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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

Gold/XAUUSD Possible CPI Move 11 June 2025Technical Analysis Key Confluences Supporting the Buy Setup: Trendline Support The gold shows a well-respected ascending trendline, which has been tested multiple times. This provides a dynamic level of support. Horizontal Support Zone (3323–3326) This area previously acted as resistance and has now flipped to support. The consolidation here suggests a demand zone. Bullish Market Structure The market is forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure. The current pullback may serve as a liquidity grab before continuation. Liquidity Below 3320 There is likely a liquidity pocket just below 3320. Price could sweep below support to trap sellers before reversing upward. CPI News Catalyst CPI data release can cause volatility. The stop-loss below 3314 is well-placed to allow for a spike without invalidating the bullish structure. Trade Setup Summary Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: 3323–3326 Confirmation: Reaction from the trendline and horizontal support after CPI release Take Profit (TP): 3335/3349 (targeting the recent high and potential double top liquidity) Stop Loss (SL): Below 3314 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 1:2 Entry Trigger: Look for a strong bullish rejection or engulfing pattern at the 3323–3326 zone to confirm entry. Management: Consider partial profit booking near 3340 if volatility increases or if price shows signs of rejection before the target.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
GOLD Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential 1.Gold is trading around $3,310 after dipping into 3307 per ounce on NFP data report as of close of friday market in june 2025. The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. 2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday . Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower. However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields. 3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD. When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down. Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside. 4. Interest Rate Differential Impact The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold. Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices. Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying. Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction. Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%) CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%) CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%) How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts: (1)Monetary Policy Stance The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment. If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. (2)Possible Fed Response The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky. Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy. Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar. (3)Market Implications A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment. Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing. Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value. #gold #dollar
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
Breaking the big frame, gold price returns to accumulation✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/09/2025 - 06/13/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices declined for a second straight session on Friday, yet remain on track to close the week with a gain of over 1.30%, as traders recalibrate expectations for Federal Reserve policy easing following a stronger-than-expected U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,322, marking a 0.84% daily decline. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the labor market continues to show resilience, with the unemployment rate holding steady from April. Meanwhile, Wall Street staged a modest rebound from Thursday’s losses, despite political tensions flaring between President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, following the House's approval of a bill to raise the U.S. debt ceiling. 🔥 Identify: Gold prices reacted lower after the release of good May employment data. Breaking the H4 uptrend line, gold prices continued to accumulate. 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3348, $3400 Support: $3251, $3202 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold price rebounds and then falls The current trend is similar to that of Monday. Now that the market has continued to rise, we should not rush to guess the top. The idea is to follow the trend and wait for the stagflation signal to appear before looking at the callback. At present, the turning point of this wave is roughly expected to be around 3338. After the turning point appears, I will prompt you to participate in short orders to watch the callback. The callback position is expected to be around 3312. That is, the idea of ​​European trading is to participate in short orders near 3338, with the target near 3315; after there is a stop-loss signal near 3312 below, participate in long orders.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11
WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? XAUUSD – WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? Gold is at a pivotal point after experiencing a significant correction following its recent rally. With the market showing mixed signals, the question now is whether gold will continue its upward trajectory or experience further corrections before breaking new highs. The current global economic climate, combined with macroeconomic factors, will be the driving forces behind gold's next move. 🌍 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT US Dollar Strength: The USD has been strengthening, which has put some pressure on gold prices. However, this comes amid uncertainty in global trade relations, particularly between the US and China, which is creating mixed market sentiment. Gold remains a key asset for hedging against currency risks and geopolitical tensions. Federal Reserve's Stance on Interest Rates: The Fed has signaled that while inflation remains a concern, it’s unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. This could limit gold's upside potential in the short term, but the metal remains attractive due to its safe-haven status. Geopolitical Tensions: With ongoing concerns over US-China trade talks and tensions surrounding Ukraine, investors continue to flock to gold as a hedge against political and economic instability. These external pressures continue to fuel demand for gold. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200) Current Correction: Gold has been correcting after a strong surge, testing key support levels like 3300. On the H1 timeframe, the EMA indicators suggest consolidation and weakness, signaling that further pullbacks are possible before any potential breakout. Technical Pattern – "Flag" Formation: Gold is forming a bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause after a strong upward trend. This pattern suggests that gold might continue to trade sideways, with a breakout above key resistance levels leading to a continuation of the uptrend. Key Resistance and Support Levels: Gold is facing significant resistance levels at 3320 and 3330, while key support levels at 3300 and 3270 will be crucial to watch in the coming sessions. 📍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH Resistance Levels: 3320 – 3330 – 3338 – 3350 – 3360 Support Levels: 3300 – 3270 – 3250 🧭 RECOMMENDED TRADE SETUPS 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3270 – 3272 SL: 3265 TP: 3280 → 3300 → 3320 → 3330 → 3350 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3320 – 3325 SL: 3330 TP: 3310 → 3295 → 3280 → 3265 ✅ SUMMARY Gold is currently experiencing a correction after a solid rally, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Macro-economic factors, including the Fed’s policies and geopolitical risks, are likely to drive gold prices higher in the future. However, short-term fluctuations should be expected as the market tests key resistance and support levels. Traders should focus on well-defined entry and exit points within these key levels and maintain a disciplined risk management strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Trade Plan 09/06/2025Dear Traders. 📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis | 1H Timeframe | June 9, 2025 Price has recently broken below the ascending trendline and filled a nearby gap, now retracing back toward the broken structure zone. Two key scenarios are in play: 🔹 Alternative 1: A rejection from the broken resistance area could trigger a bearish continuation toward the demand zone around $3,260–$3,240. 🔹 Alternative 2: If sellers fail to defend this level, price may push higher to test the $3,420–$3,440 supply zone. ✅ Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,360 and $3,420–$3,440 Support: $3,260 and $3,190 📉 The RSI is hovering in the neutral-to-oversold range, signaling indecision in momentum. 📌 Summary: Traders should monitor how price reacts to the current resistance zone. A clear rejection could validate the downside scenario, while a breakout may open the door for a bullish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones. 🔍 Technical Structure: Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines. A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential. Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups. 🎯 Key Buy Zones: ✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412 Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly. Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift). ✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385 Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support. Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves. 🌍 Fundamental Context: Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question. Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers. 📈 Trade Signal: Bias: 🔵 Bullish Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412 SL: Below 3,395 TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470 R:R: ~1:3 Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385 SL: Below 3,368 R:R: ~1:4 🧠 Final Note: Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
XAU/USD (Gold) – Short Setup Within Ascending Channel🕒 30-Minute Chart | 🗓️ June 12, 2025 Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds consistently. Currently, price has: 🔹 Rejected the upper boundary of the channel. 🔹 Formed a possible double-top or liquidity sweep, suggesting a potential short-term top. 🔹 Entered a supply zone, marked in red, where selling pressure has re-emerged. 🔹 A strong bearish engulfing move indicates sellers are regaining control. 🎯 Trade Idea: Entry : Near 3,385–3,390 USD (supply zone rejection) Target : Lower boundary of the channel around 3,324–3,318 USD Stop Loss : Just above the recent high (~3,413 USD) 📌 Volume Profile: Visible volume nodes show heavy activity near 3,375 USD and 3,360 USD, which might act as interim support. 📉 Bearish bias until price either : Breaks below the mid-channel zone (~3,360 USD), or Reclaims and holds above the red supply zone. 🧠 Watch for reactions at key support levels – if buyers return, it could signal a channel continuation instead of a full breakdown.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Tommykamo
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY Gold has shown a strong bullish push, breaking above recent consolidation and approaching a key resistance zone around $3,376. ⚔️ This area will be decisive — if price holds above it and confirms support, we could see a further rally toward $3,404. 📈✨ However, failure to sustain above this level could trigger a bearish rejection, pulling the market back toward the $3,330–$3,340 range. 📉🔄 Traders should wait for clear price action confirmation before entering. React, don’t predict! 🎯🧠
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Gold price analysis on June 9The D1 candle on Friday broke the sideways structure and confirmed the downtrend for Gold prices. Gold prices pushed up quite high in today's Tokyo trading session after touching the Gap zone around 3395. With this upward force, 3319 will be available at the end of the Asian session. This zone can wait for a reaction and SELL can return because this is the zone where the Sellers pushed the price down at the beginning of the session. The European session will pay more attention to the 3334 zone with a break out point that is also quite important. The upward force will be stopped by the Sellers at the daily resistance level around 3345. SELL is following the trend and can sustain the profit far away, while the BUY points are considered to find the reaction wave to increase and correct. The first zone is 3295, the second zone is around 3275. Wishing you a successful trading day
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
BEST XAUUSD BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📉📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Key Levels in Focus! 📈🧐 Gold is currently trading around the 3,326 zone after a recent pullback. Price is approaching the key support level at 3,310, where a potential bullish bounce may occur, targeting the next resistance near 3,350. 🛑 However, if price fails to hold above 3,310, we may see further downside movement towards the 3,293 support. 📉 Traders should watch for reaction and confirmation around these zones before taking entries. ⚠️💡 A bullish reversal could trigger strong buying momentum, while a bearish break may lead to deeper correction. 🎯💰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
I am waiting for SELL here with wave 5 catching strategy In the Kitco survey, Wall Street analysts were divided on the direction of gold prices this week. Fifty percent of experts expect prices to rise, 43 percent expect prices to fall, and 7 percent believe gold will move sideways. This reflects a generally cautious sentiment as there is no clear factor to promote a new trend. Some experts still lean towards the uptrend as gold holds important support levels and remains a safe haven amid geopolitical uncertainty. Others predict a correction in gold prices due to positive signals from the White House about the possibility of reaching trade agreements and the recovery of US stocks. In addition, there are also neutral opinions that gold is unlikely to continue to rise sharply without further momentum, especially when stock indexes are more attractive to investors. James Stanley, senior strategist at Forex.com, remains optimistic, saying that gold is making a technical correction to continue the larger trend. He believes that the $3,300 and $3,280 zones will be important boundaries to watch. What do you think about this strategy? Best regards, StarrOne !!!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by StarrOne
1
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by okako_trading
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 6/14/2025 In my last week's post, I mentioned that the inverted head and shoulder has been formed and we should see price soaring up as long as 3300 holds. Indeed in this past week, after touching briefly 3300, price went through a few days of consolidation. I almost thought the trend has been reversed. However, I still followed my weekly instinct. And this week closes above 3400. We should see more price pump next week. I am expecting another ATH to at least 3600. From 2D TF, gold respected the trendline well and I will look for buying opportunity from 3400 next week.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
CPI is coming, which direction should gold go? True trading masters can maintain inner peace in the hustle and bustle of the market and are not confused by short-term fluctuations. They know that the short-term trend of the market is full of randomness, like ripples on the water, seemingly complicated but difficult to predict. They are like gatekeepers of the mind, with strong determination to resist the emotional interference of the market, and no matter how big the market fluctuations are, they will not let them lose their footing. When others are scared and want to sell their stocks quickly, they can keep their composure; when others are stimulated by the daily limit and want to chase high, they can hold the bottom line. The international gold price opened at $3,325/ounce and closed at $3,322/ounce on the last trading day. The real part of the daily K-line fell by only $3/ounce and finally closed at the cross line. Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated slightly and closed down, mainly because of the market's attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations. The market generally believes that if the negotiations can ease trade tensions and boost the global economy, it will weaken the demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, the strengthening of the US dollar also brings downward pressure on gold. Weekly candlestick chart: running in the rising channel, long-term buy on dips Daily candlestick chart: running in disordered oscillation structure, cautiously wait and see in the medium term 4-hour chart: running in an oscillating bullish trend, short-term buy on dips 30-minute chart: bottom structure established, short-term buy on dips above 3326 Intraday plan to continue to buy in the 3332 area, defend 3325, target 3350-60
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields 1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY). When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down. Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts. 2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive. However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand. Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall. Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge. Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation . 4. Macro and Market Drivers Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields. Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support. Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term. Conclusion Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields. #gold #dollar
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold is expected to continue to fall to 3280 or even 3250In the short term, the operation of gold is completely in line with my expectations. I clearly pointed out yesterday that gold will encounter resistance in the 3330-3340 area and will at least retest the area around 3315-3305 again. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after retesting the area around 3302 and is trading around 3309. According to the strength of yesterday's rebound, gold did not effectively break through the 3300-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term, and the head and shoulders top structure is constructed in the 3328-3338-3328 position area in the short term, which suppresses gold to a certain extent and limits the rebound space of gold. After multiple tests, the area around 3300 may be more conducive to being broken. After gold has been under pressure and fallen many times, the current short-term resistance area has been reduced to the 3310-3320 area; so I think gold still has a good downward space in the short term, which may continue to 3280, or even around 3250. So for short-term trading, I think it is possible to consider continuing to short gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade