What Happens Next? Has the up move started !?In line with my previous analysis, the price rose back above the lower trend line. Now looking at the detail of the bearish waves, it is possible that an up move could take the price to at least around 3440. That is my expectation. Keep in mind that this is a forecast as a result of an analysis.
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD PULLS BACK TO BUY ZONE!Hey Traders so looking at Gold as we can see it has now pulled back to the trendline and is testing support at $3300 level.
So if bullish now is the time to buy it with a stop loss under support at 3237 or even maybe even 3200.
Also Seasonally Gold normally bottoms in the Summer around July or August.
Imo a wide stop is need to let the market breathe we don't want to be stopped out due to normal daily movement.
If bearish however be very careful this seems to me like strong bull market. I wouldn't think about shorting unless breaks below trendline and below 3200.
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Good Luck & Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
Gold prices rose as dollar data was not good
📌 Gold information:
Gold prices plunged on Tuesday as a ceasefire was declared in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, market risk appetite rebounded, and demand for safe-haven assets declined. The ceasefire news pushed global stocks higher, while oil prices fell to a two-week low as concerns about supply disruptions eased. The plunge in crude oil prices also further suppressed gold's inflation hedging appeal. As an interest-free asset, gold prices are under pressure against the backdrop of waning risk aversion, but there is still buying support at low levels.
Investors are currently focusing on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's appearance at a House Financial Services Committee hearing. Powell has been cautious on whether to cut interest rates in the near future.
📊Comment Analysis
The current market selling sentiment has increased significantly, and for gold, falling seems to be the only way to go. Today, whether you look at rebound short or low long, basically you will not have a chance, that is, falling, it seems that the market has lost hope in gold, and the current gold has fallen to 3295, and the break of 3300 declares that gold has further room to fall. From the trend point of view, it is likely to fall now!
The further strong support on the current trend line is around 3274, and it is not ruled out that it will fall directly to the current position. At present, the Federal Reserve is still speaking, and whether it will cause drastic fluctuations in gold in the future is still unpredictable, but from today's trend, shorting is already the best solution at present, and the upper resistance can first look at 3330!
💰Strategy Package
Gold: Rebound 3325-3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3290-3300!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the lot size that matches your funds
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,348.30 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?XAUUSD – Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?
After weeks of muted movement, gold is coiling within a bearish channel — but a fresh warning from Goldman Sachs may be the trigger that changes everything. With concerns mounting over America’s fiscal future, gold could be preparing for a decisive shift.
🌐 Macro View – Goldman Sachs Sounds the Alarm
🔺 Goldman Sachs recently issued a critical warning:
US national debt is expected to exceed WWII levels, with interest payments topping $1 trillion by 2025, outpacing spending on defense and healthcare.
If urgent fiscal reforms aren’t implemented, the US could face a tightening cycle that slows GDP growth without reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio.
The root causes? Excessive spending, rising interest rates, and deep political gridlock.
📌 For global investors, this type of uncertainty is often bullish for gold — especially as a hedge against both inflation and US dollar instability.
📉 Technical Outlook (Updated – M30 to H1)
Gold is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with sellers firmly in control.
Price is currently hovering around the pivot zone at 3,338.42, with a possible short-term bounce toward 3,368.04, the upper edge of the channel.
EMA ribbons (13–200) are sharply aligned to the downside, signaling strong bearish momentum.
If the price fails to break above 3,368, the next key support zones lie at 3,325.78, and potentially 3,309.25, where unfilled fair value gaps (FVG) await.
✅ Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
Stop-Loss: 3303
Targets: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 →
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
Stop-Loss: 3318
Targets: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
Stop-Loss: 3424
Targets: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
Stop-Loss: 3403
Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 Closing Thoughts – A Volatile End to the Week?
With US markets returning from a bank holiday and macro pressure rising, volatility could spike to close the week.
✅ Stick to disciplined SL/TP levels. Avoid premature entries and let price confirm direction.
Gold remains technically bearish — but the global debt narrative could turn this market on its head.
Prepare. Observe. Strike only when the structure aligns.
Gold expectation 1HGold should retest this price support line (in green) in its route to rejoining the channel for its destination. It broke out of structure due to news that came out, but buyers are making it return to its original path. Some nice strong buys are expected, so please watch for confimations as we go. #BuyTheBull
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 26Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3295
4-hour chart resistance 3370, support 3312
1-hour chart resistance 3350, support 3328
The gold market has recently shown strong resistance to decline, showing signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing for two consecutive trading days. The low point of the hourly chart is gradually moving up. This positive signal further consolidates the support of the market bottom. Today's opening price is around 3330, and the highest point of the oscillation upward is 3350. The recent volatility has decreased. In the NY market, we will focus on today's opening price of 3330 as the dividing line between long and short. If it falls below this position, the lowest target can be seen near 3312. Before that, you can do scalp buying transactions above 3330.
Buy: 3330near
Buy: 3312near
XAUUSD Outlook: Between Fed Doubts and Dollar WeaknessHello traders, Lucas here – let’s break down the latest moves on gold!
Following a failed breakdown below the 3,300 support level, gold is now entering a mild corrective phase. In the absence of strong catalysts, price is likely to remain range-bound between 3,300 and 3,340 in the near term.
The market is currently shaped by a weakening US dollar and growing uncertainty around the Fed’s interest rate policy. While the USD has dropped to multi-year lows, gold is struggling to gain traction – partly due to easing geopolitical tensions and persistent hawkish signals from Fed officials.
Traders are now bracing for a series of key US economic data releases, including Durable Goods Orders, GDP figures, and Initial Jobless Claims – all due before 12:30 GMT today. However, the main event remains Friday’s PCE inflation report, which could be the game-changer for rate expectations moving into H2.
From a technical perspective, key levels to watch are 3,300 – 3,306 – 3,340 – 3,347, acting as intraday pivot zones. Should a false breakout occur near 3,347, a pullback toward the 3,320 – 3,307 liquidity zone may follow before bulls attempt to reclaim higher ground. Upside targets in that scenario include 3,364, 3,372 and possibly 3,396.
Until a clearer narrative emerges, intraday strategies with reactive price action around these key zones remain the safest play.
All the best, Lucas_Reid !
Gold breaks down and moves downward, focus on the 3300 markWith the official ceasefire between Iran and Israel, although there are some repeated frictions in the middle, under Trump's mediation, both parties are relatively tolerant. It seems that the war has been declared over. Gold has also fallen sharply. In the early trading, it fell sharply to around 3333 and stabilized. After rebounding to around 3357, it fell again under pressure. During the European trading session, it broke the low and continued. It repeated around 3317/8 and fell again under pressure around 3332. This position has become the key pressure point for the current top and bottom conversion. In the evening, the testimony of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was also relatively cautious. He believed that inflation had declined, but it was still far from the 2% target. He tended to adjust interest rates after inflation achieved the target. Therefore, the double pressure caused gold to rebound weakly and repeatedly run weakly. At present, the lowest level reached 3304, which is one step away from the 3300 mark. Judging from the current trend, the overall weak pattern continues. In the evening, relying on the 3300 mark, try a long order for the last time, and then do a good job of continuing defense after the break.
6/24 Gold Evening Reference Ideas
Gold is long near 3303/05, defend 3298, target 3320/3330, short at 3298, defend 3305, target near 3276, short at 3330, defend 3337, watch 3316/08
Market next target 🔁 Disrupted Analysis (Bullish Scenario Instead of Bearish)
1. Support Holding Firm:
The analysis assumes the price will drop after failing resistance, but the current price action is showing higher lows, suggesting accumulation.
The support area has been tested multiple times, showing strength.
2. Volume Analysis Contradiction:
Recent green volume bars indicate buying interest at lower levels.
No significant volume spike on the last downward leg, suggesting lack of strong selling pressure.
3. Potential Inverted Head and Shoulders:
The current formation could be the right shoulder of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup.
If confirmed, this could lead to a breakout above the resistance area, not a drop.
4. Trendline Breakout Watch:
There's a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline.
A break above 3,320 USD could invalidate the bearish thesis and suggest a target near 3,340–3,350 USD.
XAUUSDGold has shown a strong historical pattern of impulsive rallies followed by significant corrections. After the recent explosive move from the $2,067 breakout zone to new all-time highs around $3,500, representing a +67% rally, the metal appears overextended and due for a healthy pullback.
Past cycles suggest that after such parabolic moves, price tends to retrace back to key demand zones or previous accumulation levels. In this case, the medium-term correction target aligns with the $2,800–$2,750 region — a strong structural support and confluence with the 2024 breakout base.
While the long-term trend remains bullish, this setup hints at a potential mean reversion or consolidation phase. Traders should remain cautious at current highs and watch for signs of distribution and lower highs forming in the coming weeks
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday’s chart idea is playing out as analysed.
Gold failed to break above the $3,395 resistance and has now pulled back, currently testing the first support zone — aligned with the 4H 200MA and Daily 50MA.
If this area fails to hold, price is likely to head toward the next key support zone, where we expect a potential reaction.
To resume bullish momentum, we need to see a strong close above $3,346. Key bullish zones remain $3,375 and $3,395.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,375 • $3,395 • $3,418 • $3,439
Support:
$3,361 • $3,346 • $3,330 / $3,306
$3,287 – Critical demand zone
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
All eyes are on Fed Chair Powell’s testimony today, which may offer clues about the Fed’s rate outlook and inflation stance. Any hint of continued hawkishness could weigh on gold, while dovish commentary may trigger renewed upside interest.
Expect heightened intraday volatility around his remarks — stay cautious.