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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (May 26–30, 2025)👋 Hey GoldMindsFX Fam! 📍 Current Price: 3,358 🗓 Timeframe: Weekly Bias: Bullish-with-caution, looking for first signs of real pullback or fresh squeeze. 🔍 REFINED WEEKLY STRUCTURE ZONES Zone Type Price Range Context / Confluence 🟥 Premium Supply/FVG 3,480–3,515 Fibo 2.0 extension wick high, supply unmitigated, strong rejection risk if spiked. 🟪 Upper Trap / Reversal 3,415–3,440 FVG+OB combo, previous bull trap zone, micro liquidity sweep. 🟦 Mid-Resistance / S/R Flip 3,375–3,388 Weekly PA reaction (last close rejection zone), possible magnet for news-driven retests. 🟩 Demand/Support #1 3,250–3,265 Clean OB + FVG, demand that sent price to new high, SMC structure confirmed here. 🟩 Demand/Support #2 3,172–3,188 Weekly demand, liquidity sweep (post-CPI), reaction base before latest impulse up. 🟦 Discount Block 3,065–3,100 Last unmitigated OB + FVG combo, only reached if sentiment reverses heavy or big news shock. 📈 Trend, PA & RSI Insights Trend: Bullish, but big wicks + RSI divergence suggest a pause is near. Price Action: Last impulse is losing steam; lots of rejection wicks above 3,400. PA signals “distribution” up top. RSI: Still overbought – ideal for fade setups if price enters supply. Fibo Extensions: 1.618 tapped and rejected (3,440 zone) 2.0 = 3,515 (major upper limit for May unless new shock) 🌍 Macro/News Context Geopolitics: Ongoing tension (Ukraine, Middle East), central bank gold demand, China accumulating, hot US inflation. Market feels nervous: Powell’s last speech + CPI/UoM confusion = chop and volatility spikes possible. Watch for fakeouts on news spikes into upper zones. 🧠 Key Takeaway Bulls: Only strong above 3,388 close, but risk of traps grows with each spike. Bears: Look for rejection/CHoCH above 3,440–3,480. If 3,250 breaks, 3,170–3,100 opens fast. ⚡️ Weekly Gameplan (No SL/TP) Premium POIs: 3,480–3,515: Extreme supply, reversal watch zone 3,415–3,440: Main liquidity trap for NY news 3,375–3,388: Magnet zone for intraday retests Discount POIs: 3,250–3,265: Best bullish support on structure 3,172–3,188: Secondary demand, high bounce probability 3,065–3,100: Deep liquidity block for max FOMO shakeout Stay sharp, don’t chase FOMO wicks. Let price come to your POI — and as always, flow with structure, not the hype. Drop a 🔥 if you’re riding this weekly flow! — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD → Consolidation amid a bullish trendFX:XAUUSD is trading in consolidation. As expected, the retest of the 3290 support level will end with a strengthening. The price is heading towards the resistance of the range. The dollar is falling, which is supporting gold. The local trend is set by the fundamental background. The price of gold is strengthening and heading towards the resistance of the trading range, with the zone of interest being the liquidity located above 3346. The fundamental background is on the buyers' side, but since today is Friday, there is no strong news and the market is unlikely to seek a breakout from consolidation due to the lack of a driver. Thus, we can expect a correction from resistance before growth resumes, which may form next week. Resistance levels: 3346, 3360 Support levels: 3308, 3290, 3282 Consolidation after the break of the local downtrend amid a falling dollar means that bulls are building up potential before a possible continuation of growth. But at the moment, an intraday trading strategy can be considered. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: What a day on Gold! We completed a mega pip capture on the long into the Excalibur target and red box barrier only to then get the RIP that we wanted in order to capture that short trade downside completing another phenomenal pip capture and target. Our red box indicators performed well as well as the algo allowing our traders to navigate their way on the swing and the scalps. Now we have support below at the 3290 level which needs to break to go lower, otherwise resistance above is at the red box 3310-15 which could be the destination for the close. As always, trade safe KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
How will the short-term trend of gold develop?From a technical perspective, the overall volatility is limited. In the near future, the upper side is under pressure from the trend line, and the lower side is affected by the 4-hour middle track support. The overall trend is maintained in the range of 3365-3322. The current monthly line is approaching its closing, and the short-term market is temporarily in a high-level oscillation stage. In the 4-hour cycle, the price range is gradually narrowing, waiting for a directional breakthrough. The lower support focuses on the 3325-3320 middle track position and the previous top and bottom conversion support of the 3308 line; the upper pressure focuses on the 3352 and 3365 areas. After a slight high opening, it weakened. The overall idea is still to treat it as a wide range of fluctuations. It is recommended to be long and short in operation, and adjust the strategy after breaking through. Operation suggestion: Go long near 3330-3323, and the target is 3340 and 3352; If the pressure near 3352 is not broken, consider shorting, and the target is to fall back to the 3330 line.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold Price Analysis May 27The price increase at the end of the day was expected to push the price up today, but surprisingly, at the end of the Asian session and the beginning of the European session, gold fell sharply. After the liquidity sweep to 3305. The immediate support level that Gold is facing is 3303. This border is still used for trading in the European and American sessions. Pay attention to the daily support level around 3292. 3323 is an important resistance zone when it breaks out, you can SELL scalping here for a round and then the Asian session resistance around 3345 is considered a stable area for gold prices in the uptrend of the American session. Note that breaking 3303 breaks the uptrend and the recovery will be weak, so consider TP for reasonable buy entries.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
How I Use Elliott Waves to Trade — A Real Example from XAU/USDElliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool I use to understand market structure and build trading plans with confidence. In this post, I’ll walk you through how I’m applying it to the current setup in XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour chart, and how I develop a trading plan around it. 🌀 The Current Structure: A 5-Wave Impulse in Progress Based on the chart, I believe gold is in the middle of completing a classic 5-wave impulsive move. We’ve already seen the completion of Wave 1 and Wave 3—and we’re now likely in the midst of a Wave 4 correction. 🔍 How Do I Know This? There are several clues: Wave 3 is extended, meaning it’s longer than both Wave 1 and the expected Wave 5. Inside Wave 3, Wave 2 was a sideways flat, and Wave 4 was a sharp zigzag. This follows the Guideline of Alternation, which states that if one correction is sharp, the next tends to be sideways. These characteristics give me confidence in my wave count. 💡 Why I Love Trading Wave 5 Wave 5 is my favorite wave to trade because it offers a high-probability opportunity when the structure is clear and confirmed. Here’s how I approach it: 📉 Step 1: Define the Invalidation Level According to Elliott Wave rules, Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1. This gives me a hard stop loss zone—if price dips below that, the count is invalid, and I step aside. 🎯 Step 2: Determine the Target (Take Profit) When Wave 3 is extended, Wave 5 usually relates to Wave 1, and I consider three common Fibonacci targets: 61.8% 100% 161.8% Since the 100% extension of Wave 1 is the most typical scenario, that’s where I’ll tentatively place my take profit. 🛠️ Step 3: Plan the Entry Now that I have both my stop (below Wave 1) and my take profit (100% of Wave 1), I plan my entry. Here’s how: Wave 4 often retraces to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of Wave 3—which is where I begin looking for support. This level also coincides with the termination point of the previous Wave 4, adding further support per Elliott guidelines. If price enters that support zone and I see a complete corrective structure (flat or triangle), that’s my green light to enter. If all the above conditions are met, I’ll post a follow-up with my exact entry strategy. 🧠 Final Thoughts: Flexibility Is Key While this plan is structured, the market is dynamic. Patterns evolve. Counts can shift. The key is to stay objective, recognize when the scenario changes, and adapt quickly. Elliott Wave trading is not about perfection, but about anticipation, risk control, and reacting intelligently as price unfolds.
TVC:GOLDLong
by RealWaveTrader-
XAUUSD Approaching Breakout Zone | Technical Setup on 15m ChartGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute chart. The price has recently tested the upper trendline resistance but faced rejection, suggesting caution. Key observations: Structure: Descending triangle with multiple rejections at resistance. Support Zone: 3,285 – 3,290 area holds historical significance. Volume: Noticeable spike during the recent upward leg, hinting at strong participation. Bias: Watching for a clean breakout and close above the trendline for bullish confirmation. A rejection and breakdown below the 3,285 support area may shift short-term bias. This setup is ideal for traders monitoring breakout or reversal opportunities with defined risk management. Always confirm with your trading rules and strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
XAUUSD | 1h BearishGold (XAUUSD) 1H Analysis Currently, gold is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal from a key supply zone. Price tapped into the previous high and reacted with strong rejection, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. This area aligns with a clear zone of interest, where sellers previously stepped in, adding confluence to our bearish bias. The structure has been respected so far, and price has now broken below the minor trendline support, which previously acted as dynamic support for this bullish leg. A pullback to retest this broken structure or the imbalance zone just above could provide an optimal entry for further downside. The trade idea is built on a potential shift in market structure: A double top internal structure formation is visible at the recent high, indicating exhaustion in the uptrend. Price is expected to push lower, targeting TP1, which sits at the previous strong support zone and aligns with the internal structure break. Further continuation to the downside could take price toward the 0.5 FIB retracement level and PDL (Previous Day Low)—both strong liquidity areas. We are anticipating a reaction from these lower zones. If bullish momentum reappears there, it may offer a chance to reposition for long setups later. For now, the bias remains bearish while price holds below the supply zone and structure confirms.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by awaisulabdeen
Today we will focus on the 3281 support Gold fell below 3300, today we focus on the support of 3281 We are making a profit from the long suggestions given during the day, focusing on the support near 3281. If this position is not broken, the price will fluctuate and may re-stand on 3300 and go above 3320. Therefore, we insist on the long idea today, short around 3287-90, stop loss 3280, take profit at 3310-20, pay attention to the risk. May 27 gold short-term trading: long near 3288, stop loss 3280, take profit at 3320 Be careful, if it breaks 3280, it is expected to reach 3260, and you can go bearish.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Yuliya1l11
GOLD 1. Gold and Dollar Index (DXY) Correlation Gold and the US dollar (DXY) typically have a strong inverse correlation. When the dollar strengthens, gold tends to weaken because gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices by making it cheaper internationally. However, during periods of geopolitical tension or market stress, both gold and the dollar can rise simultaneously as safe-haven assets. In 2025, gold has shown resilience despite some dollar strength due to inflation concerns and central bank purchases. 2. Gold and Current Interest Rates / 10-Year Bond Yield The current US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.41% to 4.54% (latest data from May 21 to May 30, 2025). Interest rates and bond yields have an inverse relationship with gold prices, primarily through the impact of real interest rates (nominal yield minus inflation). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, typically pressuring gold prices. However, if inflation expectations rise faster than nominal yields, real yields can remain low or negative, supporting gold demand. Recent Fed concerns about stagflation and inflation have kept real yields low, supporting gold prices despite elevated nominal yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices and yields move inversely: when bond prices rise, yields fall, and vice versa. Rising bond prices (falling yields) generally support gold prices, as lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Conversely, falling bond prices (rising yields) tend to pressure gold. As of late May 2025, bond prices have been relatively stable but with some downward pressure reflecting inflation and fiscal concerns. 4. Carry Trade Advantage Related to Gold Carry trade involves borrowing in low-interest-rate currencies and investing in higher-yielding assets or currencies. Gold carry trades involve borrowing gold at low leasing rates and investing the proceeds in higher-yielding instruments. The carry trade advantage depends on the interest rate differential and gold lease rates; low gold lease rates and high interest rate differentials favor carry trades. Changes in interest rates and bond yields influence carry trade flows indirectly by affecting currency valuations and the cost of financing gold positions. When interest rate differentials widen in favor of a currency, that currency strengthens, which can pressure gold prices denominated in that currency. Summary Table Factor Current Status (May 2025) Correlation with Gold Key Notes Dollar Index (DXY) Around 98.4, testing key support Inverse Dollar strength pressures gold, exceptions in crises US 10-Year Treasury Yield ~4.41% - 4.54% Inverse (via real yields) Higher nominal yields pressure gold unless inflation rises faster Bond Prices Slight downward pressure Positive Rising bond prices support gold by lowering yields Interest Rates (Fed Funds) Fed funds ~4.25%, markets pricing cuts later in 2025 Inverse Rate hikes increase opportunity cost of gold Carry Trade Advantage Dependent on currency yield differentials Indirect Wider differentials can strengthen currencies, impacting gold Conclusion Gold prices remain inversely correlated with the US dollar and real interest rates. Despite elevated nominal 10-year yields (~4.4%), gold is supported by low or negative real yields due to inflation concerns. Bond price movements, reflecting yield changes, also influence gold indirectly through opportunity costs. Carry trade dynamics, driven by interest rate differentials, affect currency strength and thus gold prices, with low gold lease rates enhancing carry trade profitability. Monitoring DXY trends, inflation-adjusted yields, and central bank policies is essential to understanding gold’s near- and medium-term price movements. #GOLD #DOLLAR
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis: --- 1. Trend & Structure The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal. After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment. --- 2. Key Levels Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support. Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest. The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone. --- 3. Price Projection The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards: Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50 Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98 These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones. --- 4. RSI Indicator RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation. --- 5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path) A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected. From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary of the Idea This is a bullish continuation setup based on: Trend reversal via ChoCH. Strong order block formations. EMA 200 support. RSI confirmation. Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support. Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
28
Gold Watch Out for Information Smoke Bombs 💡Message Strategy Trump's tariff stick ignites the market again Last Friday, US President Trump's remarks were like a bombshell. He publicly stated that he planned to significantly increase the tariff on imported steel and aluminum from the current 25% to 50%. This radical move immediately triggered a strong reaction from global trading partners. The European Commission immediately issued a warning, saying that Europe is ready to take retaliatory measures. A weaker dollar boosted gold prices In addition to safe-haven demand, the weakening of the U.S. dollar index also provided additional support for gold's rise. During the Asian trading session on Monday, the U.S. dollar index fell 0.5% to 98.93, also hitting a new low in nearly four trading days. Since gold is denominated in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar usually makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, thereby stimulating demand. 📊Technical aspects The international news seems to be bullish for gold, but from the technical trend, gold is currently trapped in a sideways shock at the daily level. After continuous declines, it failed to continue the decline, but continued to be suppressed by the 3350 area. On the weekly line, gold hovered around the 5-day moving average and fluctuated. At the monthly level, it closed with a cross star. From the technical trend point of view, this cross star at the monthly level can be used for attack or defense. However, from the weekly level, the strength and space of the direct upward rush are extremely limited. Without major positive news stimulation, it is difficult to form a trend of rising in the short term. It is highly likely that it will still form a high-rise and fall with the help of fragmentary positive news. In the short term, focus on whether the suppression of 3350 area can be broken. If it is always under pressure at 3350, it is still expected to fluctuate in the daily range, and the fluctuation range is 3350-3270. Once it breaks through and stands above 3350, gold will have a round of daily level rise in the short term. Once it breaks through the suppression of 3350, you can follow up and go long. On the contrary, before 3350 is broken, you should not rush to chase or be overly bullish. 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3345-3360，3365-3375
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreGwc
1
Today's gold price: long target 3360Today's gold price: long target 3360 On June 2, affected by the trade tensions caused by the Trump administration's substantial increase in steel and aluminum import tariffs, the international gold price rose. Superimposed war factors: the situation between Russia and Ukraine has re-emerged, Ukraine attacked the Russian airport, and the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks have once again turned to wait-and-see, which is good for gold prices. Today, focus on the breakthrough of the 3320-3330 range pressure level. As shown in Figure 4h: The gold price cycle forms a resonant head and shoulders bottom pattern, and the pattern is close to the end of the pressure range. Next, focus on the upward breakthrough. Once an effective breakthrough is formed, it means that the tariff issue and the war dispute will be considered to be further fermented. Then the gold price will most likely hit 3360 points again on Monday. But we need to be wary of today's gap to prevent the gap from being filled. Gold trading strategy: 1: The 3300-3310 range is a strong support level. As long as the gold price is above 3300 points, I think we should take the idea of ​​going long at a low price, and the stop loss is set at 3295-3290 points. 2: The 3320-3330 range is a strong pressure point. As long as the gold price is below 3330, I think we should be alert to the possible decline at any time, forming a narrow range of fluctuations, or a sharp decline to fill the gap. Then the advice for trading is to refuse to short, be cautious in shorting, and try to short.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
1
XAUUSD 8H: This isn’t balance — it’s broadening distributionAt first glance, it may seem like gold is consolidating. In reality, price is unfolding inside a broadening formation — a structure where highs stretch higher, lows drop deeper, and real direction vanishes behind controlled volatility. This isn’t random noise. It’s Smart Money engineering a distribution phase under the cover of market indecision. And right now, the direction is forming clearly — downward. The key moment was the failed breakout above 3357 on May 24. Volume spiked 19% above average, but the candle body collapsed. That’s a textbook deviation — a classic liquidity grab. The next candle confirmed the failure by closing back below the level, and no bullish recovery followed. Instead, price printed a lower high around 3305–3315, failing to retest the top. And when price can’t go higher — it usually goes lower. Confirmation comes from the Anchored VWAP from May 13, which was broken cleanly and never retested. That’s a major shift in control — from buyer to seller. Now price trades below VWAP, with every bullish candle fading and every bearish reaction gaining strength. This is not trend continuation. This is exhaustion. Volume profile shows the Point of Control between 3297 and 3301 — and price sits well below it. The bulk of liquidity is now overhead. That zone between 3305–3315 is where Smart Money already sold once — and if price returns there, it becomes an ideal re-entry short zone, especially if followed by rejection candles or low-volume pushups. Targets are clean: → 3228 — first liquidity shelf. → 3164 — former impulse base. → 3084 — if breakdown accelerates. Everything lines up: deviation, failed breakout, VWAP lost, volume fading, lower highs forming. This isn’t a pause. This is a phase transition — and the market already voted.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold Approaches Resistance – Will It Drop to 3,290?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently approaching a previous key resistance level, an important area that has previously acted as a reversal zone where bullish moves were strongly rejected. This is also where sellers have intervened aggressively in the past, so it is worth watching, especially for anyone considering short trades. Additionally, this price zone also coincides with the upper boundary of the ascending channel, increasing the likelihood of selling pressure if bullish momentum starts to fade. Such overbought conditions often lead to significant pullbacks, supporting necessary corrections. If we start to see signs that price is being rejected here such as long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum. I think we could see a move down toward the 3,290 level. But if price clearly breaks through this area, that could invalidate the bearish idea and suggest the uptrend may even continue. This area is quite important and may help us better understand the next direction of price. As usual, this is a personal view of the market and not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasMgoldview
3
Gold Trading Strategy, May 26-27✅Today, gold reached a high of 3356, and then fell under pressure. During the European session, the market's risk aversion cooled down, and the price of gold continued to fluctuate and fall. After the gap-down opening, the price of gold failed to effectively recover the lost ground, showing signs of continued correction. The US session was closed early due to the holiday, and the volatility may be limited, but the overall weak structure has not changed. ✅From the 4-hour chart, gold was blocked and fell near the upper track of the Bollinger Band, and the price fell to the lowest near the middle track of the Bollinger Band (3323), which was also the starting point of the rise last Friday, and has a certain support significance; In terms of short-term moving averages, MA5 and MA10 formed a dead cross, indicating that short-term shorts are dominant; the long-term moving average runs above the medium-term moving average, and the overall trend is flat, indicating that the market tends to fluctuate and correct. The RSI indicator fell from the overbought area and is currently running near the neutral area, indicating that there is still room for downward movement. ✅From the 1-hour chart, gold has twice surged to 3365 in the short term and then fell back under pressure, forming an obvious double-top pressure; the current rebound pressure is at 3342, corresponding to the downward trend line pressure; if the 3320 support is lost, the further downward target may point to the 3300 integer mark. 🔴Upper resistance: 3342-3350 - short-term rebound suppression zone, which can be used as a reference for short orders; 🟢Lower support: 3300-3305 - previous key support, pay attention to whether it can effectively stop the decline. ✅Intraday trading strategy: 🔰If the rebound reaches 3342-3350 area and encounters resistance, you can arrange short orders with a light position and set the stop loss above 3356; 🔰If it breaks below the 3320 support, the short momentum may be further strengthened and you can follow the trend; 🔰If it falls to 3300 area without breaking and a stop decline signal appears, you can try to go long with a light position
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterMentor