XAUUSD Consolidates Near Resistance After Strong RallyGold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe has staged a solid bullish reversal from the 3,263 USD support zone, reaching a recent high of 3,357 USD. Now, the market is entering a consolidation phase just below this resistance. This price action may be setting the stage for the next directional move.
After breaking a clear descending trendline, XAUUSD formed a two-leg bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows – a classic signal of trend reversal. The rally paused around 3,357 USD, a previous swing high acting as short-term resistance. The price is currently ranging between 3,330–3,340 USD with decreasing volume, indicating a potential accumulation zone rather than distribution.
Resistance: 3,357 USD – breakout target
Support zone: 3,330–3,335 USD – short-term demand zone
Invalidation level: 3,306 USD – below this, bullish structure breaks
As long as price holds above 3,330 USD, a bullish continuation remains the primary scenario. Traders can look for pullbacks or bullish patterns within this zone for potential long entries. A break and close above 3,357 USD would confirm strength, opening the path toward 3,370 or even 3,390 USD.
Stop-loss should be placed below 3,306 USD to manage risk if the breakout fails. If price loses the 3,306 support decisively, the setup turns neutral to bearish short-term.
The breakout leg was supported by rising volume, validating real demand. Current low-volume sideways movement suggests the market is “cooling off” after the rally, often a precursor to the next breakout move. Watching for bullish engulfing candles or volume spikes near support can offer trade confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a bullish technical structure on the 1H chart. The current range between 3,330–3,357 USD is key. If price breaks above resistance, we could see strong continuation toward higher levels. Traders should stay patient, manage risk carefully, and let price action confirm the next move.
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 2 July 2025Hello Traders,
Today all eyes on breakout of 3360-70 zone in order to GOLD go for further advance below this zone all eyes are remains on 3318 level if market successfully maintain 3330 level then will go down further towards 3300 Psychological Level after passing 3318
NFP main event of the day which is held by tomorrow
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold may collapse again, don't get buried in it!In the past two trading days, gold began to rebound from a low of around 3245, and has now rebounded to around 3358, with a rebound of up to $113. Moreover, there has been no significant retracement during this rebound, indicating that gold has little intention to fall, and may even continue to rise.
But for me, gold rebounded from 3245. Even if a double bottom structure with 3275 as the secondary low was constructed on the technical level, it should not be enough for gold to rebound more than $113 in just two days as it fell below many supports in the early stage and bullish confidence suffered a serious blow. Moreover, it happened before the uncertain news of the NFP market.
So I have to consider that the market did it deliberately, and its primary purpose was to kill a large number of short chips in the market and lure more attracted long chips; secondly, the sharp rise before the NFP market may be to reserve room for the NFP market to fall in advance; in addition, I have to consider that the US dollar has fallen to a three-year low. If it continues to fall, there may be a global crisis of confidence in the US dollar, and the oversold rebound demand for the US dollar will also suppress gold.
Therefore, I still will not advocate chasing the rise of gold for the time being; on the contrary, I will actively seek opportunities to short gold in the 3350-3370 area; and once gold turns to a downward trend again, it may at least test the 3325-3315-3305 area downward in the short term.
Daily Outlook | XAUUSD June 30, 2025Hey traders,
Fresh week, clean structure. Let’s lock in the key levels and let price do the talking.
🌐 Macro Context
It’s a heavy week for USD – all major data drops before Friday:
Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing + Powell speaks
Wednesday: ADP Employment
Thursday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM Services
Friday: US holiday – markets closed
📌 This means liquidity will build into Thursday, then fade. Expect gold to stay range-bound early in the week, unless momentum shifts hard today. Volatility should peak around NFP.
🧭 Daily Structure & Bias
Gold opened weak under 3287, still below 21EMA and 50EMA. The structure shows lower highs, bearish control, and no signs of strength reclaiming ground. RSI is at 42 — momentum down, but not oversold yet. Unless price breaks back above 3340, sellers stay in control.
✅ D1 Bias: Bearish while under 3340
📌 Key D1 Zones to Watch
🔺 D1 Breaker Block – 3340–3355
Former support, now clean resistance. Includes 50EMA and last failed closes. If price rejects again here, bearish continuation likely. A daily close above 3355 flips short bias.
🔺 D1 Supply + FVG – 3385–3405
Unmitigated imbalance from early June. If price pushes through 3355, this is the next upside magnet. Good spot for first reaction.
⚖️ D1 Decision Zone – 3287–3265
Current price zone. Multiple past reactions. A daily close below 3265 confirms breakdown. Holding above = more choppy range.
🟢 D1 Reaction Shelf – 3210–3180
Minor support zone from April candle bodies. Can slow price, but not strong enough for reversal on its own.
🟢 D1 Demand Block – 3155–3120
First major HTF demand. Includes 200EMA, strong structure, and previous breakout base. If price sells into it fast, watch for rejection — but only with confirmation.
🟢 D1 Macro Demand – 3090–3055
Final line of macro defense. Clean imbalance + demand from February. Valid only if sentiment breaks post-NFP.
✅ Final Summary
• Below 3265 = structure breaks → opens 3180
• 3155–3120 = real support zone
• Below 3120 = macro shift risk
• Reclaiming 3340 = short bias invalid
• Break above 3385 = continuation possible
📌 Today is all about the close. No confirmation = no trade. Thursday is the real trigger — be positioned, not exposed.
—
📣 If this gave you clarity and structure, drop a 🔥, share your bias, and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper plans with zero fluff — only clean, confirmed price action.
GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty.
In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus.
Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise.
Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320
Resistance levels: 3366, 3396
On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300
Best regards, R. Linda!
Luxury, War, and Clarity – This Is the Golden Reset.🟨 The Real Gold Era: Clarity While the World Burns 🟨
"While some bleed in the streets, others sip cocktails in the Bahamas. This is not a coincidence. This is the new world."
Right now, we live in a time like no other.
People are dying in wars they never chose.
Currencies collapse. Nations threaten each other.
And yet — capital flows, gold climbs, and the rich get richer.
🕰️ A war started long ago — and most never saw it:
2020–2022: They printed trillions. COVID shut down the world. Fiat was silently devalued.
2022–2023: Russia was cut off from SWIFT. BRICS started buying gold. The dollar was no longer untouchable.
2023–2024: Gold broke $2100… then $2400… now $3400+. Even high interest rates can't stop it.
2025: U.S. and Israel strike Iran. BRICS discuss a gold-backed currency. Trust in fiat? Gone.
The Gold Era is no longer just metaphor. It’s the new battlefield.
💣 "War is loud. Wealth is silent."
While bombs fall in the East,
✨ capital quietly moves to safe havens.
While families flee,
✨ smart money finds gold, data, and sovereign positioning.
While headlines scream chaos,
✨ traders make decisions in silence.
🌍 But here's the paradox:
We also live in a world of unmatched abundance:
You can build a brand from a phone.
You can trade gold from a beach.
You can learn SMC, AI, geopolitics — and use it to build freedom.
You can escape the system, if you understand the structure.
In this gold era, the true asset isn't just metal.
It's mental clarity. Information. Sovereignty.
The gold is you.
📉 This isn’t just about trading.
It’s about knowing where we are in the timeline of collapse and rebirth.
The markets don’t lie — they expose what’s really coming.
And those who read them… can rise while others fall.
🧠 Final note:
Not everyone survives a reset.
But those who think in structure, who lead with clarity — they don’t just survive.
They reposition.
They build.
They lead.
🟡 Welcome to the Real Gold Era.
Where charts speak louder than news.
Where truth is a position.
Where you don’t wait for safety — you create it.
—
✍️ GoldFxMinds – where structure meets truth.
📢 Disclosure: This analysis was created using TradingView charts through my Trade Nation broker integration. As part of Trade Nation’s partner program, I may receive compensation for educational content shared using their tools.
Hanzo Drex | 15-Min Bullish Reversal Setup – 300 Pips in Sight🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Reversal Execution
Time Frame: 15 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Reversals
👌Bullish Reversal : 3397
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Gold Breakout Done New Short Entry Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on gold at he moment , in 15 mins T.F wr have a fake breakout but 3343.00 forced the price to go down which is a great res for this pair and we have avery good bearish price action and good closure below my res level 3341.00 so it`s my num 1 place to enter a sell trade if the price go back to retest it , and if not , 3383.00 will be my best place to sell it .
GOLD recovers, capped by $3,350, trend viewOANDA:XAUUSD recovered then weakened as it failed to break above $3,350, supported by a weaker dollar and market uncertainty sparked by reports that U.S. President Donald Trump could replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in September or October. The reports raised concerns about the future independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting demand for safe-haven gold.
On Wednesday, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace him. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October.
The current market narrative is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chair, market expectations will tend to favor a more “dovish” Fed. This could lead to a weaker US dollar, higher long-term US Treasury yields and higher stock prices.
Forexlive points out that this story may be more an emotional reaction than a result of objective and rational thinking. The policy of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) is decided not only by the Fed Chairman but also by a majority vote of the 12 voting members (including 7 directors and 5 regional Fed presidents). The Fed Chairman does have a lot of influence, but he does not have absolute control over monetary policy. The Fed was originally designed to be independent of political pressure.
Moreover, even if Trump nominates the next chairman, there is no guarantee that this will automatically lead to a rate cut. In fact, Powell was also nominated by Trump, but his monetary policy decisions are still based on professional judgment rather than serving Trump's wishes.
So, in the worst case, the market could face policy uncertainty as differences between FOMC members increase and more disagreements emerge. Currently, there are fewer moderate members on the committee, while neutral or hawkish members dominate.
Markets are now focused on personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data due later today (Friday) for further clues on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.
On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to be in place on Wednesday after Trump hailed a swift end to the 12-day conflict at the NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold recovered and reached the initial target at 3,350 USD, the nearest resistance is also the price point of the EMA21 noted for readers in the previous publication.
However, the recovery momentum is currently weakening, specifically at the time of writing, the gold price is falling below 3,320 USD. Gold falling below 3,320 USD provides conditions for a possible decline with the next target around 3,302 - 3,300 USD, which is the area of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement confluence with the lower edge of the price channel.
In terms of momentum, the RSI is heading down and breaking below 50, which should be considered an initial bearish signal.
Overall, gold does not have a clear long-term trend as the uptrend is still the main trend, while the momentum is showing signs of decline.
But personally, I am still leaning towards the uptrend, and continue to look for positions to buy.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,302 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,320 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3272 - 3274⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3268
→Take Profit 1 3280
↨
→Take Profit 2 3286
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3294 - 3312 area
Support 2: 3231 - 3287 area
Support 3: 3121 - 3176 area
Resistance 1: 3338 - 3368 area
Resistance 2: 3441 - 3451 area
Resistance 3: 3493 - 3500 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Hanzo Drex | 15-Min Bearish Reversal Setup – 300 Pips in Sight🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Reversal Execution
Time Frame: 15 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Reversals
👌Bearish Reversal : 3346
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
5
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our new 1H chart playing out to perfection!!!
We started with a gap on market open clearing our Bullish target. We then got our bearish target at 3348, followed with no ema5 cross and lock confirming the rejection into our bullish target 3376.
We now have ema5 cross and lock above 3376 opening 3395.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3376 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3395 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3419
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3419 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3440
BEARISH TARGETS
3348 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3330
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3288
3271
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GDP and price range accumulated above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices held firm during the North American session on Wednesday, climbing over 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data could prompt future action from the Federal Reserve (Fed). However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's continued hawkish stance has limited further upside for the precious metal.
At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,334, up 0.34%, as the US Dollar pares earlier gains and Wall Street posts modest advances.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
moving in accumulation range following 2 trend lines, trading above 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3364- 3366 SL 3371
TP1: $3352
TP2: $3345
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3302-$3300 SL $3295
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3328
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
How to Manage Emotions in Trading? One Word: DisciplineHow to deal with emotions?
If you don't feel like reading a long explanation — here's the short answer: Discipline.
There are two typical emotional traps in trading:
1. After a big loss:
You feel the urge to recover quickly. Emotions kick in: despair, paralysis, frustration, snapping at loved ones — the classic downward spiral.
2. After a big win:
You feel like a king. “I’ve figured out the market. I’m unstoppable.” This leads to overconfidence, oversized positions, increased risk, and careless spending of profits — all while forgetting that black swans do exist.
What’s the cure in both cases? Discipline.
That’s your weak spot in both scenarios.
When you lose a lot, you shouldn’t even allow deep drawdowns to begin with.
Set clear exit rules:
1. Hard stop-losses.
2. A maximum loss limit (ideally 5–10% of capital), after which you completely exit all positions and take a minimum one-month break from charts and trading activity.
This protects your capital and — even more importantly — your mental health.
If you can’t follow your own stop-loss or take breaks when needed — then you don’t need emotional advice. You need to work on discipline.
When you feel euphoric from profits, this is trickier, but also manageable.
Reduce your position sizes after a major win or take a 2–3 day break to reset your brain and step back from emotional excitement
Again — the tool that helps here is discipline.
So how do you build that discipline?
Discipline isn’t just about trading. It’s a life skill that touches everything — from health to finance to habits. Here's how to develop it:
Start with physical training
Yes, really.
If you’re new, aim for 30 minutes of exercise, 3 times a week.
Even if you’re tired halfway, just walk in place — finish the 30 minutes. This trains your brain to complete what it starts, no matter how you feel.
The self-discipline from training your body will spill into every other area of your life — including trading.
Build simple habits
Start small:
Get up at the first alarm
Make your bed right after waking up
Put away clothes properly
Clean your shoes after coming home
Pick 2–3 micro-habits, and once they stick, your "discipline muscle" will grow. Over time, it becomes a natural skill.
Don’t expect results in the first week
Give yourself 30 days, and you’ll see real change.
Gold's 3290-3300 Support : Next Week Aims for Gap-Up Retest Last week, gold opened with a gap-up on Monday 🔼, then trended downward 🔽.
⚡ Notably, the 3290-3300 support zone held firmly from Monday to Thursday, demonstrating strong resilience.
🌱 The price plunged to around 3255 on Friday but rebounded promptly.
🔥 For next week, the opening may surge toward the 3290-3300 zone, warranting close attention.
🚀 Buy@3260 - 3270
🚀 TP 3280 - 3290 -3300
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Slips as Ceasefire Eases SafeHaven Demand Bearish Below3339Gold Drops on Israel-Iran Ceasefire
Gold prices declined as safe-haven demand eased following President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Despite the pullback, gold remains up nearly 23% year-to-date, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty driven by Trump’s tariffs, and robust central bank purchases.
Market Focus:
All eyes are now on U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, which may offer fresh insights into potential near-term interest rate cuts.
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains under bearish pressure as long as it trades below the 3329–3339 pivot zone.
A confirmed 4H candle close below 3329, or especially 3309, would further validate downside momentum toward the support range.
Support Levels: 3302, 3281, 3256
Resistance Levels: 3364, 3393
A clear break below 3302–3281 would open the path toward deeper bearish continuation.
Gold Peaked, Deep Analysis: MACD & RSI, Targets: $3,131 & $2,904Gold (XAUUSD) already peaked. The 22 Apr session was a clear top signal. A very strong one at that. The chart is showing a lower (red arrows) and overall distribution channel. Trading volume continues to drop. Bearish volume is predominant.
Gold produced a strong rally, it lasted 159 days. Total growth amounts to +39% from bottom to top, starting November 2024, end April 2025.
It's been 64 days since the all-time high. No new highs, no bullish momentum. Geopolitical factors that would push Gold to new all-time highs, a war, did show up recently, a surprise event and yet Gold's price failed to move higher. This is a warning signal.
The RSI is weak now. Gold is trading very high, a very strong price but with a risk RSI. This is another warning signal, a strong one. Bullish would be the contrary, low price with a strong RSI. A weak RSI at this point can be interpreted as the bullish force being exhausted.
The daily MACD is pretty bad. Trending fully down with no possibility of anything bullish. Here is the chart.
This is a friendly reminder. Switch to Crypto.
You've been warned.
Namaste.
Gold price short term recovery 3366⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated on Wednesday that the central bank has sufficient time to assess the impact of tariffs on inflation before making any decisions regarding interest rates. His remarks suggest a cautious approach and align with Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments from the previous day.
Chair Powell reaffirmed the view that there is no urgency to alter monetary policy, emphasizing a patient, data-driven approach as the Fed monitors economic developments. This less dovish tone from Fed leadership may help cap downside pressure on gold in the near term.
Meanwhile, money markets are fully pricing in two rate cuts by the end of 2025, with a September move seen as more probable than one in July—although expectations for a July cut have slightly increased since last week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered and continued to accumulate, pay attention to the GAP 3366 area at the beginning of the week, selling pressure is still maintained.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3366- 3368 SL 3373
TP1: $3358
TP2: $3345
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3303-$3301 SL $3296
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3328
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Hanzo | 30-Min Setup / incoming 300 Pip After Break Out Time Frame: 30 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Break out
🩸Bullish Break : 3338 : 3342.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
➕ Hanzo Protocol: Dual- Entry Intel
Zone Activated: Deep Analysis ( 3338 ) Point
why we did chose it ?
Solid Key level
➗1st Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗2nd Wick Touch (12 Jun /2025)
➗3rd Wick Touch (24 Jun /2025)
Deep Analysis ( 3338 ) Point
why we did chose it ?
➗1st Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗2nd Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗3rd Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗4th x2 Wick Touch (20 Jun /2025)
➗5th x2 Wick Touch (24 Jun /2025)
🔖That means we created a Solid Zone (3338 : 3342) of Breakout on the 30-min Chart -
Price must break liquidity with a clear 30-min candle to confirm the move.
GOLD THE united state interest rate stands at 4.25%-4.5%
the US10Y open the day at 4.293% and closes 4.26% a significant drop from may high of 4.62%
the dollar index is heading to 96$ after open 97.611$ to close 97.313$.
Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures
the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook.
the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.26% and edge lower from fundamental outlook.
gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314.
buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
break below 3311-3314 will heading to my demand floor .
#gold .
XAU/USD,15M CHART PATTERN.gold at 3412, and im listed the following targets:
Target 3482 → This is above your entry price, so it looks like a mistake if you're in a sell position.
Target 3340 → Logical downside target.
Target 3320 → Another lower target, continuation of bearish momentum.
Corrected View (Assuming SELL from 3412):
Type Level
Entry 3412
TP1 3340
TP2 3320
SL (suggested) 3445–3450 (above recent highs)
Let me know if the 3482 was meant to be your stop loss instead — that would make more sense in this context.
Gold Holding Strong – Eyes on $3400 and Beyond! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price corrected down to $3341, then rallied back up to $3399. Currently, gold is trading around $3373, and if it manages to hold above $3355, we can expect further upside movement.
Potential bullish targets are $3400, $3417, $3450, and $3468.
GOLD Made Double Top Reversal Pattern , Ready For Sell ?Here is My 15 Mins Chart On Gold and we have a very good reversal Pattern , double Top , if we have a 15 mins closure below neckline 3326.00 we can enter a sell trade and targeting at least 100 pips as scalping , we can enter direct if you are aggressive trader or if you not you can wait the price to retest neckline and then enter .