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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

Gold is rising, will there be a new intraday high?Yesterday, gold closed with an engulfing positive line, and the closing line stood above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. From the analysis of gold in 1 hour, the current price is still in a fluctuating upward channel. Based on this technical pattern feature, if the subsequent economic data is positive and pushes the gold price to further strengthen, it may form a trading opportunity for shorting at a staged high. Although the gold price showed a rapid upward trend after the data was released, there has been obvious resistance in the historical trading concentration range of 3400-3410. The current bullish momentum has no technical conditions to break through this position, and the technical correction after the price surge is in line with the price behavior logic. The current price has reached a high of around 3398. After today's rise, there is not much room for upward movement; since the market is rising in a volatile manner this week, it is not suitable to chase the rise directly. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Band opening continues to diverge upward and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient and may be under pressure to move downward near 3410. I suggest that all traders short at high levels. Operation strategy: Short around 3410, stop loss at 3420, profit range 3360-3355. If it breaks through 3355, it may hit the intraday low below 3340.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
XAU/USD 09 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Premium Pressure & Weak High Trap in Play Hey team! Hope you’re staying sharp as we close out this NFP week. Here’s your Daily Outlook for XAUUSD — built from clean structure, supply/demand logic, and current price action. 📍 Bias: Neutral → leaning bearish while inside premium rejection zone 🔹 1. 🔍 Daily Structure Overview Recent CHoCH down after failing to break above the weak high at ~3395. Price is reacting from premium supply and has now tapped a daily FVG near 3315. We're in a mid-premium rejection area, with multiple rejections from the 3350–3395 zone. 🔹 2. 📐 Key Daily Zones Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply Trap 3350 – 3395 Weak high, CHoCH zone, FVG, supply OB 🔽 Retracement Demand 3278 – 3262 Clean OB + imbalance zone (FVG) 🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3172 – 3140 Breaker block + daily wick base 🔽 Deep Demand (Discount) 2950 – 3020 Full retracement zone from last BOS 🔹 3. 📊 EMA Context (Daily) EMA 5/21 cross locked bullish — but starting to curl as momentum slows. Price is testing EMA21 from above; breakdown below it could invite further retracement. All EMAs still stacked bullish, but showing early signs of cool-off. 🔹 4. 🔢 Fibonacci Swing Swing used: 3245 (swing low) → 3395 (current top) Price is now below 38.2% retracement (~3335) 50% = 3320, 61.8% = 3300 → high confluence in this cluster for potential bounce or breakdown decision. 🔹 5. 📉 RSI Check RSI diverging slightly from highs → bearish divergence forming Currently near 58 → leaves room for downside without being oversold 🔹 6. 🌍 Macro Context NFP Report just released → Mixed numbers: NFP weak, unemployment up = mildly bullish gold CPI incoming – key for inflation outlook and Fed tone Market uncertain → risk-off flows could favor gold, but rejection from premium likely before CPI clarity ⚔️ Scenarios for June 9 Start 🔽 Bearish Plan (likely early-week setup) Rejection from 3335–3350 → short trigger zone TP1 = 3278 TP2 = 3172–3140 (if momentum extends) 🔼 Bullish Continuation Clean reclaim of 3350 and 3395 breakout → flip into aggressive bullish continuation Target = 3450–3500 FVG above current ATH ✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note We’re in the heart of the premium trap — don’t buy blindly into strength. Let price show intent. ⚠️ This week may be a pre-CPI fakeout zone — stay patient, let the structure guide you. 📣 If you’re watching this with us — drop your thoughts in the comments. Are we heading to 3170 first or flipping 3395 clean? Let’s crush the week, — GoldFxMinds 💡
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Premium Territory Battle BeginsHey team! Hope you're all feeling sharp and focused — here’s what we’re watching this week on XAUUSD 👇Week of June 9–13, 2025 📍 Bias: Bullish, but cautiously reactive at premium supply 🔹 1. 🔍 Market Structure (W1) Strong impulsive BOS continuation from 3245 → current price near 3312. Weekly structure shows clean Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) since Q4 2023. The premium zone around 3380–3500 is now in play — it’s a weak high zone with upside liquidity targets still intact. 🔹 2. 🧱 Key Weekly Zones Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply Zone 3380 – 3500 Final weak high zone, imbalance + OB supply above 🔽 Demand Support 1 3115 – 3170 Recent impulsive candle origin & imbalance 🔽 Demand Support 2 2950 – 3020 Prior CHoCH base & last HL support 🔽 Long-Term Demand 2660 – 2720 Weekly OB, deep discount zone 🔹 3. 📊 EMAs Context EMA 5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200: Full bullish alignment. Price is aggressively extended above all EMAs, suggesting possible retracement into the 3115–3170 zone if price fails to break above premium supply cleanly. 🔹 4. 🎯 Fibonacci Swing Analysis Main fib: 3245 (last HL) → 3395 (current swing high). 50% retracement = ~3320, current price is hovering around this equilibrium. A move back to 3115–3170 = golden zone, could serve as a clean long re-entry if premium gets rejected. 🔹 5. 🧠 RSI Context Weekly RSI remains overbought, hovering near 70+. Momentum remains strong, but any failure to break the weak high may trigger a cooling phase (pullback to EMA50 or fib 61.8%). 🔹 6. 🌍 Macro + Geopolitical Notes NFP released Friday (June 6): Mixed impact — job creation weak but hourly earnings slightly strong. Fed still data-dependent → CPI (next week) will be key. Gold remains sensitive to inflation + Fed rate expectations. A dovish shift or inflation spike could send price beyond 3400. 📌 Weekly Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Continuation Break above 3380–3395 → 3450–3500 target zone Needs impulsive close above premium with volume and no rejection wick. 🔽 Retracement Play Failure to break 3380 → pullback into 3115–3170 Clean demand, imbalance, and fib confluence support re-entry. ✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note Gold is now in premium pricing — either distribution begins, or we’ll witness a parabolic extension into 3450–3500. 🧠 Watch reactions, not just zones. Trade confirmation. 💬 Let us know how you're positioning for the week — are you buying dips or fading premium? Stay sharp, — GoldFxMinds 💡
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
The summit is just around the corner, just one final push away!Gold closed sideways at a high level yesterday, and closed positive again overnight. It opened back to 3379 and pulled up strongly, breaking through the 3400 mark and then increasing in volume. The recent low-multiple bullish ideas have been realized. Today, there is no doubt that it will continue to be bullish and long. The market has turned from the previous sweeping upward to a strong unilateral trend. The upper side will first look at the previous high pressure of 3435. Continued breakthrough will further open up the upper space, or it will hit 3500 or even a new high again. The lower support focuses on the top and bottom conversion position of 3395-3405, and then pay attention to the 1H cycle support near 3410. Intraday operations are still mainly based on falling back and long. Operation suggestion: Go long when gold falls back to 3395-3345, and look at 3434 and 3450. If it is strong, continue to go long with the support of 3415-3410.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold rebound is still a short-selling opportunityFirst of all, let's take a look at why the market is still not reversing after a big rise, and there is a rapid rise and fall? The data is bullish, and gold is rising rapidly, but we should pay attention to the sustainability of the rise, and secondly, the current trend direction. The overall trend of gold is still fluctuating downward recently, so even if the data is bullish, it is likely to just give an opportunity to "go high and short". Although gold performed strongly after the data was released, it began to fall under pressure at the 3360 line, the trading concentration area of ​​the last box shock, indicating that the bulls' volume is still not enough to break through the upper resistance. It is reasonable to rise and fall. Since gold is currently in a market that is tempting to buy more, it means that the main trend is still bearish. The rebound is still dominated by short selling. The gold 1-hour cycle closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the upward attack is weak, indicating that the area above 3350 is still a strong pressure area. This upward rush is just a short-term effort with the help of data benefits, which is a typical false breakthrough. Therefore, gold rebounded to the 3350-3360 area in the US market, and it is still dominated by high shorts. This is the charm of the market - some people are always hesitant in the ups and downs, while others can always grasp the key turning points. The premise is to be able to see the trend clearly and follow the trend. Don't be led by the market, but understand: Is the current fluctuation a trap or an opportunity? If the direction is wrong, the effort will be in vain; if the direction is right, you will get twice the result with half the effort. Don't make excuses for failure, just find ways to succeed. Have you found it? All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold= Breaks Resistance by Bullish Patterns + Geopolitical BoostGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) touched $3,337 as I expected in my previous idea . Gold has now managed to break the Resistance lines and is trying to break the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) . From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective, two Bullish Reversal Patterns are clearly visible on the Gold chart : Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern According to Elliott Wave theory , by breaking the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , we can confirm the start of an impulsive wave . Also, given the increasing tension between Ukraine and Russia in recent days, there is a possibility that the price of Gold will increase due to the increased tensions . I expect Gold to start rising again after a pullback to the neckline and resistance lines , and after breaking the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , to rise to the target I have indicated on the chart. Note: If Gold touches $3,299 , we should expect further declines. Note: There is a possibility of emotional movements in the chart today when Fed Chair Powell speaks. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1
XAU/USD.. 4h chart pattern..Here's a structured breakdown of MY Gold (XAU/USD) trade setup: XAU/USD (Gold) Buy Setup Entry (Buy): 3350 Stop Loss: (not specified – important to manage risk) Targets: 🎯 1st Target: 3435 🎯 2nd Target: 3505 Potential Gain To 1st Target: 3435 − 3350 = +85 points To 2nd Target: 3505 − 3350 = +155 points ✅ Recommendations: Stop Loss: You should define a stop loss — consider placing it below a recent support level (e.g., 3315 or 3290), depending on your risk tolerance and time frame. Risk-Reward: Without a stop loss, R:R can't be calculated, but both targets offer solid profit potential if momentum continues upward. Confirmation: Look for bullish candlestick patterns, strong volume, or support at 3350 before entering. Partial Profit-Taking: Consider locking in profits at 3435 and trailing your stop to reduce risk on the remainder.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Money_Magnet5
13
Gold remains volatile at high levelsGold hit a low of 3302 on Tuesday and then rebounded. Then it hit a high of 3348 in the US market and then retreated to 3315 before rising again. It is still fluctuating around 3340. It closed at a cross star pattern with a negative line yesterday. The trend of the day is more critical. Although the bulls tried to break through in the short term, they did not break through after all. The current key pressure above is maintained at 3345-50. We continue to pay attention to the gains and losses of 3345-50. From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3315-20. If we step back and rely on this position, we will continue to look at the continuation of the rebound. The resistance above is around 3345-50. The overall gold price remains unchanged in the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Buy when gold falls back to 3315-20, and add more when it falls back to 3295-3003, stop loss at 3285, target at 3345-3350, and continue to hold if it breaks;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by WillChurchill
Learn What is TRAILING STOP LOSS | Risk Management Basics In the today's article, we will discuss a trailing stop loss. I will explain to you its concept in simple words and share real market examples. 🛑Trailing stop loss is a risk management tool that allows to protect unrealized profits of an active trading position as long as the price moves in the desired direction. Traditionally, traders trade with fixed stop loss and take profit. Following such an approach, one knows exactly the level where the trade will be closed in a profit and the level where it will be closed in a loss. Take a look at a long trade on USDCAD above. The trade has fixed TP Level - 1.354 and fixed SL Level - 1.341. Once one of these levels is reached, the trade will be closed. Even though the majority of the traders stick to fixed sl and tp, there is one important disadvantage of such an approach – substantial gains could be easily missed . After the market reached TP in USDCAD trade, the price temporarily dropped, then a strong bullish rally initiated and the price went way above the Take Profit level. Potential gains with that long position could be much bigger. Trailing stop solves that issue. With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit. Take a look at a long trade on USDCHF. Trader expects growth, he opens a long position and sets stop loss – 0.8924, while take profit level is not determined. With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit. As the market starts growing, one decides not to close the trade in profit, but modify stop loss – trail it to the level above the entry. As the market keeps rallying, one TRAILS a stop loss in the direction of the market, protecting the unrealized gains. When the market finally starts falling, the price hits stop loss and a trader closes the trade in a substantial profit. The main obstacle with the application of a trailing stop is to keep it at a distance from current price levels that is not too narrow nor too wide. With a wide stop loss distance, substantial unrealized gains might be washed out with the market reversal. Imagine you predicted a nice bullish rally on Bitcoin. The market bounced nicely after you opened a long position. Trailing stop loss too far from current price levels, all the gains could be easily wiped out. While with a narrow trailing stop distance, one can be stop hunted before the move in the desired direction continues. A trader opens a long trade on EURJPY and the price bounces perfectly as predicted. One immediately trails the stop loss. However, the distance between current prices was too narrow and the position was closed after a pullback. And then market went much higher. In conclusion, I want to note that fixed SL & TP approach is not bad , it is different and for some trading strategies it will be more appropriate. However, because of its limitations, occasionally big moves will be missed. Try trailing stop by your own, combine it with your strategy and I hope that you will make a lot of money with that! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold- Short-Term Bull, Medium-Term BearIn my previous analysis, I pointed out the possibility of Gold correcting back to retest the broken descending trendline. That zone is now acting as a key confluence area, and as long as the price holds above it, bulls maintain the advantage. However, beyond the technicals, I also shared my personal view: while we could see some upside in the short term (next few days), I believe that Gold is setting up for another leg down in the medium term. From a strictly technical perspective, the current price action reinforces the likelihood of a short-term bounce. We're seeing a clean retest of previous resistance turned support, which often leads to continuation moves. 📉 But if you're aiming for 1,000+ pip swings (like me), it's wiser to wait for clear bearish confirmation. The real opportunity may come after this short-term rise, at least in my opinion. In conclusion: - Short term is bullish as long as it stays above 3340-3350 in terms of daily close - In the medium term, my opinion is unchanged, drop to 3200 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
14
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, and opportunities emerge!Gold was under pressure for the second time during the day, and the pressure at the 3349 line fell back. It continued to be treated with a fluctuating mindset. The 4H cycle observation showed that the Bollinger Bands were closing, and the K-line repeatedly interspersed around the middle track. The short-term structure tended to fluctuate upward. Pay attention to the 3348-3350 and 3362 pressure zones above, and the support below is located in the 3315 and 3302 areas. In terms of operation, the main long and auxiliary short ideas are maintained, and the guidance of CPI data is paid special attention. Operational suggestions: Gold retreats to the 3315-3305 area and tries to arrange long orders, with the target looking at 3338 and 3349. A strong breakthrough can look up to 3360. If the 3350-3360 pressure zone above is not broken, short orders can be tried in the short term. All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Perfect grasp of the high altitude and low multi rhythm!The current trend of gold continues yesterday's trend, maintaining a high rebound and volatile market. But don't panic, focus on the performance of the rebound. If the rebound fails to break through the upper resistance level, continue to focus on shorting. The upper suppression area is locked at the 3335-3345 line. Although the bullish performance has been strengthened, if it cannot effectively break through this range, it is still a short-term weak signal. From the current market, the upper pressure is obvious, and the rebound can rely on this range to layout the main short, focusing on the continuation of the decline. The lower support focuses on the 3293-3300 integer mark, and the overall long and short wide range of volatile market is maintained. Before the daily level fails to effectively break through and stand firm at the 3345 mark, it is difficult to say that the bulls will turn strong, and operations need to be cautious. If the market adjusts, the strategy will be updated simultaneously. Operation strategy suggestion: Gold rebounds to the 3335-3345 first-line area to choose the opportunity to short, target the 3295-3306 range, strictly control risks, and follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAU/USD: Gold's Critical Decision Point! FOR JUNE 06, 2025 📊 CURRENT SNAPSHOT --- 🎯 THE SETUP: "Golden Triangle Breakout" Gold is sitting at a CRITICAL JUNCTURE - trapped between major support and resistance levels, forming what I call the "Golden Pressure Cooker" pattern. 🔍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH 🔴 RESISTANCE ZONE (The Ceiling) * LWH (Last Week High): \$3,403.55 - Ultimate target * LWL (Last Week Low): \$3,297.94 - Immediate resistance * 4H FVG: \$3,350 area - Major supply zone 🟡 CURRENT BATTLEFIELD * Price Action: Consolidating in tight range * PWL (Previous Week Low): \$3,245.28 - Key pivot 🔴 DANGER ZONE (The Floor) * DIE ZONE: \$3,121.70 - Critical support * Break below = Major bearish signal --- 📈 MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS What the Chart is Telling Us: 1. 📊 Consolidation Phase: Gold has been ranging for several sessions 2. ⚡ 4H FVG Above: Acting as a magnet for price 3. 🎯 Triple Test: Price respecting the PWL level multiple times 4. 📉 Volume Decline: Typical before major moves --- 🚀 TRADING SCENARIOS SCENARIO 1: "Golden Rocket" 🚀 (BULLISH) IF price breaks above \$3,297.94 (LWL): * Target 1: \$3,330- +1.2% gain * Target 2: \$3,350(FVG) - +3.9% gain * Stop Loss: \$3,280 - Risk: -0.5% Risk/Reward: 1:1.8 ⭐⭐⭐ SCENARIO 2: "Golden Avalanche" 📉 (BEARISH) IF price breaks below \$3,245.28 (PWL): * Target 1: \$3,200 (Psychological level) * Target 2: \$3,121.70 (Die Zone) * Stop Loss: \$3,297.94 (LWL) --- 💡 SIMPLE TRADING PLAN 🎯 FOR BULLS (Buy Setup): ``` ENTRY: Break above $3,298 with volume STOP: $3,285 TARGET 1: $3,330 TARGET 2: $3,360 🎯 FOR BEARS (Sell Setup): ``` ENTRY: Break below $3,245 with volume STOP: $3,298 (LWL) TARGET 1: $3,200 TARGET 2: $3,122 (Die Zone) --- ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES 1. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of account 2. Wait for Confirmation: Don't jump early 3. Volume is Key: Breakouts need volume 4. Time Limit: Close if no movement in 2 days --- 🔥 WHY THIS SETUP MATTERS Gold is at a crossroads! The tight consolidation suggests big players are accumulating positions. When this range breaks, expect explosive movement in either direction. Smart Money Clues: * Multiple tests of PWL = Strong support * 4H FVG above = Price magnet effect * Low volume = Calm before the storm --- 📊 MARKET CONTEXT * Dollar Weakness: Could fuel gold rally * Economic Uncertainty: Safe haven demand * Technical Setup: Clean breakout pattern * Timeframe: Perfect for swing trades --- 🎯 MY VERDICT Gold is COILED and ready to EXPLODE! The setup favors the bullish scenario due to: ✅ Strong support holding at PWL ✅ 4H FVG acting as price magnet ✅ Multiple failed attempts to break lower ✅ Overall uptrend structure intact But remember: Respect the levels and trade the breakout, not your bias! --- 🚨 ACTION ITEMS 1. Set Alerts: \$3,298 (bull trigger) & \$3,245 (bear trigger) 2. Watch Volume: Breakouts need confirmation 3. Be Patient: Wait for clean breaks 4. Have Both Plans: Ready for either direction --- Trade Smart, Stay Safe! 🥇💰 The market rewards patience and punishes impatience.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by ONE1iMPACT
[20250607] This Week - Gold-ie-fornia Glitters: Simply No EscapeGold’s Update Gold-ie-fornia Glitters: Simply No Escape 🔥 The golden battlefield is set. Some will navigate with precision. Others will chase shadows. Institutions have laid their traps, and the prey never sees it coming. Will you? The stage is set. The market is unfolding in precise, calculated sequences , leaving no room for hopium and assumptions —only for those who can read the reality beneath the illusions . 📌 Market Structure Breakdown – Chronology of Events (Anticipation-Based Perspective) 1️⃣ Bulls' Entrapment – Bulls trust golden illusions, believing their ground is secure—but it isn’t. Institutions lure them in, setting the perfect conditions for deep positioning and offloading . 2️⃣ Bears' First Break – Testing 3325-3316 – This level was previously a support but has only recently broken down . Before a full transition into bearish control , a retest is anticipated — response at this zone will determine the next move . ➤ Key Confluence Zone – 3305-3302: 3305 Dynamic True Value → Institutional equilibrium price level. 3302 Immediate VWAP of ATH Swing → Large player VWAP anchoring from All-Time High movement . 3️⃣ Berlin’s Wall Challenge – 3275-3285 – If bears successfully break below 3325-3316 , the next major challenge awaits at Berlin’s Wall . Bulls may attempt a last stand here, while institutions assess liquidity flow. 4️⃣ Wilderness Entry – Below 3242-3228 – Breaking below this zone suggests entry into the wilderness , but freedom here is deceptive . Institutional liquidity traps are expected to emerge , targeting bears' response. 5️⃣ Bear's Survival Phase – 3179-3202 – Institutional poachers are likely to engage here , harvesting liquidity with steel traps and spike-laden snares . Bears must respond strategically , anticipating resistance before advancing further. 📌 This synopsis sets the stage for the unfolding battle —where illusion meets reality, where survival depends not just on movement, but on strategy, patience, and foresight . Now, let’s dive deeper into the story , breaking down each phase, uncovering where liquidity hides , and analyzing the critical decisions traders must make before the market forces their hand . Bull’s Self-Inflicted Entrapment Blind to the ripe conditions for institutional deep positioning and offloading , bulls trusted an illusion , charging forward without recognizing the trap. The recent high at 3403 was never a gateway to further gains —instead, it reversed sharply, plunging nearly 100 points to 3305 . Had they kept an open mind , they might have read my previous analysis— mapped and marked with precision —instead of walking into this conundrum unprepared. Click--> Full read here What’s Next? Bear’s Stage is Set. The coming week belongs to the bears , but survival depends on more than instinct. Heightened senses will dictate their fate. Breaking the Bull’s Stronghold & Berlin’s Wall Before bears can roam free, they must first break through the perimeter of the Bull’s stronghold —the 3325-3316 zone . This is the fortified defense line , the place where bulls still hold ground. A decisive push below this level would force them to retreat, exposing Berlin’s Wall (3275-3285) —the last major barrier before true liberation. ✔ If bears break through Berlin’s Wall , they step into the wilderness , but this isn’t a free passage—it’s a hidden battleground of institutional traps , set by the large-scale poachers hunting for bear liquidity. 📌 Actionable Strategies & How to Navigate the Coming Week Having mapped out the sequence of market events , let's shift focus to execution — how traders can position effectively, anticipate moves, and avoid institutional liquidity traps . Key Strategy Guidelines for Bears ✔ Identify Major Battle Zones 3325-3316 → A recent breakdown that requires a retest for confirmation. 3275-3285 (Berlin’s Wall) → The critical hurdle before true liberation . 3242-3228 → Bears may see an open path, but institutions lie in wait, setting traps . ✔ Watch Institutional Defense Mechanisms VWAP 3277 → Key liquidity defense zone. Sentiment Fib 3272-3264 → Large players may attempt reversal positioning. Dynamic True Value 3267 → Hidden liquidity pool where bears must tread carefully. ✔ Strategic Positioning for Risk Management Partial exits at key zones → Secure gains before potential reversals. Re-entry confirmations → Wait for strong level acceptance before scaling further . Keep flexibility → The market moves in phases—respond, but never force trades. Final Words for the Coming Week: Be the apex predator , not the reckless prey. Fight smart. Stay vigilant. Conserve energy for the strikes that matter . Gather your berries, honey, and fishes along the way— survival depends on it. Not all who enter this cycle will escape . The reckless will chase mirages , while those who master the art of precision will find their way to the hibernation chamber. Chart Snapshots for guide: Fibonacci Levels: Dynamic True Value – refer to the indicates level on chart: M15 M45 2H 4H TF Daily Weekly Liquidity Zone – map these levels: 3371-3378 3316-3325 3299-3307 3275-3285 3200-3120 VWAP – Price magnet or Institutional Favor zone – refer the yellow line: Value of May’s recent low Most recent April’s Low ATH Snapshot ALL
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSD
by jerryfc000
Wait for the right time and sell gold! The current gold market sentiment is in a cautious neutral state. The US dollar index is under pressure due to the US fiscal health issues and the downward trend of US bond yields, but last week's non-farm data suppressed the Fed's expectations of a rapid rate cut this year. Although risk aversion still exists, it has not formed enough synergy to push up gold. The market is cautiously optimistic about the prospects of high-level negotiations between important economies, and is wary of sudden fluctuations that may be caused by geopolitical risks. I believe that in the context of global geopolitical conflicts, the expansion of fiscal deficits in major economies, and the uncertainty of the monetary policy shift cycle, the medium- and long-term logic of gold still has support. However, before the Fed's expectation of maintaining a "high interest rate for longer" policy is loosened, the gold rebound path may be more tortuous, and it needs to rely on geopolitical or US dollar fluctuations to trigger a trend market. The 4-hour gold chart shows that gold has fallen after rising, breaking through the middle track support and breaking through the rising trend line at the same time. The trend line break point coincides with the middle track position. The subsequent decline space will gradually expand with the development of the pattern. There may be repeated shocks in the process, but the overall downward trend is clear. At present, the short-term momentum of gold has not been fully released. In the US market, I suggest selling in the 3345-3350 range, with the target pointing to the 3330-3310 area. If the short-term trend effectively breaks through the key support level, it may further open up the downward space. Repeat once! Sell gold near the rebound of 3345-3350, with the target of 3330-3310 If you have doubts, you can look at my previous analysis, and you can find more information to prove that I am right!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KellyLondon