Get started
CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

GOLD trade ideas

Gold Market: Is the Bull Run Over or Just a Healthy Correction?OANDA:XAUUSD has been one of the most talked-about assets in recent months, demonstrating a strong uptrend before experiencing a sharp pullback. Traders and investors are now asking: Is this the end of the bull market, or is it just a healthy correction before another leg up? At FuInvest, we analyze the market from three essential perspectives: technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market psychology to provide a comprehensive view of gold’s price action and the best trading strategies moving forward. 1️⃣ Fundamental Analysis: Macro Trends Driving Gold Prices Gold's recent price movements have been heavily influenced by economic and geopolitical factors: U.S. Interest Rates & Federal Reserve Policy 🏦📉 The Fed’s monetary policy remains a key driver of gold prices. While inflation has shown signs of cooling, recent hawkish statements from the Fed suggest interest rates may remain elevated longer than expected. Higher rates generally weaken gold, as they increase the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. Global Economic Uncertainty & Recession Fears 📉🌍 Concerns over slowing economic growth in China and the Eurozone have increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, a strengthening U.S. dollar has partially offset gold’s upside potential. Geopolitical Risks & Market Sentiment 🔥⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East have led to periodic spikes in gold prices. However, without a major escalation, the market seems to be focusing more on macroeconomic trends. 2️⃣ Technical Analysis: Decoding the Price Action Daily Chart (D1) – Long-Term Trend Outlook 📊 🔹 Trend: The long-term trend remains bullish, but the recent drop signals a potential shift in momentum. 🔹 Key Support: $2,800 – A critical psychological and technical support zone. 🔹 Key Resistance: $2,900 – A break above this could signal a continuation of the uptrend. 🔹 RSI: Currently at 49.68, indicating a neutral position but approaching oversold territory. 🔹 MACD: Shows a bearish crossover, suggesting short-term downside pressure. 📌 Verdict: The broader trend is still intact, but a deeper pullback toward the $2,800 support level is possible before the next bullish move. 4-Hour Chart (H4) – Medium-Term Perspective 📉 🔹 Recent Price Action: Gold has seen a steady decline but found temporary support around $2,832. 🔹 Volume Analysis: Increased selling volume indicates strong bearish pressure, but signs of buyer accumulation are emerging. 🔹 RSI: 31.22, entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal soon. 🔹 MACD: Strongly bearish but showing signs of divergence, hinting at an upcoming bounce. 📌 Verdict: A short-term rebound is likely, but sustained upside movement requires confirmation above $2,875. 1-Hour Chart (H1) – Short-Term Trading Setup ⚡ 🔹 Current Price: $2,858 🔹 Immediate Resistance: $2,875 – Short-term traders should watch for a breakout. 🔹 Immediate Support: $2,840 – If broken, expect further declines toward $2,810. 🔹 RSI: 35.25, showing short-term oversold conditions. 🔹 MACD: Weak bearish momentum, indicating potential consolidation before the next move. 📌 Verdict: Short-term traders can look for buying opportunities near $2,840 with a stop loss below $2,820. 3️⃣ Market Psychology: How Traders Are Reacting 🤯 Fear & Greed Index: Traders are exhibiting fear, as reflected in gold’s recent sell-off. Historically, such moments create buying opportunities for smart investors. Retail vs. Institutional Sentiment: Retail traders are panicking, while institutional investors are accumulating gold near strong support levels. Liquidity Zones: High trading volumes near $2,850–$2,860 suggest this area will be a battleground for bulls and bears. 🎯 FuInvest Trading Strategy & Recommendations Based on our multi-faceted analysis, here’s the optimal trading plan: 📌 Scenario 1: Buying the Dip (Recommended Strategy) Entry: Buy near $2,840–$2,850 Stop Loss: Below $2,820 (to avoid deeper declines) Take Profit: $2,875–$2,900 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (highly favorable setup) 📌 Scenario 2: Short-Term Sell (If Breakdown Occurs) Entry: Sell if price breaks below $2,840 Stop Loss: Above $2,860 Take Profit: $2,810–$2,800 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Conclusion: What’s Next for Gold? 🔥 ✅ The long-term bullish trend remains intact, but short-term corrections are creating volatility. ✅ A potential rebound from support at $2,840–$2,850 is likely, offering a buying opportunity. ✅ A break below $2,840 could lead to further downside pressure toward $2,800. ✅ Institutional investors are eyeing key levels for accumulation, signaling possible upside momentum soon. 📣 Stay tuned to FuInvest for daily updates and strategic insights to stay ahead of the market! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fuinvest
3.3 Analysis of gold trend on Monday3.3 Analysis of gold trend on Monday Technical analysis of gold Daily level: Prices continue to fall after the big negative line, and the weekly closing is likely to continue to fall. Prices are running near the lower track of the Bollinger Bands, and the short-term moving average constitutes reverse resistance. The MACD indicator crosses downward and continues to increase, and the RSI indicator shows sufficient downward momentum. 4-hour level: The continued bearish pattern pushes the short-term moving average to extend downward, and the price runs below the lower track of the Bollinger Bands. The overall downward trend is expected to continue. Operational suggestions High-altitude thinking: Short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 2866, and the bears are expected to explore new lows below. If the bulls return to 2866 points, it will be regarded as a continuation of the shock, and the focus will be on the 2875 area. Support focus: The 2832-2830 area is regarded as the intraday decline limit. If this area is touched, short-term bulls can be tried. Mid-term long orders will be taken out first at 2843. Focus on next Monday: Short-term resistance above: 2875-2880. Short-term support below: 2832-2837.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa_King
GOLD Trend reversal, The Week Ahead 03rd March ’25The GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the loss of longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought consolidation after reaching the all-time high on 20th Feb ‘25. The key trading level is at the 2896 level, 20-day moving average and the rising support trend line zone. An oversold bounce back from the current levels and a bearish rejection at the 2896 level could target the downside support at 2790 followed by the 2770 (50 DMA) and 2743 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 2896 resistance and a daily above below that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of the 2920 level followed by 2950. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
Gold 2.28 Analysis The trend of gold at the hourly level shows a clear downward channel, and the market sentiment tends to be weak. Combined with the weak performance of the European session and the possible second decline space of the US session, the following is a more detailed strategy planning and key point analysis: 1. Current technical analysis Downward channel: The gold price has formed a new downward channel at the hourly level, and the overall trend is bearish. Key resistance level: US$2868: The top and bottom conversion position is also the short-term long-short watershed. US$2872: The middle track resistance is also the 618 Fibonacci retracement level of the intraday decline. If the price cannot stand firm on the middle track, the downward trend may continue. Key support level: US$2842-2836: The lower track support area of ​​the downward channel may become a short-term stabilization and rebound position. MACD bottom divergence: The short-term MACD has a bottom divergence signal, which may form a resonance near the lower track to support the price rebound. 2. Impact of the evening PCE data Trends before the data is released: If the price remains weak before the PCE data, the US market may continue to test the 2842-2836 US dollar area. Possible trends after the data is released: Gold bullish (pull up): If the price pulls up and pierces the middle track of 2872 US dollars, it may test the upper track of the channel near 2890-2895 US dollars. The upper track is an ideal bearish fallback position, and you can try to go high at that time, with the target looking back at the middle track or the lower track. Gold bearish (suppression): If the data suppresses gold, the price may directly fall below the 2842-2836 US dollar area, further opening up the downside space. 3. Trading strategy planning Bearish scenario (price has not stabilized the middle track): Entry point: When the price rebounds to the pressure near 2868-2872 US dollars. Target: Look down to the 2842-2836 US dollar area. Stop loss: above $2875 (above the middle track). Bullish scenario (price stabilizes at the lower track): Entry point: The price hits the $2842-2836 area and a stabilization signal appears (such as MACD bottom divergence, K-line reversal pattern). Target: Look up to around $2868-2872. Stop loss: below $2835. Wide range shock scenario (price breaks through the middle track): Entry point: When the price rises to around $2890-2895 and is under pressure. Target: Look back to around $2868-2872. Stop loss: above $2900. 4. Risk warning PCE data risk: Evening PCE data may cause drastic market fluctuations. Traders need to operate with caution and avoid heavy positions before the data is released. Stop loss setting: Whether bullish or bearish, be sure to set a reasonable stop loss to prevent unexpected market conditions from causing large losses. Position management: In the data market, it is recommended to operate with a light position and gradually increase the position after the trend becomes clear. Summary The hourly level of gold is in the downward channel, and the short-term trend is bearish. The key resistance is in the $2868-2872 area, and the support is in the $2842-2836 area. The PCE data in the evening may trigger market fluctuations. If the price rises and breaks through the middle track, it may turn into a wide range of fluctuations; if the data suppresses gold, the price may further fall. Traders need to flexibly adjust their strategies according to data results and technical signals, focusing on the performance of key support and resistance levels.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Golden_Visioner_Erin
Cup-and-Handle Success? Gold Nears Its First Major Target!In early February, JPMorgan and HSBC requested significant physical gold deliveries from COMEX, spurring a notable withdrawal of gold stocks from LBMA and shipments to COMEX vaults—this activity, coupled with market rumors of potential gold tariff adjustments and revaluation, created volatility. However, the U.S. Treasury dismissed any plans for revaluing gold, and profit-taking alongside reduced delivery notices slowed the pace of withdrawals. Technically, gold has achieved its first target following a breakout from a cup-and-handle pattern. With prices nearing $2,700, a correction and consolidation phase is likely before further upward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by bruceyam
XAU/USD 28 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks. Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS in accordance with analysis and bias dated 26 January 2025. You will note price has printed several bullish CHoCH's followed by bearish iBOS's, however, I have left them unmarked due to low volume candles printing erratically. This would in-turn distort internal structure. Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price action. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,851.115. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 1hr The 5th Elliott wave has concluded. In the 1hr timeframe the 4hr ZLSMA (Length: 32) has broken the 200 EMA and 200 SMA and the chart has pulled itself back up to the EMA and SMA and then it's broken off the 4hr ascending channel. My opinion is that it will correct until the Fibonacci 0.5 mark ($2769). Target 1: $2821 (Fibo 0.3618) Target 2: $2769 (Fibo 0.5) Stop Loss: $2921 This is not financial advice, I'm simply sharing my own analysis and opinions. Be cautious and conscious with your trades and don't take my word for it.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by HyacinthTrader
2025.02.24 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, Gold is currently in a very extreme market situation. One can imagine the development process of a black swan event as follows: - **Liquidity Tightening** → Institutions sell paper gold - **Physical Hoarding Wave** → Bank vaults are overflowing - **Futures Delivery Obstacles** → COMEX premiums rise - **Increased Risk Aversion** → Physical gold bars are out of stock - **Final Outcome**: Paper gold prices drop + physical gold premiums continue to rise! Currently, there are three major challenges looming over gold prices, facing a critical decision. **1. Dual Impact of Global Liquidity Tightening** The tsunami of U.S. debt is coming: Starting last Thursday, the U.S. is issuing $183 billion in ten-year treasuries all at once, equivalent to draining a large reservoir from the market. Banks and institutions must free up huge cash amounts to buy bonds, directly leading to less liquidity in the market. It's worth noting that at this time last year, the weekly bond issuance was around $50 billion; now it has tripled, and bond yields are likely to be pushed above 4.4%. On the other hand, there's a massive withdrawal of Japanese funds: After the USD/JPY fell below the psychological barrier of 150, it triggered a chain reaction. Over the past three months, arbitrage trades borrowing yen to buy U.S. treasuries now need to close positions worth 1.2 trillion yen (approximately $8 billion) daily. This capital is flowing back to Japan, which is equivalent to the global market losing the liquidity support of a medium-sized central bank every day. **2. Historical Lessons: Insights from the Oil Futures Incident** Event Recap: On April 20, 2020, U.S. WTI crude oil futures unprecedentedly fell to -$37 per barrel. The Bank of China's "Crude Oil Treasure" product faced a loss of 9 billion yuan for 60,000 investors due to the inability to complete physical delivery. This disaster exposed the core contradiction: when paper trading encounters bottlenecks in physical delivery, futures prices may completely detach from reality. Current Reflections on the Gold Market: 1. **Underlying Rush for Physical Gold**: The U.S. imported 2,000 tons of gold in two months (40% of global annual production), but exchange inventories only increased by 674 tons, indicating a significant amount of gold is being hoarded directly. 2. **Paper Gold Bubble Risk**: Gold ETF holdings dropped by 5%, while open futures contracts increased by 23%, showing speculative funds are trying to profit in the derivatives market without actual holdings. 3. **Rehearsal of Delivery Crisis**: If a sudden large-scale delivery demand arises, COMEX might repeat the "negative oil price" moment—paper gold plummets, while physical gold premiums soar. **3. The Ghost of Inflation Returns** Two dangerous warning signals have lit up: The raw material payment price indices from the Philadelphia and New York Federal Reserves suddenly jumped to a two-year high. This leading indicator suggests that this month's PCE price index may remain stubbornly high. It's crucial to note that the data that Fed Chair Powell cares about most is this one; if it exceeds a month-over-month increase of 0.4% for three consecutive months, the hope for a rate cut in June will essentially vanish. The Fed's awkward position: Current interest rates are nearly 2 percentage points lower than the theoretical values calculated by traditional formulas. The market is beginning to bet that if inflation data continues to soar, the Fed may not only hesitate to cut rates but could even be forced to reconsider rate hikes before the end of the year. Wait for a 4-hour confirmation signal, and look for shorting opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart. The shorting targets currently only consider the support levels at the bottom of the top consolidation, namely: TP1: 2906 TP2: 2880 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
GOLD VIEW 1H READ THE CHAPTIAN Hello 👋 gold Traders technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements: 1. Fair Value Gap (FVG Level): The purple zone represents an area of inefficiency where price may return to fill before continuing its trend. 2. Change of Character (CHOCH): Indicates a potential shift in market structure, suggesting bullish momentum. 3. Double Top (Red Arrows): Price was rejected twice at the same level, indicating possible resistance. 4. Moving Averages: 200 EMA (Blue Line at 2,901.507): Long-term trend indicator. 30 EMA (Red Line at 2,911.101): Short-term trend indicator. 5. Price Action Forecast: Price is expected to retrace into the FVG level before continuing upwards toward the target point at 2,961.779. This suggests a bullish outlook as long as price respects the FVG level as support. Would you like a more detailed breakdown Don't forget boost 🚀 and follow don't miss more good idea 💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Gold may rebound, insist on shorting at high levelsBrothers, today the lowest price of gold fell back to around 2901. As I wrote in yesterday's post, the rebound of gold is a little weak. At present, the market has not returned to the upward trend line. Therefore, the continuity of gold's rise may not be strong. The overall market still tends to short gold. We can insist on shorting at high levels. Brothers who followed my trading ideas to short yesterday must have made considerable gains. The downward channel of gold prices since the new high in the 4-hour chart has been broken upward, and the moving average system is running upward, indicating that gold prices may rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, it is necessary to grasp the rhythm of the long and short turns. From a technical perspective, the upper side of gold is still concerned about the 2915-2925 resistance area. In this area, we are still mainly shorting. The lower side pays attention to the 2900-2890 area as support. We can wait for gold to fall back to the 2900-2890 area to go long on gold. In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have reported that they are very helpful. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn more about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldKing_Allen
XAUUSD TODAY TARGETAs we mentioned a lot major support which is 92K$ is holding price from falling now for 8Th times and each time a support or resistance touch it gets weaker and soon this support will also break to the downside and below 90K$ we are looking for massive dump and fall and start of bear market for at least 2-3 months and this would be correction and rest for market and bitcoin and after that we are looking for rise and next phase pump for the market and maybe targets like 130K$ and more. So for now we are looking for correction and dump like the red arrows and for confirmation of bear market and dump major support zone should break soon. like 130K$ and more. So for now we are looking for correction and dump like the red arrows and for confirmation of bear market and dump major support zone should break soon. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like if you enjoy O Trade active . Feb 26 Green zone and major support broke as we said and price is falling. • Trade closed: target reached. Mar 1 two targets hit 92K and 78900$ and trade is closed next target now is 72K and maybe even 60K which can hit after more range near 80K$ support and breakout to the downside after range zone there. soon new updates will publish.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alixza_Fx
GOLD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and ISM Services PMI might affect the DXY (US Dollar Index) and Gold trade directional bias today: 1. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (2:15 PM) Forecast: 141,000 jobs Previous: 183,000 jobs Impact on DXY: Stronger-than-expected data: Could strengthen the DXY as it suggests a robust labor market, potentially leading to tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. Weaker-than-expected data: Might weaken the DXY if it indicates a slowdown in job creation, potentially leading to looser monetary policy expectations. Impact on Gold: Stronger-than-expected data: Could put downward pressure on gold prices as a strong labor market might lead to increased risk appetite and expectations of higher interest rates. Weaker-than-expected data: Might boost gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets in response to economic uncertainty. 2. ISM Services PMI (4:00 PM) Forecast: 52.5 Previous: 52.8 Impact on DXY: Above-forecast data: Could support the DXY by indicating a healthy services sector, which is a significant part of the U.S. economy. Below-forecast data: Might weaken the DXY if it suggests a slowdown in the services sector, potentially impacting economic growth. Impact on Gold: Above-forecast data: Could reduce demand for gold as a strong services sector might boost risk appetite and reduce the need for safe-haven assets. Below-forecast data: Might increase demand for gold as investors become cautious about economic growth. Overall Trade Directional Bias: DXY: A strong ADP report combined with a robust ISM Services PMI could support the DXY, while weaker-than-expected data in both could lead to a decline. Gold: Conversely, weaker-than-expected data in both reports could boost gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets, while strong data might reduce demand for gold. Trading Strategy: Buy DXY/Short Gold: If both reports are stronger than expected. Sell DXY/Long Gold: If both reports are weaker than expected. Neutral or Wait: If the reports are mixed or align closely with forecasts, as market reactions might be muted. CHART REPORT ; buyers broke out of ascending bullish trendline and failed to create a new high above 2920,a sustain move above 2920 will open 2947 as the next supply roof, as more pressure persist we could see 2957-2966 as final supply roof.the price movement is trapped between 2920 and 2900 awaiting clear directional bias from economic data print(ADP AND ISM) from the floor 2880-2885 is a good discount for buyers to resume buying and below 2880-2885 is 2870-2867 for buy. the market need buy liquidity to upswing, stay alert
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub