GOLD trade ideas
little consolidation before bullishAfter bottoming out near the $3,290 level per troy ounce, Gold is now attempting a move to the $3,300 zone amid marginal gains and despite the persistent buying pressure sustaining the US Dollar. Rising US yields, in the meantime, continue to cap the upside potential of the yellow metal.
XAUUSD Bounce Underway – Can Bulls Reclaim 3,363 Zone ?Gold is attempting a rebound after finding support near the 3,286.78 🔽 level, following a sharp pullback from the 3,363.46 🔼 resistance. The structure remains bullish on the higher timeframe, but recent weakness has created a short-term lower high. Price is currently caught between the 3,323.93 🔼 and 3,286.78 🔽 levels, forming a short-term range.
Support at: 3,286.78 🔽, 3,246.06 🔽, 3,208.11 🔽, 3,162.25 🔽
Resistance at: 3,323.93 🔼, 3,363.46 🔼, 3,432.64 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A break and hold above 3,323.93 could open the path for another test of the 3,363.46 level and possibly higher.
🔽 Bearish: Failure to reclaim 3,323.93 and a drop below 3,286.78 may shift momentum further downward, targeting 3,246.06 or lower.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Learn TOP 3 Elements of a Perfect SWING TRADE (GOLD, FOREX)
In the today's post, I will share with you a formula of ideal swing trading setup.
✔️Element 1 - Market Trend
When you are planning a swing trade, it is highly recommendable that the direction of your trade would match with the direction of the market trend.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, you should look for buying the market while if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting.
Take a look at CHFJPY pair on a daily. Obviously, the market is trading in a bullish trend and your should look for swing BUYING opportunity.
✔️Element 2 - Key Level
You should look for a trading opportunity from a key structure.
IF the market is bullish, you should look for buying from a key horizontal or vertical SUPPORT, WHILE if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting from a key horizontal or vertical RESISTANCE.
CHFJPY is currently approaching a rising trend line - a key vertical support.
Please, note that if the price is NOT on a key structure, you should patiently wait for the test of the closest one.
✔️Element 3 - Confirmation
Once the market is on a key level, do not open a trading position blindly. Look for a confirmation - for the sign of strength of the buyers, if you want to buy or for the sign of strength of the sellers, if you are planning to short.
There are dozens of confirmation strategies, one of the most accurate is the price action confirmation.
Analyzing a 4H time frame on CHFJPY, we can spot a falling wedge pattern. While the price is stuck within that, the minor trend remains bearish. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will be the important sign of strength of the buyers and can be your strong bullish confirmation.
Following these 3 conditions, you will achieve high win rate in swing trading. Try these techniques yourself and good luck in your trading journey.
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XAU/USD SHORT SETUPXAU/USD Analysis Update
We’ve seen a clear trendline breakout below the ascending channel, confirming a shift in momentum. Price has decisively broken support and is now setting up for a potential bearish continuation. Ichimoku and moving average signals are aligning, adding confidence to the downside setup. Watch for a possible retest of the broken zone before the next leg down.
Entry: 3300
1st target: 3265
2nd target: 3248
3rd target: 3228
GOLD/USD a bullish market structure with a clear change o chchKey Technical Elements
1. Market Structure
The chart shows a bullish market structure with a clear change of character (CHOCH) on the left, indicating a reversal from a previous downtrend.
Formation of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming an uptrend.
2. Zones & Levels
Support Zone: Marked near the 2,180–2,200 range, this is a demand zone from which price reacted sharply upward.
Resistance Zone: Around 2,360–2,390, this area is expected to act as selling pressure; price previously reversed from here.
Opening Gap: Identified in the middle of the structure, indicating potential imbalance or unfilled orders.
3. Fibonacci Confluence
Multiple Fibonacci retracement levels align with price action, especially during pullbacks. This adds confidence to retracement entries.
4. Chart Patterns
A bullish channel (ascending parallel channel) is drawn, indicating price is respecting the structure and marching upward.
The projection shows a potential breakout to the upside post-channel consolidation.
5. Target & Risk Management
Projected Long Target: Around 2,438.387, marked with a green box, showing a bullish breakout continuation.
Stop Loss Area: Below 2,304.729, indicating disciplined risk control.
Risk-Reward Setup: This setup looks optimized for a long entry with a favorable R:R ratio (risk-reward).
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Conclusion
This chart reflects a well-structured bullish trade idea on XAU/USD, supported by market structure analysis, order block theory (demand/supply zones), Fibonacci levels, and clean breakout projections. It combines institutional concepts (like CHOCH, gaps) with classic technical tools, suitable for short- to medium-term traders aiming to catch trend continuations.
Gold is in the bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Is Gold on the Verge of a Major Correction?
Looking at the bi-monthly chart of XAUUSD, it seems that gold is approaching a potentially deep corrective phase.
Currently, price is hovering near the top of a long-term historical channel that has remained valid since the 1970s.
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
The upper boundary of the long-term channel is acting as a major resistance
Potential bearish divergences are appearing on indicators like RSI
The recent rally has been steep and impulsive — often a setup for a healthy correction
"Price is currently in the 5th wave of its major bullish cycle, and considering the timeframe of the chart, a deep correction is likely to occur in the coming months."
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
FOMC minutes, GOLD market may see strong volatilityIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD recovered slightly after yesterday's sharp decline. Gold prices are currently holding price action around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, the nearest support point. On this trading day, investors will look at the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market.
On Tuesday, as the Trump administration once again released positive information on trade, the market's risk appetite recovered, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold.
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its May monetary policy meeting.
At its May 7 monetary policy meeting, the FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive time this year. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell continued to maintain his "no rush to cut interest rates" stance.
The minutes released this time record the FOMC's detailed views on monetary policy and provide clues to the future direction of interest rate policy.
Economists generally believe that with few clear signs of stress in the labor market, Fed officials will be happy to keep rates on hold until changes in trade policy are reflected in the data, and the minutes are expected to reinforce that view.
There is a possibility that the tone of the minutes will be more hawkish than expected, which could support the US dollar to some extent, thereby affecting gold prices, but overall it will not create strong pressure.
But these are all predictions because I cannot predict what will be in the content of the US FED FOMC minutes, and all the content in the FOMC minutes will be directly reflected in the gold price. Traders need to pay special attention to this event on this trading day.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still struggling to trade above the confluence area as initial support with the emergence of the 21-day moving average (EMA21) with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
The technical structure has hardly changed significantly with the trend still tilted to the upside. Holding above the $3,300 base point would be a good sign, on the other hand the $3,371 target would remain as a near-term upside target and a break of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement on gold would provide the technical conditions for the next upside target around $3,400 in the near-term, followed by $3,435 more than the all-time high of $3,500.
The relative strength index RSI is above 50, which is also a good signal in terms of momentum, from the RSI we can see that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,292 – 3,250 USD
Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3365 - 3363⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3369
→Take Profit 1 3357
↨
→Take Profit 2 3351
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3263 - 3265⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3259
→Take Profit 1 3271
↨
→Take Profit 2 3277
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementSupport Zone
Marked in red the price recently tested this zone and sharply rebounded indicating strong buyer interest
The red circle highlights a possible false breakout" or liquidity grab below support
Reversal Structure
The yellow zigzag line outlines a projected bullish reversal pattern
This includes a potential double bottom or higher low formation which is a classic bullish signal
Upside Targets
Target 1 $3324 First resistance or take profit level
Target 2 $3338 Intermediate resistance
Final Target $3350 Major resistance or bullish target zone
XAUUSD Elliott Wave . Wave (5) Targeting $3,700 After Pullback!The chart you’ve shared is a **2-hour Gold Spot (XAUUSD) analysis** using **Elliott Wave Theory**. Here's a clear breakdown of what’s happening:
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### 🧠 **Technical Summary:**
* **Larger Structure:** The chart shows a 5-wave Elliott Wave sequence. Waves (1) to (4) have already completed.
* **Current Situation:** The market is likely in a subwave structure of wave (5), with a small 5-wave formation labeled in **red** within the final wave (5).
* **Trend Channel:** The price broke out of the descending channel formed between waves (3) and (4), signaling a bullish breakout.
* **Pullback Zone:** A minor correction is expected before the final push upward, targeting the **\$3,650–\$3,700** area.
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### 🔍 **Key Observations:**
* 📉 **Corrective Wave Complete:** The drop from (3) to (4) formed a falling wedge/channel — typical in wave 4 corrections.
* 📈 **Impulse Wave Starting:** A new 5-wave upward impulse appears to be forming within wave (5).
* 🧱 **Demand Zone Highlighted:** A retracement into the support zone (\~\$3,250–\$3,270) is anticipated before a rally.
* 🎯 **Target Zone:** The final wave (5) is projected to hit between **\$3,650–\$3,700**, marked by the green target box.
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### 📌 **Outlook:**
* ✅ **Bullish Bias:** Long-term wave structure favors more upside.
* ⚠️ **Short-term Dip Possible:** A drop toward the demand zone is expected before further rally.
* 🕰️ **Timing:** Expect the final wave (5) to complete by early June, based on current structure.
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### ⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk properly and consult your own analysis or financial advisor before trading.
Let me know if you'd like a trading plan or want this chart translated into a Pine Script/EA.
Gold Prices are Expected to Decline Today by Multiple ReasonsThe key reasons include:
1. Profit-taking at high price levels: Technically, the price has failed to make a new high, prompting continued selling pressure. It hit 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement before a correction, making it possible for a bearish reversal.
2. Hopes for U.S.–China trade negotiations: Easing tensions between the U.S. and China have boosted investor confidence, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
3. Robust U.S. economic data: Strong U.S. employment figures indicate sustained economic growth, lessening the perceived need to hold gold as a hedge against economic risk.
4. A more hawkish Fed stance: Expectations that the Federal Reserve will not rush to cut interest rates in its fight against inflation have prompted investors to shift toward higher-yielding assets like government bonds instead of gold.
5. Rising bond yields and a weakening dollar: These conditions present investment opportunities that are likely to attract foreign capital, drawing funds away from gold.
Overall, these factors are contributing to downward pressure on gold prices today, as investors scale back demand for gold as a safe-haven investment.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Are you paying attention to him!?Hello friends
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Considering the growth that has been made, I consider this wave that is forming to be the last wave of gold growth.
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We should gradually expect a decline in gold, because we have seen its targets technically and fundamentally and we should expect a decline.
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I hope you have used our analyses in the best possible way.
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XAUUSD Short Setup | Clean Rejection + 600+ Pip OpportunityGold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bearish momentum after a clear supply zone rejection. Price failed to hold above 3,310 and broke down sharply. A short position was executed near the 3,300 region with a target toward the 3,254–3,253 demand zone.
Key confluences:
Breakdown from a rising wedge pattern
Strong bearish volume candle confirmation
Clean retest and rejection of minor resistance at 3,300
Risk-reward ratio aligned with smart trade management
This move has already delivered over 600+ pips, showcasing the power of technical precision and discipline. Zones and price action remain valid unless a clear reversal structure forms above 3,310.
📉 Let the chart speak — analysis based on structure, not hype.
Possible Reverse Head and Shoulders?👁️🗨️ The strong uptrend yesterday, followed by the downtrend during the Asian session, has built a possible inverse head and shoulders pattern (30 min chart) 🤷🏼♂️.
⏫ If an uptrend follows today, the pattern will be complete.
The right shoulder began around $3287, which isn't far from the current price.
👀 Keep an eye on this, as it could drop lower while still keeping the structure intact.
⚡ What's very interesting is that the downward trendline (strong resistance) crosses the neckline support if the time window allows.
🙏 Possible target points:
TP 1: $3358
TP 2: $3382
What are your toughts about this? Please write it in the comments.
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
XAUUSD: The LH trendline is the difference maker.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.327, MACD = 32.010, ADX = 35.582), staying under the high impact LH trendline that has been keeping the medium term trend bearish since the April 22nd High. As long as the price is under it, we are short, aiming for the S1 level (TP = 3,246) and not below it as the 1D MA50 offers long term support. If the price closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline, we will turn long and aim for a +7.39% rise from the bottom (TP = 3,485), which has already taken place twice in the past 30 days.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): More Growth Ahead?!
Gold violated a significant intraday horizontal resistance on Friday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a strong
contracting demand area now.
It will be a perfect spot to try to buy Gold after a pullback.
Next goal for the buyers will be 3400.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H Update GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H Update
Price is holding strong above the $3,250, $3,280 demand zone with trendline support intact.
A pullback into this area could trigger the next leg up toward $3,498.
Structure remains bullish unless this zone breaks.
Watching for a bounce Target: $3,499
DYRO, NFA