This should be scaring you right now...gold vs silver ratio unrelenting.
DotCom Bubble Bust 2001 recession
GFC Bust 2008-2009 recession
GOLD trade ideas
Gold- Target and new ATH reached. Now what?In my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold would likely reach a new all-time high (ATH), but for that to happen, it was crucial for bulls to hold strong at the 3025-3030 support zone.
Indeed, Gold made a new ATH, reaching my target zone of 3080 overnight. I closed my buy trade with a profit of 550 pips.
Now, the key question is: What’s next?
In my opinion, there’s a strong possibility that Gold will continue its upward movement and test the 3100 level. However, at the current price of 3075, entering a buy trade is not justified from a risk perspective.
For now, I’m staying out of the market. If a retracement occurs, I’ll be watching the 3050 zone closely—most importantly, I’ll assess how the market reacts at that level before making any decisions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2788.3
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2802.9
Recommended Stop Loss - 2780.8
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU.usd watch $3100: possible dip to 2964 on the way to 3322Gold is at a significant cluster of fibs in the 3100 area.
Good possibility of a pullback from here down to 2964.
Best Guess for current wave's EndPoint is at $3100.76
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GOLDWe are expecting Gold to finish this wave we are in very soon and then give us a drop for correction before any upside further reaction.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
GOLD(UPDATE)Hello friends
Given the good and strong growth, gold is now engaged with an important resistance area, which if reached and the price trend weakens, it can correct to the specified areas.
*Trade safely with us*
Is the trend of gold rising sharply or falling sharply? In the short-term 4-hour chart, the current support below is around 3100-3095, which is the key to whether a short-term short position can be formed. If it falls below, it will enter a short-term short trend. The short-term upper resistance focuses on the two positions of 3027-3038, which is the recent top and bottom conversion position, and the upper resistance is around 3150. Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend, and the main idea is to buy more after a pullback.
Strategy:
It is recommended to buy more at 3108/09, stop loss at 3100, and target around 3123-3127 and 3137
Gold is trading sideways at a high level! Trend analysisGold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend, and the current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line. We should pay attention to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair. Gold has not broken through the intraday high and continues to be mainly high-altitude. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support.
Strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, long (buy long) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
Gold extended higher, look for signs of exhaustionGold is extending higher, tapping into untested liquidity above. However, signs of exhaustion are creeping in. Watch for potential liquidity sweeps before reversals.
Key Untapped Liquidity Zones
Upside: $3,182 - $3,189
Downside: $3,103 - $3,094
🔴 Sell Setups (Short)
1️⃣ Intraday Reversal Short
Entry Zone: $3,182 - $3,189
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,193
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,150 (First reaction)
TP2: $3,128 (Key liquidity)
TP3: $3,103 (Imbalance fill)
📌 Reasoning:
Untested supply at $3,182-$3,189
Price may sweep liquidity above $3,180 before a sharp rejection
2️⃣ Aggressive Short (Scalp)
Entry Zone: $3,150 - $3,153
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,157
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,128
TP2: $3,117
TP3: $3,103
📌 Reasoning:
Liquidity grab before a possible retrace
Strong momentum-based rejection expected
🟢 Buy Setups (Long)
3️⃣ Safe Long (Key Demand Zone)
Entry Zone: $3,103 - $3,094
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,089
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,128
TP2: $3,150
TP3: $3,182
📌 Reasoning:
Untested demand at $3,103-$3,094
Imbalance below $3,103 should act as a magnet
Liquidity sitting at $3,094
4️⃣ Deep Liquidity Sweep Buy
Entry Zone: $3,074 - $3,067
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,103
TP2: $3,128
TP3: $3,150
📌 Reasoning:
Liquidity sweep target at $3,074-$3,067
If price taps this zone, a high-probability reversal could follow
Heavy imbalance would need correction
👀 Keep an Eye On:
1️⃣ DXY movements—if the dollar strengthens, gold may struggle to break higher.
2️⃣ News events—major economic data could trigger liquidity grabs before reversals.
3️⃣ Reactions at key levels—watch for wicks, aggressive rejections, and volume spikes.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Good luck on the market today.
Sell@3080Today, the XAUUSD market is mired in extraordinary volatility. The uptrend in prices has continued unabated, with values rocketing to $3086. This powerful rally has inflicted heavy losses on bearish traders, leading to a mass liquidation of their positions.
Currently, the market is in a “double - whammy” situation, where both bulls and bears are feeling the pinch. This is the result of large - scale capital inflows. Savvy institutional investors and market players are deploying capital strategically, aiming to maximize profits.
Despite this current upward surge, we remain steadfast in our bearish outlook. Our in - depth analysis of multiple factors—including long - term economic trends, geopolitical developments, and technical indicators—reinforces our conviction. Many fundamental indicators suggest that the current rally is likely a short - lived market aberration. As the market continues to digest various macroeconomic data, we anticipate downward pressure to build, eventually reversing the current upward trend.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3085 - 3080
🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Gold continues to rise above 3100!Gold is bound to reach 3100. Last week, after several days of shocks, gold broke through the high and rose sharply. On Friday, it reached 3087, and the daily line closed with a big positive for two consecutive days. There is only a dozen dollars left to reach 3100, and there is no doubt that it will be won next week.
On Friday, the high level fluctuated sideways, and it tested the high point of 3086 many times from the US market to the early morning. The more it tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Finally, it closed near the high point of 3085.
If this kind of strong market closes strongly at a high level, then there is a high probability that the market will directly rise and break the high at the opening on Monday morning, or will go straight to around 3100. Even if there is a retracement, the amplitude will not be too large. Pay attention to the support line of 3073-3067.
How much room is there above 3100?
This wave of strong breakout and rise is somewhat affected by the tariff policy. The rise in risk aversion has helped push gold to a new high. After a large increase in bullish volume, it may slow down. It mainly depends on the expectation of tariff policy, buy expectations and sell facts. The previous rise has fully digested the impact of the news. Facts have proved that if it continues to rise, it is expected to slow down or even fall in stages.
The retracement range of the previous high of 3057-3000 is only 57 US dollars, which can only be regarded as a small correction. Under the influence of the news, it will break the high again. It is possible to see more above 3100, but it is really not recommended to chase more.
Because after the New York futures gold broke through 3100 US dollars on March 28, the number of contracts delivered on the first fixed position day of the April contract was as high as 34,865, with a total of 3.49 million ounces, that is, 108 tons, a historical record. In the case of gold continuing to rise and break high, this huge delivery will make it highly likely that there will be a large-scale run on gold in April.
In the previous round, the price of gold bulls went from 2286 to 2790, which was 504 US dollars. If calculated from 2277 to 2790, it is 513 US dollars. It peaked at 2790 and fell to 2536, which was 254 US dollars.
In this round of bull market, the price went from 2583 to 3100, which was 517 US dollars. If calculated from 2596 to 3100, it was also 504 US dollars.
According to the same rise and fall in the previous round, there is a possibility of a sharp decline above 3100. Be careful of risks if you are bullish but don't chase the long position. If the price drops by 254 US dollars from 3100, it is 2846, which is also near the starting point of the second rise, which is consistent with the technical aspect.
When will gold's continued highs peak?Gold prices have risen strongly and are currently hovering around $3,120. Technical analysis of gold: There is no limit to the price of gold in a bull market. The current market has returned to the historical high of 3,128. Short-term short orders can earn 20+ profits, and the 3,100 integer mark can earn another 20+ profits. Long and short orders can directly reap double profits! For those who still want to operate, short orders can only be short-term! Long orders are the main theme! The shooting star pattern appears in the 4-hour chart of gold. If it cannot refresh the high point of 3,128, it is expected to fall back. If it breaks through 3,128, then the upper side will continue to focus on the vicinity of 3,138. I think the upper space is limited, and at least the monthly line should also have an upper shadow line. Therefore, it is better to look for opportunities to short gold! The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a long arrangement with a golden cross upward, but the 1-hour high of gold has fallen back, which has suppressed the gold bulls. Then the probability of gold starting to fluctuate at a high level is high. If gold does not break through the new high and rebounds, it will continue to be short. Long orders still need to wait patiently for the adjustment to end. On the whole, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds in the short-term operation of gold. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3128-3130 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3097 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Gold pullback near 3100-3102, do more (buy up) in batches, two-tenths of the position, stop loss 3090, target near 3120-3128, break to see 3140;
Simple_Xtrade Trading Strategy Guide1. Overview
The Simple_Xtrade Pinoy Indicator is designed to identify high-probability trade setups by leveraging institutional price levels and kill zones. This strategy focuses on executing precise entries on the 1-minute timeframe when price reaches key institutional levels.
2. Timeframes Used
4-Hour Timeframe: Identifies institutional buy and sell levels.
1-Minute Timeframe: Used for trade execution when price reaches institutional levels.
3. Key Concepts
Institutional Price Levels (Bank Orders)
Sell Levels (Red Labels): Strong resistance zones where institutions place sell orders.
Buy Levels (Green Labels): Strong support zones where institutions place buy orders.
Kill Zones
- These are specific time periods when the market is most active, ensuring better trade execution.
- Only trade **inside the kill zones for high-probability setups.
4. Trading Strategy
Sell Entry Setup (Short Position)
1. Wait for price to hit or slightly exceed a bank order sell level (Red Label).
2. Confirm entry on the 1-minute timeframe with a bearish signal:
- Bearish engulfing candle
- Rejection wick
- Trend shift confirmation
3. Execute a Sell trade.
4. Set Stop Loss (SL):
- Just above the recent high.
5. Set Take Profit (TP):
- Next bank order buy level.
- OR a fixed 100+ pip target.
Buy Entry Setup (Long Position)
1. Wait for price to reach a bank order buy level (Green Label).
2. Confirm entry on the 1-minute timeframe** with a bullish signal:
- Bullish engulfing candle
- Rejection wick
- Trend shift confirmation
3. Execute a Buy trade.
4. Set Stop Loss (SL):
- Just below the recent low.
5. Set Take Profit (TP):
- Next bank order sell level.
- OR a fixed 100+ pip target.
5. Risk Management
✅ Trade only within kill zones for high probability setups.
✅ Always use stop loss to protect capital.
✅ Maintain risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
✅ Do not force trades outside of the strategy conditions.
6. Summary
This strategy simplifies trading by focusing on:
- Institutional price levels for entry.
- Kill zones for high probability trades.
- 1-minute timeframe for precision.
By following these rules with discipline, you can maximize profitability while minimizing risk.
Can gold be shorted today?Last week, the gold market fluctuated at the beginning of the gold week, rose on Thursday and Friday, and closed near the high on Friday. The weekly line closed with a bald positive line with a lower shadow. The overall market trend was very strong. The price of gold rose for four consecutive weeks and set a new high. Driven by factors such as trade, economy, and regional conflicts, and the influence of Trump’s remarks at the weekend, provided support for the gold price. Gold also rushed directly to 3100 as soon as it opened in the morning, setting a new high again at 3127.9.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3100-3095, defend at 3090, target at 3115-3120;
Gold Weekly Analysis: Is This Manipulation at Play?Gold followed my analysis last week, reaching yet another all-time high as anticipated. The bullish momentum remains strong; however, given the consistent break of all-time highs, I now expect a pullback. While we may see some further upside, I anticipate a bearish weekly close, prompting me to look for sell opportunities. Additionally, I believe we could be entering a range, with the current highs representing potential manipulation. If this is the case, we may have set a temporary high for at least the next week or two.
Traders if you found this post useful than give it a boost!
Gold Analysis March 4Fundamental Analysis
Persistent concerns over the potential economic impact of US President Donald Trump’s tit-for-tat tariffs could act as a catalyst for the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, risk-off sentiment, coupled with expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle early, has caused a sharp decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, has pushed the US dollar (USD) to its lowest level since October 2024 and helped limit the downside in non-yielding gold. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to confirm that XAU/USD has topped out.
Technical Analysis
Today’s trading range is likely to see a fairly high probability of a drop. If it breaks 3116, gold will find its way back to 3081. In case gold breaks the downward structure as analyzed in the upward direction, pay attention to the SELL zone around 3148-3150. Wishing everyone a successful trading day.
Sorry, we should sell gold! Its price is already high enough!Hello, traders
Major Resistance: $3,150+ (where price recently formed a weak high).
Support Zones:
$3,135.69 (Near-term support).
$3,059.69 (Stronger support zone).
Current Trend Analysis:
Price reached a weak high and is now retracing downwards.
Expecting a retest of $3,135 - $3,120 before a possible move further down.
The dashed purple line ($3,139.50) seems to be a critical level for intraday traders.
Potential Trade Setups:
Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $3,135, expect further downside towards $3,120.
A break below $3,120 could push gold towards $3,060.
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds at $3,135 and reverses with bullish confirmation, it could retest $3,150+ again.
Fundamental Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD)
Dollar Strength (DXY) & Interest Rates:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) influences gold prices.
If the USD strengthens, gold prices may decline.
Recent Fed statements on rate hikes could put pressure on gold.
Inflation & Safe-Haven Demand:
If inflation remains high, gold could see buying pressure as an inflation hedge.
Recent geopolitical risks and banking concerns could increase gold's safe-haven demand.
Upcoming Events to Watch:
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report – Can impact USD and gold.
Federal Reserve Speeches – Hawkish or dovish tones will guide gold’s movement.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: SMC Trading point update
This chart is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
1. Ascending Channel:
The price is moving within an upward channel, showing a bullish trend.
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Yellow Boxes: Key support zones where price previously consolidated before moving higher.
Red Arrows: Marking resistance zones where the price faced rejection.
Green Arrows: Indicating support levels where the price bounced.
3. Current Price Action:
Price recently dropped to a key support zone (around $3,050).
A bullish reaction is expected from this level.
If support holds, the price may continue the uptrend toward the target of $3,186.
4. Projected Move:
The black zigzag line suggests a potential bounce from support.
If the support level holds, price could move back up within the channel.
Mr SMC Trading point
Conclusion:
If price respects the support zone, there could be a good buying opportunity.
A break below the support zone would signal potential bearish movement.
Monitoring price action around the yellow zone is crucial for confirming direction.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
When will gold's continued highs peak?Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3127-3130, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 3140, target around 3115-3105, break to see 3100 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3102, long (buy long) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 3090, target around 3120-3128, break to see 3140 line;
XAUUSD: Flashing a strong sell signal.Gold is highly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.258, MACD = 52.020, ADX = 63.587) and today is having its first strongly bearish 4H candle. This is because the price hit the top of March's Channel Up and got rejected. The HH should now give way to a bearish wave for a HL on the 4H MA50. This is a validated sell opportunity to go for yet another -1.80% decline and target the bottom of the pattern (TP = 3,093).
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Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 31.03.2025Gold has hit $3,100 like I said it would! So what's next?
Option 1: Gold starts dropping back down now towards $3,060 for a much needed correction.
Option 2: If Gold closes above the $3,100 resistance zone, it'll be bullish towards $3,140!
Which scenario do you find more likely?
Gold judgement day Waitiing for judgement day , 2nd of apr
when Trump Taarif go on .
I think gold will dive 800 - 1000 pips from zone 3143 - 3160
to 3050 - 3070
Good luck
WEGO
Pis : if you agree with me press like , if you don`t . thanks for passing
GoldXAUUSD
- Bullish Channel
- Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves
- RSI - Divergence
- CHOCH
- Break of Structure
