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GOLD trade ideas

Gold (XAUUSD) - Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Setup!Hello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, let's discuss about Gold and it is showing a strong bullish setup with an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart . This means buyers are stepping in , and a breakout above the $2,930-$2,932 neckline could push prices higher toward the next resistance at $2,954-$2,960 . A stop-loss around $2,910-$2,906 can help manage risk in case of a pullback. Watch for volume confirmation when the breakout happens—it’ll add more strength to the move! If Gold breaks out and holds above the neckline , we could see a good upside rally as buyers take charge. But if it fails to sustain, we might see some consolidation or even a drop. Best approach? Wait for a clean breakout and retest before jumping in. Stay sharp, manage risk, and trade smart! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
gold is ranging between 2900-2930what we witness from gold on 5th of march was trap sellers and buyers with 3 fakeouts. 1. fakeout buy after broke 2 resistance 2. fakeout sell after broke 2 support 3. fakeout buy again to 2929 pullback into the zone of the openeing candle of the day. so this is my game plan for today. as long as gold do not break resistance and support i am going to buy at support and sell at resistance. until we can see true breakout and pullback to either support becomes resistance or resistance becomes support. my TP will in the middle of the range and sl 1:2 ratio. be mindful we are very close to the area of the bearish weekly engulfing candle area 2937-39. a strong rejection either here or near ATH is expected to happen.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HANTRADING
XAUUSD:Big news, gold prices are about to stabilize.Dear traders. Are you still wondering whether gold prices will rise or fall next? Jack can tell you that gold prices will rise to 2900 points in the short term. This position will come soon. Because gold prices do not need to be further adjusted. The disagreement in the second peace talks in Gaza is the support for the decline of XAUUSD. In the short term, it is necessary to see whether the position near 2873-2870 is touched. If it is touched, you can buy a large amount of XAUUSD. XAUUSD buying plan: Buy at 2886-2884. Buy at 2873-2870 tp2900 tp2912 sl2960 Just as a reference condition for trading gold prices. After making money, don't forget to like it.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JAKE_T0
BULLS AND BEAR STRUGGLES Currently price is ranging on the daily FVG. This is one of the signs that I want to see on my points of interest because it is an indication according to my personal rules that price is not willing to continue and chances of respecting that level are high. We also have a 4hr FVG just above the Daily FVG. I'm anticipating price to wick into that 4hr FVG POI then have the daily candle's body close within the Daily FVG for a good confirmation of a sell program. I have POIs on the lower side of the chart which needs to be satisfied before resuming the buy program. But we'll know this once price starts moving. Don't be the liquidity guys. Have a pipful day.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Tineey_trader
Gold strong analysistoday i already asking you so market very very intrested now gold strong and market waiting for breakout. if market breakout 2921 to 2942 suddenly and again breakout 2942 to 2960 confirm. today gold market working day work completely now see the breakout and again trade okay. if market not breakout 2921 then back again 2900 to 2880, 2860, 2830 very very strong and all account washed so try my chart patterns and analysis and make good profits. thanks dear appericiate my analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by rgmfxkiller777
gold closed for feb 2025gold closed february with a bearish engulfing week covering 2 previous weeks. at the moment what i see is that gold succesfully making its corrections however there are 2 possibilities that i am looking for. if gold manage to reach 2790 or even better 2720. i will start to lookout for a good swing buy. at the moment since gold has just broke out of the bullish structure a good short position can be monitored between 2882-2892 and a buys in the current support of 2835.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HANTRADING
XAU/USD (Gold) 30-Minute Chart Analysis – February 28, 2 **1. Market Structure Analysis** - **Break of Structure (BOS):** The market remains in a clear **downtrend**, confirming bearish sentiment. - **Change of Character (CHoCH):** Any bullish CHoCHs have been short-lived, failing to break major bearish structure. - **Liquidity Zones:** - **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,930):** Acts as strong resistance where price consistently rejects. - **Discount Zone (~$2,845 - $2,855):** A potential support area where price might react. - **Equilibrium (~$2,892):** Price remains well below equilibrium, favoring bearish momentum. *2. Key Observations** - **Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL) Structure:** Price continues making **lower highs and lower lows**, a sign of a healthy downtrend. - **Weak Low (~$2,853):** A liquidity target for sellers. - **Potential Reversal Zone (~$2,845 - $2,850):** If price taps this level, it may see a short-term bounce. *3. Expected Scenarios & Probability** 1. **Bearish Continuation – 70% Probability** - **Reason:** Strong BOS, price is in a bearish structure, and liquidity exists below weak lows. - **Target:** $2,845 - $2,837. - **Confirmation:** A **break and close below $2,853**. 2. **Bullish Retracement – 30% Probability** - **Reason:** A possible reaction from the **discount zone** ($2,845 - $2,850). - **Target:** $2,876 - $2,884 (previous PWL). - **Confirmation:** Strong bullish rejection from **$2,845 - $2,850**. **4. Trading Plan** - **Sell Setup:** If price breaks **$2,853** decisively. - **Entry:** Below $2,853. - **SL:** Above $2,868. - **TP1:** $2,845. - **TP2:** $2,837. - **Risk-Reward:** 1:3. - **Buy Setup:** If price holds **$2,845 - $2,850** and reverses. - **Entry:** Around $2,850. - **SL:** Below $2,840. - **TP1:** $2,868. - **TP2:** $2,876. - **Risk-Reward:** 1:4. **Final Thoughts** - **Probability of bearish continuation:** **70%** (favoring further downside to $2,845 - $2,837). - **Probability of bullish retracement:** **30%** (bounce to $2,876 possible if discount zone holds). - **Best trade:** **Wait for confirmation** at the **$2,845 - $2,850** level before making a move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wizzywise1
Gold’s Record Rally Stalls at Fibonacci Extension ResistanceGold posted a new record high on Monday at 2956 as a period of risk aversion supported by a series of weaker US economic data releases but led by a sell off in technology stocks, that started on Friday, continued to dominate the markets attention. However, roll forward another 48 hours and Gold prices have just traded at a 2 week low of 2880. What’s interesting is that the positioning adjustment that started in US stock indices seems to have expanded into a wider bout of profit taking on winning trades that have outperformed since Donald Trump won the Presidential election in early November. Bitcoin dropped over 10%, the S&P 500 fell 4% and currently Gold has seen a pullback of 4.6% from Monday’s high. Now, as traders look ahead to the release of the US PCE Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, at 1330 GMT tomorrow, all eyes are on what a deviation from expectations in this release, up or down, could mean for the direction of Gold moving forward into March. Technical Update: Focus on the Fibonacci Extension Since posting a low of 2583 on December 19th, Gold has enjoyed a strong phase of price strength, an advance that has consistently posted new all-time highs. The latest upside extreme was seen on February 24th at 2956, which interestingly coincides with what appears to be a potentially important resistance at 2953. This level is equal to the 61.8% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th last significant sell-off in price (Highlighted on price chart above). Fibonacci extension levels use the same percentages as Fibonacci retracements, (e.g. 38.2% and 61.8%), but are calculated using a significant sell-off in price (e.g. Nov 14th Gold low 2537) and are projected higher from the upside extreme where the decline began (e.g. Oct 31st Gold high 2790). This can highlight potential resistance levels that traders can consider when an instrument like Gold is consistently posting record highs. While there is no guarantee of an extended phase of weakness developing from a Fibonacci extension resistance level, having seen 2953 cap and turn the latest price activity lower, Gold may need to see upside closing breaks above 2953, if a more extended phase of strength is to emerge. For now, at least the Fibonacci extension resistance at 2953 is holding and prompting fresh price weakness, and traders may be watching lower support levels, to gauge if a more extended decline may materialise. In this recent uptrend, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 2894 that has been able to hold previous price weakness, and if lower levels are set to be seen, it may well be closing breaks below this level that triggers them. If this were to be the case, potential support levels may be represented by the 38.2%, 50% and 62.8% retracements of the December to February strength (2583 Dec 19th low to 2956 Feb 24th high), which stand at 2813, 2769 and 2726 respectively, although much will depend on future risk events and price trends. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
XAUUSD: 6/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 2957, support below 2892 Four-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2887 One-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2912 Gold news analysis: As the US tariffs on many countries continue to take effect, and more tariff plans for Europe and other countries are about to be implemented, gold's position as a safe-haven asset remains solid. Earlier this week, US President Trump imposed a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico. However, to the surprise of the market, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted that some tariff relief may be provided to the two US neighbors. According to Bloomberg, Lutnick said in an interview with Fox Business Channel that there may be a way to reduce some tariffs. This news may put some pressure on the upward trend of gold prices in the short term. As tensions in the physical market ease, the extreme dislocation of gold prices is fading, indicating that the craze for shipping gold to the United States may have peaked. This change in supply and demand dynamics may also have an impact on the recent trend of gold prices. US Treasury yields have rebounded slightly, although there is still a long way to recover. The change of yield rate usually shows an opposite relationship with the gold price, which is also one of the factors that the market pays attention to. Gold operation suggestion: Yesterday, gold experienced a wide range of long and short fluctuations in the volatile trading. The price rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions. The European session was suppressed below 2922 and fell back and fell. The US session accelerated downward and broke through the 2900 integer mark to reach 2894 and stabilized and began to rebound. Finally, it broke through the 2929 mark and began to fall and consolidate. The overall gold price formed a wide range of long and short fluctuations around the 2894-2929 mark. From the current trend analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on the one-hour level 2912 first-line support and the daily level support 2892. The upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2930. Continue to rely on this range to participate in high selling and low buying during the day, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Buy: 2892near. SL:2887 (can be entered repeatedly) Buy: 2900near. SL:2895 (can be entered repeatedly) Buy:2912near. SL:2908 Sell:2930near. SL:2935
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
XAU/USD Analysis & Market Insights📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels: Major Resistance at 2,934.00 Strong supply zone where price has previously rejected. Multiple tests of this area indicate seller pressure. Short-term Resistance at 2,920-2,925 Price is consolidating near this zone. A rejection could lead to a downward move. 📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels: Support at 2,846.88 - 2,832.72 (Demand Zone) Strong reaction zone where buyers stepped in. Previous price action suggests liquidity in this area. Deeper Support at 2,720-2,680 If 2,832 breaks, this is the next key demand area. Aligned with moving averages, adding confluence. 📉 Current Market Outlook: Price recently bounced from the 2,846-2,832 support, showing buyers’ presence. However, the 2,920-2,925 area is acting as resistance. If the price fails to break higher, a move back toward 2,846 or even 2,720 is possible. 📈 Potential Trading Setups: 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 2,920 after a clear rejection. Target 1: 2,846 Target 2: 2,832, with possible extension to 2,720. Stop Loss: Above 2,935 to avoid fakeouts. 🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario): Entry: Break and hold above 2,934.00 with confirmation. Target 1: 2,960 Target 2: 3,000+ Stop Loss: Below 2,915 to minimize risk. 📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers 1️⃣ US ISM Services PMI & ADP Jobs Report: The ISM Services PMI increased to 53.5, signaling stronger services inflation and employment. However, the ADP Employment Report showed a disappointing 77K jobs, far below the expected 140K, weighing on the USD. 2️⃣ Trump’s Tariffs & USD Weakness: Trump announced massive tariffs on trade partners, affecting risk sentiment. While he downplayed negative effects, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, boosting risk appetite. This weakened the USD, allowing gold to rise. 3️⃣ Upcoming ECB Decision: The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, which could further impact market sentiment and gold’s direction. If the rate cut weakens the EUR, gold could see more upside. 📌 Final Thoughts: 2,920-2,925 remains a key resistance for short-term direction. A break above 2,934 could signal bullish continuation. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward 2,846 or lower. Fundamentals favor gold's strength as the USD weakens due to poor job data and trade uncertainty. 🚀 Key Decision Zone: Watch price action near 2,920-2,925!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
GOLD The upcoming US Unemployment Claims data, with a forecast of 234,000 and a previous figure of 242,000, can influence trade directional bias in several ways: Impact on USD: Lower-than-expected claims: This typically indicates a strong labor market, which can support the USD by suggesting economic resilience and potentially leading to higher interest rates. A lower number than forecasted (234K) could strengthen the USD. Higher-than-expected claims: Conversely, if claims rise unexpectedly, it might signal economic weakness, potentially weakening the USD as it could lead to expectations of lower interest rates or more accommodative monetary policy. Market Reaction: Positive Surprise: If the actual number is lower than the forecast (e.g., below 234K), it could lead to a positive market reaction, potentially strengthening the USD. This is because a strong labor market suggests a robust economy, which can boost investor confidence and support the currency. Negative Surprise: If the actual number is higher than the forecast (e.g., above 234K), it could lead to a negative market reaction, potentially weakening the USD. This is because higher claims might indicate economic slowdown, leading to reduced investor confidence and a weaker currency. Trade Directional Bias: Long USD: If unemployment claims are lower than expected, indicating a strong labor market. Short USD: If claims are higher than expected, suggesting economic weakness. Impact on Other Markets: Stocks and Commodities: A strong labor market (lower claims) can boost stocks and commodities by indicating economic growth, while a weak labor market (higher claims) might lead to a decline in these assets. Interest Rates: Lower claims could lead to expectations of higher interest rates, supporting the USD, while higher claims might lead to expectations of lower rates, weakening the USD. Overall, the impact of unemployment claims on trade directional bias depends on how the data aligns with market expectations and its implications for economic growth and monetary policy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAU/USD 05 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK