Gold fluctuates widely, strategy remains unchanged
📌Gold news
The US and Chinese delegations will continue talks in London for the second consecutive day. President Trump expressed optimism, saying the talks "should go well". US officials said the talks could lead to Washington lifting certain technology export restrictions in exchange for Beijing relaxing controls on rare earth exports - a material that is critical to industries such as energy, defense and advanced technology. The results of these negotiations may provide a new direction for precious metals
📊Comment analysis
The European session continued to retrace and gave a low of 3293, then slowly strengthened. The current high reached 3349, so today's strategy does not need to be changed for the time being. If the current market is given to 3335-3345 again, short orders can still be entered. The current trend is still weak, and the US market is likely to follow the old path of a second decline, so the current idea of shorting on the pullback remains unchanged for the time being!
💰Strategy package
Gold: Short on rebound 3335-3345, stop loss 3350, target 3300-3280!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the lot size that matches your funds
-
GOLD trade ideas
Gold is under pressure and bearish outlook remains unchanged
Gold has been rebounding during the day, but the strength of the rebound has weakened significantly. Although the one-hour trend broke through the upper pressure of 3340, it did not stand on 3340. The one-hour trend closed with a negative line, which means that the short-term rebound has come to an end. For this, we will continue to maintain a bearish view.
The pressure level of the one-hour market is at 3340. Before the gold price stands firm at 3340, it means that the rebound is an opportunity for us to short. The idea of our analysis just now is correct. Our internal strategy is also short at 3335. At present, the market has begun to fall back. Our positions are profitable. The target below will gradually look to around 3270, and our defense only needs to bring a little break loss.
Specific strategy
Gold 3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3310
GOLD GOLD opens on liquidity demand floor on 15min chart and took 3295-3300 demand floor for uptick as early discussed on other gold chart.
3358-3365 hold a strong supply roof and a double top structure broken neckline will hold buyers @ 3358-3365 .if that layer is respected ,your buy profit will be taken. but if is broken you go long on retest of 3358-3365.
Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential
1.Gold is trading around $3,324 after dipping into 3300-3295 per ounce on Asian session
The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand.
2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday .
Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower.
However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields.
3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD.
When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down.
Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside.
4. Interest Rate Differential Impact
The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold.
Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices.
Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying.
Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally.
The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction.
Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%)
CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%)
CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%)
How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts:
(1)Monetary Policy Stance
The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment.
If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts.
(2)Possible Fed Response
The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky.
Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy.
Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar.
(3)Market Implications
A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment.
Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing.
Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength.
Conclusion
Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value.
#gold #dollar
GOLD market is still bullish news can pump it morewe may have fall or short-term fall like previous times but fundamental news and Banks around the world adding gold to their assets is non stop bullish for gold and i think soon we can expect Gold above 3600$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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"Gold (XAUUSD) Possible Breakout Trap Forming-Big Reversal Move Gold has formed a potential breakout trap near key resistance levels. A false breakout could lead to a strong reversal targeting the 3200 support zone. Watching for RSI divergence and volume confirmation. Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
Gold fell! Falling!! 📉📉📉
After the shock on Friday, gold fell sharply in the US market, reaching the lowest level of 3316. This shows that the adjustment is not over and will definitely continue next Monday. The short-term 4H cycle has weakened, and the daily cycle is suppressed on the upper track, but the overall market is still in a wide range of fluctuations, continuing the rhythm of May.
The one-hour market fell below the key support level of 3330. This point is a short-term turning point for long and short positions. Its loss means that the short-term market has entered a weak and volatile pattern. However, the current market has not yet completely turned into a bearish trend. The subsequent trend is expected to fluctuate downward, but the amplitude is limited, and it is difficult to see a sharp drop. Therefore, short-term operations can be tried, but from a general perspective, long positions are still the main tone. Looking forward to next week, it is expected that the market will fluctuate and bottom out near 3300, and a new round of pull-ups will begin after the bottom is stabilized. The upper short-term pressure is at 3340, and the lower support is near 3300. The overall trading strategy recommends "short-term selling and long-term buying". You can flexibly arrange accordingly to seize market opportunities.
Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunityGold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following.
From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend.
Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360!
All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another powerful day in the markets with our chart idea unfolding exactly as anticipated.
In yesterday’s update, we highlighted that all our targets 3305, 3334, and 3359 were hit following the EMA5 cross and lock confirmation. We also pointed out the EMA5 lock above 3359, opening a clear gap to 3389, which was also hit perfectly. The absence of a further EMA5 lock above confirmed a precise rejection, sending price back down into the lower Goldturns for support, just as projected. We then had the bounce off the 3334 level, another clean reaction, just like we stated.
Now today, after testing and bouncing from 3334 into 3359, price is now charging back toward 3389 for a potential retest, as that level remains open once again.
The structure is playing out beautifully, we will stick to the plan, and manage risk wisely.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips and track the movement with ema5 lock or rejection. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3334 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3359 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3359 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3389 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3271 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3227
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3227 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis of Today's Gold Market Trend and Trading IdeasYesterday, gold prices rose to $3,338 before pulling back, closing the daily chart with a doji star. Weekly and monthly charts suggest an adjustment is needed, but short-term momentum is lacking, keeping the market in consolidation. During today's Asian session, gold prices fell to $3,302 under pressure and stabilized.
In the 4-hour timeframe, the rebound to $3,338 confirmed the previous support-turned-resistance level, which also coincides with the resistance of the broken low and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The current range-bound pattern remains unchanged. Today's strategy is to stay bearish but avoid chasing short positions—enter short trades when the price rebounds and meets resistance. Focus on the $3,340 resistance level, with support at the $3,300-$3,290 range.
XAUUSD
sell@3335-3340
tp:3310-3290
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Gold Hits All Targets with 500+ Pips – Eyes Now on $3420By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price moved exactly as expected and successfully hit all four targets — $3367, $3380, $3391, and $3400 — reaching as high as $3403 and delivering over 500 pips of return.
After sweeping the liquidity above $3400, the price corrected back to around $3370. Currently, gold is trading around $3380. If the price can hold above the $3370 level, we can expect a continuation of the bullish move toward the $3420 area.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Do bulls have enough steam to drive gold higher?A lot of things to consider this week, a lot of data and geopolitical tensions. Will the economic uncertainty and potential bad US jobs data drive TVC:GOLD higher? Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Analysis of Current Gold Trends and Trading RecommendationsYesterday, the daily K-line closed as a shooting star Doji with a long upper shadow, confirming a wide consolidation range between 3,300 and 3,350 for gold prices. In the short term, gold stabilizing above 3,250 is expected to maintain a mildly bullish trend within the consolidation, with focus on the 3,345-3,350 resistance zone today.
From a 4-hour perspective, support lies at 3,315-3,320. On pullbacks to this level, long positions can be considered for rebound continuation, while resistance stands at 3,350. The trading strategy remains centered on "buy low, sell high" within the 3,350-3,315 range.
Critical Monitoring: Closely track the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and today's CPI data release, as both events may exacerbate market volatility and influence short-term trend direction.
GOLD - at support ? Holds or not??#GOLD - well guys in today we have 3323-24 as a immediate n most important support of the day.
Keep close and if market thold it in that case we can expect a bounce from here.
Note: keep in mind that we will go for cut n reverse below that on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU/USD 1H – Clean Impulsive Setup UnfoldingGold has completed a clean Wave (2) correction, bottoming at $3,292.30, respecting both structural demand and fib confluence. Price is now showing early signs of Wave (3) development to the upside.
📌 Key Structure:
Wave (1) High: $3,403.30
Wave (2) Low: $3,292.30 (confirmed higher low structure)
Market is now consolidating slightly above the 0.5 fib level ($3,324.45), with bullish structure still intact.
📈 Technical Confluence:
Price is holding the internal bullish trendline
RSI is neutral but building potential upside momentum
Price action is forming higher lows, indicating strength post-correction
🎯 Next Bullish Targets:
$3,366.08 (0.236 fib level of Wave (2) correction)
$3,403.30 (Wave (1) high retest)
Final Wave (3) extension zone: $3,445 – $3,500
📉 Invalidation Level:
A break and close below $3,292.30 would invalidate this Wave (2) bottom and open the door for a deeper correction.
✅ Bias:
Bullish, as long as price holds above the 0.618 – 0.705 fib zone. A strong push from this area could confirm the next leg of Wave (3).
@WrightWayInvestments
@wrightwayinvestments
@wrightwayinvestments
XAUUSD Breakout Brewing -- Squeeze Setup in Play📆 June 12, 2025 | ⏱ 4H Chart Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is pressing against a key trendline resistance while holding a clean, ascending trendline from early March — forming a classic triangle squeeze.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
The long-term bullish trendline has been respected three times, with each touch followed by strong buying interest (see orange circles).
Current price action is compressing between this trendline and descending resistance, tightening toward a potential breakout zone.
Two likely outcomes on the table:
🔺 Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above $3,385 could fuel a rally toward $3,500–$3,520, especially if momentum accelerates.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below $3,260 risks deeper correction toward the $3,000 psychological level, aligning with prior demand zones.
📊 Indicators Insight:
EMA(15) & EMA(60) have flattened → signaling potential volatility expansion ahead.
Volume is building slightly, adding weight to a coming move.
=================================================================
⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Buy on breakout above 3,385, Target: 3,500+
🔴 Sell on breakdown below 3,260, Target: 3,000
📌 Wait for confirmation and avoid chasing within the squeeze range.
💬 What's your take — will gold break through or bounce back?
📌 Follow for consistent multi-timeframe setups across Gold, Silver, and FX majors — 2–3 times weekly.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
Gold will inevitably fall after risingGold has risen sharply due to the violent geopolitical conflicts and the surge in risk aversion. It once reached around 3445, but in the process of falling back, it only touched 3408 and rebounded again, stabilizing above 3400. It is obvious that due to the changes in fundamentals, the sentiment of gold bulls is high; although the upward momentum of gold near 3440 has weakened, there is no clear signal of peaking yet!
For short-term trading, it is relatively difficult to participate at present. To be honest, I naturally don’t want to chase gold at a high level; but there are no more signals to support me to short gold for the time being. However, with the rebound of gold, the current short-term support below is in the 3425-3415 area, followed by the psychological support of the 3400 integer mark; and the short-term resistance above is in the 3455-3465 area, followed by the area near 3480.
Compared with the profit and loss ratio, I prefer shorting gold for short-term trading, because gold has performed relatively strongly in the London market. Logically, gold will have the inertia to rise in the New York market, so I think gold may rise and then fall in the New York market, so my current plan is to try shorting gold starting in the 3455-3465 area.
Because the changes in gold's fundamentals are more extreme and complex, you must set up SL when participating in transactions.
Bullish reversal?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,326.41
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,295.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,364.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Stick to shorting gold and aim for the target area.Gold has not broken through 3400 after accelerating its rise, and the upper suppression effect still exists; currently gold is fluctuating in a narrow range below 3390, showing signs of stagflation to a certain extent. Therefore, the accelerated rise of gold is not for the short-term impact of 3400, but for a deep retracement, eliminating more scattered funds in the market by sweeping up and down.
So in the short term, I think it is difficult for gold to continue to break upward under the suppression of the resistance area near the short-term high of 3402, but to test the lower support area of 3375-3365 before breaking upward. So I have shorted gold as scheduled according to the short trading plan mentioned above, and aimed at the lower target area of 3375-3365.
At present, our short position has made a certain profit, but I still look forward to profiting from gold hitting TP! Let us look forward to gold falling back to the target area as expected!