Gold hyperbullischAs long as gold continues to use the pitchfork as bullish support, it can be assumed that the metal is currently in an ongoing wave 3, implying further upside potential. Corrections remain shallow in both time and price. Geopolitical tensions typically support increased demand for gold, and rising volume shows no signs of weakness so far. NFA
GOLD trade ideas
Trading Guide for Long-Short Game under Oscillating PressureI. Yesterday's Market Performance and Trend
Yesterday, the price of gold exhibited a "V-shaped" oscillation pattern. In the morning session, it faced selling pressure around $3,380 and declined to a low of $3,347. Subsequently, it rebounded and returned to the trading range of $3,360 - $3,375. On the daily chart, it closed with a doji star, and trading volume contracted, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears and the entry into a narrow trading range.
II. Outlook for Today's Weekly Close
As today marks the end of the weekly trading cycle, there are no clear factors driving a unidirectional trend. Key macroeconomic data has not been released yet, and the market remains divided on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. Technically, the daily moving averages have flattened out, and the Bollinger Bands have narrowed, suggesting that the consolidation pattern is likely to persist.
III. Technical Analysis of the 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, the price of gold has been trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD has formed a bearish crossover below the zero line, with the green bars expanding. It has also broken below the upward trend line. The support level at $3,340 is now under threat. With a weak RSI, the market is expected to move lower in a volatile manner.
IV. Trading Strategies
Focus on Short Positions: Initiate small - scale short positions when bearish K - line patterns appear around $3,360, with a stop - loss set at $3,375 and a target price of $3,340. Consider adding to short positions if the price drops below $3,365, with a stop - loss at $3,380 and targets at $3,350 - $3,340. Supplement with Long Positions: Open small long positions if the price stabilizes at $3,340, with a stop - loss at $3,330 and a target price of $3,355. Add to long positions if bullish patterns emerge at the strong support level of $3,315, with a stop - loss at $3,300 and targets at $3,330 - $3,340.
Pay close attention to the release of the US initial jobless claims data in the evening. Limit each position to no more than 10% of the total capital and strictly adhere to stop - loss and take - profit levels.
XAUUSD
sell@3360-3370
tp:3350-3340
buy@3335-3345
tp:3355-3365
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD - NOW🏆 Textbook Gold Long – Reversion + Divergence Combo
This morning’s move on XAUUSD (Gold 15m) offered a perfect opportunity for those using our custom ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION script.
📍 BUY Signal Triggered
Our green “UP” label printed at the exact bottom wick, confirming a statistically stretched downside move paired with a bullish RSI momentum crossover.
💡 RSI Divergence Confirmation
Look closer — the RSI printed a higher low while price pushed lower, forming a clear bullish divergence.
This divergence aligned with our reversion logic and helped boost confidence in taking the long.
🎯 Result:
Price bounced off the lows, giving traders a solid intraday reaction and early reward.
🧠 Lesson:
When you combine the ELFIEDT reversion signal with an RSI divergence, you’re not guessing — you’re trading with edge.
✅ Works across assets
✅ Signal printed on bar close
✅ Same logic works on US30, DAX, NAS100, BTC, and more
⸻
💬 Still waiting to try the indicator?
Scroll through our previous examples and see how this system consistently spots high-probability reversal zones — in real-time.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ELFIEDT #ReversionTrade #RSIDivergence #TradingView #TradeSmart #NoFOMO #PrecisionTrading #ForexSignals #ScalpSetup #SwingSetup
June 27, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
The 3310 zone has shown strong support. If this level breaks, bearish pressure is likely to increase.
On the upside, the 3350 area remains a strong resistance — if price approaches but fails to break through, it could offer a good short opportunity.
Keep a close watch on these two zones. Until a breakout occurs, treat price action as range-bound.
I'll be updating again during the London session — need a quick rest now 😴. Stay tuned!
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3364 – Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint / Intraday Key Resistance
• 3345 – Resistance
• 3337 – Critical Resistance
• 3321 – Support
• 3310–3312 – Intraday Key Support
• 3300 – Psychological Support
• 3295 – Support
• 3285 – Support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3325 → watch 3321, then 3318, 3310, 3300
• BUY if price holds above 3337 → target 3343, then 3350, 3358, 3364
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
Signs of gold bottoming out are emerging
Weakened safe-haven demand: Iran and Israel ceasefire eased geopolitical risks, and gold was under pressure in the short term.
Fed policy expectations: Trump is considering appointing the Fed chairman in advance, and the market is paying attention to monetary policy trends.
Impact of the US dollar and US bonds: The weakening of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields support gold prices, but the rebound in oil prices may limit the gains.
Focus during the day: US initial jobless claims, Q1 GDP final value and durable goods orders data. If the data is positive, it may suppress the rebound in gold prices.
Two consecutive days of positive closing, bottoming out and rebounding show signs of short-term bottoming, and the key support has moved up to 3295. If the 3312 low is maintained, it is expected to break through the 3340-3345 suppression and further test the 3357-3367 resistance. The 1-hour low is gradually raised, and the 3340 mark has become a watershed between long and short positions, which may accelerate upward after breaking through.
Support: 3325-3315 (strong and weak boundary), 3295 (medium-term bottom).
Resistance: 3345 (breakthrough key), 3357-3367 (strong pressure zone).
Operation strategy
Long layout: retrace to 3325-3320 to stabilize long, stop loss 3312, target 3340-3357.
Short opportunity: light short at 3357-3367 for the first time, stop loss 3375, target 3340-3330.
Breakthrough follow-up: after stabilizing 3345, pull back to chase long, target 3360-3380.
Key tips
Data risk: If the US economic data is stronger than expected, it may suppress the gold price to step back to support.
Trend confirmation: 3295 will maintain the rebound pattern if it is not broken, and it will turn to weak shock if it breaks down.
XAUUSD on correction H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 now market is range of 3330-3380 structural zone .
What's possible scanarios we have?
As we have seen h4 candle closes above 3335
And we have bullish potential towards 3380 .once 3345 cross keep your eyes at 3365 then 3380 milestone.
On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes again below 3335 buying will be limited and market will join the 3290 zone
Additional TIP:
Above 3335 keep buy
Below 3325 keep sell
#XAUUSD
Extra, pre market — June 25, 2025Global financial markets mounted a broad-based relief rally as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East eased significantly following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The U.S.-brokered truce, while fragile, has triggered a visible return to risk appetite across equity, fixed income, and currency markets. U.S. President Donald Trump, despite playing a central role in halting the conflict, publicly rebuked both Israel and Iran for violations, urging Israel via Truth Social to “BRING YOUR PILOTS HOME, NOW!” This unusual stance appears to have stabilized sentiment across asset classes, at least for now.
U.S. equity markets responded favorably to the geopolitical de-escalation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by +507.24 points (+1.2%) to close at 43,089.02, while the Nasdaq 100 added +334.19 points (+1.5%) to end at 22,190.52. The S&P 500 rose +67.01 points (+1.1%), settling at 6,092.18 (Screenshot_1.png). The Russell 2000 also climbed +1.1%, driven by renewed confidence in domestic cyclicals. Volatility sharply dropped, with the CBOE VIX Index falling -11.9% to 17.48, indicating a lower perceived risk premium.
Sector rotation was pronounced. Technology (XLK) led with a +1.8% gain to $247.24, closely followed by Financials (XLF) at +1.5%, and Communications (XLC) at +1.3%. In contrast, Energy (XLE) sank -1.3% to $84.91, weighed down by falling oil prices, and Consumer Staples (XLP) edged down slightly by -0.1% (Screenshot_1.png). Investors appeared to rotate out of defensive sectors into higher-beta growth plays, signaling a risk-on tone.
The sector divergence was matched by style factor dispersion. On a relative basis, Private Equity (PSP/SPY) outperformed all other factors with a +1.2% daily move, followed by IPOs (IPO/SPY) at +0.9% and Hedge Funds (GURU/SPY) at +0.6% (Screenshot_6.png). Among equity styles, Small-Cap Growth (IJT/SPY) posted a +0.6% relative return, while Value (IVE/SPY) and Low Volatility (USMV/SPY) underperformed at -0.3% and -0.6% respectively. This points to growing investor confidence in higher-risk, higher-reward assets, likely fueled by reduced macro stress.
The relief was also evident in global bond markets. U.S. Treasury yields declined modestly as demand for duration returned. The 10-year yield (US10Y) closed at 4.298%, down from earlier June highs, while the 2-year (US2Y) yield dropped to 3.797% (Screenshot_5.png). European yields followed suit: Germany’s 10Y Bund yield dropped to 2.144%, and the UK Gilt yield hovered at 4.475%. Notably, Japanese 10Y yields have increased to 1.404%, up 22.88% YTD, signaling shifting monetary dynamics in Asia.
Credit markets remained resilient. On a year-to-date basis, Local Emerging Market Bonds (EMLC) are outperforming with an 11.3% return, followed by USD Emerging Market Debt (EMB +6.9%), and Convertibles (CWB +5.2%). U.S. Corporate bonds continued to benefit from carry and spread compression, with High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) both showing solid inflows and positive performance (Screenshot_4.png). Fixed income appears to be balancing carry with renewed duration appeal amid easing geopolitical risk and softer Fed expectations.
Commodities, particularly energy, experienced sharp reversals. WTI Crude Oil (CL1) and Brent Crude (CO1) fell 6.0% and 6.1% respectively, closing at $64.37 and $67.14 (Screenshot_7.png). This move reflects the de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz risk and was compounded by Trump's call to "DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!!"—signaling a political push for increased U.S. production. Gold, meanwhile, retreated slightly to $3,328.22 (-0.1%), though remains up 28.4% YTD, having benefited from haven flows during the height of the conflict. Silver saw a similar retreat to $35.74 (-0.5%), though retains a +23.6% YTD gain.
In foreign exchange, the U.S. dollar weakened across major pairs as safe-haven demand declined. The EUR/USD rose to 1.1606 (+8.5% YTD), while the GBP/USD reached 1.3612 (+7.6% YTD). In contrast, the USD/JPY fell to 145.75, marking a -8.7% YTD decline (Screenshot_10.png). The reversal in dollar strength aligns with broader global reflation trades and a moderation in Fed hawkishness, supported by Chair Powell’s comments that the U.S. economy remains “solid” and that tariff impacts may be more muted than feared.
On a global equity level, YTD returns tell a diverse story. Latin America continues to dominate, with Argentina (ARGT +54.2%), Brazil (EWZ +22.6%), and Mexico (EWW +22.0%) leading gains (Screenshot_9.png). Among developed markets, Canada (EWC +27.5%) and Germany (EWG +18.7%) outshine, whereas Turkey (TUR -25.2%) and India (PIN -0.75%) lag meaningfully. In Asia, South Korea (EWY +14.8%) and Taiwan (EWT +13.6%) saw notable performance, bolstered by strength in tech exports and domestic policy easing.
Looking ahead, the sustainability of this rally depends on several unresolved variables. First, the Middle East ceasefire, while currently holding, is inherently fragile. Any renewed hostilities could spike volatility and reverse energy price trends rapidly. Second, the Fed remains in a delicate position. Markets are currently pricing in a prolonged pause, but Trump’s pressure on the central bank and shifting economic data could alter expectations quickly. Finally, watch for China’s re-entry into Iranian oil markets following Trump’s announcement that Beijing “can now continue to purchase oil from Iran.” This move could reignite trade friction or trigger secondary sanctions, especially if EU or U.S. energy security concerns are heightened.
In conclusion, the combination of geopolitical relief, Fed ambiguity, and a rotation into riskier assets has created a fertile environment for short-term bullish momentum. However, macro fragility persists. Investors should remain tactically optimistic but structurally cautious, especially in sectors sensitive to energy prices and interest rates. Keeping a diversified allocation across risk assets, commodities, and high-quality fixed income remains advisable in this unpredictable macro regime.
New Week Opens – Bullish Stance HoldsA new week opens as the Gold market maintains its bullish stance, holding firmly above previous demand zones. Market participants anticipate continued momentum unless key support levels are broken, with eyes still on structural wedge formations and demand reactions. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea.
Gold Outlook: Sharp Breakout or Pullback Ahead?Despite heightened geopolitical tensions alongside a weak US Dollar, gold's price action remains in pullback mode below the $3,400 level, awaiting a catalyst.
Technically, gold remains at the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, anchored by the 2016 and 2020 highs. It also sits just beneath the projected breakout zone of a large cup-and-handle pattern, with a potential target near $4,000.
If gold manages a firm close above $3,500 and clears the upper boundary of the channel, bullish momentum could lift prices toward $3,700, and possibly $4,000, during the second half of 2025.
Conversely, sustained weakness below the $3,300 level would open the door to near-term support zones at $3,290, $3,240, $3,100, and $2,800, which may offer "buy-the-dip" opportunities along its primary uptrend.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would want the lower level red box to be tested and rejected in order to give us the move upside into that 3330-35 region where we wanted to monitor the price for the short. We managed to get a pin point move, however, we had to exit the short trades early due to the support level holding us up. We then continued to follow Excalibur and the red box indi’s which were suggesting higher pricing and by the end of the week we had completed all our bullish above target levels, plus Excalibur trade targets and LiTE again performed at 100% accuracy.
A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade, analysis and post on.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
For this week we can expect some gaps on open which is going to make it difficult due to skewed data. We will however stick with the red box levels and the tools we have to make a plan for the two scenarios we may see potential of.
Scenario one:
Price opens and gaps upside, we’ll be looking for the levels of 3455-60 for a potential reaction in price, if achieved, an opportunity may be available to short there back down into the 3450, 3443 and 3435 levels.
Scenario two:
If we do open and gap downside, we’ll look for the levels of 3430-23 to hold us up, and if achieved, an opportunity to long there back up into the 3450-5 level and in extension of the move 3465 may be available.
It’s a difficult one again as no one knows how the market is going to open and what is going to happen. So we’ll update traders as much as we can during the day and the week with KOG’s bias of the day and red box target levels
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425, 3420, 3410 and 3406
Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503
Red Boxes:
Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move
Break below 3420 for 3410, 3406, 3397, 3385 and 3380 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Are you ready for the next wave of gold market?Gold fell back as expected after opening high. Today's strategy arranged long orders at 3350-3352, and successfully closed the market at around 3362 with profit. The subsequent three short orders also closed the market at a profit as expected. The points were perfectly predicted, and the long and short positions were perfectly grasped during the day. The strategic ideas were disclosed in advance and all were fulfilled.
At present, the overall trend of gold is still bullish, and it is in the adjustment stage in the short term. The large range this week is 3340-3405. Although there is a rebound, the upward pressure is still not small, and the gold price may continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations. Pay attention to the 3355-3340 area below. In terms of operation, long orders are arranged according to the strength of the retreat; pay attention to 3385 in the short term above. If it can effectively break through, look at 3395-3405. The strong pressure is still at the 3405 line. If it does not break, it will still fall under pressure. On the contrary, if it stabilizes, it is expected to hit last week's high.
Operation suggestion: When gold falls back to around 3355-3340, long orders can be arranged in batches, with the target at 3370-3380. Short orders will be adjusted according to the real-time market, please pay attention to the bottom 🌐 notification for specific points.
Gold delivering excellent Scalp opportunities Fundamental analysis: Gold was among the losers (Short-term) of the Fed's decision this throughout yesterday’s session for then first time within #8-Month period. Valuable ground's given and #3,400.80 benchmark looks unreachable for at least this week’s borders. Fed kept rates unchanged, and signaled that current Rate would continue through #2025 to support the next phase of the economic recovery. Investors clearly show their interest to try riskier assets like equities and as long as DX is without a recovery (currently on steep Descending Channel), Gold will keep constantly deliver Bull spikes. Daily chart turned Neutral with Resistance level priced at #3,395.80 - #3,400.80 and if invalidated I expect historic upside potential of Gold (my estimations show even #3,452.80 and #3,500.80 in succession within #2 - #3 Month variance). Quarterly Investors will pressure on the Resistance based on Bullish Fundamental outlook on Gold. However with Gold’s Technicals critically Bearish, I won’t be surprised to see values below #3,352.80 benchmark tested and invalidated.
My position : I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines and spotted few patterns however didn’t engaged as my Profit range is already decent. However I spotted excellent post-Fed opportunity and Bought Gold aggressively on #3,363.80 and closed the order on #3,378.80 last night. I will continue Scalping current #3,357.80 - #3,395.80 range as it is excellent Trading lately.
Gold – Will Geopolitical Tensions Trigger a Breakout ?Hello traders, what’s your view on gold today?
So far, gold remains relatively quiet, with limited reaction to the initial FOMC statement. The market is clearly holding its breath ahead of the upcoming press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
As of now, the Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.50% – but the real question is: where does gold go next?
In my opinion, gold still holds long-term upside potential, especially with the ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran, which could potentially pull the U.S. directly into involvement. For gold, this is an ideal environment to shine as a safe-haven asset. The greater the geopolitical risk, the more investors seek capital protection – and gold remains the go-to choice.
Technically, the first resistance level is seen at $3,400, followed by $3,440. On the downside, immediate support lies at $3,350, then $3,330.
Let’s see if gold holds its ground or prepares for the next big move.
XAUUSD-it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal".
Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3340 and a gap below at 3418. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3463
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3483
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3508
BEARISH TARGETS
3418
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3393
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3372
3353
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3330
3306
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, continue to go longAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened high and fell again on Monday, just like last Monday. At present, it has fallen back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. Although it is under short-term pressure, the bull channel has not been broken, and the retracement is still a long opportunity. The support below is 3340-3345, and the short-term resistance is 3380-3385. It is only a matter of time before it breaks through. The key suppression is still in the 3400-3415 area. In terms of strategy, continue to arrange long orders around the retracement, be cautious in chasing orders in the middle oscillation zone, and wait patiently for key position signals. The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Gold suggestion: arrange long orders around 3340-3350, and the target is 3370-3380.
The golden storm is coming again, are you ready?Gold rebounded after falling back to 3333 in the first wave, and then rebounded to 3357 in the second wave before falling again, breaking through the previous low of 3333 and accelerating down to 3316. Currently, the short-term trend has stabilized in the 3316 area, which is also the support level for multiple rebounds in the previous period. After continuing to fall today, it has not broken through. We have arranged long orders in the 3316-3317 area in advance and have taken profits near 3331. Gold rebounded after stepping back again. Our long order plan is still in position. If the subsequent rebound breaks through the 3333 line, it is expected to further rise to the 3340-3348 area. We will try to short in this area.
In the short-term structure, the upper resistance focuses on the 3340-3348 area, and the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 area. 3300-3305 is the watershed between the strength of long and short positions in the short term. The daily level is still under pressure as a whole, and the main idea of high altitude continues.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3340-3348, target the 3330-3320 range.