XAU USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. I was away from the charts and missed the perfect trade that was posted earlier today. So as of now I am not taking any trades today but I marked the new area of interest for potential scalp buy / sell trades. Always do your own research and stick to a trading plan. BIg G gets a shout out. Honestly, I can see gold pushing back down towards the $3k area, where I would look for a possible swing trade. Happy Wednesday.
GOLD trade ideas
The latest gold price range: 3275-3220The latest gold price range: 3275-3220
The four-hour structure chart shows:
At present, the gold price continues to be driven by the Asian session, fluctuating upward, forming a new local triangle structure range.
Small oscillation structure range: 3275-3220
1: The gold price trend has shown a double-top M structure right oscillation range.
2: In the short term, the gold price will be treated with the idea of shorting within the oscillation range.
3: As long as the gold price is above 3220, it will be long on dips.
4: As long as the gold price is below 3275, it will be treated with the idea of shorting on rallies.
5: The gold price range fluctuates widely: 3200-3350 (this week may become the oscillation range of the gold price, and this range will be regarded as a short-term price breakthrough expectation).
6: Once the gold price falls below 3200, it may usher in a trend change from long to short.
GOLD Price will Reject and push XAU/USD Technical Outlook:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown signs of a technically bullish structure, though recent price action indicates a pullback. The pair experienced a strong resistance near the $3,200 level, where sellers stepped in, leading to a temporary rejection and price retracement.
Despite this, the bullish bias remains intact as long as key support levels hold. A decisive break above the $3,200 resistance could signal continuation to new highs, but if rejection intensifies, we could see further downside correction.
Resistance zone 3265 / 3305
Support Levels 3200 3170
You may find more details in the chart Do want to get more insights keep fallow with like and comments Thanks Best Luck Buddies.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the 4 hour chart. I see that if we break and close above the marked area on the chart.. I would consider taking a long positions. Always the same strategy.. Secure 30 pips in profit ( high leverage account), I close 75% of the trade's profit, move my Stop Loss to break even ( my entry point), and leave a runner running( the remaining 25% of the trade). 3 trades a day max, win or lose. This is how you win. That is a Raja Banks strategy, not mine. Big G gets all my thanks. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how the NY open goes in 30 minutes from now. Trump is in the house.. We should start seeing some more truthful numbers when posted.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Late-Session Trading Strategy, May 16📊Before the US market today, the gold price rebounded rapidly after falling to 3154, indicating that there is obvious buying support at this position. The first wave of rebound quickly pulled up to 3185, with a unilateral increase of more than 30 US dollars, and the rebound strength is considerable.
📊It should be noted that this rapid rise is often accompanied by emotional fluctuations and is not suitable for blindly chasing the rise. We still adhere to the principle of "more watching and less action", and should be more cautious in short-term operations, and do not try swing trading easily. If you already have a position, it is recommended to seize the existing profits and avoid greed that may lead to profit taking.
📊From the technical structure, the gold price fell back after breaking through the first wave of rebound high 3185 in the evening, and fell back to the lowest level of 3171, and then rebounded again, indicating that the short-term support in this area is effective. Currently, we focus on the breakout of 3185:
🔶If 3185 is effectively broken and stabilized at night, the space above it is expected to open up, and the gold price may test the resistance of 3200-3205. This area is also an important short-term short position layout opportunity;
🔶If 3185 fails to break through effectively, there is still a possibility of a decline, and the short-term adjustment will continue
✅Intraday trading strategy
🔰Gold Sell: 3200-3205, Stop Loss: 5-8$
Target: 3170-3150, if it breaks, look to 3120
🔰Gold Buy: 3120-3123, Stop Loss: 5-8$
Target: 3155-3170, if it breaks, look to 3190
✅Trading strategies are time-sensitive. We will provide members with real-time and accurate trading strategies based on market changes. Short-term trading requires flexibility, timely adjustment of positions, strict risk control, and ensuring that you are not affected by large fluctuations.
Gold Trade Plan 12/05/2025Dear Traders,
The upward trend in gold continues. Considering the news from the U.S. and China, if the price breaks above the 3370 level and stabilizes above it, the bullish trend will continue. Otherwise, I expect a pullback to the 3270 level or lower.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Our NFP KOG Report worked pretty well apart from it being a Friday and us closing out positions for the weekend only for the move to complete on Monday. For this FOMC we’ll share the levels and potential reaction points on the red boxes as well as the red box target levels. Due to the range, it’s best to wait for the break and also for them to move the price to where they want, then hunt the trade once price has settled.
We have the immediate support level below 3360-55 which if held can push this upside to break the recent high and that 3480-90 level again. Break of that level we have red box region 3330-20 which is where we could get a RIP but that will give us the flip with potential for the order region 3350-55 to turn into resistance unless broken. For that reason, a down move for now could only give scalps for decent captures on tap and bounces.
3320 is the line in the sand, if broken below we’ll get the long from the 3290-95 region which will come next week.
Note, these days it’s only Trump that manages to move the markets aggressively, so this FOMC is most likely already priced in. Not worth attempting the immediate levels so we’ll rather wait for the extreme levels.
RED BOXES INDI LEVELS:
Break above 3395 for 3406, 3410, 3420, 3430 and 3435 in extension of the move
Break below 3375 for 3370, 3366, 3356, 3351 and 3345 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold price fluctuates and rebounds before shortingFrom the 4-hour analysis, we are currently paying attention to the short-term pressure at 3258-65 on the upper side, and the important pressure at 3275-81. For intraday pullbacks, we will continue to go short based on this position and look for a decline. Before breaking through and standing on this position, we will continue to maintain the main short rhythm of the pullback. The short-term support below is around 3206-13, with a focus on the support at the 3200 line. Be cautious when going long.
Gold Monumental Imbalance- Engineered ValuationThe Engineered Valuation of Gold: A Thesis on Historical Price Spread and Market Balance
Gold, a cornerstone of financial stability and wealth preservation, has historically maintained a structured price movement within predictable volatility thresholds. However, from July 2024 to April 2025, a series of strategic liquidity manipulations orchestrated by institutional market movers (Smart Money) engineered an unprecedented climb to the $3,500 benchmark, leading to a critical imbalance that now requires systemic correction. This thesis examines the logic behind such monumental valuation, the necessity of market equilibrium, and the forces driving the current corrective phase.
I. The Foundations of Market Engineering
The modern gold market is an interplay between supply, demand, macroeconomic policy, and institutional liquidity control. A move exceeding 200 points per day was once considered abnormal, yet from mid-2024 onward, price action defied conventional expectations. The escalation was not organic; it was systematically constructed through large-scale liquidity injections designed to manufacture a psychological illusion of sustained value.
Institutional Liquidity Control – The mass accumulation phase required deep capital reserves, ensuring price elevation without resistance.
Retail Sentiment Manipulation – Inducements convinced traders that gold was headed for a new paradigm, further reinforcing liquidity absorption.
Macro-Economic Conditioning – Interest rate fluctuations, geopolitical instability, and fiat currency dilution provided a contextual justification for gold’s ascent.
II. The Necessity of Market Balance
Historical Spread Comparison
The largest daily spread of $543.73 (April 2025) confirmed peak liquidity absorption.
Sequential spread formations ($486.92, $472.15, etc.) validated strategic engineering rather than organic growth.
Over 9 months, gold transitioned from a standard price range to an anomalous liquidity cycle.
The Corrective Phase Requirement
Balancing Duration – If 9 months were required for price engineering, at least 18 months will be needed to restore stability.
Strategic Unloading – Institutional players will avoid abrupt withdrawals, preventing market shock and preserving controlled exit strategies.
Retail Positioning Implications – Traders will be forced to adapt as distribution phases begin to surface.
III. The Logic Behind Monumental Valuation
Geopolitical and Economic Catalysts
Fiat currency dilution created an urgency for gold repositioning.
Central bank reserve shifts demanded higher valuation as justification.
Supply chain disruptions amplified investment reallocations into hard assets.
Market Perception Management
A sharp surge to $3,500 reinforced investor belief in gold’s structural value.
The illusion of sustained liquidity triggered fear of missing out (FOMO) responses.
Large liquidity providers capitalized on mass retail participation, reinforcing engineered growth.
IV. The Path Forward
Institutional Unloading in Phases – Preventing sharp declines while maintaining controlled liquidation. Retail Trader Adaptation – Adjusting strategy to avoid liquidity traps set by smart money distribution. Macro-Economic Adjustments – Central banks, hedge funds, and global monetary policies must factor in this unwinding.
Conclusion
The historical price spread of gold from July 2024 to April 2025 was not a mere market anomaly—it was a deliberate liquidity engineering event. The surge to $3,500 per ounce required unprecedented capital reserves, psychological manipulation, and institutional strategy. However, what was artificially constructed must now be methodically deconstructed, ensuring that balance is restored without destabilizing global financial structures.
🚀 Gold's next phase isn’t just about price correction—it’s about revealing the mechanisms behind liquidity control and market engineering.
Gold rebound is weak, full analysis of high-altitude strategiesTechnically, gold faces the test of whether the double top pattern can be established. The progress of the trade agreement may exceed expectations. In the short term, the gold price is disturbed by the trade news, but in the long term, geopolitical, debt and interest rate cuts still support the upward trend of gold prices. Gold stabilized and rebounded after hitting a low of 3207 during the European session, and further rose to a high of 3248 during the US session. However, the rebound momentum was relatively limited, and the current price maintained a volatile pattern within the 3220-3248 range. At present, 3250 has become a key resistance level. If it can effectively break through and stand firm, the gold price is expected to further test the 3270-3288 area. However, from the perspective of short-term momentum, it is still facing downward correction pressure in the late trading period. Technically, the upper resistance is concentrated in the 3248-3252 range, and the lower support is around 3225-3217. In terms of operation, it is recommended to mainly do long positions on callbacks, supplemented by rebounds from high altitudes.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to do more on the pullback in the 3225-3217 area, with a target of 10-15 points.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to short at the rebound area of 3245-3252, with the target at 10-15 points.
Circular short selling is still the main themeGold has no power to rebound in the Asian session, and it keeps fluctuating and falling. The highest rebound was 3292, but it fell back under pressure, and the lowest touched 3217. The fluctuation and decline are still dominant, so we only need to short on the rebound. It is still difficult to fill the gap at the opening today, so don't have hope. Just keep shorting on the rebound. The weekend article also analyzes the bearish opening this week. After all, the international situation of India and Pakistan's comprehensive ceasefire and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations are mainly bearish for gold. Coupled with the technical shorts, it is reasonable for gold to jump short. Today, we will treat gold as rebound shorting. In terms of operation, we will mainly short on rebound and be a steady trader. Judging from the current trend of gold, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position.
### Technical Analysis of Gold 4 Hour(XAU/USD) ### Technical Analysis of Gold 4 Hour(XAU/USD)
#### Overview
The chart displays the 4-hour price action for Gold (XAU/USD) with various technical indicators, including Simple Moving Averages (SMA) and Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), along with support and resistance levels. The displayed time frame suggests that this analysis focuses on short to medium-term trading strategies.
#### Current Price Action
- **Current Price**: The price of Gold is currently at approximately **3,325.13**. The price has recently bounced off a significant support level and is in a critical zone, indicating potential price action volatility.
#### Trend Analysis
- **Long-Term Trend**: The blue diagonal line illustrates an upward trend that started in early April. Gold’s price has consistently been above this trendline, indicating bullish sentiment in the market.
- **Short-Term Trend**: In the last week, the price peaked around **3432** but has since retraced towards the trendline. The price action suggests a consolidation phase currently on the chart.
#### Indicators
- **Moving Averages**:
- **SMA(50)**: It is bullish at **3,312.79**as the price remains above this moving average.
- **SMA(20)**: The shorter SMA at **3,363.54** indicates potential short-term resistance.
- **EMA (20)**: The EMA is slightly below the price at **3,295.59**, offering support if the price approaches this level.
The proximity of the price to the moving averages indicates an area of dynamic support and resistance, where traders may look for guidance on entry and exit points.
#### Support and Resistance Levels
- **Resistance Levels**:
- Clear resistance is observed at **3355/3370**
- The upward red trendline 3400/3416/3480 could also serve as dynamic resistance in the future.
- **Support Levels**:
- Strong support is found at **3,288.92**, coinciding with the recent consolidation's lower edges. The blue trendline provides additional support near **3,290**.
- Key support levels below are **3,264** and more significantly around **3,220 and 3,144**.
#### Price Patterns
- The chart displays a potential pennant formation, which generally precedes continuing the existing trend. Traders should be alert for breakout signals, either above resistance or below support, suggesting potential price movement toward the breakout.
#### Trade Considerations
- **Bullish Scenario**: A bullish breakout above the resistance level of **3365** with increasing volume could cement a further move towards the highs around **3410** or **3480**.
- **Bearish Scenario**: Conversely, a decisive break below the **blue trendline** or **support at 3,280** may trigger further downside with targets around **3,230/3200/3140** or lower.
#### Conclusion
The current price suggests that Gold is testing critical support levels while remaining in a longer-term uptrend. Traders should look for confirmation of direction through breakout patterns, volume, and market context. Monitoring economic data affecting Gold prices and general market sentiment will also be essential for making informed trading decisions.
We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds.
Stay grounded, stay present.🏄🏼♂️
Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼 OANDA:XAUUSD
Fading Gold’s All‑Time HighGold has just posted a euphoric all‑time high at 3 499.6 after an almost parabolic climb along a single ascending trend‑line, and the wick that pierced that level sits in a thin, low‑volume pocket on the profile—classic bull‑trap territory—so once we see a four‑hour close beneath the trend‑line we expect momentum algos to flip, dragging price swiftly toward the 3 160‑3 130 demand block that marks the prior high‑volume consolidation; the short thesis is to scale into shorts between 3 480‑3 510, place invalidation above 3 525, and ride a potential vacuum move to that target zone (with room to extend toward 3 100) as crowded longs unwind, especially if a hawkish Fed headline or uptick in real yields provides the spark.
XUA/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas behind the analysis:
1. Trend and Structure:
The overall trend shows a bullish move followed by a correction and now a potential continuation upward.
A bullish breakout from a descending trendline suggests a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
2. Key Zones:
Order Block / Buying Zone (~3,280-3,310): A demand area where price is expected to find support and potentially bounce higher.
Support Level (~3,320-3,360): Price is currently above this level, suggesting buyers are in control.
Resistance Level (~3,440-3,495): Marked as a potential short-term ceiling; a breakout above this level may signal strong bullish continuation.
Target Point (~3,494): This is the projected take-profit level for a bullish move.
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 63–64, close to overbought territory but not yet extreme. This suggests moderate bullish momentum without signs of immediate reversal.
4. Projected Move:
The chart outlines a possible retracement to the support or order block zone, followed by a bounce and a push toward the resistance level and target.
Mr SMC Trading point
Strategy Implication:
Buy on pullback to the support or order block zone.
Stop-loss could be placed below the order block (~3,280).
Take-profit around the target zone (~3,494).
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Channel Breakout with Bullish Reversal on XAUUSD (15M)"
Price moved within a clean descending channel and eventually broke out with momentum. After forming a strong reversal candle near previous support, a long position was considered. Volume increase confirms potential buyer interest. Setup aims for upper imbalance / liquidity zones. Chart shown on 15-minute timeframe.