XAUUSD - All Eyes on the Reaction Zone for Directional ClarityThe Gold Spot price chart shows a clear potential for price movement toward the highlighted reaction area between approximately $3,360 and $3,380. After reaching highs around $3,500 on April 22, gold has experienced a significant correction, forming a series of lower highs and lows. The current price action suggests that gold may be preparing for a rebound toward this critical reaction zone, as indicated by the upward green arrow. Once gold reaches this reaction area, traders will need to closely monitor price behavior for confirmation of whether this represents a temporary bounce in a larger downtrend or the beginning of a new push toward previous highs. Key technical indicators at this level will determine if gold has enough momentum to break through resistance and potentially retest recent highs, or if sellers will emerge again, forcing another leg down toward recent support levels around $3,270-$3,280.
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GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD- Mid Term Chart Description – XAUUSD 1H (Gold Spot vs. USD)
This is a multi-scenario Smart Money Concept (SMC)-based projection chart for Gold (XAUUSD), focusing on potential bullish retracements and major bearish continuations, incorporating Buy Zones, Sell Zones, and Change of Character (CHOCH) areas.
🔍 Key Components:
🟣 Sell Zones
Two sell zones are identified, with the highest near the All-Time High (ATH) around the $3,500 mark.
These are areas of expected bearish reaction if price retraces upward after a low.
🟢 Buy Zones
Located between $3,200 – $3,160 and another deeper one near $2,960, where potential bullish reactions may occur.
🔵 CHOCH - 4H
Marked in red around $3,260 area, indicating a 4-hour Change of Character, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
🔸 Key Price Levels
$3,120: Historical support/resistance.
$2,956.20: Major swing low and key demand zone.
📊 Projected Market Path (Colored Waves)
🔹 Blue Path (Bullish Retracement Scenario)
Price is expected to retrace into a sell zone around $3,400–$3,460 after testing the current demand.
From there, a major sell-off is anticipated.
🔷 Cyan Path (Bearish Continuation)
Following the retracement, the market is projected to break below the recent low and head toward lower buy zones, potentially near the $3,120 and $2,960 regions.
Shows lower-high and lower-low formation, consistent with a bearish trend.
🧠 Market Sentiment
This chart suggests a bearish outlook for Gold unless a structural shift invalidates the CHOCH zone and supply levels. The chart highlights the importance of:
Waiting for confirmation in the supply zones before shorting.
Considering buy opportunities only in valid buy zones with bullish reaction confirmation.
The Golden Code: Unlocking the Markets with Fibonacci Sequence “Mathematics is the language in which God has written the universe.” – Galileo Galilei
If this is true, then the Fibonacci sequence is the poetry of that language, especially in trading.
📚 What is Fibonacci? Why Should Traders Care?
Fibonacci is more than just a sequence of numbers — it’s a universal law of growth and proportion. From galaxies to sunflowers, and now to the charts on your TradingView screen, Fibonacci is everywhere.
In trading, Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential reversal zones, where price is likely to bounce or stall, making it one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal.
But few truly understand its depth, and fewer still use it intelligently.
Let’s dive into the power of the Fibonacci sequence, how it influences retracements, and how you can use it to your trading advantage, whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or position trader.
🧠 The Fibonacci Sequence: Where It All Begins
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, ...
Some Math somebody? Take your seats and calculators away! 😂😂
📉 Fibonacci Retracement Levels & How They're Calculated
These levels are percentages based on relationships between Fibonacci numbers.
✅ 0.236 (23.6%)
Divide a number by the one three places ahead:
Example: 13 ÷ 55 = 0.236
Another: 21 ÷ 89 = 0.236
✅ 0.382 (38.2%)
Divide a number by the one two places ahead:
Example: 21 ÷ 55 = 0.382
Another: 34 ÷ 89 = 0.382
✅ 0.500 (50.0%)
Not directly from Fibonacci, but commonly used due to psychological midpoint in markets.
✅ 0.618 (61.8%) – The Golden Ratio
Divide a number by the next number:
Example: 34 ÷ 55 = 0.618
Another: 55 ÷ 89 = 0.618
This is the famous Golden Ratio, which appears in nature, art, and financial markets.
✅ 0.786 (78.6%)
Derived from the square root of 0.618:
√0.618 = 0.786
📈 Fibonacci Extension Levels & How They're Calculated
Extensions project price targets beyond the retracement.
✅ 1.000 (100%)
A full projection of the original move.
✅ 1.272 (127.2%)
Square root of 1.618:
√1.618 = 1.272
✅ 1.618 (161.8%) – The Golden Extension
Divide a number by the previous one:
Example: 55 ÷ 34 = 1.618
Another: 89 ÷ 55 = 1.618
✅ 2.000 (200%)
A full double of the original move.
✅ 2.618 (261.8%)
1.618 + 1.000 = 2.618
This creates ratios that are found in nature, architecture, music, and, yes, price movements.
🔍 Fibonacci Retracement: Mapping Pullbacks with Precision
When price moves impulsively in one direction, it often retraces a portion of that move before continuing in the same direction.
Fibonacci retracement is used to map this pullback.
Here’s how traders use it:
Identify a clear impulsive move (either bullish or bearish).
Plot the Fibonacci retracement tool from swing low to swing high (for bullish moves), or from swing high to swing low (for bearish moves).
Watch how price reacts around key levels:
38.2% = Shallow pullback
50% = Midpoint (psychological)
61.8% = Golden Zone
78.6% = Deep retracement (but still valid)
🔥 Pro Tip: Most institutional traders love the 61.8% retracement, often placing hidden liquidity and traps around that area.
🔄 Fibonacci Extensions: Predicting Take-Profit Zones
Once price retraces and continues its trend, Fibonacci extensions help identify possible target zones:
Common extension levels:
1.272
1.618 → Golden Target
2.000
2.618
For example:
After a bullish retracement to 61.8%, price often rallies to 1.272 or 1.618 extensions, making these ideal profit-taking zones.
🔄 Real-Life Market Behavior: Fibonacci in Price Action
Let’s take a real example:
🟨 Example: XAU/USD Bearish Retracement
Impulsive rally from $2,832.99 to $2,930.77.
Price pulls back to $2,880 – exactly at the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Followed by a strong continuation to the upside.
Price reach for the 127.20% and beyond to 161.80% Fibonacci extension of the original rally before pausing for some times — textbook Fibonacci behavior.
💡 This isn’t magic. It’s structure, order, and smart money playing on the same field.
🧬 Fibonacci + Confluence = Confirmation
Fibonacci works best when combined with other tools:
Support/Resistance
Order Blocks
Imbalances
Trendlines
Candlestick Patterns
✅ A 61.8% retracement + bullish order block + bullish engulfing = a high-probability long setup.
✅ A 78.6% retracement + unfilled imbalance = possible stop-hunt trap or liquidity grab.
🧠 Fibonacci Psychology: Why It Works
Fibonacci works because it reflects natural human behavior:
Fear and greed create overextensions and pullbacks.
Traders place stops and entries near these key ratios, causing self-fulfilling reactions.
Algorithms and institutional models often base trade entries on Fibonacci confluences.
💥 Common Mistakes Traders Make
❌ Using Fibonacci on every small swing – noise, not signal
❌ Forcing the retracement tool to “fit” your bias
❌ Ignoring higher time frame structure
❌ Using Fibonacci alone without confluence
Remember: Fibonacci is a guide, not a guarantee.
📈 How to Trade with Fibonacci (Step-by-Step)
First, identify market structure (trending or ranging).
Second, mark swing high and swing low.
Third, plot retracement tool accordingly.
Fourth, look for confluence zones:
38.2%, 50%, 61.8%...
Price action signals (e.g., pin bars, engulfing)
Institutional concepts (order blocks, imbalances)
Enter with confirmation, not just based on levels.
Set stop loss below/above structure or 78.6% line.
Target extension levels or previous high/low.
🌀 Fibonacci in Different Trading Styles
Scalpers
Use Fibonacci on 1min–5min timeframes to catch micro pullbacks and entries.
Swing Traders
Use Fib retracements from daily or 4H structure to plot entries and targets.
Position Traders
Use weekly/monthly Fibonacci zones for macro views and long-term targets.
🧠 Final Thoughts: Fibonacci Is Structure, Not Sorcery
The Fibonacci sequence is a map of order in a chaotic world. In trading, it helps bring discipline, clarity, and precision.
It’s not about being right every time, it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor.
🧭 Ready to Master Fibonacci?
If you’ve read this far, drop your thoughts in the comments and share your favorite Fibonacci setup!
Let’s build a community of traders who use mathematics and structure, not hope and guesswork.
Follow for more educational breakdowns, trading insights, and strategy walkthroughs — posted weekly.
XAUUSD Price Compression: Ready to Roar or Retreat?The 15-Min chart of XAUUSD is showcasing a classic symmetrical triangle pattern, characterized by converging trendlines—a series of lower highs forming the descending resistance (red zone) and higher lows creating the ascending support (green zone).
This price compression is typically seen before a major breakout, as the market consolidates and traders await a decisive move
Key Highlights:
🔻 Resistance Zone (Red):
Price repeatedly rejects the downward-sloping resistance line.
Each lower high is marked with red arrows, confirming seller dominance at those levels.
Also aligned near the 200 EMA (red line), which adds dynamic resistance.
🟢 Support Zone (Green):
Buyers have consistently stepped in at rising lows, forming a steady uptrend base.
This support is acting as a launchpad, compressing the price within the triangle.
Positioned near the 50 EMA (blue line), reinforcing this support region.
📈 EMAs (Trend Context):
50 EMA below 200 EMA indicates the broader trend remains bearish.
However, price consolidating near both EMAs suggests a potential trend shift if resistance breaks.
Breakout Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bullish Breakout Potential:
A confirmed candle close above the resistance zone with volume may ignite a rally.
Immediate upside target levels: $3,360, $3,390, and potentially $3,420+.
Would indicate short-term trend reversal and fresh bullish momentum.
❌ Bearish Breakdown Risk:
A break below the ascending support line could trigger aggressive sell-offs.
Downside target levels: $3,290, $3,260, and deeper toward $3,210.
Would validate continuation of the prior downtrend.
📊 Trading Strategy Suggestions:
Breakout traders may wait for a confirmed candle close outside the triangle (with volume).
Range traders can look for bounce trades near support and rejections at resistance until breakout occurs.
Use tight stop-losses due to narrowing range and likely sharp post-breakout volatility.
Consider risk-reward ratio minimum 1:2 when targeting breakouts.
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Disclosure:
I am a participant in TradeNation's Influencer Program and receive a monthly compensation for utilising their TradingView charts in my market analysis.
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GOLD - completely unique region, holds or not??#GOLD. market perfectly hold our expected region on weekly basis that is around 3265-70
keep close that region again guys that is completely unique region.
holdings of that region means again bounce.
NOTE: below that region we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our week chart idea, which has been playing out perfectly allowing us to track the movement down and trade the movement up and finally complete - BOOOOM!!!
After completed all our [previous targets on this chart, we were left with a body close above 3189 leaving a long range/term gap to 3281. This target was hit last week completed this chart idea.
We will now update a new weekly chart idea next week with more long term/range projections. Please keep an eye out for this for next Sunday or if we get a chance, we will try and get this out earlier.
However, please note if we see a rejection here on the channel top, then the lower levels within the channel, are still valid to track the movement down and up.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Let’s continue to be long on gold and keep winning!Fundamentals:
1. Focus on the performance of US economic data and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve;
Technical aspects:
At present, gold has failed to fall below the key area of 3300 many times during the retracement process, further strengthening the short-term structural support and strengthening the market's recognition of the effectiveness of its structural support. Moreover, gold may still maintain a volatile market before the NFP market. Due to the cautious attitude of the market, it is difficult for a unilateral trend to appear before the NFP market.
Short term trading strategies:
As in the two recently updated trading views, the trading strategy of long gold in the 3310-3300 area is still effective! Looking forward to gold rebounding to 3325 or even higher!
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3271.6
Sl - 3260.0
Tp - 3293.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Buy possibility On the H4 theres a symmetrical wedge and within that wedge there is a descending wedge, and with Fed rate cuts possibly coming in we could see gold get some gains back, we cant predict where the market will go but we can adapt to the different probabilities and execute based on the opportunities the market gives us.
Volatile, Bearish Bias: Gold Trend Analysis & Trading TipsThe market is in a volatile trend with a bearish bias. Analysis of the gold market trend and trading suggestions
On Tuesday (April 29th), spot gold plummeted😲. Current price: 3306.49, down 1.14%. Opened at 3341.30, high of 3348.36, low of 3299.68
News in Brief
Trump's tough moves keep failing in the financial market😔. Bond market turmoil forced him to delay tariffs. Stock, bond & dollar slumps made him drop the Fed chair firing threat. His trade war "maximum pressure" strategy backfired against a major Asian nation💥. With losses piling up, he may cut tariffs. Legal battles at home are also mounting⚖️. Policy uncertainty could boost gold, but Fed rates or a soft landing might weigh on prices⏳.
Technical Analysis of Gold: After hitting 3500, gold declined😕. The current low is at 3260, which hasn't been broken in three daily trading days. With the pattern of alternating bull and bear candles, it's a clear wide-swing market😣. Don't chase trades as there's no continuity; it just moves back and forth.
On the daily chart, the trading range shifted from 3380-3260 last week to 3260-3330 but rebounded last night, returning to the wide range😲. The alternating bull-bear pattern makes the trend unsustainable these days. Today, the 5-day MA crossed below the 10-day MA, yet the opening price was above the 5-day MA, a divergence🤔. So, a downward correction was expected below 3332. Now there's a small bearish candle, and a small one with a long lower shadow may follow😏.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3330 - 3320
🚀 TP 3300 - 3280
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
XAUUSD Play: Buy the Dip, Sell the Rip Gold (XAUUSD) Tactical Play: Intraday Long into 4H Premium, Then Position for Higher Timeframe Short
Higher Timeframe (4H + Daily Context) :
1. Daily Chart Bias :
Long-term bullish trend, but now expecting a mean reversion (correction) toward long-term averages (discount area).
2. Current Behaviour :
Price has aggressively rallied over the past weeks, but now it's likely moving into a larger correction phase.
3. 4H Structure :
- 4H Demand Zone (around 3,250–3,300) is still holding — price showed strong reactions after tapping it.
- 4H overall flow shifted bearish after a BOS, but internal structure inside 4H suggests a pullback toward premium levels.
Key Supply Zones Above:
• First Supply : 3,380.962 (4H + 15M alignment)
• Second Supply : 3,410.365 (strong 4H supply)
Internal Structure (15M) :
Current Observations:
1. 15M structure showed a CHoCH to the upside after tapping into the 4H demand — clear internal strength.
2. Entry zone marked in 15M purple zone (small demand refinement).
Expectation:
Price will retrace a little, tap the 15M purple zone, then push upward toward higher liquidity pools.
Targets for the Long Trade:
• First TP : The recent liquidity highs around 3,380.962 (first 4H supply).
• Second TP : 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) closer to 3,410.365.
Thanks for your Time..
GOLD BUY The overheated Gold rally looks to be in need of some further cooling. Traders look to be buying into the rumors that a trade deal between the US and China could come very soon, despite China coming out contradicting those rumors. The risk here could be that markets are misinterpreting the US semantic on whether they are “talking” or “negotiating”, and that no deal is done anytime soon with possibly a revisit to $3,500
Looking at technical levels, the daily Pivot Point at $3,335 is the first upside and intraday level that needs to be reclaimed. The R1 intraday resistance saw a small attempt for a test in very early opening this Friday, coming in around $3,381. Further up, Gold price could extend the rally to the R2 resistance at $3,414, surpassing the $3,400 handle.
Can gold continue its decline and hit a new low?US President Trump said he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell. Affected by this, the US dollar soared in the short term and spot gold plummeted dramatically. This remark marks a huge change in Trump's attitude. He has recently stepped up his criticism of Powell and refused to rule out the possibility of taking the unprecedented step of firing Powell.
Gold technical analysis: This wave of gold correction is still continuing. The market has actually warned about today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after gold rose to 3500 yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation!
In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to sell short. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
NEXT ALL-TIME HIGH TARGET: $3,635.00Gold continues its bullish trajectory with eyes set on a new all-time high at $3,635.00. As global market uncertainty fuels demand for safe-haven assets, this level marks the next major upside milestone for long-term positioning and breakout momentum traders.
ENTRY : $3323.00 (Could pull back briefly to $3095, so keep that in mind)
TARGET : $3635.00
POTENTIAL SECONDARY TARGET : $3725.00..
XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal Setup Near Support🟦 Chart Context:
Type: Intraday (likely 15m or 1h timeframe).
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): 3,316.497
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,316.332
Current Price: 3,312.650
🔍 Technical Analysis:
1. Trend & Moving Averages:
EMA Crossover (Bearish): The 50 EMA is slightly above the 200 EMA, but both are flat and converging, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term sentiment.
Price below both EMAs indicates bearish pressure in the immediate term.
2. Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: 3,355 – 3,370
Price was previously rejected from this zone, indicating strong supply and likely sell orders.
Support Zone: 3,295 – 3,305
Price has bounced here multiple times, suggesting active buyers.
Strong Support: 3,265 – 3,275
A broader and more historically respected area that could lead to a significant reversal if tested.
3. Price Action:
Currently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a classic sign of short-term weakness.
A small descending triangle appears to be forming near the support level (bearish bias), but the drawn forecast suggests a potential fakeout breakdown followed by a bullish reversal.
4. Expected Scenario (as per chart projection):
Price might dip briefly into the 3,295–3,305 support, triggering liquidity grab (stop hunts).
A potential bullish rally towards the 3,355–3,370 resistance zone is expected.
This suggests a buy-the-dip strategy near support with tight risk management.
📈 Trade Outlook:
🟢 Bullish Bias:
If the support at 3,295–3,305 holds and price reclaims the 200 EMA convincingly.
Target: 3,355–3,370 resistance zone.
🔴 Bearish Bias:
If price breaks below the strong support (3,265), expect continuation lower.
Downside targets would then extend towards 3,240–3,250.
✅ Conclusion:
Current bias: Neutral to short-term bearish unless the lower support holds.
Key action zone: Watch price reaction around 3,295.
Strategy suggestion: Monitor for a bullish reversal signal at support; avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range.
Gold still has a chance to reboundCurrently, gold's bulls and bears are still oscillating within a large range. The key pressure above and the upper edge of the range are maintained near 3365-70, while the lower edge of the large range and the support are maintained near 3260. It is very likely that there will be multiple shocks and choices within this range again.
Gold retreats to around 3302-00 during the day, go long, target around 3330-50, stop loss 3295.
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNTechnical Analysis – Rising Wedge Bearish Pattern
The price action has recently formed a rising wedge, a classic bearish reversal pattern often observed after a sustained uptrend. This pattern is characterized by converging trendlines, where both the support and resistance lines slope upwards, but the support line rises at a steeper angle. It indicates weakening bullish momentum and growing selling pressure.
Breakdown Confirmation: The wedge has broken to the downside, confirming the bearish bias. The volume profile also supports the move, with a noticeable spike in selling volume during the breakdown — a key validation signal for the pattern.
Target Projection: Using the height of the wedge at its thickest point and projecting it downward from the breakdown zone, the calculated target price is 3234. This aligns with previous support zones, adding further technical significance to the target level.
Conclusion:
Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish)
Breakdown: Confirmed
Target: 3234
Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims the upper boundary of the wedge
Traders should monitor for potential retests of the breakdown level as resistance, which can provide a low-risk entry for short positions. Always consider volume confirmation and set stop-loss levels appropriately to manage risk.
Gold Is Setting Up for a Second Leg HigherOn the chart, we can see that price is holding above the recent lows at 3,291 and 3,314. At this stage, a purple consolidation zone has formed, with higher lows compared to the previous structure. All factors currently point toward a move up into the 3,386–3,367 range.
This outlook would be invalidated if price drops to the lower boundary of the purple consolidation.
XAUUSD H2 Idea, Aligned with weekly view XAUUSD& SILVER—Risk-On Mood Pressures Prices, Fed Easing Eyed
- Gold and silver prices experienced downward pressure during Friday’s Asian trading session, as a resurgence in risk appetite prompted investors to move away from safe-haven assets. Gold (XAU/USD) fell from an early high of $3,370 to $3,316, while silver (XAG/USD) dipped near $33.44, though it maintained support above $33.18.
- This shift in sentiment was influenced by positive developments in U.S.–China trade relations. Reports indicated that Beijing is considering suspending its 125% tariff on select U.S. goods, and President Trump confirmed ongoing negotiations, with the White House noting progress.
- Additionally, stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data contributed to the decline in precious metal prices. Durable goods orders surged 9.2% in March, surpassing expectations and bolstering the U.S. dollar, which in turn weighed on gold.
Despite these factors, the outlook for gold and silver remains influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. economic indicators, such as the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, for further clues on potential Fed easing.