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GOLD trade ideas

Gold is Past Due for a PullbackReason #1: Gold reached $3000/oz and it has a strong tendency to pullback after reaching $1000 multiples for the first time as can be seen on the chart, specifically when it first reached $1000 and $2000. $1900 which is a whole number in the ballpark of $2000 was also stiff resistance in 2011. Reason #2: Gold has been above the 52-week simple moving average for over 1 year. This alone is not reason enough to go short, as gold can stay above the 52-week average for 3 years like it did starting in 2008, but it is indicative of gold having rallied for an extended period of time without having any routine pullbacks. In the absence of routine pullbacks, gold can be said to be "past due" for a pullback the same way a person can be said to be "past due" for a dental appointment. A person being past due for a dental appointment isn't necessarily going to go to the dentist any time soon, but they will have to go eventually and the longer they put it off, the more cavities they'll have to have filled and possibly root canals once they do. This "number of days above moving average" metric is plotted at the bottom of the chart. Reason #3: Gold tends to correct during stock market crashes. If the stock market keeps crashing, gold will likely follow, as it more often than not does. Reason #4: Precious metals and industrial metals have dropped tremendously with the "Liberation Day" and retaliatory tariff announcements. Gold has been holding up like a champ in comparison. If other metals are rallying, it might not be a great time to short gold, but if they continue dumping or hold steady at or near current levels, gold may very well follow suit due to being in the same commodity family. Not a great reason, but a reason. Reason #5: Gold is extended. Draw any trendline, look at any indicator, gold is flying high. This is similar to reason #2 but is less specific. One might consider looking to catch downswings, particularly when price is below 3000. Gold is long-term bullish, but poised for downside price action in the near term. Previous peak to troth moves with similar setups: May 2006: -25.76% over 5 weeks Mar 2008: -18.15% over 6 weeks Sep 2011: -20.19% over 3 weeks Aug 2020: -14.97% over 17 weeks Current move: -4.8% over 1 week 2700 (-14.88%) before first week of August 2025 is a comparable move to the Aug 2020 move. 2530 (-20.12%) by April 25th 2025 is a comparable move to the Sep 2011 move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Skipper86
Gold TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you're doing well. In the 1-hour timeframe, the price of gold has taken a downward trend and has formed two lower lows. There is a very strong order block visible on the chart, and I expect that after the price retraces to this order block, it will react and continue to move down. We will wait for the price to reach this order block, then in the 5-minute timeframe, we will take the right trades and enter a short position. Keep in mind that in higher timeframes, the market is moving upwards, so short positions carry higher risk. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub 📅 25.Apr.5 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GPTradersHub
XAUUSD 15M Analysis: A Potential Reversal for Gold Prior to NFPGold (XAUUSD) is approaching a key demand zone, which could offer a potential buying opportunity. Here’s a breakdown of my analysis and trade expectations: 1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis • Price is currently in a short-term downtrend, creating lower highs and lower lows. • However, a Monitor Buy Zone has been identified, where price previously found strong support and liquidity. • A reaction from this level could trigger a bullish reversal. 2️⃣ Expected Price Movements • Bullish Scenario: If price reaches the Monitor Buy Zone (3,067 - 3,047) and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., wicks, engulfing candles), we could see a rebound toward 3,095 - 3,100 as the first target. • Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below the 3,047 support level with strong bearish momentum, it could invalidate the buy setup and push lower toward new demand levels. 3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance Levels: • 3,095 - 3,100: Initial target zone for a bounce. • 3,120: Potential extended target if momentum continues. • Support Levels: • 3,067: First reaction level in the Monitor Buy Zone. • 3,047: Last level of defense before a deeper drop. 4️⃣ Trade Plan & Risk Management • Entry: Looking for bullish confirmations at the Monitor Buy Zone before entering a long position. • Stop Loss: Below 3,047, ensuring minimal risk if the trade setup fails. • Take Profit Levels: • First TP at 3,095 - 3,100 (safe target). • Extended TP at 3,120 (if bullish momentum continues). 5️⃣ Confluences for a Long Setup • Liquidity Grab Possibility: Price could sweep below previous lows before reversing. • Historical Support: Price has bounced from this region before, adding strength to the buy zone. • Fibonacci Levels: Possible alignment with key retracement zones for added confirmation. Final Thoughts: I’ll be closely watching price action at the Monitor Buy Zone before entering a trade. If price respects this area and bullish momentum builds, we could see a strong rebound. What’s your bias on XAUUSD? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HorricaneFx
XAUUSD SHORTXAUUSD short again, 9yr high for Gold and still holding on to my shorts. another day, another entry. Setting my position at 3138 // TP 3000 SL 3238 A lil discouraged with the current rallies, however, this is what trading is like, you take your L's, gather your emotion, recalculate and execute again(when you're less emotional). Sticking to my Short positions because I believe that this will reverse, it may take a while but im willing to wait. Setting my TP to my previous target to cover previous losses and SL a lil bit further to secure my positions. This isnt a trading or financial advice but my personal trading plan. Let's see how this trade rolls. Day 14of100 L:5 W:1
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by delrosariohanan
XAUUSD:Trading strategiesThe current upward speed of gold has somewhat slowed down, yet the upward trend hasn't come to an end. After testing the support around 3100, it has risen again and is currently trading within the range of 3100-3140. Today, we need to focus particularly on the US ADP data, as well as the details of Trump's announcement regarding the implementation of tariffs. These will have a significant impact on the market when they are released. This week is destined to be full of risks and opportunities. Before the upward trend of gold concludes, we should continue to maintain a long position strategy. For a safer buying area, pay attention to the range of 3100-3010. I will continuously send out accurate signals, and all signals have been profitable. If you need accurate signals, please click the link below the article.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by KentJessie6
XAUUSD H1 Trading Plan (Intraday Precision)Bias: 📈 Bullish Current Price: ~$3,096 Context: Clean breakout from H1 range → intraday expansion phase in play. 📊 1. Structure & Market Phases Price consolidated in a tight range (highlighted in blue) for ~1 week, between ~3,000 and ~3,049. Recent breakout above range → confirming bullish continuation. Minor HLs forming → micro structure remains clean. 🧠 2. Smart Money Concepts 🔲 Old OB / Demand Zone: Gray zone = area of prior breakout (ideal re-entry on pullbacks). 🧊 Range high (~3,049.57) = now acting as support (flip zone). 🧠 FVG might exist in the 3,060–3,080 range on lower TFs → potential internal mitigation. 📌 3. Key H1 Levels 🔝 Upside: 🔸 3,120.14 – Major upside target (aligned with HTF) 🔸 Next target levels depend on PA around psychological levels (e.g., 3,100, 3,150) 🟦 Support Zones: ✅ 3,049.57 – Previous range high ✅ 3,000.66 – Base of accumulation block ✅ 2,983–2,975 – Internal mitigation zones ✅ 2,899.69 – Major invalidation point (HTF OB) 📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H1 Execution Focus) ✅ Scenario A: Breakout Continuation Price stays above 3,049–3,060 → bullish continuation likely. 🎯 Target: 3,100 / 3,120 intraday Look for bullish BOS or FVG entries on pullbacks (M15/M5 timing ideal) 🔁 Scenario B: Pullback into Demand Retracement back to 3,049 / 3,030 / 3,000 zone 🔁 Entry on bullish reaction from prior range top Great RR setups for continuation longs 🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Likely) Break below 2,975 could lead to: 🔻 Deeper move into OB around 2,960 / 2,899 Would shift intraday bias from bullish to neutral 🧭 Summary 1H is in a breakout phase – ideal moment to hunt continuation trades. Pullbacks into previous range top or base are high-probability re-entry zones. Bias remains strongly bullish unless structure below 2,975 is broken.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H4 Trading Plan (Intraday Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Continuation) Current Price: ~$3,093 Context: Price is accelerating after breaking key resistance, maintaining bullish structure. 🧠 1. Market Structure (H4) Structure remains bullish, with well-defined HH & HL. Recent consolidation block (OB + FVG): price broke out cleanly and is now expanding. Short-term trend leg is steep → potential for shallow intraday pullbacks. 📌 2. Key Levels from Your Chart 🔝 Upside Target 3,120.14 – Major H4 resistance / next liquidity zone 🟦 Intraday Support Zones 3,049.57 – recent H4 resistance, now flipped support (ideal for pullback entries) 3,000.65 – clean structure zone, possible FVG fill 2,977.64 – origin of last impulse 2,960.27 / 2,899.69 – deeper HTF demand / OB zones 🔍 3. Order Blocks & Liquidity 🔲 OB zone breakout (highlighted gray area) → now acting as demand 💧Buy-side liquidity rests above 3,120 Any retracement into 3,049 / 3,000 could be used by Smart Money for re-entry longs 📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H4) ✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation Price holds above 3,049 → intraday continuation toward: 🎯 3,120 🎯 Potential extension: 3,150+ 📌 Ideal setup: bullish engulfing or BOS + FVG entry on pullback to 3,049 zone 🔁 Scenario B: Pullback Before Continuation Rejection near 3,100–3,120 leads to pullback toward: 🔁 3,049 🔁 3,000 (FVG / previous OB) Monitor price action at those levels for continuation entries. 🟥 Scenario C: Bearish Shift (Low Probability for Now) Break below 2,960 with strong bearish momentum → opens door toward: 🔻 2,899 This would invalidate current bullish short-term structure. 🧭 Summary Trend is strong, momentum is clean → only looking for buy setups on dips. Watch for continuation above 3,049 and especially reactive price action near 3,120. If pullback occurs, 3,000 zone is prime location for re-entry longs.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan (1D Outlook)🔍 1. Structure & Price Action Price broke out aggressively from previous consolidation (~2960–3000). Current impulse leg is strong, with very shallow pullbacks – trending conditions. Daily candles show sustained buying pressure, minimal upper wicks → buyers in control. 📏 2. Key Levels (from your chart) 📌 Upside Targets: 🔸 3,120.14 – potential resistance / short-term TP 🔸 3,180.72 – extended upside target if momentum holds 🟩 Support Zones: ✅ 3,049.38 – minor intraday support ✅ 3,000.66 – recent breakout retest zone ✅ 2,960.77 – clean demand zone / OB zone ✅ 2,899.69 – last major demand / strong structure support 🧠 3. SMC & Liquidity Insights Buy-side liquidity has been cleared → clean runway toward psychological zones (3100–3200). FVG may exist between recent candles → shallow retracement into 3049 / 3000 possible. No active bearish OBs above → price remains in price discovery mode. 📅 4. Daily Trade Scenarios ✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation Hold above 3,049–3,060 → continuation toward: 🎯 3,120 🎯 3,180+ Look for strong H4 bullish candles on retest of minor support. ⚠️ Scenario B: Pullback to Demand Reject from 3,100+ and drop toward: 🔁 3,000 (retest previous high) 🔁 2,960 (key OB / FVG zone) Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing, break of structure) for re-entry long. 🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Probable) Break below 2,899 could shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish. 🧭 Summary XAUUSD is in a strong trending phase with no major resistance above. Pullbacks into 3,049 / 3,000 / 2,960 are ideal areas to look for continuation longs. Focus remains on buy-the-dip setups as long as price holds above 2,899.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD ICT Analysis | Smart Money Concepts | 15m ChartThis chart exemplifies classic ICT methodology and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in motion. Here's a breakdown of the zones and logic: Current Market Structure Market swept a prior low (liquidity grab) near $3,015, indicating Smart Money accumulation in the breaker block. Bullish reaction occurred precisely at the breaker + demand zone, suggesting accumulation by Smart Money. Price is currently respecting a short-term higher low, with probable retracement toward premium levels. Key Zones Marked Breaker Block ($3,015–$3,036): Entry area where price reversed after liquidity sweep. High Probability Reversal Zone (~$3,061–$3,075): Aligned with 0.382–0.5 Fib + internal liquidity. Pullback Zone (~$3,090): 0.618 Fib retracement & previous inefficiency (FVG close). FVG (Fair Value Gap) (~$3,100–$3,135): Anticipated magnet for price to rebalance inefficiency. Order Block + Rejection Block (~$3,135–$3,167): Strong resistance zone. High chance of rejection. Expected Play Liquidity Sweep Below -> Accumulation in Breaker Block Bullish Repricing Toward FVG + OB Reaction in Pullback Zone / OB Likely Smart Money will look to offload longs in the OB/Resistance Zone, potentially triggering a bearish rejection. Macro Fundamentals (April 2025) Recent Geopolitical & Economic Drivers: 1. Middle East Tensions: Escalation between Iran and Israel has increased risk-on demand for gold. 2.USD Weakness: Mixed US labor data released April 4 showed slower job growth, reducing Fed’s tightening stance. 3. Gold Reserve Accumulation: Recent reports indicate China & Russia continue increasing gold reserves, supporting medium-term bullish bias on XAU.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FaithdrivenTrades
Gold's counter draw 3115-18 is still an excellent short spotGold fell after hitting a high of 3135, but failed to stand firm at the 3121 real level. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating significant selling pressure from above. The current key watershed is in the 3115-3121 area: if the closing price falls below this position, the lower side will test the strong support band of 3085, and the medium-term trend may turn to shock adjustment. Pay attention to the 3115-3118 pullback opportunity, and you can arrange short orders in place. There are two points to note: First, if the price fails to quickly pull back to 3115, it may accelerate downward; second, if it unexpectedly recovers 3115, it is necessary to adjust the strategy. Gold operation suggestions: short in the rebound 3115-3118 area, stop loss 3125, target 3085.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by GladysEmily
4/3 Gold Trading StrategiesTariff concerns and inflation have once again triggered significant volatility in gold. After yesterday’s price surge following news announcements, today’s market opened with continued bullish momentum, reaching around 3170. For traders who managed to keep up with the market rhythm, this was a golden opportunity—but for those caught on the wrong side, it was a disaster. The persistent price rally has put short sellers under significant pressure. While I hope most of you are in long positions, I also understand that’s not always the case. For those stuck in short trades, the key now is to minimize losses or even turn the situation into a profit. Based on the current price structure, I expect a high-level pullback. If your short position isn't causing serious damage to your account, holding on could be a viable strategy. The expected trading range includes a high point at 3166-3178 and a low point at 3138-3123. Additionally, several key technical levels need to be monitored for potential reversals. Trading Recommendations: 📌 Main Trades: Sell in the 3166-3182 range Buy in the 3136-3121 range 📌 Short-Term Scalping: Be flexible in the 3147-3158 range Manage your risk carefully and adjust your trades based on market movements! 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Sorry, I'm going short gold.This 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) chart presents a Head and Shoulders pattern forming near the 3,124 level, indicating a potential bearish reversal. The structure consists of: Left Shoulder – A peak followed by a retracement. Head – The highest point in the formation. Right Shoulder – A lower high, confirming the pattern. Additionally, a Quasimodo pattern is forming, reinforcing bearish sentiment if price fails to sustain above 3,139. A breakdown below the neckline suggests a potential move toward the projected target zone at 3,039. Key Levels & Trade Plan 📍 Resistance: 3,139 (Quasimodo level) 📉 Support Levels: 3,107 – 3,085 – 3,039 (Main target) 📊 Bearish Confirmation: Break below the neckline (~3,120) 🎯 Target Zone: 3,039 A clean breakdown below the neckline could accelerate bearish momentum, aligning with the projected drop of approximately 62.7 points (-2.02%). Bulls need to reclaim 3,139 for any invalidation of this bearish outlook. Keep an eye on price action confirmation before entering trades.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by WendellCarroll
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish trend Demand Zone –Trend Analysis & ts🔵 Demand Zone (Support Area): This blue zone represents a strong buying area where buyers are expected to step in. If the price touches this zone and bounces, it confirms bullish strength. 📉 Trend Line Break: The previous trendline has been broken ⛔, signaling a possible retest before a move up. 🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management): Positioned at 3,108.52 🔴, meaning if the price drops below this, the trade setup becomes invalid. 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit Level): 3,167.77 ✅ is the potential profit zone if the price moves upward from the demand area. 🟠 Expected Price Movement: The orange dotted line 🔶 suggests a likely move: 1. Price dips into the demand zone (🔵). 2. Bounces back up 🔄. 3. Breaks minor resistance 🟦. 4. Rallies to the target zone 🎯. Overall, bullish movement 📈 is expected if the demand zone holds! 🚀
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Jameshead007