Analysis of the latest market trends of gold surge and plungeFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3338-45. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3338-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3329, target 3375-3380, and continue to hold if it breaks;
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD: Volatile Uptrend Breaks Through Narrow RangeTechnical indicators are just references for the trend of gold, and the real market movement is driven by market sentiment.
The CPI data released today was lower than expected, which is a bullish signal for gold. The information on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond auction released in the evening is bearish based on the data. In addition, news about various geopolitical conflicts are all influencing and driving market sentiment.
In the long term, gold is definitely trending upward. For short-term operations, technical analysis needs to be combined with the current market sentiment.
Today's various data have caused gold to show a volatile upward trend. After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and reaching $3,360, it retracted to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,300-$3,380.
XAU/USD
buy@3310-3320-3330
tp:3350-3360-3370
sell@3380-3370-3360
tp:3345-3335-3325
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (June 11), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $3,330 per ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Tuesday as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continued and the World Bank also lowered its global economic growth forecast. Traders are closely watching the Sino-US trade negotiations, the results of which may ease trade tensions and boost the global economy, thereby reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, while the continued rise in US stocks has also suppressed the safe-haven buying demand for international gold.In the past few days, gold has fallen from its recent highs, mainly because the market has optimistic expectations for negotiations between China and the United States and Britain and Russia. If the United States and China reach a trade agreement, it will weaken the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. Gold is a hedge investment tool and usually rises during periods of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. The market is currently focusing on the upcoming US CPI data for May. Expected data show that inflation may rise slightly to 2.5%, with core CPI around 2.9%. If the data exceeds expectations, it may be bearish for gold in the short term; if inflation slows down, it will strengthen the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates this year, which is bullish for gold prices.
Technical review:
Technical daily chart continues to close with alternating yin and yang cycles, the moving average is glued together, and the RSI indicator runs on the middle axis. The moving average of the four-hour chart is glued together, the price is adjusted near the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator is flat. Gold rose above 3349 yesterday and fell back to 3320 in the early morning. After a sharp drop to 3315 in the Asian session, it needs to break the low point of 20 in the early morning and then quickly rise to 3331. Pay attention to the 3320 position in the Asian session. If 3320 stabilizes and moves upward, continue to look at the test of 3340/50 during the day. Otherwise, if it loses again or adjusts around 20 during the day, it will be regarded as a weak sell. Pay attention to 3306/3293 below. Gold technical aspects continue to be arranged with a shock idea. Under the premise that there is no news to stimulate the selling, gold continues to maintain low-price buying as the main technical aspect, and high-price selling as the auxiliary.
Today's analysis:
From the daily level, gold is in a high-level shock consolidation since the peak of 3500. The current highs of 3500, 3435, and 3403 are gradually moving down, and the lows of 3120, 3245, and 3293 are gradually rising. The shock range is gradually narrowing. The short-term market may continue to maintain shocks. If it breaks, it needs to wait for the direction of the breakthrough to be stimulated by major news!
So today's lock range is 3293-3360. It is recommended to sell at high prices and buy at low prices to treat shocks, mainly short-term or ultra-short-term, and do not chase ups and downs before the range is effectively broken.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3310-3330, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3360;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3363, stop loss at 3362, target at 3300-3310;
Key points:
First support level: 3320, second support level: 3306, third support level: 3292
First resistance level: 3346, second resistance level: 3358, third resistance level: 3376
Trading Game of the day 11-MAY-2025On this day 11-MAY-2025 ,CPI core,m and y was released and all of them were negative for the dollar
My performance depend on patience .
So after release of the NEWS ,be patient and patient and patinet until the price gives you the direction and give you the opportunity to enter the market
1-PDA :- which is the OB
2-Re- (H4-H2-H1-30m) and ST (SHARP TURN)in lower than 15m-TF
3-CISD
4-FVG retraced from it and make another FVG which represent our entry (sell order)
5-sell order from 3340 and the profit is 3330
Thanks
GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 🟡
Technical Breakdown & Bearish Scenario Ahead ⚠️📉
🔍 Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound structure with strong horizontal resistance around the $3,400–$3,420 zone and support around the $3,120–$3,160 level. Price is currently trading near the upper range of the consolidation.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,400 – $3,420
➤ Price has been rejected here multiple times (highlighted by red arrows and orange circles), showing strong supply pressure.
🟣 Intermediate Support: $3,260.618
➤ This level acted as a minor support and could be tested again if the current pullback deepens.
🟤 Major Support Zone: $3,120 – $3,160
➤ A key demand area where price previously bounced significantly.
📉 Bearish Setup:
A potential lower high is forming just below the resistance zone.
The projected path suggests a minor pullback to form a bearish retest, followed by a potential breakdown below $3,260.
If the $3,260 support is broken decisively, further downside toward the $3,120–$3,160 support is likely (blue arrow projection).
🔄 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation):
A breakout and strong close above $3,420 could invalidate the bearish structure.
In that case, price might attempt to target higher resistance levels beyond $3,440.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a range with a bearish bias unless the $3,420 resistance is breached.
🔽 Watch for confirmation below $3,260 for bearish continuation.
✅ For bulls, wait for a strong breakout above resistance with volume.
XAUUSD - Next Course of ActionXAUUSD is near the Liquidity Area 3337-3344, if 1H time frame candle closes above this area then on the confirmation of RSI, you can go for Buy Trade setup with the following Targets:-
TP1 at 3354
TP2 at 3359
TP3 at 3365
TP4 at 3375 (By Trailing Stop Loss)
But if it pullback from the are then you can place a Sell Trade below 3333 with the following Targets:-
TP1@3319
TP2@3293
TP3@3275 (by trailing stop loss)
Always wait for proper confirmation before you plan your trades...
This setup is for educational purposes...
Do your own research before trading in Gold, we are not responsible for your loss...
XAUUSD:Focus on trade negotiations and CPI dataGold prices stabilized and rebounded after continuing last Friday's decline. Yesterday, they fell back to the 3,300 level before rising slowly to 3,338, where they encountered resistance and pulled back, in line with the technical consolidation rhythm.
Key Fundamental Events:
- China-US trade negotiations: The US has signaled a willingness to relax export restrictions, and the market is awaiting the outcome, which could impact risk sentiment.
- US May CPI data: Inflation changes will provide key guidance for the Federal Reserve's policy.
Technical Levels:
- Support: 3,295 and 3,285
- Resistance: 3,330 and 3,350
Trading Strategies:
- The current trend is weak but with limited downside space. Focus on buying on dips and avoid shorting aggressively.
- Consider staying on the sidelines today and waiting for clear negotiation results before entering positions to reduce volatility risks.
Risk Warning:
Escalating internal conflicts in the US (such as the Los Angeles riots) may intensify market volatility. Traders should adapt flexibly and avoid greedy chasing of orders.
XAUUSD
sell@3335-3330
tp:3310-3300
buy@3295-3300
tp:3320-3330
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold analysis – 1H FVG and OB setupPrice failed to hold at the first 1H FVG (red circle) and broke through quickly.
At the second 1H FVG (green circle), we entered a Buy position, and it’s currently running in profit ✅
Now, price is testing another 1H FVG around 3,327. If we get bullish confirmation here, upside targets are:
🔹 1H OB at 3,370
🔹 1H OB near 3,390–3,410
If price gets rejected again, watch for retracement into lower FVG zones: 3,290 and 3,250
Smart Money Concepts in play – watching PA for next move.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
Gold Buy- Go for short term buy then manage your trade
- could be just small trade then potentially go one more down
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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XAUUSD CHARTINGThis chart was made for the team to be able to follow what the market is going to do...
We're looking for a deep sell to the LH side breaking from the HL and the watch the market reverse to retest again the 3311-3319 area if we see a break of the area the market will continue to 3360 with some ranging and fluctuations.
- 3241-3278 Becareful of this holy Grail Liq Sweep... If market comes down near this area wait for 4 candle confirmation after ranging period.
XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold.
Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices
If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.
As shown in Figure 4h.
I clearly show the trend of gold prices through the split chart.
1: The ABC span forms the golden ratio, indicating that if the gold price continues to rise out of control in the future, it will rise to the range of 3700-4000.
2: The blue triangle angle is a convergent triangle in the upward trend, which is a strong triangle. The probability of bullishness next week is high, and the possibility of breaking through and returning to the range of 3450-3500 is very high.
3: We need to consider the most unlikely possibility, that is, the worst expectations and results.
If the gold price breaks through 3450 and it is a false breakthrough, there may be an expectation of a sharp decline: 3365-3330-3270.
Operation strategy:
As shown in the figure:
1: Pay attention to the 1-2 path and defend the 3-4 path.
2: Wait for low prices to find long opportunities
3: As long as the gold price is above 3400 points, only participate in the long strategy.
4: Gold price fluctuation range: 3400-3450
5: Two test pressure areas for intraday short-term short selling: 3450 and 3500
6: Strong support area: 3400--3365--3330-3270, these points can be used as support points and stop loss ranges for future attempts to go long.
XAUUSD: Analysis June 13This morning, the gold market witnessed a strong price increase after receiving two important news:
- US CPI was lower than expected, causing the USD to weaken.
- Israel continued to strike Gaza, raising concerns about escalating conflict in the Middle East.
🟨Trend: Strong increase - Break resistance
✅ Potential Buy Zone: 3410 – 3405: This is the breakout zone after the news, you can wait to buy if the price retests. SL 2399
❌ Potential Sell Zone (exit block or surfing):
✅ 3450 - 3455, SL 3461: Strong resistance, old accumulation zone (according to Bar chart, Resistance is determined at 3,455). If RSI/H1 shows overbought signal, consider taking profit or short Sell.
Gold Price Analysis June 13Yesterday's D1 candlestick increased, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong increase in price to the highest peak of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candlestick above 3395, today will still be a bullish candlestick with a large amplitude at the end of the day.
After reaching the highest peak of the month, Gold is having a downward correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction lasts until the support of 3397 to have a good BUY signal. In case you want to SELL, you must wait for a 50% test of the previous full-force downtrend H1 candle (around 3434) and the continuation of the Selling side.
If the 50% test does not appear, you must reverse to find a BUY Breakout point. Note that the False break at the peak of 3343 should wait for confirmation of the small-frame DOW wave to enter the order, which will be safer for this morning's break.
If you get a BUY order, the target will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from the Buyers, causing the price to decrease. Gold may touch the threshold before ATH 3394 and there will be a reaction.
In the opposite direction, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered the daily support zone and you can buy in this area.
All SELL signals are considered obstacles, so set a short target and a new BUY signal sets a long expectation.
XAU/USD GOLD SELL SIGNAL Entry Point: 3431🔺 USDJPY BUY TRADE SETUP 🔺
📍 Entry: 143.700
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 144.500
2️⃣ 145.500
🏁 Final Target: 146.000
📈 Bullish trend remains intact
🕵️♂️ Price bounced from support zone
🔍 Momentum confirming upward strength
🛠️ Clean entry with structured risk setup
🛑 Stop-loss placed below key support
⚖️ Risk/Reward ratio aligns with strategy
⏳ Patience required as price develops
📊 Suitable for short to mid-term outlook
💼 Always manage your risk wisely
📆 Valid as of June 13, 2025
🔔 Watch for economic news impacting USD/JPY
📌 Review setup regularly – adapt if needed
📢 Trade what you see, not what you feel
📈 Stay disciplined, trade smart!
Iran tensions rise: a setup brewing for gold and oil Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran might fuel safe-haven demand for gold.
A break above $3,403 might open the door for a test of the May high at $3,437. However, price action over the last two sessions potentially indicates that buyers are reluctant to drive spot prices above $3,400.
At the same time, analysts are suggesting that oil could climb toward $120 if Israel takes military action against Iran. “I don’t want to say it’s imminent, but it looks like something that could very well happen,” President Trump said during a White House event.
Meanwhile, cooler-than-expected US CPI and PPI prints have potentially strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates by September, with a second cut possibly following before year-end.
xauusd gold sell now entry point 3388📉 GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP ALERT 📉
🔹 Entry Point: 3388
🔹 We're initiating a SELL position on Gold
🔹 Technicals suggest downside momentum building
🎯 Target 1: 3370
🎯 Target 2: 3360
🎯 Final Target: 3350
🛑 Always respect your SL and manage your risk!
🚫 Avoid over-leveraging
💰 Capital preservation is key
🔍 Watch for price action confirmation
📊 Trade aligns with short-term bearish trend
⏱ Patience is part of the plan
🔒 Secure profits step by step
⚠️ High volatility expected – stay alert!
📉 Lower highs and pressure at resistance levels
🕒 Short-term move – intraday to 1-2 days
📈 Use proper lot sizing based on your account
💬 Trade smart – don’t chase the market
📌 Setup based on technical signals, not emotions
✅ Stick to the plan. Risk wisely.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SellSignal #ForexTrading #RiskManagement
GOLD Federal Reserve Interpretation of May CPI Data
Key CPI Figures (May 2025)
Headline CPI:
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%).
Core CPI (ex-food/energy):
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
Cooling Inflation Momentum:
The softer-than-expected MoM and core CPI prints suggest inflation is moderating, particularly in goods categories like gasoline (-2.6% MoM) and autos. Shelter inflation (3.9% YoY) also cooled slightly, a critical factor for the Fed.
Annual CPI (2.4%) remains above the Fed’s 2% target but shows progress from pandemic-era peaks.
Tariff Impact Delayed:
The data reflects limited immediate pass-through from Trump’s April tariffs, which are expected to raise prices by ~1.5% over time. The Fed will remain cautious, as tariff effects could materialize in late 2025, complicating the inflation trajectory.
Labor Market Resilience:
Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing.
Policy Implications:
Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance.
Dovish Tilt for 2025: Markets now price a ~75% chance of a September cut (up from ~55% pre-CPI). The Fed may signal openness to easing if inflation continues trending toward 2% and tariff impacts remain muted.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields to 4.12%, reflecting bets on future rate cuts.
Dollar: The DXY dipped to 98.50 but stabilized as traders weighed Fed caution against global risks.
Equities: Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallied on reduced stagflation fears.
What’s Next?
June 12 PCE Data: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge will confirm whether disinflation is broadening.
Federal Reserve Interpretation of June 12 Economic Data
Key Data Points
PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%).
Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%).
Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
1. Subdued Producer Inflation
Cooling Input Costs: Both headline and core PPI rose 0.1% MoM, below expectations, signaling muted producer-side inflation. This follows prior declines (-0.5% headline, -0.4% core), suggesting persistent disinflationary pressures in supply chains.
Implication: Weak PPI supports the Fed’s view that inflation is moderating, reducing urgency for rate hikes. However, the Fed will remain cautious about potential tariff-driven price spikes later in 2025.
2. Labor Market Softening
Rising Jobless Claims: Claims increased for the second straight week (248K vs. 242K forecast), aligning with May’s softer ADP and NFP reports. The 4-week average now sits at 243K, the highest since September 2023.
Implication: A cooling labor market supports arguments for rate cuts to avoid over-tightening, but the Fed will seek confirmation in future reports (e.g., June NFP).
3. Policy Outlook
September Rate Cut Odds: Markets now price a ~70% chance of a September cut (up from ~65% pre-data). The Fed is likely to hold rates steady in July but may signal openness to easing if disinflation broadens.
Balancing Risks: While PPI and claims data lean dovish, the Fed remains wary of premature easing given:
Sticky Services Inflation: CPI services ex-energy rose 4.1% YoY in May.
Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs could add 1.5% to inflation by late 2025.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.09%, reflecting rate-cut bets.
DXY: Dollar index dipped to 98.30, pressured by dovish Fed expectations.
Conclusion
The Fed will view today’s data as reinforcing the case for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation.
July Meeting: Likely a hold, but the Fed’s updated dot plot could hint at 2025 cuts.
Tariff Watch: Delayed price pressures from tariffs remain a wildcard, keeping the Fed data-dependent.
Summary
The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing.
#gold