GOLD LONGToday's news only corrected the dollar, it did not create a new bottom. So we buy with capital management in mind.
First target 3357 at the time of the news.
Second target 3380
SL' 3302
GOLD trade ideas
Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD
📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future.
**Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations.
Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout".
Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow.
Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏
The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅
Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏
**Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️
The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market.
The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮
## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰
India / Pakistan
Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week.
Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions.
Gaza Conflict
Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked.
Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access.
Russia / Ukraine
Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages.
Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains.
U.S. – China Trade War
A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors.
Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI.
🌐 Global Trade War
Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented.
Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism.
Trump vs. Powell
Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing.
Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow.
📈 U.S. Inflation
Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth.
Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive.
## Technical View 📐📈
**Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400.
**ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:**
* **Market Structure:**
The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside.
* **Order Blocks:**
Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range.
* **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):**
The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range.
* **Liquidity Pools:**
Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone.
* **Session Analysis:**
The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines.
* **Smart Money Concepts:**
Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase.
**Gann Analysis:**
* **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:**
The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July.
* **Gann Levels:**
* Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²)
* Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025
**Fibonacci Analysis:**
* **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):**
* 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance)
* 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone)
* 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level)
* 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance)
* 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest)
* **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):**
* 127.2%: $3,245
* 161.8%: $3,195
* 261.8%: $3,095
* **Time-Based Fibonacci:**
The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025.
**Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:**
* **Key Institutional Levels:**
* Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional)
* Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster)
* Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone)
* Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area)
* **Volume Profile Analysis:**
* High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area)
* Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone)
* Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330
**Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:**
Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250.
**Cycle Timing Analysis:**
* **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):**
Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle.
* **Medium-Term Cycles:**
The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation.
* **Seasonal Patterns:**
July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally").
**Trading Strategy & Levels:**
* **Bearish Scenario (Primary):**
* Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone.
* Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150.
* Stop Loss: Above $3,380.
* **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):**
* Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation.
* Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400.
* Stop Loss: Below $3,230.
**Key Events to Watch:**
* **US PCE Data:**
Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release.
* **Fed Communications:**
Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold.
* **Geopolitical Developments:**
Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand.
**Conclusion:**
The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement.
**Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍
🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT)
* ** Sunday , June 29, 2025**
* 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5
* ** Monday , June 30, 2025**
* 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5
* ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025**
* 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9%
* 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks
* 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0
* 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5
* 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4
* 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M
* ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025**
* 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K
* 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M
* ** Thursday , July 3, 2025**
* Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰
* 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4%
* 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K
* 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K
* 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2%
* 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1
* 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9
* 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7
* ** Friday , July 4, 2025**
* All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆
**Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰
Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Xauusd market This chart illustrates a potential bullish reversal setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
---
🟦 Key Observations:
1. Current Price: $3,274.175 — down by 1.61%, indicating a recent bearish move.
2. Support Zone: Price has entered and reacted from a major demand zone (light blue box near 3,250), suggesting buying interest.
3. Projected Price Path (black dotted lines):
Initial bounce toward the first resistance around 3,320.
A pullback may occur, potentially retesting lower support before resuming upward movement.
Price is expected to climb toward higher supply zones at:
3,360
3,400
3,440
4. Bullish Reaction Icon (⚡️): Marks a potential reversal or liquidity grab before a bullish impulse.
5. News Event Icons (🇺🇸): U.S. economic data releases are anticipated near July 2–4, which could trigger volatility and confirm the direction.
---
📈 Outlook Summary:
Bias: Bullish (short to mid-term)
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3,250 – 3,270 zone
Targets: 3,320 → 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440
Invalidation: A clean break and close below 3,240 would challenge the bullish outlook.
Let me know if you’d like a breakdown of entry/exit strategies or risk management tips based on this setup.
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Long Trades Risking 1% to make 1.8%X1:
#XAUUSD/#GOLD Long Trades
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.8%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Smart Money Concepts or Inner Circle Trade methodologies.Key Zones and Annotations
FVG (Fair Value Gap) – Marked in green:
Represents an imbalance in price (gap between candles).
Price often returns here to “fill” or mitigate that inefficiency.
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity) – Marked in blue near the $3,340 area:
Indicates an area above recent highs where stop-losses (liquidity) might be resting.
This area is often targeted before reversals.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) – Marked in red near the $3,270 area:
Represents liquidity below recent lows.
This is a potential bearish target.
Structure Labels
LL (Lower Low), LH (Lower High), HH (Higher High), HL (Higher Low):
Used to track market structure direction (bearish/bullish trend).
ChoCH (Change of Character):
Indicates a shift in market structure, typically a sign of a trend reversal.
Price Projection
The projected path shows a short-term move upward toward the BSL region (~$3,340), suggesting liquidity grab or premium pricing area.
Then, a bearish reversal is projected targeting the SSL zone (~$3,270), suggesting a potential drop after the BSL is taken.
Conclusion
The chart suggests a short-term bullish move to clear buy-side liquidity followed by a bearish continuation targeting lower liquidity zones. This type of analysis is commonly used in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodologies.
XAUUSD Update : Bullish MomentumToday's New York market session has made gold prices rise with quite strong momentum.
Prepare to surf the Bull's wave.
Have a blessing day !
My Weekly Review and Some tierlist for the zones I madeHello guys. its end of the week and I wanna share you my journey since monday until today. I also tell you the real reason why I don't believe the bottom is in yet and holding my swing sell. Thank you for watching.
GOLD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for July 2,have a forecast of 99,000 jobs, compared to the previous month’s very weak result of 37,000—the lowest since March 2023. The ADP National Employment Report is a monthly indicator that tracks changes in non-farm private sector employment in the US, based on anonymized payroll data from ADP’s clients, covering about one-fifth of all US private employment.
Who is responsible?
The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, part of Automatic Data Processing (ADP), in partnership with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.
Why it matters:
The ADP report is viewed as a leading indicator for the official Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), released two days later.
It provides early insight into US private sector job growth and labor market health, and significant deviations from forecasts can move financial markets.
Note that the ADP report covers only private sector jobs, not government employment, so its numbers can differ from the official NFP.
Summary Table:
Report Date Forecast Previous Responsible Department
July 2, 2025 99,000 37,000 ADP Research Institute (ADP)
In summary:
The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report, produced by the ADP Research Institute, forecasted a rebound to 99,000 jobs in June after a very weak 37,000 in May, providing an early signal on the health of US private sector employment.
(2)US10Y drops to historical low to 4.193% and currently broken 1hr descending trendline at 4.281% ,4.3% resistance will be watched for breakout buy bond buyers.
(3) DXY Key Points:
The DXY measures the US dollar’s strength against a basket of six major currencies: the euro (57.6% weight), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%).
After peaking near 110.075$ in January 2025, the index has softened , trading near 96.600-101.966.on weekly TF 101.966 was a retest to broken weekly demand floor .
The dollar’s decline reflects market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025, easing inflation pressures, and some geopolitical easing.
the DXY to rebound will henge and depend on Fed policy and global economic conditions.
GOLD buyers are watching for the direction of trade ,
Chinese Demand and Policy:
China is one of the largest gold consumers and holders. Domestic demand, central bank gold purchases, and monetary policy in China heavily influence XAU/RMB. If China’s economy slows or trade tensions with the US worsen, demand for gold as a safe haven may increase, supporting XAU/RMB even if the dollar is strong.
China's recent opening of the Shanghai Gold Exchange's (SGE) first offshore gold vault in Hong Kong on June 26, 2025, represents a significant development with potential, albeit indirect, implications for XAU/USD (gold priced in US dollars) .
Key Aspects of the Hong Kong Gold Vault:
Location and Operation: The vault is located in Hong Kong and operated by Bank of China's Hong Kong unit .
Yuan-Denominated Trading: All transactions and settlements in the vault are denominated exclusively in yuan, either via cash or physical bullion delivery . Two new yuan-denominated gold trading contracts were launched alongside the vault .
Strategic Objectives:
Increased Influence on Gold Pricing: China, as the world's leading gold producer and consumer, aims to gain greater control and influence over global gold pricing mechanisms .
Yuan Internationalization: The initiative seeks to accelerate the international usage of the yuan, supporting China's broader de-dollarization efforts . This allows China to import gold in yuan, reducing reliance on the US dollar for commodity trading .
Enhanced Global Reach: The vault expands the SGE's physical infrastructure beyond mainland China, creating a new gateway for international gold trading and solidifying Hong Kong's role as a key financial hub .
Physical Settlement: It facilitates the physical settlement of gold contracts outside mainland China .
Implications for XAU/USD:
While the new vault directly promotes yuan-denominated gold trading, its implications for XAU/USD are primarily indirect and long-term:
De-dollarization Efforts: By promoting yuan-denominated gold trading, China is actively working to reduce global reliance on the US dollar in commodity markets . If successful, a more diversified global gold trading landscape could gradually diminish the dollar's sole influence over gold prices, potentially leading to less direct inverse correlation between the dollar and gold .
Increased Demand and Liquidity: The vault aims to attract more international participants to yuan-denominated gold markets, potentially increasing overall gold demand and liquidity in the Asia-Pacific region . While this demand is primarily yuan-driven, a generally stronger global gold market could indirectly support XAU/USD .
Gold short from 3357Aiming for that gap . i think today gold will close it and reversal on the ny session is coming.
XAUUSD Bullish and bearish. Which one first?
📉 Gold and NDX: Seasonal Patterns and Short-Term Outlook
Historically, gold tends to show weakness during the first three weeks of July, often setting the stage for one last leg up before institutional selling kicks in on U.S. equities. Based on seasonal patterns, this aligns with a typically bullish phase for the Nasdaq (NDX), which often extends until around July 24, with the usual volatility along the way.
From there, gold tends to recover, historically offering a 3–5% return into mid-September. Keep in mind, this is purely based on statistics—always do your own analysis.
🔎 This week’s short-term setup:
We may see a push higher in gold later today and into tomorrow, followed by potential downside during the second half of the week. While there might be brief upside opportunities, I won’t be taking any long positions—only looking to sell rallies—since the short-term trend remains more bearish than bullish.
Stay sharp and trade safe. 📊
The short position is losing money. What should we do?Gold hit the intraday low of around 3296 and then began to rebound. We can see that the rebound of gold is not strong, but it is relatively sustained, so gold has rebounded to around 3335. To be honest, I did short gold according to my plan and still hold a short position.
Although gold has rebounded to around 3330, I don’t think my short gold trade has failed. As I said in the previous point of view, gold is facing technical suppression of the head and shoulders in the short term, which will suppress the rebound limit within the 3335-3340 area. So before gold stabilizes at 3340, I think the gold shorts still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3340, I think the gold rebound is a good opportunity to short gold.
At present, gold is facing the resistance area of 3335-3340 and begins to show signs of stagflation. After consuming a certain amount of bullish momentum, the gold shorts may counterattack strongly again and stimulate gold to fall rapidly. Therefore, before gold breaks upward through the 3335-3345 area, we can still consider shorting gold, or continue to hold a short position in gold!
Monday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)My outlook for Monday is bearish at the start of the session, with price likely to drop toward the 3310–3300 area. This level aligns with a key discount zone inside the Gann box, and also overlaps with a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), making it a strong area of interest for potential long setups.
From that zone, I expect a bullish reaction, leading to a move back up to the trendline.
If the momentum continues, I anticipate a break of the trendline, followed by a retest, and then the beginning of a bullish trend.
I’ll be looking for confirmations around 3300 to position for the move higher.
Let’s see how Monday opens.
BREAK THE HIGHI can see gold getting ready to move upside again. If it's in our favour, check the reaction above the price of 3425. it may give other continuation thee above price 3425 to move more upside
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
As always, market wins! trade with care. be a part of the market
Gold at Key Level Before NFP – Big Move Loading ?📉 Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, supported by multiple macroeconomic and political drivers:
ADP Employment Report Missed Expectations: With a shocking -33K reading, market sentiment shifted firmly against the US Dollar, pushing gold higher.
Fed’s Easing Outlook: Markets are now pricing in a 90% probability of a rate cut in Q3, weakening real yields and supporting demand for gold.
Trump’s “Super Bill” Momentum: Political cohesion among Republicans has re-ignited fiscal stimulus expectations, fuelling concerns over long-term US debt sustainability—another tailwind for gold as a safe haven.
🧠 Smart Money Technical Framework (H1)
Price has moved into a Premium FVG Zone, showing signs of potential exhaustion after forming a clear CHoCH and bullish BOS. The current zone (3,375 – 3,376) aligns with a mid-risk sell region, where price may experience short-term rejection before revisiting demand zones.
Market structure suggests liquidity sweep potential towards the downside before any continuation of the larger bullish trend.
📊 Trading Strategy – Smart Money Zones & Key Levels
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,334 – 3,333
🔴 SL: 3,329
✅ TP: 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,350 → 3,360
🔵 BUY ZONE LOW RISK: 3,317 – 3,316
🔴 SL: 3,311
✅ TP: 3,320 → 3,325 → 3,330 → 3,336 → 3,345 → 3,350 → 3,360
🔴 SELL SCALP ZONE: 3,375 – 3,376
🔴 SL: 3,380
✔️ TP: 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350
🔴 SELL ZONE HIGH PROBABILITY: 3,388 – 3,390
🔴 SL: 3,394
✔️ TP: 3,384 → 3,380 → 3,376 → 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,360
📌 Notes:
Be cautious ahead of NFP data and the upcoming US bank holiday—expect liquidity traps and sudden volatility.
This setup is ideal for intraweek scalping and liquidity-based reversals.
All trades follow Smart Money Concepts logic: premium vs. discount zones, CHoCH + BOS confirmations, and institutional order flow anticipation.
XAUUSD Today's strategyGold prices are consolidating around $3,350 today, with the current resistance level above seen at $3,370 and the support level below at $3,340.
From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, with the bottom gradually lifting. If the price can effectively break through the $3,370 resistance, it is expected to subsequently launch an assault on the $3,400 integer mark. In terms of technical indicators, the RSI currently stands at 58, which has not yet entered the severely overbought range, suggesting there is still room for upward movement; the MACD indicator also shows that bullish momentum is slowly recovering, waiting for a breakout signal to confirm the direction.
On the operational front, considering going long around $3,340 could be a viable option. It is particularly important to note that the U.S. non-farm payroll data will be released today, which may have a significant impact on the short-term trend of gold. It is advisable to liquidate positions and wait on the sidelines before the data release to avoid potential risks from sharp fluctuations.
XAUUSD
buy@3335-3345
tp:3360-3370
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold Sell- look for sell
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
A Message To Traders:
I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely.
Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
XAUUSD | BearishGold seems to be entering into a bearish trend after testing its resistance area.It is going to print new LHs and LLs.
XAUUSD - SELL After a reasonable big run up like this they will take profits
Looks like it's roiling over watching Super Trend and break of
Buffer Zone with Bearish Continuation Candle can easily Shoot back up if Wicks but should be plenty of room to make money on this one.
Hardest part is being patient
Selling seems to capitulate everyone wants to capture as much profit as possible or should I say Algo's
NY also current session so they have plenty of push and Greedy as can be !
USD has turned Strong for now also
Don't forget to protect profits when you deem fit should it run into profit trading Forex - Gold is very unpredictable their game is to take yr money deliberately - do the opposite just to snag yr hard earned cash.
Lets See : )
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500
This is a major decision zone.
Current market structure:
🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS
What to watch:
We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here.
🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone:
→ HTF and LTF trends align to the upside
→ Potential continuation of the bullish move
🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone:
→ Then this recent up-move could be a pullback
→ We may see a new low forming — so be cautious
📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed):
• 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone)
• 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone)
We will watch these levels closely.
If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly.
📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
Gold Market Analysis Current Price: 3341.58
Market Behavior:
The price is ranging sideways, trading in a tight consolidation zone just below the resistance zone (around 3344).
Key Resistance Levels:
3344 → Immediate resistance
3348 – 3352 → Next minor supply zone
3357 – 3360 → Strong resistance ahead (if breakout occurs)
Key Support Levels:
3332 – 3330 → Short-term demand
3324 – 3320 → Stronger support zone
📌 Trader Insight:
"Gold is in a consolidation phase between 3330 and 3344. Wait for a confirmed breakout above 3344 for bullish momentum toward 3357+. If rejected again, expect a retest of support near 3332 or deeper."
✅ Trade Setup (Example):
Buy Scenario (Breakout):
Entry: Above 3345
Target: 3357
Stop Loss: Below 3338
Sell Scenario (Rejection):
Entry: Near 3344 resistance, if rejected
Target: 3332 / 3324
Stop Loss: Above 3348
Pre NFP AnalysisSo from the previous video, I profited from the buy and with some losses on my sells. Today I update my thoughts going on forward. Thank you for watching.
Trend Continuation After NonfarmToday's D1 candle started to continue the trend of NF with a decrease to 3306 in the Asian session this morning.
The bearish structure of Gold Price will continue in today's trading session towards important support zones.
The downtrend of Gold was only broken with a candle closing back above 3324. And the downtrend may reach support 3275 today.
Support 3297-3275
Resistance 3324-3343-3364
SELL Trigger: Break support 3296
