GOING Long On Gold (XAUUSD)Today we are setting pending orders instead of taking direct market executions because we need price to reach a specific level before entering a trade.
Our current bias is based on where the New York session opened and where price is likely to reach first. From yesterday we observed strong bullish candles from the New York session open with price rallying from around 3350.02 to 3389.4.
Now price has corrected itself but the overall trend remains bullish. According to the Session Directional Momentum concept we are setting pending buy orders at the low of the previous one hour candle.
Looking back there is a strong support level at that region which has been breached twice but remains valid. Price tapped that level again before the New York session opened today which indicates mitigation.
We are expecting price to return to that zone before taking off again with a projected move of at least 250 pips for the day.
GOLD trade ideas
XAUSD : M30 Long BiasThis trading plan adopts a bullish bias, anticipating an upward move initiated with an entry into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone highlighted on the chart.
Key Components of the Plan:
Entry Zone:
The primary entry for a long position is upon price entering the FVG area (Fair Value Gap). This gap represents a price imbalance, often caused by institutional buying or selling, where the market tends to revisit to fill the gap before continuing its trend. Buying at this zone provides a good risk-reward profile.
Price Context :
Current price is approaching the FVG after a prior strong bullish move, indicating the possibility of a pullback to accumulate before price continuation.
Target Area:
Expect the price to move upward from the FVG zone towards higher levels, potentially reaching recent swing highs or resistance zones mapped by Smart Money Concepts such as order blocks or liquidity targets.
Stop Loss Placement:
A prudent stop loss can be placed just below the lower boundary of the FVG zone or below the strong recent low, to protect against extended downside moves invalidating the trade setup.
Trade Rationale:
The plan leverages smart money concepts where institutional buying in the FVG zone creates a strong demand area for positioning long. This is backed by the technical structure seen in the chart and typical market behavior of filling such gaps.
XAUUSD BUY IDEA • Clear POI Identified:
Price is approaching a well-defined Point of Interest (POI) around 3,347–3,355. This zone aligns with prior demand and a potential entry point for institutions.
• Short-Term Weakness → Potential Reversal:
The market structure shows a retracement phase after a strong bullish impulse. The retrace is likely targeting discount levels within the POI.
• 50 EMA Confluence:
The 50 EMA (gray line) is rising and converging toward the POI, adding confluence for bullish continuation.
• Anticipated Reaction:
Expectation is for price to tap the POI, form an intraday reversal pattern, then continue upward toward higher liquidity zones.
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🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
• Accumulation → Expansion:
Price may currently be accumulating orders before the next expansion leg.
• Low-Risk Entry Zone:
The POI offers a potential low-risk buy zone with stop-loss below the 3,347 region.
Go long on the pullback and head straight to new highs!Gold fell back and stabilized at 3345 yesterday, and continued to rise during the US trading session, reaching a high of 3385. The overnight daily line closed positive again, which is in line with our expectations, so there is still room for growth. We will continue to take a bullish approach today. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening is in the stage of large volume, and the consecutive positive lines are rising steadily based on the moving average. The support below is 3370-3360, and the intraday watershed is at 3360. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks. First look at the pressure of the 3385 high point. If it breaks, continue to look at 3395 and 3410.
Gold operation suggestion: go long on gold around 3370-3360, and look at 3385 and 3400.
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – August 4, 2025Last week, prior to Powell’s speech, we expected a move down to the $3280 area.
While we anticipated a brief pullback to lighten liquidity around $3400 first,
price instead dropped straight down without a bounce.
✅ The reaction at our level was spot-on,
culminating in a weekly close above $3360 — very bullish.
With liquidity around $3370 already cleared,
we don’t expect strong resistance ahead.
📈 The preferred strategy for this week: Buy gold.
🎯 A solid entry zone lies between $3320–$3330.
⚠️ For those insisting on counter-trend trades,
we strongly advise keeping targets small.
XAUUSD Gold Swing Trading Plan – 1st Week of August 2025 (H4 TF)Strategy Type: Swing Trade (Multi-Day Positioning)
Timeframe: H4 (4-hour)
Market Bias: Bullish Continuation
Risk Profile: Medium-to-Low Frequency, High Conviction
Trade Style: Buy-the-Dip, Scale-out Strategy
🧠 Macro & Technical Outlook
Gold is currently maintaining a bullish higher-high, higher-low structure on the H4 chart, reflecting continued strength from macro drivers including inflation hedging, softening USD, and a shift toward safe-haven assets amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
The market has recently completed a local impulse wave and is entering a healthy retracement phase. This sets up a textbook swing opportunity, where pullbacks to key Fibonacci levels can be capitalised for the next bullish leg up.
🔍 H4 Trading Plan Summary
✅ Phase 1: Buy on Pullback to 3360
Entry Zone: 3360 (H4 support and key retracement level)
Reasoning:
Confluence of dynamic support and 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone of the previous H4 swing
Former resistance turned support (RBS zone)
Volume tapering and RSI cooling off — signalling a healthy setup for bullish continuation
Entry Trigger:
Bullish engulfing or pin bar candle on H4
Optional confirmation: RSI > 40 after bounce, MACD crossover
Stop Loss: Below 3340 (beneath structural support)
🎯 Target 1: 3383
Why:
Local resistance zone from previous H4 rejection wick
Close to psychological level and good zone for first partial profit
Action:
Secure 25% profits
Move SL to breakeven or +10 pips for risk-free continuation
Wait for next retracement
✅ Phase 2: Wait for Pullback After 3383
Retracement Zone: Estimated dip to 3370–3375 (higher low area)
Entry Trigger:
Confirmation of strong bounce at this level with tight consolidation and breakout on smaller timeframes (M30/H1)
🎯 Target 2: 3430
Why:
Strong historical resistance from early July
Mid-level of long-term range (3330–3480)
Often serves as decision point between accumulation or breakout
Action:
Secure additional 40–50% profits
Trail SL below the most recent higher low (~3390)
✅ Phase 3: Final Position Hold Toward 3475
Retracement Zone: Likely dip to 3410–3420 after 3430 is reached
Final Entry (Optional): Only if momentum is strong and structure holds
Target 3: 3475
Why:
Multi-month resistance and projected upside target from recent breakout
Round number magnet + liquidity zone for larger institutional exits
Action:
Close remaining 25–30% of the position
Reassess for breakout or reversal at 3475
⚠️ Risk Management Plan
Max exposure: 1.5–2% of account
Stop losses fixed — no averaging down
Use position sizing to handle swing duration volatility
Scale-in only with structure confirmation
🔁 Summary Table
Phase Buy Level Target SL Action
Phase 1 3360 3383 3340 Partial TP, BE SL
Phase 2 3370–3375 3430 3355–3365 Add size, secure more
Phase 3 3410–3420 3475 3390 Final TP, full exit
📊 Indicators to Watch (H4)
RSI: Look for 40–60 zone bounce and push toward 70
MACD: Cross above signal line confirms momentum
Volume: Increased buy-side volume at 3360–3375 confirms entry strength
🧭 Fundamental Considerations
Watch DXY: Weakness in Dollar continues to support Gold’s uptrend
FOMC or Jobs Data Ahead?: Any surprise comments from Fed could introduce volatility
Global Headlines: Risk-off flows (e.g., China/US tensions, war news) are bullish for Gold
XAUUSD – Weak Rebound, Bearish Bias RemainsYesterday was a quiet and choppy day for Gold.
Although price managed to recover a small portion of last week’s 1400 pip drop, the rebound remains anemic — price barely reached the 23% Fibonacci retracement.
To make things worse for the bulls, the recovery from around $3300 is starting to take the shape of a bearish flag, a continuation pattern that typically signals further downside ahead.
📌 Resistance Zones to Watch:
- Initial resistance: $3345–3350
- Stronger resistance: $3370, a level already proven and well-defined
As long as the price is under those levels, I remain firmly bearish.
📈 Trading Plan:
I already have a short position open, and I'm still waiting to add more, preferably on a push into higher resistance, ideally above $3345.
No need to force entries — I’d rather scale in on strength, not weakness.
Once the correction is complete, I’m targeting:
- $3280 as the first support
- $3250 as a realistic downside objective
Conclusion:
The rebound lacks power. The structure favors the bears.
Still watching for better entries to add short, with eyes on 3280 and 3250 as likely targets.
Let’s stay patient and let the setup come to us. 🎯
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Hidden secrets amidst gold volatility
💡Message Strategy
The current gold price is primarily supported by the following fundamental factors:
First, US President Trump signed an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports, bringing the cumulative tariff rate to 50%. Meanwhile, the market expects Japanese goods to face an additional 15% tariff. This series of policies has fueled concerns about global economic uncertainty, significantly increasing market demand for safe-haven assets and benefiting gold.
Second, recent weak US economic data, including last Friday's weaker-than-expected non-farm payroll data and Tuesday's subdued ISM services PMI, have reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this year.
Furthermore, the US dollar has remained under pressure, weakening against major currencies to a more than one-week low. Since gold is priced in US dollars, a weaker dollar has increased purchasing power in non-US markets, indirectly pushing up gold prices.
Despite the overall optimistic tone in the equity market, the upward trend in risky assets has not dampened gold's momentum, indicating that market sentiment has not yet returned to a risk-on, and gold continues to serve as a core safe-haven asset.
📊Technical aspects
Looking at the two-hour chart, gold prices have been trading in a volatile consolidation pattern since rebounding from a low of $2,955. They are currently trading above the middle Bollinger Band ($3,340) and approaching the upper Bollinger Band ($3,430).
The Bollinger Bands are showing signs of convergence, indicating a temporary contraction in volatility, which could be a precursor to a potential breakout. A subsequent breakout above the upper Bollinger Band on larger volume would signal a "Bollinger Band squeeze + breakout" pattern, potentially testing the previous high of $3,430.
If gold breaks through the 3440 line with strength, then gold will continue to challenge the 3500 integer mark.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3365-3375,SL:3350,Target: 3400-3430
Gold Retraces to OTE and Breaks ResistanceEyes on Swing Highs!Gold Market Update
The gold market declined from its previous bullish leg and retraced below the 50% level, reaching into the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone. It also tapped into a Bullish Price Rejection (BPR) area. Following that, price broke above the trendline resistance. Currently, it is advisable to wait for a potential retest of the breakout level. If confirmed, the market could continue its upward movement toward the previous swing highs.
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
XAUUSD 15m XAUUSD Possible Pullback Buy SetupThis is what I'm looking at currently for gold. The breakout from the range and reclaim of previous resistance as support indicates buyers are in control, but market is approaching heavy resistance above, so I'm looking for “buy dips” rather than chasing late longs.
Gold is fluctuating at a high level. Latest analysis.On Monday, gold surged to around 3370 in the morning before retreating slightly. It fell back to support near $3345 in the European session. The dividing line between bulls and bears lies below 3340, which also marks the support level and the top-bottom reversal before the close of last Friday's non-farm payroll report.
Quaid planned to go long near 3340 on Monday, but the price rebounded to 3345, halting its decline and then fluctuating sideways, preventing an entry opportunity. However, a short opportunity near 3385 was successfully implemented with a slight pullback. Although it did not reach the expected target, a small profit was achieved after the pullback to 3370.
Monday showed an overall upward trend, with the closing price fluctuating at a high level, reaching a high around 3385 before retracing to confirm 3370. The overall market trend remains upward, with a temporary potential for a move to around $3400. Quaid recommends a buy-on-low strategy today. Currently, the 1-hour moving average is trending flat, and the trend of prices continuing to fluctuate at high levels cannot be ruled out.
Support for Tuesday's pullback lies near 3370. The key to a renewed rally lies at 3360, also the level of resistance before Monday's US market opening. As long as this level remains intact, the overall strategy remains unchanged. Alternatively, watch for a re-break of 3385, with upside targets at 3385-3390-3400.
Strategy:
Long at 3360-3365, stop-loss at 3355, profit range at 3380-3400;
Short at 3395-3400, stop-loss at 3410, profit range at 3370-3350;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 3370, Second Support Level: 3360, Third Support Level: 3350
First Resistance Level: 3385, Second Resistance Level: 3395, Third Resistance Level: 3405.
BUY XAU 4.8.2025Confluence order: BUY at M15
Type of order: Limit order
Reason:
- The current top is not touching anything, expected to rise to the H4~H1 above.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the last bottom (3,347)
Set up entry:
- Entry buy at 3,342
- SL at 3,338
- TP1: 3,347 (~1R)
- TP2: 3,355 (~3R)
- TP3: 3,361 (~4,5R)
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
XAUUSD GOLD H1 ANALYSIS BUY NOW 3365 XAUUSD (Gold) Trade Update:
Gold is currently a buy at 3365, with an upside target of 3420. The support area is at 3348, while the resistance is seen around 3380. Traders who have been following my analysis are advised to hold their positions strongly and stay confident in the setup. This move aligns with the ongoing bullish momentum, so stay focused and manage your trades accordingly.
August 8, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Price is hovering near a key inflection zone. 3388 acts as the current bull-bear dividing line. If price holds below it, bearish momentum may continue. If price breaks above 3395, bulls could regain control. Until then, watch for rejection near resistance and possible long setups near the lower support band. Patience is key — wait for confirmation around the outlined levels.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3408 – Resistance
• 3402 – Resistance
• 3397 – Resistance
• 3388 – Bull-bear dividing line
• 3375 – Support
• 3365 – Support
• 3350 – Psychological support
• 3345 – Support
• 3334 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy
SELL below 3387, targeting 3385, then 3380, 3375, 3370
BUY above 3395, targeting 3397, then 3402, 3408, 3410
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.