GOLD trade ideas
How to find solid trading opportunities amid gold volatility?Gold opened at around 3338, and then fluctuated and fell after reaching the highest point of 3344. The 3313 long orders that were publicly deployed yesterday reached the target range of 3327-3330 as expected and stopped profit smoothly. Although the overall trend is weak, it has never effectively left the range, and the typical bottoming rebound structure is still an important basis for the low-multiple thinking. The market rose to around 3340 in the short term and then fell again. The overall operation fluctuated and consolidated below 3340, and failed to reach the expected short order entry position, and maintained fluctuations until the close.
At present, gold is still in the range of fluctuations. Although the hourly line has some fluctuations, there is no obvious directional breakthrough, and it is more of a consolidation and accumulation state. The upper short-term suppression focuses on the 3345-3355 line, which is the current primary resistance area; the lower support focuses on the 3325-3315 area, and the judgment of the long and short key nodes is maintained. The daily structure shows a yin-yang staggered pattern. The market sentiment is cautious and the long and short forces are relatively balanced. Before an effective breakthrough is formed, the operation should be based on support and pressure points to avoid chasing ups and downs and do a good job of risk control.
Operation suggestions are as follows:
1. Go long near 3325-3315, with a target of 3340-3345.
2. Go short near 3345-3355, with a target of 3325-3320.
Today is Friday, and it is recommended to respond steadily, focusing on the competition for key support and resistance areas. I will prompt more real-time strategies and entry points at the bottom, remember to pay attention to it as soon as possible.
XAUUSD Weekly Trade Setup(14-18th July 2025) - Bullish StrategyIn the ever-volatile world of commodities, Gold (XAUUSD) has yet again presented a promising technical setup. For traders looking to capitalize on price action and structure-based strategies, the upcoming week (14th to 18th July 2025) offers a clean breakout and retest opportunity backed by a strong risk/reward ratio.
Let’s break down the trade plan in detail.
1. Overview of the Current Market Structure
As shown in the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD is approaching a key horizontal resistance zone around 3360–3370. Historically, this area has acted as a rejection point for buyers. However, the recent bullish momentum, supported by price trading above the 200 EMA, suggests a potential breakout.
This forms the basis of a Breakout-Retest-Continuation strategy – one of the most reliable setups in price action trading.
2. The Trade Plan
Here’s the structured plan for this setup:
🔵 Step 1: Wait for the Breakout
Price must break above the resistance zone (3360–3370) with a strong bullish candle.
Avoid chasing the breakout; instead, let the market confirm its direction.
🟠 Step 2: Look for the Retest
After the breakout, wait for the price to pull back to the broken resistance, now acting as support.
Confirm this retest with a reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., bullish engulfing or hammer) on the 1H or 4H timeframe.
🔴 Step 3: Entry and Stop Loss
Enter the trade after the confirmation candle closes.
Place a stop loss below the swing low of the retest zone.
This protects the trade in case of a false breakout.
🟢 Step 4: Set Your Target
The profit booking zone lies around the 3440–3450 region.
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:4, targeting 1:2, 1:3, and potentially 1:4 if momentum continues.
3. Why This Setup Makes Sense
EMA Confirmation: Price is trading above the 200 EMA, showing bullish bias.
Clean Price Action: Well-defined structure makes it easy to identify breakout/retest levels.
Strong Risk Management: The stop is tight and logical, while the upside potential is considerable.
Psychological Support Zone: 3360–3370 has repeatedly acted as a key decision level.
4. Trade Management Tips
Trail your stop loss once 1:2 R:R is achieved.
Consider partial profit booking at 1:2 or 1:3 to lock in gains and reduce risk.
Be patient – the key to this strategy is waiting for the retest confirmation.
5. Final Thoughts
Trading XAUUSD can be both rewarding and risky. This weekly setup gives you a disciplined approach to enter the market at a high-probability point with excellent reward potential. Whether you’re a swing trader or an intraday scalper on lower timeframes, this strategy adapts well with proper confirmation.
Stay tuned for live updates, and as always – plan your trade, and trade your plan.
Happy Trading!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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"Gold at a Crossroads! Bullish or Bearish? (Trade Plan)"🦹♂️💰 "Gold Heist Alert: XAU/USD Bullish Raid or Bearish Ambush?" 💰🦹♂️
🌍 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌍
(Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!)
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Method🔥, here’s our strategic heist plan for XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar). Follow the chart markings for high-probability loot zones—whether you're a bullish bandit or a bearish burglar! 🏴☠️💸
🎯 Entry Strategy (Where to Strike)
"The treasure is ripe for taking! Breakout = GO TIME!"
✅ Long Entry (Bullish Raid): Jump in at current levels if the uptrend holds.
✅ Short Entry (Bearish Ambush): Wait for a break & close below 3280.00 (confirms downtrend).
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route)
🚨 For Bulls: Bail out if price hits 3240.00 (SL tightens if trend strengthens).
🚨 For Bears: Retreat if price surges past 3360.00 (only activate SL post-breakout!).
🎯 Take Profit (Loot & Scoot!)
💰 Bullish Thieves: Aim for 3600.00 (or exit early if momentum fades).
💰 Bearish Bandits: Target 3125.00 (or escape before the cops—err, reversal—arrives).
📡 Market Intel (Why This Heist?)
Gold’s in a neutral zone (but bulls have the edge! 🐂📈). Key factors:
Macroeconomic shifts
COT data clues
Sentiment & seasonal trends
(Full breakdown in the chart notes—klick the 🔗! 🔍🌐)
⚠️ Danger Zones (News & Risk Control)
🚨 High-Impact News = NO NEW TRADES!
🚨 Protect open positions: Use trailing stops to lock in profits.
🚨 Adjust SLs if volatility spikes!
💥 Boost the Heist! 💥
Like & Share to fuel our next market robbery! 🚀💰
Follow for more lucrative trade setups—coming soon! 👀🔥
🎯 Trade Smart, Steal Smarter! 🦹♂️💎
Is Gold Ready for a Breakout or Pullback? | Weekly ForecastIn this video, we dive deep into the gold market analysis for the week of July 7 to July 11, 2025. I break down everything you need to know from last week’s price action — including the surge to $3,360, the impact of the U.S. tax cut and spending bill, and the 2.2% weekly gain despite consolidation.
We also look ahead at what to expect this week, including:
📅 July 9 Trade Tariff Deadline
📉 Key U.S. labor data (Initial Jobless Claims)
🏦 Market sentiment around Fed rate cut speculation
📊 Strategic insights based on technical and macro confluence
👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Vote, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments:
Do you think gold will break above $3,360 this week? Or are we gearing up for a deeper pullback?
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3358 and a gap below at 3330. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
1507 a bull trend back to Gold Hello traders,
Gold has returned back above EMAs on daily chart.
On 4h chart, there is a chance for it to break through last top level to make a new high up to 3438 .
Take a good use liquidity of CPI of US today.
You could get a great result of that.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
Gold/XAUUSD Analysis Breaks Bullish Channel – Targeting 3400+🟨 Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has recently completed a significant technical move that signals the potential start of a strong bullish continuation phase. After a period of consolidation inside a descending channel, price has broken above key resistance levels and is showing firm buyer strength across the board.
🔍 Technical Structure Breakdown:
🔹 Descending Channel (Consolidation Phase)
For several sessions, gold was confined within a well-defined descending channel, which typically indicates a temporary correction in a broader bullish trend. This phase served as a liquidity-building zone where smart money accumulated long positions.
🔹 Breakout & Retest Confirmation
The breakout above the upper boundary of the channel was clean and impulsive, confirming bullish intent. This breakout aligned perfectly with a previous demand zone (now retested as support), adding strong confluence.
Key Breakout Zone: $3,330–$3,340
Retest Action: Price pulled back to test the breakout zone, respected it, and printed a bullish reversal.
This behavior confirms the “breakout–retest–continuation” pattern—highly reliable in trending markets.
🔹 SR Interchange – Key Pivot Zone
The level around $3,340 served a dual role:
Previously acted as resistance within the channel.
Now acting as support post-breakout (SR flip).
This interchange area is significant because it reinforces the idea that bulls are now defending this level aggressively.
🔹 Bullish Pattern Confirmation
A bullish price pattern has formed exactly at the SR zone and near the trendline. This double confluence (pattern + level) provides high-probability trade setups and confirms the entry point for buyers.
🔹 Ascending Trendline Support
An emerging bullish trendline is now guiding the move upward, confirming that the market has shifted its short-term trend. Every bounce on this trendline reinforces bullish structure and validates higher-low formations.
🎯 Price Targets & Expectations:
✅ Previous Target Zone:
Around $3,375, already tapped and respected.
This shows that gold is following technical targets with precision.
🎯 Next Bullish Target:
$3,400 – $3,410 zone stands as the next supply region.
This area is a major psychological resistance and aligns with historical reaction points.
🧠 Trading Insight & Strategy:
With current price action and momentum, buying dips remains the optimal approach, provided the price stays above the SR Interchange zone.
🔽 Entry Zone: $3,345 – $3,350
📈 Targets:
TP1: $3,375 (partial exit)
TP2: $3,400–$3,410 (final target)
❌ Invalidation Zone (Stop Loss): Below $3,330
Breaking below this would invalidate the breakout structure and possibly signal a false breakout.
📌 Summary:
✅ Clear breakout from descending channel
✅ Retest of previous demand and SR flip zone
✅ Bullish pattern confirmed on key support
✅ Ascending trendline intact
🎯 Next logical move: $3,400+
The gold market is giving strong bullish cues, and this setup could be a textbook example of “buy the breakout, ride the trend.”
Stay sharp, trade smart, and keep your risk in check. 👑
Gold’s Chart Update Next Move: Bullish or Bearish?Gold has shown strong bullish momentum 💪 as it breaks through the descending trendline 📉, positioning itself to target the upper liquidity zone 💰. Right now, we have two key scenarios to watch:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If Gold breaks above the 3345 level and closes a solid candle above it 🔝, we could see a move towards 3360 🚀, signaling further upward potential.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: However, if Gold sweeps the 3345 zone and fails to maintain the bullish momentum 🔻, we may see a pullback that could push prices lower 📉.
Stay vigilant 👀 and keep an eye on price action for the next big move! 🔍📊
Adjust after shock and then go longNews: In the early Asian session, spot gold rose slightly, reaching a high of $3,372.65/ounce, the highest since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the EU from August 1, which further heated up the market's concerns about international trade and provided momentum for gold prices to rise. In the early Asian session, spot gold rose slightly, reaching a high of $3,373.99/ounce so far, the highest since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the EU from August 1, which further heated up the market's concerns about international trade and provided momentum for gold prices to rise.
Analysis of gold trend: Today it hit a new high at around 3373. From the daily chart, gold has closed three consecutive positive days. The K-line pattern is a bullish signal. From the indicators, the RSI turned upward from a low level, and the Stoch indicator formed a golden cross at a low level. It is currently running in the middle. The indicators show that gold is still likely to rise in the short term. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the suppression of the 3400 area on the upper track of the daily Bollinger band. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough of this level. Once 3400 is not broken through for multiple times, gold will still fall back to test the 3280 support in the future. Once it breaks through 3400, gold will test the 3450 area. In the short term, it is still likely to rise. The operation strategy remains unchanged.
Gold - The clear top formation!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) just created a top formation:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past four months, Gold has overall been moving sideways. Following a previous blow-off rally of about +25%, this cycle is very similar to the 2008 bullish cycle. Bulls are starting to slow down which will most likely result in the creation of at least a short term top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
GOLD AT CROSSROADS: CAPITALIZING ON MARKET SHIFTS FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
With Gold currently trading at 3357, we're at a pivotal moment. The confluence of heightened geopolitical tensions and recent decisive US government actions – including renewed tariff threats and evolving monetary policy signals – is creating a clear trajectory. Analysis indicates a compelling opportunity to initiate aggressive sell signals, targeting 3345 and then pushing for 3330. Risk is rigorously managed with a disciplined stop loss at 3380. This is a strategic move, designed to profit from the immediate downward pressures stemming from the global political and economic landscape, as the market re-calibrates to these powerful forces."
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 14, 2025
🔍 Momentum Analysis
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the upside, indicating that the bullish trend may continue into early next week (Monday).
H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term correction is likely to bring momentum back down into oversold territory.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H4 chart, we observe a contracting triangle pattern (abcde) approaching its final stages.
In the Friday trading plan, we anticipated that the corrective phase had ended and price was entering a new impulsive wave. However, there are two irregularities worth noting:
A pin bar candle with high volume has appeared at the resistance zone near 3365, while H4 momentum is overbought. This signals a likely short-term correction — something that ideally should not happen if price is already in wave 3. Ideally, price should have surged to 3402 on Friday to strengthen the bullish case.
On the H1 chart, bullish candles are small and overlapping, reflecting weak bullish momentum and a lack of conviction from buyers.
These two signs suggest that the market may still be within the correction phase, and the 3402 level will serve as a key confirmation zone to determine whether the correction has truly ended.
💡 Trading Outlook
The bullish momentum on the D1 chart still supports BUY positions for the coming week.
However, since the H4 chart is overbought, a short-term pullback is likely.
We will look to buy on dips toward lower support zones, targeting a move toward 3393 – 3402, which remains the target area as outlined in Friday’s plan with the original entry at 3332 – 3330.
📊 Trading Plan
BUY Zone: 3342 – 3340
Stop Loss (SL): 3330
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3393
Gold Trading Strategy | July 14-15✅ From the 4-hour chart structure, the short-term support to watch lies in the 3340–3345 zone, which corresponds to the neckline level on last Friday's hourly chart. This is a key support area. If a pullback holds above this level, it may serve as a new launching point for the bulls.
✅ A deeper support zone is located around 3325–3330, which serves as the dividing line between a strong and weak bullish structure in the short term. If this level is broken, the bullish continuation will need to be re-evaluated.
✅ From the daily chart perspective, as long as gold prices remain stable above 3325, the overall bullish trend remains intact. The strategy of "buying on dips" remains valid. As long as there is no confirmed breakdown below this level, the outlook remains bullish.
✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions:
🔰 Initial Buy Zone: Consider light long positions on a pullback to the 3340–3345 area.
🔰 Add-on Zone: If the price dips further to the 3330–3335 area, consider adding to long positions.
🔰 Target Zone: Look for an upside move toward the 3365–3370 area, paying attention to the strength of the rebound.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me.
XAUUSD – Summer Triangle ConsolidationGold (XAUUSD) is unfolding a textbook contracting triangle on the 4H chart, currently developing leg D of the pattern. This structure has been forming over the past few months and reflects classic market behavior during the summer — slow, sideways consolidation as many participants are away for the season.
Given the current structure, I expect one more leg down to form wave E, completing the triangle. Once this leg is in place and the support trendline holds, we could see a significant breakout to the upside in line with the broader bullish outlook on higher timeframes.
This setup remains valid as long as price continues respecting the triangle boundaries. I’m watching for a clean rejection at the lower trendline near point E to validate the bullish breakout scenario.
📌 Seasonality, structure, and market tempo suggest patience as the consolidation plays out. The breakout opportunity may follow shortly after leg E concludes.
Latest Gold Price Update TodayGold prices today continue to maintain a short-term uptrend, driven by trade tensions and U.S. inflation data.
The weakening of the USD and the drop in U.S. Treasury yields have increased gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. The trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU, along with new tariff measures, further boost the demand for gold.
Additionally, the U.S. PPI for June rose by 2.3%, lower than the forecast and May’s increase, suggesting that inflation could decrease in the future. The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates in September, weakening the USD and supporting gold's uptrend.
With factors like trade tensions, a weaker USD, and positive inflation data, gold prices may continue to rise. Investors need to closely monitor these factors to devise an appropriate strategy.
3340-3300: Lock in the buy high and sell low in this area!Under the influence of unemployment benefits and zero monthly sales data, gold fell sharply in the short term, but it did not effectively fall below 3310 during multiple tests, effectively curbing the further downward space of the shorts. Multiple structural supports are also concentrated in the 3310-3300 area, so as long as gold does not fall below this area, gold bulls still have the potential to rebound.
However, for the current gold market, it may be difficult to see a unilateral trend in the short term. After experiencing discontinuous surges and plunges, gold may focus on consolidation and repair, and the consolidation range may be limited to the 3340-3300 area.
So for short-term trading, first of all, I advocate going long on gold in the 3320-3310 area, and expect gold to rebound and reach the 3330-3340 area;
If gold reaches the 3335-3345 area as expected, we can start to consider shorting gold, and expect gold to step back to the 3320-3310 area during the shock and rectification process.
Gold Trade Setup Eyes on 15M Demand ZonePrice is coming close to 3338, where we have a 15-Minute Order Block (OB) 📍. This is a fresh demand zone and can give a bullish reaction when price taps into it 🟢.
📌 Plan:
We will wait for price to tap the OB ✅
If we see bullish signs like rejection wicks or bullish candles, we will enter a buy 📈
Our target will be near 3366, just below the bearish FVG 🎯