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XAU/USD: Gold Regains Strength After Pullback – New Highs Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, gold surged above $3400, reaching as high as $3439 before facing strong selling pressure, dropping sharply to $3359. Currently, gold is trading around $3385, and if the price can hold above $3366, we may expect further bullish momentum. I believe gold is setting up for another move above $3400, potentially aiming to break into new highs once again. THE LATEST ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
53
XAUUSD M15 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 3241, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 3211,79, a support level. The stop loss is set at 3276.17, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
Will gold continue to rise after breaking down?Technical analysis of gold: the daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3202 is the bullish defense position. If it cannot go up at the close, there will be further declines. A major technical breakdown has occurred. Pay attention to the change in thinking. If the adjustment is large, it may even reach 2900/3000. It rises quickly and falls just as quickly, but the long-term logic of gold's rise remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to deploy more when it goes down, but the position needs to be observed by the market. It is difficult to predict at present. In the short term, rely on 3198 to do short selling. After breaking 3200, pay attention to shorting even if it rebounds. If it rebounds upward, go short at the golden section resistance of 3265. After gold fell below 3202 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low point for the time being, the pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3140/3150. Gold 1 hour still continues to cross downward short positions, and the short-term strength is still there. The rebound still continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term, so such a market is just a rebound. Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3202-3205 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3150-3155 support. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 3198-3202 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 10 points, target near 3180-3170, and look at 3150 if it breaks; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 3150-3155 when gold falls back, stop loss 10 points, target near 3170-3190, and look at 3200 if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj
Gold gaps down and waits for the gap to be filledGold 4-hour chart forms a step-by-step oscillation and falls back. It is currently approaching the neckline. However, the moving average indicator is in a messy divergence. The short-term will be roundabout and repeated. The overall idea of ​​falling back and adjusting is maintained. The middle track of the Bollinger Band coincides with the rebound high of last Friday, which is the critical point of this week's short position. There is a large gap in the hour, which is not easy to fill in the short term. It will be filled in the process of roundabouts in the market. Today, gold opened at a low of $3259 and started a rebound trend! At present, today's oversold rebound trend will continue! Gold continues to rebound, and the support below is focused on the $3260 line. Today, relying on this support, we can rebound. The top can look at the $3300 and $3320 lines! On the whole, it is recommended to do more on the pullback and short on the rebound in the short-term operation of gold. The upper short-term focus is on the 3320-3330 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3259-3260 line of support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KittyBaldwin
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently trading around 3250, consolidating within a well-defined bullish flag structure after a strong impulsive rally. This flag pattern on the 12-hour chart reflects healthy profit-taking and reaccumulation after a significant upward move. The current price action is respecting the lower boundary of the flag, and with growing volume on bullish candles, the setup suggests a high probability of a breakout to the upside, targeting the 3650 region. From a macroeconomic perspective, gold remains in strong demand due to ongoing global uncertainties and persistent inflation concerns. The US CPI print remains sticky above 3%, keeping real yields under pressure and supporting gold's bullish bias. Furthermore, with the Fed expected to hold interest rates steady for longer, the market is starting to price in fewer rate cuts this year. This continues to undermine the USD and supports gold as a store of value. Additionally, rising central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risk premium are adding further tailwinds. Technically, we are watching for a clean breakout above the upper flag resistance around 3280–3300. A breakout with volume confirmation would open the door toward the psychological 3400 level first, followed by a push toward the 3650 target area. Momentum indicators are turning up, and price is showing signs of basing just above previous support levels, adding confidence to the bullish continuation scenario. Gold remains one of the strongest trending assets in 2025, and this consolidation is likely just a pause before the next leg higher. As global markets digest the impact of persistent inflation and macro volatility, precious metals like gold are likely to outperform. This flag formation provides a textbook continuation setup for traders looking to position with the broader trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Caution: Don’t Get Trapped by This Gold Rally – ATH Is Not Comin🚨 Caution: Don’t Get Trapped by This Gold Rally – ATH Is Not Coming Yet! Hello everyone, I want to share my personal view regarding the current movement in gold. Please be cautious — this short rally could be a classic bull trap. In my opinion, we are still not in the accumulation phase, or if it has started, gold must still revisit the 3168 level before any meaningful upside. What we’re seeing right now appears to be more of an Smart Money play to trap institutional and retail traders like us into premature buying. Based on my analysis, gold still has room to drop, and I expect to see it test the 3100 and possibly 3050 levels. Once again, I personally believe this is a false breakout intended to lure in buyers. Smart money hasn’t truly begun accumulation yet. And if they have, they’ll likely need to break below 3120 to trap institutional shorts before any genuine move to the upside. Gold is not as simple as it seems. Stay sharp.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by ChartsReadingByFahad
1
XAU/USD) Bullish trand line analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe, featuring key support and resistance levels, price action projections, and RSI for momentum evaluation. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Points in the Analysis: 1. Support & Resistance Zones: Big Support / Buying Zone: Around 3,222 – 3,240. This zone has seen previous bullish reversals and is supported by the 200 EMA. Intermediate Support Level: Around 3,270–3,290, where price might bounce before attempting a breakout. Key Resistance Level: Around 3,350–3,365. Price must break this area to move toward higher targets. 2. Price Action Projections: The analysis shows two bullish potential scenarios: Scenario 1: Price breaks above the resistance level directly and moves toward the target point at 3,535.83. Scenario 2: A retracement to the lower support or even the big buying zone before a bullish rally to the same target. 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently near the neutral zone (around 49), suggesting there's room for movement in either direction. No extreme overbought/oversold signals right now. 4. EMA (200): The price is currently hovering above the 200 EMA (3,222.01), which acts as a long-term support and trend indicator. Mr SMC Trading point Summary of the Trading Idea: Bias: Bullish Entry Zones: Look for long entries at either the support level (3,270–3,290) or lower buying zone (around 3,222). Target: 3,435.05 initially, then 3,535.83. Invalidation: A clear breakdown below the 3,222 support level could invalidate the bullish bias. Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025 🔹Current Price: 3,225.12 🔹Timeframe: 15M 📌 Key Supply Zone: 🔴 H4 F++++++ Zone – Strong selling area triggered a sharp drop from the highs; price now retesting lower supply at 3,228–3,231. 📌 Key Demand Zones: 🟢 3187–3192 – Target demand zone; potential bounce area marked by prior accumulation 🟢 3168–3172 – Deeper demand; high-probability reversal zone if price extends lower ⚡️Bearish Play in Progress: Price rejected cleanly from H4 supply and is forming a lower high. If 3,228 fails to break, continuation toward 3190s is likely. 🔍 FXFOREVER Insight: ✅ Lower timeframe structure shifting bearish ✅ Watch for M15 confirmation below 3,222 for short entries ✅ Monitor price behavior at 3187–3192 zone for reaction/bounce setups #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SupplyDemandZones #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #ScalpingSetups
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FXFOREVER_87
Start going long on goldAt present, the trend of gold is relatively calm, but as gold rebounds, a certain support strength has been shown below; and the short-term negative news has all appeared, and gold needs to rebound at the technical level. Therefore, I think we can try to go long on gold in small batches in the current area of ​​3230-3220, and expect gold to continue to rebound to the 3250-3260 area, or even the 3280-3290 area. Trading strategy: Try to start going long on gold in small batches in the 3230-3220 area; TP: 3250-3255
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔 1. Newswise 📰 Tariffwar: Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions. Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates: President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉 The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐 In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️ War in Ukraine remains tense: Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨 Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥 India–Pakistan Conflict: Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍 2. Technicalwise 📊 1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern 15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫 Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes: - 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️ - 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️ - 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️ - 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️ - 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️ - 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️ Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐 5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”) → These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️ 1d (55 – “Up”) → On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈 Overall Meaning 🧠 This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄 Possible Strategy Consideration 💡 If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊 My Bias 🤔 Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉 If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
1
Gold delivering #100-point opportunitiesTechnical analysis: So far so good as my already mentioned multi-Week Sell trend was in extension and final Selling Target was concluded near #3,100.80 benchmark / Weekly Bottom. Oversold Technicals prevailed followed by a strong Buying reversal in form of Bullish candlestick formation that Priced in a Bottom with #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 as new-old Support zone, on a Hourly 4 chart’s Three White Soldiers candle extension which delivered #150-point Intra-day Buying run throughout yesterday's session. Despite this, both Hourly 1 and Hourly 4 chart were completely Oversold, and current sequence on Gold was Natural response to such Technical development. No Moving Average still supports Buying bias on any chart, however this is typical Price-action behaviour near Daily chart’s local Bottoms or Top’s. Reversals are not evident and remember that the #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 is a heavy downside Support zone. For now, expected, no signs of Bearish reversal. On such a range bound session, Gold value continues to operate within my Hourly 4 chart's Donchian channel. Market closing is adding credence (in the same time this Week closing) to Buyers if Gold manages to close above #3,200.80 benchmark and if market opens on Monday with Bull spike towards #3,227.80 first Resistance, break of the mentioned former Support now turned in Resistance can aim for another #3,252.80 benchmark / strong Resistance zone. However, if Price-action tests #3,200.80 benchmark and it gives away, extends to Bottom of Support zone and breaks it as well in aggressive manner, I will Sell Gold on spot, pursuing #3,152.80 benchmark / Support zone in extension (I give more probabilities that Gold might continue ranging today so I will Scalp the market). Everything in between is Price-action Daily fluctuation which contains no new clues where Price-action will Trade next. My position: Scalping the #3,192.80 - #3,227.80 range with strong Volume orders as today Scalpers with have the most returns out of current Price-action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold Eases as Risk Sentiment Improves, but Long-Term Demand IntaMacro theme: - Gold prices retreated from recent highs as improved risk sentiment following the US-China trade deal and a stronger US dollar weighed on safe-haven demand. - Gold ETFs recorded modest outflows in Apr, but the withdrawal slowdown suggests easing profit-taking pressure. - In the near term, trade optimism may keep gold under pressure, though central bank demand and portfolio diversification continue to support the long-term outlook. Technical theme: - XAUUSD pulled back from the swing high near 3430, forming a lower high and moving into a sideways structure between EMAs. - A close below 3230 could trigger further downside toward 3135, - On the contrary, holding above 3230 may prompt a retest of the 3430 level. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by DatTong
Gold Bears Back in Control – Targeting 3270 AgainIn my analysis yesterday, I noted that after the false break above 3370 resistance, there was a high likelihood of a reversal, potentially driving Gold back down to the 3270 support zone. Market Reaction: • As expected, Gold turned lower after retesting the broken 3370 support, now acting as resistance. • The price dropped nearly 1000 pips, which has become the new norm for daily Gold fluctuations lately. W hat’s Next? • With the current rebound, the 3370 zone should once again act as a barrier. • The strategy remains to sell rallies, targeting a fresh test of the 3270 support zone. Until this support is broken, expect very volatile moves, but the broader trend remains bearish Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market Monday, May 12, 2025 The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) : Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266. The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause. During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207. Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14 Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range). Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive. Wednesday, May 14 – European Session The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability. Thursday, May 15 The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192. Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea. In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred. After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252. Friday, May 16 The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218. However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end. 📰 Geopolitical News Landscape India / Pakistan Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again. Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure. Disputes over water rights further strain relations. ➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains. Gaza Conflict On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages. Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones. The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023). Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire. ➡️ No relief in sight. Russia / Ukraine Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years. While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved. Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses. Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy. ➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term. U.S.–China Trade War A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12: U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30% Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10% Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors. ➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile. No comprehensive deal is in sight. ⚖️ Trump vs. Powell Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell: - Trump demands aggressive rate cuts - Powell warns of inflation risks - The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5% - A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency” ➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability. 📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025 The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021. However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low. ➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging. 📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range) A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204) Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday) ➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range) 💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19 Time-Zone-Based Expectations: Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday): 👉 Potential retest of $3,154 Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York): 👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234 U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York): 👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential 📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York) If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges 🎯 Weekly Target My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level. 🧠 Conclusion I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals. 🔢 Fibonacci Levels 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD)🔍 Chart Structure Overview Downtrend Channel (Bearish Flag/Wedge): The price has been moving within a well-defined descending channel. Multiple touches on both the upper and lower trendlines confirm the structure. Breakout Confirmation: Price has now broken above the upper trendline of the descending channel, indicating a potential bullish breakout. This is often a reversal signal when it comes after a strong downtrend. Key Support Zone: A horizontal support zone is marked where price reversed and pushed up strongly. This suggests a potential accumulation zone and demand area. Retest Expectation: The red arrows suggest that price may retest the broken channel resistance (now turned support). If it holds, it could confirm a bullish continuation. 📈 Projection & Target Levels Immediate Target: Around $3,250–$3,275, just above the breakout zone. Extended Target: Above $3,375, based on the arrow projection and previous swing highs. 🔄 Scenario Path (Based on Drawing): Price has broken out of the channel (bullish signal). A pullback/retest to the channel top or previous resistance is expected. If the retest holds, we expect a strong bullish continuation. ✅ Bullish Confluences: Break of descending structure Reversal from strong demand zone Momentum shown in bullish candles Projection suggests a healthy risk-reward opportunity ⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor: False breakout: If the price returns into the channel, bullish bias weakens. Major resistance at $3,250–$3,275 area. Fundamental events (e.g. FOMC, CPI) that can cause volatility. 📌 Conclusion: This chart suggests a bullish reversal setup on Gold, supported by a channel breakout and demand reaction. A successful retest of the breakout zone would confirm potential for upward momentum toward the $3,275–$3,375 levels.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by aziezieam
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for Today, May 12Gold technical analysis 4-hour chart resistance level 3300, support level 3168 1-hour chart resistance level 3260, support level 3200 30-minute chart resistance level 3248, support level 3216, The decline in gold is due to the joint statement issued by China and the United States at the Geneva economic and trade talks today, and the Sino-US tariff war has been eased. Risk aversion has subsided, and gold has fallen again under pressure. The 4-hour chart MACD crosses below the zero axis, and KDJ diverges downward. If the price cannot return to above 3260, the medium- and long-term bearish trend will be difficult to change. The 1-hour chart RSI and ADX indicators show strong bearish momentum. If it falls below 3200, it may accelerate downward and continue to test the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3168. The gold market is suppressed by trade optimism and the strengthening of the US dollar, and the short-term technical side is bearish. Short-term support focuses on 3210~3200, and the upper resistance area of ​​3245~3260 can be sold at highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD MONTHLY OUTLOOK — MAY 2025🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Long-term bullish | Near-term exhaustion 🔎 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW ✅ HTF Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 2075 (2020/2022 resistance) ✅ Sustained higher highs + strong impulse candles since Oct 2023 ⛔️ Price just wicked into Monthly FIB Extension Zone (1.618–2.0) = 3440–3500 ⚠️ Bearish wick formed near 3500, suggesting premium rejection 🧠 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES (Monthly) Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply 3440–3500 Monthly FIB Extension zone + rejection wick + final extension of long-term bull leg 🔼 Resistance 3222–3242 Previous OB and last BOS area before wick spike — possible retest point ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3160–3185 Equilibrium / liquidity trap area seen on H4/D1 🟩 Monthly Demand 2960–3050 Large unmitigated zone + FVG + consolidation base before impulse 🟦 Discount Range 2800–2950 Key reaccumulation blocks from 2023 rallies 🔮 MACRO + MARKET CONTEXT 💬 Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing inflation concerns and Fed credibility under fire after CPI/UoM combo 📉 UoM Sentiment: Dropped below expectations = recessionary anxiety 📊 Inflation Expectations: Came in hotter = market confused, no clean direction 🗣️ Powell speech + May FOMC aftermath = market lacks conviction, stuck in uncertainty 🧭 STRATEGIC SCENARIOS ✅ Bullish Continuation (if retracement holds above 3160–3180) Potential reentry toward 3240–3250 and re-test upper wick zone >3440 Must see H4 CHoCH + volume confluence ❌ Bearish Retracement (if lower timeframes lose 3160) Deeper move likely toward 3050–3080 = Monthly demand base Below that = consolidation back to 2960 ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION Applied from breakout leg Oct 2023 (Low ~1810 to High ~2222 → projected from pullback at ~1984) Extension targets: 1.272 = ✅ Reached 1.618 = 3440 = tapped 2.0 = 3500 = wick rejection We are now reacting inside a fully extended bullish range, which supports a monthly cool-off. 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold hit the monthly moonshot. Now it’s all about real structure and rotation: 💡 Watch how price respects the 3160–3180 range. Lose that — and we dive back toward 3050–3080. Hold it — and we reload for the final frontier above 3440. Gold’s Monthly Jetpack Ran Out of Fuel at 3500 🚀🔥 — Now It’s All About Gravity and Structure." From FIB extensions to wick rejections, this is not the time to chase... it’s the time to react. Comment, follow, and stay sharp — sniper mode never sleeps. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Wave 5 Setup in PlayHey traders! Just wanted to share this clean Elliott Wave setup I’m tracking on Gold (XAU/USD). We’ve just completed what looks like a textbook Wave (4) correction, finding support right at the lower boundary of this long-term ascending channel. Price also respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement perfectly, lining up around the $3,090 level. That level is acting as a key demand zone right now. 🌀 According to the wave count: Wave (3) topped out near $3,500 Wave (4) retraced sharply into the channel base We are now potentially at the launch point for Wave (5) — the final impulse leg 💹 Wave (5) Projection: Targeting the upper channel boundary, which aligns closely with $3,740–$3,750 This area also completes the measured move and matches key structural confluence 📈 Technical Confluence Supporting the Bullish Bias: RSI bounced cleanly from oversold territory Bullish EMA crossover (20/50) is happening right near the bounce zone We’re also seeing a break of the corrective trend line, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls 📍 Key Levels to Watch: $3,149: minor pullback area / possible retest $3,283: Fib 23.6% resistance — needs to be cleared for confirmation $3,500: Major resistance & previous high — breakout zone $3,747: Wave 5 target ⚠️ Invalidation Zone: If price breaks below $3,090, and especially $3,041, I’ll be reassessing the wave count. That would suggest a deeper Wave 4 or a breakdown in bullish structure. 📌 Conclusion: I’m watching this setup closely. Gold looks poised for a strong upside leg if current levels hold. The structure is clean, momentum is turning, and we’ve got multiple confirmations in place. I’ll be scaling in with proper risk management and looking to ride this potential Wave 5 to new highs. Drop your thoughts below — are you long on Gold? Let’s talk setups 👇 @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
Gold Price Recovery Setup: Targeting 3240 Amid Short-Term RebounThis 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) chart highlights a potential short-term recovery setup, with a target around 3240. After a recent dip to support, the price shows early signs of a bullish reversal, aiming to reclaim key levels. Traders should watch for confirmation of momentum before committing to long positions. The chart shows a potential short-term rebound for gold, targeting 3240 after bouncing off a key support level. If momentum holds, this could be the start of a recovery, but a break below the recent low could invalidate this setup.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EleanorEmilyFx