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Gold (XAUUSD) – Pullback Setup Before Breakout? – JUNE 26, 2025🟡 GOLD PRICE OUTLOOK – June 26, 2025 Bias: Bullish | Looking for long entry on pullback 📊 Technical Overview : OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continues to build a bullish market structure, forming consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Price is currently moving within a rising wedge, approaching a short-term resistance zone. 🔴 Sell Zone (Resistance) : 3359 – 3373 – Rising wedge top + upper trendline – Fakeout trap possible near 3379.26 🟢 Buy Zone (Support) : 3294 – 3300 – Strong confluence zone – Matches previous structure support + trendline – Ideal for HL formation and long setup 🌍 Fundamentals & Macro Drivers : 💵 USD Weakness: • DXY near 3.5-year low after Powell replacement rumors • Boosting gold's upside momentum ☢ Geopolitical Risk: • Iran–Israel ceasefire in place, but fragile • Safe-haven demand still supportive 🏦 Central Bank Demand: • 20% of global gold demand from central banks • China 🇨🇳 & India 🇮🇳 are major buyers 📅 Upcoming Catalysts: • US PCE Inflation & GDP due tomorrow → Weak data = Potential breakout above 3370+ 📌 Trade Plan : ✔ Watch for rejection at 3359–3373 ✔ Long setup if price retests 3294–3300 🎯 Target = 3370+ ❌ Invalidation = Daily close below 3280 📈 Summary : Gold remains structurally bullish, supported by weak USD, central bank demand, and macro risks. Waiting for a healthy pullback into demand for long continuation setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Gold $3300 TestWith geopol tensions easing, gold prices have continued to pullback and this morning brought the first re-test of $3300 in a couple of weeks. So far, that support has held and with the Fed talking up rate cut potential even in light of higher inflation projections, that's a factor that could contribute to bullish moves in gold. The bigger question is price action related, however, and whether the build of short-term higher-lows at $3300 earlier today can lead to a larger tide of strength. The prices of $3325.60 and $3350.02 are both key short-term resistance levels, and if bulls can power through that, the door opens for re-tests of $3400 and then $3435. On the underside of prices, the $3250 level was a key swing of support as taken from prior resistance, and that's the next major spot below. - js
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
GOLD Ceasefire Violations Alleged: Despite the ceasefire, both sides have accused each other of violations: Israel reportedly struck a radar site north of Tehran just hours after the ceasefire was due to take effect, but refrained from further attacks following a direct call between Trump and Netanyahu. Iranian missiles were fired toward Israel after the ceasefire announcement, but it is unclear if these were intentional breaches or operational delays. GOLD safe haven appeal resumes buying in the face of war and geopolitical tension in middle east
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (VIDEO UPDATE)Here’s an updated video analysis, as ‘Minor Wave 2’ is still forming & pulling back deeper into the $3,285 zone which I mentioned for you all last week. We’ll be keeping an eye around this zone for a slow down in bearish momentum & if we get it, we’ll enter a buy trade. If momentum doesn’t slow down, we will let it go towards $3,245 & invalidate bullish structure. That way we know to look for sell’s 📉 TP1: $3,374 TP2: $4,300
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BA_Investments
GoldKey Data Points: Current Price: 3,309.065 USD Open: 3,358.435 USD High: 3,363.900 USD Low: 3,307.295 USD Change: +1.77% (+59,760 points) Volume: Not explicitly stated but implied by "1B" (likely 1 billion units). Price Action & Technical Observations: Trend: The price is currently below the open (3,309.065 vs. 3,358.435), suggesting a pullback after an intraday high of 3,363.900. The +1.77% daily gain indicates overall bullish momentum, but the candle shows rejection near highs (wick formation). Support/Resistance Levels: Resistance: Immediate: 3,362–3,375 USD (previous highs/profit targets). Strong: 3,406–3,425 USD (key profit levels). Support: Immediate: 3,288–3,265 USD (labeled "Entity" and "Profit" zones). Strong: 3,250 USD (psychological level). Profit Targets: The chart marks three profit-taking levels: 3,323 USD (minor), 3,362 USD (mid), 3,406 USD (major). This suggests traders are eyeing these levels for potential reversals or take-profit actions. Volume & Momentum: The "+59,760" change with "1B" volume implies strong buying interest, but the long upper wick hints at selling pressure near highs. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If price holds above 3,288–3,265 USD, a retest of 3,362–3,406 USD is likely. Bearish Reversal: A break below 3,265 USD could trigger a drop toward 3,250–3,225 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
Can XAUUSD Continue to Go Up?Last week was a bearish one for XAUUSD, following a strong bullish surge the week prior. The key question now is: can gold reclaim the highs it reached two weeks ago? From a macro perspective, institutions remain net long and have even increased their long positions, signaling continued confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. On the geo-economic front, tensions in the Middle East persist, with growing involvement from the U.S., adding to the uncertainty that typically supports gold prices. Personally, I maintain a bullish bias on XAUUSD for now, supported by both fundamental and geopolitical drivers. However, if the landscape changes — whether through technical invalidation or shifts in sentiment — I’m prepared to adapt accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by supertrader72
Hold on to the high point and go short decisively!Gold closed the weekly line today, maintaining the idea of ​​​​oscillating downward. The 4H consecutive negatives tested the support of the lower Bollinger track. Although it was roundabout and saw-sawed, every decline would be accompanied by a new low. Therefore, hold the high point to see the bottom break and accelerate. The lower side will gradually look to 3338 and 3315. Among them, 3315 is a strong support for the weekly line. If it is not broken, you can consider going long; the upper rebound pressure is 3361 and 3375. In terms of operation, short according to the rebound strength, and the specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification. Operation suggestion: Short gold in batches near 3361-3375, with a target of 3350-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
XAU/USD) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) – 2H Timeframe: --- XAU/USD Bearish Rejection from Resistance – Short-Term Sell Setup Key Observations: 1. Rejection from Upper Channel & Resistance Zone: Price was rejected sharply after touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the newly established resistance zone (~3400–3420). A strong bearish candle confirms selling pressure at the top. 2. Support Retest in Progress: The price is currently descending toward the EMA 200 and the KYY support zone (approximately 3343–3348). The previous bounce originated from this level, making it a significant retest zone. 3. EMA 200 as Confluence: The 200 EMA (currently at 3346.92) aligns with the support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce or at least temporary pause in bearish momentum. 4. RSI Bearish Signal: RSI has dropped below 50, confirming a momentum shift toward the downside. Still above oversold territory, suggesting more downside room. --- Trade Idea: Bias: Bearish (Short-Term) Entry Zone: Around 3390–3400 (confirmed rejection area) Target Zone: 3348 – 3343 (KYY support + EMA 200) Stop Loss: Above 3425 (just above resistance zone) Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: Gold has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, and is now targeting the EMA 200 and previous structural support. Short opportunities could be considered toward the 3343–3348 zone, with RSI and price action supporting the move. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
18
Gold Takes the Throne as Safe Haven AgainThe recent escalation in the Middle East — particularly Israel’s surprise strike on Iran — has stirred up significant volatility in global financial markets. Oil prices surged, stock markets around the world turned red, just as many had predicted. However, in a surprising twist, capital did not rush into the usual safe havens like the US dollar or Treasury bonds. Instead, it flowed decisively into gold. In fact, US Treasury yields have soared from 3.98% in April to around 4.42% now. This surge doesn’t signal growing confidence — it reflects investor demand for higher returns to compensate for the rising risk of holding dollar-denominated assets. Against this backdrop, gold is emerging as an “unshackled safe haven” — immune to political instability tied to fiat-currency-issuing nations. The precious metal is once again proving its value in times of global uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
23
XAUUSD: Market strategy and analysis on June 24Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3286 4-hour chart resistance 3345, support 3304 1-hour chart resistance 3335, support 3315 B2 bombing was carried out over the weekend, the scale of the war expanded, and the ceasefire was directly stopped on Monday. The news is changing at any time. Now the market risk aversion has subsided, and the gold price has fallen rapidly! The 3400 mark has been under pressure for many times and failed to break through. With the news of the ceasefire agreement, the short-term correction pressure has increased. Today, gold directly fell below the 3340 support. The loss here means that the shorts will further develop momentum downward. Next, gold will focus on the second highest point of the 1-hour line rebound 3357 as a defense point. If it continues to fall and test the 3300 integer mark, you can try to buy. SELL:3340near BUY:3300near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold Pullback After Rally – Key Risk Zone at 3,340 in FocusHello dear traders, this is Lucas speaking! After a prolonged period of accumulation, gold broke out and approached the key area around 3,400. However, the price quickly reversed as liquidity failed to follow through. The rally was sharply sold off, partly due to investor uncertainty amid a cloudy global economic outlook. From my perspective, the market is reacting with surprising caution to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Although reports have emerged about U.S. airstrikes targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities, gold has failed to respond strongly—suggesting that investors are awaiting clearer economic signals such as PMI data from the U.S. and Eurozone, GDP figures, and the upcoming Fed statement. This "half-hearted" environment has somewhat weakened gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, especially as Iran has yet to retaliate in any decisive way. As such, the market’s current focus remains a delicate balance between geopolitics and macroeconomic data. From a technical standpoint, gold is currently trading above the 3,340–3,350 zone, which is considered a key buy area. A retest of liquidity may be underway, and if buyers can defend this zone, a move back toward 3,400 is very much on the table. On the flip side, if the reaction around 3,340 is weak and support breaks down further, a decline toward 3,300 could become likely. However, if we see a false break followed by a strong rebound and breakout of the bullish structure, that would serve as an early signal for another upward leg. Warm regards, Lucas_Reid
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lucas_Reid
Gold price analysis June 20Daily candle continues to show the dispute while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then recovery at the end of the day. Yesterday and this morning's 3343 zone did not sweep, so we cancel this zone. BUY must wait until below 3323. Note additional daily support at 3296 for today's 2 buy strategies. 3362 gives a SELL Breakout signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY will go up to 3400, the target of the two upper resistance zones remains the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
There are still profit opportunities in short selling!As gold continues to rebound, bulls are reversing their decline. After gold broke through the 3370-3380 area, the current market consensus on 3350-3340 as the bottom area was strengthened. However, as gold fell back under pressure several times after the rebound, it proved that there was still a certain amount of selling pressure above, and it was obvious that the resistance was in the 3395-3405 area; once gold broke through this resistance area, gold bulls would regain the upper hand and are expected to continue to probe the 3320-3330 area. However, before gold effectively broke through the 3395-3405 area, bulls and bears would still fiercely compete for control, so it is still in a wide range of fluctuations. Therefore, before gold broke through the 3395-3405 area, we can still appropriately short gold in the 3385-3395 area, and expect gold to retreat to the 3375-3365 area in the short term. In trading, we must pay attention to the changes in the rhythm of gold. Once gold chooses a direction and makes a breakthrough, we need to change our trading strategy!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
XAUUSD: Likely rebound at major point within Ascending ChannelPrice is currently undergoing a corrective phase after being strongly rejected at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The recent pullback has pushed price back to the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now attempting to step in. If buyers manage to defend this support level, we could see a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next key target at 3,420 USD. A breakout above this midline would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, potentially driving price back to the upper boundary. However, failure to hold the trendline support could weaken the bullish outlook, leading to a potential breakdown and further downward pressure. Price action near this critical area will be key to determining the next directional move. Traders should watch for candlestick patterns and volume confirmation. As always, effective risk management is essential when trading this setup. If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, feel free to share them in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartJessica
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
the best time to make money### XAUUSD – 15m Game Plan (June 25) **Context** - London/NY overlap printed a sharp push into intraday supply @ **3329-3335**. - Immediate rejection left a long upper wick, suggesting remaining sell-side liquidity up there. - Key demand/OB sits @ **3300-3305** (round number + H1 bullish OB). --- #### Base scenario I expect price to sweep liquidity around **3300-3305**, print a bullish rejection and then target **3340-3345** (day-range extension & 4 h imbalance). > **Buy zone:** 3300-3305 > **Invalidation:** clean close < 3295 > **First TP:** 3330-3335 (~100 pips) > **Final TP:** 3340-3345 --- #### Alternate (aggressive) scalp Should price revisit **3329-3335** and show a clear rejection (15 m bearish engulf / long upper wick), I’ll consider a short toward **3315 → 3305** with stops above **3336**. Scalp only – will stand aside into major US data releases. --- > 🚩 **Risk note:** Gold is extremely headline-sensitive this week – no position will be left open through tier-1 news. Always manage risk – max 1 % per trade.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by moris-the-wizard