XAUUSD H4 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3327.70, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3286.88, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 13363.76, an overlap resistance.
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GOLD trade ideas
[Scalping] Long XAUUSD (June 8, 2025)Entry was 3312.22
TP is 3322.22
SL is 3307.25
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
“Gold Eyes 4‑Hour Demand at $3,322” 11 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) has consolidated near $3,332 after an SMC-style structure sweep above $3,338, which likely captured institutional liquidity before a clean CHoCH and pullback toward a key demand zone at $3,322–$3,328. This demand zone held firmly—on a bullish 4‑hour candle—indicating underlying strength.
Key technical confluences:
CHoCH above $3,322 confirms bullish structure.
Price above 200‑SMA and mid-Bollinger Band on 4H.
RSI (~55‑60) and MACD showing resumed bullish momentum.
✅ 4H Entry Strategy Breakdown
Bullish Retest
Wait for price to revisit $3,322–$3,328 with bullish candle formation → enter long.
SL just below $3,312; targets at $3,345 and then $3,355.
Breakout Option
If momentum pushes price above $3,353 resistance, follow the breakout with target zones extending to $3,365–$3,380.
Supply Rejection
Alternatively, watch for reversal patterns near $3,345–$3,353. A confirmed rejection opens a short trade down to $3,322.
Scalp Play
For quicker profits, scalp the bounce from the demand zone with tight stops and targets within the 4‑hour upper range.
Risk note: US CPI and trade headlines may inject volatility. Waiting for candle confirmation is critical to validate setups.
XAUUSD Gold Short: Premium Tap Into OB + Reversal Loading XAUUSD (30-Min) | Premium Rejection + Order Block + Fib Stack for Intraday Short
This GOLD setup is a surgical-grade short play — combining institutional Order Block, Fibonacci Premium Levels, and liquidity rejection for a high RRR sniper entry.
🔍 Smart Money Setup Breakdown:
🔴 Bearish Order Block Zone (OB)
Strong bearish engulfing forms OB between 3,312.949 and 3,319.292
Price is currently reacting off 70.5% – 79% Fib zone — a premium region
Bears defending aggressively as price fails to break above
📐 Fibonacci Confluence
Fib drawn from recent swing high to swing low
Price retraced cleanly into 70.5% – 100% range
Current rejection forming just under 79% Fib at 3,312.949
OB + Fib = sniper confluence
📉 Bearish Reversal Behavior
Candle structure shows bullish exhaustion
Wicks into premium followed by strong rejections
Upcoming bearish candle could confirm shift in momentum
🎯 Target Zones Based on Fib Extensions
50%: 3,306.000
0% (Full move): 3,293.500
Extended TP: 3,288.000 for deeper draw
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone 3,311.510 – 3,312.949 (OB + Premium zone)
🔻 SL Above 3,319.292 (above 100% + OB high)
📉 TP 1 3,306.000 (mid move)
📉 TP 2 3,293.500 (measured move)
⚖️ RRR Estimated 1:4+ depending on execution precision
🧠 Chart Ninja Wisdom:
"Gold respects the money, not the noise. If you know where Smart Money hides,
you’ll always catch the move before the herd even blinks." 🥷✨
🔁 Bonus Insight:
You can clearly see the liquidity engineered below 3,308 and resting near 3,293.5. Price may wick these areas fast, so set alerts or stagger TPs if you’re managing this intraday.
🚨 Chart this setup and watch for the breakdown confirmation
💬 What’s your SL placement for this? Drop it in the comments
XAU/USD.. Bullish chart pattern.My analyzing the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on a 1-hour chart. Let's break down the information visible and provide both target and distraction (likely risks or invalidation points) based on my chart.
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🔍 Chart Summary
Current Price: ~3,391.180
Chart Type: TradingView 1-hour timeframe
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud, BOS (Break of Structure), CHoCH (Change of Character)
Targets Labeled:
Target Point 1: ~3,400.000
Target Point 2: ~3,440.000
Support Zone: Around 3,325.900 - 3,340.000 (boxed area + cloud support)
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🎯 Target Analysis
1. Short-Term Target: 3,400.000
This is a minor resistance level based on recent structure.
A likely take-profit area for scalpers or short-term traders.
2. Mid-Term Target: 3,440.000
This level is likely based on a full bullish continuation of the breakout pattern.
Considered if price breaks above 3,400 with strong volume/momentum.
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⚠ Distraction / Risk Zones
1. Support Re-test Zone (Boxed Area): 3,325.900 – 3,340.000
If price breaks below this, it could invalidate the bullish setup.
Watch for false breakouts or liquidity grabs here.
2. Ichimoku Cloud (Below 3,320.000):
A breakdown into or below the cloud can signal a bearish shift.
Confirmation of trend reversal if price closes below the cloud.
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✅ Strategy Summary
Aspect Level Note
Entry Zone 3,340 - 3,360 Near support zone
Target 1 3,400.000 Short-term goal
Target 2 3,440.000 Mid-term bullish breakout
Invalidation < 3,325.900 Consider exiting long trades
Risk Indicator Ichimoku Cloud Watch for bearish signals
live trade and break down 5k profits, 3500 targetGold price sticks to positive bias as sustained safe-haven buying offsets modest USD strength
Gold price sticks to its bullish tone for the third consecutive day on Friday and trades close to its highest level since April 22 through the first half of the European session. Against the backdrop of trade-related uncertainties, a further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Breakdown : Structure Shifting + Target📍 Overview:
Gold (XAUUSD) has been displaying a classic technical development that traders need to pay close attention to. What initially looked like a smooth parabolic rally has now transitioned into a clear structure shift, as evidenced by the breakdown of a rounded support curve and rejection from a major resistance zone. The market is signaling a bearish retracement or even a deeper correction, and this setup offers potential trading opportunities both for short-term scalpers and swing traders.
📊 Chart Breakdown:
🔸 1. The Rounded Support Curve (Black Mind Curve):
The curve outlines a strong upward acceleration phase starting from the June 9 low.
This curve often acts like a dynamic support — similar to a parabolic trendline.
As long as price stays above it, the momentum remains intact.
In this case, Gold broke below the curve, which is a sign of exhaustion and potential bearish control.
🔸 2. Major Resistance Zone (~$3,417 – $3,427):
This level has acted as a ceiling multiple times in the past, visible in earlier highs from June 5 and 6.
Upon re-approaching this zone, price showed aggressive wicks to the upside followed by strong bearish candles — signaling institutional selling and profit-taking.
This triple rejection reinforced the resistance’s significance.
🔸 3. Structure Mapping and Transition:
After the breakdown, we observed a clean market structure shift: the formation of lower highs and lower lows, a key sign of bearish trend development.
The current price action is flowing downward in an organized pattern, suggesting further downside unless a strong reversal or bullish engulfing setup occurs.
🔸 4. Next Reversal Zone (~$3,360):
This area is identified as a high-probability support zone based on:
Past price reaction.
Previous accumulation zone from June 10–11.
Psychological round number proximity (e.g., $3,350 – $3,360).
Traders should monitor this level for potential reversal setups such as bullish engulfing candles, pin bars, or RSI divergence.
🧠 Market Psychology:
This pattern reflects a classic distribution phase at resistance after an emotionally driven uptrend:
Retail traders jump in late as the price approaches highs.
Institutions begin distributing (selling into strength).
Support breaks down as retail stops get triggered.
Price drops into a demand zone where accumulation may begin again.
Understanding this psychological cycle helps traders align with the smart money rather than chasing price action blindly.
🛠️ Potential Trading Plans:
✅ Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation
Wait for a retest of the broken structure (~$3,390 – $3,400).
Look for rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star).
Entry: ~$3,395–$3,400 | Target: ~$3,360 | SL: Above $3,420.
✅ Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal from Support
Monitor price action around $3,360 zone.
Look for bullish structure forming: higher lows, reversal candles, divergence.
Entry: On confirmation (e.g., bullish pin bar on 1H or 4H).
Target: Back to structure at ~$3,400–$3,410.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
Avoid entering in the middle of the range.
Use proper stop-loss positioning to manage volatility.
Keep an eye on macro catalysts like:
US inflation reports
Fed commentary or interest rate decisions
Geopolitical tensions that can spike gold
🧭 Summary:
The market is unfolding a textbook technical setup:
Resistance rejection
Rounded support breakdown
Bearish structure
Approaching a high-probability support zone
Patience is key — let price come to your level. Watch the $3,360 zone for potential reversal, and use structure to guide entries and exits.
📌 Final Note:
This analysis is part of the MMC Methodology (Market Mapping Cycle), which focuses on identifying macro structure, confirming micro structure, and mapping turning points with precision.
Let the market reveal itself. Don't chase — plan and execute with clarity.
Wyckoff Accumulation and Bullish Setup on Gold (XAU/USD) – 2H Ti🔍 Analysis Overview:
We’re currently observing a textbook Wyckoff Accumulation on the 2H chart of Gold (XAU/USD), followed by a Sign of Strength (SOS) and a potential Last Point of Support (LPS) which confirms bullish intent by Smart Money.
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📈 Key Levels:
Spring: Confirmed at 3295.994 (June 9, 06:30) — strong liquidity sweep followed by immediate reversal.
LPS: Forming in the current consolidation above broken structure (around 3350–3370 zone).
Target: 3400.501, aligning with previous structural high and potential resistance.
Projected Move: ~3.17% upside in approx. 3.5 days.
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📊 Wyckoff Logic in Play:
1. Phase C (Spring): Shakeout below previous support grabs liquidity.
2. Phase D (SOS): Sharp bullish impulse with wide candles and increased momentum.
3. LPS: Price revisits broken resistance as support, showing compression and tight consolidation — a classic entry zone for Smart Money.
4. Phase E: Expected bullish continuation toward 3400+ as demand outweighs supply.
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🔧 Strategy:
Entry Zone: Between 3360–3370 during current LPS phase.
Stop Loss: Below recent LPS structure ~3346.
Target: 3400–3415 zone short-term.
Risk/Reward: Favorable setup backed by structure, volume behavior (Heikin Ashi), and Wyckoff sequence.
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🧠 Final Thoughts:
If price respects this bullish structure, we are likely transitioning from accumulation into a sustainable uptrend. Watch for volume confirmation and breakout strength on approach to 3400.
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📌 Note: Always manage your risk and consider macro factors (US CPI, Fed decisions) influencing gold this week.
Gold Intraday Market Snapshot & Context for 11, June 2025Current Price: Around $3,340 per ounce
Daily Range: ~$3,302 to ~$3,349
Key Drivers:
Ongoing U.S.–China trade talks in London creating near-term uncertainty
Technical resistance near EMA 50 (~$3,338–$3,342)
🔍 Comprehensive Technical Breakdown
Supply & Demand Zones
Resistance: $3,338–$3,350 (EMA 50 alignments)
Support: $3,310–$3,303 (ML, intraday pivot support) and deeper demand at $3,280–$3,262
Moving Averages
Price is currently below EMA 50 (≈$3,338) and below SMA/EMA 20/100/200, reflecting soft momentum
Oscillators
RSI ~46: neutral‑leaning bearish.
MACD positive but flattening.
Stochastics and Williams %R neutral–mixed
Price Action & Candles
Recent price attempts to break above EMA50 were rejected
Suggests short-term bearish pressure, but still within an overall bullish daily trend .
🎯 Four Intraday Trading Setups
1. Bullish Breakout ↗
Entry: 1‑hr candle close above $3,342–$3,345 (break above EMA50 + supply zone).
Stop Loss: ~$3,336 (below breakout candle).
Take Profits: TP1 = $3,360 (next supply), TP2 = $3,380.
Confluences:
Break of EMA50 (50-EMA rejects) + volume momentum.
MACD building above zero and RSI rising.
Trigger: Momentum candle with volume, confirmed close above entry zone.
2. Bearish Rejection ↘
Entry: Short if gold tests $3,342–$3,345 and forms a reversal candle (bearish engulfing, pin bar).
Stop Loss: $3,352 (just above high).
Take Profits: TP1 = $3,322, TP2 = $3,310 (Fibonacci and demand flip).
Confluences:
Resistance at EMA50/supply zone + oscillator failure (RSI flattening).
Candlestick rejection pattern.
Trigger: Clear bearish reversal candle off resistance.
3. Bearish Breakdown ↘
Entry: On break and 1‑hr close below $3,303 (mid‑intraday support).
Stop Loss: $3,310 (above breakdown level).
Take Profits: TP1 = $3,280, TP2 = $3,262 (deeper demand zone)
Confluences:
Support zone break, momentum confirmation, bearish MACD crossover.
Elliott wave confirms downward corrective extension.
Trigger: Hourly close below support followed by follow-through.
4. Bullish Bounce ↗
Entry: On a strong bullish candle near $3,303–$3,310 support zone.
Stop Loss: $3,298 (below support).
Take Profits: TP1 = $3,326 (mid-range), TP2 = $3,342 (EMA50).
Confluences:
Demand zone bounce, oversold indications (stochastic bounce), trendline support.
Lower timeframe pattern (double bottom, morning star).
Trigger: Bullish rejection candle with size and strength.
⚠️ Risk & Market Notes
Volatility essentials: Events like US CPI and trade-talk updates may trigger sharp moves.
Trade confirmation: Stick to your trigger rules; intraday moves can be whipsawing.
Risk management: Use appropriate position sizes and consider potential slippage.
GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakoutFX:XAUUSD is still bullish. The price is consolidating in the range of 3390-3345, with an intermediate bottom forming inside the channel, which overall indicates positive signs.
On Thursday, gold is consolidating ahead of $3390. Consolidation after growth, within a bullish trend, is a good sign. But, on the one hand, the price is supported by growing tensions between Russia and Ukraine. On the other hand, optimism about US trade negotiations with Canada, the EU, and China is strengthening the dollar and holding back demand for gold.
Additional pressure on the dollar is coming from weak US macro statistics, especially ADP data and the decline in the ISM Services PMI, which have reinforced expectations of Fed policy easing. Traders are waiting for further signals from the regulator.
Resistance levels: 3391.4, 3414, 3435
Support levels: 3365, 3345
Technically, gold is rising and forming a retest of consolidation resistance. If the 3391 level is broken, the price may head towards 3435. Before breaking through resistance, a correction or retest of 3365 may form. However, consolidation near 3391 and a gradual squeeze towards the level will increase the chances of a breakout and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
After the Pullback, Gold May Head Toward the 3500 Mark📊 Market Overview:
Gold surged to 3444 during the Asian session on rising expectations of an early Fed rate cut after softer-than-expected US CPI data. However, profit-taking pushed prices back to the 3425 zone.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3444
• Nearest Support: 3403 – 3406
• EMA 9: Price remains above EMA 9 → trend is still bullish.
• Momentum & RSI: RSI has cooled off from near-overbought territory (~70), suggesting a short-term pullback may occur.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may correct slightly toward support before resuming its upward trend if the 3403–3406 zone holds firm.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3440 – 3444
🎯 TP: 3420
❌ SL: 3449
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3406 – 3403
🎯 TP: 3426
❌ SL: 3399
Gold Weekly Outlook: Bullish Breakout on DeckHello,
🪙 XAU/USD Weekly Outlook
📅 May 25 – 30, 2025
📍 Current Price: $3,355.35
📈 RSI (1D): 57.99 — Neutral to mild bullish momentum
🔮 Summary & Key Levels
Gold remains bullish, supported by USD weakness, geopolitical tension, and safe-haven demand. Without hawkish shocks, expect a test of $3,440+ this week.
Level Significance Likelihood
$3,300 – $3,355 Support zone, dip-buying likely 🔵 High
$3,355 – $3,390 Current range, mild upside grind 🟡 Moderate
$3,390 – $3,440 Key resistance test 🟢 Likely if USD weak
$3,440 – $3,500 Breakout extension zone 🟠 Conditional (Fed/dovish data needed)
< $3,280 Bearish invalidation 🔴 Unlikely barring major USD reversal
🧭 Directional Bias:
Bullish with breakout potential — driven by rising U.S. debt concerns, Fed rate cut talk, and risk aversion.
🔍 Supporting Factors
US Dollar Weakness:
USD dropped 1.4–2.3% vs majors; JPY & CHF gained as safe havens.
Moody’s downgrade of U.S. credit rating and weak Treasury auctions amplify fiscal stress.
Trump’s tariff threats revive trade war fears, pressuring USD further.
Fed & Inflation Watch:
Fed speakers mixed; Waller hinted at cuts if tariffs escalate.
May 31 Core PCE inflation data critical — softer print could ignite breakout.
Safe-Haven Rotation:
JPY & CHF strength signals risk hedging.
Global tensions, equity fragility, Middle East unrest support gold demand.
🌐 Global Macro Highlights & Gold Implications
Region Highlights Gold Impact
🇺🇸 US Fiscal strain, downgrade, mixed data 🟢 Bullish
🇪🇺 Eurozone Hawkish ECB, stable inflation 🟡 Mildly bullish
🇬🇧 UK Strong CPI, Brexit optimism ⚪ Neutral
🇯🇵 Japan Hawkish BoJ pivot, rising inflation 🟢 Safe-haven driver
🇨🇭 Switzerland CHF rally, deflation concerns 🟢 Risk-off tone
🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿 Mixed data, dovish bias ⚪ Commodity FX support
📅 Key Events to Watch (May 25–30)
Date Event Impact on Gold
Daily Fed speakers (Waller, Bostic) 🟠 Dovish tone supports gold
Friday US Core PCE Inflation 🟥 Major catalyst — soft print = breakout risk
Anytime Trump tariff announcements 🟥 Volatility spike = bullish catalyst
Ongoing Risk sentiment & equity volatility 🟠 Supports safe-haven flows
✅ Bottom Line
Gold’s technical and macro setup is strong. A push above $3,390 could open a move toward $3,440–$3,470, especially if Friday’s PCE data disappoints or trade tensions escalate. Downside limited unless USD sentiment reverses sharply.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Short gold ,it is expected to retreatToday, we accurately seized the trading opportunity of long gold at 3350 according to the trading plan, and hit TP: 3380 in the process of rebounding. We firmly grasped the profit of 300pips in the short-term long trading. At present, gold maintains the trend of continued rise! Now I definitely do not advocate chasing gold in short-term trading. On the contrary, I will actively look for good opportunities for short-term short trading to earn profits from short-term retracement.
In the short term, the suppression area I focus on is the 3390-3395 area, because the gold trend is relatively strong during the European session, and the US session should continue. If gold cannot break through this area in the short term, gold will likely usher in a wave of retracement. I think it should not be difficult to test the 3370-3360 area downward; secondly, we must pay attention to the same suppression area as the short-term high of 3402: 3405-3415; if gold touches this area and stagflation occurs, then it may form a secondary high in the short term, thereby hitting the firmness of the bulls' confidence and ushering in a retracement.
So next, I will test the gold short trade around the two areas of 3390-3395 and 3405-3415. Relatively speaking, the profit and loss ratio is still very favorable to us! But in the process of trading, we must strictly set up protection, after all, it is a counter-trend trade in the short term!