GOLD trade ideas
Never hold a short position blindly!In the 4-hour timeframe, consecutive bullish surges have broken the previous weak consolidation pattern. Focus on the key resistance level around 3350 above; for short-term support below, pay attention to the 3315 level, with the critical support zone between 3295-3300 being the primary focus. Overall, maintain the main theme of participating in long positions at lower levels within this range. For prices in the middle of the range, it is advisable to adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, avoid chasing trades impulsively, and patiently wait for key levels to enter positions.
XAU/USD Trade Setup โ June 30, 2025๐ XAU/USD Trade Setup โ June 30, 2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
Entry Zone: Around $3,363โ$3,370
Stop-Loss: ๐บ $3,259 (Above recent highs)
Take-Profit 1: ๐ฏ $3,308
Take-Profit 2: ๐ฏ $3,302
Risk/Reward: Favorable (1.8โ2.2:1 depending on entry)
๐ Technical View
Trend: Bearish below $3,370
Structure: Price rejected key resistance at $3,370โ$3,380
Indicators:
RSI weakening near 50 (bearish bias)
MACD crossing down on H1
Key Zone: A break and close below $3,350 will likely drive price toward your TP zones at $3,308 and $3,302.
โ ๏ธ Notes
Volatility expected near NY session open or if macro data hits (e.g. Fed speakers, inflation prints)
Consider scaling out partial profits at TP1 ($3,308) to lock gains
stable tariffs, gold price impact reductionโ๏ธ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/30/2025 - 07/04/2025
โญ๏ธGOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices plunged over 1.5% on Friday as risk appetite strengthened, fueled by a combination of positive geopolitical and economic developments. Easing tensions between Israel and Iran, the formal trade agreement between the United States and China, and continued efforts by Washington to strike new commercial deals with global partners lifted market sentimentโdampening demand for safe-haven assets like bullion.
At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,274, having pulled back from an earlier high of $3,328. On Thursday, the White House confirmed the signing of a long-awaited trade pact with China, marking an official end to the protracted trade war. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick also indicated that additional agreements may be finalized ahead of the July 9 deadline
โญ๏ธPersonal comments NOVA:
Information on tariff negotiations is gradually becoming stable and favorable. Information on inflation showing signs of increasing, dxy increase is also a temporary pressure causing gold price to return to the 3200 mark.
๐ฅ Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3307, $3348, $3390
Support: $3248, $3202
๐ฅ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
BUY TRAP OR TREND ?xauusd is supposed to frame bearish zone by faking bullish trend. the current candle sticks momentum indicate seller control. the dollar performance and high intererst rate along with geopolitical peace full events are likely to encourage a seller control.
the resistance is 3370 if market did not break it then it will fall on the last target i set up for you.
target 1 ( 3330)
target 2 (3302)
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,347.97.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,408.78 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD DAILYThe ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report for today showed a surprising decline of 33,000 jobs, well below the forecast of a 99,000 forecast and down from the previous monthโs modest gain of 29,000 jobs.
Key Details:
This negative figure indicates that private businesses in the US shed 33,000 jobs in June, marking a contraction in private-sector employmentโthe weakest report since March 2023.
The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, which uses anonymized payroll data from about 26 million workers to estimate private-sector employment changes ahead of the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
The decline reflects ongoing uncertainty among employers amid policy and economic challenges, including tariff impacts and consumer caution.
Market Implications:
The unexpected job losses may raise concerns about the health of the US labor market and the broader economy.
This data could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts or a more dovish stance, potentially weighing on the US dollar and boosting safe-haven assets like gold and silver.
However, the ADP report often diverges from the official NFP, so markets will closely watch the upcoming government jobs data for confirmation.
In summary:
Juneโs ADP report revealed a contraction of 33,000 private-sector jobs, far below expectations, signaling caution in US labor market hiring and adding uncertainty to the economic outlook ahead of the official payrolls release.
#gold #xauusd
Gold is moving in a range-bound consolidation.The ADP employment data in the U.S. unexpectedly cooled down, with private sector employment dropping by 33,000 in June, far below the market expectation of an increase of 95,000. The previous value was revised down from 37,000 to 29,000, marking the largest single-month decline since March 2023. Meanwhile, the Challenger Enterprise Layoff Report showed that the number of layoffs in June was 48,000, with a monthly rate decrease of 48.84% and an annual rate decrease of 1.6%. Compared with the previous value of 93,800, it has significantly declined, indicating that the layoff pressure has eased. After the release of the ADP data, the U.S. Dollar Index fell sharply in the short term, and gold, as a safe-haven asset, rose rapidly. Gold showed a high-level consolidation trend. After repeatedly stabilizing in the 3,327 area, it rebounded and hit the resistance at around 3,351 U.S. dollars, lingering there. It is expected that the range consolidation of gold may face pressure.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@3330-3335
TP:3360-3365
Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?XAUUSD 02/07: Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?
๐ Technical Analysis โ Gold Faces Short-Term Pullback After Strong Rally
Gold has been experiencing a clear rally in recent days, but itโs currently undergoing a brief correction. The price has recently dropped slightly, prompting traders to keep a close eye on key levels for potential reversal or continuation of the bullish move.
๐ Macroeconomic Context โ Factors Impacting Gold's Price
USD Fluctuation: The weakness in the US Dollar continues to affect gold prices, creating opportunities for the precious metal to maintain its upward movement.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions, including the US-Iran conflict, act as a safe-haven factor, supporting gold demand.
Interest Rate Expectations: The market is closely watching for any changes in interest rate policies. Any future rate cuts by the Fed could further bolster gold's price.
๐ Technical Outlook (H1 โ H4 โ D1)
Short-Term Trend: On the H1 timeframe, the price of gold touched a key level near 3340. From there, the price began to experience a pullback. However, the upward momentum remains strong on higher timeframes.
Key Support Levels: The 3300 level remains a crucial support. If the price stays above this, thereโs a chance for gold to continue rising towards higher levels.
Key Resistance Levels: 3360 and 3380 are critical resistance levels. If breached, gold could move towards new highs.
๐ Important Support and Resistance Levels:
๐บ Resistance: 3345 โ 3360 โ 3380 โ 3400
๐ป Support: 3300 โ 3290 โ 3270 โ 3250
๐ก Trading Plan for Today, 02/07:
๐ต BUY ZONE:
๐ Entry: 3305 โ 3303
๐ SL: 3297
๐ฐ TP: 3315 โ 3325 โ 3340 โ 3360
๐ด SELL ZONE:
๐ Entry: 3360 โ 3362
๐ SL: 3368
๐ฐ TP: 3350 โ 3340 โ 3320
๐ฃ Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of short-term correction but remains a strong asset due to geopolitical factors and monetary policies. Buying opportunities continue to be attractive at support levels, while key resistances will play a crucial role for any breakout. Keep an eye on the mentioned levels to capitalize on market movements.
Happy trading and best of luck to all traders!
Goldโs Got Legs โ as Long as 3,327 Holds Price respected the zone perfectly, bouncing clean off support around 3,327.
Structure still intact โ bulls defending well.
I'm personally expecting weaker US data, which could be the catalyst to drive us toward 3,380.
Simple setup. Clear target. Now itโs up to the market to deliver.
Potential Buy opportunity Gold had formed a W formation and moved upward quite a bit, it has created a pull back with the current bearish candle that has a nice wick.
It is also on a support, which evidence of the continuous bearish pattern on the left.
Entry at this point would be good in order to have a smaller stop loss.
#XAUUSD 30MIN ๐ #XAUUSD 30m Sell Setup โ Bearish Continuation Ahead
Gold is currently retracing after a strong drop, consolidating within a short-term Supply Zone. We anticipate a temporary bullish push toward the 3345โ3350 premium area, where the broader bearish trend is expected to resume.
๐ป Sell Zone: 3345 โ 3350 (Supply / OB Zone)
๐ฏ Targets: 3300 โ 3260
โ Stop Loss: Above 3358
โ Note: This is a short-term retracement, not a trend reversal.
We expect selling pressure to return once price taps into the 3350 Order Block, in line with the higher timeframe bearish structure.
#gold #XAUUSD #forexsignals #SmartMoney
XAUUSD 01 July - Price pushing into premium zone ๐น Macro Structure:
Gold has successfully broken structure (BOS) after forming a bullish shift in market structure (MSS) around the 326x โ 327x zone.
Current price action is respecting internal bullish order flow, with higher highs and higher lows being maintained.
Breakout above 3300 psychological level + recent BOS confirms bullish intent.
๐น Liquidity Map:
Buy-side liquidity is still resting above 3350 and into the strong OB at 3388, where a potential sell-side reaction could occur.
Sell-side liquidity below 3267 has not been swept recently, meaning deeper retracements may still occur after internal liquidity is cleared.
๐น Expectation:
Current wave is likely in impulse phase (Wave 3 โ Wave 5) aiming for 3388 OB.
A retracement into the discount zone (3301 โ 3303 OB) is ideal for a continuation trade.
Watch for bearish signs near 3388 โ this zone aligns with high liquidity, strong OB, and trendline confluence.
๐ต BUY SETUP (Retracement entry โ continuation)
Buy Zone: 3301 โ 3303 OB
Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing / FVG fill
Stop Loss: Below 3297 (below recent swing low)
Targets: 3306 โ 3310 โ 3315 โ 3320 โ 3330 โ 3346 โ 3388
๐ด SELL SETUP (Reversal entry โ premium zone)
Sell Zone: 3348 โ 3350 (mitigation area)
Entry Trigger: CHoCH + bearish rejection wick
Stop Loss: Above 3354
Targets: 3344 โ 3340 โ 3335 โ 3325 โ 3310 โ 3300
โ
Alternative Entry (Low sweep)
Buy Limit: 3270 โ 3267 (deep OB + SSL zone)
SL: 3262
TP: 3280 โ 3290 โ 3300 โ 3315+
โณ Wait for price to confirm intention via structure + liquidity reaction before entering trades.
๐ง SMC traders: focus on manipulation zones, OBs, and internal BOS for precision entries.
Expecting Gold Selling movement The bearish setup is reinforced by
Rejection at the key resistance zone
Clear lower high and lower low structures
Bearish target marked at $3,254 a strong support level from recent price action
The red zone above represents the stop-loss area suggesting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for short positions If price breaks above $3,308 the bearish scenario may be invalidated
GOLD SHORT TRADEH1 TIMRFAME
1st Zone GOLD SHORT TRADE AT MAIN RESISTANCE AND ENGULFING ZONE
2nd Zone GOLD SHORT TRADE TLBP PULLBACK SELL AT SELL TRENDLINE
1st Signal : GOLD SELL MAIN RESISTANCE 3351- 3355
Stoploss : 3360
TP Level - 3345, 3340, 3335, 3330
2nd Signal : GOLD SELL TLBP PB TL 3360 - 3366
Stoploss : 3372
TP Levels - 3355, 3350, 3345, 3340, 3335, 3330
Manage Your Trade Properly
GOLD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3326.7
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3337.9
My Stop Loss - 3320.0
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD Set for Strong Bullish Wave โ Targeting 3,726?Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a bullish recovery after a recent correction between the 3,290โ3,340 USD zone. On the daily chart, a clear Elliott Wave formation is unfolding, with the price potentially entering wave 5 aiming for the 0.618 Fibonacci extension at 3,726 USD.
Clear Wave Structure:
The a-b-c corrective wave appears to have completed in mid-May.
The price is now in wave 3 and preparing for a potential extension in wave 5.
Candlestick and Buying Momentum:
Recent candles show strong buying pressure with four consecutive bullish sessions.
The current upward momentum is testing the 3,352 resistance โ a breakout could open the path to 3,450 and eventually 3,726 USD.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate support: 3,320 โ 3,330 USD
Key resistance: 3,450 USD (recent swing high)
Extended target: 3,726 USD (Fibonacci 0.618 from wave 2 low to wave 3 peak)
Suggested Trading Strategy:
Favor buy on dip strategy, waiting for a minor pullback to the 3,330โ3,340 area before entering long.
Set stop-loss below 3,300, with targets at 3,450 and 3,726 USD respectively.
Conclusion:
The XAUUSD chart suggests a potential strong bullish wave according to the Elliott Wave framework, with a breakout likely leading to the 3,726 USD zone. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 3,350 level for confirmation of continued upward momentum.
Whatโs your view on this analysis? Drop a comment and letโs discuss your trading strategy together!
Gold trend analysis and layout before NFP data๐ฐ News information๏ผ
1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data
2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve
๐ Technical Analysis๏ผ
Due to the Independence Day holiday this week, the NFP data was released ahead of schedule today, while the policy differences within the Federal Reserve have brought uncertainty to the market. Judging from the market trend, the 4H level shows that the gold price tested the upper track yesterday and then turned to high-level fluctuations after coming under pressure. In the short term, the structure still has bullish momentum after completing the accumulation of power. Although there was a correction in the US market yesterday, it stopped falling and rebounded near 3335, further confirming the strength. At present, the upper resistance in the European session is at 3365-3375, and the short-term support is at 3345-3335 below. Intraday trading still requires good SL to withstand market fluctuations. In terms of trading, it is recommended to mainly go long on callbacks
๐ฏ Trading Points๏ผ
SELL 3365-3375
TP 3350-3340-3335
BUY 3335-3330-3325
TP 3350-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you๐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold May Pull Back After Dayโs High๐ Market Overview:
โข Gold is currently trading around $3,350/oz, with the daily high at $3,366/oz.
โข The rally stalled as traders took profits near the session high, while a slight rebound in the USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on goldโs momentum.
๐ Technical Analysis:
โข Key Resistance: ~$3,366 (todayโs high), with next level at ~$3,375โ3,380 if breached.
โข Nearest Support: ~$3,342 (intra-day low), stronger support seen at $3,329โ3,330.
โข EMA 9/21: Price is hovering near the EMA21 (~$3,350); this area is crucial to determine the short-term trend.
โข Candle/Momentum Indicators:
o RSI is around 53-55, signaling a neutral stance;
o MACD shows weakening bullish momentum after hitting resistance.
๐ Viewpoint:
Gold may see a minor pullback in the short term, possibly testing the $3,342โ3,329 zone after reacting to the daily high. However, if it holds above EMA21 and EMA50, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact.
๐ก Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,363โ3,366
๐ฏ TP: 40/80/200 pips
โ SL: $3,370
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,329โ3,332
๐ฏ TP: 40/80/200 pips
โ SL: $3,325
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 2Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3250
4-hour chart resistance 3355, support 3300
1-hour chart resistance 3345, support 3325
After gold adjusted to 3247, bulls launched a counterattack. This position is the 0.618 support from 3121 to 3451. It rose by $100 in two trading days. Bulls are still strong. Although the war is sometimes tense and sometimes relieved, the global geopolitical environment and economic environment are continuously getting worse step by step. This support logic has never changed. Even if it is temporarily relieved, gold will usher in a correction, but it is only a correction. Overall, the fundamental logic of the bull market has not changed.
Gold price reached 3358 and then fell back. Today, it fell below 3336 and continued to fall. The support point below is around 3325/3310. It continues to rise after the fall. It is necessary to pay attention to the specific point where it will stop falling and stabilize during the trading session. As far as the current market is concerned, it hit 3328 today to stop falling and rebound, and temporarily held the support position of 3325. It is bullish based on this position. There are ADP data today and NFP data tomorrow. Pay attention to the impact after the data is released.
BUY:3330near
BUY:3300near