Gold Reversal Potential from Falling Wedge + Demand Zone
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal on the 15-minute chart. After forming a falling wedge pattern and reaching a key demand zone around 3120, price action suggests a possible bounce.
Falling wedge breakout observed with increasing volume
Strong rejection from the 3120 support zone
Risk-to-reward setup aligned with bullish momentum
Watch for continuation if price holds above the minor trendline
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD Sell Setup Alert – High-Probability Trade Sell GOLD @ 3256
🎯 Targets:
TP 1 → 3248
TP 2 → 3240
TP 3 → 3220
🛑 Stop Loss: 3267
⚠️ Enter slowly in layers with proper risk and money management.
This setup is based on technical levels – stay disciplined and trade smart.
📊 Follow for more premium setups on Crypto & Forex.
#GoldSignal #ForexTrading #XAUUSD #SellSetup #ForexSignals #RiskManagement #SmartTrading
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 14 Wednesday🧠 XAUUSD – Market Outlook & Tactical Watchlist (May 14)
GoldMindsFX Chart Update
📉 Bias:
Still bearish on H1–H4. Price structure remains heavy, with compression beneath resistance and weak bullish rejections off demand.
Momentum is stuck between hopeful dips and unforgiving supply.
🧭 Macro Context:
CPI data yesterday gave the market a good shake, but instead of confirming a breakout, Gold has slumped back into a sideways liquidity trap. Every little spike gets slapped down.
Translation? We’re in "mess around and find out" territory.
No clean direction until one of the extremes gets swept with volume and confirmation.
🔎 Zones to Watch – Tactical Map (Wide Ranges Only)
📌 3247–3265
➡️ This is a key compression zone. It was tested overnight and rejected. If price returns here and stalls, watch for signs of absorption. If it rips through → next target is higher (but we don’t chase).
📌 3280–3295
➡️ Untested shelf above CPI drop. Premium supply area that might magnet price — but only if we break clean above 3265.
📌 3205–3180
➡️ Broader demand basin. Price is bouncing here but without real commitment. Still valid for reactive watch — but bulls have no real control.
📌 Below 3174
➡️ The vault. This is the final flush zone. If Gold loses all composure and dives, this is where serious interest may return. No front-running.
⚠️ Notes on Structure:
Price is stuck inside a liquidity funnel between 3235 and 3220.
Rejection wicks = traps. Don’t engage unless structure shifts.
No BOS = No boss. We don’t serve chop.
📸 Summary for the Chart Watchers:
We are inside mid-support territory, but nothing is confirmed yet.
Bulls need to break above 3247 and hold it.
Bears want to crack below 3200 with aggression.
Until then, this is a staring contest between imbalance and indecision.
🧠 Final Note
The zone is never the trade.
The behavior inside is.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
The focus of gold today is 3200!News:
The US economic data in April was weak across the board, with the producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output falling by 0.4%, which severely hit the market's confidence in the US economy. Affected by this, the US bond market fluctuated violently, with the 10-year US bond yield plummeting by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield plummeting by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index fell by 0.2%, and the real interest rate fell. At the same time, geopolitical risks continue to heat up. The Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a deadlock, Putin refused to meet with Zelensky, and the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations have not progressed smoothly. Against this background, the safe-haven attribute of gold has been highlighted, and market attention has increased significantly. Looking ahead to this trading day, a number of important US economic data will be released soon, and the progress of the Russia-Ukraine talks and Trump's dynamics are also attracting much attention. These factors will continue to affect market trends.
Technical aspect: From the perspective of the daily line, gold can no longer be regarded as a unilateral decline after yesterday's bottoming out and rebounding. It should be directly followed by the idea of oscillation! The primary focus today is still the position of the dividing line of 3200.
Trading idea: Go long if it doesn’t break around 3200, sl3190, target 3230
XAU/USD:the extreme market conditions will continue.There was significant progress in the Sino-US negotiations over the weekend, and it was announced that a Sino-US "joint statement" would be released today. The news led to a gap-down opening of gold by $51 in the early trading, and after the gap-down, it is currently fluctuating weakly below $3290.
From a fundamental perspective, geopolitical events such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the Middle East situation have limited boosting effects on the gold price. The market's attention is focused on the Sino-US tariff issue. The significant breakthrough in the Sino-US tariff negotiations is bearish for gold, and the gap-down opening of the gold price in the early trading has fully reflected this news. With the alleviation of the tariff dilemma, the market has shifted to a volatile pattern dominated by bears. However, the tariff negotiations are complex, and the subsequent games will continue. Moreover, the disturbances in the geopolitical situation will still support the gold price from time to time. It is expected that the gold price will maintain a wide range of fluctuations.
Focus on:
resistance levels: 3345-3315-3295
support levels: 3260-3220-3180
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold Will be Bullish from a Historic Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
The market is full of crises next week!📌Fundamentals:
This weekend, China and the United States held two days of negotiations as scheduled. It seems that there are many topics to discuss and the scope is wide, but they are still trying to reach a consensus. Otherwise, there is no need to spend two days of intensive talks. Some people think that after so long, there is no conclusion, which is bad news. I think the opposite. At this time, no bad news means good news. Based on the current "marathon" negotiation time, we need to be vigilant about the expected difference in the results of this round of negotiations. The second is the India-Pakistan conflict. After the talks led by the United States, India and Pakistan have agreed to a comprehensive and immediate ceasefire. Judging from this line alone, there will definitely be no risk of risk aversion rising when the market opens on Monday. The only thing is that the results of this round of negotiations between China and the United States are quite important, and there will definitely be results before the opening of Monday.
📊Technological aspects:
Even if the current round of China-US negotiations achieves an optimistic result, gold cannot fall below 3300. If it falls below 3300 and hits the low point below 3275 again, then the next step for gold is very likely to touch the high point of 3160-50 where the trade war started. On the contrary, if gold can hold 3300, then it is very likely to move like the previous wave, break the range, stand above 3360-70, then gold will continue to return to above 3400. Therefore, the most critical position for the opening of next week is the support position of 3300 below and the suppression position of 3360-70 above. If it breaks, the trend will almost move in that direction.
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔
1. Newswise 📰
Tariffwar:
Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions.
Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates:
President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉
The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐
In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️
War in Ukraine remains tense:
Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨
Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥
India–Pakistan Conflict:
Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍
2. Technicalwise 📊
1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern
15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern
That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫
Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes:
- 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️
- 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️
- 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️
- 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️
- 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️
- 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️
Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐
5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”)
→ These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️
1d (55 – “Up”)
→ On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈
Overall Meaning 🧠
This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄
Possible Strategy Consideration 💡
If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊
My Bias 🤔
Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉
If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Fed policy expectations reverse gold's fateThe gold market is relatively strong, but the MACD red column is shrinking, and there may be a short-term correction. In terms of operation, you can go long if you hold the 10-day moving average of 3220. In summary, it is recommended to go long on the short-term correction of gold today, pay attention to the resistance of 3260-3280 on the top, and the support of 3200-3190 on the bottom.
Gold is recommended to go long in the 3200-3195 area, stop loss at 3187, target at 3220-3240
Gold - This week drop to 3167! (best level to buy)Gold recently dropped from 3500 to 3201, which is a pretty significant correction, but I think we are going to go lower. There is a lot of liquidity below the previous triangle and untested major swing high from 2nd April. In general, triangles act like a magnet for whales. When you see a triangle on the chart, you can be almost sure that the price will go back and take liquidity below it. Or at least retest the POC level of a triangle if the trend is very strong.
The 0.618 FIB is the strongest FIB. Then we have the 0.382 and 0.5. If the price is near the 0.618 FIB, there is a very high chance that we are going to hit this level sooner or later. Gold is near this strong fib level + we have to retest the previous swing high.
Right now I am pretty bearish on gold, and I think this week we are going to lower and test 3167. But I am very curious - what do you think about gold, and what is your ultimate bottom to buy it? Tell me in the comment section. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
XAUUSD H1 SNIPER PLAN – Precision in Play, No Guess Zones XAUUSD H1 SNIPER PLAN – “Precision in Play, No Guess Zones 🎯”
Market Context:
• H1 structure shows recent bullish correction inside a bearish range
• Price bounced cleanly from 3160–3172 demand
• Currently retracing into unmitigated H1 supply zones
• Still inside bearish CHoCH + LL structure
🎯 SNIPER ZONES (H1 BASED)
Type Zone Price Range Notes
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 1 3365–3375 H4 supply + prior imbalance rejection
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 2 3315–3325 Clean inefficiency + internal LH
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 3 3240–3255 Unmitigated OB + lower timeframe FVG
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 1 | 3160–3172 | Confirmed demand + internal liquidity sweep |
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 2 | 3090–3110 | Final CHoCH base — macro must-hold demand |
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 3 | 3050–3072 | FVG fill area + extended wick rebalancing |
🔎 PLAN FLOW:
Reject from 3240–3255? Scalp short down to 3172
Flip above 3260? Expect acceleration into 3315–3375
Break below 3090? Opens deeper sweep into 3050+
Bullish confirmation only above 3260 CHoCH on H1
📌 Stay patient. Precision wins.
💬 Drop your zone of interest in the comments!
🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for real-time sniper updates.
XAUUSD- Signal to go down - 24/04/2025- With any macro economy problem, Gold & BTC are always the key asset to to shelter cash flow.
- From Gold H1 chart, It showed strong selling pressure recently. A short plan is reasonable with Gold. Of course, any plan can be wrong, but as a trader & value investor, we have to have the plans to deal with it and prepare to buy more good stocks, assets
- Explain the chart as - NCI system:
1. Strong momentum comes to down key level of H1
2. Big money comes in, Key level has not broken yet. But high probability Gold will go down.
3. Zone & Trend are shown on chart. Please refer on it for more detail
This analyzation is my personal view as a trader - investor, it's not a recommended deal.
Gold continues to fall seize the opportunity to enter the market
📌 Driving factors
China-US container shipping routes rose sharply - factories rushed to produce overnight, taking advantage of the tariff cooling-off period, those who should stock up are working overtime to complete the tasks. This is the situation seen on the first day after the tariff reduction, indicating the complementarity between China-US trade.
The long-awaited US-Japan and European and American tariffs have not yet ushered in substantial benefits, but Europe said that this is an unfair negotiation and has not been concluded yet.
Trump went to the Middle East and signed a 100 billion weapons order, stabilizing the Middle East before Europe.
📊Comment analysis
The Asian session fell in the morning, pay attention to a few points:
1. The upper watershed opened at 3193 in the morning, the short watershed.
2. Directly break the 3168 long watershed, the next support is at 3145, 3130.
3. For now, the Asian session will continue to fall in a cycle, the European session will pull back after breaking the bottom, and the US session will continue to retreat.
💰Strategy Package
For short-term operations, short selling can be done near 3166, stop loss 3169, target 3140, 3135.
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the sea of blood and corpses.
Gold Bounces from Demand Zone! Is a Rally to $3,414 Next?Demand Zone: Price bounced from a visible high-volume area (LuxAlgo Supply and Demand Range) marked in orange, indicating institutional buying interest.
Support Level: Holding above $3,223.028, the last significant swing low.
Bullish Targets:
First target: $3,321 – a key mid-range structure.
Second target: $3,414 – upper supply zone where price has reversed previously.
Volume Profile: Notice the thin volume between $3,230–$3,320, meaning less resistance for bulls in the short term.
Candle Behavior: Strong wick rejection signals buyer aggression at support.
Catalysts to Watch:
Upcoming US CPI and PPI data this week.
Dollar Index (DXY) rally – if it cools off, gold could surge.
Geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging may also drive demand.
Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: Current bounce or wait for break of $3,235
SL: Below $3,218 (invalidates demand zone)
TP1: $3,321
TP2: $3,414
Conclusion:
Gold might be setting up for a clean bullish move. Reclaiming $3,321 would be a key confirmation. Will bulls step in strong this week?
Let’s hear your thoughts in the comments! Are you buying this dip or waiting for confirmation?
Long Gold. Trend’s Alive. Stop’s in Place. Let’s Go!I'm buying gold at the current level.
We're trading within an uptrend, and the trend hasn't been broken.
This looks like a local correction that's likely to end around this level.
Stop-loss is set below yesterday's candle low — that's 1.5%.
I believe the chances of further growth are high.
And for everything else, there's a stop-loss!
Markets turn their attention to US CPISafe-haven OANDA:XAUUSD fell nearly 3% on Monday (May 12) and continued to decline slightly in early trading on Tuesday (May 13), mainly due to the easing of market risk sentiment after the United States and China announced a temporary “ceasefire” in their trade war.
According to a joint statement released by the United States and China on Monday, the United States will reduce the tariffs imposed on Chinese goods in April this year from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce the tariffs imposed on American goods from 125% to 10%. The new measures will take effect in 90 days.
Gold prices fell more than 3% on Monday as risk sentiment improved after the US and China agreed to roll back tariffs for 90 days during talks over the weekend. This sent the US dollar soaring to its highest level in more than a month and global stocks rebounding strongly after the US and China reached an interim tariff deal. Meanwhile, gold sold off sharply as market sentiment began to shift back to risk assets, making the yellow metal less attractive.
China and the United States announced in Geneva, Switzerland, that they have reached an important economic and trade agreement. Both sides will also further reduce tariffs on each other's goods, with the total reduction exceeding 100%. The breakthrough marks a major turning point in the years-long tariff war between China and the United States. After implementing the measures, the two sides will establish a mechanism to continue negotiations on economic and trade relations, Xinhua News Agency reported.
Investors' attention turns to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due out on Tuesday for a gauge of the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Other key US data this week include the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales. Economists expect the US CPI to have risen by 2.4% year-on-year in April. Excluding volatile items, the core CPI growth rate is expected to have been unchanged at 2.8% year-on-year.
While the underlying market is under pressure from positive factors from trade to geopolitics, we (individual investors in the short term) still need to pay special attention to the erratic behavior of Do Nam Trung. A status line that brings tariff risks will push gold to increase strongly again.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, a drop below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bullish signal for further downside with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is where the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level is located.
In terms of momentum, gold is showing bearish signals as the RSI falls below 50 and the next target is the overbought zone, with the current RSI position, gold still has a lot of room to fall.
The most important condition for gold to be able to be assessed to increase in price again is that it needs to bring the price activity above the base price of 3,300 USD, then the target could be 3,371 USD. Otherwise, with the current market position and context, the short-term downtrend is dominant.
During the day, the possibility of a decline in gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,228 - 3,200 - 3,163 USD
Resistance: 3,245 - 3,267 - 3,292 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3281⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3287
→Take Profit 1 3275
↨
→Take Profit 2 3369
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3220 - 3222⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3216
→Take Profit 1 3228
↨
→Take Profit 2 3234
XAUUSD 12/5/25Following our change in bias last week on gold, we continued to follow the bearish narrative into new lows after taking out the highs we identified at the beginning of the week. Now, we're looking for a similar setup — a potential pullback into those previous highs to give us the shift downward we’re anticipating.
That said, I believe gold may have more potential to move directly into our target zones without a significant pullback. Still, we keep that scenario on the table, as it's part of the trading plans we build from these key levels.
Of course, we don’t expect price action to simply go bullish and hand us perfect shorting opportunities. But we do believe that if price pulls back into certain areas, it could continue to deliver the downside movement we’re expecting.
Remember, we’re following a rule set. We’re sticking to our risk parameters and allowing the system to guide us. We’re not trading just because price moved down — we had a clear understanding of what we wanted to see, and price continues to respect that structure.
Stick to your plan, follow your risk, and let Orion lead the way.
Orion is bearish, and so are we.
Trade safe. Stick to your plan. Always follow Orion.