Gold Market Update: Bulls Still in Control?Gold Market Update: Bulls Still in Control?
Gold has been volatile, requiring close attention. Following our previous analysis, gold declined from its last bearish pattern, dropping from 3230 to 3120.
However, yesterday it rebounded sharply, surging from 3120 to 3251 despite the absence of any news—an indication that bullish momentum remains strong.
The predominant trend is solid, but heavy manipulation and the substantial holdings by central banks and hedge funds continue to prevent a deeper decline.
The chances remain high that this movement is part of a bearish correction. While it may look unstable, but another rise could still be possible.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GOLD trade ideas
Lingrid | GOLD Potential Near-Term BULLISH MomentumOANDA:XAUUSD is attempting to stabilize just above the $3,208 zone after forming a lower low inside the downward channel. Price is compressing between the support base and descending trendline, signaling potential for breakout if buyers reclaim $3,225. A successful retest and push above this level could trigger a rally toward $3,285. Bulls will likely remain in charge if the structure holds above $3,208.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3,208 – 3,225
Buy trigger: breakout and hold above descending trendline
Target: 3,285
Sell trigger: drop below 3,208
💡 Risks
Fed comments or rate surprises may jolt gold direction.
Sharp rebound in USD could undermine gold recovery.
Rejection from trendline may resume the bearish structure.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD → Retest of trend resistance before declineFX:XAUUSD is recovering amid uncertainty, but there is a fairly strong resistance zone ahead that could hold back growth and trigger a decline...
Since the opening of the session, the price has recovered slightly after a week-long decline. Growth is being held back by two-sided risks: on the one hand, pressure on the dollar and Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating are supporting the metal, while on the other hand, high bond yields and possible US trade agreements are limiting growth.
Investors are awaiting new statements from the Fed and are monitoring US negotiations with key partners. Amid concerns about fiscal stability and weak economic data, gold may remain in positive territory, but positive trade news could turn it down again.
Resistance levels: 3257, 3265
Support levels: 3206, 3153
A false breakout of the specified resistance will confirm the inability to continue growth. Consolidation after a false breakout of 3257 - 3265 below 3257 could trigger a reversal and a fall to areas of interest...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD..1h chart pattern..I'm planning a *buy trade on XAUUSD (Gold) from 3230 with a target at 3345*. Let's analyze this trade setup:
### *Trade Summary:*
- *Instrument:* XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
- *Direction:* Buy (Long)
- *Entry Price:* 3230
- *Take Profit (Target):* 3345
- *Potential Profit:* *115 pips* (3345 - 3230)
### *Key Considerations:*
1. *Risk Management:*
- Where is your *stop-loss (SL)*? A proper risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3) is crucial.
- Example: If SL is at 3200 (30 pips risk), then the reward is 115 pips (~1:3.8 ratio).
2. *Market Conditions:*
- Gold is influenced by *USD strength, interest rates, and geopolitical factors*.
- Check if the trend is bullish (supporting your buy trade).
3. *Price Action & Confirmation:*
- Are there key resistance levels before 3345?
- Is there a breakout or strong bullish momentum supporting this move?
4. *Timeframe:*
- Are you trading on *H1, H4, or Daily charts?* Longer timeframes provide more reliable signals.
### *Final Thoughts:*
- If the trade follows your analysis, it has a good profit potential.
- Always *use a stop-loss* to protect against unexpected reversals.
Would you like help with:
✅ Technical analysis confirmation?
✅ Risk management strategy?
✅ Alternative entry levels?
Let me know how you'd like to proceed! 🚀
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3236 and a gap below at 3184. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly MARKET Outlook: From ATH to Range-BoundOANDA:XAUUSD market is currently in a critical consolidation phase following its all-time high level. The recent price action shows a significant pullback with a close below both the last 4 weeks' low and the previous higher low. This isn't necessarily a reversal but rather a structural shift toward a range-bound market dynamic. The chart clearly illustrates a completed impulse leg that reached the resistance zone, followed by what appears to be developing into a corrective move.
The upward trendline that has supported the entire rally from the bottom around 2843 remains intact despite recent weakness. This suggests the longer-term bullish structure hasn't been invalidated yet, though it's currently being tested. The recent break below 3260 is particularly significant as it represents a break of support that had previously acted as a foundation for bullish price action. This suggests a deeper correction may unfold before the next structural move can develop.
Fundamentally, this pullback may be attributed to several factors including stabilizing geopolitical tensions, pausing the tariff war, or profit-taking after the substantial run-up. While the gold market has clearly shifted from its parabolic advance to a consolidation phase, the overall structure remains constructive for eventual continuation higher once this correction completes.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD → Short squeeze before a drop to 3150?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating. The market needs a driver, but due to the unstable fundamental background, traders have switched to a wait-and-see mode. Consolidation could turn into strong movement at any moment. But in which direction?
Gold under pressure: the market is waiting for signals from the Fed and negotiations. The dollar is putting pressure on the market amid expectations of trade negotiations with India, South Korea, and Japan, as well as statements from the Fed.Earlier, the metal was supported by the weak dollar after Moody's downgraded the US credit rating, but growing interest in risky assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine reduced demand for gold. Key factors — negotiations and comments from the Fed — will continue to influence the dynamics of the dollar and gold.
Technically, the price is in a downtrend and within consolidation. A breakout from consolidation could be accompanied by strong momentum, but I believe that there will be no countertrend movement and that a retest of resistance could end in a decline...
Resistance levels: 3265.5, channel resistance
Support levels: 3206, 3153
The most likely scenario within the bearish trend is a short squeeze and a downward breakdown from the triangle (the fundamental background and economic risks are slowly but surely declining, and gold may lose value). A false breakout of 3250-3265 could trigger a continuation of the trend towards 3150-3120.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation (correction) ahead of newsFX:XAUUSD is testing resistance at 3346 and forming a correction, leaving liquidity above the level as the current target. The correction was influenced by the dollar. What can we expect next?
Gold is rising for the fourth day in a row and is approaching $3350, awaiting US PMI data. The dollar remains weak amid geopolitical risks, US-China disputes, and concerns about the US budget. The passage of Trump's tax bill could increase the deficit and pressure on the dollar. Weak PMI data could support gold by heightening expectations of a Fed rate cut
Technically, with the dollar falling, gold has every chance of continuing its rise. But now we are seeing a correction forming. I would say that the relevant areas of interest are 3288 and 0.5 Fibo
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3275, 3265
As part of the correction, gold may enter a consolidation phase, during which the price will gather liquidity relative to key areas of interest before continuing its growth. A retest and false breakout of 3288 - 3275 is possible before the growth continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Lingrid | GOLD Range RESISTANCE Short SetupThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD bounced from the higher low and is now testing the key resistance around 3330, where the downward trendline intersects the prior weekly high (PWH). Price remains within the broader upward channel, but signs of rejection could lead to a retest of the 3215 support area. Bulls must reclaim and hold above the descending trendline to regain control. A failure here would confirm another lower high and open downside risk.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3215 – 3230
Buy trigger: breakout above 3330 and trendline retest
Target: 3494
Sell trigger: rejection from 3330 resistance
💡 Risks
Macro catalysts (FOMC, CPI) could trigger volatility.
Repeated failure to reclaim trendline may deepen bearish pressure.
Higher low remains valid unless 3215 breaks decisively.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAUUSD Bearish Setup with Key Entry, Stop Loss & Target LevelsEA GOLD MAN XAUUSD
Entry Point: $3,235.94
Stop Loss: $3,235.94 (above current price, suggesting a SELL trade)
Target Points:
EA Target Point (Downside): $2,974.71 (Short target)
EA Target Point (Upside): $3,505.03 (Long target — likely alternate scenario)
Resistance Level: $3,121.49
Nearby Support Zone: Around $3,000–$2,975
📉 Trade Strategy Implied
This appears to be a short position setup:
Sell at: ~$3,220–$3,235
Stop Loss: $3,235.94
Take Profit: $2,974.71
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (very favorable setup if thesis holds)
The upside target ($3,505.03) might be for a different scenario — if price reverses and breaks above resistance.
🧠 Market Structure Observations
Trend: A bearish break from a previous ascending channel.
Momentum: Price has bounced slightly after hitting support, but the moving averages suggest bearish momentum may persist.
Key Risk: If price breaks above $3,236 convincingly, it could invalidate the short setup and trigger a bullish run.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bearish (based on current setup)
Setup: Short with tight stop above resistance
Confirmation Needed: Watch for rejection at the $3,220–$3,236 zone and a breakdown below $3,200 for follow-through.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting $3,4201. Entry Point Zone (~3,302.88 - 3,317.09):
This is the area where a long position (buy) is suggested.
The price has already moved slightly above this zone, indicating the trade may have already been triggered.
2. Stop Loss (~3,260.41 - 3,299.02):
Positioned below the entry zone to limit downside risk.
Suggests that if the price drops below this support zone, the trade idea is invalidated.
3. Target Point (3,420.41):
A bullish target suggesting a potential upside move of ~117.62 points (or ~3.56%).
This zone acts as a take-profit level.
4. Technical Indicators:
Moving averages (possibly 50 EMA in red and 200 EMA in blue) show a bullish crossover recently, supporting the upward momentum.
5. Pattern Outlook:
The chart implies a possible cup-and-handle or bullish consolidation breakout pattern, anticipating continuation upward.
Summary:
The strategy depicted is a bullish breakout setup:
Buy near 3,302.88–3,317.09
Stop Loss near 3,260–3,299
Take Profit near 3,420
This setup favors buyers as long as the price remains above the stop-loss zone. If the market holds this structure, there's a good risk-reward ratio for a move to 3,420.41.
GOLD → Breaking of the downward trend structure...FX:XAUUSD is breaking out of the downward price channel and heading towards the zone of interest at 3346. A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction before growth continues.
Gold is rising for the third day in a row and trading above $3,300 amid a weakening dollar and heightened geopolitical tensions. Investors are seeking refuge due to concerns about US fiscal policy, trade disputes with China, and a possible Israeli strike on Iran. Gold is also supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and weak prospects for the dollar.
Technically, the price is heading towards the order block and resistance at 3345-3360. Since the opening of the session, the price has exhausted all its potential, and a retest of the key level may end in a false breakout and correction. However, based on the fundamental background, gold's growth may continue after the correction...
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3265, 3245
Gold has returned to the buy zone, but the fundamental background is unstable, and any weakening of economic risks could send gold back south. At the moment, the focus is on 3346-3360, with a false breakout likely to trigger a correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
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1. Trend & Structure
The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal.
After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment.
---
2. Key Levels
Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support.
Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest.
The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone.
---
3. Price Projection
The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards:
Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50
Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98
These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones.
---
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation.
---
5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path)
A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected.
From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary of the Idea
This is a bullish continuation setup based on:
Trend reversal via ChoCH.
Strong order block formations.
EMA 200 support.
RSI confirmation.
Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support.
Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
GOLD trending higher: Can buyers push towards 3,350$?Right now OANDA:XAUUSD is a classic case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower borders.
The price has broken above a clear resistance zone and may pull back for a retest. This area also happens to coincide with the golden pocket of the recent swing and so it deserves special attention. If it holds as support, then that would be a confirmation of the bullish structure with the most likely possibility of a move towards 3,350, the middle side of the channel.
As long as the price stays above this support zone, the validity of the bullish setup is still there. If it does not, the short-term bullish outlook would therefore be interrupted and might be followed by further downside pullback.
Be sure to use proper risk management always.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3439.37.Colleagues, Last time, I suggested that the five-wave movement was not yet complete. It seems that this is indeed the case.
Wave "5" of the higher degree is unfolding, and I expect the price to reach the resistance area around 3439.37, which marks the top of wave "X".
Within the smaller five-wave structure, I believe wave "3" is currently in progress.
A correction toward the 3248.38 area is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Bearish Correction Is Happening! Gold rejected at 3350, dropping almost 600 pips to 3290. We can expect the price to drop further to around 3250, potentially reversing from there. A possible entry point is 3304, followed by a drop from there.
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Lingrid | GOLD bullish BREAKOUT from Downward ChannelOANDA:XAUUSD is retesting the broken trendline from above while consolidating just above the key $3,300 level. A successful bounce from this zone could ignite a rally toward the next resistance at $3,382, breaking the recent lower high structure. However, the market remains sensitive to any fake breaks, as seen multiple times in the current structure. Bulls need to defend the trendline to keep the upward momentum alive.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: $3,300 – $3,310
Buy trigger: bounce from upward trendline
Target: $3,382
Sell trigger: close below $3,300
💡 Risks
Another fake breakout could trap late buyers.
Bearish rejection from the red resistance trendline may stall upside.
U.S. macro data surprises could inject volatility.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAUUSD[GOLD]: 1 Hour View Show Extreme Seller Volume Gold in a shorter time frame shows extreme bearish volume kicking in the market, where bulls are failing to push prices higher. Additionally, if you’re someone who analyses patterns, a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern has also formed. There are three targets you can aim for.
We extend our best wishes and good luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated.
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XAUUSD: 20/05/2025 View Bullish! Gold has changed the view and currently bullish in our view price may continue to remain bullish for couple of days. Please use accurate risk management while trading gold.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trade Setup – Breakout in ProgressTrend Overview
📈 Uptrend in Progress
Price is moving within an ascending channel:
🔵 Support Line (bottom of channel)
🔺 Resistance Line (top of channel)
Key Levels
Current Price:
● 3,337.53 (📍)
Trade Idea (Long Setup):
🔵 Entry Zone
● 3,306.85 – 3,302.98
(Wait for pullback into this area)
🟦 RBS + RBR ZONE – Previous resistance, now potential support
🔴 Stop Loss
● 3,265.51
💣 Protect your capital below support zone
🎯 Target
● 3,490
🚀 Bullish target based on breakout from channel and momentum
📉 EMA 70:
● 3,282.74 (📉 Red Line)
Helps confirm trend direction. Price above EMA = Bullish bias.
Outlook Summary
✅ Wait for a dip to entry zone
✅ Stop below recent support zone
✅ Target high at 3,490 if breakout continues
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start tot he week with all our chart ideas playing out as analysed. This is an update on our 4H chart idea.
We began the week hitting our bullish target at 3235. Moving forward, we will monitor for a confirmed EMA5 cross and lock above 3235 to validate a potential move toward the next target at 3298.
If price fails to hold above 3235, we anticipate a retest of lower Goldturn support levels. These levels will serve as potential zones to identify bullish reversal opportunities.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3235 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3235 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3394 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3170
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3170 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3120
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3120 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3236 - 3176
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3176 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3033 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD → The fight for 3,200 continuesFX:XAUUSD has recovered after a bearish distribution. The price has returned to the range but continues to test the fundamental threshold of 3200.
The fundamental background has been gradually improving recently, which is putting pressure on the gold market, increasing the profit-taking ratio and the level of sales. After the resolution of the tariff war, all attention has shifted to the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, and de-escalation could also reduce economic risks. As well as the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East...
Technically, the price is returning to the range after a deep false breakout but is facing strong resistance and pressure from sellers. Further developments depend on the 3200 level, which is of fundamental importance.
Resistance levels: 3225, 3236, 3257
Support levels: 3204 - 3200, 3194
The battle for the 3200 area continues, with bulls likely to try to keep the price above 3200, in which case the market may test the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci zone. However, given the recent improvement in fundamentals, the price may return from these zones of interest to 3200 with the aim of continuing the assault to break through and continue the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey everyone,
It’s been another piptastic day in the markets with our 1H chart setup playing out beautifully.
We began with our bullish target at 3236, which was successfully hit. This was followed by EMA5 cross and lock that opened 3278, also reached perfectly. The entire range played out smoothly, giving ample time after confirmation for entries.
Looking ahead, we’ll be watching for an EMA5 cross and lock above 3278, which could open the path to 3308. A further lock above 3308 would open the potential for extended upside.
However, if price fails to lock above these key levels, we may see a retest of lower Goldturns for a potential bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX