GOLD WILL GO FURTHER UP|LONG|
✅GOLD fell again to retest the support
But it is a strong key level
So as we are seeing a bullish
Rebound already I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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GOLD trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bearish Move Towards Key Support LevelGold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around the 3318.760 level on the 2-hour chart. The recent market structure shows clear weakness with the formation of lower highs and lower lows.
If the price breaks below the key support levels at 3317.505 and 3231.027, further downside towards 3146.825, 3081.588, and eventually 3026.212 could be expected. This bearish scenario is supported by technical patterns and the ongoing downward momentum.
The red lines and arrows on the chart indicate the possible bearish path, especially with upcoming major U.S. economic news releases, which could bring increased volatility.
Key Support Levels:
3317.505
3231.027
3146.825
3081.588
3026.212
Key Resistance Level:
3445.704
Idea:
As long as the price remains below 3445.704, the bearish bias will stay intact. If the price action moves as expected, sell setups could be prioritized upon confirmation.
“Gold Analysis: Breakout Achieved, What’s Next?”“Last week’s analysis played out perfectly with gold filling the gap and closing strongly at 3319$.
Looking ahead, holding above 3280$ could lead to further upside targets at 3369$ and 3408$.
However, a break below 3260$ may trigger a deeper correction toward 3245$.
Stay tuned for live updates and future setups.
Your support and feedback are highly appreciated!”
GOLD | Monthly Chart – Uncharted Territory
We are officially in price discovery.
🔱 Gold has broken out of its multi-decade consolidation range and closed above the previous highs with conviction.
💰 $3,500 is now within reach — a major extension target sitting at the 2.618 Fibonacci level.
🟨 The yellow zone was the key resistance area that capped price action for nearly 13 years — now acting as a powerful base for potential continuation.
📊 This chart is a reminder: when historical resistance gives way, it’s not just a breakout — it’s a paradigm shift.
Will a false breakdown in support lead to growth?The current trading range is 3275-3290. Since the opening, the price has been fluctuating in a small range. There was no news on Friday, so the price may regain its upward momentum after retesting the liquidity and support area of 3270-3285.
Gold prices are currently stable around $3280, but the US dollar has curbed the rise of gold prices.
Gold prices have held their ground after recovering, but the strengthening of the US dollar and hopes for progress in tariff war negotiations have limited further gains in gold prices…
Optimism about US corporate earnings and fears of a recession are easing, supporting demand for the US dollar. However, the continued uncertainty in Sino-US relations has kept interest in gold strong.
The market is waiting for new signals from the White House and the Federal Reserve, which will determine the further trend of gold prices.
Focus on the support trading range. A false break of 3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth.
No news today, except for the unpredictable situation of Trump and the tariff war in general. Any speech or tweet could shake the market.
However, gold prices remain range-bound after a lackluster week.
Quaid recommended:
The market fluctuates sideways today. You can try short-term trading. Look at 10 points for each upward callback and perform scalping transactions in this range.
XAUUSD Price Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play ??Asset Overview
The chart represents a price action analysis with support and resistance zones, along with EMA indicators (50 and 200), likely on a 4H or 1H timeframe.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~3,400 to 3,450
First Support Zone: ~3,230 to 3,250
Second Support Zone: ~3,090 to 3,130
Indicators
EMA 50 (Red): Currently around 3,340, acting as dynamic resistance.
EMA 200 (Blue): Positioned near 3,232, reinforcing the first support zone.
Price Action Insight
Price had a strong uptrend, peaking above 3,440 before pulling back.
A lower high may be forming, suggesting possible trend exhaustion.
The current bounce appears to be a retracement back toward resistance or EMA 50.
Projected Move (As Illustrated on Chart)
Short-term bullish move into the resistance zone (~3,400–3,450).
Failure to break above resistance leads to sharp rejection.
Price retraces to first support zone (aligned with EMA 200).
If support fails, deeper drop expected toward the lower support zone (~3,100).
Strategic Notes
📉 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above resistance.
🔍 Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or divergences near resistance.
🛡️ First support aligns with EMA 200, making it a critical level for bulls to defend.
🔻 Breakdown below 3,230 opens room for larger correction to 3,100–3,090.
Conclusion
Currently, the chart suggests a potential short opportunity if price confirms rejection at resistance. The EMA cross structure remains bullish long-term, but momentum is weakening, and failure to reclaim highs could shift sentiment bearish in the short to mid-term.
Topping Out or Temporary Pullback?Market Analysis (Daily Chart View):
The Daily chart indicates that price has declined after reaching a record all-time high and reacting from the upper boundary of an Ascending Broadening Wedge. Both the Weekly and Monthly charts remain in extreme overbought conditions, suggesting caution. Additionally, the upward trend across all three timeframes—Monthly, Weekly, and Daily—is unusually steep and unsustainable.
Such steep trends often lead to parabolic spikes, typically seen near the end of a trend, which is evident from the long wicks on the recent Weekly and Monthly candles. Based on the structure of the Ascending Broadening Wedge, the projected price target is 2565.00.
Gold's downside target is AB=CD, 3132On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD fluctuated and fell, and the bears have the upper hand. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 3367. If the rebound is not broken, it is expected to start to fall. The support below is around 3260. If it falls below, it is expected to form an AB=CD pattern, with a target near 3132.
Gold price plunged nearly $200. The signal of cooling down the tIn the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold opened nearly $40 lower and hit $3,313.51 per ounce, down nearly $200 from the historical high of 3,500 hit on Tuesday. Because U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that international trade tensions would ease, which stimulated optimism in the stock market and boosted the dollar to a near one-week high; spot gold closed down 1.2% on Tuesday, closing at $3,380.95 per ounce.
Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: The latest remarks suggest that the trade war with the Asian giant may ease, but this is the time to start selling.
After Benson said that the tariff deadlock was unsustainable, the U.S. stock market rose by more than 2%, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for gold, and the rebound of the U.S. dollar also suppressed the price of gold.
Quaid believes that its roller coaster trend is still continuing. I hope traders will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed officials later this week, hoping to find clues to future monetary policy at a time when people are worried about the independence of the Fed. And I will analyze it for you as soon as possible and give you reasonable suggestions.
Current strategy:
Relative to the market situation: as long as the price can continue to rise, it means that the current situation is just a volatile market, not a peak retracement, which is also a feature of the volatile trend; at the same time, the current market is not extremely strong after a sharp drop, and it is still in a volatile rise; therefore, do not go long, but go long after the retracement support.
XAUUSD Sell IdeaGold price have climbed very quickly in the past 72 Trading Hours and has left gaps in the market. This is famously know as "Fair Value Gap". Usually, I would only base my trade on the trend line breakout and head and shoulders pattern, but I read a definition recently, let us see if the dictionary is right.
XAU/USD 22 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 16 April 2025 I that will wait for price to print a bearish CHoCH but will also continue to monitor price.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, however, the pullback was very minimal with price continuing to print higher-highs. As a result I will again apply discretion and mark the CHoCH in red in order not to distort internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per analysis dated 18 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high.
Price has continued to print higher-highs with minimal pullbacks.
Multiple CHoCH's have been printed, however, I will apply discretion and not classify them as CHoCH's in order not to distort internal structure due to very minimal pullbacks.
Since most recent all time high price has printed a bearish CHOCH and is now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 22nd April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Current ATH at 3455
-Looking for pullback
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Gold Trading Strategy, April 21-22✅At present, the continuous strong rise of gold is mainly driven by Trump's tariff policy, and the technical aspect has no substantial reference value in the current market. As long as there is no sign of easing of the tariff issue, it is difficult for gold to have a substantial correction.
✅Driven by market sentiment, it is not advisable to blindly guess the top. Even if there is a rough prediction of the pressure level, it can only be used as a reference, and no one can accurately judge the real high point. Therefore, in trading, it is necessary to flexibly adjust the strategy according to the actual market trend.
✅From a short-term perspective, the gold price has risen three times in a row during the day, and it is not advisable to continue to chase more at the current position. If the market continues to rise, it is necessary to wait for a more ideal retracement opportunity before making a layout. In terms of the hourly chart, you can pay attention to the support of the MA10 and MA20 moving averages as a potential entry point for short-term long orders.
✅It should be emphasized that "too much rise" itself is not a reason for a decline, but the higher the price goes, the more important risk control is. Short-term bullishness is still possible, but defensive awareness must be improved. In terms of medium-term target positions, the next important level may point to $3,500
Gold Approaches $3,400 Amid Weakening Dollar ConfidenceGold is rallying on a combination of safe-haven flows and Dollar weakness, approaching the $3,420 resistance. While momentum is elevated—resembling crisis-era extremes—further gains are possible amid continued uncertainty.
If $3,420-$3450 zone holds, aligning with key Fibonacci extensions (drawn from the 2018 lows, 2020 highs, and 2022 lows), and trendline connecting 2016 and 2020 peaks, gold could follow through on its cup and handle breakout pattern toward $3,700 and $4,000.
However, any geopolitical resolution or easing of trade tensions could trigger a sharp reversal, with potential downside levels at $3,000, $2,960, $2,900, and $2,800.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
XAUUSD 1H, 12/04/2025.XAU/USD Directional Trade Setup
- Entry Point: Ensure the trade is executed only at the designated entry level. Patience is key to maximizing the setup's potential.
- Stop-Loss (SL): Strictly adhere to the stop-loss. Exiting on a close below the specified SL level is essential to protect capital and manage risk.
- Take-Profit (TP): This setup offers a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, so it's critical to trail the take-profit level as the trade progresses. Trailing TP ensures you lock in profits while giving the trade room to grow.
Note: This analysis is shared purely for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk responsibly and make decisions aligned with your trading strategy.
Weekly Gold Analysis (XAU/USD)📊 Weekly Gold Analysis (XAU/USD)
🔍 Technical & Fundamental Insight by Shaker Trading
🟢 Bullish Momentum Continues:
Strong Uptrend:
Gold is clearly in a powerful bullish wave, with price action confirming the dominant upward momentum on the weekly timeframe.
Geopolitical & Economic Factors:
Current geopolitical tensions, along with economic uncertainty and global trade issues, continue to support safe-haven demand for gold.
Key Buy Zones Identified:
We have marked the strongest demand zones where buying opportunities are most favorable for the upcoming moves.
📌 Outlook:
We expect the bullish momentum to continue. Any pullback toward the marked zones may offer high-probability long entries.
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