sentiment to the upward trendCAPITALCOM:GOLD
The main structure of the gold market is still bullish
In the short term, a correction to the support level of 3056 is likely
GOLD trade ideas
4 hr Gold analysis Gold 4 hr analysis treading of correction.
Gold broke 4 hr consolidation zone so we simply looked for lower timeframe (15min) entries to trade off the correction,
Closing all my orders with Profit / time for correctionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: My Medium-term Buying orders (#3 Buying orders from / engaged at #3,052.80 benchmark breakout) each #3.5 Volume are currently on excellent Profit as I will look to close them as near as #3,152.80 benchmark. On the other hand, I am successfully Buying every dip lately and my last order was yesterday's session #3,110.80 Buy which was closed in Profit. Keep Buying every dip as I advised many times on my recent remarks."
I have closed all of my Medium-term Buying orders (#3,052.80 - #3,133.80) on excellent Profit as I re-Sold Gold throughout yesterday's session (#3,124.80 - #3,009.80).
Technical analysis: The Price-action was once again seen Trading below the #3,152.80 benchmark extended decline where Sellers should finally prevailed and dragg the Price-action more than #57 points downwards (as was announced on one of my remarks lately that Gold always prints #57 point decline once the local High’s rejects the sequence and delivers the eminent rebound). Gold is dangerously approaching again the Higher High’s trendline of the Daily chart’s wide Ascending Channel, way above the #MA50 (aswell on Daily chart, representing in the same manner the Long-term Support zone) in Overbought waters, however every pullback on Gold is accumulation zone for new Bullish cycle.
My position: Even though I am Buying Gold aggressively, I do expect pullback to be delivered due Overbought instruments and #3,100.80 benchmark test possibility.
Closing multiple orders with ProfitAs discussed throughout my Wednesday's session commentary: "Technical analysis: The Price-action was once again seen Trading below the #3,152.80 benchmark extended decline where Sellers should finally prevailed and dragg the Price-action more than #57 points downwards (as was announced on one of my remarks lately that Gold always prints #57 point decline once the local High’s rejects the sequence and delivers the eminent rebound). Gold is dangerously approaching again the Higher High’s trendline of the Daily chart’s wide Ascending Channel, way above the #MA50 (aswell on Daily chart, representing in the same manner the Long-term Support zone) in Overbought waters, however every pullback on Gold is accumulation zone for new Bullish cycle."
First order I have engaged was Wednesday's Sell order (#3,132.80 - #3,111.80) and I have continued Selling every local High's throughout yesterday's session as I announced possible Selling correction ahead on Gold.
Technical analysis: Gold delivered Selling extension as I announced however it would be best for Short-term Sellers to wait for area to be engulfed, as today’s session will most likely represent the crossroads for the next Week, taking in consideration that one can never foresee the sequence until when Fundamentally driven rises and upswing (such as current one) will last and how Gold will digest today's session NFP numbers. Lagging upswing sequence comforted Sellers on it’s Intra-day basis, as Price-action was close to the #2-Month Bottom. The Price-action has altered the downtrend fractal near the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel’s Lower zone, as discussed on my latest commentary, with current mentioned configuration above representing former strong #1-Month Resistance zone. As long as this holds, there are Higher probabilities to reach the Hourly 4 chart’s Higher High’s Lower zone again on Spot prices however touch may be completed Lower depending on the aggression of the current variance. Technically, Gold should ease the Overbought levels, but on such Fundamental landscape (Bull bias), both sides are equally probable unless #3,137.80 gets invalidated to the upside once again. After all, on the Daily timeframe, the pattern is an healthy Ascending Channel which just touched the Higher High’s trendline and has a limit just over current structure, my main point of interests (depending on the impulse of the wave started early last Week). Above the #3,137.80, Short-term Selling pattern is invalidated and the relief attempt may be accelerated towards the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,152.80 benchmark.
My position: After excellent week behind me, I didn't had to Trade the NFP however I will as I do expect downside surprise on NFP which could skyrocket Gold upwards coupled with Powell's talks.
XAU GOLD TRADE REVIEW AND LIVE BREAK DOWN AND TEACHING LONGGold price rallies over 0.7% and ekes out a fresh all-time high at $3,086.
Markets are heading into safe-haven Gold while Equities and Cryptocurrencies drop.
Gold traders are now targeting $3,100 in the near term.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is printing another record performance this Friday, hitting $3,086 as the new all-time high for now and trading around $3,077 at the time of writing. Bullion sees another wave of safe-haven inflow, this time from investors that are exiting Equity and Crypto positions. From here, the next big psychological target and level to beat will be $3,100.
Gold pulls back from its all-time high! Can more be done?Trump's tax increase strategy is intended to increase revenue, but it is easy to trigger a reverse polarization in international trade. It may be effective in the short term, but it may aggravate inflation in the long term, posing a hidden worry to the economy. Against the backdrop of a weaker dollar, the value of gold stands out, not only because of the rising geopolitical risks, but also because the credit of the dollar is questioned. Time has become the best boost for gold prices to rise.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3115-3110, stop loss at 3100, and the target is 3130-3150.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3139-3144, stop loss at 3150, and the target is 3120-3105.
The price tapped into the Extreme OB at an angled entry, likely "If you want to take a more confident sell entry, wait for a bearish engulfing pattern on the 4-hour timeframe. That will give you extra confirmation."
Gold Outlook: Bullish Momentum Ahead – Key Insights from Recent Gold remains bullish, driven by increasingly negative economic indicators. February brought a wave of weak economic data, a rise in layoffs, and a steep drop in consumer sentiment—now at its lowest level since February 2021. These developments point toward growing recession risks, which continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
In recent sessions, we observed a mix of profit-taking and rollover activity, with fresh positions being opened in the $3005–$3015 range. This zone now reflects strong speculative interest, suggesting that new capital is positioning for a further move upward.
Based on current market structure and positioning, gold looks set for a potential 1000 pip move, which could begin as early as today.
To summarize:
Price should hold above $2010 from here.
I’m already long from $2005.
Focus only on buy opportunities at this stage.
If you’re serious about learning how real analysis is done and how professionals track market behavior—stay tuned, and good luck! 🚀
#Gold #XAUUSD #Recession #BullishView #MarketInsight
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish ContinuationBased on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price could rise toward our sell entry at 3092.56, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 3072, aligning with the 161.8% Fibo extension.
The stop loss will be placed at 3120.64, a swing high resistance.
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Gold Trade Plan 02/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold still Bullish and i expect price will be Try to Make New ATH ,
Today Resistance Area : 3145 , 3170
Today Support Area : 3113 , 3090 , 3060
I dont Recommend Trade Today 2 April ( Trump Speak )
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish fall in the short termBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3150.56, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 3132.63, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3168, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Bearish Breaks 3113 – Confirm the Next Move🆚 GOLD – The Way of the Silent Blade
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 3113 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels 30-5-25Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels
gold in an uptrend all week from last weeks buy level it ran 553 pips wit little to no drawdown.
For this week we are looking at 2 levels for both buy and sell entries .
For a buy ill look at entering at 3091 expecting 3098 to 3100 as first resistance , if we brreak we can expect 3112 as next resistance on the way to 3136.
For a sell ill look at entering at 3076 expecting 3068 to 3066 as first support , if broke we can expect 3054 to 3050 as next support.
With these trades its best to just wait for levels for a conformation and the bigger moves.
last weeks buy are did not register until Thursday morning but when it hit there was no drawdown and closure at the high gave 533 pips.
As always with these trades wait for levels and secure on the way by either taking profit or reducing lot size.
Trade is based on support and resistance, trend lines and fibonacci levels from the higher time frame.
Ill update as the week progresses , stay safe
I told you !Hello Traders 🐺
In the last couple of weeks, my only bearish idea was about the GOLD price, and I mentioned that somewhere around $3100 would be the top — at least from a mid-term perspective.
Now, as I told you before, price created a fakeout from the rising wedge pattern, which is inherently a bearish pattern!
But we had a bullish breakout with a bearish divergence on the RSI, so what came next was so obvious!
Now I’ve mentioned two price targets for GOLD in the immediate short term on the chart — make sure to act accordingly.
And what about the mid-term? You can check my last idea about GOLD in the related link below this idea.
But about the total financial market, I have to admit that there is a chance for recession,
but honestly, I can’t feel it, because the danger of recession is much higher than inflation.
And also, with the recent tariffs, I can say Donald Trump wants to grow the US economy, and that’s not going to happen through recession.
However, let me explain all of this in detail in the next idea...
I hope you enjoyed this idea — and always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Gold’s Surge: New Highs, Key Resistance, and the Path to 2720Hello,
XAU/USD has been on a strong upward trajectory, repeatedly reaching new all-time highs. Gold has just recorded its best quarter since 1986, solidifying its status as the ultimate safe haven amid economic uncertainty. Factors such as Trump’s trade war and the weakening U.S. dollar—on track for its worst year since the 2008 financial crisis—have further reinforced gold’s appeal as a reliable hedge.
Currently, gold is testing a significant resistance zone. If this level holds, the price could move toward 2720, provided key conditions are met along the way. A strong early signal would be whether the price remains comfortably below the 1W PP, which could pave the way for movement toward the 1M PP. Should this level act as resistance, the path to 2720 becomes more likely.
While such a scenario may seem unlikely under current market conditions, history has shown that when things appear strongest, declines often follow. Stay prepared, and good luck!
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1D-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Leading on from last night's video update, we're still waiting on a breach of previous Wave 3 high's at $3,057 to give us a 'BOS' & structure shift to the downside, turning the market bearish. Until then we're out of the market & letting Gold run higher if it chooses to.
As soon as Gold CLOSES BELOW $3,057 & gives us a 'selling confirmation', then we can put our 'Invalidation Level' above the previous high.
Gold at New Record—Will the Rally Continue?Spot gold opened higher and rose further in the early trading on Monday (March 31st). It once broke through the level of $3,090 per ounce and reached a new all-time high of $3,128 per ounce. This market movement was mainly driven by geopolitical risks and market concerns about the global trade war, which attracted investors to flock to safe-haven assets.
This week, multiple factors in the market have interwoven to affect the price of gold. On Wednesday, the tariff policy was finally determined, and the ADP data also caused fluctuations in the market. On Friday, the non-farm payrolls data will once again test the nerves of the market, presenting both risks and opportunities. Against this backdrop, gold has demonstrated the charm of a safe-haven asset. The economic slowdown in the United States, the intensification of the US debt crisis, and the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East have all provided impetus for the rise in the price of gold.
From a technical perspective, gold surged after opening in the morning and then quickly declined, but it stabilized and rebounded later. The weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts all show a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. On the hourly chart, gold maintains a good upward trend, with previous highs and lows continuously rising, and the bulls are in the dominant position. Currently, the upper resistance is in the range of $3,135 - $3,138, while the lower support is in the range of $3,070 - $3,080. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long on pullbacks as the main strategy and go short on rebounds as a supplementary strategy.
XAUUSD
buy@3090-3100
tp:3120-3130-3150
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold fell into a high-level consolidation.Although the gold price briefly fell back to 3100 points, the strength was limited. The big positive line quickly broke through, showing that the short-term momentum was insufficient, the long-term was still strong, and the probability of a new high was greatly increased. On the hourly chart, the gold price maintained high fluctuations, and the strength and sustainability of the retracement were not strong. The technical form of the small-level cycle was gradually adjusted in place, and it was expected to continue to rise in the late trading. The upper resistance was concentrated in the 3127-3133 range, and the lower support was in the 3107-3103 range.
Strategy: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3093, target at 3120-3130, and break at 3140.
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levels 30-03-25Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels
gold in an uptrend all week from last weeks buy level it ran 553 pips wit little to no drawdown.
For this week we are looking at 2 levels for both buy and sell entries .
For a buy ill look at entering at 3091 expecting 3098 to 3100 as first resistance , if we brreak we can expect 3112 as next resistance on the way to 3136.
For a sell ill look at entering at 3076 expecting 3068 to 3066 as first support , if broke we can expect 3054 to 3050 as next support.
With these trades its best to just wait for levels for a conformation and the bigger moves.
last weeks buy are did not register until Thursday morning but when it hit there was no drawdown and closure at the high gave 533 pips.
As always with these trades wait for levels and secure on the way by either taking profit or reducing lot size.
Trade is based on support and resistance, trend lines and fibonacci levels from the higher time frame.
Ill update as the week progresses , stay safe
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 31 - April 04]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,003 USD/oz to 3,087 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,085 USD/oz.
The reason for the sharp increase in gold prices is that US President Donald Trump decided to impose a 25% tax on imported cars into the US. This seems to go against Mr. Trump's previous statement about "easing" tariffs, causing investors to worry that US partner countries will retaliate, making the global trade war more intense.
Some countries, such as the UK and Japan, have taken some steps to appease and actively negotiate to avoid US tariffs, while many other countries have announced their readiness to retaliate against US tariffs. Therefore, many experts believe that the tariff policy announced by Mr. Trump on April 2 will be very unpredictable.
If Mr. Trump still decides to impose tariffs on many countries, the gold price next week may continue to increase sharply, far exceeding 3,100 USD/oz. However, if Mr. Trump narrows the scale of tariffs as announced and does not impose additional industry-specific tariffs on lumber, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, the gold price next week is at risk of facing strong profit-taking pressure, especially when the gold price is already deep in the overbought zone.
In addition to the Trump administration's tax policy, investors also need to pay close attention to the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report to be released next weekend, because this index will directly impact the Fed's interest rate policy.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
The most notable economic news in the coming week will be the US implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday, along with the March non-farm payrolls report due Friday morning. Experts warn that both events could increase the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, a number of other important US economic data will be released, including the ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job vacancies on Tuesday, the ADP employment report on Wednesday, along with the ISM services PMI and weekly jobless claims on Thursday.
📌Technically, short-term perspective on the H1 chart, gold price next week may continue to surpass the 3100 round resistance level, approaching the Fibonacci 261.8 level around the price of 3,123 USD/oz. The current support level is established around the 3057 level, if next week gold price trades below this level, gold price is at risk of falling to around the 3,000 USD/oz round resistance level.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,057 – 3,051USD
Resistance: 3,100 – 3,113USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3133 - 3131⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3137
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2999 - 3001⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2995
XAUUSD under selling pressure: Will Gold’s downtrend continue?At the end of the last trading session, XAUUSD continued its downward trend, currently quoted at 3037 USD, corresponding to a 2.46% decline on the day.
The main reason for this decline is the escalating trade war, which has raised concerns about a global economic recession, leading to panic and a sell-off in gold to cover losses from other assets. Additionally, the recovery of the USD during the day also put pressure on gold.
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that President Donald Trump's new tariffs are "larger than expected" and that the new tax policies could have stronger-than-anticipated effects on the U.S. economy, increasing inflation and slowing economic growth.
Therefore, the current environment remains risky for XAUUSD, and as long as the resistance levels within the downward trend channel are protected by the sellers, our target price will be limited to the lower boundary of the descending channel.
What about you? Do you think gold will continue to fall?
