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GOLD trade ideas

GOLD – Bullish Flag Breakout After Demand Zone Test Price pulled back into the major demand zone (blue area), rejected with a strong wick, and formed a bullish flag structure. The breakout above the flag channel suggests continuation toward recent highs. Trade Plan: ✅ Entry: Above 3344 (breakout confirmation) ✅ Stop Loss: Below 3332 (last swing low) ✅ Target: 3357–3360 (previous resistance zone) Context: • Demand zone respected • EMA support aligning • Clear breakout candle with volume Risk Management: Max risk per trade: 1% Zoom in M5: #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #MJTrading #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
MONTH START WITH STRONG BUY MOVE ALERT !Currently, price action on the 30-minute chart is showing signs of weakness as it hovers near a key support level at around 3328. The chart has been respecting an ascending trendline, but now we see price attempting to break below this trendline 📉. 🔸 Resistance Zone: 3338 🔸 Support Zone: 3328 🔸 Bearish Target Area: 3315–3300 region 🚨 If the price breaks below the support and the ascending trendline is invalidated, we may see further downside movement, with a potential target near the 3300 zone, which aligns with a previous demand area. 🛑 Watch for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or retest rejection) before entering a short position. 💡 Bias: Bearish below 3328 📌 Next Key Support: 3290 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 💬 📊 Trade safe and always manage your risk! 🛡️
TVC:GOLD
by GOLD_INVESTOR_ACADEMY
Short-term opportunities are imminent.Gold prices have continued to rebound recently and have reached around 3358, but there is a lack of effective retracement during the rise, and the risk of short-term chasing has increased significantly. From a technical perspective, the US dollar index has a demand for a corrective rebound after a rapid decline, and it is expected to form a significant suppression on gold in the short term, limiting the rebound space of gold prices. From a capital perspective, the previous high-level long chips have gradually been untied and started to leave the market with profits, and selling pressure has gradually emerged; short positions may be re-arranged after completing concentrated stop losses, and the market structure is quietly changing. Based on the above factors, it is recommended that traders remain patient and continue to hold short positions, focusing on the support of the 3335-3325 area. Be sure to control your position during the operation, strictly set stop losses, and avoid the high risks brought by chasing the rise. The core of trading is to follow the trend, respect the market rhythm, and wait for the adjustment to be confirmed before intervening. Steady trading can only make long-term profits. Welcome everyone to share and communicate to improve the operation level together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup – Strong Support Bounce & Potential Reversal Timeframe: 4H Gold recently bounced off a well-defined strong support zone near $3,263, forming a potential double bottom structure. The price is now showing early signs of reversal with bullish momentum building. Key Levels: Entry: ~ $3,294 Stop Loss: Below $3,263 (support zone) Target 1: $3,349 (minor resistance) Target 2: $3,413 (major resistance) Technical Confluence: Price respected historical support (highlighted by multiple bounces) Bullish price action with a recovery structure Opportunity for upside retracement toward previous supply zones Fundamental Outlook: Gold may see bullish pressure amid geopolitical uncertainty and potential central bank dovish pivot Market awaiting key macroeconomic data – watch for volatility spikes Bias: Bullish (Short-to-Medium Term) A solid buy setup for traders looking to capitalize on price recovery from a strong support zone with clearly defined risk
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by EMIN_Fx
GOLD recovers, capped by $3,350, trend viewOANDA:XAUUSD recovered then weakened as it failed to break above $3,350, supported by a weaker dollar and market uncertainty sparked by reports that U.S. President Donald Trump could replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in September or October. The reports raised concerns about the future independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting demand for safe-haven gold. On Wednesday, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace him. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October. The current market narrative is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chair, market expectations will tend to favor a more “dovish” Fed. This could lead to a weaker US dollar, higher long-term US Treasury yields and higher stock prices. Forexlive points out that this story may be more an emotional reaction than a result of objective and rational thinking. The policy of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) is decided not only by the Fed Chairman but also by a majority vote of the 12 voting members (including 7 directors and 5 regional Fed presidents). The Fed Chairman does have a lot of influence, but he does not have absolute control over monetary policy. The Fed was originally designed to be independent of political pressure. Moreover, even if Trump nominates the next chairman, there is no guarantee that this will automatically lead to a rate cut. In fact, Powell was also nominated by Trump, but his monetary policy decisions are still based on professional judgment rather than serving Trump's wishes. So, in the worst case, the market could face policy uncertainty as differences between FOMC members increase and more disagreements emerge. Currently, there are fewer moderate members on the committee, while neutral or hawkish members dominate. Markets are now focused on personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data due later today (Friday) for further clues on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to be in place on Wednesday after Trump hailed a swift end to the 12-day conflict at the NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold recovered and reached the initial target at 3,350 USD, the nearest resistance is also the price point of the EMA21 noted for readers in the previous publication. However, the recovery momentum is currently weakening, specifically at the time of writing, the gold price is falling below 3,320 USD. Gold falling below 3,320 USD provides conditions for a possible decline with the next target around 3,302 - 3,300 USD, which is the area of ​​​​the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement confluence with the lower edge of the price channel. In terms of momentum, the RSI is heading down and breaking below 50, which should be considered an initial bearish signal. Overall, gold does not have a clear long-term trend as the uptrend is still the main trend, while the momentum is showing signs of decline. But personally, I am still leaning towards the uptrend, and continue to look for positions to buy. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,302 – 3,300 USD Resistance: 3,320 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3353 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3272 - 3274⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3268 →Take Profit 1 3280 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3286
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Possible Break Below Key StructureStructure Overview: After printing a multi-month high around 3,473, price has formed a clear rounded top followed by lower highs, showing weakening bullish momentum. Gold is now retesting a key structure zone near 3,270–3,275, which has acted as previous support several times. 📉 Key Technical Observations: Trend: Short-term bearish within a broader consolidation Support Zone: 3,270–3,250 (watch closely for a break) Resistance Levels: Minor: 3,340 Major: 3,390–3,400 📊 Scenario Outlook 🔻 Bearish Bias (Preferred Scenario) If price closes below 3,270, expect: Initial target: 3,210–3,220 zone (clean imbalance + previous resistance) Secondary target: 3,130–3,150 (March structure break zone) This would confirm a transition into a mid-term bearish leg unless a fakeout occurs. 🔺 Bullish Recovery (Alternative Scenario) If price reclaims 3,305 with strength: A move back toward 3,340–3,360 is possible Needs volume + momentum confirmation, ideally with a bullish engulfing candle ⚠️ What to Watch Daily candle close relative to 3,270 Reaction at 3,250–3,260 demand zone Gold often sweeps key lows before reversing — watch for liquidity grab wicks 📌 Conclusion Gold is sitting at a critical level — a confirmed close below 3,270 could open the doors for a deeper retracement toward March’s breakout levels. Until then, this remains a watch and react environment. Avoid chasing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheFXWazir
Gold Fails to Hold the Fear – Ceasefire Triggers 500+ Pip DropIn yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that despite the weekend escalation in the middle-east, which triggered a gap up in Gold, the price action didn’t confirm the fear narrative. Gold failed to hold its gains – a clear sign of weakness. 📌 What happened next? Throughout the day, Gold attempted multiple pushes toward 3400 – but each effort was met with strong selling pressure. Then came the ceasefire announcement… and Gold dropped hard, now trading around 3320, locking in over 500 pips of profit from my short setup. ________________________________________ ❓ More importantly, what’s next for Gold? More important than the short-term noise is what the charts are now telling us: 📉 Weekly chart? Bearish. 🕯️ Daily chart? Also turned bearish after last week’s indecisive price action. ________________________________________ 📌 Strategy remains the same: I continue to sell rallies, and I’m now watching the 3280 support zone for a possible test in the coming hours. Patience. Discipline. Let the market come to you. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Gold Trading Strategy July 1✏️ D1 candle has a bullish recovery when closing above 50% of last Friday's decline.The bullish wave of Gold is forming, heading back to the GAP 3363 zone.Today's main strategy is to wait for BUY if there is a retest of 3300. Reaction sell strategy is focused on resistance zones with not too long expectations. 📈 Key Levels Support 3300- 3379- 3360 Resistance 3334-3348-3363 📊 Recommended Trade Setups BUY GOLD 3300-3298 Stoploss 3295 SELL GOLD 3348-3350 Stoploss 3353
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
1
Gold rebounded from oversold!Gold fell continuously on Friday, and the daily line closed in a cross. Although the previous closing was a small positive, the rebound was discontinuous and there was no strong upward movement, which means that the overall reversal has not ended and there is still room for downward adjustment. It continued to fall to the 3255 line and rebounded slightly, and then approached the 3280 mark. The support below is dense, and there is no condition for aggressive shorting. If you want to short, you still have to rebound and then short. This week, the two key positions above 3295 and 3310 were suppressed. The monthly closing is likely to be a new low. Be cautious.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by DrewJudson
Gold trend remains bullishThe investment market will not simply move in the expected direction. The road to success is tortuous. Once it goes in the opposite direction, it will lose direction and enter a cycle. The same is true for the market. The trend is certain, but it will never simply move in the predetermined direction. There will be twists and turns during the period that will shake people's hearts. At this time, you need a good attitude to face it and not be affected by the short-term trend. This is why we have been firmly laying out the bands in the early stage, and the reason for successful profits. Only by keeping the original intention can we succeed. The investment market requires concentration and perseverance, and then to reap profits! At present, the overall rise of gold remains stable. Although the fluctuation has narrowed compared with yesterday, it has not fallen sharply after touching the previous pressure level, indicating that the support below is still effective. Although affected by the ADP data, the technical pattern still maintains a bullish idea. For prudent operations, it is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy and pay attention to the short-term support area near 3333-3328 below. After retreating to this position and stabilizing, you can continue to arrange long orders, and focus on the support area near 3325-3315. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to maintain the bullish rhythm of retreating low and long and following the trend. The upward target looks at the 3355-3360 area. If this area continues to be blocked, consider light positions to arrange short orders, and the target is bearish adjustment. If the market breaks through strongly and stabilizes, it is expected to test the 3370-3380 area. The specific strategy adjustment will be prompted dynamically during the intraday according to the real-time market, and steadily follow the bullish trend to grasp the benefits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Exclusive operation suggestions for future market trends！！！Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, so wait patiently for room for future gains. Technically, from the current hourly chart, the gold entity has always been above 3278, and it only pierced through 3275 and then began to rebound. If the retracement does not break the 618 position, there will inevitably be a high point in the future. So next, we should focus on the vicinity of 3280. If gold always closes above 3280, then the high point of 3297 on Monday is likely to be refreshed. Secondly, from the perspective of 123 seeking 4, if it goes up again, it is very likely to touch around 3310. 3310 is exactly around 618. And it is also the top position of this hourly chart range. Therefore, gold should be shorted above 3280 with caution, and the probability of touching above 3300 is very high. In terms of operation, it is recommended to directly enter the market to go long near 3280, and look at 3310-3320. If you want to short, you must wait at least for 3310-3320 before you can enter the market to short once.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by JoyLouise53
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe) Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure. Specifically: - Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed. - Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black). - Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green). 🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4 Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas: + Target 1: 3324 + Target 2: 3311 When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning. 📈 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend. H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion. H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone. 💼 Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322 STOP LOSS: 3215 TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345 TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368 TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395 📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
As expected, it will fall and form a head and shoulders bottom📰 News information： 1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data 2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments 3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market 📈 Technical Analysis： Yesterday we expected gold to retreat to the 3330-3320 area. Today, gold hit a low of around 3328 during the Asian session, which is in line with our judgment of the market trend. In the short term, gold may still fall. First, it may test the 3323 support line. If it falls back to this position during the day, you can try to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3315-3305 long-short dividing line below. If gold gets effective support below, it is expected to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The short-term decline will accumulate momentum for the future rise. Pay attention to the ADP data during the NY period 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3323-3315-3305 TP 3340-3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,344.54 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,389.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take prpofit: 3,294.89 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Gold Trade Plan 30/06/2025Dear Traders, 📉 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Timeframe) Date: June 30, 2025 🇺🇸 English: Price has broken below an ascending trendline and is now pulling back toward the resistance zone between $3,313 – $3,324. This area serves as a confluence of resistance (previous support now turned resistance + horizontal resistance). A bearish reaction from this zone could trigger a continuation to the downside. The potential target for this move lies around the $3,210 – $3,225 support area, which has historically acted as a demand zone. Alternative scenario: If price breaks and holds above $3,324, the bearish outlook would be invalidated. Summary: 🔻 Resistance zone: $3,313 – $3,324 🎯 Bearish target: $3,210 – $3,225 ❗ Entry condition: Bearish reaction and rejection from the resistance zone Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
Gold's Decline Not Over (Yet)#Gold is in a declining pattern that appears incomplete. Here are 2 models we are following closely. 1. A decline in wave (iii) of ((c)) - targeting $3,120 2. A decline in wave iii of (ii) - targeting $3,220-3,240 Both models imply the current decline is not over. FLAT PATTERN The flat pattern subdivides as a 3-3-5 ((a))-((b))-((c)) pattern. The decline appears to be in the latter stages of this pattern, wave ((c)). This wave needs to unfold as a motive 5-wave pattern...it appears we are in the 3rd wave decline so a couple of more trends lower. The flat targets $3,120. LEADING DIAGONAL The leading diagonal is a motive pattern labeled i-ii-iii-iv-v. The leading diagonal pattern is already complete and now a partial retracement lower of the diagonal is underway. This partial retracement likely carries to $3,220-$3,240. Under both scenarios, once they are complete, a strong rally is likely to follow. However, the downtrends need more price and time to develop so the rallies are on hold for the moment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JWagnerFXTrader
5
I have shorted gold as expected and held on patientlyEven under the influence of the ADP data, which is bullish for the gold market, gold has not effectively broken through 3350, and even showed signs of falling back after rising several times. The resistance above is becoming more and more obvious, which may further weaken the market's bullish sentiment and confidence, thereby strengthening the dominance of the bears. Although gold has not effectively fallen yet, from the perspective of the gold structure, even if gold wants to rise, it still needs to be backtested and support confirmed before rising, and the current retracement is far from enough, so gold still has a need for structural retracement; and before the NFP market, gold rose slowly but was far from enough to break upward, and there was no volume support, so the illusion of gold rising may be to lure and capture more bulls; Therefore, out of caution, I try to avoid chasing gold at high levels; and I believe that shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present. And I have executed short trades in the 3340-3350 area according to the trading plan, and held it patiently. I hope that gold can retreat to the 3320-3310-3300 area as expected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen