XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. We have the 4th of July holiday tomorrow, so today is the last day open for the NY market. Saying that, we have bing (red flag) news today here in the US in about 2 hours from now. I am just posting a quick 4 hour chart with the areas / candle I am currently watching. I will most likely wait to see what the news brings. I will post a lower time frame chart. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets all my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold (XAUUSD) – FRL Classic Double Bottom After CorrectionGold forms a clean double bottom after a correction within an upward channel.
The neckline aligns precisely with the 100 MA – a classic Fractal Reversal Law (FRL) setup, indicating a phase shift back into the bullish structure.
Why This Setup:
✅ Trend Structure:
Gold remains inside its upward channel, respecting each phase with corrective trends that end with clear reversal patterns.
✅ FRL Double Bottom:
• The corrective downtrend completes with a double bottom.
• The neckline is strictly horizontal, matching the start of the last impulse (FRL principle).
• Alignment with the 100 MA confirms the phase and scale.
✅ Confirmation:
We wait for a full H4 candle close above the neckline for entry confirmation.
Trade Plan:
📈 Entry:
After H4 confirmation above the neckline or on a retest of the neckline.
🎯 Targets:
Take Profits are aligned with the key levels from the chart:
• TP1: First resistance in the mid-channel zone.
• TP2: Next resistance level within the channel.
• TP3: Upper channel boundary.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Placed just below the smaller low of the double bottom, maintaining a clean and logical risk structure.
FRL Key Notes:
Every correction is also a trend that ends with a reversal pattern.
The neckline = the beginning of the last impulse, always horizontal.
The 100 MA is used to align the timeframe with the market phase.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick post with a revised area of interest on the 4 hour chart. I will check to see how the overnight charts do for gold's direction. I will post during the end of the London session or when the Pre NY volume comes in tomorrow morning. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets a shout out and all my thanks. Thank you so much and don't get caught trading in the range, wait for a break and close and if the lower time frames match up, see if the set up plays out. DYOR and never try to force or rush a trade. I did all that years ago and just lost money and / or blew threw the account.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the markets once again. This is an update on our 4H chart idea from Sunday, also playing out perfectly.
We started with our bullish target hit at 3375 with no cross and lock confirming the rejection into completing our bearish target at 3306. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3375 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3375 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2995
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is going up now
And the price broke the
Key horizontal level
Around 3,346$ and
The breakout is confimred
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Excellent opportunities on GoldAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly."
As I expected upside extension as per above, I have waited for #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 my local Top's for the sequence and started aggressively Selling Gold from #3,348.80 first, then #3,352.80 #4 aggressive Selling Scalps and #3,357.80 final two Scalps which I held all the way towards #3,345.80 Support for the fractal (cca #130k Profits Intra-day).
My position: Since #3,337.80 was neckline for upside Bull structure, I was aware if it gets invalidated to the downside, it will open doors for #3,327.80 extension (which held twice throughout late U.S. and Asian session). I don't expect much Selling action today however Bulls need another Fundamental push to invalidate wall of Resistances at #3,340's and #3,350's. I will continue Scalping as opportunity arise / no Swing orders.
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 1.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3250
4-hour chart resistance 3374, support 3300
1-hour chart resistance 3355, support 3330
4-hour chart bearish, but 1H chart has reversed bullish. Technically, gold formed a double bottom support near 3247 and has entered the B wave rebound, but beware of the C wave decline that may start at any time.
Gold price accelerated upward after breaking through the key resistance of 3300. 3300 is the 0.50 position of the previous decline. Today's market rose slowly by 50 dollars without a callback. The bullish rally will continue at least until the second half of the NY market before a callback occurs.
The risky approach is to follow the trend and buy at the current price. The safe way is to wait for the callback to around 3325~3330 before buying.
BUY: 3350
BUY: 3330
Gold (XAUUSD) short trade idea based on 1H chart 🪙 GOLD (XAUUSD) SHORT SETUP – Liquidity Grab Play 📉🔥
Here’s a potential short setup forming on Gold (1H timeframe):
🔹 Liquidity Sweep:
Price just tapped into a key supply zone after an aggressive bullish move, grabbing liquidity above recent highs (marked $$$). This is a classic setup for a potential reversal or retracement.
🔹 Premium Zone Entry:
The short position is taken right after price tapped the supply zone between 3340–3354, showing early signs of exhaustion.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Entry: Near 3341.30
SL: Just above supply at ~3354.13
TP: Down near the recent demand/imbalance at 3263.42
RRR: High reward potential with minimal risk.
🔹 Confluence Factors:
Price filled imbalance with strong momentum.
Reversal likely if no continuation above supply.
Key psychological levels and liquidity engineered below price.
📊 Execution Plan:
Watch lower timeframe confirmations (M15/M5 rejection or engulfing).
Manage stop based on how price behaves around 3350.
⚠️ As always, risk smart. Let the market confirm your bias before committing fully.
Note: wait for confirmation
Gold on relief rallyAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session."
Technical analysis: I have been aware that another failed attempt to invalidate #3,272.80 - #3,278.80 local Support zone will most likely result into firm rejection and yet another push towards #3,302.80 psychological benchmark and ultimately the #3,327.80 level which represents Short-term Resistance line which is now invalidated to the upside (as discussed above already). Keep in mind that the current Bullish Short-term set-up can offer a great opportunity for those who missed the last rally to enter at almost (# +1.00%) of the Price so many Sellers which were liquidated will now engage multiple Buying orders so Buying pressure will be significantly Higher. Gold is extending the Trade nicely inside the healthy Hourly 4 chart's Ascending Channel and after failed Support zone reversal. Price-action has even more probabilities now to test #3,352.80 psychological benchmark. Gold is Fundamentally Bullish as well due Tariffs announcement.
My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly.
GOLD - POTENTIALLooking at gold. Its still in a bit of limbo after the NFP reaction on Friday. However it is looking like the draw on liquidity is higher. Therefore my bias on gold for the start of the week is bullish so will be looking to get the most optimal entry to take some buys to the upside.
If we can manage to find a decent enough move price really could rally upwards.
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold closing the week below our 'premium resistance zone', running roughly 170 PIPS in profit. Hope you all are in sells & running in profit like my Gold Fund investors as this was called live for you.
Don't forget we could also have a possible liquidity zone sitting just above $3,400 like I told you all earlier this week. Just something to be careful of & stay prepared in advance.
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. Although I didn't take the trade, you can see the analysis was spot on. A shout out to Big G. I am not trading today, but I will post another chart in a bit. We have the NY open in half an hour or so, let's see how that plays out. Most of the news was good for the US dollar. If you wonder where to watch the numbers to trade spot gold, I use forex factory calendar. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold Trade plan 03/07/2025Dear Trader,
On the 4H chart of XAU/USD, a rising wedge pattern is forming, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. After a significant upward movement, price is currently testing the 3360–3365 resistance area. If the lower boundary of the wedge breaks, the price is likely to drop toward the key support zones:
First support zone: 3330–3340
Second support zone: 3305–3315
If buyers defend these areas, a rebound to the upside may occur. But if the second support also breaks, deeper bearish pressure is likely.
Scenarios:
Bullish: If the price holds above 3365, it may rally toward 3380–3400 resistance.
Bearish: A breakdown from the wedge and loss of 3330 support could trigger a move down to 3310 or lower.
Regards,
Alireza!
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the 4 hour chart, I have marked the potential scalp sell / buy trade set ups. Lower time frame confirmation is a must. I am not trading today as the NY market is closed. I am not trying to do any range trading. Be well and have a great weekend. Today is a holiday here in the USA. We are celebrating breaking away from England, which we see today is George Orwell's 1984. Shout out for freedom and to Big G. Be well and trade the trend.
GOLD DAILY OUTLOOK | BEAR MARKET STRUCTURE CONFIRMED 📉 Trend Reversal Underway – Prepare for Lower Levels
The daily structure on Gold (XAUUSD) confirms a shift from accumulation to distribution.
Here's what stands out:
🔻 Key Breakdown Factors:
Failure at O_FIB Rejection Zone
The price failed to sustain above the upper Fib extension and supply zone (marked in red). Multiple attempts at reclaiming this level have resulted in sharp rejections, signaling exhaustion of buyers.
Break of Mid-Range Structure
We've decisively closed below the range midpoint, with strong bearish daily candles. This confirms loss of control by bulls and opens the door for a move toward deeper retracement zones.
Support Zones Exposed
The 0.618 FIB & 100 MA area around ~3160 is now a primary target. This zone held previously, but repeated touches weaken structure.
The 1.0 FIB & 200 MA zone around ~2960 is the macro support target. If sentiment continues to deteriorate, this will be the magnet.
EMA Crosses Rolling Over
Price has decisively lost the 9/21 EMA zone. Until a daily close reclaims this zone (~3335+), bearish momentum remains valid.
📉 Bearish RSI Momentum
While not a primary signal, RSI confirms momentum divergence and bear control below the midline. No sign of reversal.
🎯 Bearish Bias Until Reclaim of 3335 Zone
📌 Next Target = 3160, then 2960
🛑 Invalidation = Daily close above 3340 with strong volume and reclaim structure
This is not a short-term pullback — it's the beginning of a deeper correction. Gold is no longer in the “safe-haven” trade. Be patient, position with structure, and let the trend do the work.
Focus will be on fading the traps on pullbacks into structure.
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the demand zone📊 Technical Analysis
● Price sliced beneath the long-term rising‐channel base and the triangle apex, turning 3 300-3 310 into fresh supply; the current pull-back is a textbook bearish retest of the break zone.
● Hourly structure now tracks a new descending trend-line; failure to reclaim 3 300 keeps momentum pointed to the next fib / horizontal shelf at 3 280, with the channel width projecting 3 245 support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Rebound in US 2-yr yields after hawkish Fed speakers and a stronger-than-expected durable-goods print lifted the DXY, reducing short-term bullion appeal.
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Still short gold before breaking 3355After the release of NFP yesterday, gold began to fall sharply from 3352, reaching a low of around 3312; although it has gradually rebounded above 3340, the time span is not short, so the rebound is not strong; and the double top structure successfully constructed by gold in the 3365-3360 area in the short term still plays a technical suppression role in the short term, greatly weakening the rebound potential; and with the decline of gold yesterday, I think before gold recovers the 3352 starting point, gold will also be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this area during the rebound, gold is expected to retest the 3330-3320 area again.
Because of the US Independence Day, the gold market will be closed in advance today. It is expected that gold will not have a breakthrough today, so it may be difficult to break through the 3345-3355 area in the short term, so we can still continue to maintain the trading rhythm of shorting gold in terms of trading.
So I think shorting gold still has a lot of profit potential. We can short gold with 3345-3355 area as resistance and look to the target area: 3335-3325-3315.