The golden direction after non-agricultural
💡Strategy Review
Gold fell sharply from a high on Friday. We insisted on high shorts. Although gold seemed to rebound strongly, it quickly fell back under pressure at 3375. Gold continued to short at 3370 and fell before the non-farm payrolls. Gold was bearish on the US non-farm payrolls. Gold continued to short at 3365 and finally fell sharply. Gold continued its two consecutive wins at high altitudes on Friday.
Although gold has not reached our second target, it has fallen perfectly to our first target, and there is also room for profit of $70.
So what will be the trend of gold in the future?
At present, the short trend of gold is still strong. If it continues to fall below 3290 after opening, there will be a lot of room for further decline.
📊Technical aspects
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so gold still has downward momentum. After the gold 1-hour high box oscillation, gold finally fell below the box, indicating that the gold short position is better.
Then the bottom of the gold box has now formed resistance, and the short-term 3340 line of gold has formed resistance to gold. If gold is under pressure at 3340 at the beginning of next week, then gold can continue to be short.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3330-3340
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD Sell Setup Analysis (June 9)**## 🟣 **XAUUSD Sell Setup Analysis (June 9)**
### 🔹 **Entry Zone:** 3320–3323
Price is entering a short-term **supply zone** or resistance band — potentially a previous H1/H4 reaction point.
---
### ✅ **Reasons for the Sell:**
1. **Resistance Retest (H1/H4)**
* 3320–3323 acted as support-turned-resistance earlier.
* Price bounced off this area previously → now offering a clean retest zone.
2. **Wick Rejection / Exhaustion Signs**
* On lower timeframes (M15–M30), price shows wicks and slowing bullish candles near 3320, suggesting weakness.
3. **Bearish Divergence Potential**
* Possible divergence on RSI or MACD if price spikes above 3320 while momentum slows.
4. **Short-Term Overbought Conditions**
* Following a rally into 3323, price may correct downward to clear liquidity below.
---
### 🎯 **Target Zones (TPs):**
| TP | Level | Logic |
| ------- | ----- | --------------------------------------------- |
| **TP1** | 3317 | Minor intraday low / structure break zone |
| **TP2** | 3312 | Pre-breakout base from earlier H1 candles |
| **TP3** | 3305 | Key demand zone — possible reaction area |
| **TP4** | 3299 | Stronger support, possible daily bounce level |
---
### ❌ **STOP LOSS: 3328**
This is a solid SL zone:
* Just above the local highs and outside most false breakouts
* Keeps your R\:R clean (1:2 to 1:4 range depending on TP)
---
### 📊 **Summary:**
| Element | Value |
| -------------- | ----------- |
| Direction | **Sell** 📉 |
| Entry Zone | 3320–3323 |
| Stop Loss | 3328 |
| TP1 | 3317 |
| TP2 | 3312 |
| TP3 | 3305 |
| TP4 | 3299 |
| R\:R Potential | Up to 1:4 |
---
Gold: silence on the charts—because the real money already movedThe gold market isn't reacting — it's confirming. The Israeli strikes on Iran? That’s the trigger. But the move started earlier. Price was already coiled, already positioned. All the market needed was a headline. And it got it.
Price broke out of the accumulation channel and cleared $3,400 — a key structural level that’s acted as a battleground in past rotations. The move from $3,314 was no fluke — it was a textbook build: sweep the lows, reclaim structure, flip the highs. Volume spiked exactly where it needed to — this wasn’t emotional buying. This was smart money pulling the pin.
Technicals are loaded:
— Holding above $3,396–3,398 (0.618 Fibo + demand re-entry zone)
— All major EMAs (including MA200) are now below price
— RSI strong, no sign of exhaustion
— Candles? Clean control bars — breakout, retest, drive
— Volume profile above price = air pocket — resistance is thin to nonexistent up to $3,450+
Targets:
— $3,447 — prior high
— $3,484 — 1.272 extension
— $3,530 — full 1.618 expansion — key upside target
Fundamentals:
Middle East is boiling. Iran is ready to retaliate. Israel is already escalating. In moments like these, gold isn't just a commodity — it's capital preservation. The dollar is rising — and gold still rallies. That means this isn’t about inflation, or rates. It’s about risk-off. Pure, institutional-level flight to safety.
Tactical view:
The breakout is done. Holding above $3,396 confirms the thesis. Pullbacks to that zone? Reloading points. While gold remains in the channel and momentum is clean, the only side that matters right now — is long.
When price moves before the news — that’s not reaction. That’s preparation. Stay sharp.
GOLD Technical analysis.This chart describes a bullish trade setup on Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Analysis:
Entry Zone: Price is expected to retrace down into the demand zone (around 3360.79) before moving up.
Support Area: The green zone marks a bullish order block or demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
Target: If price respects the demand zone, the projected target is near 3500.00.
Stop Loss: Placed below the demand zone, around 3337.19, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Trade Plan Summary:
Wait for the price to tap into the demand zone before entering a buy trade, targeting the next liquidity area near $3500. If price fails to hold that zone, the trade idea becomes invalid.
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,423.03.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,467.03.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout ConfirmationGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀📈
📊 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a bullish breakout above a well-defined resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400. Price action has decisively closed above this resistance, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟦 Support Zone:
Marked clearly between $3,250–$3,280, this level has held firm multiple times (highlighted with green arrows and orange circles), confirming buyer interest and market structure.
🟦 Resistance Turned Support:
The previous resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400 has now potentially turned into a new support. Price retesting this zone and holding would further validate the breakout.
📈 Future Projections:
The chart anticipates a retest-pullback-continuation scenario:
Pullback to new support 📉
Bullish continuation toward $3,460+ 🎯 if support holds.
✅ Bias:
Bullish as long as price remains above the $3,390 zone. Break and hold below would invalidate the bullish setup.
📌 Strategy Tip:
Look for confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) on the retest before entering long.
XAUUSD BUYS PROJECTION Hello everyone yup lately I’ve been slacking off on the charts and haven’t taken a Gold trade since we took a loss tho I have been trading other pairs but nothing like Gold so I’m back and fully active and will be giving my all to XAUUSD only and will be updating you guys so this is my buy projection for Gold I will be waiting for a breakout of the 3,400 zone and also wait for a good pullback with our confirmation to take buys to the last ATH we in this game to win it so let’s watch how the chart plays out and will be updating y’all if am taking any entry….
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 11, 2025Currently, the price is moving sideways within a channel.
🔍 Wave Structure Analysis:
Looking closely at the wave patterns inside this price channel, we can clearly see a series of 3-wave structures developing. Previously, we also observed what appears to be an abc corrective pattern (black), which leads me to suspect that we might be forming a triangle structure as the beginning of a wave 1 sequence (12345 in green).
It seems that wave 4 has already completed, and the price is currently in wave 5. Structurally, wave 5 may take the form of a 3-wave move, and the key confirmation we want to see is a break above 3349, signaling that the top of wave 5 is in place.
☄️ Typically, once a wave 1 triangle completes, the market tends to enter a sharp and deep corrective move in the form of a zigzag.
🎯 Potential Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
Target Zone 1: 3352 – 3355
Target Zone 2: 3362 – 3365
⚡️ Momentum Outlook :
D1 Momentum: Starting to turn bullish, suggesting the current correction is nearing completion and we could see a bullish week ahead.
H4 Momentum: Currently in overbought territory – I expect the price to break above 3349, followed by a momentum reversal on H4, which could provide a great SELL opportunity at the upper targets.
H1 Momentum: Is about to turn bearish, indicating a short-term pullback may occur. If this correction fails to break below 3315, the price may be completing wave 5 as a 3-wave structure. In that case, we should wait for H1 momentum to turn bullish and then bearish again to confirm wave 5 completion.
📌 Trading Plan :
🔻 SELL Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔️ Stop Loss: 3369
🎯 TP1: 3334
🎯 TP2: 3307
XAUUSD: Analysis June 11Positive signals in US-China trade negotiations put pressure on gold. However, escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel and Russia and Ukraine have limited the decline of gold. Today, the market focuses on CPI data released today. If the data is released above expectations, it may force the FED to keep interest rates high for a longer period of time, thereby causing gold prices to decrease. On the contrary, if the data is released below expectations, gold will be supported to increase.
From a technical perspective.
The gold sell signal 3340 - 3342 in the US session last night had a very good profit. Gold declined below 3320 but then increased again and moved steadily above this support zone, indicating that the gold's upward momentum may continue.
Gold rebounds and repairs, is it a shock or a bull market?📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
At the gold hourly level, after the pressure in the Asian session in the morning, it directly fell to the vicinity of 3302. The big Yin effectively lost the lower track of the descending flag consolidation channel. The original 3318 line was the confirmation of the channel counter-pressure point, which happened to be the 61.8% split resistance level at that time. At the same time, it lost the middle track. Therefore, we gave a trading idea of looking at the rebound under pressure and continuing to decline in the European session. As a result, the market directly took a V-shaped wash-up and once pulled up to the vicinity of 3342.
The European session fluctuated strongly and rose. Before and after the US session, it took advantage of the retracement to lure the short position, and there is still the possibility of a second pull-up space. Therefore, in the subsequent retracement support level, pay attention to two positions, one is 3322-3324, and the other is the 61.8% division support level of 3318. If it stabilizes, there is a high probability that there will be a second upward space, pointing to 3348. If the pressure here cannot be overcome, the bottom will continue to oscillate back and forth. At that time, it will fall back to see if a secondary low point can be formed to further stabilize the support. If it goes straight through and stands on it, 3293 may already be the short-term low.
On the whole, I still hold short orders before the effective breakthrough of 3345, but at the same time, as the gold price rebounds and moves upward, the short-term support level is temporarily expected to be 3325-3320.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345
TP 3325-3315
BUY 3325-3330
TP 3350-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD LONG ITGreetings traders this is my analysis on XAUUSD and it is Long
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
Head & Shoulders Formation:
A clear Head and Shoulders pattern is visible, with:
Left Shoulder forming around April 14–15,
Head peaking on April 18–19,
Right Shoulder forming April 23–24.
This is a classic bearish reversal pattern, which played out as expected.
Elliot Wave Structure:
An Elliot Wave impulse followed by a corrective wave appeared right after the head formation.
The market then entered a downtrend, completing a retracement toward the support zone (3172).
Previous Idea Target Hit:
The price reached the previous target area, confirming the validity of earlier projections (noted in blue rectangle on May 7).
Current Market Structure:
After bouncing from support, the market entered a consolidation phase (early June), signaling indecision.
A short-term dip toward the minor support at 3290 is possible before a projected bullish move.
🔮 Forecast:
Expect a short-term pullback to the support zone around 3290.
If buyers step in at that level, we could see a bullish continuation toward the resistance/target level of 3441.
Confirmation will depend on how price reacts at the minor support and if a breakout from consolidation occurs.
🛠️ Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
🔴 3172 (Major)
🔵 3290 (Minor – Potential bounce zone)
Resistance/Target:
🟢 3441 (Target from consolidation breakout)
✅ Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Bullish Scenario: Look for bullish reversal candlesticks at 3290 for long entries.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 3290 invalidates the idea — watch for potential retest of 3172.
Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think?
1-hour chart of XAU/USD (XAUUSD )Chart Observations
Current Price:
Around $3,325.40 at the time of the screenshot.
Zones and Levels:
Red Zone (Top): Resistance around $3,360 – potential reversal area if price reaches it.
Orange Zone (Middle): Resistance or supply zone near $3,340–$3,345, possibly where sellers may come in.
Gray Zone: A neutral/consolidation zone around the current price.
Green Zones (Bottom): Strong support zones near $3,280, indicating a potential long entry if price drops.
Price Action Forecast (Based on Arrows)
Bullish Scenario:
Price is expected to rise toward the orange resistance zone (~$3,340–$3,345).
If price breaks above this zone, it might test the $3,360 area (upper red zone).
Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break or gets rejected at the orange zone:
A potential reversal back down toward the $3,280 support area is anticipated.
Strategy Implication
Short Setup: If price hits the $3,340–$3,345 zone and shows signs of rejection (bearish candlestick pattern), a short trade toward $3,280 support is possible.
Long Setup: If price reaches the green support zone ($3,280) and holds, a long position could be considered targeting the gray or orange zone.
Risk Zones
Stop-Loss Considerations:
For short trades above $3,345.
For long trades below $3,275–$3,270, depending on volatility.
Gold on Watch: Rebound or Just Another Dip?Hey traders, let’s take a closer look at what’s happening with gold this week.
After multiple failed attempts to break above the 3,385 USD resistance, XAUUSD has continued to retreat, searching for fresh momentum. As the new week begins, price action is hovering around the psychological 3,330 USD level, with no clear signs of a bottom yet.
At the moment, gold remains under pressure, weighed down by the U.S. dollar’s strength in global markets. Still, weekly sentiment among analysts is split: 7 are bullish, 6 are bearish, and 1 expects prices to hold steady.
Retail traders, however, seem more optimistic. In a recent online poll of 256 participants, 66% predicted gold would rise, 15% saw a drop, and the rest expected sideways movement.
All eyes are now on upcoming economic news that could tip the scales. Personally, I'm leaning toward a recovery — how about you?
Stop and read me i command you !!! Gold baby !!! XAUUSD Bullish Outlook: Next 4 Hours
Gold (XAUUSD) appears poised for further upside in the immediate 4-hour timeframe. Recent technical analysis suggests a sustained bullish momentum, with price action holding above key moving averages. While short-term corrections are always possible, the overall sentiment favors buyers.
Key Observations:
* Strong Support: Price is finding strong support at recent lows, indicating a solid foundation for continued upward movement.
* Momentum Indicators: Momentum indicators on the 4-hour chart are either trending higher or in bullish territory, confirming buying pressure.
* Potential for Breakout: Watch for a decisive break above immediate resistance levels. A successful breach could open the path to new highs.
Potential Targets:
Should the bullish momentum continue, we could see XAUUSD testing higher resistance levels in the coming hours. Traders should monitor price action around these zones for potential continuation or profit-taking opportunities.
Important Considerations:
* Economic Data/News: Be aware of any unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical developments that could impact gold prices.
* USD Strength: A sudden surge in USD strength could put temporary pressure on gold.
* Risk Management: Always implement proper risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, to protect capital.
This is a short-term outlook and market conditions can change rapidly. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategy accordingly.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #Daytrading #Metals #Bullish #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FYP
Gold could go to 3600A retest of 3435 does not lead to a pullback or reversal. The price is consolidating near the level, which indicates to us that the buyers are stronger in the moment. The fall of the dollar may support gold, leading to an overall rise not only to 3500 but also to 3600
Scenario: in the Pacific or Asian session, gold may try to break the 3435 resistance. Consolidation above this level will lead to growth and a retest of 3495 from which a small pullback (a logical reaction to the resistance level) may occur before continuing to grow in the medium term.
Gold closed strong bull weekly candleGold closed strong bull weekly candle.
gold manage to close a solid weekly candle that manage to cover most of previous wick highs that showing a strong indication that it wants to reach its ATH as first destination which is accordance to fibo from the latest bearish movement of 3403 to 3295.
Bias is Bullish.
However, in the current daily line chart. we are at 3-point touch of resistance. which also indicate a very strong point of resistance.
1st scenario is I foresight gold will continue its climb towards 3500 or even closer to it to cfm its direction. if breaks above 3500 means gold will head towards 2.618 of fibo.
2nd scenario, if gold did not manage to break the 3500 ceiling, possibility for a trendline support retest as previous the weekly trendline was able to be broken however due to fundamental of trade war tariff its bounce back making it as a fake out.
my plan for next week.
1. I will still focus to look for buys, however I will only scalp position. means if I identify a support area to buy with a clear confirmation of fresh breakout target with a 50pips 1st tp 50% and 100pips 25% and balance B.E. for every setup.
2. I will wait for a confirmation of sells setups nearer to its resistance. if a strong and clear rejections appear in smaller tf shall i take that trade with the same principals and target as it makes sense to sell high.
at the current no trader is wrong to buy or sell as we are in at the most volatile area that a minute candle goes as much as 100pips. only money management that will keeps us alive. A self reminder to me as well. All the best traders. may it'll be a fruitful week ahead for all of us.
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3420-3402-3380
TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD GOLD ,the sudden rise in price from Asian session is driven by central bank purchase ,gold is heading to 3600 if 3400-3397 retest is successful .
the high of today 3444 on supply roof structure from the 3500 all time high, will need correction into demand floor where we look to unlock next wave of buy at 3400-3397 with the hope that 3500 is retested.
the dollar index 97.620 demand floor on retest bought and moved in the same direction with Gold by ignoring inverse correlation ,this price movement is reflecting fear, geopolitical tension ,economic instability and inflation concern in the global market.
the yesterday economic data print will be watched by feds
PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%).
Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%).
Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K).
Headline CPI:
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%).
Core CPI (ex-food/energy):
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%).
Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing.
Policy Implications:
Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance.
The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing.
The Fed will use the datas as reinforcing evidence for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation.
#gold