bearish pattern +key levelmy trading strategy is very simple. key level + pattern. This is only my idea, so it might not be true.
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD XAU/USD refers to the exchange rate between gold (XAU) and the U.S. dollar (USD). It shows how much one ounce of gold is worth in U.S. dollars. Investors and traders often use this pair to track the price of gold in relation to the strength or weakness of the U.S. dollar. Gold is seen as a safe-haven asset, so its price tends to rise when there is economic uncertainty or a decline in the value of the dollar. On the other hand, when the dollar strengthens or global economic conditions are stable, the price of gold may decrease.
Sell GOLDLet us follow the bearish trend as well. It looks as though price has printed a bearish flag. 3250 is on the radar. Finally the yellow metal shedding some skin
Today gold forecast ' trendline analysis '
Description
Hey fellows Today gold started in gap in Bearish side as it was continueing yesterday bearish trendline it is reacting on trendlines very perfectly till now like
Let's start from 3320 gone to 3386 then bounce back again and again
Now it should also bounce back from 3306
Sell gold, target $3282Hello, traders
Gold has been wild yesterday. After hitting ATH of 3500, it went all the way down to 3367. I am expecting the serious correction to take place for a few weeks at least.
Currently it opened a gap. I am expecting the gap to be closed. I will sell from 3375, first target will be 3282.
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,329.08.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,396.74 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Has the GOLD trend reversed?Technically, gold failed to challenge the 3500 mark, and the daily chart formed a bearish pattern. It closed at 3380 yesterday, and opened lower in the Asian session and fell to 3312.6. Now it has recovered the gap of 3380.
At present, the price of the daily chart retreated to the MA7 daily moving average of 3320 and then rebounded to repair. The RSI indicator turned downward after continuous overbought and divergence. The monthly and weekly RSI indicators are both in the overbought area above the high 80 value.
The price of the short-term four-hour chart broke through the middle track of the rising channel Bollinger band at 3382, and the moving average formed a dead cross near 3420. The RSI indicator also turned downward after being overbought. The top pattern signal of gold appeared, and the price trend changed. The trading idea is to sell at a rebound high.
Yesterday, the bullish strength of gold was insufficient. The US market directly retreated more than 120＄ from the intraday high of 3500. The rise was as fierce as the fall. The recent fluctuations are relatively large. You must pay attention to risk control when trading. The market is always there and there will be no lack of opportunities. Please be cautious about the current market.
The 4-hour inverted V reversal, the gold 1-hour moving average also began to show signs of turning. The market is changing rapidly. Gold retreated 188＄ from 3500, so the bullish trend of gold is temporarily over.
The easing of gold risk aversion is the main reason for the decline. Gold opened directly at a low gap in the Asian session. Now after filling the gap, if gold cannot continue to rise, then the gold bears will continue to exert their strength. The current gap resistance of gold is at the 3383 line, but the current market is volatile. If the gap is filled, gold may still have momentum to repair in the short term, so you can pay attention to the suppression of the 3400 line. For the Asian session, gold can be sold first in the rebound resistance area.
Key points:
First support: 3356, second support: 3342, third support: 3323
First resistance: 3383, second resistance: 3400, third resistance: 3412
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3327-3330, SL: 3318, TP: 3350-3360;
Sell: 3397-3400, SL: 3412, TP: 3380-3370;
EWTSU XAUUSD H4 update - minute ((3)) developping
Elliott wave trade setup H4 update the previous wave count
minute ((3)) developping -
fib target 1.618 area 3490
macd momentum slow down
minute wave ((4)) should follow corrective
fib target 0.382/0.50 - 3294/3230
macd to zero line
ichimoku first support 3410/3350
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(SELL)trade ( XAUUSD ) SELL zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3426) to (3424) 📊
FIRST TP (3416)📊
2ND TARGET (3404) 📊
LAST TARGET (3394) 📊
STOP LOOS (3434)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Gold holds above 3400, stay long toward 3419.Gold continues its intraday slow upward trend, with price action now firmly above the psychological $3,400 level. This sustained bullish momentum suggests a potential extension toward the next technical resistance zone around $3,419.
While the $3,419 level could act as a short-term cap, the strength of the prevailing trend may limit its effectiveness. In this context, a buy-the-dip strategy remains the preferred approach, aligned with the dominant upward momentum.
Trade Recommendation:
Consider initiating long positions around $3,383–$3,384, with a protective stop below $3,375 and an upside target at $3,419. Traders should remain flexible and responsive to intraday price action, applying proper risk controls at all times.
With bulls in control, trend-following strategies continue to offer the highest probability setups. Avoid counter-trend trades in this phase of the market.
XAUUSD bullish wedge This week opened at the 3320's zone followed by a strong bullish wedge. As at the time of this publish, gold is currently at the 3380's zone and we aim to see gold at the 3400's if this bullish momentum holds .Following the analysis also, we still have potential for more bullish pumps as we are yet to hit the 50% trend channel
Further analysis would be given as the market chooses its path
Gold's Trend and Trading Strategy for Next WeekLast week, the price of gold sharply declined after hitting the resistance level of $3,500, dropping to around $3,260 at its lowest point. The weekly chart closed with a bearish inverted hammer candlestick pattern, suggesting a sharp short-term downward momentum. However, on Friday evening, the gold price rebounded near the support level of $3,260 and regained the $3,300 mark. Combining the current fundamental and news-driven analysis, gold remains in an overall upward trend:
Technical Analysis
Although the weekly inverted hammer pattern indicates selling pressure at higher levels, the rapid rebound from the bottom to reclaim the key $3,300 level signals the persistence of bullish momentum. If the short-term decline fails to effectively break below the strong support at $3,250, the gold price has the potential for a rebound.
Trading Strategy
Next week, it is recommended to adopt a bullish bias and focus on long positions. Consider entering near $3,283, with a stop-loss set below $3,260. The upper resistance levels are sequentially $3,331 (short-term resistance) and $3,370 (target after breakthrough).
Risk Warning
Be vigilant against shocks to gold prices from sudden geopolitical news or changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations, and strictly control position sizing and stop-loss levels.
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Interpretation of ideas after gold opensTechnical pattern: This week, gold closed in a "shooting star" pattern, which is a common peak signal, indicating that the price of gold may face a correction or decline.
Influence of news: This week, affected by Trump's tariffs and dismissal of Powell, gold first hit a record high of 3500 due to its safe-haven properties. Then Trump's remarks changed, and the price of gold plunged from the high point to around 3260. Overall, it ended in a volatile situation under the uncertainty of tariffs, Powell's stay and interest rate cuts. If there are no new safe-haven factors in the market news, there is room for further decline in the price of gold.
Short-term trend analysis
Four-hour level: After the safe-haven, the price of gold rebounded at the low point of 3260, but was unable to continue near 3370. It is believed that the high-level selling repair and low-level buying intervention have affected it. The opening of the gold price next week may continue to fall.
Hourly level: Since the decline in the price of gold, the rebound strength has been insufficient. It rebounded twice near 3260 below, and the overall center of gravity was downward before crossing 3380. Next week, pay attention to the 3330-3346 range to determine the nature of the rebound at the end of this week. At the same time, pay attention to whether 3260 can be broken. If there is a break, you can look down to 3221.
Operational suggestions: Overall, the overall idea for next week will continue to be bearish. Pay attention to the resistance of the 3330-3346 range on the top, and try to go short if it is touched; the initial support below is 3260, and the bearish trend can continue to 3221-3219 if it breaks.
Suggestions for being stuck at high positions: For investors who are standing guard at high positions, if they can withstand the pullback of gold prices, they can continue to hold and wait for the return of their capital; if not, it is recommended to recognize the loss and leave the market first, and then enter the market after the gold price has adjusted to the right level.
Gold Weekly Bias (April 28-May 2, 2025) Weekly Bias
Looking at how the week performed after reqching an all time high at around 3500 the price fell to close at around 3316. And that is lower that 3356 closing lower to prior week’s high. This tells me that next weeks possible target will be last week’s low (3259) or old weekly lows (3193) which happens to be a weekly fair value gap (W FVG)
Will the gold market cool down after the easing of tariffs betweIf you want to use one word to describe the performance of the global financial market in the 2025 quarter, then in addition to the roller coaster, there is another word that will be particularly applicable: "safe haven is king".
After Trump launched the tariff storm, this directly pushed the gold price to a historical high, setting the strongest quarterly performance since 1986; and the increase in tariffs led to frequent surges in gold, and after the tariffs were eased, gold also experienced a sharp correction, and this week's gold market was very lively. The price of gold is like a roller coaster ride, making countless investors love and hate it.
Quaid's analysis:
Gold is adjusted in the short term, and it is still bullish in the long term.
In the short term, the US has a high voice for trade negotiations, the market risk appetite has rebounded, and Trump has forced the Federal Reserve to slow down. The independence of the Federal Reserve has been temporarily maintained. The short-term upward trend of gold prices may be weak, and the medium- and long-term bullish trend has not changed. The price adjustment space is also limited. In the short term, it is expected that the gold price will be mainly volatile and consolidated. Continue to pay attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and Trump's policy trends.
The long-term bullish view remains unchanged; the expectation of stagflation in the United States and the increase in the probability of recession if the Federal Reserve continues not to cut interest rates are the logic of medium-term bullish gold, and the continued cycle of US dollar credit contraction is the core support for long-term bullish gold.
There is no international explosive news for the weekend, and Donald Trump has not made any radical remarks for the time being. Quaid has no operational suggestions for the time being, and can only analyze based on the market trading situation this week. I hope to help everyone understand the current market situation and long-term analysis.
Quaid will continue to pay attention to international news and Mr. President's remarks in order to bring you real-time market analysis and suggestions at any time.
Gold Analysis The recent gold rally has achieved all anticipated price targets in a remarkably short timeframe, subsequently attracting profit-taking activity. These sellers are currently dominating price action, creating what appears to be a potential head and shoulders pattern with the head at $3,500 and neckline at $3,280. Should the 4-hour candle close below this neckline, it would confirm the pattern formation, suggesting a downside target of $3,080. The RSI indicator further supports this bearish outlook, with a clear negative divergence forming over the past three days while remaining below the 50 level
SAXO:XAUUSD AMEX:GLD AMEX:IAU COMEX:GC1!
Gold INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 3227Gold prices slipped on Friday and are on track to end the week lower.
China denied any ongoing trade negotiations with the US, contradicting former President Trump's claims.
Despite this, markets are rallying on deal speculation, with traders rotating out of Gold and into equities.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3392
Resistance Level 2: 3457
Resistance Level 3: 3500
Support Level 1: 3227
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3130
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Head and Shoulder pattern XAUUSD GOLD Update | H4 Timeframe 🙌
We have been observed that in H4 Timeframe market is creating a proper Head and Shoulder pattern ❗️
We have been set our trendline which is indicated that previous h4 rejected that area and try to push himself from that point
We also set our observation area at point
If market break our trendline area then expected 3280 further 3260.00 would be last trigger point
On the otherhand if market can not break the trendline we are expecting near our Resistance area at 3348.00 ❗️
#XAUUSD
Gold prices staged a "roller coaster" market, and the trade war In the early Asian session, spot gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The gold price reached a high of US$3370.58/ounce and then fell back to around the 3350 mark for consolidation. After experiencing a sharp drop of nearly 3%, the gold price ushered in a strong rebound, with a single-day increase of 1.83%, and finally closed at US$3348.50. This wave of rebound was mainly driven by the weakness of the US dollar and the entry of market bottom-fishing funds.
The trade deadlock fell into a "Rashomon", and the rebound of the US dollar was blocked
The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. The Asian power issued a solemn statement, emphasizing that if the US side really wants to solve the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be canceled immediately. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing.
Affected by this, the US dollar index fell 0.61% to 99.29, while gold received strong support from safe-haven buying.
Quaid believes that the gap between the positions of the United States and China on trade issues is as huge as the Pacific Ocean, and this uncertainty will continue to affect the market trend. The US dollar rebounded but was blocked. Although Trump's attitude eased and it strengthened briefly in the early stage, it showed signs of fatigue again in the morning. At the same time, the US stock market achieved three consecutive positive days, and the S&P 500 index rose by 2.03%, with technology stocks leading the gains.
Quaid's analysis:
Looking forward to the later period, high-level fluctuations may become the main theme, and traders need to grasp the rhythm.
The current market presents a pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark.
Market operation strategies:
Go long on a pullback of 3335, stop loss at 3330, look at 3380
Go short after rebounding at 3380, stop loss at 3390, and look at 3330
Gold – How Important Could the Fibonacci Support Levels Be?Even by recent standards, the price action seen in Gold this week so far has been extreme. For those that may not have seen it all, here we go. Gold opened at 3331 on Monday, traded to a new all time high of 3500 on Tuesday, then dropped all the way back down to 3260 on Wednesday before recovering again to current levels around 3330. A round trip of circa 14%.
The drivers appear to be comments from President Trump and US Treasury Secretary Bessant. With President Trump seeming to challenging the independence of the Federal Reserve at the start of the week (Gold higher) and then pulling back from his most outspoken criticism on Wednesday (Gold lower). Alongside President Trump and Secretary Bessant both commenting on the potential for a de-escalation of the trade war with China on Wednesday (Gold lower), but then suggesting it may take some time to agree (Gold higher).
All of this at the same time that a potential US brokered peace detail between Ukraine and Russia may be moving a step closer to becoming a reality and you can possibly see why Gold prices have moved so much.
Right now, as traders take a pause for breath, its may be a good time to consider the charts and identify some potential support and resistance levels that may come into play into the Friday close.
Technical Update: 3292 Fibonacci 38.2% Support in Focus
Let’s be honest here, when a market is accelerating higher into new all-time high ground, as an almost ‘panic’ rush to get long of an asset is seen, it is very difficult to establish upside resistance levels that may or may not be able to hold the advance, let alone reverse it.
As technical analysts, we can only really focus on 2 things in such a condition, psychological round numbers and Fibonacci extension levels.
Therefore, it’s interesting where the recent acceleration higher in Gold stalled this week, at 3500.
Obviously, this is a round number that may have drawn traders’ interest from a psychological perspective, but this also represented a test of 3468, which is equal to the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 sell-off.
With weakness developing from 3500, this extension level held on a closing basis, from which further declines have materialised.
So, we might suggest after the recent weakness in Gold prices, that an upside resistance area has now been established between 3468/3500.
If that is the case, what might the support levels be for us to monitor to gauge if current weakness has further to carry of not?
Potential Support Levels:
The latest phase of price strength in Gold was seen between April 7th to April 22nd 2025, and calculating Fibonacci retracement on this price strength, may highlight some interesting support levels.
The latest downside move has tested, and is so far being held by support at 3292, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest strength. Traders may now be watching how this level performs on a closing basis, as confirmed breaks lower might see a more extended phase of price weakness emerge.
Much will of course depend on future market sentiment and price trends, but closing breaks below 3292 could suggest further declines to 3228, the 50% level, possibly even 3165, which is the deeper 62% retracement.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As we have already said, the latest price activity may well be suggesting the 3468/3500 range is an area that may prove to be a resistance focus. However, if the 3292 retracement support continues to hold, focus could then be on 3380, as a possible lower resistance level.
This is equal to half of the latest declines, with closing upside breaks of this resistance possibly suggesting positive themes are re-emerging, which could lead to further pressure being placed on the important 3468/3500 resistance range.
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