GOLD trade ideas
Fibonacci Secrets for Traders!
🔵 38.2% - Low Probability:
Not much happens here. Ignore this level.
🟠 61.8% - Good Probability:
A common level where price reacts. Watch for reversals.
🟢 78.6%-88.6% - Very Good Probability:
The “Sweet Spot” or Sell Zone – high chance of price reversing.
🟡 Manipulation:
Price might fake out around 61.8% before hitting the Sell Zone.
💡 Focus on the 78.6%-88.6% levels for the best trades, but always confirm with other tools.
Stay sharp and trade smart! 📈
#Educational
GoldHere's an analysis based on the information presented in the image:
Overall Market Structure (from a quick glance):
Recent Price Action: The price has recently experienced a significant decline, followed by a bounce.
Order Block (OB): There's a clearly marked "4 Hours OB" (Order Block) which is a key area of interest for potential resistance.
Potential Trading Setup:
Entry: The "Entry" price is set at 3,340.00. This entry point is within the bearish order block, suggesting a short (sell) position.
Stop Loss (S/L): The "S/L" is placed at 3,352.00. This is above the high of the 4-hour order block, aiming to limit losses if the price moves against the short position and breaks above the resistance.
Take Profit (Profit): The "Profit" target is set at 3,296.00. This target is significantly lower than the entry, aiming to capture a downward movement.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Risk: The difference between the entry (3,340.00) and the stop loss (3,352.00) is 12 points.
Reward: The difference between the entry (3,340.00) and the take profit (3,296.00) is 44 points.
Ratio: This implies a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3.67 (44 / 12), which is generally considered favorable.
Key Technical Concepts Illustrated (from the inset image):
The smaller inset image on the left illustrates concepts commonly used in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or Institutional Order Flow (IOF) trading:
Order Block (OB): A price range where significant institutional buying or selling occurred, often leading to price reversals. The red box indicates a bearish order block.
Entry: The point at which a trade is entered.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) / Imbalance: An area on the chart where price moved quickly in one direction, leaving an "inefficiency" or gap that price often retests.
CHoCH (Change of Character): An early sign of a potential trend reversal, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
BOS (Break of Structure): When price breaks a significant high (for a bullish trend) or low (for a bearish trend), confirming the continuation or reversal of a trend. The multiple "BOS" labels suggest a series of lower lows, confirming a bearish trend.
BERISH DISPLACEMENT: Implies strong bearish momentum leading to lower prices.
PRLII S: This specific acronym is not universally recognized but could refer to a specific pattern or setup within the trader's methodology, possibly related to liquidity or price action.
Conclusion/Potential Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook for XAUUSD, with the trader looking to short Gold at the retest of a 4-hour bearish order block. The setup has a favorable risk-reward ratio. The concepts in the inset image provide a theoretical framework for why this particular entry and targets might be chosen, based on institutional trading principles. The current price is at 3,322.285 at 08:33:38 +04, which is below the proposed entry, suggesting this might be a setup that the trader is waiting to happen or a retrospective analysis of a potential trade idea.
XAUUSD 01.07.2025-Formation of the market:
On the background of general cooling of geopolitical situation gold continues its fall to the levels of 3250. The main preference of market participants is now given to less "conservative" assets, which is clearly reflected in the record values of cryptocurrency and stock market.
-Forecast:
In the medium term, capital outflows are likely to continue and the asset will again test the 3250 level as support.
-News Background:
There will be many "strong" news releases this week that could be a strong driver of movement for the asset:
Today:
-ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job openings.
Thursday:
Unemployment rate, and Non-Farm Payrolls.
XAUUSD Gold Weekly solid Bullish zone Gold weekly Forecast lets see how the price will plays out open and see and send your feedback about Gold.
After the breaking Price could catch there support after pull back top but last week on Friday due to the low volume price could not move Highly Gold stabilized after correction after the falling weekly from 3366 Gold price found demand again in Asia on Friday but US Budgets risk due to the holiday could increase,
Technically Price range in last week 3357 to 311 there is important level and Bullish zone,
Resistance zone 3365 / 3390
Support Levels 3325 /. 3311
it is important situation for you traders to use trade long-term hope you can find more details in the chart POs Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Major Reversal Ahead?14-Years Cycle complete in April2025Description:
Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a significant 14-year cycle with the recent peak near $3,485 in April 2025, following a similar 12-year rally pattern that previously ended in August 2011.
The price is now showing signs of exhaustion:
RSI on the monthly chart is extremely overbought (85.91), matching historical reversal levels.
Strong Fibonacci confluence at 1.0 extension ($3,485) suggests a possible cycle top.
Historical symmetry: Prior major top in 2011 came 12 years after the breakout in 1999 — this move mirrors that with a 14-year cycle.
GOLD drops sharply to 3300 and found important support areaThe recent bearish momentum on GOLD has met a good support zone and at present we started to see early signs of bullish interest returning, right after we got a beautiful rejection from the zone.
Currently I’m expecting for the price to bounce to the target near 3,390 . If this bullish push continues with strong volume and momentum, I’ll be locking in that bias and planning my entry accordingly. I could get involved right here for a more aggressive entry. It’s a bit riskier, but if the structure confirms, I’m more than happy to take the shot, as sometimes the best trades come when you trust your setup.
This is not financial advice.
International gold prices rise slowly and reach new highsAnalysis of gold trend:
Gold fell sharply near 3247 at the opening of Monday, then stopped falling and began to fluctuate and rise slowly. It rose to a high of 3297 before the European session, then fell back after being blocked. After dropping to 3274, it stabilized again and began to rise slowly. The US session continued to rise. Another key point in the market that everyone needs to pay attention to is that the US dollar index has now hit a new low, and the current price is 96.3. This wave of US dollar decline is extremely weak, and there is basically no sign of rebound. According to this trend, the US dollar index may continue to fall, and it is possible to go to 88. In the case of such a weak US dollar index, it is natural for gold to be supported by the market. Moreover, gold has not yet walked out of the bullish trend. Gold has turned from weakness in the early stage to strength. Next, it depends on the strength of the rise. This wave of rise is expected to see 3350-3400.
From a technical point of view, gold closed positive at a low level on Monday, and the K line was above the lower Bollinger track, turning from weak to strong. Under the bullish trend, the rise can be seen to be continuous, so the high points of the middle and upper Bollinger tracks can be seen above. In the 4-hour chart, the K-line stands firmly above the middle rail of Bollinger, and the moving average system diverges upward, showing a very obvious strong performance. Therefore, the basic idea this week is to continue to do more on the decline. In the short term, first look at the upper rail of Bollinger in the 4-hour chart at 3350. There are two points to pay attention to in the decline of the small cycle within the day, one is 3300, and the other is 3285 support. Although bullish, do not chase high. After the decline, make sure to stop the decline and continue to be bullish. Operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3320, stop loss at 3210, and target 3330-3340.
Maintain range fluctuations during the day?Gold has maintained a volatile pattern recently. As the US market is closed today for Independence Day, the market volatility is expected to be limited, but the volatile market will continue, but the volatility range may change. Yesterday's gold price fell mainly due to the news, and this decline usually does not last too long. From a technical point of view, gold prices are supported near 3310-3300, which is the key support level today. It is worth noting that on Wednesday, gold prices were under pressure in the 3340-3350 area, and on Thursday, prices formed support in this range, indicating that the area is forming a top-bottom conversion. Therefore, 3340-3350 has become an important pressure level today. It is expected to fluctuate in the 3300-3340/3350 range during the day. The impact of news on gold prices is usually short-term. When the fundamentals and technical directions are consistent, price fluctuations will be more obvious. When the two are inconsistent, price fluctuations will weaken, but will not change the technical trend. The rebound pattern established at the beginning of the week is still valid. After a short-term shock, gold prices are expected to re-stand above 3345 and continue to maintain the rebound trend.
XAUUSD – July 3 Live Setup | Price at M15 POIGold has been moving in line with our bullish bias over the past few sessions.
Yesterday’s break above the 3358 M15 level gave us a clean Break of Structure (BoS) — confirming short-term bullish momentum within the larger framework.
After this strong push upward, the market is now retracing.
Price is currently entering a high-probability pullback zone: 3340–3342 (M15 POI).
This is a textbook base structure setup — where we wait for price to return to a valid zone after structure shift, and only act after confirmation on the lower timeframe.
🔍 Setup in Play:
Current Bias:
• M15 Trend: Bullish
• H4 Context: Bullish (after recent HTF shift)
• Market State: Pullback phase after BoS
Key Zone in Focus:
• 3340–3342 – M15 POI (zone of interest for continuation)
We are not entering blindly .
We are waiting for confirmation on M1 — specifically:
✅ ChoCh (Change of Character)
✅ Followed by a micro BoS
Only then do we consider a long entry — and even then, risk must be managed through proper R:R and structure anchoring.
🎯 Target:
If M1 confirmation occurs, the expected short-term target is 3365 — the next clean M15 structural high.
⚠️ Risk Conditions:
If price breaks below the POI without M1 confirmation — or aggressively violates the zone — the setup is invalid.
In that case, we simply step aside and reassess.
This is process-driven execution:
No need to predict.
No need to chase.
Just observe, confirm, and execute with structure.
📖 This is how we let the chart do the work.
The process protects us.
Structure invites us.
Stillness refines us.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the markets once again. This is an update on our 4H chart idea from Sunday, also playing out perfectly.
We started with our bullish target hit at 3375 with no cross and lock confirming the rejection into completing our bearish target at 3306. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3375 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3375 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2995
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold (XAUUSD) Signals Bullish Trend ResumptionGold (XAUUSD) has exhibited a robust rally since its low on May 15, 2025. The metal formed a five-swing motive sequence that culminated in wave 1 at 3452.50 on June 16, 2025. This five-swing structure, characteristic of an impulsive Elliott Wave pattern, signals potential for further upside. The subsequent pullback in wave 2 appears to have completed at 3246.15, as illustrated in the accompanying 1-hour chart. The internal structure of wave 2 unfolded as a double-three Elliott Wave corrective pattern. Specifically, from the wave 1 peak, wave ((w)) declined to 3340.18. A corrective rally in wave ((x)) followed to 3398.35. The final leg, wave ((y)), concluded at 3246.15, marking the completion of wave 2 in the higher-degree structure.
Gold has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave 3. However, to confirm the bullish outlook and eliminate the possibility of a double correction, the price must decisively break above the wave 1 high at 3452.50. From the wave 2 low, wave (i) advanced to 3296.85. A shallow pullback in wave (ii) followed to 3274.41. Wave (iii) then propelled the metal to 3358.02. Based on the current structure, gold is expected to rally further in wave (v) to complete wave ((i)). Subsequently, a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)), likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, is anticipated from the June 30 low before the metal resumes its upward trend. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 3246.15 remains intact, gold is poised to extend higher, supported by the impulsive momentum of the ongoing wave 3.
GOLD DAILY OUTLOOK | BEAR MARKET STRUCTURE CONFIRMED 📉 Trend Reversal Underway – Prepare for Lower Levels
The daily structure on Gold (XAUUSD) confirms a shift from accumulation to distribution.
Here's what stands out:
🔻 Key Breakdown Factors:
Failure at O_FIB Rejection Zone
The price failed to sustain above the upper Fib extension and supply zone (marked in red). Multiple attempts at reclaiming this level have resulted in sharp rejections, signaling exhaustion of buyers.
Break of Mid-Range Structure
We've decisively closed below the range midpoint, with strong bearish daily candles. This confirms loss of control by bulls and opens the door for a move toward deeper retracement zones.
Support Zones Exposed
The 0.618 FIB & 100 MA area around ~3160 is now a primary target. This zone held previously, but repeated touches weaken structure.
The 1.0 FIB & 200 MA zone around ~2960 is the macro support target. If sentiment continues to deteriorate, this will be the magnet.
EMA Crosses Rolling Over
Price has decisively lost the 9/21 EMA zone. Until a daily close reclaims this zone (~3335+), bearish momentum remains valid.
📉 Bearish RSI Momentum
While not a primary signal, RSI confirms momentum divergence and bear control below the midline. No sign of reversal.
🎯 Bearish Bias Until Reclaim of 3335 Zone
📌 Next Target = 3160, then 2960
🛑 Invalidation = Daily close above 3340 with strong volume and reclaim structure
This is not a short-term pullback — it's the beginning of a deeper correction. Gold is no longer in the “safe-haven” trade. Be patient, position with structure, and let the trend do the work.
Focus will be on fading the traps on pullbacks into structure.
Gold retreats as expected, how to trade in the future📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
Our short orders have achieved profits. I closed the position near 3337, turning losses into profits. Interested friends can follow my previous post. In the short term, I am still optimistic that gold will retreat below 3335-3325. Today, gold rose sharply, and the rebound momentum was strong, while the short-term correction was slightly weak, so the space for a second decline in the short term will be limited. If it falls to the 3333-3323 range during the day and gets effective support, you can consider going long. The short-term upper resistance is 3360-3375.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3333-3323-3315
TP 3341-3355-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
"Gold sell action!"Gold has dropped to the 3330 region but has now reversed and is currently trading at 3350. The next potential move could be at 3380, followed by 3400. Our sell entry is at 3400, where we believe the price will reverse. Our long-term view is that gold will head towards 3100, but our first target will be 3200. Please use accurate risk management when trading gold, as it can cause serious financial issues if not planned properly. This analysis does not guarantee any price movement.
Gold Breakdown Confirmed — Bearish Pennant Targets UnfoldingGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline as I expected in my previous idea after the lower lines of the Ending Diagonal broke .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone ($3,349-$3,325) . And Gold seems to be crossing the 50_SMA(Daily) .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , the Bearish Pennant Pattern seems to indicate a continuation of the downtrend in Gold .
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it seems that Gold has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC) , and we can expect the next 5 downwaves .
I expect Gold to continue to decline at least to the Support zone($3,281-$3,243) and Monthly Pivot Point .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,360
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSD Hello traders. There’s currently a great opportunity for a potential short setup on the XAUUSD pair. We just need a bit of patience. For that reason, this trade will be placed as a Sell Limit.
In the coming days, I expect a moderate pullback in gold. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has reached a new all-time high, which is quite notable. If the index begins to correct from these levels, we could potentially see a strong rally in gold. Of course, this is just my personal opinion based on current market dynamics.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.20
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell Limit
✔️ Entry Price: 3294.70
✔️ Take Profit Targets: 3245.78 / 3207.00 / 3154.00
✔️ Stop Loss: 3315.36
🕒 If momentum weakens or price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll manually close it—whether in profit or loss—based on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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Possible MTR in Play (TBC)Gold has printed a textbook structure for a potential Major Trend Reversal (MTR) off the ATH zone, with a clean rejection and a shift in character. The descending trendline from the top aligns with lower highs, while the ascending base from April is now under pressure.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
3,280.0 – neckline of the potential MTR
3,250.00 – psychological magnet and structural support
3,000.00 – major downside target if the reversal confirms
🧠 “Markets top on euphoria, not logic.” If price breaks and retests the neckline with momentum, the MTR thesis gains traction. Until then — TBC.
#XAUUSD #Gold #MajorTrendReversal #MTR #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBears #ATHRejection #TrendShift #MJTrading