XAUUSDsell gold for a continuous bearish order flow
Looking a a continuous downside to 3000 till September when rate cut is more probable
GOLD trade ideas
Patience Before Pump GOLD? | Setup of the Week?Gold (XAU/USD) | Liquidity Grab + Fib Zone
Price swept liquidity and respected ascending channel support.
If bulls hold above 3,330, next target = 3,377.
📊 Is this the reversal we’ve been waiting for?
Are you long or short on gold? Let’s talk below 👇
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/18/2025I should follow through my trading plan on weekly trend. Instead of rising up, gold fell through early yesterday and rose back above 3340 in late US session.
I will trust my weekly analysis and based on the red daily candle, I expect gold continue to fall and it should break 2320 today. After that, we could see 2280 or even 2250 today.
GOLD - Wave 2 Bullish Towards $3,406 (1H UPDATE)I see a possible buy opportunity towards $3,406 on Gold, as part of its bigger Wave 2 correction, before we can consider selling again.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 2 Correction Not Complete (2 Sub-Waves So Far).
⭕️Distribution Schematic Forming.
⭕️Early Sellers ($3,377) & Buyers ($3,310) Liquidated In Past 2 Days.
Now we've seen both buyers & sellers liquidated, we can expect to see a cleaner move back towards $3,400 where there is a lot of pending liquidity.
US CPIs came out. Gold is at an interesting spot.TVC:GOLD is currently struggling with one of its key resistance barriers, at around 3365. We need a clear break above that area in order to aim for higher areas. However, we are not getting bearish yet. Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)I am not inclined towards buy's at this level blindly, because overall my bias remains bearish on Gold. Buyers closed very weak above this 'resistance turned support' zone, so we can possibly see sellers take back control.
For now I'm holding back from any new trades, but will take sell's when market structure offers an opportunity.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD is Sideways – Wave 4 in Progress (Daily Chart)Gold is currently moving sideways, reflecting a period of consolidation that appears to be Wave 4 in the Elliott Wave structure on the daily timeframe. This phase often represents a pause before the next impulsive move. Traders should stay patient and watch for clear breakout signals, as Wave 5 could bring strong momentum once the correction completes.
THE LONG SHOT 〉POTENTIAL OUTLOOKAs illustrated, I'm trying to visualize how a potential continuation impulse could look like during " Bullish July " and toward the end of the year (depending on how aggressive buyers step in; specially central banks and institutions).
As you can see on this Daily chart, price respected a long term trend line + is forming higher lows, funneling into a shorter and shorter range of accumulation.
This is a very strong bullish behavior; when price gets tighter and tighter respecting a resistance level, but making higher lows. It tends to indicate that price is accumulating and "loading" (sort of speak).
Now, analyzing gold from the fundamental aspect, one MUST align those factors with price. In other words: DOES IT MAKE SENSE TO BE BULLISH OR "THINK" PRICE COULD RISE?
Well, ask yourself and do the research on the following (but not limited to) questions:
1. How is the US dollar doing? (Since it is the world's "reserve" currency)
2. Are the interest rates in the USA favoring the economy?
3. How is the world economy as a whole doing?
- inflation in the top world powers and important economies?
4. How is international trade policy looking like for the world?
- Positive or negative? Are countries happy with each other currently, trading without any issues? (Or maybe... there's a tariff war and a trade war goin on?...)
5. Politically speaking, is the general public UNITED or POLARIZED? (politics is a key fundamental aspect for the price of gold, as it either adds to uncertainty and tensions, or it calms things down).
6. Geopolitically speaking (and most importantly); is the "conflict" (war) ending, getting better, resolving? ...
7. Where is the money going and flowing? Black rock, vanguard, and other top hedge funds; where are they investing their money? ( because central banks keep BUYING gold... )
Those are some of many many questions one must study and understand, in order to align the technical aspects of the price of the yellow metal.
If any question/factor DOES NOT POINT to bullishness in price, then the technical and price projection of any analysis starts to have weakness.
On the other hand, if the fundamental factors and questions in play INDEED POINT toward an uncertain situation, adding bullishness to the price, any analysis and bullish projection simply has those aspects to its favor.
--
GOOD LUCK!
persaxu
Treat intraday fluctuations as long first and short later!Gold started to rebound near 3322 at the opening. Our long positions near 3324 are also in floating profit. We first focus on the short-term suppression of 3340-3345 on the upper side. The support below is at 3325-3320. We operate in this range. Technically, it needs to rebound and repair the demand when it falls back to 3320, so we can find opportunities to go long to grasp the profit space of the rebound.
4-hour cycle analysis: The strong dividing line of long positions below is at the 3320 first-line mark, and the short-term support focuses on the 3325-3320 range. The overall bullish rhythm of pulling back to lows and going long is maintained. Short-term pressure focuses on around 3340-3345. The overall main tone of participating in the high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged relying on this range.
Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3325-3320, target 3335-3340, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
Uptrend at the end of the week 3367, maintain the upward force⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are on track to notch a third straight day of gains on Friday, climbing toward the upper boundary of this week’s trading range as escalating trade tensions fuel safe-haven demand. In a significant intensification of global trade disputes, US President Donald Trump issued formal notices this week to multiple trading partners, detailing individual tariff rates set to take effect on August 1 should no agreements be reached. This has rattled investor sentiment and weighed on risk assets, offering solid support to Gold.
Meanwhile, expectations for an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have cooled following last week’s strong US jobs data. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) remains firm, holding near a more than two-week high reached on Thursday. This USD strength could limit the upside for the non-yielding yellow metal in the near term. Therefore, traders may look for a sustained breakout before committing to further bullish positions in the XAU/USD pair.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price breaks 3330, maintaining good buying pressure, recovering at the end of the week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3367- 3369 SL 3374
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3325
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3308 SL $3301
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3338
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our levels being respected inline with our plans to buy dips.
We started the week with our bearish target 3330 being hit followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3306 inline with the retracement range. This was hit perfectly completing the retracement range, followed with the weighted level bounce now heading towards 3330.
We still have the market opening bullish gap left at 3358 and will need a challenge and ema5 lock above 3330 to re-confirm this again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Two lines of defense for bulls: 3340 and 3330 are the key!Gold maintains a strong pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to mainly buy on dips. The short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line at 3340 last Friday. The more critical support is locked at the 3330 line. This range is an important watershed for judging the continuation of short-term bullish momentum. As long as the daily level can remain stable above the 3330 mark, the overall trend will remain upward. Before falling below this position, we should adhere to the idea of buying low and buying low, and rely on key support levels to arrange long orders. At present, the price has completed a technical breakthrough and broke through the upper edge of the 3330 convergence triangle under the dual positive factors of Trump's tariff landing to stimulate risk aversion and the support of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, and formed three consecutive positive daily lines. It is necessary to pay attention to the short-term pressure at the 3375 line. The overall operation strategy will be combined with the real-time trend prompts during the trading session, and pay attention to the bottom in time.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We wanted that lower level 3285 to hold which it did and give the move upside following the red box target levels which have worked well for today. As you can see, we're at red box here so there is a chance we may see a retracement in to the level shown below. It's that 3306-4 level that is the flip now and will need to break to go lower.
Support 3304 with key level resistance 3320. Below 3320, we're still bearish with another attempt on the 3300 level for the break.
From Camelot this morning:
Price: 3285
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3304✅, 3306✅, 3310✅, 3320 and 3324 in extension of the move
Break below 3279 for 3254, 3246 and 3240 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold – Is $3430 the Next Target After This Breakout?Gold recently completed a clean sweep of the 4H swing lows, taking out downside liquidity just before breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. This move marked a shift in momentum and structure, suggesting that the bearish leg may have concluded and the market is now transitioning into a more bullish phase.
Breakout Confirmation and Retest Zone
Following the breakout, price retraced and tapped directly into a confluence area where a fair value gap aligns with the upper boundary of the broken channel. This acted as a high-probability retest zone, and the reaction was strong. The market respected this structure perfectly, adding conviction to the breakout's validity.
Support and Resistance Dynamics
Currently, price is hovering between a nearby support level and a short-term resistance zone above. The support is holding firm after the retest, while the resistance is capping upward momentum for now. This is a healthy consolidation following the breakout, and it provides a clear structure for monitoring continuation.
Imbalance Target and Flow Outlook
Should the market gain enough strength to break through the overhead resistance, there is a large unmitigated imbalance further above that stands as a strong magnet. It represents a clean fair value gap left behind during the previous selloff and could be the next major draw if bullish momentum continues.
Overall Flow and Trade Logic
The sequence is very clean: sweep of liquidity, bullish breakout, efficient retest, and now consolidation above support. As long as price continues to form higher lows and respect the current structure, the probability of further upside remains favorable. Patience around the resistance area will be key for confirmation.
Conclusion
Gold is displaying a textbook reversal setup driven by liquidity and structure. If the current support continues to hold and buyers reclaim control above resistance, the path toward the upper imbalance becomes highly probable. The market is aligned for continuation, with bullish momentum building gradually.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Today was another choppy day on gold with price accumulating in a small range before the break out. We had the bullish above and bearish below level so no choice but to wait for the break. Ultimately, 3320 broke on the 15min indi and then we managed to complete all of our bearish targets for the day. Well worth the wait!
Now we have support below at the 3285 level with resistance sitting at 3310 which is the level that will need to hold us down to target lower. Lower first, which would be ideal, we may get a RIP over the session to come.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3360, 3362, 3365, 3374, 3388 and 3396 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3331✅, 3324✅, 3321✅, 3310✅, 3306✅ and 3293✅ in extension of the move
Todays levels from Camelot:
Price: 3324
RED BOXES:
Break above 3336 for 3340, 3346, 3350 and 3360 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3304✅ and 3297✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD Update: Ready for a 12% Surge?Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Is XAU/USD about to explode or crash?
We’ve formed a symmetrical triangle pattern , and its breakout triggers could deliver solid profits for longs or shorts. Let’s dive into the details with the Daily timeframe to see the big picture.
✔️ Daily Timeframe: Our HWC is strongly bullish. After hitting $ 3,497.80 , we entered a secondary retracement phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. If we break resistance at $ 3,444.18 , my targets are the next ceiling at $ 3,494.50 and, long-term, $ 3,796.64 . But if we break support at $ 3,796.64 , it could signal a major trend change from uptrend to downtrend, opening shorts. Next supports are $ 3,206.32 and $ 3,019.31 —use these as your targets.
📊 Key Insight : Risk management is key to surviving financial markets. Stick to max 1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe.
📉 Market Context: Markets are predicting a major recession in the U.S. economy. If it happens, Gold will be the only safe-haven asset. So, I personally favor riding Gold’s uptrend.
This historic drop screams one thing: global markets are losing faith in U.S. monetary and fiscal policies, big time.
And that’s a loud wake-up call for investors: It’s time to bulletproof your portfolio. What’s that mean?
Your stocks, real estate, cash, bonds , you name it...
They’re slowly but surely turning to Gold .
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which Gold trigger are you eyeing? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
GOLD has entered a NEW BULL CYCLE this month!GOLD, has been on a consistent ascend since 2k levels hitting a series of ATH taps week after week.
As with any parabolic event -- a trim down is warranted.
After hitting its ATH zone at 3500, gold significantly corrected back to 38.2 fib levels at 3100 area. 38.2 fib levels has been acting as a strong support for GOLD for quite a bit and as expected buyers has started to converge and positioned themselves back again for that upside continuation -- long term.
After hitting this fib key level gold has been making consistent higher lows on the daily conveying clear intentions on its directional narrative -- to go NORTH.
As of this present, July 2025, GOLD has seen renewed elevation in momentum metrics signifying definitive blueprint towards its next upside move.
Based on our diagram above. WE have now entered a new bull cycle that only transpires every 6 months. The last cycles happened on July 2024, January 2025, then presently July 2025 which is in progress. This is very special as we dont get to see this bullish setup on a regular basis.
Ideal seeding zone is at the current range of 3300-3350.
Mid-Long Term Target at 3400
How to grasp the key trading points of gold?Yesterday, gold tested the 3375 line several times but failed to break through effectively. The selling pressure on the market was obvious, and the price immediately fell back, reaching a low of around 3341. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened and the short-term market has entered an adjustment phase. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the continuous negative trend has led to the gradual closing of the Bollinger Bands, and the middle track position has temporarily gained support, but the overall market is volatile and weak. Today, we will focus on the 3354 watershed. If the rebound fails to effectively stand at this position, the pressure on the upper side will still be strong, and there is a risk of a short-term decline.
Key technical positions: upper resistance: 3365, 3354, lower support: 3340, 3330. In terms of operation rhythm, it is recommended to deal with it with a high-selling and low-buying, oscillating approach, and maintain flexible adjustments.
The operation suggestions are as follows: You can choose to short in the 3360-3365 area, with the target around 3350 and 3340; if the rebound is blocked below 3354, you can also enter the short order in advance. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly in the short-term weak market; strictly control the stop loss to avoid risks caused by sudden changes in the market.
The current market is obviously volatile, so don't blindly chase the rise and fall. It is particularly important to operate around the key pressure and support areas. The grasp of the rhythm will determine the final profit, and steady trading is the kingly way.
Gold bearishness once again in line with expectationsThe data released so far show that the US inflation data is stable and tends to decline, which increases the possibility of the Fed's monetary policy. The US dollar index fell first and then rose. Gold opened at around 3344 and rebounded all the way. The current highest rebound is around 3366. It fell back to 3352 before the data was released, and then quickly rebounded to 3360. After the data was released, it fell again quickly, and the current lowest touched around 3346. The short orders around 3360-3365 that we shared with brothers before were basically the highest short orders of the day, and we successfully completed our first goal. The brothers who participated in it all made good profits. Judging from the current trend of gold, we continue to participate in short orders during the rebound, and the long position is still around 3335-3330. After the release of the CPI data, it is bearish overall. The core is that it is lower than market expectations but higher than the previous value. Inflation has heated up again, which has once again suppressed the expectation of interest rate cuts. After this data, it also laid a good foundation for the decline in the market. If the price goes up again, it will still rely on the 3365 level to go short again. The data is obviously bearish, and it scared a lot of long positions before it was released.
Gold reference ideas:
Continue to short when it rebounds to around 3358-3365, with a target around 3350-3340;
Go long when it falls back to around 3335-3330, with a target around 3350.
Market Outlook - Trump Questions Powell’s Job - Gold RalliesNordKern active market outlook, reacting to the latest news.
Market Alert | Trump Questions Powell’s Job - Gold Rallies, Dollar Slips
Jul 16 2025 16:56:19 CET: CBS CITING SOURCES:
TRUMP ASKED REPUBLICAN LAWMAKERS IF HE SHOULD FIRE FED'S POWELL
Market Reaction:
OANDA:XAUUSD +$45/oz intraday, currently trading near session highs.
Safe-haven demand and inflation hedge as Fed credibility is questioned.
TVC:DXY Weakens notably against both the TVC:EXY and the TVC:JXY
Markets pricing in higher political risk premium, potential dovish tilt under Trump.
Volatility: Spiking across FX and commodities. VIX and MOVE indexes also showing upward pressure.
Context Matters:
While the Fed Chair cannot be dismissed without cause, even the suggestion of removal injects significant uncertainty into the macro backdrop. Historically, markets react negatively to perceived threats to Fed autonomy (see: Nixon-Burns, Trump-Powell 2018). This development comes just months before the U.S. election, adding a new layer of complexity for macro traders.
What to Watch:
- Fed Speakers: Any defense of Powell or pushback could stabilize markets. Or not.
- Trump Campaign Statements: Will he double down or walk it back?
- Upcoming Data: A dovish-leaning CPI/Jobs print could supercharge gold and further weigh on the dollar.
- Volatility: Traders should adjust position sizing and risk accordingly.
Increased geopolitical and monetary risk are back on the table. Traders should remain nimble, reduce leverage where appropriate, and stay alert to headline risk. Gold and FX are likely to remain reactive into the US session.
NordKern
GOLD Outlook – Bearish Confirmed Post-CPIWith the CPI data released at 2.7%, gold’s bearish momentum is confirmed below the Pivot Line of 3,357.953 USD.
The market reaction suggests no immediate Fed rate cuts, supporting downward pressure. Expect a move toward Support at 3,307.665 USD and the Support Zone around 3,264.120 USD. A close above 3,357.953 USD on a 1H or 4H candle could indicate a bullish reversal toward Resistance at 3,390.028 USD.
Trade Setup:
Short Entry: Near 3,357.953 USD with bearish confirmation, Stop Loss above 3,390.028 USD.
Take Profit: Initial target at 3,307.665 USD, with a second target at 3,264.120 USD.
Long Entry: Only if price breaks and holds above 3,357.953 USD, with a Stop Loss below 3,250 USD, targeting 3,390.028 USD.
Pivot Line: 3,357.953 USD
Support: 3,307.685 USD – 3,264.120 USD (Support Zone)
Resistance: 3,390.028 USD – ~3,400 USD (Key Resistance)
1h, 2h Supply Zone: Between 3,357.953 USD and 3,390.028 USD
GOLD again targets $3,371, new bullish cycle conditionToday (Tuesday, July 15), in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD maintained a slight recovery trend, currently at around 3,360 USD/ounce.
The spot OANDA:XAUUSD rose to a 3-week high on Monday, but quickly fell back and finally closed lower. Trump's open attitude towards trade negotiations has improved the market's risk-on sentiment and negatively impacted gold, a safe-haven asset. But gold still has a lot of potential risks for price increases, and personally, the fundamental trend for gold has not changed.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report today (Tuesday).
According to a Reuters survey, economists expect the US CPI to increase year-on-year in June to 2.7% from 2.4% the previous month, while the core CPI is expected to increase year-on-year to 3% from 2.8%.
The survey also showed that the US CPI is expected to increase 0.3% month-on-month in June, and the core CPI is also expected to increase 0.3% month-on-month.
According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool", the market believes that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates in July and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in September is about 30%.
If the US core CPI rises by 0.4% or more in June, this could prompt market participants to reassess the possibility of a rate cut in September. In this case, the US Dollar could hold steady and push gold prices lower. On the other hand, if the data is lower than expected, gold will become more attractive while a weaker Dollar will be positive for gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After gold reached the resistance target of attention to readers in the weekly publication at 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, it fell slightly but is now recovering positively.
Currently, gold is trading in the range of 3,360 USD, the price action above the lower edge of the long-term rising price channel with support from the EMA21, gold is now likely to continue to retest the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
If gold breaks above $3,371 it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle, with the target then being around $3,400 in the short term, more so than $3,430.
On the other hand, the RSI is pointing up, maintaining activity above 50, and this should be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum. It shows that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
However, as of now, gold is still neutral in terms of trend, with conditions gradually tilting towards the possibility of price increase.
Along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,340 – $3,310
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3390 - 3388⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3394
→Take Profit 1 3382
↨
→Take Profit 2 3376
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3300
→Take Profit 1 3312
↨
→Take Profit 2 3318
