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GOLD trade ideas

Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Friday, the strategy of going long on gold at relatively low levels was once again precisely fulfilled. The morning strategy clearly suggested opening long positions within the range of 3400 - 3410. As expected, the price of gold once again surged to around the 3445 level, and profits were successfully secured once more. The hourly chart of gold shows a volatile upward trend. Driven by risk aversion in the early morning, it surged rapidly but fell back for correction after hitting resistance at 3444 during the European session. Before the U.S. session, it stabilized at 3412 and rallied again. The previous large bearish candlestick was more of a minor shakeout—after washing out floating chips, it has now regained its upward momentum. Maintain a strongly bullish approach for now. The 3415-3410 range forms a key support zone, and long positions can be continued above this level. Upper resistance remains at 3445-3450; a valid breakout could lead to further gains toward 3475 and beyond. However, be aware that a sustained rally may trigger a pullback due to overbought indicators or divergences. For operations, consider going long near support and exercise caution when chasing highs near resistance XAUUSD buy@3405-3315 tp:3430-3450 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
XAUUSD Analysis – From Bullish Momentum to Target🔍 Overview: Gold has officially broken its ascending trendline, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This trendline acted as dynamic support for days, but its breakdown has opened the doors to potential downside movement. We're now in a phase where lower highs and lower lows are forming — a classic bearish signal. 📌 Key Levels & Price Zones: 🔻 Trendline Breakdown A strong upward trendline was broken, confirming that bullish momentum has weakened. The trendline break was followed by aggressive bearish candles, signaling that sellers are gaining strength. 🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~3,322 – 3,330) This area once acted as strong support and has now flipped to resistance. It’s a key level to watch for rejections or false breakouts. As long as the price stays below it, the bias remains bearish. 🔽 Mini Support Zone (~3,345 – 3,350) A weak support area that could be retested. If price fails to hold above it, sellers will likely take over again. ⚠️ Minor CHoCH (~3,290) This level marks the short-term structure shift. A breakdown here will confirm continuation to the downside. A short opportunity might present itself below this zone. 🌀 Next Reversal Zone (~3,275 – 3,280) A potential demand area. Watch how the price reacts — this is where bulls might step in temporarily for a bounce or consolidation. 🚨 Major CHoCH (~3,265) This is a critical support level. If it breaks, the entire bullish structure from early June is invalidated, opening the door to deeper retracement. 📈 Forecast Path: Based on the price projection: Expect lower highs to form. If bearish momentum continues, we could see a breakdown below Minor CHoCH, targeting the Next Reversal Zone. A clean break below 3,265 would signal a major trend change, confirming bearish control. 📊 Trade Ideas: 🔻 Short-Term Bearish Scenario: Look for price to reject the SR Interchange or Mini Support zones. Entry: After confirmation below 3,330 Targets: 3,290 → 3,275 → 3,265 SL: Above 3,350 🔼 Bullish Bounce Scenario: If price reaches 3,275 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence), we might see a short-term reversal. Entry: On bullish candle close from support zone Target: Back to 3,322 or higher 📅 Upcoming Events to Watch: There are several U.S. economic data releases coming this week (marked on the chart). These can create sharp moves in XAUUSD, so manage your risk wisely. ✅ Final Thoughts: Gold is at a key turning point. The breakdown from the trendline is significant, and structure now favors sellers — unless bulls reclaim critical levels. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always trade with proper risk management. 📌 Follow for more clean chart breakdowns, updates, and trade setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
GOLD - Price can drop to support line of triangle patternHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 In this chart price formed a triangle pattern, where it first declined to support line and then made an impulse up. After this, Gold broke $3165 level and, after a small correction reached and broke $3400 level too. Then it rose to resistance line of triangle and dropped below $3400 level, breaking it one more time. Price tried to back up, but failed and dropped more to support line of triangle, after which started to grow. In a short time price rose to resistance line of triangle, which coincided with resistance level and area. Now, I think that Gold can drop from resistance area to $3250 point of support line of triangle. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
14
Lingrid | GOLD trend Continuation Targets April High RetestOANDA:XAUUSD has reclaimed the 3,350 level following a successful retest of the upward trendline, sustaining a bullish channel structure. After multiple breakouts and a clean consolidation above previous resistance, price is setting up for a potential move toward the 3,500 mark. A pullback and bounce near 3,330 would reinforce this bullish continuation scenario. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 3,338–3,345 Buy trigger: strong bullish candle above 3,365 Target: 3,500 Sell trigger: break below 3,338 with volume 💡 Risks Rejection near 3,365 could delay breakout Breakdown below 3,338 weakens bullish trend Consolidation flattening may reduce momentum burst potential Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
18
Another try on the gold short tradeTo be honest, it was beyond my expectation that gold could continue to rebound above 3340. According to my original expectation, the upper limit of gold's rebound in the short term was around 3336-3338. However, gold has already touched around 3342 during the rebound, but because gold failed to close above 3345, I still advocate shorting gold in batches in the 3335-3345 area. Recently, both the long and short sides of gold have not continued, and the overall market tends to be volatile. In the short term, as long as gold does not break through 3345, gold still has a chance to retrace, which also means that the rebound is an opportunity for us to short gold, but with the rebound of gold, we need to moderately reduce the expectation of gold retracement, so for short-term short gold, our primary retracement target is in the 3325-3320 area. So for short-term trading, I think we can still try to short gold again!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
GOLD Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential 1.Gold is trading around $3,310 after dipping into 3307 per ounce on NFP data report as of close of friday market in june 2025. The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. 2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday . Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower. However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields. 3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD. When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down. Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside. 4. Interest Rate Differential Impact The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold. Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices. Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying. Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction. Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%) CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%) CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%) How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts: (1)Monetary Policy Stance The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment. If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. (2)Possible Fed Response The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky. Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy. Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar. (3)Market Implications A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment. Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing. Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value. #gold #dollar
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields 1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY). When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down. Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts. 2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive. However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand. Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall. Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge. Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation . 4. Macro and Market Drivers Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields. Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support. Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term. Conclusion Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields. #gold #dollar
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAU/USD THOUGHTSXAU/USD 1H - I am in prep of buying into this market after price trading us down to clear the gap in the market and the OB that was just below that. We have means to trade this market bullish now, its just a case of waiting for an entry. Price traded down, rejected well and broke structure to the upside, telling us that enough Demand has been introduced to flip the balance in the market. I now want price to pullback fractally to give us a refined entry. Price pulling back into our fractal area of Demand gives us another piece of confluence, it tells us that price is putting in clear bullish structure protecting the lows and breaking the highs. By price pulling back down, its giving us a more refined entry with a better RR, setting our SL just below the zone we get involved in and our TP just below the last higher timeframe high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lukegforex
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 3330.6 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 3338.3 Recommended Stop Loss - 3326.5 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 12Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance: 3400-3420, support: 3310 Four-hour chart resistance: 3400, support: 3325 One-hour chart resistance: 3385, support: 3340. Spot gold soared after the release of CPI as investors responded to optimistic inflation data. Trump's interest rate cut speech restored the confidence of gold bulls, but with the strong pressure of 3380 above, the market fell again, and the frequency of gold long and short switching accelerated, verifying the daily level of shock. From a technical point of view, although the daily line has not risen continuously, there is a very obvious feature of the daily cycle, that is, the middle track of Bollinger has not broken, and multiple attempts have not changed this technical point. This is the support point for the short-term retracement and the defense point for the long-term rise. If the NY market stands firm at 3380, it is expected to rise to the 3410 US dollar line. The short-term key support position below is around 3345, and it will be short-term bearish only after it falls below. Personally, I suggest that you give priority to buying in the NY market. Buy: 3380near SL:3375 Buy: 3345near SL:3340
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 6/11/2025Gold has been stuck within 3300 and 3340 for a while. Yesterday after it reached 3347, it quickly dropped and closed the day below 3340. I could see the deceleration of bullish momentum. Currently 12hrly TF also prints a bearish candle. Therefore, I am switching my midterm view to bearish right now. I am expecting the price to test 3340 again today and watch the price action at this resistance. If it holds, I will sell towards 3290. My ultimate target for today is 3250.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SteadyFund
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 The 4-hour chart still shows a bearish configuration with MACD in a sustained death cross, displaying no signs of reversal. Gold’s decline may have further room. During the US session, gold rebounded to near 3349 but fell again, remaining pressured by moving average resistance. The overall trend remains range-bound. Awaiting the CPI data release, price is likely to maintain a sideways trend before the announcement. Monitor overhead resistance at the 3350–3360 zone. Continue to short on rebounds as long as resistance holds. Trading Strategy: Sell@3350-3340 TP:3300-3280 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MonicaLongman
Gold heavily pressuredTechnical analysis: Gold remains heavily pressured on now a #2-session / day basis as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 final Support zone was compromised ahead of #3,300.80 benchmark in extension. #3,300.80 benchmark rejected the Price-action and prevented further pain on Gold, retracing the Price-action all the way towards my Resistance belt. The trend is approaching #3,327.80 point as I am expecting the first signs of wall of Resistance lines here starting at #3,327.80 where Hourly 4 chart’s Short-term first Resistance line rests. With stalled recovery on DX and Bond Yields soaring (Gold follows the movement with diagonal correlation) - I doubt that Gold has potential to slide more, but if does, I’ll be forced to change my Bullish Short-term perspective (very slim chances). It is important to understand that despite the heavy Selling pressure towards U.S. session, Gold has light Fundamental calendar so nothing is standing between Gold’s intention to pierce #3,327.80 Resistance at the moment on very Bullish Hourly 1 chart Technicals (chart I make my calculations on). Price-action has successfully tested the estimated Support zone and nicely formed strong Bottom which won’t be invalidated without serious cause. #3,300.80 - #3,302.80 represents Lower High’s Upper zone and according to the cycle, Lower High’s are usually areas where Selling sequence is usually rejected or stalled under. My position: I am Highly satisfied with Friday’s NFP aftermath as I guessed nicely that upside surprise is expected and caught #2 excellent Selling orders on the way down as I was well aware that Price-action will correct all gains fueled with NFP outcome where Short-term Sellers appeared.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYPrice is showing signs of bullish strength after reclaiming key demand zones near 3,310.926–3,315.098 🟦. The recent CHoCH (Change of Character) and strong bullish reaction from the demand block suggests a potential move toward the 3,360 resistance area 🔼. Buyers are likely stepping in with momentum, aiming for a break above previous highs 📉➡️📈. As long as price stays above the 3,315 support, the bullish scenario remains valid — watch for continuation toward higher highs. 🚀💹
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Gold Trade Plan 11/06/2025Dear traders, Gold (XAUUSD) is forming a rising wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, with price approaching the key resistance zone between 3360–3362, which also aligns with the long-term descending trendline. This confluence increases the probability of a bearish reaction from this area. If the price fails to break above this resistance zone, a sharp drop toward the demand zone between 3275–3260 can be expected. A confirmed breakdown of the wedge pattern would provide a valid short opportunity with targets set at the lower demand range. 🛑 Risk management is essential in case of any false breakouts. regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
Weekly IDEA on Gold/XAUUSD 9-13 June 2025Technical Confluences: Bearish FVG: Fresh Fair Value Gap formed due to aggressive sell-off. FVG = supply zone, acting as magnet for liquidity + rejection Broken Channel Retest: Price fell below the ascending channel Now retesting the channel, a classic structure behavior before continuation. Liquidity Below: Clear clean lows visible around $3,290 → $3,250 → $3,120. These levels could serve as liquidity targets for institutional movement Rejection Candlestick Anticipated: If a strong rejection candle (e.g., bearish engulfing / wick trap) forms inside FVG, entry confidence increases. 📌 Trade Idea (Signal) Sell Limit Idea Entry Zone: $3,332 – $3,344 SL: $3,355 (above FVG and channel invalidation) TP1: $3,290 TP2: $3,250 TP3: $3,120 RR: Approx. 3R+ ❗ Alternate Bullish Scenario: If price reclaims and closes back inside the channel (above $3,355): The current bearish setup is invalidated. Bullish momentum could resume with possible push toward $3,400 → $3,445. 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is a classic SMC + market structure confluence. Wait for rejection confirmation inside the FVG for higher probability. Avoid chasing the move — precision entry at supply is key.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold gradually rebounded after touching 3295. The highest price has rebounded to 3338. Although the rebound has reached $43, the upward momentum is not strong during the rebound. Therefore, the current rebound cannot be confirmed as a reversal trend. Moreover, gold has not yet effectively broken through the 3330-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term. Gold still has the potential to fall after the rebound. It will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again. Therefore, there is no need to fear the rebound of gold for the time being. The rebound of gold is a good opportunity to short gold. I think gold will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again, and even exceed expectations to the area around 3280. Shorting gold is the password for profit in the short term!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Geopolitics Trigger Gold Breakthrough Above $3,400Last night's released strategy accurately predicted Israel's military action against Iran – the strike was launched in the early morning. The driving effect of geopolitics on gold is significant. As a major global oil supply region, the Middle East situation has directly triggered a surge in oil prices. The key focus is on Iran's subsequent counterattack: if retaliation is carried out, gold's safe-haven attribute will be further activated, and the possibility of gold prices breaking through the $3,500 threshold is significantly increased. Currently, go long near the $3,400 support level. Pay attention to changes in the international situation, and I will notify you immediately of any new news. XAU/USD buy@3400-3410 tp:3430-3440 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02