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XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Friday. I am not taking any trades today. I caught 2 good scalp trades this week and being Friday, and with all the volitility I am going to sit this one out. Saying that, I have marked the area of interest for a push down or another push up to take out anyone who caught the short trade from the overnight sessions. Let's see how things play out over the next hour or so as Pre NY volume comes in. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets all my thanks and a shout out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY? In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability. Markets across the board took a hit: 📉 US, European, and Asian equities 📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red. 🔍 So, What Actually Happened? Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell. Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time? ➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos. 📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes. 🧨 The Start of Something Bigger? Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings. Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain. If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off. 📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating: ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected) Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9) New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell 👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy. 🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become. Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous. 🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire. 🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner? Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations: A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025 Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2) There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control. ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action Right now, your best position might be… no position. "Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take." This isn’t the time to chase wild price action. It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion. 📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD 🔺 Resistance: 3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167 🔻 Support: 3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054 SL: 3050 TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 💬 Final Thoughts The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm. Gold is in the eye of that storm. Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control. 📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades. Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital. 🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD 03 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS which is marked in red, this is due to the fact that the depth of the pullback has been shallow and has not pulled back into either discount of internal 50% EQ or mitigated a H4 demand zone. As a result, price now is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bullish followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Whilst I am aware that price has not traded into discount of internal 50% or mitigated any demand zone, I will mark this as an iBOS due to time spent. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,167.835. Alternative scenario: As H4 appears to be in bearish pullback phase, although we do not currently have any indication, it would not come a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 3rd April 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -Unemployment Claims -ISM Services PMI Analysis: -Strong bullish momentum after US tariffs being announced -Looking for retest of the bullish structure -Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3100 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Hits New Highs Amid Rising UncertaintyGold ended last week at historic levels, closing near $3,085 per ounce, amid rising economic uncertainty and renewed tariff-related rhetoric from the U.S. President, particularly concerning the automotive sector. During late trading hours yesterday, fresh developments regarding trade tensions—along with references to potential geopolitical escalation—were noted. These factors appeared to contribute to a gap-up opening for gold, which reached a new all-time high of $3,125 per ounce. While future price movements remain uncertain, market participants may monitor the following levels: * The $3,125 high could serve as a key reference point; any revisit to this level may draw attention to the $3,150 area. * A moderation in momentum near $3,125 might result in a revisit to the $3,112 level. * Should prices fall below $3,110, the $3,100 area—commonly observed as a psychological benchmark—may become relevant. * A continuation below $3,100 might bring the previous high of $3,085 back into focus.
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Ram-Karavadra
XAU/USD 01 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note a further bullish iBOS marked in red. This is due to the fact the price did not trade down to either discount of internal 50% or a demand level. Intraday Expectation: Due to the bullish nature of the market, with very minimal pullback I will continue to visually map until price pulls back enough to plot structure. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish MomentumXAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish Momentum in Play Gold has shown strong bullish momentum, currently trading at $3037 after a powerful rejection from the supply zone at $3017. It has successfully broken the previously long-standing resistance at $3033, confirming a potential shift in market sentiment. With this breakout, I expect gold to continue its upward movement toward the following targets: TP1: $3065 – where a major trendline resistance is in play. TP2: $3100 – upon a successful break and close above $3065. Note: A short-term retracement toward $3026 is possible before the bullish rally resumes. Stay alert and manage risk accordingly. Price action and structure are favoring the bulls for now.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipsview_Analysis
Mastering Market Trends: Your Guide to Clearer Trading DecisionsTrends shape every decision you make in the markets, even if you’re unaware of it. Understanding how to identify and adapt to these market phases is your foundational skill - one that separates successful traders from the rest. Today, let’s simplify and clarify the three essential types of market trends. By mastering this, you’ll approach trading decisions with more confidence and clarity. ⸻ 📈 1. Uptrend – Riding the Bull • What is it? An uptrend is like climbing stairs upward. Each step (low) is higher than the previous one, and every leap (high) sets a new peak. • What drives it? Buyers dominate, optimism rules, and demand pushes prices upward. • Trading tip: Identify support levels and look for retracements as potential entry points. Be cautious about chasing prices that have moved too far without a pullback. ⸻ 📉 2. Downtrend – Navigating the Bearish Territory • What is it? Visualize going down a staircase. Each step down (low) surpasses the previous one, and every upward bounce (high) falls short of the prior peak. • What drives it? Sellers control the market, bearish sentiment takes over, and supply outweighs demand. • Trading tip: Look for resistance areas to identify potential short entries or wait patiently for signs of a reversal if you’re bullish. ⸻ ➡️ 3. Sideways Market – The Calm Before the Storm • What is it? Imagine a tug-of-war with evenly matched teams. The price moves back and forth in a narrow range without breaking decisively higher or lower. • What drives it? Uncertainty, indecision, or equilibrium between buyers and sellers. • Trading tip: Stay patient! Either look to trade range extremes (buying support and selling resistance) or wait for clear breakout signals to catch the next big move. ⸻ 🔍 Pro Tip for Trend Analysis: • Multi-timeframe analysis is key: Always check higher timeframes (weekly, daily, or hourly) to confirm the primary trend. Don’t let short-term noise mislead your trading decisions. ⸻ 🚀 Why It Matters: Aligning your strategies with the correct market trend significantly improves your odds. It’s like sailing with the wind at your back instead of battling against it. Now, tell us in the comments: Which trend type do you find most challenging to trade? Trade smarter. Trade clearer.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TrendGo_Official
GOLD - 1H UPDATE Gold dropped nicely today, in a strong impulsive move which normally indicates a reversal. We also saw price touch $3,057, but we did say price also needs to close below that level which it never done. There's 2 possible plays on its next move; 1. Price just carries on dropping lower in the next week as expected. 2. Gold starts to consolidate, creating a 'redistribution schematic' for a bigger sell off. But this could also mean Gold creating 1 more new ATH.
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by BA_Investments
XAU/USD(20250403) Today's AnalysisMarket news: US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% ​​for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs". Today's long and short boundaries: 3127 Support and resistance levels 3164 3150 3141 3113 3103 3089 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3150, consider going long, with the first target price at 3164 If the price breaks through 3141, consider going short, with the first target price at 3127
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat