GOLD Weekly Levels Update for April 28 - May 2 2025in mentioned chart you can the see the levels for the upcoming
Trade wisely and place SL's accordingly
GOLD trade ideas
Interpretation of 4.25 Gold Short-term Operation IdeasFrom the technical analysis of the hourly market, yesterday's low was at $3,306, and the rebound just now showed an obvious stop signal at this position. Based on this, the current short-term suppression level can refer to $3,315, and the higher level is $3,328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3,315 to arrange short orders and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3,287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3,260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3,260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline.
XAUMO | Tactical Market Report – Friday, April 25, 2025
Overall Market Outlook:
The market is currently moving in a clear distribution zone, between 3,337 and 3,346.
There’s strong evidence of a bull trap near the 3,346 high.
Price is failing to stay above the VWAP, and we’re seeing overlapping signals between the HMA5 and EMA21.
A close below 3,329.00 would be a major reversal signal, possibly kicking off a wide downward move.
Session-Based Behavior (Cairo Time):
1. London Session (10:00 AM – 1:00 PM):
Expected Behavior: Fake breakout to attract buyers
Tactics:
Watch for fast moves into the 3,337–3,345 zone
Sell if rejection candles appear (Shooting Star / Bearish Engulfing)
Confirm with divergence or internal support break on the 15-min chart
2. Pre-New York (1:00 PM – 3:00 PM):
Expected Behavior: Tight consolidation and position building
Tactics:
Monitor price around 3,320–3,329
If price stays below VWAP, stick with short positions
Don’t go long unless there’s a real breakout with strong volume + RSI confirmation
3. New York Open (3:30 PM – 4:30 PM):
Expected Behavior: Initial fake move followed by strong momentum
Tactics:
Sell after a break below 3,306 + retest
RSI dropping below 40 = strong bearish momentum confirmation
4. New York Continuation (After 4:30 PM):
Expected Behavior: Continuation in the dominant direction
Tactics:
If price stays under 3,306.50 → continue selling
Use a trailing take profit and adjust based on price movement
Trading Scenarios:
Main Bearish Scenario (Primary Setup):
Entry Options:
Sell Limit at 3,329
Sell Stop at 3,306
Stop Loss Levels:
SL1: 3,341.12
SL2 (Trailing): 3,345.35
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,294
TP2: 3,278
TP3: 3,255.74
TP4: 3,226.88
TP5: 3,198.01
Confidence Level: 85%
Why This Trade?
Failed breakout
Clear distribution signals on the chart
Confirmed bull trap above 3,342.82
Alternative Bullish Reversal Scenario (Low Probability):
Entry: Buy Stop at 3,346
Stop Loss: SL at 3,337
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,355
TP2: 3,367.45
Confidence Level: 50%
Conditions Needed:
Ichimoku Cloud breakout
EMA21, EMA8, and HMA5 aligning upward
Bullish RSI divergence + MACD crossover
Structural Outlook (10:00 AM):
Moving Average Cluster (HMA5 + EMA21): 3,307 – 3,310
Institutional Resistance Zone: 3,337 – 3,346
Confirmed Traps:
Bull Traps at 3,342.82 and 3,338.70
Volume Profile:
VWAP = Rejected
VPOC shifted toward 3,294
Large selling volume: 246.69K
=========
Key Economic Events Today (Cairo Time):
4:00 PM – Final US Consumer Confidence (April):
Strong reading = Bullish for USD = Bearish for Gold
Weak reading = Bearish for USD = Bullish for Gold
Evening – US Oil Rig Count:
Increase = Rising inflation expectations → indirect support for Gold
No change = Minor short-term impact
========
XAUMO | Bullish Tactical Plan
Bullish Idea Summary:
Even though the market is under heavy selling pressure, there’s still a chance for a bullish counter move if these technical reversal signals show up:
Reversal candles like a Hammer or Bullish Engulfing near 3,294–3,286 support
A solid breakout above the Ichimoku Cloud at 3,346
Bullish RSI Divergence + MACD Crossover
Conditions for Bullish Activation:
Price must break and hold above 3,346 with rising volume
HMA5, EMA8, and EMA21 must cross upward on both 15-min and 1-hour charts
Must see strong momentum + BBMA reversal confirmation
Buy Scenario Details:
Entry: Buy Stop at 3,346.20
Stop Loss:
SL1: 3,337
SL2 (Trailing): 3,333.15
Targets:
TP1: 3,355.00
TP2: 3,367.45 (weekly high)
TP3: 3,385.00 (Institutional exit zone via BBU)
Confidence Level: 50–60%
Why the caution? Previous breakouts in this range have failed repeatedly.
Final Note:
“Below 3,306, price gets crushed. Above 3,346 is just a distribution trap.
Buying without a real breakout? That’s tactical suicide.
Read the chart, not your wishes.”
Conclusion:
If the bullish scenario plays out today, Friday April 25, 2025, the market may be heading into a short-term rally fueled by temporary momentum after a sharp pullback.
The key to this move is a strong and confirmed breakout above the 3,346 resistance zone. As of now, price is still hesitating below that level, which signals ongoing distribution—or maybe preparation for a breakout.
To confirm the setup, you’ll need:
a clean close above 3,346
upward crossover of HMA5, EMA8, and EMA21 on the 15m and 1h
RSI crossing 55 and MACD flipping positive
Only then does the Buy Stop at 3,346.20 become a serious play, with stops placed smartly at 3,337 and a trailing stop at 3,333.15 to avoid fakeouts.
Initial targets are 3,355, then 3,367.45, and finally 3,385 as the stretch goal—an institutional area where profit-taking is likely.
Still, with confidence only around 50–60%, this trade needs clear technical confirmation before execution.
If the market drops back below 3,329, the bearish plan remains the default.
The price decides. We just stay ready.
Analysis of XAU/USD for the coming days, based on daily chartAnalysis of XAU/USD for the coming days, based on daily chart and recent market information.
Technical Analysis
Trend & Patterns
Since late December 2024, gold has been in a strong uptrend, breaking out of the descending channel that formed in December–January. Recently we’ve seen a brief consolidation around the $3,300–$3,400 zone after peaking near $3,500.
Indicators
The RSI sits just above 50, pointing to continued bullish momentum. The MACD lines remain positive, though they’re approaching a potential turning phase.
Support & Resistance
Resistance: $3,400 (recent daily highs), then $3,500 (all-time high).
Support: $3,300 (current consolidation floor), followed by $3,250 and $3,100 as deeper support levels.
Short-term Outlook
Gold is likely to trade sideways between $3,300–$3,400, with dips offering buying opportunities. A decisive break above $3,400 would open the door to retests near $3,450–$3,500. If XAU/USD falls below $3,300, it could quickly slide toward $3,250–$3,100.
Fundamental Catalysts
Safe-haven demand from geopolitical and trade tensions continues to underpin gold prices.
Fed policy: the odds of a rate cut before summer remain low, as Fed officials emphasize patience. That limits downward pressure on the dollar (and thus supports gold).
Macro agenda:
May 2: US Non-Farm Payrolls
May 7: Fed meeting & Powell remarks
May 13: CPI report vs. rate guidance
These releases could trigger significant intraday volatility.
Conclusion & Near-term Outlook
Given the technical bullish bias and upcoming US data, I expect over the next few days:
Consolidation: $3,300–$3,400
Bullish scenario: recovery above $3,400 leads to retests of $3,450–$3,500
Bearish scenario: a break below $3,300 triggers a swift drop toward $3,250–$3,100
Stay alert around the NFP, Fed, and CPI releases—they’ll drive the near-term direction.
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart GANNYesterday we went slightly higher, but we failed to push through. Today, the 3 hourly chart is starting to show negative influence, and I feel we have now greater chance to see $ 3,235 area in coming sessions.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,310-3,350 and take profit near $ 3,247 for now.
Spot Gold Retreats After Early Rally, Holds Above $3,300 Amid CaSpot gold surged in early trading before pulling back, hitting a high of $3,370.58 before retreating to fluctuate around $3,350. After a 3% single-day plunge on Wednesday, the metal rebounded 1.83% on Thursday to close at $3,348.50/oz, driven by a weaker dollar and bargain-hunting demand.
The price is now firmly above the $3,300 threshold, with cautious optimism prevailing in the market. U.S. Treasury Secretary warnings about prolonged trade tensions continue to bolster safe-haven demand, while growing bets on a Fed rate cut in June provide fundamental support.
Technically, the daily chart shows an uptrend, with prices holding above the MA55 and MA14 averages. The RSI (64.37) nears overbought territory but remains moderate, while the MACD golden cross signals sustained bullish momentum. On the 4-hour chart, gold has stabilized above $3,300, with narrowing MACD histograms hinting at the end of a correction and potential short-term bottoming.
Key Levels:
Resistance: A break above $3,380–3,385 could pave the way for $3,390 and a retest of $3,400+.
Support: A drop below $3,300 may trigger a retreat toward $3,260.
Outlook: While gold may consolidate in the near term, medium-to-long-term momentum remains bullish.
Trading Suggestion:
Buy on dips near $3,340–3,345, stop loss at $3,332, target $3,378.
Strict risk control advised due to high volatility.
(Note: All prices in USD/oz unless specified.)
GOLD Had Strong Rejection needs to fall Gold will get our Long-term resistance zone 3500 so what's will next Target.
Analysis from Mr Martin Date 22 April Tuesday 2025
i will find Price has strong rejection will formed 3500 now p [rice will fall more fallowing the 1Day candle see and check price will drop more in this week this kind of price action may not be sustainable so we should be cautions about potential downward Correction.
Ps Support with like and comments for motivating to Share analysis to with you.
XAUUSD: Trading in a range, wait patiently for key points From a 4-hour chart analysis, today's support level below is expected to be near 3,310-3,315, while the short-term resistance level above is near 3,340-3,350. Special attention should be paid to the suppression at the 3,380-3,390 level. Overall, the market is expected to maintain a wide trading range within these levels, with both long and short positions viable. Traders are advised to exercise caution at intermediate levels: avoid excessive trading or chasing orders, and wait patiently for key levels to enter the market.👉👉👉
XAUUSD trading strategy
sell @ 3343-3348
sl 3360
tp 3325
If you want to learn more about trading insights, you can visit my homepage to check the content you're interested in.👉👉👉
Potential HSNot confirmed yet but I'm jumping in anyways. I bought some puts of GLD for May 23 strike 304. My SL triggers if the price breaks up the resistance shown and closes above in the daily timeframe. Might be some turbulence, bulls will try to push the price higher. too much noise in the political arena, but Gold is overbought and needs a healthy correction.
Gold surged and then fell back to fluctuate, pay attention to 33
The first goal of trading is survival, and the second is profit.
📌 Driving events
After experiencing the biggest drop in five months, gold prices rose on Thursday (April 24) and returned to above the 3300 mark.
After US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced and expressed no intention to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market's risk aversion has cooled down. Gold hit a high of $3,367 during the Asian trading session, which can be regarded as ice and fire!
📊Comment analysis
For participants in the gold market, the impact of this price plunge is self-evident. The stock prices of gold mining companies have fallen accordingly, and the production capacity that expanded in the early stage due to the rise in gold prices may face the risk of shrinking profits.
At present, gold is under obvious pressure from above, and what needs to be paid attention to now is that the current round of gold adjustments is likely to continue, which means that it is not time to buy the bottom yet!
💰Strategy Package
Except for the early morning wave, the strength of the hourly line rebound is actually somewhat weak. As for the European session, Labaron is more inclined to continue to be bearish, and the current first round of rebound pressure is around 3350! If the rebound is in place, you can continue to try short orders!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Volume Gap at 3300-3290Currently market plays Accumulation zone between 3326-3335 area.
What we have If we got closing above 3335-3337 then market will again carry the Rising wedge channel upto 3380.
On the other hand, once candle closes below 3326-3320 we'll see the the area which we called (volume imbalance or opening gap) will be covered.
Additionally: I'm holding the sell trade and expecting the drop first then long .
Although above 3335-3338 closing I will shift my trades.
Today's we have alot high impact news coming, technical sentiments will effect.
Is gold about to peak? Is the bull market still there?In fact, it is normal for a strong bull market to have a rapid washout. The logic of the bull market is not Trump's call to Powell. Trump's tricky operation is only a plus for the rise of gold, not a must. The logic of the rise of gold is that the repayment ability of US debt is questioned and the hegemony of the US dollar is challenged. The fact of the long-term fiscal deficit of the United States and the visible growth of US debt are the real driving forces.
As the International Labor Day is approaching, the bulls in the Asian market often choose to leave or reduce their positions in order to reduce warehouse interest and realize profits, which will cause a phased downward adjustment. In other words, from the perspective of the future, the underlying logic of the bull market has not changed. Holders of physical gold do not need to worry too much. They are optimistic about the strong bull market of gold in the future. The decline is often an opportunity to get on the train again. In the past, they waited for adjustments, and after adjustments, they were afraid that the bull would be gone, which made them worried about gains and losses.
Technical analysis:
The current gold price is in a stalemate stage of long-short game. On the one hand, the path of the Fed's easing policy has been basically clear, and the US dollar is facing correction pressure; on the other hand, the stable global risk sentiment and the strong performance of the stock market have weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven tool. The repeated signals of global trade negotiations have also made the market direction unclear. From a technical point of view, gold has received support after the correction to the 26.3% Fibonacci retracement level near 3317 this week, and has returned to above $3,300 in the short term. The upper resistance focuses on the position of 3360. Once it breaks through, it will open up the space leading to the 3400 mark.
Quide Strategy Analysis:
After the early Asian market rose, it fell back and fell below the support levels of 3351 and 3330 analysis. Now the market rebounded near 3325, which is also in line with the trend of pulling back and forth. In the big trend, the gold rally did not exceed 3380, so there is still downward demand, that is to say, it can only be regarded as a rebound on the way down. In the short term, this wave of gains stopped at 3367. Now it broke through 3351 and pierced 3316 to rebound. The main focus on the upper side is the support-to-resistance level of 3350.
With 3350 as the protection, go short to see the gold price break through 3314. If it breaks down effectively, it can move down to see the turning point of the rebound between 3283 and 3260. On the whole, in terms of the short-term operation strategy of gold, Quide recommends rebound shorting as the main strategy and callback longing as the auxiliary strategy. The upper short-term focus is on the 3360-3370 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3310-3300 line of support.
Market trading signals are fleeting. Market trading signals are fleeting, and Quaid hopes that traders will seize every trading opportunity and become ace traders in the gold market.
Gold ShortI am looking to Short Gold. and I will target the Gap that was formed during the Asia session. We join the Market at the current rate
Gold Market Sweeps 3261, Eyes 3400 NextAfter mitigating the recent high at 3500, gold made a decisive weekly imbalance sweep through 3261. With bullish momentum regaining control, the next projected target stands at 3400 as the market aligns with its upward trajectory. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
BUYS FOR HOLDSRecently price came down and tapped into an old Daily FVG. Yesterday's candle closed above the FVG signifying no interest to continue lower.
Today I was looking for long set ups and this is the outcome.
There's a probability that price will bounce back after retracing to that discount level where we have the FVG + OB and a confluence of iFVG with other lower TF confluences.
Let's see how price will play this out.
Safe trading guys.
XAU/USD Price Action Update – April 24, 2025📊XAU/USD Price Action Update – April 24, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,319.80
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Supply Zones (Resistance):
🔴3378–3386 – Major Supply Zone (HTF rejection expected)
🔴Short-Term Rejection Blocks near 3,341.86 and 3,328.38
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢3306.84–3316.29 – Strong Demand Zone (recent bullish reaction)
🟢H1 RBS near 3,226 – Higher Timeframe Bullish Origin
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price recently reacted from the 3306 demand zone and is forming a higher low. A break above minor supply (3,328–3,341) could lead to a retest of the 3378–3386 area. Ideal bullish setup: price holds above 3,306 and forms BOS on the lower timeframe.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If price fails to break above the 3,328 zone and starts rejecting, expect a retest of 3,306. Below that, further downside toward the RBS zone at 3,226 is possible. Watch for signs of supply absorption or rejection candles.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Watch for CHoCH or BOS at 3,328
✅Enter on retest of demand with confirmation
✅Avoid FOMO – wait for confirmation before entry
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #FXF #fxforever #BreakOfStructure #LiquidityZones #IntradaySetups #MarketUpdate
24/4/2025 Gold structure formed.24/4/2025
Gold structure formed.
In the biggest time frame like weekly and daily trend is still strong bullish. However current trend is bearish due to the strong rejection from 3500 to 3260.
From which today gold has seen respecting 3260 start to gave a sign of the continuation to climb back up to test again 3500.
Current resistance is 3367. And the current cmp support stand at 3267-3277.
Today is a good potential to scalp buys and sells in either support or resistances.
With cloned trendline placed we can witness a bullish flag pattern also forming. However its too early to say and its just an assumptioned.
To sell at the market its seems to be a little high risk so a slightly higher postion seem safer like 3410 where the broke of support to 3500 breaks and strong push down ever since.
To buy of current smaller timeframe seems safer and with a continuation of fresh breakout pullback in M15 or M30 however avoid buying near resistance.
Gold buy trade Gold buying from supply zone support sl below the zone . Target XI zone. If sl hits will sell in break down of supply zone target demand zone .
XAU/USD(20250424) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3311
Support and resistance levels:
3436
3389
3359
3263
3233
3186
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3311, consider buying, the first target price is 3359
If the price breaks through 3263, consider selling, the first target price is 3233
Shorting GoldTaking a short position on gold , targeting the previous HTF support
1:1:5 RR using strict risk management
Gold Traders Pay AttentionA Major Buying Opportunity is Emerging for GOLD ( XAUUSD )
In this analysis, we highlight an upcoming potential buy zone on GOLD ( XAUUSD ) that could present a significant trading setup. We’ll break down recent price action, key support zones, and technical signals that traders should keep on their radar.
Whether you're focused on intraday strategies or swing trading, these insights can help you position effectively for the next major move.
Don't miss out—watch the full breakdown for complete details.
Share your GOLD trade strategy in the comments below.
$XAUUSD - An Ending Diagonal Pattern..Potential Peak in place following a completed five-wave advance with an ending diagonal in the fifth-wave position. The uptrend has indeed entered its mature stage.
