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GOLD trade ideas

GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 18 - Nov 22]This week, international gold prices fell sharply, from 2,686 USD/oz to 2,536 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,563 USD/oz. Thus, from the peak of 2,790 USD/oz, up to now the international gold price has decreased by more than 250 USD per ounce, equivalent to about 9%. The reason why international gold prices have dropped sharply in recent days is because the market expects newly elected President Donald Trump to soon resolve geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, the Korean Peninsula..., causing shelter demand. in gold fell sharply. Besides, Mr. Trump's tariff policy will cause inflation to rise, forcing the FED to raise interest rates again, pushing up the USD. In addition, recently announced US economic indicators, such as retail sales in October increased by 0.4% over the previous month; Consumer confidence recovered strongly;... In particular, FED Chairman Powell said the US economy did not give any signal that the FED should rush to continue sharply reducing interest rates. Short-term gold prices next week may not end their correction due to the impact of policy expectations under Donald Trump's second term. 📌From a technical perspective, on the weekly chart, if this is an adjustment for this chart, the gold price will at least fall around the 2,400 USD/oz mark. On the H4 chart, the gold price has completed a shoulder pattern. head and shoulders as commented last week when the 2640 support zone was broken. Next week, it is possible that the gold price will increase and adjust again. If the support level of 2526 does not hold, gold is at risk of continuing to be sold off, causing the price to fall further below the 2400 mark. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,548 – 2,536 – 2,528USD Resistance: 2,581 – 2,588 – 2,600USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2626 - 2624⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2630 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2432 - 2434⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2428
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → How long will the correction last? Emphasis on 2590FX:XAUUSD after a false breakdown of 2546 forms a pullback and tests 2577. It is quite adequate reaction after such a strong fall. The fundamental background is still negative, and the dollar is accelerating its growth. Ambiguous economic data from China increased economic concerns. Uncertainty about future interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve also continues to weigh on the markets, especially after Powell said that there is no need to rush to cut rates as the economy is still growing, the labor market is robust and inflation is still above the 2% target. Now all eyes are on the all-important retail sales report.... Technically, it is worth paying attention to 0.5-0.7 fibo and resistance at 2589. A false breakdown and consolidation below these areas may trigger a fall. Resistance levels: 2577, 2589, 2594. Support levels: 2546, 2531, 2500 At the moment, gold is hinting that the pullback up may be a bit prolonged. Most likely MM will go for liquidity (above these levels) before the news. False breakout may provoke bears to activity, which will only strengthen the sales. But, a rebound from 0.5 fibo and a smooth return to 2546 will increase the chances of a breakdown and fall. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to support area 2540 (wave C).Dear colleagues, I believe that it is too early to talk about long positions. I expect the price to complete a big correction and then we will look for long positions. So far I see a variant with the completion of wave “C” in the area of 2538-2545. Preliminary correction to the resistance area of 2645 is possible. Therefore, there are two possible options to enter a position: 1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market. 2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
30
The Secret of Market Price Movement What is SMC (Smart Money Concepts)? – A Deep Dive into Market Logic Have you ever wondered why the market reverses just when it looks like it’s trending? Or why your stop-loss always seems to get hit before the market moves in your favor? If these questions resonate with you, SMC (Smart Money Concepts) might hold the answers. 1. What is SMC? SMC is a trading methodology based on the idea that financial markets are not purely driven by supply and demand. Instead, they are manipulated by Smart Money—banks, institutions, and hedge funds—who control price action by targeting liquidity in the market. These institutions capitalize on retail traders’ mistakes, such as poorly placed stop-losses or impulsive trades. By understanding SMC, you learn to align yourself with the movements of Smart Money instead of falling victim to their traps. 2. Core Principles of SMC • Markets Are Not Random Markets are influenced by the IPDA (Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm), which engineers price movement to create liquidity and drive market cycles. This algorithm exploits traders’ emotions—fear and greed—to guide price action. 3. How Does SMC Benefit Traders? By mastering SMC, you can: 1. Identify Smart Money’s Liquidity Targets • Look for areas like previous highs/lows, order blocks, and inefficiencies where price is likely to react. 2. Avoid Being a Liquidity Target • Learn how Smart Money hunts stop-loss orders and how to place entries and exits strategically. 4. Why Choose SMC Over Traditional Analysis? Unlike conventional technical analysis, which relies on patterns and indicators, SMC focuses on the manipulative nature of markets. It helps traders understand the “why” behind price movements and positions them to trade alongside the institutions, not against them. 5. Where Can SMC Be Applied? SMC is versatile and applicable across all markets—forex, stocks, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. It focuses on the logic of price action, making it adaptable to any instrument with measurable price movement. SMC is not just a strategy; it’s a mindset shift. It teaches traders to move from a retail perspective to an institutional perspective by analyzing price action and liquidity. Align yourself with Smart Money instead of being their target.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Smart-Trader-KIMMM
Gold: Structure change ... The focus is the speech of the FedHello, dear friends, Ben here Gold prices are surging strongly after breaking through the resistance channel at 2650, as investors turn to this safe haven amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty due to escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions. It’s evident that geopolitical tensions have heightened interest in safe havens, including the yellow metal. However, this inverse correlation has resurfaced in recent weeks, and the strength of the dollar is likely to hinder gold's momentum moving forward. All eyes are on several Fed officials scheduled to deliver speeches this week. Market expectations for a December rate cut have dropped significantly, with current odds at 55.7%, down from 82.5% just a week ago. From a technical perspective, gold has confirmed a trend and shifted sentiment, giving us a major movement to follow in shaping our trading decisions. A false breakout around the local resistance level at 2643 is forming. Price consolidation above this area could trigger further bullish momentum. However, I haven’t ruled out the possibility of a fake move around 2622 to accumulate before a stronger rally. What are your thoughts on this?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
1
Cruel sell-off week, GOLD down more than 4%OANDA:XAUUSD This week suffered an extremely brutal sell-off, falling more than 4%, the largest decline since September 2023. Trump is the biggest overall reason for OANDA:XAUUSD plummet Gold had a pretty good month in October, rising along with the US Dollar which was supported by expectations of a possible victory for Donald Trump. Gold prices had previously even extended their gains despite a clear recovery in US Treasury yields across all maturities. However, things have changed significantly since Trump was elected US president The main concerns surround the possibility that the Trump administration will again use tariff measures. These measures will likely spur inflation again and could eventually prompt the Fed to reverse its ongoing easing cycle. The main factor behind gold's surge earlier this year was ongoing geopolitical tensions, especially the escalating conflict between Israel and Hamas and the protracted war in Ukraine. Whenever there is new news about the worsening conflict situation, investors flock to safe-haven assets such as gold. However, recently since Trump's victory, the geopolitical situation and conflicts are showing positive signs, which will create the basis for further gold selling pressure. The Fed is also creating pressure on OANDA:XAUUSD Slightly hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell last week boosted the dollar and dampened interest in gold. Powell said Thursday that the central bank is in no hurry to reduce borrowing costs while the economy continues to be strong, the labor market is solid and inflation is above its 2% target. After Powell's speech, investors lowered the likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its December meeting, from 72% to 61.9%, according to CME Group's FedWatch data. In addition to Powell's comments, Boston Fed President Susan Collins said the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates. Finally, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee left open the possibility of a December Fed meeting, adding, "The debate over neutral interest rates could slow the pace of rate cuts." However, at the end of last Friday's trading session, despite positive US data, the Dollar was still under pressure as market participants took profits before the weekend. That limited gold's decline after falling to a 2-month low of $2,536/oz. Highlights this week This week, gold traders will pay attention to data from the Federal Reserve, unemployment claims and the release of the S&P Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). Overall, this week will be a week with quite a few notable data and events, other than unexpected events such as "Trump is sick and Trump threatens to fire Jerome Powell". Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although gold recovered very slightly this past weekend, it still ended the week with 6 consecutive days of decline. Gold's recovery keeps it above the 1% Fibonacci level at $2,548 but there is still plenty of room ahead as the most recent pressures from the lower edge of the price channel and horizontal resistance at $2,588 join the Fibonacci level. A 0.786% retracement will still prevent the recovery of gold prices. On the other hand, it still has a technical trend that is completely tilted towards a bearish outlook with the price channel being the main trend in the short term. In addition, the Relative Strength Index is still pointing down without reaching the oversold area, showing that there is still room for price decline ahead. Looking ahead, as long as gold remains within the price channel and below the $2,600 raw price, price increases should only be considered short-term technical corrections without affecting the current primary trend to the downside. The downtrend in gold prices will be noticed again by the positions listed below. Support: 2,548 – 2,536 – 2,528USD Resistance: 2,600USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2606 - 2604⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2610 →Take Profit 1 2599 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2594 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2519 - 2521⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2515 →Take Profit 1 2526 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2531
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD TRADING POINT MAP UPDATE GO > READ THA >CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋 Gold trading analysis map 🗾 Gold test results from resistance level 2704 big resistance level pullback dow👇 trend 📉 technical analysis setup gold if closed above ground 2720 Next target we'll see 2800$ more update 👇👇 Gold 4H Time Frame 🖼️ candle close below 👇 2687 more drop 💧 2608. Break some pullback up 2678 back down 👇 2543 back up trand 2581 again down 👇 2509 SMC Gold trading point S upport ✨ My hard analysis Setup like And Following Me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎮
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
XAU-USD BUY OPPOTUNITY . Description A POTENTIAL PULL BACK TRADE ! This trade is not aligned with overall daily or 4hr bearish momentum as seen on last week but however a potential of pull back is seen for this week. As of early morning today the 4hr candle has broken a fractal zone , signaling us a probability of CHoCH , ( change of character ). It is also on very strong demand zone on Weekly TF. The idea is to go with the probability of the trade , trade will be monitored as there the overall swing is still bearish in 4hr it can very much retrace from any of supply zone , so trade should be monitored throughout if it is active. Manage risk !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by rubinGrg
XAUUSD Trade Update: Opportunities Ahead!Hey Guys, here's the latest update on XAUUSD. We've had a solid run with gold recently, although we faced a small loss yesterday. Don't worry, though—there are plenty of opportunities coming up! Update : XAUUSD has broken through the channel and is currently testing the resistance level. Trend : In the short term, the bearish momentum is weak. However, the long-term trend remains strong, so we shouldn't go against the overall market direction. Scenario : At the moment, XAUUSD is testing the 2643 midrange as resistance. If it breaks back above this level, as indicated by the arrows on the chart, I’ll re-enter the trade and go long. My first target will be 2710, and the second target will be the higher range at 2790. First Target: 2710 Second Target: 2790 Stay tuned for more updates and follow along for the next moves!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Agnes_Trader
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for today 22/11Gold technical analysis Daily resistance 2750, support 2650 Four-hour resistance 2750, support 2650 Gold operation suggestions: Gold started to rise at the opening of the Asian session today. As of now, gold has reached the highest level of 27000. As the situation in Russia and Ukraine ferments, there is still momentum for rising. Today's idea is still to buy more after stepping back. The 2685 line of pressure is also easily broken, and there is no sign of weakness in the bulls. The recent rise in gold is directly related to the escalation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Today is Friday, and we also need to prevent the black swan waterfall from falling in the European and American sessions, so any order needs to be strictly loss-making, and risk control is the first priority. From the current 4-hour gold trend, the upper important pressure is the 2750 line, the lower short-term support is the 2670 line, and the lower support is the 2650 line. In terms of operation, we use the step-back buying operation. The aggressive strategy is to buy directly and wait patiently for the key points to enter the market. BUY:2672near BUY:2685near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
GOLD continues to be supported by BidenOANDA:XAUUSD rallied sharply towards a second day of gains after six consecutive days of decline as the dollar's price momentum slowed and growing uncertainty over conflicts in Russia and Ukraine sparked safe-haven demand. As of the time of writing, spot gold has increased continuously the previous trading day to 2,622 USD/ounce, escaping the lowest level in 2 months last Thursday. OANDA:XAUUSD considered a safe investment in times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, suffered its biggest weekly decline in more than three years last week because of Trump's tariff-leaning policy. Trump's nomination is seen as a potential cause of inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to slow down on interest rate cuts. Recent US support for Ukraine has increased tensions and affected safe-haven assets Part of the reason is that US President Biden announced that he will provide long-range missiles to Ukraine so that the country can attack deeper into Russian territory. This will make the war much more complicated, it should be seen as a step closer to direct confrontation between Russia and the US. Previously, Reuters reported that US President Joe Biden's administration on Sunday allowed Ukraine to use US-made weapons to attack deep into Russian territory, a major reversal of Washington's policy. about the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. Sources said Ukraine plans to launch its first long-range strike in the coming days but declined to reveal details due to security concerns about the operation. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates for a third time in December, although recent data suggests inflation's recovery toward its 2% target has stalled. About seven Fed officials will speak this week. Rising interest rates could put further pressure on gold by making non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although gold has recovered to break the falling price channel in the short term, in the medium term it still tends to lean towards the downside with the price channel as the trend and the main pressure from the EMA21 level. On the other hand, the uptrend RSI is also close to reaching the 50 level. The 50 level is considered a resistance or support point depending on the condition of the RSI above or below this level. However, gold may still increase a bit more with the 2,640USD position sent to readers in yesterday's publication, this is the position of the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level. As long as gold remains within the price channel and below the EMA21 level, the technical outlook is tilted to the downside, and the day's highlights are listed below. Support: 2,600 – 2,588USD Resistance: 2,640USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2647 - 2645⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2651 →Take Profit 1 2640 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2635 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2585 →Take Profit 1 2596 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2601
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD Is Bearish! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2,634.92. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2,574.59 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
GOLD OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for GOLD. Today I'm looking potential buy, on the basis of SMC concept and trendline strategy. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. When price reach at our level than we look how price behave when it enter our level after confirmation we take buy trade. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis and prediction. #XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
Gold : enters accumulation reaction phase before strong increasAfter a period of accumulation, the gold price has escaped the prolonged bearish phase and is moving in a clear upward price channel. In particular, the market is recording strong buying interest in the short-term support zone of $2,650 - $2,675. This is the "key" area to push the price closer to important resistance levels. If the $2,721 threshold is successfully broken, the gold price is likely to quickly extend its upward momentum to the $2,772 area - an important liquidity level, and also a confirmation signal for the long-term uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TomtradeFX
short xauusd with chatgpt1. Trend Analysis Multi-Timeframe Observations: Short Timeframes (M5, M15): Bearish signals indicate short-term selling pressure. Mid/High Timeframes (H1, H4): Bullish momentum is still active, suggesting the possibility of a pullback to resume upward trends. Daily Timeframe: Bearish signals show the overall long-term trend may be turning downwards, requiring caution with long positions. 2. Key Levels Identification Support Levels: $2,685: Immediate minor support zone visible on the chart. $2,680: Strong institutional demand zone aligning with previous swing lows. Resistance Levels: $2,700–$2,710: Strong rejection zone recently tested, with selling pressure evident. 3. Liquidity Zones and FU Candles Liquidity: A liquidity cluster exists below $2,685, likely targeting retail stop-loss orders. FU Candles: On lower timeframes, bearish FU candles near $2,700 signal potential exhaustion of buyers in this region. Updated Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Strategy Scenario: Given the short-term bearish signals, a short position is recommended until clear bullish confirmation appears. Entry: Short near $2,693, following rejection from the resistance zone. Stop-Loss (SL): Place SL at $2,702, slightly above recent swing highs and the upper resistance zone. Take-Profit (TP): First TP at $2,685, targeting minor support. Second TP at $2,680, aligning with the institutional demand zone. Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2, with ~9 pips of risk (SL: $2,702) and ~18 pips of reward (TP1: $2,685). Additional Considerations Confirmation for Entry: Wait for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles or a breakdown below $2,690) before entering. Market Context: Monitor gold-related news or events that may influence price momentum
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by priceactionindonesia
Go long gold: TP: 2675-2680Brothers, gold has failed to fall below 2660 many times, so as I said in my last article, I closed the short position near 2664, and immediately went long on gold near 2664, and manually closed the long position near 2770. At present, gold has fallen back to near 2660 again and has not fallen below, so I have gone long on gold near 2664 again. Although gold has fallen back locally, it has not fallen below the short-term support of 2655, and has not even fallen below 2660, so the gold bull energy still has the advantage, so the gold fall is an opportunity to go long on gold. And according to the current structure, gold still has the possibility of continuing to rise and touching the 2675-2680 area, and may even touch 2690. So the trading strategy: go long on gold in batches in the 2665-2655 area, TP: 2675-2680
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin