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GOLD trade ideas

Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Tactical Bullish Break Out )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 3345 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position. Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
XAU/USD Bullish Setup Confirmed After Wave C CompletionXAU/USD has completed a classic five-wave impulsive structure to the upside, followed by a clear ABC corrective phase. The price action shows that wave (5) has topped, and the market has since retraced through a three-wave ABC correction inside a well-defined descending channel. Currently, wave C appears to have found support right at the lower trendline of the broader ascending structure, signaling a potential completion of the correction and the beginning of a new bullish impulse. The reaction from this level is strong, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to drive the next leg higher Wave Count: 5-wave impulse up, followed by ABC correction Structure: Wave C completed at key channel support Momentum: Bullish recovery expected if price holds above recent swing low T1: 3332.268 T2: 3354.078 SL: 3289.400
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Money_Dictators
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A great finish to the week with our 1H chart idea finishing off with the rejection from 3389 with no further cross and lock above that level confirming the rejection. We continued to see a drop into the lower Goldturns with each level giving 20 to 40 pip bounces., We are now seeing 3334 Goldturn being tested. Lets see if we get the 20 to 40 pip reactional bounce before close of play. We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! MR GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 3326 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bullish After Break : 3326 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3294 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position. Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Gold Pulls Back Near 3345: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsWe have once again perfectly predicted the gold trend. Throughout Tuesday, we kept calling for short positions at the rebound level of 3335-45, which offered multiple entry opportunities. With bulls continuously facing overhead pressure, bears should continue to focus on the short-term support at 3295-3306, where the price has been oscillating since the beginning of this week. From the 4-hour chart, the overhead resistance stands near 3338-45. It is recommended to continue taking short positions based on this level and expect the bearish trend to continue. The support below focuses on the key level of 3288-3290. Overall, the price is expected to continue wide-range oscillation within this interval. The uptrend cannot be confirmed before the daily closing price breaks above and holds 3345. XAUUSD sell@3340-3350 tp:3330-3320
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EvanField
2
Gut Feeling Vs. Technical Analysis- How I Take TradesTrading Is Both Art and Science Every trader, no matter how data-driven, eventually encounters moments when they just know something about the market. That quiet internal signal: “Don’t touch this today.” Or: “Get ready. Something’s coming.” That’s not random emotion. That’s your gut feeling – and in trading, it's worth paying attention to. But here's the catch: 👉 Gut feeling alone isn’t enough. 👉 Technical analysis alone isn’t either. The real edge comes when both align. ________________________________________ What Is Gut Feeling in Trading? “Gut feeling” is a term used to describe intuitive decisions that seem to arise without conscious reasoning. In trading, it often presents as a subtle inner nudge – a warning, a hesitation, or a surge of clarity. Contrary to popular belief, it’s not just emotion. It’s often the result of: • Unconscious pattern recognition from years (or decades) of chart-watching • Internalized market behavior that doesn’t show up on an indicator • Emotional awareness, sensing when the environment isn’t right to trade Experienced traders know this isn’t “woo.” It’s pattern memory speaking quietly. ________________________________________ On the Other Hand: What We Call Technical Analysis? We all know the tools: support/resistance, price action, indicators like RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, maybe Smart Money Concepts or just clean trendlines, etc. Technical analysis gives us structure — measurable, repeatable setups. But let’s not pretend it captures everything: • News can spike irrationally • Liquidity can vanish when you least expect it • And sometimes, the chart says 'yes' but the market mood says 'don’t trust it' That’s where gut feeling becomes the final filter. ________________________________________ ✅ Why I Wait for Alignment Let’s be honest: most bad trades happen when you force action despite internal hesitation. Here’s how I frame decisions: ✅ Full alignment • Gut: Yes • Technicals: Yes • 👉 Take the trade ⚠️ Gut says no, but technicals agree • Gut: No • Technicals: Yes • 🚫 Wait – something’s off ⚠️ Gut says yes, but technicals are unclear • Gut: Yes • Technicals: No • 👁 Watch only – do not act ❌ No alignment • Gut: No • Technicals: No • ✅ Stay out – smart decision You’re not supposed to be in every trade. You’re supposed to be in the right trades. ________________________________________ 🔍 Real-Life Example: Gold (XAUUSD) Yesterday, Gold surged due to geopolitical escalation and renewed tariff tension. Is looking bullish now: descending trendline broken, above 3350 which acts as confluence support. 📈 The chart said: “Buy.” 🧠 But my gut said: “ No. This is an emotional move. It’s not done correcting .” So I stayed out. Why? Because if I trade while my gut says “no”, I second-guess every tick. Even if the chart is right, I start hoping it fails — just to prove my feeling was right. That’s emotional sabotage. But when gut and chart say the same thing, I don’t hesitate. Even if the trade loses, I’m at peace. I executed from clarity, not conflict. That’s not just technical skill. That’s mental edge. 🧠 How to Develop Trustworthy Intuition If you’re new or inconsistent, your “gut feeling” might just be fear, greed, or FOMO. But over time, real intuition can be trained like a muscle. 1. Screen Time The more markets you watch, the more silent patterns your brain absorbs. Eventually, you’ll “feel” momentum shifts before indicators print them. 2. Journaling Write down what you felt before each trade. Did it align with your plan? Over time, you’ll spot which feelings were intuition and which were impulse. 3. Meditation & Clarity The more you control your emotional noise, the easier it becomes to hear real signals. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Common Pitfalls: When Gut Feeling Betrays You Let’s be clear – not every gut feeling is wise. Here are some red flags: • Revenge trading disguised as confidence • FOMO masked as intuition • Fear of missing out during high volatility sessions • Fatigue or stress, which distort perception 🧠 Tip: A real gut feeling comes with calm clarity, not urgency or adrenaline. ________________________________________ 🎯 Final Thought Gut Feeling + Technical Analysis = Peace of Mind The best trades aren’t just technically correct — they’re internally clean. No doubt. No hesitation. No self-conflict. Wait for alignment. Then execute with full presence. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
25
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — 16 June 2025👋 Hello team, here’s where we stand before the upcoming key week: 🔎 The Narrative Gold remains in bullish control after weeks of controlled expansion. The clean breakout above previous major highs triggered liquidity resets that cleared significant weak-handed positions. Last week’s sweep into 3447 activated premium liquidity, trapping late buyers at the edge of impulsive highs. But the game is far from over — smart money continues to rotate liquidity at these extreme levels, using premium expansion to build further trap pockets both above and below. Behind this technical expansion, macro tensions continue to fuel underlying gold demand. Geopolitical uncertainties remain elevated with the Middle East escalation risk growing, while recent Fed positioning keeps rate path expectations flexible. The upcoming FOMC decision later this week will likely act as the true liquidity catalyst — until then, gold remains positioned for further inducement cycles as both buyers and sellers continue to get baited into traps. 🔼 Premium Supply Zones Price Zone Description 3447 – 3470 Weak high sweep — premium liquidity trap fully active 3500 – 3525 Main extension liquidity pocket — Fibonacci cluster (1.272 & 1.414 extensions) 3550 – 3570 Exhaustion inducement — full 1.618 premium extension stack 🔽 Demand Defense Zones Price Zone Description 3415 – 3395 Minor imbalance recalibration — short-term liquidity refill zone 3365 – 3345 Core breakout OB + FVG overlap — main recalibration zone if pullbacks extend 3285 – 3265 HTF bullish structure base — BOS origin + deep recalibration defense level 🎯 Where We Stand Right Now ✅ Smart money holds full control inside premium expansion. ✅ Inducement layers remain open both above and below current price. ✅ We expect short-term liquidity sweeps before any major expansion unfolds. ✅ No change in bias — bullish structure remains valid while 3285 holds. 🔐 The Mindset 👉 This is not the place for aggressive chasing. 👉 Liquidity will continue to hunt both sides into key events ahead. 👉 Our job is not to predict, but to position with discipline once liquidity confirms displacement inside the calibrated zones. 🚀 If this breakdown helps you stay locked: 💬 Drop a 🚀, leave your thoughts & follow for full sniper-level updates as we approach a volatile week ahead. Stay sharp — the trap is already in play. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD - Emotional Scalping on Gold Leads to Blown Accounts📔 “I’ll just scalp Gold on the 1-minute” — said the future blown account Gold doesn’t care about your emotions. It doesn’t care that you think you can catch a move before it happens. And it definitely doesn’t care about your $50 dream from a 20-pip scalp. Real Gold traders don’t come for 20 pips. They come for precision, for structure, and for 80–100 pip setups backed by real confluence. If you’re pressing buttons on the 1-minute because you “feel it,” you’re not trading Gold — you’re feeding it. And it will eat you alive. ⭐1. Gold is Not a Currency Pair — It’s a Metal with a Temper You’re not trading EURUSD. You’re trading a metal — one of the most reactive and manipulated instruments in the market. Gold doesn’t respond like a normal pair. It reacts like a sensor. A trigger. 🔸 Geopolitical tension? It spikes. 🔸 USD news? CPI, NFP, FOMC — massive moves. 🔸 Imbalances and inducement zones? It respects them with surgical precision. 🔸 Thin liquidity or Asian session? Expect the unexpected. Last night, due to a political situation Gold didn’t hesitate. It exploded — hundreds of pips — while other pairs just twitched. And here’s the truth: 🔱 Gold is the most loved asset on the planet. • It’s wealth. • It’s power. • It’s culture. • It’s fear and greed — in physical form. That’s why it dominates the market. That’s why it’s unpredictable. And that’s why you need to approach it with respect — not emotion. ⏱️ 2. The 1-Minute Trap: Why You’re Always Late On M1, there is no structure — only speed. By the time you “see a pattern,” you’re already the exit liquidity. Order blocks? FVGs? Choch?BOS? They’re there… but barely readable in real time unless you’re hyper-trained. You’re not early. You’re late — many, many times. And Gold punishes late entries without mercy. So what should you do instead? 🧭 Zoom out. Reset. Re-anchor. Start with D1-H12-H4-H1. Mark the structure. Drop to M30/15/5 to refine your zones. Then — and only then — use M1 as a trigger, not a chart to trade blindly on. M1 is for confirmation — not discovery. It shows behavior, not bias. And if you treat it like a full chart, it will bury your account one candle at a time. 🤓3. If You're New — Respect the Timeframes If you’ve been trading Gold for less than 6 months, you don’t need more entries. You need more patience. Work with: ✅ 1H ✅ 30m ✅ 15m That’s where the story unfolds — clean, structured, readable. Yes, study the lower timeframes. Flip through M1, M3, M5, M7, M10… Zoom in, zoom out. Train your eye. And slowly, you’ll start to recognize the way Gold breathes — how it baits, spikes, pauses, and traps. But execution? Execution stays clean, until your structure reads faster than your fear. 🚨4. Gold Doesn’t Just Move Fast — It Gets You Hooked Gold isn’t just volatile — it’s addictive. You win once… you feel unstoppable. Twice… now you think you’re the chosen winner. And just like that, you’re hooked. You start ignoring your loss, because those two wins gave you more dopamine than a full week of consistency. You don’t even notice you’re in a loop: → Two wins → Five losses → One clean trade → Three more losses → Still confident… because of one high You’re not trading structure. You’re chasing a chemical high — and Gold is your dealer. That’s why M1 destroys accounts. Because the more you “almost catch it,” the more obsessed you get. You don’t need a new setup. You need to break the loop. Walk away, breathe, come back and trade less. 😶‍🌫️ 5. If Your Mind is Not Calm — Stay Off the Chart Gold will test your technicals — but it’ll destroy your psychology if you’re not stable. Had a bad day at work? Argued with someone? Feeling off? Do. Not. Trade. Gold!! This metal feeds on instability. It senses when you’re not focused. And it will punish you faster than you can say “SL hit.” 💬 “You trade what you feel. So if you’re a mess inside, your chart becomes chaos too.” 🔚 Bottom Line: You Don’t Need More Trades. You Need Better Vision. Scalping Gold on M1 sounds smart. Feels efficient. Looks exciting. Until you’re left with a blown account and a broken mindset. 🫶 Want to stop gambling and start dominating? Start with patience. Stick to timeframes. Learn the rhythm. Gold is not for the impulsive — it’s for the precise. If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
XAUUSD - Trader's psychology - Hesitation⭐The Setup Was Perfect, and You... You did everything right. Marked the zone. Waited for price. Saw the reaction. But you didn’t take the trade — or you hesitated, entered late, and missed the real move. Sound familiar? This article isn’t about strategy. It’s about what happens between your plan and your execution — and why even the most perfect setups won’t save you if you’re not mentally ready to pull the trigger. 🚨 Why Hesitation Happens Most traders don’t miss trades because the setup wasn’t unclear. They miss because of inner conflict. ❗ They doubt their read ❗ They chase confirmation ❗ They fear being wrong ❗ They overanalyze instead of executing The irony? The more they learn, the worse it gets — because more information means more pressure to be right. 🔁 Here’s how it usually looks: You watch price approach your zone. It taps in — but instead of entering, you stare, waiting for a candlestick pattern or a feeling of “certainty.” By the time you move, the market already made the move. Now you’re chasing, or watching in frustration. It’s not your setup that failed. It’s your ability to act in the moment. 🧩 The Identity Problem You don’t trade what you see. YOU TRADE WHAT YOU BELIEVE ABOUT YOURSELF. (Read this again and again!) A trader who doesn’t truly believe they deserve to win will sabotage themselves in the most subtle ways: They’ll wait too long Or enter too early Or close too fast Or move the SL to feel “safe” Not because the chart said so — but because their inner narrative said: “You’re probably wrong. You mess it up too much. Play it safe.” If you act like a spectator, you’ll always miss like one. The market doesn’t reward analysts. It rewards conviction. 🔁 The Real Pattern: Overthinking > Hesitating > Missing > Frustration > Revenge It’s a loop. And it starts with not trusting your process. Once you hesitate, everything spirals: You miss the clean entry You enter late and take a worse R:R You get stopped out or close early You enter another trade out of revenge You lose again — and blame the setup But the setup wasn’t the problem. You weren’t ready. 🔨 Fixing the Execution Gap How do you stop hesitating? Not with journaling. Not with meditating. Not with fluff. You stop by building clarity — fast. ✅ Before the session, take a few minutes. Ask yourself: What setup am I waiting for? What would cancel it? Say it out loud. That’s it. ✅ When price enters the zone, say: “This is it. Let’s go.” No overthinking. No pause. No doubt. Imagine this: you’re watching Gold hit a reaction zone you’ve marked all morning. Instead of watching five indicators, you’ve already made the decision. Price touches → you execute. Done. ✅ After the trade, ask just one question: Did I do what I said I’d do? If yes, you won. Even if it lost. 🎯 Train the Moment Want to build real confidence? Start training the execution moment — not just the strategy. Here’s how: Visualize 2 types if entry before each trade. “If price hits this zone and does X, I enter. If not, I don’t.” 🧠 Rehearse mentally. Visualize the actual mouse click. Imagine price entering your zone and you acting decisively. 👁 Review only one thing each day: Did I trust the zone and act — or did I hesitate again? Execution is a skill. It gets sharper the more you drill it — before the trade is live. 💬 Final Thoughts You already know the zones. You already understand structure. You just need more courage. 🎯 Learn to enter with intention. 🧠 Learn to trust the plan you built. And start becoming the trader you keep pretending you already are. If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Can gold price maintain the uptrend above 3400?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices advanced by approximately 0.97% on Wednesday, buoyed by signs of easing inflation in the United States (US), which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could resume rate cuts as early as September. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,363. The May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows a slowdown in price pressures compared to April, prompting a surge in demand for the yellow metal. In response, gold briefly rallied to an intraday high near $3,360 before paring back some of those gains, as investors recalibrated their outlook on the Fed’s policy path. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Middle East concerns, along with information about influential high tariffs on countries without trade agreements. Gold prices have recovered, but there is no long-term stability. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3428- 3430 SL 3435 TP1: $3410 TP2: $3395 TP3: $3382 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3345-$3343 SL $3338 TP1: $3355 TP2: $3367 TP3: $3380 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
5
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook 16-20 JuneHello traders 👋, A powerful week ahead with extremely sensitive fundamentals in play. 🔎 Macro Fundamentals 🔥 FOMC rate decision + press conference coming up. This will set the tone for USD and risk markets. 🏦 FOMC statement + economic projections will guide the next dollar liquidity wave. 📊 Key US consumer data via Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales. 🏠 Housing sector updates: Permits, Starts, NAHB. 📈 Business inventories, Philly Fed, CB Leading Index, TIC flows. ⚠ Volatility expected to spike heavily mid-week during the Fed. The market is positioned for liquidity grabs, with strong potential for traps both sides. Execution requires sniper discipline. 🔬 Technical Structure — Weekly Chart Context Weekly bullish BOS confirmed. Weak High sitting at 3448, currently challenged. We are extended in premium territory after multiple bullish expansions. Main premium OB zone: 3445 - 3465, highly reactive zone. Discount demand stands lower around 3320 - 3280 and 3100 key weekly equilibrium. EMAs remain fully locked bullish. RSI approaching extended levels (71), risk of profit-taking spikes remains. 🎯 Key Weekly Levels Type Zone Comment 🔼 Resistance 3445 – 3465 Active premium trap zone 🔼 Resistance 3502 1.272 Fibonacci extension 🔼 Resistance 3572 1.618 Fibonacci extension 🔼 Resistance 3649 2.0 Fibonacci extension 🔽 Support 3320 – 3280 Last valid weekly OB 🔽 Support 3100 Weekly equilibrium & demand 🧭 Weekly Bias 🔧 Primary bias: bullish continuation still intact while weekly structure remains protected. Watch for sweeps above 3445-3465. 🔧 Potential correction risk from high-impact fundamentals (FOMC). Buy dips if structure holds. 🔥 If you enjoy this clean breakdown: hit that 🚀, follow & drop your thoughts below! Stay sharp traders — we execute with precision. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Learn 6 Common Beginner Trading Mistakes (FOREX, GOLD) In the today's post, we will discuss very common beginner's mistakes in trading that you should avoid. 1. No trading plan 📝 That is certainly the TOP 1 mistake. I don't know why it happens but 99% of newbies assume that they don't need a trading plan. It is more than enough for them to watch a couple of educational videos, read some books about trading and Voilà when a good setup appears they can easily recognize and trade it without a plan. Guys, I guarantee you that you will blow your trading account in maximum 2 months if you keep thinking like that. Trading plan is the essential part of every trading approach, so build one and follow that strictly. 2. Overtrading 💱 That mistake comes from a common newbies' misconception: they think that in order to make money in trading, they should trade a lot. The more they trade, the higher are the potential gains. The same reasoning appears when they choose a signal service: the more trades a signal provider shares, the better his signals are supposed to be. However, the truth is that good trades are very rare and your goal as a trader is to recognize and trade only the best setups. While the majority of the trading opportunities are risky and not profitable. 3. Emotional trading 😤 There are 2 ways to make a trading decision: to make it objectively following the rules of your trading plan or to follow the emotions. The second option is the main pick of the newbies. The intuition, fear, desire are their main drivers. And such an approach is of course doomed to a failure. And we will discuss the emotional trading in details in the next 2 sections. 4. Having no patience ⏳ Patience always pays. That is the trader's anthem. However, in practice, it is extremely hard to keep holding the trade that refuses to reach the target, that comes closer and closer to a stop loss level, that stuck around the entry level. Once we are in a trade, we want the price to go directly to our goal without any delay. And the more we wait, the harder it is to keep waiting. The impatience makes traders close their trades preliminary, missing good profits . 5. Greed 🤑 Greed is your main and worst enemy in this game. It will pursue you no matter how experienced you are. The desire to get maximum from every move, to not miss any pip of profit, will be your permanent obstacle. Greed will also pursue you after you close the profitable trades. No matter how much you win, how many good winning trades you catch in a row, you always want more. And that sense main lead you to making irrational, bad trading decision. 6. Big Risks 🛑 Why to calculate lot size for the trade? Why even bother about risk management? These are the typical thoughts of the newbies. Newbie traders completely underestimate the risks involved in trading and for that reason they are risking big. I heard so many times these stories, when a trading deposit of a trader is wiped out with a one single bad trade. Never ever risk big, especially if you just started. Start with a very conservative approach and risk a tiny little portion of your trading account per trade. Of course there are a lot more mistakes to discuss. However, the ones that I listed above at the most common and I am kindly recommending you to fix them before you start trading with a substantial amount of money. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: It's been a decent week on the markets with our path and red boxes playing well from the low to the high for the pull back trade into the region we wanted and then the long completing all but one Red box target which was missed by 20pips. With NFP tomorrow we would say caution on the markets as we can expect some pre-event ranging and MA play until the release tomorrow. For that reason, we have given the two levels of interest that we feel price will play until tomorrow's release. For now, we're not getting involved in gold until after the NFP move. As always, trade safe. KOG’s Bias of the day: Bullish above 3335 with targets above 3366✅. 3373✅ and above that 3390✅ Bearish on break of 3335 with target below 3320 and below that 3210 RED BOXES: Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3388✅ and 3406 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3335, 3330, 3326 and 3307 in extension of the move
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
Fomo is bullish, gold could hit 3480⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices extended their rally for a second consecutive session on the back of weaker-than-expected inflation and labor market data in the United States (US), with XAU/USD climbing to $3,386—just below the key $3,400 threshold—amid mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The overall market sentiment remains buoyant, fueled by consecutive soft US inflation prints that have amplified pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin easing monetary policy. Meanwhile, signs of fragility in the labor market persist, as jobless claims exceeded 240,000 for the second week in a row, underscoring concerns about the broader economic outlook and lending further support to the safe-haven appeal of gold. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: War, a factor that helps gold prices grow, towards 3480 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3478- 3480 SL 3485 TP1: $3462 TP2: $3450 TP3: $3435 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3375-$3377 SL $3370 TP1: $3389 TP2: $3400 TP3: $3412 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold heavily pressuredTechnical analysis: Gold remains heavily pressured on now a #2-session / day basis as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 final Support zone was compromised ahead of #3,300.80 benchmark in extension. #3,300.80 benchmark rejected the Price-action and prevented further pain on Gold, retracing the Price-action all the way towards my Resistance belt. The trend is approaching #3,327.80 point as I am expecting the first signs of wall of Resistance lines here starting at #3,327.80 where Hourly 4 chart’s Short-term first Resistance line rests. With stalled recovery on DX and Bond Yields soaring (Gold follows the movement with diagonal correlation) - I doubt that Gold has potential to slide more, but if does, I’ll be forced to change my Bullish Short-term perspective (very slim chances). It is important to understand that despite the heavy Selling pressure towards U.S. session, Gold has light Fundamental calendar so nothing is standing between Gold’s intention to pierce #3,327.80 Resistance at the moment on very Bullish Hourly 1 chart Technicals (chart I make my calculations on). Price-action has successfully tested the estimated Support zone and nicely formed strong Bottom which won’t be invalidated without serious cause. #3,300.80 - #3,302.80 represents Lower High’s Upper zone and according to the cycle, Lower High’s are usually areas where Selling sequence is usually rejected or stalled under. My position: I am Highly satisfied with Friday’s NFP aftermath as I guessed nicely that upside surprise is expected and caught #2 excellent Selling orders on the way down as I was well aware that Price-action will correct all gains fueled with NFP outcome where Short-term Sellers appeared.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD: Neutral trade preparing a major breakout.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.070, MACD = 17.020, ADX = 34.480) a direct consequence of the sideways trading between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. The price action has rebounded on the former LH trendline, validating that it has resumed the long term bullish trend. The pattern that has prevailed so far is a Channel Up, and the current consolidation is similar to its first bottom sequence. We are bullish, aiming again for the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 3,420). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
THE KOG REPORT - NFPQuick one today as we haven't had much time to put together the report. Instead, the red box levels are shared below and the extreme red boxes are on the chart. We have key level 3365 which needs to break as shown and key level 3345 which needs to break downside. RED BOX TARGETS Break above 3365 for 3366, 337, 3385, 3390, 3406 and 3420 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3345, 3336, 3329, 3320, 3310 and 3298 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders, Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇. Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning. Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309. Key Drivers for the Week Ahead: 📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday) US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive". The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST /  04:12 EDT). These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model. The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy. Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥 📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%. 📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows. Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%. 📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄. Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements. Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch: Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move. Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously. Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment. Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃 Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍 India / Pakistan The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability. Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️ Gaza Conflict Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point. Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌ Russia / Ukraine In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled. Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️ U.S.–China Trade War Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation. Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔 🌐 Global Trade War The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED. Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗 🏛 Trump vs. Powell Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut. Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯 💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025 Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11. Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑 Technical View 📐 Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome. Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image. As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄 Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩 Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅ Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗ While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting. Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂. Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
2
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 09 - Jun 13]OANDA:XAUUSD fell more than 1% on Friday (June 6) due to the unexpected US non-farm payrolls data for May. Spot gold closed at $3,309.84/oz, up 0.8% on the week. Although gold failed to break above the $3,400/oz resistance and may fluctuate in the $3,300-$3,400/oz range in the short term, the market's resilience and long-term uptrend remain solid. Meanwhile, silver and platinum outperformed, hitting 13-year and 3-year highs, respectively, on investment demand and expectations of supply shortages. Gold prices rose significantly on Monday last week and hovered at highs ahead of the release of non-farm payrolls data from Tuesday to Friday, reaching $3,403.48 an ounce on Thursday. The latest data showed that the US added 139,000 non-farm payrolls in May, beating market expectations of 130,000, the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2% and wage growth beat expectations. This reduced the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in the near future, pushing the US dollar and US bond yields higher and putting pressure on gold prices. OANDA:XAUUSD received initial support above 3,300 USD/ounce, indicating that the market still has buying support, but the resistance level of 3,400 USD/ounce is difficult to overcome in the short term and 3,200 USD/ounce is the main support level, more detailed technical analysis will be sent to readers in the following part of the article. However, since the raw price points are still related to fundamental analysis, I personally think that the price declines can be seen as an opportunity for gold to hold at lower prices, the long-term uptrend is fundamentally unchanged and central bank gold buying and a weaker dollar will continue to support gold prices. Despite the rise in risk assets such as stocks, gold has shown resilience. Central bank demand for diversified reserves and market risk appetite will continue to support gold prices, underscoring its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Market Background and Outlook The labor market is slowing steadily and the Federal Reserve is likely to continue to wait and see, with the likelihood of a near-term rate cut low. The May CPI data next Wednesday (June 11) will be in focus. If CPI rises, it will push the US Dollar higher and further depress gold prices. If CPI is weak, it could help push gold prices higher. Geopolitical and trade factors: Trump's call with Xi Jinping on Thursday did not bring any clear progress on trade. If the tariff news worsens, this could boost demand for gold as a safe haven. On the other hand, the outlook for the Middle East-US, Ukraine-Russia talks is also not getting any better, any negative signs on the geopolitical front next week will also boost gold prices to recover. Economic data and events next week Wednesday: US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Thursday: US Producer Price Index (PPI), Weekly Jobless Claims Friday: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index 📌Gold prices fell sharply on Friday as it retested the $3,371 target level, which is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, but failed to break it. The bearish momentum took gold towards an area where there are several important supports such as the $3,300 price point and the confluence of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level with the 21-day EMA. Although gold has fallen, its current position still has enough conditions for bullish expectations in the near term. And in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still above 50, and in this case, 50 is considered the nearest momentum support. As long as gold remains in/above the price channel, its main long-term trend is still bullish, in the short term if gold remains above the base price of 3,300 USD, it still has an upside target at 3,371 USD followed by the base price of 3,400 USD. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,300 – 3,292USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3345 - 3343⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3449 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3227 - 3229⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3223
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading