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GOLD trade ideas

Gold is coiling for a breakout... All eyes on the next move!📉 Gold is currently moving within a minor descending channel. In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out the potential for a drop. Now, after a period of range-bound movement, I expect a breakout from this channel and a return to the main trend. 🎯 The first target on a reversal would be the top of the minor channel. Keep a close eye on price action here — this zone could be key for the next move OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shakori_erfan
1
Lingrid | GOLD Retracement Entry Opportunity from Support ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is attempting to stabilize after breaking below the consolidation zone and forming a new lower low near the 3,313 support. Price action hints at a bullish rebound setup, potentially targeting the 3,375 resistance aligned with the descending red trendline. The structure may shift if price forms a higher low and retests broken support as a springboard. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 3,313 – 3,320 Sell trigger: break below 3,313 Target: 3,375 Buy trigger: higher low and breakout above minor resistance 💡 Risks Failure to reclaim 3,313 could trigger another sell-off Resistance trendline near 3,375 remains a rejection risk Lack of volume confirmation may weaken bullish scenario If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
26
Market next target 🟥 Disrupted (Bearish or Cautious) Analysis: 1. Failed Bullish Attempt Risk While a bounce from the support zone (~3,260 USD) is visible, the momentum lacks strong bullish confirmation. The rejection from the support area could be a dead-cat bounce, especially since the overall trend leading into this zone was sharply downward. 2. Volume Divergence The volume spike on the large red candle suggests heavy selling pressure, not accumulation. The weak follow-up volume on the minor green recovery bars indicates a lack of buyer confidence. 3. False Breakout Possibility If price does push toward the “Target” or even the “Resistance” zone (3,290–3,310), it might be a bull trap, luring late buyers in before a reversal back downward. 4. Bearish Continuation Scenario Price may retest the support zone (3,260) again. If this support breaks decisively, it could trigger a strong sell-off, with potential to test lower zones around 3,240 or even 3,200.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Catching the Perfect Rebound on XAUUSD!Hi traders! , Currently analyzing GOLD (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe. Price has dropped aggressively but is now reacting strongly from a key support zone around 3,271.00, where buyers are stepping in. This area has previously shown significant bullish reactions. I'm now buying from 3,271.00, expecting a bullish correction towards my target. Take Profit: 3,377.00 Stop Loss: 3,165.00 RSI is in oversold, indicating potential exhaustion of sellers. Price may have created a fake breakout below the trendline, trapping liquidity before bouncing back. Currently managing the trade, watching how price develops around this key area. Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXOnTop
Revealed: Beware of a strong counterattack from gold bears!Perhaps due to the impact of the NFP market later, gold fluctuated relatively cautiously today, and neither the long nor the short side showed signs of breakthrough, and the overall trend remained volatile. However, as gold rebounded, the market bullish sentiment gradually tended to be optimistic. In the short term, the lower support area was relatively obvious, that is, the second pull-up point 3335-3325 area, followed by 3315-3305 area; However, as gold rebounded twice and fell after touching 3365, the suppression above was also obvious. In the short term, it faced the suppression of 3375-3385 resistance. If gold cannot effectively break through this area, gold bears may make a stronger counterattack, so I don’t think gold bears have no chance at all. Therefore, I think there is still a good profit opportunity to try to touch the top and short gold. You can consider trying to short gold in the 3365-3375-3385 ​​area and look at the target: 3340-3330-3320.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
GOLD Core PCE Price Index (month-over-month): rose by 0.2%, above the forecast of 0.1% and the previous 0.1% reading. This indicates a slight acceleration in the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, with the annual core PCE inflation rising to about 2.7% year-over-year, above expectations of 2.6%. Personal Income (month-over-month): declined by 0.4%, worse than the forecasted 0.3% increase and down from the previous 0.8% rise. This drop suggests a weakening in household income growth. Market and Policy Implications: The uptick in core PCE inflation signals that underlying price pressures remain somewhat persistent, complicating the Fed’s path toward its 2% inflation target. The decline in personal income could weigh on consumer spending going forward, potentially slowing economic growth. The US Dollar Index reacted by edging lower, reflecting market caution amid mixed inflation and income data. Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have emphasized a cautious approach, suggesting no immediate rate cuts until inflation dynamics become clearer. Summary: Core inflation is ticking up slightly, reinforcing inflation concerns, while personal income weakness points to potential softening in consumer demand. This mixed data supports a Fed stance of patience, with markets pricing in a moderate chance of rate cuts later in 2025 but expecting continued vigilance.. China Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need. #GOLD
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Failed Breakout Sets the Stage for Bullish Continuation"Boost it, if you like it (Thanks)" Gold is showing resilience after a failed breakout attempt, bouncing strongly off the 3,250 support zone. This 4H chart suggests bulls are regaining control, with momentum building toward the next key resistance. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Failed Breakout (Failed MTR Structure): Price briefly dipped below the trendline but reversed sharply, invalidating the bearish move. Dynamic Support: The ascending trendline near 3,250 has held firm, reinforcing bullish structure. EMA Structure: 15 EMA: 3,323.84 60 EMA: 3,331.61 Price is now trading above both EMAs, signaling bullish momentum. Current Price: 3,339.0 Target: 3,434.34 – the first major resistance zone before ATH retest. 🧠 Market Psychology: This setup reflects a classic “shakeout” – weak hands were flushed out below support, only for price to reclaim the level with strength. This often precedes a strong directional move as confidence returns. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry: On a confirmed break above 3,345–3,350 Stop Loss: Below 3,325 TP1: 3365 TP2: 3385 Final TP(x): 3,434.34 ⚠️ Watchlist: Monitor price action near 3,360–3,370 for signs of rejection or continuation. A clean break above 3,434 opens the door for an ATH retest. #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FailedBreakout #SupportAndResistance #EMA #BullishSetup #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GoldBulls #MarketPsychology
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
1
Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day?📘 EDUCATIONAL POST: Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day? Let’s Break It Down Alright, traders—before you start thinking the sky is falling, let’s look this chart straight in the face and get real. ⸻ 🔍 The Setup Right Now Here’s what’s showing up: ✅ A bullish pennant forming up top (potential continuation higher). ✅ A big head and shoulders pattern in the middle (bearish). ✅ VWAP bands ranging from ~3,257 to ~3,392. ✅ Volume is underwhelming—426k vs 582k average. ✅ A big target line all the way down near 3,000. This mix of signals can be confusing. Let’s separate the hype from what’s actually possible. ⸻ 🎯 Q: Can the market collapse to 3,000 tomorrow? Short Answer: No. Here’s Why: 1️⃣ Move Size: • Current price is ~3,357. • Target is ~3,000. • That’s a -357 point drop (~10.6%) in one session. • For gold CFDs, this would be an extreme event only seen in major crises (think 2008 or March 2020). 2️⃣ Volume Context: • Today’s volume is below average. • Big crashes are usually preceded by heavy distribution—this isn’t showing yet. 3️⃣ VWAP Anchors: • The lower VWAP band sits at 3,257. • Reaching 3,000 would require breaking through 3,257 support, 3,100, and months of prior buying interest. 4️⃣ Market Environment: • It’s the July 4th holiday in the U.S.—liquidity is thin. • Thin markets can gap lower but rarely hold a massive drop without a big catalyst (e.g., credit crisis, war headlines). 5️⃣ Pattern Confirmation: • Yes, the head and shoulders pattern is visible. • But to confirm it, you need: 🔹 A clear break of the neckline with double average volume. 🔹 Follow-through that pushes below 3,257. • None of this has happened yet. ⸻ ✅ What’s Realistically Possible Tomorrow? If sellers show up, here’s what a big bearish day might look like: 1️⃣ First Move: • Rejection at 3,357–3,392 resistance. • Pullback toward ~3,324 (mid VWAP). 2️⃣ Continuation: • Drop down to ~3,257 (VWAP lower band). 3️⃣ Extreme Scenario: • Retest of 3,200–3,150 zone. But a flush all the way to 3,000? 👉 Highly unlikely unless there’s a major global shock. ⸻ 💡 Trading Tip: Stay Tactical If you want to position short: ✅ Wait for rejection at 3,357–3,392. ✅ Short targeting 3,324 first. ✅ Scale profits there. ✅ Only hold runners for 3,200–3,150 if momentum accelerates. ⸻ 🔑 Key Takeaway 3,000 is a structural target—this means it’s a price objective that might play out over weeks, not hours. Trying to catch that in one day is chasing a black swan. Stay patient. Trade levels, not headlines. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading. ⸻ ✅ If you found this helpful, share it with someone who panics every time a red candle shows up.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen # Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad 🔸 **Instrument:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min 🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure 🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup --- ## 🔍 Market Context: - **Structure:** Bullish on LTF (MSU) - **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean & Efficient Delivery - **Recent Activity:** Reverse H&S completed + double BOS + CHoCH confirmed - **Price Level:** Trading near key Supply zone (3300–3315) - **Monthly Context:** July begins with bullish momentum & previous session showed aggressive buy-side pressure --- ## 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone) 2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed 3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315** 4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet 5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB --- ## 📌 Trade Plan: | Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) | |----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------| | Long | Above 3,303–3,310 (structure hold) | Below 3,294 | TP1: 3,325 / TP2: 3,340 / TP3: 3,348 | | Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 | --- ## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch: - 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview) - 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk - 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses --- ## ✅ Summary: > **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum. > The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**. > Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting. **Structure:** 🟢 Bullish **Trend:** 📈 MSU **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean **Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL --- 📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
Gold Trade Plan 27/06/2025Dear Traders, 📉 XAUUSD Technical Analysis – June 27, 2025 On the 4-hour chart, Gold has faced selling pressure after testing the resistance at 3359, and is now correcting down toward the key support zone at 3250–3280. 📌 Key Support Zone: 3250 – 3280 📌 Major Resistance: 3359 🔹 The price is currently testing the lower edge of this support zone. If we see bullish reversal candles (such as a hammer or bullish engulfing) in this area, we may expect a bounce back toward the rising trendline or even a retest of the 3359 level. 🔻 However, if the 3250 support fails to hold, a deeper drop toward 3200 or lower could follow. 🛑 The U.S.–China agreement news could have a direct impact on gold’s corrective trend. Caution is advised when entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
XAU/USD Struggles Below 3352, Bearish Pressure Remains ActiveXAU/USD Below Pivot, Watching 3352 for Bullish Confirmation Gold prices edged up today as investors shifted their focus to the U.S. fiscal situation and lingering uncertainty ahead of the July 9 deadline when U.S. tariffs are set to take effect. But at the same time, we have strong resistance on the way. The price continues to move below the pivot level and the 3352 resistance, which together form a strong supply zone. A confirmed breakout above 3352 on the 4H candle is needed to validate a bullish move toward 3365. However, the possibility of a renewed decline remains unless the price also breaks above 3365, which would confirm a continuation of the upward trend. The bearish trend remains active as long as the price trades below the pivot at 3348 and the 3352 level. Sustained trading below this zone would likely lead to a decline toward 3320 and 3313. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3352 - 3365 - 3400. Support Levels: 3320 - 3313 - 3218. Pivot Line: 3348
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
7.1 London gold rebounds and rises, gold market trend analysis aGold rose to 3295 in the Asian session on Monday and was blocked. It fell in the European session as we expected, but the decline was not strong. After the lowest price of 3274.57, it rose again in the US session and stood firmly at the 3300 mark. The monthly line closed with a cross Yang K. The gold price continued to rise at the opening today. After the market on Monday, the 3247 below can be used as a reference for the bottom rebound position. Now the short-term trend belongs to the bulls, so we will continue this trend today and look at the upward trend first, wait for the European session to see the strength of the decline and then formulate the idea of ​​the US session. From the market point of view, after the gold price stood above the 3300 mark again, it is used as a short-term support level reference for the bulls. The Asian session can rely on this position to arrange long orders to see the continuation of the upward trend; the initial pressure on the upper side focuses on the 3328 position, followed by 3345. Now that the idea is established, the idea for intraday operations is: wait for the gold price to pull back to around 3308 in the Asian session and then go long and bullish, protect the 3300 mark, and target around 3328; if there is pressure at 3328 in the European session, you can arrange short positions with a downward trend, wait for the US session, and then decide whether to go long again based on the pullback position and target around 3345.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
Watching Gold Tap Liquidity Before the Next DropGold is still clearly in a bearish structure on the 1 hour chart. We’ve seen a solid break of structure to the downside and price is now retracing. What stands out is how price is pushing back up into multiple areas of interest. There’s liquidity resting just above this minor high along with a fair value gap and the underside of a bearish trendline. This cluster makes it a likely spot for sellers to step back in. If price fills the imbalance around that FVG, it could set up the next leg lower. I’ll be watching closely for signs of rejection in this zone to see if the market is ready to continue the move down. No reason to rush in early. Let price come to the levels that matter and confirm with a reaction. Staying patient pays.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by J4mesWick
XAUUSD – Smart Money Flow & Weekly OutlookGold reacted precisely at the key OB zone near 3270. Following a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the H4, Smart Money may be redistributing positions. 🔍 Main scenario: Price is expected to retrace to the 3349–3360 OB zone, where strong sell-side reactions may occur. If that fails, the next likely move is a drop toward the high-liquidity demand zone at 3215, where buyers could re-enter. 📰 Key macro drivers: Final GDP and PCE data show slight economic cooling in the US, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will maintain higher-for-longer rates. Trump’s recent comments stir political uncertainty, increasing safe-haven demand for gold. 🎯 Strategy: Look for confirmed short setups near 3349–3360. Consider longs at 3215 if strong bullish reaction forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
1