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GOLD trade ideas

Could India-Pak ceasefire & China-US talks trigger gold's declinNews From May 5th to 9th, trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts have driven the gold market to rise 📈. The spot gold price has once broken through 3,438. As the bullish momentum has waned, investors have taken profits at high levels, and the weekly increase has narrowed to about 3.1%. Trump's remarks on tariffs, uncertainties in trade negotiations, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the military standoff between India and Pakistan have stimulated the demand for safe-haven assets, pushing up the gold price 💹. Technical indicators show that the short-term correction pressure has increased, and the market may enter a phase of volatile consolidation 🤔. Gold Trend At the beginning of this week, influenced by the safe-haven property of gold, its price has increased. However, this tariff news has less of an impact on the gold price than before, and the upward trend has stopped at 3,439. After the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate policy unchanged, the gold price has declined for two consecutive days 📉, and yesterday's closing price was above 3,300. Looking ahead, with the ceasefire of the conflict between India and Pakistan and the advancement of the China-US talks, the gold price is likely to drop significantly next week ⬇️. The ceasefire between India and Pakistan has alleviated the geopolitical tensions, weakening the driving force for gold to rise as a safe-haven asset. If the China-US talks achieve positive results, the market's risk appetite will increase, and investors are likely to shift their funds from gold to risky assets such as stocks. In the past, when there has been progress in trade negotiations, the gold price has dropped significantly. Overall, there is an obvious downward trend for the gold price next week 😟. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3330 🚀 TP 3280 - 3260 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign-
5/15 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone! Yesterday, gold broke the support after some sideways movement and touched the buy zone near 3170, but profit was limited. Today, after opening, gold rebounded to above 3190 but faced resistance and started dropping again. Notably, the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence, and although not yet corrected, such divergence usually leads to a rebound of at least $60 — a potential opportunity worth watching. 🗞 News Highlights: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Research conference on monetary policy and economy These events may significantly impact gold, so stay alert. 📌 Today’s Trading Strategy: 🟢 Buy Zone: 3113 – 3076 🔴 Sell Zone: 3208 – 3223 🔄 Flexible Trading Ranges: ▫️3123-3152-3168-3187-3198 ✅ Maintain cautious, flexible positioning. Watch for divergence correction opportunities for a potential sharp rebound.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategies Today, May 14Technical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3200-3167 Four-hour chart resistance 3270/3284, support below 3200 One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3200 Analysis of gold news: On Tuesday (May 13), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April was released, showing that inflationary pressures have eased, providing a complex signal to the market. This mild data that was lower than expected, coupled with the uncertainty of recent tariff policies, triggered an immediate market reaction and reshaped the Fed's expectations of rate cuts. Although the data tended to be dovish, the market reaction was not completely one-sided, showing a game of caution and optimism. Because bargain hunting occurred after prices hit a one-week low. In the previous trading day, due to the tariff truce agreement reached between China and the United States, market risk appetite increased, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold, and gold prices were therefore under pressure. Yesterday, gold hit a high point before the data was released and then fell sharply, which also showed the repetitiveness of market sentiment. However, in the future, some negative factors have gradually landed, and the Fed's interest rate cut will be put on the agenda again in the medium term. The medium-term favorable pattern for gold has not changed, so gold is still bullish in the medium and long term, but there may be a decline in the short term. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3200 integer support, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour chart resistance 3250 and the four-hour chart resistance 3284. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3284. SELL: 3283near SL: 3288 SELL: 3270near SL: 3275
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
How to layout gold as Sino-US trade eases🗞News side: 1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures 2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated 📈Technical aspects: Affected by the easing of Sino-US economic and trade relations, coupled with the fact that the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are on the right track and India and Pakistan have suspended firing, the risk aversion sentiment in the gold market has eased, and the gold price has fallen sharply since the opening today. At present, the 3200 line has formed an important short-term support. If the support effect is strong at this point, the gold price may rebound further; if it falls below this key support, it will accelerate the opening of downward space. The upper 3250-3260 is the previous intensive trading area, which will pose a certain pressure in the short term. At the top of the European market, focus on the resistance range of 3250-3260, and at the bottom, the support range is 3210-3200. 🎁BUY 3200-3210 🎁TP 3250-3260 🎁 SELL 3260-3270 🎁 TP 3250-3230 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
H4 frame accumulation 2 trend lines✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/12/2025 - 05/16/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices advanced over 1% on Friday, rebounding as the US Dollar (USD) softened following a two-day winning streak, pressured by declining US Treasury yields. Renewed risk-off sentiment, fueled by persistent geopolitical tensions, bolstered demand for the safe-haven metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading near $3,338. US equity markets slipped as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of Saturday’s high-stakes meeting between US and Chinese delegations in Switzerland. While hopes for a de-escalation in trade tensions remain elevated, uncertainty continues to dominate sentiment. Adding to the volatility, US President Donald Trump reignited trade concerns by stating on social media, “80% Tariff on China seems right! Up to Scott B.” 🔥 Identify: Gold prices slow down, starting to accumulate more. Trade negotiations will appear more, putting selling pressure on gold prices in the near future. 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3402, $3435 Support : $3282, $3203 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 16: 1. Core driving factors of fundamentals Weak US economic data strengthens expectations of interest rate cuts PPI and retail sales data fell beyond expectations: US PPI fell 0.5% month-on-month in April (expected +0.2%), retail sales growth dropped sharply from 1.7% in March to 0.1%, and manufacturing output fell 0.4%, indicating that the pressure of economic slowdown has intensified. This data directly led to a sharp drop in US Treasury yields (10-year yields fell 11 basis points to 4.435%), and market expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts increased (the probability of a rate cut in September is expected to rise to 75.4%). Weak US dollar: The US dollar index fell 0.2% to 100.82, and the real interest rate (TIPS yield) fell below 1.8%, providing pricing support for gold. Geopolitical risks escalate Russia-Ukraine peace talks are deadlocked: Putin refused to attend the Turkey talks and only sent a low-level delegation. Ukrainian President Zelensky called this move "disrespectful". Market expectations for the progress of the peace agreement have cooled significantly, and safe-haven demand has surged. Uncertainty in the Middle East: There are still differences in the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations. Although Trump said it was "close to being reached", internal news in Iran showed that key issues have not been resolved and the risk of geopolitical conflict continues. Trade situation and long-term support factors The pressure of easing tariffs between China and the United States has been exhausted: Although the China-US tariff agreement has eased trade frictions in the short term, the market's focus has shifted to economic data and subsequent policy impacts. In the long run, global central banks continue to buy gold (more than 1,000 tons of gold in 2024), stagflation risks (high inflation and low growth coexist) and weakening US dollar credit still support gold. 2. Key technical points Support level: Short-term: US$3205-3210 (psychological barrier and 4-hour Bollinger band middle track). Medium term: $3160 (trend line support and 60-day moving average). Resistance level: Above: $3260-3270 (high pressure zone 4 hours ago). Long-term target: $3330-3350 (gap filling and historical high range). Technical signal: Daily MACD bottom divergence, RSI rebounded from the oversold area, indicating strong short-term rebound momentum. If it breaks through the $3260 resistance, it may start a new round of rise; if it falls below $3200, it may fall back to the $3160 support. 3. Optimal trading strategy Short-term operation (intraday to intraweek) Long opportunity: Entry conditions: Gold price pulls back to the $3205-3210 range to stabilize, or the US dollar index does not break through the 100.50 resistance. Target: $3260-3280, stop loss set below 3180. Short opportunities: Entry conditions: Gold price rebounds to 3260-3280 range and encounters resistance, or the US dollar index stabilizes at 101. Target: 3220-3200 US dollars, stop loss set above 3290. Medium-term strategy (monthly level) Bullish logic: Central bank gold demand, stagflation risk and normalization of geopolitical conflicts support long-term upward trend. Entry time: If gold price falls back to 3160-3180 area without breaking, long positions can be opened in batches, stop loss 3130, target 3330-3350 US dollars. Risk control points Strict stop loss: short-term stop loss does not exceed 2% of the total position, medium-term stop loss does not exceed 5%. Event avoidance: Pay attention to today's Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and import price data in the United States, and reduce positions before the data is released. IV. Summary and risk warning Core contradiction: Short-term economic data and geopolitical risks dominate fluctuations, and medium- and long-term structural benefits remain unchanged. Potential risks: Policy changes: If the Fed releases hawkish signals or Russia-Ukraine negotiations make unexpected progress, it may trigger a sharp correction. Technical overbought repair: Gold has risen too much in the short term, so we need to be wary of profit-taking pressure. Operation principles: light positions, strict stop losses, and give priority to the breakthrough direction of the 3200-3260 US dollar range, and follow the trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
Gold operation strategy analysisAt present, the long and short views in the gold market are significantly different, and the effectiveness of technical positions has been verified. The 3180 point has not shown an effective support role in the recent downward process. Its logic as a potential pressure point lacks price behavior verification, and we need to be vigilant against the risk of misjudgment caused by subjective preset technical positions. As for the short strategy at 3200 points, if 3230 is used as the stop loss, the risk exposure of more than 30 US dollars is disproportionate to the current volatility range, and the profit and loss ratio needs to be strictly evaluated in actual transactions. In the current market environment, the price has not yet shown a clear bottom signal. The operational level should focus on optimizing the risk-return ratio and avoid excessive gambling on short-term fluctuations during the trend continuation stage. It is recommended to wait patiently for clearer technical signals or fundamental drivers to intervene. Gold continued its decline last week, refreshing a new low in a month, but the gold price bottomed out and rebounded during the day, indicating that there is strong bargain hunting below. Gold's support below, from the 30-minute analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3180-3185, with a focus on the 3200-3210 line. The pullback will rely on this position to continue the main short trend and look down. The short-term long and short strength watershed is 3235-3240. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, any pullback is a short-selling opportunity. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds to 3180-3185, with a stop loss at 3193, and the target is 3170-3160, and the break is 3160-3130
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BarryDouglass
GOLD XAUUSD Trade Plan for coming week Chart Analysis Overview: 🔹 Key Level: 3280-3270 > This level acts as the decision point for the next move. > The price is currently hovering just above it, making it crucial for short-term direction. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup) Trigger: Break below 3270 : Entry Zone: Around or shortly after the break Targets: >> TP1: 3225 << >> Final TP: 3200 << A clean break below 3270 indicates bearish momentum and could signal continuation to the downside, aligning with the previous low structure. ✅ Notes: Enter only after a 1H candle closes below 3270. Watch for a possible retest of 3270 as resistance before the drop. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup) : Trigger: Price holds above 3270 and forms a higher low. : Pattern Forecasted: A retracement followed by an impulse wave upward. : Targets: >> TP1: 3350 >> Final TP: 3400 Rationale: If support holds at 3270, a reversal pattern is expected, targeting the previous resistance areas. ✅ Notes: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, hammer) near 3270. Avoid chasing if the price shoots up without a clean pullback.
TVC:GOLD
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
XAUUSD GOLD Suggestion Bearish TrendGold (XAUUSD) is showing bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart. The recent 1% drop was triggered by President Trump's announcement of a U.K. trade deal, which sparked optimism for more trade agreements. we waiting for a solid breakout confirmation to the downside, suggesting a sell-side bias. Resistance level to watch 3335/ 40 Support Levels 3300 / 3270 Keep eye these factors lets we could see how the price will Plays out. Would you like me to check the latest chart and technical Setup keep Support pour work Thanks investors.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our buy entry at 3150.51, a pullback support. Our take profit will be at 3212.38, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 3085.81, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
XAU/USD Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target 3350Trend Overview 📉 Downtrend in Play Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354 Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86) Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum. Key Zones & Levels 🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance) 📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41 Strong selling pressure expected here Possible short entry if price gets rejected 🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support) 📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210 Price has previously bounced here 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit) 📍 $3,050 Clear support level – used as a profit target Trade Setup – Bearish Bias 🟩 Entry Point 📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone) 🛑 Stop Loss ❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line) ✅ Take Profit 💰 Target $3,050 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades. Summary 🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone 💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers 📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Jameshead007
5/16 Gold Trading Signals 🌇Good afternoon, everyone! Gold made a strong one-way rally from 3120 to above 3200 yesterday, perfectly achieving our bullish target with substantial profits. Today, after a slight uptick at the open, gold started to pull back and enter a consolidation phase. Technically, this is a normal correction after a $120 surge. However, the key question now is: 🔍 Is this just a healthy pullback, or a bearish continuation pattern? There’s some uncertainty in the current structure: On the larger scale, the market still appears to be forming a double top. On the shorter-term, this week’s pattern resembles a head and shoulders bottom, and price is now testing the neckline zone. 🧭 So, while the direction remains unclear, we can still identify key trading zones to act on. 🗞 News Watch: Several important U.S. data releases are scheduled during the New York session. They may provide crucial directional signals for gold. 📌 Today’s Gold Trading Strategy: 🟢 Buy Zone: 3176 – 3148 🔴 Sell Zone: 3265 – 3287 🔄 Flexible Trading Zones (watch for reversals or breakout plays): ▫️3187-3198-3209-3237-3258-3267 ✅ Reminder: With the structure being complex and direction unclear, avoid aggressive positioning. Focus on scalp or short-term trades near key zones and react to market post-data.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
HelenP. I Gold can break resistance level and continue move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. At the moment, price is forming a tightening triangle structure, and the market appears to be respecting both the horizontal support levels and the rising trend line that frames the lower boundary of this pattern. After bouncing strongly from the support zone around 2970 - 2940 points, the price rebounded right off the trend line, confirming it once again as a key structural level. Recently, XAU approached the resistance zone between 3205 and 3230, which has acted as a cap for the price several times before. But this time, the move into resistance comes from a place of strength. Momentum is building steadily after each pullback, and buyers have consistently stepped in near the ascending support. Given the context sustained higher lows, compression within a triangle, and a base forming just under resistance, there’s a strong chance the price could push through the 3205 level on a renewed attempt. A clean breakout above this resistance, followed by a retest, would offer strong confirmation that bulls are ready to extend the move. That’s why I’ve set my current goal at 3320 points, which almost aligns with the upper range of the triangle projection. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 3209.1 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 3224.3 My Stop Loss - 3201.4 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold on a downtrendTechnical analysis: Double rejection on #3,257.80 - #3,265.80 former Medium-term Support belt (now turned in Short-term Resistance) has proved to be the upside barrier for Gold and the Bear cycle of #Q2 now continues. Daily chart should Technically deliver #3,211.80 Support test, as the Descending Channel has aggressively invalidated almost all Lower levels. The expected #3,227.80 contact point test came earlier so the Price-action should now either move straight to #3,200.80 benchmark or gradually rise once again within Neutral Rectangle before declining again. Regardless of the outcome, as I mentioned on my remarks regarding the Short-term where Descending Channel is very strong and decisive to engage multi-Week Bearish cycle on Gold ahead (which is already taking part). My position: If you took my #3,252.80 reversal signal you should already close your order within #3,222.80 - #3,227.80. Gold would be significantly Lower if there is no parallel Buying pressure from DX taking strong hits.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
GOLD SUFFERED LOSSES IN THE WAKE OF U.S AND CHINA TRADE TALKThe United States and China reached a significant trade agreement on May 12, 2025, following high-level negotiations in Geneva. The agreement establishes a 90-day truce in the ongoing trade dispute, during which both countries have committed to significantly lowering tariffs on each other’s goods. The U.S. reduced its tariff from 145% to 30%, while China cut its rate from 125% to 10%. This move boosted investor confidence, triggering a broad risk-on rally across global markets. As at the time of writing, gold as a safe haven suffered the most in the wake of this decision, down by 3.46%, while WTI and S&P 500 gained 4.02% and 3.95% respectively. From a technical perspective, gold maintains a bearish outlook, characterized by a series of impulsive declines followed by corrective pullbacks to the downside. Meanwhile, prices are seen supported around $3200 demand zone. Technically, a potential pullback would target around $3271 to $3291 and a breakout of $3300 would open the floor for a possible reversal of trend on the 2H. Whereas a break blow $3200 would likely usher in $3135 as per analysts. Meanwhile, breakout of these levels is not ruled out. UPCOMING CATALYST On the radar this week, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data is set for release on Tuesday, May 13 at 4:30 PM GMT+4. On Thursday at 4:30 PM GMT+4, markets will watch for Core PPI, Retail Sales Index, PPI, and Weekly Unemployment Claims. Then at 4:40 PM, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver opening remarks at the Second Thomas Laubach Research Conference in Washington, D.C. Consumer sentiment data is scheduled for release on Friday. These data points and event have the potential to stir market volatility. Hence presenting potential risk and reward opportunities.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI