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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

Technical indicators are bullish across the boardInfluenced by the NFP data, gold prices rose strongly, fully recovering last week's losses. The current gold market has broken the previous bull-bear equilibrium and remains in a strong upward trend. We are currently bullish but will not chase the rise. We will wait for gold to fall back and stabilize before trying to go long. Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation. If gold touches the upper short-term resistance of 3365-3370 again in the European session and encounters resistance and pressure, you can consider shorting with a light position and waiting for a pullback. If the gold price breaks up strongly, pay attention to the key suppression level above 3375-3385. As the price of gold continues to rise, the support has moved up. Pay attention to the short-term support of 3345-3330 below. If it retreats and stabilizes, you can consider going long. Independent traders must strictly implement trading plans, and those who are not sure about the market must set stop-loss orders. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves
XAUUSD Outlook – Technical Correction Expected Amid Bullish Fund🧠 Narrative Summary: Gold remains fundamentally supported by: 🇺🇸 US Factory Orders MoM came in at -4.8% (Forecast -4.8%, Previous 8.2%) – a sharp slowdown signaling weaker manufacturing momentum. 🏛️ Markets now price an 80% chance of a 25bps Fed rate cut in September. 🧑‍💼 Fed Governor Adriana Kugler’s resignation opens the door for a dovish replacement (possibly by Trump). 🔥 Trump reportedly fired the BLS head over “data manipulation” accusations – raising data credibility risks. 📈 COT data shows speculator sentiment above 50%, confirming a bullish stance. ☑️ All signs point to a supportive macro backdrop for Gold. 🧪 My Bias (Short-Term View): Despite the strong bullish macro backdrop, I’m watching for a short-term technical correction today (Tuesday): “Markets often react in advance of data – and after such a strong run, a liquidity grab or pullback could create better entry zones.” 📉 Technical Breakdown: 🔹 15-Min Chart: Price is hovering near point of control/resistance, forming potential distribution. Clean bullish channel, but upside momentum is slowing. 🔹 4H Chart: Price has reached the upper edge of the descending channel. No proper retest on the lower channel → room for liquidity sweep below. RSI nearing overbought zone. 🎯 Trading Plan: Watching for a short-term sell-off / correction during Tuesday’s session. Will reassess based on Wednesday’s ISM Services & Fed speaker lineup. Not chasing highs — waiting for potential re-entry from discounted zones. 📌 Powell Watch: Despite dovish pricing, remember — Powell has held firm for months. One weak report may not be enough to guarantee a cut. “Slow to hire, slow to fire” still equals a balanced labor market.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FaithdrivenTrades
Gold prices fluctuate. Bullish theme?From a technical perspective, gold prices have retraced above key moving averages, and the RSI has turned bullish. Short-term resistance for gold is near 3370. Can gold continue its sharp rise this week? Will there be a new rise? This depends on the performance of risk aversion in the market this week. Quaid believes that 3330 is the watershed between bulls and bears at the beginning of the week. As long as the market is bullish, this level must not be broken. If it is broken, the gold trend will directly turn weak. Whether this week's daily moving average can continue to rise is key to triggering a bullish trend in gold. From the 4-hour chart, pay attention to the range pressure position of 3370-3375 on the upper side, and the support on the lower side is around 3330-3335. If the price falls back at the beginning of the week, it can be bullish based on this position. The short-term bullish strong dividing line should pay attention to this range.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
1
Why Did I Lose XAUUSD During NFP Time .... Waiting for a Miracle Why Did I Lose XAUUSD During NFP Time 😢 While I Was Waiting for a Miracle 😉… and Everyone Else Cashed In? 🤑 Alright, champ. Let’s break down why you lost your short trade around $3,348 per ounce, while the whole world seemed to be printing money. This one’s for the smartest and slickest trader on Egyptian soil—but explained like someone who actually understands market behavior, not someone blindly quoting a textbook. Grab a pen and paper. Let’s dig in. ⸻ 🔥 Part 1: “You Faced NFP Like You’re Superman” ❌ What Happened: • Price shot up hard after the NFP release. • You said, “That’s too much—it must come down.” • You went short from the top (around 3,305). 😵‍💫 Where You Went Wrong: • NFP isn’t just any move—it’s nuclear fuel for the market. • The move that follows it is usually an impulse wave—it continues, it doesn’t pull back. • The market doesn’t drop just because it went up a lot. It drops when: • Volume dries up. • Buyers get bored. • You spot negative delta or divergence. ⚠️ None of that was present when you shorted. ✅ The Smarter Mindset: “During major news events like NFP, the market doesn’t pull back—it follows through.” ⸻ 🔥 Part 2: “Volume Was Screaming in Your Face: I’m Not Done Yet!” 📊 What You Saw: • Positive delta. • Increasing volume. • Big lot sizes hitting the ask side. ❌ What You Ignored: • No divergence between effort and result. • Buyers were still strong—no weakness. • Price wasn’t reacting to resistance; it was smashing through it. 💡 Big Difference Between: • Absorption = buyers easing the price up slowly. • Rejection = buyers failing and price slapping back. You mistook absorption for rejection—classic rookie mistake. ✅ The Real Lesson: “As long as volume is pushing price, stick with the trend.” ⸻ 🔥 Part 3: “You Misused Fibonacci Like a Hammer on a Screw” ❌ What You Did: • You shorted at the 125%-150% Fibonacci extensions. • You said, “Price must reverse here.” 📏 What You Should’ve Known: These levels (138.2%, 150%, 161.8%, 200%) are not sell zones. They are target zones for buyers, not resistance levels. ✅ The Correct Use: • Use 125% or 138.2% as breakout buy zones. • Take profit at 161.8% or 200%. These are where bulls take profits—not where you blindly short just because “it went up a lot.” ⸻ 🎯 Why You Can’t Just Sell There: Because those zones are: • Where buying continues. • Not where it stops—unless momentum fades. That only happens when: • Volume drops. • Delta turns negative. • Rejection wicks appear. But what did you do? You shorted into momentum—while buying was on fire—thinking, “It must stop here!” ⚠️ Nope, bro. That train was still moving—you just stepped in front of it. ⸻ 🔥 Part 4: “You Forgot Market Psychology” 🤔 What That Means: • After NFP: • Smart money enters early. • Retail traders wait and watch. • When price breaks up, retail chases → market moves more. • Smart money sells into their faces and takes profit. ❌ Your Mistake: • You tried to be clever and beat the market. • You didn’t ask: • Who’s on the market’s side? • Who’s chasing? • What will the crowd do next? When retail feels FOMO, they chase → and that’s what drives continuation. ⸻ 🧠 Pro Playbook for NFP-Driven Impulse Moves ✅ Ideal NFP Trade Setup: 1. News release: NFP 2. Price action: Big breakout from range. 3. Confirmation: • Increasing volume • Positive delta • No rejection wicks 4. Entry: Buy Stop above 125% or 138.2% 5. Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle 6. Targets: • TP1: 161.8% • TP2: 200% Now that’s how you use Fibonacci properly, not like people randomly dragging lines around. ⸻ 🎯 Where to Draw the Fib Levels From? ✅ The Rule: From the start of the explosive move to the first clear top right after the news. 🧨 For NFP: • From: the low of the NFP candle (or the first strong move after the news). • To: the first visible high with: • A pause in upward momentum • A doji candle • Rejection wick • Or minor resistance before the move continues Example: • Low: around 3,291.50 • Temporary high: around 3,316.00 Draw your Fib from: • Bottom = 3,291.50 • Top = 3,316.00 ⸻ ✳️ How to Use the Levels After That: • 100% = Move ends at the high • 125% = First extension • 138.2% = Real ignition point • 161.8% = Golden target • 200% = Full wave target 💡 Why Use Buy Stops Above 125%-138.2%? Because: • Price breaks above previous highs (lots of traders sell there). • It creates fake sell traps. • You enter after the stop-hunt, when the market wipes out sellers and goes higher. ⸻ 🔥 How That Looks in Practice: 1. Draw Fib from the start of the NFP impulse move. 2. Wait for price to reach 125% or 138.2%. 3. Place a Buy Stop just above that. 4. Aim for 161.8% or 200% as targets.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD - Daily | More Consolidation??Gold is back in the upper range of this consolidation zone. You can see the high of the range is 3430, and the low is 3240 roughly. Bulls: Gold is pulling back into an Inverted FVG. If the price is bullish, then we should clear the gap with ease. Gold has just eliminated 4 days' worth of choppy bearish price action. Look for gold to give clear signs to enter a buy. **A new daily candle should appear, creating a new FVG showing buyers are winning Bears: So with that said... If Gold fails to remain bullish after Friday's (Aug 1st) 700-pip jump, then the iFVG may have the price react bearishly. Watch for gold to give a clear sign of rejection before entering a sell **Price may drop to cover Friday's gap. Doesn't mean it's bearish
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by nikdobii
Gold is significantly bullish, where can we short?The positive non-farm payroll report pushed the market from 3300 directly above 3330, demonstrating overall bullish momentum. Congratulations again, everyone. Real-time strategies are like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. Charlie advises against blindly chasing highs. Trading advice (first hit is valid): Focus on key support levels: 3300 and 3310. Go long if these levels are reached. ~For those who want to go short above 3350-55, only use a stop-loss and feel free to try~ PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | August 1✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹 Trump Signs New Tariff Executive Order On July 31, President Trump signed an executive order imposing a new round of tariffs on countries including Canada and India, while Mexico was granted a 90-day grace period. This move has once again heightened global trade uncertainty, fueling risk-off sentiment and providing support to gold. 🔹 Dollar Strength Limits Gold's Upside Despite the increase in risk aversion, the U.S. Dollar Index has risen sharply, exerting downside pressure on gold. As a result, the price of gold remains capped, with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears dominating market dynamics. 🔹 Key U.S. Economic Data in Focus The U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is the major event on the calendar today. It is expected to be a decisive driver for short-term gold direction: If the data is bullish for gold (e.g., weak job growth or slower wage increases), gold may retest the 3340 level. If the data is bearish for gold (e.g., strong job gains or higher wages), gold may break below 3260, continuing its downward trend. Ahead of the data release, gold is likely to remain in a consolidation range, with market participants generally adopting a cautious stance. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸 Daily Chart Structure: Gold printed a gravestone doji yesterday, characterized by a long upper shadow, indicating strong selling pressure at higher levels. The overall trend remains weak. After four consecutive daily declines followed by a minor rebound, another strong bearish candle has emerged, signaling a continuation of the downtrend. 🔸 Hourly Chart Structure: On the 1-hour timeframe, gold remains below all major moving averages, which are aligned in a bearish formation. Despite multiple rebound attempts, each high has been lower than the last, reflecting diminishing bullish strength. The second U.S. session high was capped around 3310. If today's rebound fails to break above that level, the bearish trend remains dominant. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3305 / 3315 / 3340 🟢 Support Levels: 3275 / 3260 / 3245 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3305-3310 area. Target: 3285-3270；If support breaks, the move may extend to 3250. 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3245-3250 area. Target: 3265-3275；If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3285. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
MACRO CONTEXT & NEWS FLOW IMPACT — "WHY THE HELL IT MOVED"🔥 I. MACRO CONTEXT & NEWS FLOW IMPACT — "WHY THE HELL IT MOVED" Yesterday’s move was a classic institutional fakeout followed by controlled accumulation. Today is retest day. Watch VWAP and order flow like a hawk. Don’t chase, wait for reversion and load at value. 📅 Date: July 30, 2025 📰 Event: US Employment Cost Index: Lower than expected Core PCE: Cooled off Market Implication: Fed easing is now on the table. DXY Weakens → Real yields drop → Gold gets bought like crazy. 👊 Institutional Logic: Rate-sensitive assets (Gold, Bonds) exploded after the release. Algorithmic reaction to macro signal: DXY down → XAU bid hard → MegaBar explosion. BUT institutions needed liquidity to enter big → they faked a breakdown first. That’s institutional deception 101. 📉 II. DAILY CHART ANALYSIS — THE BIG BOYS' GAMEBOARD 🗺️ Structure: Price dropped from 3,355 to 3,258 in 3 days — a high-velocity markdown. On July 30, Price printed a Megabar reversal (Massive range, delta-flush, volume spike). VAH = 3,294.90 capped upside. POC = 3,288.91, and VAL = 3,282.90 held beautifully. 🔍 Institutional Pattern: This is a classic “Flush > Absorb > Mark-up” sequence. Textbook from “Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits”: “Volume confirms intention, range confirms commitment. A wide bar with climax volume at low implies the exhaustion of sellers and transfer of ownership.” 🔑 Key Daily Stats: 📉 Delta Flush: -584K 🔁 Reversal Delta: +70K 🔊 Volume spike: >450K (Well above 30-day volume MA) 💡 Inference: This bar did not print because of retail buying. It’s smart money rebuying from panic sellers. ⏱️ III. 4H / 1H TIMEFRAME: ORDERFLOW & REACCUMULATION 📌 4H Chart: 📍 Megabar with -191K delta near 3,258 (Volume: 191.14K) Immediate absorption by dark blue and green delta bars — this was not retail reversal. VWAP reversion in play — price gravitates toward 3,294 (VWAP anchor zone) 🔁 1H Chart: Rapid stair-stepping: Each hourly candle had higher lows and strong deltas. Volume built from super-POC 3,289 to super-VWAP 3,295.25. Final hour: exhaustion wick → distribution into resistance. 🧠 Institutional Tactic: They used Volume by Price congestion to hold price between FVRP bounds: Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) = acceleration zones High Volume Nodes (HVNs) = consolidation + absorption zones 🔍 IV. 15M / MICROSTRUCTURE — WHERE THE GAME WAS REALLY PLAYED 🔬 VWAP Stack Analysis: VWAP: 3,294.61 D-VWAP: 3,289.30 Super-VWAP Cluster held price in check — real institutional price magnet. 🔄 Delta Flow (15m): Delta climbed from -3.15K → +3.21K in 1.5 hours. Imbalance flipped bullish near POC. 🎯 FPVR Mapping (Volume Profile Right Side): Thickest distribution volume occurred at 3,287 – 3,295 Value tightly packed = fair price. Institutions are loading in value, not chasing. ⚙️ V. INDICATOR & MOMENTUM SIGNALS — INSTITUTIONAL CONFLUENCE ZONES Tool Signal VWAP Anchored VWAP tagged and respected — classic institution level SMA50 Capped daily move (3,342) — still a long-term bearish lid HMA5/9 Bullish crossover on 15m/1H – signals momentum alignment Volume MA Volume climax confirms effort at lows, signaling phase change 🔩 VI. TECHNICAL SEQUENCING OF EVENTS (STEP BY STEP) Asia Session: Tight range, price floats around VAL (3,282) London Session: Fake breakdown to 3,258 – traps late shorts NY Pre-News: Choppy price action within FRVP range Macro News Drop: Megabar → -191K delta flush Next Candle: Delta flips +21.2K → Absorption confirmed Price Walks Up: Controlled bid to VWAP End of Day: Distribution at VAH → price capped by VWAP band 💣 Final move = algorithmic mean reversion + VWAP auction completion 🧬 VII. ADVANCED ORDERFLOW INTERPRETATION ⚔️ MEGABAR (The Trap Setup): Volume = 191K+ Delta = -191K (yep, full-on flush) What happened? → Late shorts + stop runs + SL hunters got rekt. → Institutions absorbed, switched algo, and reversed. 🧱 FVRP (Fair Value Range Profile): Defined by VAL (3,282.90) and VAH (3,294.90) Institutions play inside this range for risk efficiency They accumulate low and distribute high within it 🔄 Delta Rotation: Delta Rotation = Shift from Negative Accumulation → Positive Distribution Classic rotation confirms phase transition 🧠 VIII. INSTITUTIONAL OBJECTIVE (WHAT THEY WANTED) Primary Goal: Create liquidity void below → Enter large long positions Secondary Goal: Return to VWAP zone and unload Tertiary Goal: Signal to market: "We're in control, stay out or get punished" This is textbook Volume Profile Auction Theory in motion. 🎯 IX. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP (EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY) 🧾 Trade Plan: Institutional VWAP Reversion Play Order Type: Buy Limit Entry: 3,287.00 Stop Loss: 3,279.00 (below VAL & invalidation) Take Profit: 3,300.00 (Super-VAH zone) Confidence: 85% R/R: 1:1.6 💡 Justification: Entry at POC + SMA50 cluster Stop below structural invalidation zone Target near major supply This is the exact playbooks funds run during reaccumulation rotations 🧠 X. EDUCATIONAL TAKEAWAY — WHAT YOU SHOULD LEARN Volume is truth. If volume spikes at lows, it’s not weak hands — it’s smart money flipping. VWAP is magnet. Everything mean-reverts back to VWAP in controlled auctions. Delta tracks aggression. Sharp delta reversals = algorithm switch. Megabar = signal. Huge candle + volume + delta = possible phase shift. FRVP = roadmap. Price doesn’t move randomly — it moves to balance imbalances. 🔚 CONCLUSION — YESTERDAY’S LESSON July 30, 2025 wasn’t just a bullish day — it was a textbook institutional deception-reversion cycle. If you understand: How the news was used How the megabar printed How the volume clustered How the VWAP held … then you’re not trading blindly. You’re trading with the damn architects of the market.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Has gold bottomed out on July 30? Key Influencing Factors Negative Factors: A stronger US dollar: A rebound in the US dollar index is suppressing gold prices. Recovering risk appetite: Market demand for safe-haven assets is weakening. Rising real interest rates: Expectations of Fed policy are impacting the cost of holding gold. US-EU trade agreement: Easing geopolitical tensions will weaken gold's safe-haven appeal. Potentially bullish variables: Federal Reserve policy signals: A dovish statement on Wednesday could boost gold prices. Geopolitical risks: Uncertainties such as the Sino-US trade negotiations and the situation in the Middle East remain. Technical Analysis Trend Analysis: Short-term weakness (four consecutive negative daily candlestick patterns), but the broader bullish trend remains. Key support level: 3300-3285 (falling below or falling to 3250); resistance level: 3330-3345 (breaking through may end the pullback). Key Levels: Downward Support: 3310-3300 (short-term), 3285 (strong support). Upper resistance: 3335-3345 (trend reversal expected after a breakout). Trading Strategy Short-term Trading: Long positions primarily at low levels: Try a light buy position in the 3300-3310 area, with a stop-loss below 3285 and a target of 3330-3345. Short selling at high levels is auxiliary: If it rebounds to 3335-3345 and is under pressure, you can short sell with a stop loss above 3350 and a target of 3310-3300. Follow up on the breakout: If it breaks through 3345 strongly, you can chase long positions; if it falls below 3285, be wary of a rebound after a false break. Medium- to Long-term Strategy: Watch for potential bottoming opportunities near 3285. If it stabilizes, place long positions in batches, betting on dovish signals from the Federal Reserve or escalating geopolitical risks. Risk Warning: Data-sensitive period: This week's Federal Reserve decision and economic data may trigger significant volatility, so position management is crucial. US Dollar Trends: The US dollar and gold prices show a significant negative correlation, so the US Dollar Index should be monitored closely. Risk of false break: There may be a trap below 3300, which needs to be confirmed in combination with the K-line pattern. Summary: Gold is under short-term pressure, but the medium- to long-term bullish outlook remains unchanged. Focus on the effectiveness of support in the 3300-3285 area and the direction of the Federal Reserve's policy. We recommend a flexible approach, using key breakthroughs as a guide for directional analysis, and cautiously holding positions before data releases.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Entry_Point
Gold holds Bearish Structure- SELLGold: Price is Exhibiting Head & Shoulders Strcure on 4H & 1 H chart. 4 H chart is Bearish, Daily chart is Neutral to bearish. Price is under the IChimuku Cloud in 4 H. Daily chart is forming a death cross (20 SMA cutting 50 SMA) which might be completed in 1 day or Two. Currently Gold is trying to recover losses and on retracement journey. I am expecting Price to test the 3347-3354 Zone of resistance where 4H 200+100 SMA + TL resistances+ Structure resistance will likely to Push price back to 3320 & 3300 Support Zone. If price breaks the 3300 level. Then this daily candle break may take price to 3280 Support Level. Good Luck
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by decentshaw
#XAUUSD chartGold (XAUUSD) is approaching a critical reversal resistance zone between $3,377–$3,398, after ranging between $3,338–$3,377. This level deserves close attention, as price could react sharply here. We also have a strong FVG gap nearby, increasing the potential for a solid bounce and a profitable trade. 😵 The Strategy: This is a moment for patience and precision. If confirmed, this setup could lead to a solid opportunity — but only with the right timing and discipline.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Aboozar_A
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Min Chart Analysis – August 1, 2025Structure Summary: CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed after price broke the previous lower high, signaling a potential trend reversal. Price has since formed a bullish falling wedge (blue trendlines), a classic continuation pattern after CHoCH. Volume spikes during reversal attempts suggest accumulation. Trade Setup: Entry: Breakout above wedge resistance. Stop Loss: Below recent swing low near 3280 area (red zone). Target: Around 3315–3320 zone (blue box), aligned with previous demand-turned-supply area. 📌 Outlook: Bullish breakout expected if momentum sustains. Watch for confirmation candle with volume above the wedge. Clean R:R setup with tight SL and wide TP potential. 📊 Technical Bias: Bullish ❗Risk Management: Adjust position size based on lot exposure and account size.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TradingbyTanveer