#XAUUSD[GOLD]: Massive Boost For Buyers, Incoming More Volume! Gold has been moving as expected in our previous chart. We anticipate a smooth bull market in the coming days, with a target price region of 3400$. There are three specific targets you can aim for.
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GOLD trade ideas
The situation escalates, and gold rises again.Information summary:
Israel issued a statement: The attack on Iran has been completed. All Israeli Air Force pilots and crew members who participated in the attack on Iran returned to the base unscathed.
Iran issued a statement: The attack could not have happened without the coordination and permission of the United States. The United States is responsible for the consequences of the Israeli air strikes.
The unpredictable international situation has caused the price of gold to continue to rise after retreating.
New forecast:
After a strong rebound in the 3338 shock area and forming a high point, it is currently in a clear upward channel. The recent breakthrough of the 3398.4 area indicates that the trend will continue and point to the resistance line near 3465. At present, the price is testing the trend line that broke above, which may become a springboard for the next round of rise.
Buy trigger point: rebound from near 3405, with strong trading volume.
Risk attention:
The possibility of triggering a false breakout trap near 3440.
If gold loses the 3380-point trend line, its momentum may stagnate.
Broader macro data could overtake technical support near resistance levels.
June 13, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
War has broken out between Israel and Iran, triggering a sharp surge in gold prices.
Today's strategy is to buy on pullbacks to support — this plan only changes if price breaks below 3378.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3450 – Bullish target
• 3435 – Minor long target
• 3421 – Support
• 3412 – Support
• 3405 – Support
• 3400 – Major Support
• 3392 – Support
• 3378 – Critical support (trend shift if broken)
• 3368 – Resistance
📉 Macro Strategy:
Due to the strong fundamental driver, technical indicators may lose effectiveness today.
Volatility is expected to be extremely high.
⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting.
Conservative traders may either stay out or take light long positions on support retests.
👉 If you find this helpful, a like lets me know you're interested. Thanks for the support!
The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 12:
Analysis of key factors
Influence of CPI data
The core CPI in the United States in May only increased by 0.1%, which was lower than expected, indicating that inflation slowed down, and strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut (it is now expected to cut interest rates by 77 basis points in the next year). After the data was released, gold rose to $3,360/ounce in the short term, and the US dollar index plunged, reflecting the rise in risk aversion.
However, we need to be vigilant about the subsequent market's revision of inflation expectations, especially if the Fed releases hawkish signals at the June interest rate meeting.
Key technical points
Resistance: 3360-3363 (intraday high), 3380-3382 (previous high pressure).
Support: 3300-3310 (short-term psychological barrier), 3293 (recent low).
Daily signal: The 5-day moving average crosses the 10-day moving average, but the gold price temporarily stands on the 5-day moving average, forming a price divergence, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of a high and fall.
Market sentiment
Geopolitics (trade friction, central bank gold purchases) still supports the long-term bullish logic of gold, but the short-term technical side shows that the bullish momentum is insufficient, and there is strong resistance above 3350.
Operation strategy suggestions
Short-term trading
Sell short order strategy: If the gold price rebounds to the 3365-3370 range and is blocked (especially if there is a long upper shadow or the 1-hour chart closes negative), you can short with a light position, with a target of 3330-3310 and a stop loss of 3385.
Buy long order strategy: If it pulls back to 3300-3310 and stabilizes (such as closing a cross star or a positive line rebound), you can short-term long, with a target of 3330-3350 and a stop loss of 3290.
Trend tracking
Breakthrough direction confirmation: If it effectively breaks through 3382, it may open up space to rise to 3400; if it falls below 3293, it will go down to the support of 3270-3250.
Be cautious in following orders: Currently in the range of shocks (3293-3360), avoid blindly following before breaking through the previous high/low.
Risk Warning
Event Risk: Pay attention to the results of the US Treasury auction. Weak demand may further boost gold safe-haven buying.
Technical Correction: If the daily MACD forms a bottom divergence, it may trigger a larger rebound, which needs to be judged in conjunction with the K-line pattern.
Summary: The main focus during the day is high-altitude, and short orders are entered after the key resistance level of 3365-3370 is under pressure. If it quickly breaks below 3330, positions can be increased; long orders are limited to light positions at the support level. Strictly stop loss and wait for trend-following opportunities after the range breaks.
GOLD TRADERS PAY ATTENTION! | XAUUSD 15M SUPPLY ZONE IN PLAY!Price just tapped into a key supply zone (highlighted in blue) around 3390–3395, showing early signs of potential rejection. This level has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing clear exhaustion on the recent bullish momentum.
🧠 What I'm Watching:
📌 Supply Zone: 3390–3395 — Price just entered this key resistance
📉 Targets Below:
3348: Mid-level liquidity grab zone
3310: Major demand zone + volume imbalance (orange zone)
⏳ Volume tapering as price approaches resistance — possible trap for late buyers?
📉 SELL IDEA (If rejection confirms):
Entry: Below 3388
SL: Above 3396
TP1: 3348
TP2: 3310
Bonus: Watch for a liquidity sweep and fakeout candle around 3395 before the real drop!
🧨 Important Clue:
The visible range POC is sitting just below 3390, aligning perfectly with the supply zone. This is a high-probability reversal confluence for intraday traders. 👀
🔥 TIP:
Watch for a break of structure below 3380 for extra confirmation before jumping in. Patience = precision!
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📊 Agree or Disagree? Drop your thoughts ⬇️
💬 Let’s discuss — is this another fakeout or real reversal? 💡 Follow for more setups like this!
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #Scalping #DayTrading #ReversalZone #LiquidityGrab #FrankFx
How Gold Could Be Affected by Possible Iran Conflict? Gold begins the new day on a bullish note following escalating developments in the Middle East. Yesterday, markets were focused on the US–China deal. Although an agreement was reached, tariffs but overall trade tensions remain elevated. Combined with the lower-than-expected core CPI, gold mostly moved sideways, apart from intraday noise. However, this could change in the days ahead.
US–Iran nuclear negotiations appear to be stalling. A new round of talks is scheduled for Sunday, June 15. The negative newsflow escalated with Iran’s defense minister warned that US bases in the region could be targeted if conflict breaks out. US ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate and approved the voluntary departure of military family members from the region. Simultaneously, reports surfaced that "Israel is ready to strike Iran."
The negative newsflow continued today. The International Atomic Energy Agency passed a resolution declaring Iran non-compliant with its international obligations. In retaliation, Iran announced it would build a new uranium enrichment facility at a hidden and secure location and unveiled plans for new military drills.
The timing of this escalation raises the risk of direct conflict. Netanyahu’s government is facing collapse, with the possibility of new elections looming. At the same time, Iran is nearing nuclear weapons capability. While Trump is more openly supportive of Israel than Biden, he is reluctant to involve the US in any direct or indirect conflict. This dynamic raises the chances of an Israeli strike on Iran.
Adding to the tension is the upcoming July 9 deadline for tariffs. Trump intends to send unilateral tariff agreements to trade partners with a “take it or leave it” approach. This could sharply increase trade tensions and further support gold prices.
Today's news flow is heavily bullish for gold, and the technical outlook aligns with it. The triangle formation has broken, and gold has retested the upper boundary, gaining momentum from that level. If current risk levels remain elevated, especially if multiple strikes on Iran occur, a medium-term move above 3600 could begin.
Despite the strong bullish setup, we are in a market where sentiment can shift in minutes, with major news emerging almost daily. In this environment, it's crucial to define key levels and indicators for risk management. At the moment, the 50-day EMA appears to be holding well as a support level. This moving average could be the final line that determines the medium-term direction for gold. If it breaks, the bullish outlook may no longer be valid.
XAUUSD:Go long
Gold bottled out and rebounded, hitting the lowest 3319 line, which just gave us the opportunity to leave the 3320 stop profit. Then, under the stimulation of the news surface, it did not break through the 3375 line. Then, combined with the previous ideas, the next need to do long strategy. Keep an eye on the breakout at 3375 during the day.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3353-58
TP:3375-84
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Iran hardens steel, gold rises!
📣Gold news
On Thursday (June 12, 00:00 in the Asian morning, spot gold continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,377 so far, a new high this week. The lower-than-expected US CPI data in May increased the possibility of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, and the trend of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields provided a favorable environment for gold prices. At the same time, tensions in the Middle East escalated on Wednesday, and Iran said it would attack US military bases in the Middle East if negotiations broke down. The sharp rise in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has significantly increased the safe-haven demand for gold. Although the conclusion of the US-China trade agreement has eased some market pressure, the potential impact of tariff policies on inflation still needs to be vigilant. Looking ahead, investors need to pay close attention to Thursday's PPI data and the Fed's policy trends, while keeping an eye on the situation in the Middle East. Driven by risk aversion and expectations of loose monetary policy, the gold market still has room for upside in the short term.
📣Technical side:
Yesterday's CPI data was bullish. After a brief surge, it fell back to below 3330, and then fluctuated. The rise was not strong. Late at night, Trump again called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 100 basis points. Confidence in the Iran nuclear negotiations decreased. In the next one to two weeks, he will send a letter to trading partners to set unilateral tariffs. Uncertain risks increased. Gold rose in contact with the CPI data. In the short term, the price broke through the 3348-3353 suppression. Consider going low around this position during the day, looking at the 3383-89 suppression, stop loss 3337, pay attention to risks.
💰Strategy Package
Today's trading strategy: long around 3349. Stop loss 3337, take profit 3383
Short around 3370, stop loss 3374, take profit 3350
Trend value trading is the only way for all investors to make profits. There is no shortcut, and don't be lucky. Any investor needs to go through the process of loss, capital preservation, and profit from the beginning of entering the market. The market is definitely not a long-term paradise for speculators. A successful speculation does not mean that it can be successful from beginning to end. Only stable and continuous profits can make a person successful. There must be rules here. If you don't break the rules, you won't be eliminated.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, where will the price go?
Market review
The volatile trend continued on Tuesday, with the Asian session falling under pressure, rebounding in the European session, and sweeping the $30 range in the US session.
It rose after confirming support in the morning session today, but fell back in the European session without breaking the previous low. Pay attention to whether it can continue to rise.
Key structural analysis
Weekly level
Watershed: 3295 (last week's low and this week's support), breaking it will open up downward space.
Daily level
The Bollinger band narrowed, support moved up to 3311 (MA30), and the upper rail resistance was 3403.
Relying on the lifeline to rebound for three consecutive days, the range will remain volatile in the short term.
4-hour level
The Bollinger band closed, breaking through the lifeline 3328 and turning into support. If it holds, it will look up to 3360-3365 (upper rail).
If 3328 is lost, the support of 3295-3290 will be seen.
Intraday trading strategy
Bull idea (need to hold 3328)
Target 1: 3347-3349 (near yesterday's high)
Target 2: 3360-3365 (4-hour upper rail resistance)
Stop loss: below 3328 (if it falls below, turn short)
Bear idea (if it falls below 3328)
Target 1: 3315-3318 (early low)
Target 2: 3295-3300 (weekly key support)
Key observation points
The trend of the European session determines the direction of the US session
If the European session stands above 3330 and breaks through 3340, the US session is expected to test 3360.
If the European session falls below 3328, the US session may fall to 3315 or even 3300.
Whether the 4-hour Bollinger Band is open
If it breaks through 3360 or falls below 3295, it will guide the trend direction.
(The current gold price is around 3340. Pay attention to whether the European session can continue the upward trend and adjust the strategy before the US session.)
Risk warning: The recent market is highly repetitive. Strictly stop loss to avoid large retracements caused by abnormal data or institutional changes.
XAUUSD holding rangebound 3325-3345H1 & H4 Timeframe
Gold is still on parallel channel and holding the Range area 3325-3345.
Although we took 2 buy trades at 3330 zone and 450 pips tp hit.
What possible scenario we have?
Bearish scanario:
If 3320 breaks and candle closes below then keep focus on 3280-3290 target.
Bullish scanario
if gold breaks through H1 or H4 candle closes above 3345 we will continue to buy and look at 3380.
#XAUUSD
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30M Trade Setup – June 11, 2025GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30M Trade Setup – June 11, 2025
Bias: Short (Bearish Pullback Continuation Under 3,350)
SELL SETUP
Entry:
Below 3,338 (break of minor intraday support and confirmation of bearish continuation)
Stop-Loss (SL):
3,353 (above recent local high and intraday resistance)
Take-Profit 1 (TP1):
3,320 (early week support zone)
Take-Profit 2 (TP2):
3,300 (deeper support and key structure level)
Technical Confluence
MACD:
Bullish momentum cooling after recent push
Histogram starting to flatten after short upside expansion
RSI:
Sitting at 61.22, pulling back from overbought territory
Slight bearish divergence visible with price action
Price Action:
Series of lower highs forming after sharp bounce
Recent upside capped near 3,345
Risk of further pullback increases if price breaks below 3,338
Risk Rating: Medium
Market still digesting recent move; watch for confirmation under 3,338 to avoid early entry fakeouts.
Gold Analysis – June 11Safe-haven demand increased after a U.S. appeals court upheld Trump-era tariffs, overshadowing optimism from a U.S.–China trade framework. While the agreement hinted at progress, the lack of details and looming tariff deadlines kept risk sentiment in check.
The market is now focused on today’s U.S. CPI release, expected to show sticky inflation in May. Strong inflation data could support the Fed’s stance on keeping rates elevated, which has kept the dollar firm and capped gains in metals — but for now, gold remains bid on geopolitical and inflation uncertainty.
XAUUSDXAUUSD Short Scalp Trade Setup
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently displaying strong bearish momentum, with price aggressively rejecting key resistance levels and forming lower highs on the lower timeframes. A sharp breakdown below intraday support suggests increased selling pressure, supported by bearish candlestick structure and volume. Momentum indicators confirm downside continuation, presenting a clean opportunity for a short scalp
Gold rises and then falls, short at 3330📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded again after falling to 3301, but the upper 3330-3340 line still has strong suppression on gold. Judging from the current trend, because the gold price has risen in the short term and returned to the 3325-3327 line, the short-term resistance is still 3330-3335 and it is expected to fall under pressure. Look for the 3315-3310 position. If it falls below this support, look down to the 3300-3290 line.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3315-3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold trading strategy todayGold fell to test the support near 3300 and then rose again, still in an overall consolidation range. Today's trading range focuses on 3290-3340, and the upper resistance area is 3340-3350. The trading strategy remains to short first and then go long.
xauusd sell@3330-3340
tp:3310-3300
Trading Gold with Leverage: Smart or Dangerous?XAUUSD trading (Gold vs. US Dollar) is a popular choice among global traders due to its high liquidity, strong volatility, and profit potential. One of the tools that help traders amplify their returns is financial leverage. However, using leverage also carries significant risks if not managed properly. So, what exactly is leverage in XAUUSD trading? Should you use it? Let’s explore the advantages and disadvantages below.
1. What is Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?
Leverage is a financial tool that allows traders to control a larger position in the market than the capital they actually own. For example, with 1:100 leverage, you only need $1,000 to trade a position worth $100,000.
In the XAUUSD market, brokers often offer leverage ranging from 1:50 to 1:500, or even up to 1:2000—depending on their risk policies and regulations.
2. Pros of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading
🔹 Amplifies Potential Profits
Leverage allows traders to maximize profits with a relatively small amount of capital. When the market moves in the expected direction, the gains can be multiplied significantly.
🔹 Lower Capital Requirement
Instead of needing $10,000 to trade 1 lot of gold, a trader may only need $100–$500 depending on the leverage. This lowers the entry barrier and offers greater flexibility in capital management.
🔹 Enables Strategy Diversification
With the same amount of capital, traders can open multiple positions across different timeframes or strategies. Leverage allows for broader portfolio diversification while still maintaining control over total risk.
🔹 Takes Advantage of Short-Term Opportunities
Gold markets often react strongly to news and economic data. Leverage lets traders capitalize on short-term price swings, enabling faster profits without needing to hold positions long-term.
3. Cons and Risks of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading
Risk of Account Blowout
The higher the leverage, the lower the safety margin. A small market move against the position can trigger a margin call or stop-out, resulting in a full loss of the initial capital.
Emotional and Psychological Stress
High leverage often leads traders to gamble instead of follow a strategy, increasing the likelihood of emotional decisions and impulsive trading behaviors.
Difficult to Manage During Volatility
XAUUSD is a highly volatile asset, especially during U.S. sessions or major news releases (like CPI, Fed announcements, NFP). Over-leveraging can lead to rapid losses in seconds during sudden price spikes.
Increased Emotional Pressure
When using high leverage, every small fluctuation feels significant, causing stress and encouraging poor decisions—like exiting too early or revenge trading.
4. Conclusion: Should You Use Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?
Yes, but only with a disciplined and strategic approach.
Use moderate leverage (e.g. 1:100 or lower if you're a beginner)
Always set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels
Risk no more than 2% of your account per trade
Avoid “all-in” trades and don’t let emotions dictate position size
In Summary
Leverage in XAUUSD trading is a double-edged sword. Used wisely, it accelerates your profit potential. Used recklessly, it can wipe out your account in moments. The key is to trade with discipline, knowledge, and a solid plan to harness the power of leverage without falling into its traps.
GOLD/USD expected to fall to a final target marked further down
The chart shows a harmonic pattern (possibly a Gartley or Bat pattern), labeled with the points X, A, B, C, D.
This suggests a potential reversal zone around point D.
Fibonacci ratios are visible between the segments (e.g., 0.569, 1.495, 0.656), which are typically used in harmonic trading to validate the structure.
3. Price Levels:
Current price levels are:
Sell: 3,316.766
Buy: 3,317.136
The price is located just below a resistance zone, with an apparent support zone below.
4. Support and Resistance:
Several horizontal support and resistance zones are marked on the chart.
A key support level is noted, below which the price is expected to fall to a “final target” marked further down.
5. Projection:
A projected path is drawn in black, showing potential short-term consolidation or retracement before a drop to the final target area (around 3,150.000 or lower).
6. Additional Interface Details:
The platform in use is TradingView.
The date range shown is from early April to mid-June 2025.
The final arrow indicates a bearish outlook.
Interpretation:
This chart suggests a bearish trading plan for XAU/USD based on the harmonic pattern and key price levels. The trader appears to expect a retracement followed by a significant drop, possibly targeting the area labeled as “final target.”
Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Strategy Update | June 10, 2025
Currently, the market is presenting multiple wave scenarios with nearly equal probabilities. To avoid noise and gain clarity, we are shifting our analysis to the H4 timeframe.
🔹 Key Price Zone
As highlighted in yesterday’s update, the 3340 level remains a critical resistance. Price failed to break above this level and has since pulled back to 3307.
🔹 Momentum & Volume Profile
- H4 Momentum: Just one more H4 candle and the momentum indicator will likely enter the oversold zone, suggesting that the bearish momentum is weakening.
- Volume Profile: Price is clearly reacting at the green POC zone, with no signs of a breakdown yet.
🧩 Two Main Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Wave 5 Continues Lower
Price is potentially forming wave 5, with:
🎯 Target 1: 3290
🎯 Target 2: 3279
✅ Confirmation: Break below 3294
⚠️ Note: This is the most obvious scenario, and in trading, what’s most obvious often requires the most caution.
Scenario 2: Correction Completed – Wave 3 Uptrend Forming
- The black ABC correction has likely completed.
- The recent upward move could be wave 1; the current pullback is wave 2.
- Wave 3 is expected next.
✅ Necessary Condition: Price breaks above 3340
✅ Sufficient Condition: Price breaks the top of wave b (black)
➡️ For this scenario, limit orders may not be effective — real-time confirmation will be required.
📉 Momentum Overview:
- D1 Timeframe: Approaching oversold territory — likely to see a recovery over the next 5–7 daily candles.
- H4 Timeframe: Also nearing oversold — an intraday bounce is expected today.
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Zone 1:
Entry: 3292 – 3289
Stop Loss: 3282
TP1: 3306
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
🔵 Buy Zone 2:
Entry: 3281 – 3279
Stop Loss: 3271
TP1: 3307
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375