GOLD LONG-TERM FORECAST UPDATEMonthly Chart: Gold is forming an internal high and low, indicating a potential reversal.
Weekly Chart: Inside bar formation, waiting for market sweep. Expecting a bullish move after sweep.
Daily Chart: CRT pattern confirmed, targeting lower levels. Our bullish area remains at $2580-
Stay tuned for further updates!
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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GOLD - $6,200+ BULL RUN?! (MONTHLY TF)I believe we’re in for another huge bull run towards Wave 5 ($6,200), after a Wave 4 correction towards $2,800. Waiting on a final move down to liquidate late buyers.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
XAU/USD 23 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 April 2025.
In addition we should be mindful that All HTF's require a pullback and H$ TF has indicated the start of bearish pullback phase as a bearish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, it should not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
You will note that currently price has mitigated an M15 demand zone and strong low is currently holding.
Price printed as per analysis dated 18 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high.
Price has continued to print higher-highs with minimal pullbacks.
Multiple CHoCH's have been printed, however, I will apply discretion and not classify them as CHoCH's in order not to distort internal structure due to very minimal pullbacks.
Since most recent all time high price has printed a bearish CHOCH and is now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
April 14 to April 18, 2025, due to the Good Friday holiday, the market was closed on April 18. There were only four trading days this week, and the spot gold market performed strongly, with a weekly increase of 2.76%. Prior to this, some investors chose to take profits after the international gold price hit a new high of more than $3,357 on Thursday. Although the current technical side shows that gold is overbought, the overall market is still in a steady upward trend.The rise in London gold prices was driven by the safe-haven demand caused by the weakening of the US dollar, trade policy uncertainty, and hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the risk of stagflation. The economic data released this week showed differentiation, with a solid labor market but weak housing data, coupled with geopolitical risks such as the European Central Bank's interest rate cut and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold.Looking ahead, the bullish trend of gold remains solid, and investors should pay close attention to the Fed's subsequent policy statements and trade policy dynamics, which will have an important impact on market sentiment and gold price trends in the coming weeks.
Technical Review:
Gold daily level still maintains a strong unilateral bullish trend in the short term. There is no highest, only higher. Before the top pressure K appears, it will continue to step back and be bullish. The support position confirmed by the step back is about 3300-3290. As long as this position is stabilized, there is hope for further efforts in the future to set a new historical high.The 4-hour level is now in high-level fluctuations. The key MA10-day support moves up to 3313. As long as this moving average can be held, this cycle will still maintain a strong squeeze and pull up. At the hourly level, there will be a certain decline and correction in the short-term Asian session on Thursday, and it will be trapped in a shock consolidation. The next step is to wait patiently for the consolidation to end. The short-term pressure point middle track is also the 10-day moving average 3332-33 line. There may be multiple attempts here, but before breaking through, don't chase the rise! Pay attention to the lower track support 3313 below, and the upper track of the previous channel step back to confirm the range of 3300-3290, because the upward channel is uncertain whether there will be a false piercing. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for 3313, 3300-3290 to stabilize and rise next week, or break through 3332-33 and then step back to confirm stability, which is also bullish. After a sharp rise, it is just a small adjustment at a high level or sideways, which is to prepare for the next round of rise.
Next week's analysis:
Gold fell all the way in the US market on Friday, falling to 3283 at the lowest, but gold rose again in the second half of the night for risk aversion. Will gold return to a large range of fluctuations or end the adjustment? Then the trend of gold after the opening next week is very critical. If gold continues to rise strongly at the opening next week, then gold may be adjusted to the end, and gold bulls may continue to exert their strength. This will be seen after the opening of Monday.The gold 1-hour moving average is now continuing to diverge upward with a golden cross. If the gold 1-hour moving average turns in the short term, then the gold 1-hour will begin to adjust. So if the short-term opening is weak next week, then the gold 1-hour moving average may begin to turn, and if it is strong, it will continue to extend upward. Gold is suppressed by the downward trend line in the 1-hour short term. The short-term pressure of gold moves down to the 3332 line. If gold is still under pressure at 3332 after opening next week, then gold may continue to fluctuate downward in the short term, thereby driving the moving average to turn around. If it directly breaks through 3332 after opening, then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3300-3303, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3353, stop loss at 3362, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3313, second support level: 3300, third support level: 3285
First resistance level: 3332, second resistance level: 3357, third resistance level: 3373
GOLD → Correction to support. What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates a new high to 3357. A correction is forming after Powell's speech. On the background of the bullish trend it is worth looking for stronger support levels
Gold halted gains at $3,358 as traders take profits and assess the implications of Trump's tariff policy.Gold's gains on the week were driven by the escalating trade war between the US and China, fears of a US recession and a flight from risk assets. However, cautious rhetoric from Fed chief Powell and positive signals from trade talks with Japan temporarily curbed further gains in gold. But the level of risks and possible escalation of the conflict is still at a high level.
It is too early to talk about the trend change. At the moment the correction to liquidity zones is forming on the background of the bullish trend. The focus is on 3296, 0.5 fibo. The price may bounce from these levels.
Resistance levels: 3344, 3457
Support levels: 3320, 3296, 3275
The correction after Powell's speech may be quickly exhausted if the politicians from China and the US fuel the conflict. But any hints of negotiations and tariff cuts could be taken very positively by the market, which could lead to a reversal of the local trend.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekShould the downward trend persist and breach the 3265 mark 🔻, the subsequent support level to watch closely will be 3195. Conversely, in the event that this key resistance holds firm 🛡️, there's a strong likelihood of a rebound kicking in as early as next week 📈!
XAUUSD Analysis
I. Interpretation of the News 📰
This week, the multiple shifts in Trump's attitude towards Powell have become a key factor driving significant fluctuations in the gold price. On Monday, US President Trump bluntly stated that if interest rates are not lowered immediately, the US economy may slow down, and he once again criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. However, Powell responded that before the impact of Trump's tariff plan on inflation becomes clear and does not lead to a sustained surge in inflation, it is not appropriate to cut interest rates. 💰💼
The continuous pressure exerted by the Trump administration on the Federal Reserve Chairman has triggered a series of market reactions: the stock market has fallen under pressure, and bond yields have risen. This has led investors and analysts to start pondering what the consequences would be if Trump insists on challenging the independence of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and even attempts to remove Powell from his position with a little over a year left in his term. This uncertainty has injected more volatile factors into the gold market. 😰📊
II. Current Market Trends📈📉
The recent trend of the gold market has been extremely volatile, with intraday trading fluctuations frequently approaching $100. Against the backdrop of tense trade situations, market risk - aversion has skyrocketed, pushing the gold price to break above the $3,500 mark at one point. However, as Trump's stance on tariffs softened this week, coupled with long - position investors taking profits near the $3,500 level, the gold price has dropped significantly this week, hitting a low of around $3,260.🚨💥
III. Technical Analysis 📊
(1) Daily Chart 📅
Yesterday, gold closed with a large bearish candle with a relatively long lower shadow. When the price fell to around $3,265 for the second time, a double - bottom support formed, and the price stabilized and rebounded to $3,319. This trend indicates that $3,265 has become a key defensive position for the bulls in the near term. As long as this level holds, the gold price is not likely to weaken easily and will most likely maintain a volatile upward trend. ⚖️🚀
(2) 4 - Hour Chart ⏱️
From the perspective of the 4 - hour chart, gold is in a triangular consolidation pattern. Currently, the gold price has received effective support from the trend line and is gradually starting an upward trend. At the same time, the resistance of the middle band of the Bollinger Bands to the K - line is not significant, which further validates that the medium - to long - term bullish trend of gold is taking shape. With the appearance of consecutive upward - closing candles, it provides strong support for the subsequent rise of the gold price. It is expected that the key short - term resistance level is around $3,370, and gold is expected to start a new round of upward rally on this basis. 🌟📈
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Gold rebounds weakly and returns to a downtrendGold trend analysis: The current gold price is in a stalemate stage of long-short game. On the one hand, the path of the Fed's easing policy has been basically clear, and the US dollar is facing correction pressure; on the other hand, the stable global risk sentiment and the strong performance of the stock market have weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven tool. The repeated signals of global trade negotiations have also made the market direction unclear. From a technical point of view, gold has received support after the correction to the 26.3% Fibonacci retracement level of 3317 this week, and has returned to above $3,300 in the short term. The upper resistance focuses on the 3380 position. Once it breaks through, it will open up space to the 3400 mark.
From the daily gold chart, yesterday's gold price fell sharply and recorded a large real body negative candlestick pattern. The previous price peaked at a relatively obvious high, suggesting that the upper pressure effect is strong. The MACD indicator double line began to turn downward, increasing the risk of further short-term correction. However, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages have not turned downward yet, so you can pay attention to the support and defense of the moving averages. From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has maintained a volatile decline since it came under pressure at the 3500 line. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 line, with a short-term decline of US$240. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator double line has issued a dead cross reversal signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started.
After the rise, gold fell back and fell below the support levels of 3351 and 3330. Now the market rebounded near 3314, which is also in line with our analysis of the long and short trend. In the big trend, the gold rally did not cross 3380, so there is still downward demand, that is to say, it can only be regarded as a rebound during the decline. In the short term, this wave of gains stopped at 3367, and now it broke through 3351 and pierced 3316 to rebound. The main focus on the upper support conversion resistance level of 51, followed by 3342. Specifically, you can wait for 42 to be touched and use 51 as protection to go short to see the gold price break the previous rebound low of 3314 to 3300. If it breaks down effectively, you can move the protection loss down to see the position of the rebound turning point of 3283 and 3260.
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,327.25 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,299.56.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Trend-Following Setup ExplainedI spotted a bullish flag pattern on ⚠️Gold pair.
After reaching a new higher high, the price corrected within an expanding channel
To catch the next bullish move, I'm waiting for a bullish breakout of the flag's resistance.
We need a 4H candle close above that to confirm the breakout.
Target will be 3360
Major Life Update: I Left the United Nation to Trade Full TimeAfter 11+ years of working in some of the toughest crisis zones — Jordan, Turkey, Syria, Iraq, HQ Geneva, and Ukraine — I’ve officially stepped down from my role as Head of the Information Management Team for the Health Cluster – World Health Organization – Ukraine Office.
It wasn’t easy.
But it was time.
The pressure, the politics, the burnout… it all started to weigh too heavy. And somewhere along the way, I realized I wasn’t living — I was just surviving.
And with the recent UN funding cuts — especially following the decision by Trump to halt contributions — it became clear that working in the humanitarian system is no longer something I can rely on for long-term stability or financial security for my family.
Trading changed that for me.
It gave me space to think, to breathe, and to build something that’s mine. It taught me discipline, patience, and how to trust myself again.
So now, I’m stepping into a new chapter — full-time day trader.
Not chasing the noise. Just sticking to my setups, showing up every day, and trusting the process.
I’m sharing this here because honestly, everyone following me feels like my new big family — and to the good friends I’ve made in this community, thank you for being part of this journey.
This isn’t the end of the road. It’s a new one.
And I’m walking it fully awake this time.
Wish me luck, see you in the minds section :)
Moe,
#TradingLife #Mindset #DayTrader #Resignation #LifeShift #NewChapter #FinancialFreedom #SeeYouInTheMindsSection
Short gold directlyGold's 1-hour moving average is still in the form of a dead cross, and gold fell back again after rising high, so gold is now beginning to fluctuate. Although gold broke through the 3367 line, gold did not stand firm after the breakthrough. For the time being, gold is still fluctuating in a wide range.
Gold Updates - Friday April 25🔔 Friday Market Prep | Key Gold Zones Only
Microstructure whispers. Friday price action bites.
Friday is notorious for:
Low-volume traps after London lunch;
Dealer sweep games;
Profit-taking volatility;
And “just because” fakeouts to set up Monday gaps;
We don’t predict—we prepare. These are the zones that matter going into NY session.
🔴 SELL INTEREST ZONES
• 3362–3372 - HIT today gave 700+ pips profit✅
🔁 Proven supply—hit twice already, high reactivity
🧠 Only valid on LTF confirmation for re-entry
• 3384–3393
🔁 HTF imbalance + OB trap zone
🧠 Ideal for NY fakeout spike
• 3410–3415
🔁 Premium OB + liquidity grab zone
• 3450–3457
🔁 Untouched HTF OB + stop hunt territory
🟢 BUY INTEREST ZONES
• 3278-3288
📍 Support pocket – OB + below Asia low
• 3250–3260
📍 Deep OB + structural base
• 3224–3233
📍 HTF EQ + reactive demand sweep zone
🧐 Friday is not for heroes—it’s for hunters. Watch for the sweep ➝ shift ➝ confirm before touching anything.
Let Gold make the first move. We respond.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
XAUUSD: 1H Channel Up bottomed and is rebounding for the new HHGold is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 52.820, MACD = 3.110, ADX = 23.525) and as it just crossed under its 1H MA50 and rebounded, we have the conditions for the new bullish wave of the short term Channel Up. We are aiming for another +4.45% rise (TP = 3,425).
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Gold - Heading Higher For Another +30%!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) won't stop any time soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in 2015 we witnessed a significant rounding bottom formation on Gold, starting the next major bullrun. With the all time high breakout back in the end of 2023, this rally was just confirmed and after the recent trendline breakout, Gold can still head much much higher.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold strategy: nail range tradesOn Thursday, the price of gold mainly fluctuated within a range. In the early trading session, it rebounded to the highest level of around 3366 at the opening, and the lowest was around 3307. In the actual trading on Thursday, we suggested shorting at the range of 3340-3345 and longing at the range of 3300-3310, and we perfectly captured the profit from the range fluctuations.
We will continue to pay attention to the short-term resistance at the range of 3340-3345. The key resistance to focus on is at the range of 3360-3366. In terms of operation, we will continue to trade within the range.
From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, the support below is around the range of 3300-3310. When it pulls back, we can go long once based on this position and then observe the rebound. The short-term resistance above is around the range of 3340-3356. The key resistance to focus on is at the range of 3360-3366. Overall, it will maintain a wide range of bull-bear fluctuations within this range. At positions in the middle of the range, it is advisable to observe more and trade less, and be cautious about chasing orders.
XAUUSD
sell@3340-3345
tp:3320-3310
buy@3310-3300
tp:3330-3340
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