Get started
CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

GOLD trade ideas

XAUUSD 4H – Full Technical & Fundamental Deep Dive🔷 Chart Structure & Trendlines Since early June, gold has formed a clean descending channel on the 4‑hour chart. Each bounce and rejection has respected these channel edges, which reflect consistent lower highs and lower lows. A long-term ascending trendline (from late March lows) was recently broken. This broken support has now flipped into resistance, and price is currently retesting it. The intersection of the descending channel’s top, the trendline resistance, and the 200 EMA creates a major triple-confluence zone—a classic area of institutional interest. 🔷200 EMA The 200 EMA on the 4H chart is acting as dynamic overhead resistance, which price is currently testing. Historically, during bearish regime, retests of the 200 EMA from below often trigger strong rejections. If price breaks above and holds, it would mark a significant shift in market sentiment. If rejected, it adds weight to the bearish trend. 🔷Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Supply Order Blocks A Fair Value Gap (vicinity of $3,340–3,350) remains structurally unfilled from the previous breakdown. Price is now re-entering that FVG region—an area often used by smart money to target liquidity and trap retail traders. This is a logical zone for sell orders, as price frequently reacts where gaps exist. 🔷Volume Profile: High/Low Volume Nodes A High-Volume Node (HVN) sits around $3,360, where most sustained trading has occurred. This acts as a strong resistance/distribution area. The current zone ($3,330–3,340) is a low-volume pocket, meaning moves through here can be fast, but rejections are still frequently seen. Below, there's another HVN around $3,280–3,290—a logical demand area and intermediate target for retracement. 🔷Fundamental Perspective – This Week to Friday 🔸 U.S. Fed Outlook & Dollar Dynamics U.S. dollar is weak, with growing speculation on imminent Fed rate cuts, partly due to pressure from political sources Fed remains cautious—no July cut likely, more probable in September Persistent volatility in Fed messaging means gold remains in play as a hedge. 🔸 Geopolitical & Macro Drivers Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, trade) continue to add safe-haven support Central banks, especially Australia, are upping gold purchases—may add structural support 🔸 Market Sentiment & Investment Flows ETF inflows remain robust—global central bank demand offsetting retail weakness Some macro research houses expect sideways action into early July, with range likely between $3,200–3,350 🔸 Risks Ahead of Friday Watch for U.S. jobs data, Fed speakers, and geopolitical headlines—any surprise could spark sharp moves. If Fed hints at delays in rate cuts or geopolitical risk cools, gold could see a rapid reactive drop. 🔷🤔 Possible Scenarios into Friday ✅ Bearish Rejection Price fails to clear $3,340–$3,360 zone. A strong rejection candle retests $3,280–$3,290. Could accelerate down to $3,240 if momentum picks up. ⚠️ Bullish Breakout Clean, high-volume break above 200 EMA and $3,360 HVN. Likely continuation to $3,380–3,400, especially if supported by fundamentals (e.g., inflation, Fed dovish pivot). 🔷My Personal Bias into Friday Slight bearish lean due to triple resistance confluence. Fundamentals are mixed: Fed caution supports gold structurally but no immediate catalyst. I will monitor price action closely: a sharp rejection off the 200 EMA area would confirm suspicion; but a clean breakout would require reassessment.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by cryptobrat000
Gold Bounces Off Trendline as Bulls Defend Structure Ahead of $3Gold (XAU/USD) has rebounded sharply from its rising trendline support and 50-day SMA (around $3,221), suggesting that the broader bullish trend remains intact despite recent consolidation below the $3,430 resistance. The uptrend from the December 2024 lows continues to hold, anchored by a sequence of higher lows and a clear ascending trendline. The recent dip toward the trendline was met with firm buying, resulting in a strong bullish candle on the daily chart. Price action now sets up a potential retest of the $3,430 horizontal resistance — a key level that has capped multiple rallies over the past few months. Momentum indicators paint a mixed but improving picture. The RSI has bounced from just below 40 to 46.64, avoiding oversold territory and hinting at a potential momentum recovery. Meanwhile, the MACD remains in negative territory but is beginning to flatten, signaling a possible shift in short-term momentum. A confirmed breakout above $3,430 would mark a resumption of the broader bullish leg and expose gold to new highs. However, a breakdown below trendline support would invalidate the current structure and shift focus toward the 200-day SMA near $2,924. For now, the trendline bounce gives bulls the upper hand, keeping the upside scenario in play. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
The bearish trend is confirmed, it’s time to participate.Gold overnight short orders have been stopped at a loss, because it broke through the key pressure of 3325. However, we must grasp the trend of the market, adhere to the idea of ​​technical analysis as the main and news as the auxiliary, and make a comprehensive judgment. Don't be at a loss about the market analysis because of the stop loss. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to step back and do more, but the market does not give opportunities, but forces you to chase the rise. Of course, from the perspective of risk ratio, high altitude is definitely more stable than chasing more. From the current gold trend analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3340-3350 line of pressure, the short-term support on the lower side is around 3310-3320, and the key support on the 3295-3301 line is focused. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, it is recommended to wait and see, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Operation strategy 1: Short gold near 3340-3350, target 3325-3315. Operation strategy 2: Go long on gold around 3310-3320, target 3330-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Tariff shadow and gold's safe-haven game This week, market sentiment was stirred up and down by Trump's tariff stick. This unconventional president, while firing at Canada and Japan, let the July 9 tariff deadline hang like a knife over the heads of risky assets. If the suspension order is not extended, the market may have to relive the chaos of "Liberation Day" in April - gold will become the "safe-haven spare tire" at this time. Although the situation in the Middle East has cooled down, gold has stabilized at $3,340 due to the weakness of the US dollar and tariff anxiety. After falling to 3,245 at the beginning of the week, it rebounded quickly, and the bulls were briefly revelry, but the real test will be on Thursday's non-agricultural data - whether it will rush to 3,400 or return to 3,300, it all depends on the face of the US dollar and Trump's next move. If the tariff powder keg is ignited, gold will rise; if it is postponed, this precious metal is afraid to "fall out of favor" again. Technically, the daily line is long, with short-term support at 3,330-3,336 and resistance at 3,358-3,365. In terms of operation, continue to follow the trend and buy low at night, ambush near 3336-3330, and look at 3400 if it breaks. The script of gold always switches between "panic" and "greed" - and Trump may be the most competent "director" at the moment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Liz_Trading_gold
Go long on dips and short on rallies📰 News information： 1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month 2. Impact of geopolitical situation 📈 Technical Analysis： Last week we predicted that gold would rebound. Today, after gold rebounded as expected, we gave a short trading strategy. Gold fell precisely at the point we gave, 3295, and successfully hit our TP3280-3270. The result confirmed the correctness of our trading strategy. Next, we will focus on the long trading opportunities below 3270-3260. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3270-3260 TP 3290-3300 SELL 3295-3300-3310 TP 3280-3270 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Again, just like yesterday, we completed the long trade into the red box, RIPPED then played red box hockey before swooping the low and coming back up. What madness on the markets with continuous whipsawing which is not allowing traders to hold positions without huge stop losses. For now, we have support at the 3325-8 level which if held should give us a move upside towards the red box. What we want to see here is do we get a lower high or not? MA's still drawn together and more choppy price action expected in the sessions to come. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal. The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East. Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline. Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320 Resistance levels: 3360, 3366 Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
38
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a breakdown of your XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) Buy trade setup: --- 🟢 Trade Type: Buy (Long) Entry Price: 3321 --- 🎯 Take Profit Levels: 1. TP1: 3330 (9 pips gain) 2. TP2: 3340 (19 pips gain) 3. TP3: 3350 (29 pips gain) --- 🔴 Stop Loss: SL: 3305 (16 pips risk) --- 📊 Risk-Reward Ratios: TP1: ~1:0.56 TP2: ~1:1.19 TP3: ~1:1.81 --- ✅ Analysis: The setup shows a moderate risk with potential for compounding gains. Ensure there's enough momentum or support confirmation at or around 3321. Your stop loss is fairly tight (16 pips) — consider volatility during news hours (like NFP or Fed announcements). --- Would you like a chart analysis, help with position sizing, or automating this setup (e.g., for MetaTrader/TradingView)?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mrprofe21
GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time. Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday. Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered. Resistance levels: 3347, 3357 Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300 Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: A ranging day and honestly, very frustrating for traders due to the up and down which hasn't allowed us to really hold without ridiculous stop losses. We hit the target yesterday, we're still not retesting that low so those entries are still active, but we really need to see this break above the 3335 level to go higher. For that reason, we will say if red box active continues to support the price we can look for this to go a little higher but that 3340-45 level is the one to watch. The daily has flipped for lower pricing so tomorrow a high may be put in before further declines. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
11
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500 This is a major decision zone. Current market structure: 🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS What to watch: We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here. 🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone: → HTF and LTF trends align to the upside → Potential continuation of the bullish move 🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone: → Then this recent up-move could be a pullback → We may see a new low forming — so be cautious 📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed): • 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone) • 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone) We will watch these levels closely. If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly. 📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
Gold Remains Bullish, But Market Needs Correction Before New ATHGold continues to trend upward with consecutive higher highs and higher lows, but a deeper correction may be necessary before the next major bullish leg can begin with conviction. Price action on gold remains firmly in a bullish structure. The market has consistently produced strong impulses followed by shallow pullbacks, signaling aggressive buyer interest. However, from a technical trading perspective, current levels may not offer ideal long entries without a corrective move first. A deeper pullback toward support would reset momentum and offer higher probability setups for trend continuation. Key Technical Points: - Support Zone at $3,177: Daily support with swing low and 0.618 Fibonacci confluence - 50 MA + 51 EMA Support: Dynamic moving averages guiding the higher low structure - Potential Liquidity Sweep: A dip below daily support could trap bears before continuation Gold’s current uptrend is well-defined, with a clear structure of higher highs and higher lows. Each dip has been aggressively bought, and the market has continued climbing with little resistance. However, this type of trend often leads to overextension, and traders are beginning to look for a corrective pullback to create a more sustainable setup. The $3,177 support level is the key zone to watch. Not only does this level represent a daily horizontal support, but just below it sits a key swing low and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the most recent leg higher. This area could serve as a prime candidate for a liquidity sweep—where price briefly dips to trap breakout sellers before reversing back upward. Adding to this, the 50-day moving average and the 51-day exponential moving average are both supporting the trend and aligning with the higher low formation. These moving averages have been providing dynamic support throughout this rally, acting as a technical guide for buyers. While there is always the possibility that gold continues higher from current levels, a pullback toward the $3,177 area would provide a healthier setup. It would allow the market to reset, rebalance, and potentially attract sidelined buyers who missed the initial move. Such a correction would preserve the higher low structure while maintaining bullish integrity. What to Expect in the Coming Price Action: If gold holds above the $3,177 support zone, the bullish trend may resume without deeper retracement. However, a brief dip below that level to sweep liquidity could offer the best long opportunity. Until a corrective move confirms, traders should remain cautious of chasing highs without a valid structure reset. Long bias remains intact as long as the higher low structure holds.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
16
Market Recap & Forecast – Egyptian EditionMarket Recap & Forecast – Egyptian Edition Yalla ya shabab—before you run off to Sahel or your cousin’s mashwi, let’s break down the market moves. Bring your tea—we’re about to see how they played us like a baladi tabla. 🗓️ 3-Day Recap (June 30 – July 2) ✅ Monday (June 30) Market woke up strong—“Ana mesh hayemny!” like Adel Emam in El Irhab Wel Kabab. Closed above 3302—bulls were flexing harder than Mekky in El Kabeer Awy saying “Eh da? Eh da? Enta betgannen ya basha?” Momentum nearly maxed out—like your cousin after 3 Red Bulls. RSI ~54, climbing. Volume big and bold. Translation: Bulls controlled everything—“El gameya di beta3ty ana!” ✅ Tuesday (July 1) Tried to smash 3360–3394—market replied with Adel Emam’s classic: “E7na benedhak 3alek!” Closed near 3330, confused like a tourist in Sayeda Zeinab. Volume dropped—enthusiasm disappeared faster than konafa on the table. Market Maker Move: “Ta3ala ta3ala, khod fake breakout we yalla salaam!” ✅ Wednesday (July 2) Price stuck in a boring tight range—like someone waiting for their turn at the Mogamaa. RSI still climbing but exhausted—“Khalas ya basha, malhash ta3ma,” as Mekky would say. EMAs clustering—“Mafeesh haga hte7sal.” Volume low—everyone thinking about the holiday. Conclusion: The market was basically on vacation already. 📊 What’s Coming July 3rd (Cairo Time) Set your alarms if you’re not too busy watching El Kabeer Awy reruns: 2:15 PM Cairo: ADP Jobs—could send the market spinning. 4:00 PM Cairo: ISM Services PMI—maybe some drama. 4:30 PM Cairo: Oil Inventories—“keda ya basha, haga sadeema.” Early close because Americans have fireworks and kebab to grill. 🔍 Levels to Keep an Eye On Fib Retracements: 38%: 3355 50%: ~3320 61%: 3302–3310 Zones: 🟥 Sell Zone (Habibi, Calm Down): 3394–3433 🟨 Chop Zone (El Malaal): 3330–3360 🟩 Buy Zone (Inshallah Bounce): 3246–3302 Above 3394? “Eh da? Enta betla3 3aleena?” 🕵️ Market Maker Tactics Step 1: “Yalla, ne3mel rally zay el aflam el mosalsalat.” Step 2: Sell into your excitement. Step 3: “Yalla salaam,” as Adel Emam would say. Step 4: Leave you staring at your screen, thinking: “Ana mesh fahim haga!” ⚡ Forecast for July 3rd Liquidity? “Ra7et fein?”—basically gone. Early spike to 3394? Maybe—but “ma tesdaa2sh!” By the afternoon, expect the market to drift back to 3300 for a nap. 🎲 Chances: 70% sideways boredom. 30% quick stop hunt to ruin your mood before mashwi. 📈 Hypothetical Trade Setup (Just for Education—Khalas ya basha) Sure—here’s a clean, actionable rewrite that keeps the exact meaning, instructions, and flow but is tighter, clearer, and direct: 🟡 ENTRY PLAN Scenario 1 – Sell the Trap Setup: Price spikes into 3394–3430 Entry: Sell Limit at 3390 Confirmation: ✅ 1-minute Delta turns negative ✅ RSI fails to hold above 62 ✅ Footprint shows absorption Stop Loss: 3435 Target 1: 3330 Target 2: 3310 Execution: Place limit order. No chasing. Scenario 2 – Buy the Clean Break Setup: Sustained buying above 3430 Entry: Buy Stop at 3432 Confirmation: ✅ 5-minute close over 3430 ✅ Volume >250% of 5-minute average ✅ Delta +1000 or higher Stop Loss: 3395 Target 1: 3465 Target 2: 3480 Execution: Stop order to catch breakout momentum. Scenario 3 – Fade into Reversion Setup: Price fails to hold above 3368 intraday Fib Entry: Market Sell below 3365 Stop Loss: 3390 Target: 3331 (POC) 🛡 Risk Controls Max risk per trade: 1–2% of total equity If price stays between 3360–3390 on low volume, do nothing. Why? Resistance stubborn—like Adel Emam yelling “Ana la!” Market makers cashing out before the holiday. Pre-holiday rallies disappear faster than mekka7a in Ramadan. ❓ Q1: What should you do while waiting for 3390? Answer: Absolutely nothing. You do not: ❌ Short below 3390 without confirmation ❌ Flip bias every 15 points ❌ Chase 1-minute candles just to feel busy Why? Because 3360–3390 is the trap zone. Market Makers churn liquidity here, run stops, and create noise to bait impatient traders. ✅ Instead, you watch: Does price consolidate under 3390? Is volume drying up? Is delta divergence building? Your role is simple: Sit on your hands until price enters your control zone. Trading is 90% waiting. The other 10% is precise execution. ❓ Q2: What if price never hits 3390? Answer: If the setup doesn’t trigger, you do nothing. Example: Price never reaches 3390 No volume spike No delta confirmation Result: ✅ No trade ✅ No regret ✅ No FOMO You are not throwing darts in the dark. You are running a clear plan: If your criteria are met, you act. If they’re not, you stay flat. Example No-Trade Scenario: Price stalls between 3350–3380 all day Volume stays low No stop sweep or breakout You wait and protect your capital. 🔥 Pro Tip If you feel you must do something: Tighten your watchlist Set conditional orders Check correlated markets (Silver, DXY, yields) Watch VWAP and ATR for shifts Update your bias at each session open (London, NY) But never force a trade out of boredom. Here’s the reality: Most of your profit will come from 2–3 clear, high-quality trades a week—not from taking 50 random entries. ✅ Quick Cheat Sheet Trend: Bullish but exhausted. RSI: ~56 and losing steam. Levels: 3355, 3368, 3394 Zones: 🟥 Sell: 3394–3433 🟩 Buy: 3246–3302 Liquidity: “Mafeesh!” Market Makers: Already on holiday. ⚠️ Reminder: This is for learning, not for throwing your salary in the market. As Adel Emam said: “Elly yetgawwez emra2a te7tag el falas.” (He who marries a woman needs money—same with trading. Don’t blow your budget.)
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE