Start buying gold and wait for a rebound.At the 4-hour level, the overall market judgment remains unchanged. In terms of the lower support level, 3208-3207 is the key support area. This position is not only the low point on Monday, but also an important support level formed by the previous starting point line extending to the present. As for the upper resistance level, first of all, we need to focus on yesterday's high point of 3265, which is also the previous shock low point. Secondly, the 3290-3293 area formed by the rebound after the gap-down opening on Monday is also a resistance range that cannot be ignored. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance line of 3260-3270 above, and pay attention to the support line of 3220-3210 below in the short term. Further support focuses on the 3200 mark.
Gold operation strategy: 3220-3210 long, target 3230-3250; gold rebounds to 3260-3265 short, target 3240-3220.
GOLD trade ideas
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After the gold price broke below 3202 during the US trading session, it rebounded to a high of 3198 at most. This rebound is merely an oversold bounce, and the price subsequently fell back again. Although it has not hit a new low yet, the pattern has weakened, making it difficult to rise again for now. In a weak bearish trend, the price may even struggle to break above 3198. The short-term support below is at 3150-3160.
On the 1-hour chart of gold, the death cross in the bearish arrangement continues to point downward, and bearish momentum remains strong. Rebounds still provide opportunities to go short. Due to the lack of obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term, this market is just a rebound. Therefore, it is recommended to short on rebounds during the US gold session.
In summary, the current short-term trading strategy for gold is recommended to focus on shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longing on pullbacks. The key short-term resistance level to focus on above is the 3200-3205 range, while the key short-term support level below is the 3150-3160 range.
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Gold is still in a short-term bearish trendGold's 1-hour moving average continues to turn downward. If it crosses below to form a downward death cross, then gold's room for decline may further open up. The short-term short position of gold has not ended yet. Gold has a trend of falling again. The short-term trend of gold is still short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3325, stop loss 3340, target 3290
XAUUSD GOLD PLAN IDEA 12/05/2025XAU/USD (Gold) Trading Outlook The current price of XAU/USD around 3240 to 3235. We are anticipating a pullback towards the 3300 level, at which point we will look for long (buy) entry opportunities.
Key Resistance/Target Level:
TARGET 1: 3274
TARGET 2: 3360
TARGET 3: 3413
Key Support Levels:
SUPPORT 1:3220
SUPPORT 2: 3205
This Strategy is based on the expectation of a price retracement, providing a more favorable risk-reward setup for long positions.
SUPPORT MY IDEA
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 15, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 15, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,149.23
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Supply Zones:
🔴 3168–3172 – Minor intraday supply zone
🔴 3187–3192 – Strong rejection zone; previous aggressive sell-off started here
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 3128.8–3168 – Fresh demand zone formed after price mitigation and bullish reaction; acts as the current support base
⚡️Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and sustains above 3172, we may see momentum pushing toward 3190s with possible continuation to 3200 psychological level.
⚠️Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 3168 could trap late buyers; price might revisit 3140s or retest the demand zone below.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Supply is getting tested; watch for M5/M15 confirmations
✅ Wait for strong bullish candle or break of structure before buying
✅ Set alerts at 3172 and 3192 zones for possible entries or exits
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ForexSetup #IntradayTrade
XAUUSD 1HR, Elliott Wave TheoryCurrent price action is unfolding in a 5-wave bearish structure wave (1) of ((3)) with wave ((V)) of 3 in progress.
A corrective ABC structure completed near the CISD zone.
Wave 3 extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci projection (~3,148), with wave 5 targeting a support block near 3,120–3,130.
Anticipated short-term retracement for wave 4, followed by one more impulsive drop into demand.
Indicators:
RSI shows consistent bearish momentum with room for divergence.
GOLD | Smart Money Accumulation Confirmed by COT Data
Price tapped into a major demand zone around 3,220, showing signs of accumulation and a strong bullish reaction — a typical smart money footprint. Market structure broke to the upside with clean bullish order block validation.
Why this matters:
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows an increase in net long positions from institutional traders on GOLD last week, aligning perfectly with this bullish move. This reinforces the idea that big players are buying from retail panic selling.
Key Concepts:
Demand zone + bullish order block
Break of market structure = entry confirmation
Institutional confluence via COT data
Targeting inefficiency fill toward 3,325–3,330 zone
Educational Tip:
Use COT reports to track what the smart money is doing. Pair that with price action to build high-conviction setups.
[19May2025] Watch-Weekly Boundaries & Key-Level; Down or Up?Monday Move—Are we going further down? Or are we right in the cage? Bear/Bull fight is the final note before the True move. Stay tuned until the end—the important boundaries and key levels of price action are listed below. Watch out for the game "they" play.
The market has already revealed its intent—if you’re still in "wait and see" mode, the next sweep will happen before you even realize it. The anomalies over the past weeks aren’t random; they are signals. If you haven’t made sense of them yet, this is your wake-up call.
Now, as price remains below critical pivot levels, something is set to unfold. The conditioning is complete, the offloading is in play, and the next move—whether reversal or deeper liquidation—hangs in the balance.
Are you watching? Or are you falling into the illusion?
Something big is brewing. But what? And why now?
Over the past two weeks, gold has witnessed extreme fluctuations—sharp movements that aren’t mere market randomness but the footprint of something far more deliberate. This isn’t just price action; it’s a grand orchestration, a carefully staged performance designed to induce, accumulate, and distribute at an unprecedented scale.
Retail traders follow the numbers, but institutions craft the narrative. The illusionists play their hand, shifting liquidity under the guise of war, inflation, and recession—a tired record played on loop to justify the unseen. But savvy traders know better. They see the exhaustion. They recognize the conditioning.
Here’s the reality: It’s not about gold’s valuation—it never was. It’s about control, liquidity extraction, and advantage. The real game is well-hidden beneath surface-level movements.
What happens next isn’t random. It’s calculated. Will you recognize it, or will you be caught inside the illusion?
Gold Market Analysis – Post NYSE Close (May 16, 2025)
Market Structure & Pivot Levels
📌 Monthly:
Pivot: 3248.44
Sell Signal Below: 3402.35 → Clear 2915.88
Buy Signal Above: 3054.48 → Clear 3540.95
📌 Weekly:
Pivot: 3216.81
Sell Signal Below: 3289.10 → Clear 3105.42
Buy Signal Above: 3159.08 → Clear 3342.76
📌 Daily (Friday’s Candle):
Pivot: 3202.87
Sell Signal Below: 3234.03 → Clear 3146.89
Buy Signal Above: 3172.35 → Clear 3259.49
🎯 Closing Price: 3202.25 (Below Friday’s pivot level)
Bearish Momentum – What’s Happening?
🔻 Bear Pressure Increasing: Trading below Monthly, Weekly, and Daily pivot levels suggests growing downward momentum.
🔄 Market in Preparation Mode: Price action indicates institutional positioning and offloading, setting the stage for a potential shift.
💰 Institutional Manipulation at Play:
Inducement & Distribution visible in price behavior—buyer-side absorption remains evident.
Failed bull attempts to push above pivots suggest exhaustion in bullish momentum.
📌 For bulls to regain control: Price must convincingly breach pivots with strong momentum and liquidity, showing sustained buying strength.
Market Narrative – The Hidden Truth
💡 News Is Just Noise: War, tariffs, inflation, recession—these are conditioning tools used to justify price movement, but they do not define it.
🎭 Gold’s Price Is Not About Valuation: It’s about liquidity control, herd mentality, and institutional advantage—a strategic illusion shaping retail sentiment.
Conclusion & Anticipation
✅ Bear Territory Confirmed: Price remains below key pivots , suggesting continued downward movement.
🔄 Market Correction Anticipated: Price has extended too far , and a liquidity rebalancing could unfold.
😱 Retail Sentiment – Extreme Greed: FOMO-driven rallies keep pulling traders into institutional traps.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Above Daily Pivot: 3418 / 3403 / 3378 / 3338 / 3312 / 3296 / 3270 / 3252
Below Daily Pivot: 3200 / 3191 / 3154 / 3135 / 3116 / 3107 / 3071 / 3056 / 3033 / 3009 / 2995 / 2983 / 2969 / 2952
📢 Final Thought: If trading remains below 3402 , liquidation may still be ongoing. Market footprint suggests a potential deep retest at 3019/2811 before signs of meaningful recovery.
🛠️ Institutional activity is likely to be significant—this moment presents an opportunity to anticipate liquidity shifts.
Gold V-shaped reversal? How to solve the short order quilt🗞News side:
1.PPI has fallen for three consecutive months
2. Russia-Ukraine talks are ongoing
3. Powell says the era of long-term low interest rates is over
📈Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded from oversold in the European session, hitting a low of 3120 before pulling back and rising. After a second retracement to confirm 3130, it made a V-shaped reversal. Currently, gold is still testing the 3190-3200 resistance line. Before breaking the resistance range, gold may still usher in a second bottom detection
🎁SELL 3190-3200, SL 3210, TP 3170-3160
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold may fall below 3200!Gold is suppressed below the trend line and turned sideways to fall. The hourly line has gone negative. Falling first has almost become a rule and feature of gold in recent times. Focus on the 3236-3240 area for shorting, and the support below is 3215-3200. If there is no rebound, you can directly try to short with a light position and look for a decline. Between time and price, time is more important, only for gold. Further look at the 3160-3170 area below, and consider low longs to see a rebound when it touches.
The golden high diving reversed again!Today's support below is maintained at the integer level of 3200. Once this position continues to break in the European session, it will be possible to confirm the falling mode and it is very likely to set a new low. The pressure above is maintained near the previous high of 3212 in the European session. The previous high in the European session is very likely to suppress the European session again. If the European session continues to set new lows, the US session is likely to continue to fall. At present, we have two operating ideas. The ideal point is to wait for gold to continue to rebound and short around 3202-05, with the target at 3180-3150. After breaking 3150, you can continue to rebound and short. On the whole, Jin Shengfu recommends rebounding and shorting as the main strategy, and callbacks and long positions as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3202-3212 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 31120-3110 support line.
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
1. Focus on Powell's speech at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference;
2. Pay attention to the situation of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations;
Technical aspects:
Gold has successively broken through the important support area of 3200 and 3160, and continued to around 3120; the short-term bearish trend is very obvious; although gold has rebounded to around 3170 again in the short term, I think the reason is one of the technical rebound repair after the decline; the second is the result of profit-taking of some short positions. So I fully believe that gold has the need to fall again after the rebound;
At present, we need to focus on the resistance of the 3175-3180 area, followed by the resistance of the 3195-3200 area; if gold cannot break through this resistance area during the rebound, gold is expected to fall again and continue to the area around 3100.
Trading strategy:
Consider the opportunity to short gold after gold rebounds to the 3275-3285 area; TP: 3150
TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold Strategy UpdateGold has entered a major downtrend, however the market needs a high increase to break out. Looking at the clouds, I see that in the coming days, the gold price fluctuation range is very large. So everyone should consider allocating volume to suit investment assets as well as adjusting leverage appropriately. Good luck!
XAUUSD Next move 📌 Chart Overview
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Current Price: ~ 3275-3280
Bias: Conditional (based on breakout confirmation).
As previously analyzed, Gold has reached 3270 area. This zone will determine the next market direction- bullish or bearish. Check out our trade plan for potential opportunities!
✅ Buy Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
:Trigger: Price breaks and closes above 3290
Plan:
: Enter long after confirmation (e.g. bullish candle close above 3290)
: TP1: 3340
: Final TP: 3400
Reasoning:
> Breakout above a key intraday resistance
> Pattern suggests potential bullish momentum continuation.
❌ Sell Trade Setup (Bearish Scenario)
Trigger: Break and close below 3260
Plan:
:Enter short after confirmation of breakdown
: TP1: 3230–3225 zone
: Final TP: 3205
Reasoning:
>If price fails to hold above 3260, likely to revisit previous demand zones
>Clean drop potential visible on the left side of the chart
Key Decision Area:
>3260–3290 zone is crucial:
>Acts as a no-trade zone unless broken
>Avoid getting trapped in consolidation or fakeouts here
GOLD XAU-USD CORRECTION COMPLETE REALLY TOWARD UP $3400 0PEN XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined bullish channel, showing strong adherence to upward trendlines and key support levels. Recent price action confirms the ongoing strength of bullish momentum, with higher highs and higher lows reinforcing the prevailing trend. Technical indicators, including moving averages and RSI, remain aligned with buyers, while macroeconomic factors such as inflation concerns and global risk sentiment further support the upside narrative. As the precious metal steadily advances, the $3400 level emerges as a key psychological and technical target, suggesting that, barring significant shifts in market dynamics, gold may continue its trajectory towards new highs in the medium term."
Institutional Move Loading? Gold at Critical Liquidity Zones. Gold is holding above a major liquidity zone at 3211, while the key resistance at 3274 and 3320 remains untested. Based on current price behavior, I’m watching two possible scenarios:
📊 Scenario 1 – Liquidity Sweep & Drop:
Price could sweep the 3274 level, trapping late buyers.
Followed by a move downward toward 3193–3186, where significant historical liquidity lies.
📊 Scenario 2 – Fakeout Above 3320:
Gold might push up to test 3320, a major zone that hasn’t been touched yet.
This could trap both buyers and sellers, then reverse strongly toward 3193–3186, and possibly deeper.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🟥 SELL ZONES:
3274 (current liquidity zone)
3320 (unresolved key resistance)
🟩 BUY ZONES:
3193 & 3186 (liquidity support)
🔥 Major Buy Zone: 3168 – multiple confirmations for a potential trend reversal here.
⚠️ REMINDER:
Gold is driven by institutional volume – charts can mislead when big money steps in. Even from here, a new ATH (All-Time High) is possible. Don’t trade blindly. DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and follow price action closely.
✅ Trade Safe | Trust the Process | Let Price Action Lead
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #LiquidityHunt #TradingView #GoldTraders #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #PriceAction #GoldForecast #RiskManagement
Geopolitical risks ease, trade progresses: Gold short-term volatIndia and Pakistan have declared a full ceasefire😮, while news has emerged that Russia and Ukraine will observe a 30-day ceasefire. With the cooling of geopolitical risks, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset has diminished. Additionally, high-level economic and trade talks between China and the U.S. in Geneva, Switzerland, have made substantive progress, with most market participants believing the tariff war is nearing an end—further dampening gold’s safe-haven demand.
The market has seen two consecutive days of massive volatility: a surge of $100 on Thursday, followed by a plunge of $100 on Friday, creating a "double kill" for both bulls and bears, which is clearly a capital-driven washout. Currently, the 3120 level still shows a relatively obvious supporting effect. Due to ongoing international relations issues, gold remains in a long-term bullish trend. Traders can continue to take small long positions near 3120😎.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3120 -3130
🚀 TP 3230 - 3260
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