback continues. Bullish path: A break/retest above 3053 opens 3087 as next target. No catalyst? We may see deeper pullbacks, even down to 2932. Bias: Bullish overall, but wait for key level confirmations. Don’t get chopped up—trade clean setups only.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Thetraderscollective
Retracement for gold after strong job dataGold posted its first weekly loss in a month on 4 April as the American job report came in much stronger than expected amid the backdrop of general fear in markets after the start of the new phase of the trade war. Usually the yellow metal has a degree of inverse correlation with major indices, but in the current situation of an ongoing crash for the S&P 500 and others, general panic can cause most investors to run for the door initially. Broadly, there doesn’t seem to be a fundamental justification for gold to decline significantly, since economic headwinds should drive the Fed to be more dovish. The price is in the process of testing the 161.8% monthly Fibonacci extension. If successful, the next significant support would probably be $3,000, followed by February’s highs around $2,950. The large spike in buying volume during 3 May’s decline and the long tail that day might make an extended correction unfavourable, but some consolidation lower might be necessary before another round of gains given how strong the overbought signal had been late last month. In this situation, it’s potentially very risky both to try to ‘catch the knife’ and to go with the apparent flow and sell. The next major data due is American inflation on 10 April, which might give more useful information to work with than headlines. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
FX:XAUUSD
by Michael_Stark_Exness
XAU/USD(20250404) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Countermeasures from many countries against the United States - ① It is reported that Europe will slow down the pace of tariff retaliation; EU member states will vote on countermeasures against US steel and aluminum tariffs on April 9; ② ​​Macron said that the response to US tariffs will be larger than before, and called on French companies to suspend investment in the United States. France may plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on large US technology companies. ③ Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Canada will impose a 25% tariff on all cars imported from the United States that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3111 Support and resistance levels 3224 3182 3155 3068 3044 2999 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3155, consider buying, the first target price is 3182 If the price breaks through 3111, consider selling, the first target price is 3068
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
Gold retreats but remains supported by macro tailwindsXAUUSD pared recent gains following a retreat below the channel's upper bound and resistance at 3150. The price remains in an uptrend, holding above the Ichimoku Cloud and within the ascending channel. However, should the price experience a retracement, a throwback to the 3050 support may occur. Conversely, regaining its bullish momentum and closing above 3150 could prompt a further rise to the following resistance at 3220. Gold pulled back sharply from record highs after Trump's tariffs excluded precious metals, easing immediate supply concerns, but the broader backdrop remains favorable. Central bank buying, expectations of rate cuts, and persistent geopolitical risks underpin demand, even as short-term profit-taking kicks in. While volatility may persist, the metal's role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty keeps its long-term bullish case intact. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by lixing_gan
GOLD Bullish Trend Continues After FVG Test🟢 GOLD is maintaining strong bullish momentum after successfully testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the uptrend, with higher lows forming—a clear sign of continuation. 📊 Analysis: ✅ Bullish Trend: The price structure confirms an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. ✅ Fake Reversal Break of Structure (BOS): A key level has been broken, signaling reversal but based on current momentum that follows it shows Buyers continued strength. ✅ FVG Test Success: Price respected the Fair Value Gap, reinforcing buying pressure. ✅ 🎯 Target: , aligning with . ✅ 📈 Momentum: Strong upward drive suggests further gains ahead. 🔮 Potential Scenario: The price is likely to continue climbing, forming a new higher high toward the target level. 📢 Confirmation Signals to Watch: 📌 Volume: Increasing volume on bullish moves. 📌 Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals at key support levels. 📌 Moving Averages: Price holding above critical moving averages. 📌 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research. 🔗 Tags: #GOLD #XAUUSD #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FVG #BreakOfStructure #TrendAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Professor_Noah
Path to $9,000: Gold’s Next Supercycle Triggered by the 2024 RSI Thesis - The Road to $9,000: How Gold’s 2024 RSI Breakout Signals a New Supercycle Executive Summary In January 2024, gold's quarterly RSI broke decisively above the 70 level — a rare technical event that historically marks the beginning of powerful, long-duration uptrends. This breakout echoes a similar RSI move in April 2005 that preceded a near eight-year bull market, driving gold from ~$430 to nearly $1,900 — a 340% increase. If history rhymes, this recent momentum surge may be the opening act in a multi-year supercycle with a potential price target north of $9,000 per ounce. This thesis presents a comparative analysis of the 2005–2011 bull phase and the emerging 2024 trend, using momentum indicators (RSI, MACD), long-term volume-weighted price levels (VWAP), structural breakouts, and Fibonacci projections to extrapolate a scenario in which gold embarks on its largest bull run in decades. I. A Signal from the Past: RSI Above 70 In April 2005, gold’s quarterly RSI crossed 70 — a level traditionally interpreted as “overbought,” but in trending markets, often signals the start of something big. Over the next 2,800 days, gold’s price rose relentlessly, guided by momentum, monetary policy shifts, and secular macro themes. Now, in January 2024, that same RSI level has been breached again — not from a spike or panic move, but from a slow, base-building structure spanning over a decade. The setup is eerily familiar: a long consolidation, followed by a clean breakout, and now, an overbought momentum profile with room to expand — not collapse. II. Charting the Similarities: 2005 vs. 2024 Metric 2005 Bull Start 2024 Setup RSI breach of 70 Q2 2005 Q1 2024 Starting price ~$430 ~$2,000 Breakout 20-year base 13-year base Duration of trend ~7.7 years Projected to 2031 MACD cross Preceded RSI Also preceded RSI VWAP position Price > VWAP Price > VWAP The MACD crossover in both instances occurred just before RSI broke out, indicating a build-up of medium-term momentum. This alignment of long- and medium-term signals suggests that the 2024 move is not a short-lived spike, but the beginning of a sustained structural trend. III. Fibonacci Extrapolation: The Case for $9,000 Applying Fibonacci extensions from the 2015 bottom to the 2020–2023 consolidation, the 2.618 extension level aligns around $8,700–$9,000. This is also consistent with the proportional move from 2005–2011 (a ~340% gain from breakout levels). If gold’s breakout in 2024 mirrors the strength of its prior secular trend, a target of $9,000 by 2031–2032 is not just plausible — it may be conservative. IV. The Narrative Behind the Numbers Gold does not rise in a vacuum. Behind the charts lies a macroeconomic context of de-dollarization, fiscal expansion, rising debt-to-GDP ratios, and weakening confidence in fiat currency regimes. The 2005–2011 bull unfolded against the backdrop of global financial instability and loose monetary policy. Today, those drivers are amplified. The demand for gold as a hedge — not just against inflation, but against systemic fragility — has never been stronger. Conclusion: Overbought for a Reason OANDA:XAUUSD The RSI has entered overbought territory again — but this isn’t a red flag. It’s a green light. In strong secular trends, being overbought isn’t a signal to exit — it’s a hallmark of strength. If the structural, momentum, and psychological conditions align as they did in 2005, gold may be embarking on a journey toward $9,000 over the next 7 to 8 years. This thesis aims to chart that road — and illuminate the signals already flashing along the way.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheHouseofTrade
XAU/USD 08 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per yesterday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH (I mentioned in yesterday's analysis bullish iBOS in error) indicating bullish phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range and appears to be stuck in between close supply and demand zones where we could see extended rangebound conditions. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,956.565 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Wave Analysis – 7 April 2025 - Gold reversed from round support level 3000.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 3100.00 Gold recently reversed up from the support area between the round support level 3000.00 (which stopped the earlier minor correction iv in the middle of March) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. This support area was further strengthened by the support trendline of the daily up channel from January and by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from February. Given the strong uptrend on the daily and weekly charts, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3100.00.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
Gold LT predictionThis is just a prediction based on what is infront of me but I think gold has topped for now. It is a lagged market so I am hoping silver and miners play catch up while gold goes sideways a bit. I definitely expect gold to revisit 2100-2200 USD via a long accumulation channel which the red line is a prediction of the bottom rail for. Green is the triple resistance now support that told took many years to break. So should hold, and all things go to the final bastion imho. Blue is a bull flag as I am expecting it to likely wick down to it but close above green on a weekly or monthly time frame. Then it is a prime time to buy gold again, if you can(physical) Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mypostsareNotFinancialAdvice
1
GOLD - Price can bounce up from pennant to $3100 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Price sometimes declined inside the falling channel, where it broke support level and fell to the channel's support line. Then it turned around and rose to support area, some time traded near and later continued to move up. Gold broke $2935 level again and soon exited from channel also, after which continued to grow in pennant. In pennant, price reached $3055 level, which coincides with resistance area and tried to break it, but failed. After this, price corrected to support line of pennant and then started to grow, and now it trades near $3055 level. In my mind, Gold can bounce up from support line of pennant to $3100, breaking resistance level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
10
XAUUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Head and Shoulders FormationGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal on the 30-minute chart following a Rising Wedge breakdown and a Head and Shoulders pattern formation. Technical Analysis: Rising Wedge pattern suggests exhaustion in the uptrend. Head and Shoulders structure signals a shift in momentum towards the downside. Key Support Zone: $3,100 - $3,080 (Potential target). If price breaks below the neckline, further downside pressure is expected. Fundamental Outlook: US Dollar strength and bond yields can pressure gold prices. Geopolitical tensions and inflation fears may limit downside movement. Market awaiting key macroeconomic data for further direction. A break below $3,120 could trigger further selling, targeting $3,100 - $3,080 levels. However, a rebound above $3,140 could invalidate the bearish setup. Watch price action carefully Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
TVC:GOLDShort
by Gold_Traders_Team
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel — New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven. Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension — a level that aligns closely with $4,270. BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty — suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets. We’ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, gold’s breakout seems far from over. 📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market. 📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase. 📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618). 📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish. 📊 Technical Outlook: ✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point. ✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618). ✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections. 📍Key Support Levels: ❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib) ❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift 📍Key Resistance Levels: 🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib) 🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414) 🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025): 🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides. Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East. U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing. Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order. All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven. 📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels 2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize. The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves. This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks. 📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform? Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly. Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability. With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs. Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum. This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold. 🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns. The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth. The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure. This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely. ⚡ Summary & Alignment: 🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets. 🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case. 🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold. 🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability. 📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters. Original idea: Intra idea: Tags: gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Who-Is-Caerus