Gold reverses on new Bull legTechnical analysis: Gold has made an important Bullish step towards full scale Hourly 4 chart’s reversal as it almost recovered the #3,330.80 pressure point. That makes Hourly 4 chart practically Neutral but leaning on the Bullish side, however well Supported within #3,300’s belt now, which has held on multiple occasions so far. As mentioned throughout my remarks, Hourly 4 chart is still Neutral as said, but invalidated Descending Channel has expanded giving me Buying signs that Gold may test #3,352.80 psychological benchmark on current Fundamental mix (if #3,337.80 gets invalidated, Gold can kick-start aggressive upswing towards #3,345.80 zone / wall of Resistance lines first and #3,352.80 benchmark in extension. Gold was mainly correlated with DX during first Months of the Year as there was no shift which lifts the probability that July will also be DX Month is (#91.99%) since Bond Yields were on downtrend, taking strong hammering and broke all Support zones, and Gold was also on Short-term decline which confirms my Gold - DX correlation on #Q1 opening, so look for pointers there. Remember, when you are unsure of the Medium-term direction on Gold always look for clues on DX and Trade accordingly. Only when DX Trades on Weekly chart’s Higher High’s Lower zone, I will be able to note with a Higher degree of certainty that the Bearish reversal on Gold is sustainable.
My position: I was Selling Gold until #3,282.80 all the way and was aware that if #3,277.80 - #3,282.80 gets invalidated, Gold will continue with the decline, and reversal there will deliver Bullish leg. I have engaged #3,284.80 Buying order and closed near #3,300.80 benchmark. Then re-Sold aggressively from #3,304.80 towards #3,298.80. Bought #3,307.80 and kept my order all the way towards #3,315.80. Current session I will re-Buy Gold with Scalp orders aggressively, do not Sell today / my practical suggestion.
GOLD trade ideas
July 9, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis:
Gold is currently in a choppy downtrend. Watch the 3300 level closely — if price holds above it, bulls may still have strength.
However, if it breaks below 3297, bearish momentum is likely to accelerate.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3350 – Resistance
• 3345 – Intraday key resistance
• 3330–3333 – Intraday key support zone
• 3322 – Short-term resistance
• 3310 – Resistance
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3295 – Key support
• 3285 – Support
• 3275 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3300 → watch 3295, then 3287, 3282, 3275
• BUY if price holds above 3310 → watch 3315, then 3322, 3330, 3337
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
Gold Returns to the $3,300 per Ounce ZoneOver the past two trading sessions, gold has depreciated more than 1.5%, as a consistent bearish bias begins to emerge in price action. For now, selling pressure has remained steady, supported by a temporary decline in global economic uncertainty and a recent rebound in U.S. dollar strength, factors that have led gold’s upward momentum to steadily weaken.
Lateral Range Remains Intact
Recent price action in gold has defined a well-established sideways channel, with resistance near $3,400 and support around $3,200 per ounce. So far, price movement has been insufficient to break out of this range, making it the most relevant technical structure to monitor in the short term. As long as price remains within these boundaries, neutrality may continue to dominate.
Technical Indicators
MACD: The MACD indicator continues to oscillate near the neutral zero line, signaling that momentum from moving averages remains balanced. If this pattern persists, the sideways range could extend further.
RSI: A similar pattern is unfolding with the RSI, which is hovering around the 50 level, indicating a constant balance between buying and selling pressure. Sustained moves at this level could reinforce short-term price neutrality.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,400 per ounce: This historical high acts as the most significant resistance in the short term. A breakout above this level could trigger a stronger bullish bias and revive the upward trend stalled in recent weeks.
$3,300 per ounce: The current level aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. Price movement around this zone could extend market neutrality.
$3,200 per ounce: A key support level and recent low. A retest of this area could trigger a more decisive bearish bias in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,298.60 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,312.65.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 7Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3360, support 3270
4-hour chart resistance 3345, support 3280
1-hour chart resistance 3325, support 3300.
3300 is now the short-term long-short dividing line. If it falls below, it will enter a new shock zone. Please pay attention to the 3300 support level before the NY market today! (The resistance level is 3320~3325). From the fundamentals, although the gold market has experienced a technical correction in the short term, gold will continue to maintain its status as a safe-haven asset under the continued uncertainty of US trade policy and complex geopolitical tensions. As Trump's tariff deadline (July 9) approaches, we should pay close attention to the development of US trade policy around August 1 (if the tariff policy is delayed to ease the demand for safe-haven assets, combined with the technical bearish information, gold will continue to find support below 3,300).
SELL: 3300
SELL: 3325
Gold recently tapped into key liquidity zones✨ Gold Market Update – Key Insights You Need to Know ✨
Gold recently tapped into key liquidity zones—specifically the highs of the previous day and the previous week. After grabbing liquidity at those levels, the market closed below them, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
🔻 What could be next?
This price behavior suggests we might see further downside in the short term, possibly targeting the Fair Value Gap (FVG) below. If that area is reached, the market may find support and stage a rebound, potentially triggering a strong bullish move from that zone.
📊 What to watch for:
Price reaction around the FVG
Confirmation of support before entering any long positions
Volume and structure shifts on lower timeframes
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and manage risk wisely.
Short gold ,the downside potential is far from over.After we waited patiently for a long time, the gold bears finally showed signs of strength and began to fall as expected. Why do I insist on being optimistic about the gold retracement and wait patiently for it to retrace? !
In fact, it is very simple. Gold started to rebound from around 3283 and touched around 3330, which only recovered 50% of the decline. When facing the 50% retracement level, the bulls were unable to do so and could not stand above 3335, and could not even stabilize above 3330. The bulls' willingness was obviously insufficient. Then it can be determined that the gold rebound is only a technical repair of the sharp drop, and it cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. Then after a certain degree of repair, the gold bears will counterattack again.
Moreover, from the perspective of market psychology, the recent gold bull and bear markets have been discontinuous, and Trump often stirs up the gold market, making it difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side. Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3330-3340 area, there is limited room for rebound in the short term. Once gold falls below the 3310-3305 area again during the retracement, gold may test the area around 3280 again, or even around 3270.
So the above is why I insist on shorting gold, and I have shorted gold at 3320-3330 as planned, and patiently hold the position to see its performance in the 3310-3305 area, which is also the target area of our short-term short position.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 10 July 25Hello Traders,
as you can see that GOLD is stuck in tight range between 3300-3330 all eyes on clear breakout for now
further only market will break clearly 3345 level then we will consider market will move further advance below 3300 GOLD will move towards 3250
Scalping Range 3300 - 3330 for the short time period
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Loses Its Shine – Short-Term Sentiment Turns BearishHello everyone, great to see you again for today’s market chat!
The factors that once made gold appealing — inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and the flight to safety — are gradually fading. As confidence grows that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for an extended period, capital is steadily moving away from gold and into more stable, yield-generating assets.
Across the financial community, there’s growing consensus: gold is no longer a top investment priority. The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, Treasury yields are rising, and gold’s support structure is weakening. While investors await the Fed’s next move, many are staying on the sidelines — or even leaning toward a bearish outlook. Notably, the rebound in the DXY is also playing a key role in adding pressure.
Gold is currently lacking momentum, lacking support, and most of all — lacking conviction. At this stage, the trend is no longer a debate, but a widely accepted short-term reality.
What about you — where do you think gold is headed next?
Precision Over Emotion – XAUUSD 1H Supply Zone📉 Trade Breakdown:
Caught the first entry off a 1H supply zone which is on my previous post “Bait. Trigger. Collapse!” but price came back up, tagged my entry, and stopped me out at breakeven. No overreacting. No revenge. Just stayed patient and focused.
Now price is pushing back into a new 1H supply zone (📍3324–3330) with clean structure and confluences — setting up for a high-probability second shot at the play.
⸻
🔍 Key Confluences:
✅ Clean 1H Supply Zone: 3324–3330
✅ Still in bearish market structure — no bullish break
✅ Prior drop was impulsive, showing institutional rejection
✅ Current price action is slow and corrective on the pullback
✅ Zone aligns with previous imbalance and supply block = 🔥 smart money interest
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup:
Looking for confirmation entry inside the 3324–3330 zone.
Avoiding early entries — focused on sniper execution only.
⸻
📌 Execution Plan:
1. Wait for price to enter 3324–3330
→ No entry until price fully taps the zone
→ Be patient, no front-running
2. Watch for confirmation on the 5m–15m timeframe
→ Bearish engulfing
→ Long wick rejection
→ Break of structure or internal shift
3. Enter with tight stop above 3330
→ SL: ~5–8 pips above 3330 (depending on rejection)
→ TP1: 3305
→ TP2: 3284
→ TP3: Let runner breathe to 3270s if momentum is strong
4. Manage risk dynamically
→ Break even after 1:1
→ Trail below 15m highs once TP1 hits
→ No overexposure — this is a sniper play, not a lottery ticket
⸻
🧠 Mindset:
I already got stopped once — but I don’t fold.
Every setup either pays or teaches.
I don’t chase. I wait for price to earn my entry.
This time it’s cleaner. This time it’s patient.
And this time, it’s calculated.
“Trade Simple. Live Lavish.”
Gold Drops to 3,284 – Short-Term Support at Risk📊 Market Overview
Gold fell sharply this morning to $3,284/oz amid a modest USD rebound and profit-taking pressure following several range-bound sessions. The lack of fresh catalysts also contributed to weaker momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: 3,315 – 3,330
• Nearest Support: 3,280 – 3,275
• EMA 09: Price is currently trading below the EMA 09 on both the H1 and H4 timeframes → short-term bearish signal
• Candle Patterns & Momentum:
– H1 candle shows a bearish engulfing pattern near the 3,305 area → confirms downward pressure
– RSI is below 45, MACD has crossed below its signal line → bearish momentum dominant
– If the 3,275 level is breached, gold could continue to fall toward 3,260
📌 Outlook
Gold is leaning toward further downside unless it can hold above the 3,280 support level during today’s session.
💡 Trade Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,295 – 3,398
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS
❌ SL: 3,305
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,275 – 3,278
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS
❌ SL: 3,269
GOLD - at resistance ? Holds or not??#GOLD.. .market perfect dropped below our area that was around 3320
Now market bounced back and just near to his resistance area 3295 96
That will be market final area and only holdings of that region means another drop expected.
Note: we will plan for cut n reverse above that region.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Report - 9 jully, 2025Macro & Geopolitical Overview
Trump’s Tariff Threats vs Market Optimism
Despite President Trump’s insistence that sweeping tariffs will start August 1 (with no extensions), markets have demonstrated remarkable resilience. Wall Street appears to view these threats as a continuation of negotiation tactics rather than fixed policy.
The S&P 500 is up ~6% YTD, trading close to record highs, underpinned by robust corporate fundamentals and expectations of looser monetary policy.
Banks including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, and Barclays have raised their S&P 500 forecasts, projecting additional 6–11% upside over the next 12 months.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claims tariffs could yield $300bn in revenue this year, with $100bn already collected.
Market Read: Consensus suggests that repeated tariff postponements have desensitized investors, with strategists highlighting the continued strength in mega-cap tech and broader earnings momentum as outweighing trade policy risks.
EU Seeks Temporary Trade Deal
The EU is negotiating a provisional deal to maintain tariffs at 10% and avoid full-scale retaliation. German finance officials have warned of potential countermeasures if no fair resolution is reached.
Implications: A temporary truce could reduce volatility in European equities and alleviate pressure on the euro. Eurozone markets already showed optimism, with the Stoxx 600 up 0.3% and DAX and CAC 40 both gaining 0.6%.
Ukraine’s Financing Strains Intensify
The EU is urgently seeking to fill Ukraine’s projected $19bn budget gap for 2025 as ceasefire prospects diminish. Options under discussion include front-loading loans from G7 support packages and leveraging frozen Russian assets.
Trump’s promise to resume defensive arms deliveries provides a partial relief but does not fully address fiscal shortfalls.
EU leadership aims to finalize support plans before winter to ensure operational stability in Ukraine’s defense and civil services.
Strategic View: Ukraine’s funding gap underscores ongoing geopolitical risk in Eastern Europe, which could impact energy markets, defense equities, and the euro.
Port of Rotterdam Defense Preparations
Europe’s largest port is preparing for potential conflict with Russia by designating military cargo spaces and coordinating with Antwerp. This forms part of an EU-wide rearmament and strategic stockpiling effort.
Proposals include stockpiling critical raw materials (copper, lithium, graphite) and essential supplies.
Supports broader EU resilience efforts to reduce dependency on imports from China and Russia.
Implications: Reinforces the structural bullish thesis on critical raw materials and European defense contractors.
Corporate & Sector Updates
Wall Street Earnings Sentiment Turning Positive
Despite tariff noise, optimism around earnings season is rising.
Big banks expect solid Q2 results supported by labor market strength and easing inflation trends.
Analysts highlight that U.S. corporates have maintained guidance despite higher input costs.
Investment Implication: Reinforces overweight positioning in U.S. large caps, especially in tech and industrials with strong balance sheets.
Former UK PM Sunak Joins Goldman Sachs
Rishi Sunak rejoining Goldman Sachs as senior adviser highlights geopolitical expertise premium at major financial institutions.
Expected to advise on economic and geopolitical strategy while maintaining parliamentary role.
His compensation will support charitable projects, minimizing domestic political fallout.
BCG’s Gaza Fallout
BCG’s involvement in controversial Gaza post-war relocation plans has led Save the Children to cut ties after 20 years, severely damaging the firm's reputation.
Implications: Could impact BCG’s client relationships and broader consulting industry reputational risks, especially in ESG-conscious markets.
BP and Shell Return to Libya
BP and Shell have signed MoUs to explore and redevelop major Libyan oil fields, signaling re-engagement despite ongoing political instability.
Libya aims to raise output from 1.3m to 2m b/d.
These moves underscore Western energy majors' renewed focus on fossil fuels amid investor pressure for returns.
Investment View: Supports medium-term oil production growth; bullish for European oil majors despite ESG headwinds.
Asia & EM Updates
China’s Overcapacity and Deflation Concerns
China criticized local firms and governments for excessive price competition (neijuan), which has entrenched factory gate deflation for 33 consecutive months.
Beijing is signaling potential “supply-side reforms” to manage capacity and stabilize prices.
Overcapacity concerns extend to green sectors (solar, EVs), threatening global price dynamics.
Implications: May support global industrial metals prices if successful. However, near-term risks for global trade tensions remain elevated.
Southeast Asia Tariff Wall
Trump threatens 25–40% tariffs on Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, and Thailand to counter Chinese transshipment practices.
Vietnam accepted a 20% base tariff, rising to 40% for transshipped goods.
Analysts predict higher production costs and consumer prices, potentially slowing ASEAN manufacturing relocation trends.
Strategic View: Increases risk premium on regional supply chains and may provide a tailwind for nearshoring/U.S. manufacturing.
Brics Pushback and De-dollarization Drive
Brics leaders sharply criticized Trump’s new 10% "anti-Brics" tariff threat. The bloc reaffirmed its commitment to reduce USD dependence and reform global financial governance structures.
Market Lens: Accelerated shift toward local currency trade settlements could support alternative reserve currencies and precious metals.
Alternative Assets and Innovation
Tokenized Treasury Funds Surge
Crypto traders and institutions are pivoting to tokenized Treasury and money market funds (assets up 80% YTD to $7.4bn) as an alternative to stablecoins.
Advantages: yield generation, rapid blockchain-based settlement, and new collateral options.
BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and Janus Henderson products seeing robust inflows.
Implications: Bullish for blockchain infrastructure and tokenization service providers. Early-stage adoption curve but strong growth potential.
Sector Themes
Private Equity (PE): U.S. public universities are increasing PE allocations (targeting up to 30%) despite valuation and exit risks. Signals belief in long-term outperformance vs. muted public equity expectations.
Agriculture & EU Budget: CAP subsidies to farmers remain protected despite budget consolidation, driven by strong lobbying. Confirms ongoing policy support for European agricultural income stability.
Energy Transition & Defense: EU budget and port strategies reflect dual focus on green resilience and military preparedness, providing structural support to both ESG and defense-linked investments.
Markets Summary & Outlook
S&P 500 +6% Near all-time highs, supported by earnings optimism.
Euro Stoxx 600 +0.3% EU trade optimism offsetting geopolitical tensions.
DAX +0.6% Strong industrials rebound; trade negotiations key.
FTSE 100 +0.5% Supported by commodity strength and oil majors.
Dollar Index: +0.2%, moderate safe haven demand.
US 10Y yield: ~4.63%, reflecting ongoing macro uncertainty and strong U.S. data.
Gold: Supported by Brics de-dollarization narrative and geopolitical hedging.
Gold price drops to 3250Today's daily line is in the negative, rebounding in the morning, and the high point yesterday morning was 3310, and the bearish point is also at this point. It is higher than the 382 line of yesterday's decline and rebound, 3307. After the morning rebound, the current decline formed a morning downward trend. The watershed is 3308-10, today's short stop loss position. The market fell in the morning, and the strength of the rebound should not be strong. The top and bottom conversion position is 3297-98. The European session broke the bottom, and the US session continued to fall. The next double bottom support is around 3275. If the rebound is in place, it is still bearish, and the decline continues. 3258-60 line.