GOLD LONG🔥 XAUUSD TRADING PLAN – 4H/15M Confluence-Based Setup (as of June 9, 2025)
🧠 Bias: STRONGLY BULLISH (while above $3,290)
🔍 TRADE OVERVIEW
Item
Detail
Pair
XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframes
4H (macro bias), 15M (entry precision)
Entry Style
Scale-in with confirmation from lower TF
Risk Type
Aggressive with tight SL
Target
$3,500 (ATH)
Stop Loss
Initial SL: $3,288 (tight), invalidation SL: $3,280
RR Ratio
1:4+ minimum
✅ ENTRY ZONES (with reasons and confluences):
🔹 Zone 1: $3,294 – $3,308 (LIVE price area)
🔁 Type: Immediate entry on confirmation (15M bullish structure)
📌 Reasons:
✅ 4H Key Support from previous horizontal base.
✅ 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of major bullish leg.
✅ Demand Zone tapped twice on 4H and 15M.
✅ Bullish Rejection Candles forming in both TFs.
✅ Break and Retest of descending wedge/channel on 15M.
✅ Touch of ascending trendline on 4H — trend still active.
🎯 Entry: Execute small size position now around $3,298–$3,306
📍 SL: $3,288 (below trendline wick trap + structure)
📍 TP1: $3,336
📍 TP2: $3,375
📍 TP3: $3,420
📍 TP4: $3,500
🔹 Zone 2: $3,266 – $3,280 (Deeper pullback entry)
🔁 Type: Scale-in/add-on (limit order)
📌 Reasons:
✅ 50%–61.8% Fibonacci Zone (mean reversion level).
✅ 4H Trendline Deviation Trap Zone (fake-out potential).
✅ Liquidity Sweep Zone below current support = classic entry trap.
✅ Reversal candlesticks expected on 15M here if tested.
🎯 Entry: Set limit orders at $3,274 ±3
📍 SL: $3,258
📍 TP: Same levels — ride toward ATH with scaling logic
🧱 TRADE MANAGEMENT – SCALING STRATEGY
Position
Entry Zone
SL
Risk %
TP1
TP2
TP3
TP4
Entry #1
$3,298–$3,306
$3,288
0.5%
$3,336
$3,375
$3,420
$3,500
Entry #2
$3,266–$3,274
$3,258
0.75%
$3,336
$3,375
$3,420
$3,500
Entry #3 (Optional Pullback Buy)
$3,230
$3,218
0.5%
$3,294
$3,336
$3,420
$3,500
💡 Total Risk: ~1.75% with staggered entries
📈 Scaling Out: Partial profit on each target, trailing SL above structure post TP2
🔁 LIVE MONITORING SIGNALS
If you see this...
Then do this...
Bullish engulfing on 15M in Zone 1
Enter with tight SL
Breakout above $3,320
Move SL to BE
Retest of $3,294 with strong rejection
Re-enter/add-on
Clean break down below $3,280
Close position; wait for $3,230
📉 INVALIDATION CONDITIONS
Clean 4H close below $3,280 AND break of trendline support
Break of 61.8% zone ($3,266) without reversal pattern
Sudden fundamental shock (e.g. CPI/NFP ruining trend)
🏁 FINAL TARGET PATH
✅ $3,336 – intraday resistance
✅ $3,375 – minor swing high
🔜 $3,420 – clean breakout zone
🏁 $3,500 ATH – Final TP target, psychological + technical milestone
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD Weekend ForecastingKey Concepts on the Chart
Market Sessions Highlighted (Tokyo):
• Grey boxes represent the Tokyo trading session, a time often used to identify liquidity and manipulation zones.
• These zones are often swept during the London or New York sessions.
Structure Points with Red Dots:
• These indicate significant swing highs and lows, used to define market structure and changes in trend.
BOS (Break of Structure):
• Marked around the middle of the chart.
• Indicates that price broke below a previous low, shifting from bullish to bearish structure.
MSS (Market Structure Shift):
• Located before the BOS.
• Signifies an early warning that the bullish structure was weakening.
Liquidity Zones ($$$$):
• These areas mark liquidity pools, where many stop-losses or pending orders are likely resting.
• The market often targets these zones before reversing.
6. Price Action Forecast (Right side of the chart):
• Current price is at a liquidity sweep low (~3309.980).
• Forecast shows a potential bullish reversal from this liquidity grab zone.
• Price is projected to rally back into the gray supply zone (~3340–3345) for a possible mitigation.
• Then, it may retrace before pushing higher to take out the “Asia High” (~3375).
Bullish Bias Justification
• Liquidity Grab at the recent low could fuel a reversal.
• Previous supply zones may act as mitigation points for a retracement.
• Targeting the Asian session high fits a typical smart money play: grab liquidity below, then reverse and run buy-side liquidity.
Overall Interpretation
• The analyst expects a bullish move after the liquidity sweep at the lows.
• A classic smart money reversal setup is forming: BOS → retracement → liquidity sweep → reversal targeting equal highs/liquidity above.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East continue to escalate, with intense clashes between Israel and Iran driving gold prices higher. However, Federal Reserve officials have recently sent frequent hawkish signals, emphasizing the need to maintain interest rates to control inflation and downplaying expectations of rate cuts. Additionally, U.S. trade agreements with multiple nations are gradually being finalized, which could potentially provide bearish momentum for gold at any time. Overall, gold is trending to rise first and then fall.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows gold steadily advancing within an ascending channel, with strong bullish momentum. Resistance is near 3,450, while support currently stands at 3,400. However, it is important to note that after a short-term rapid rally, prices may need a pullback for correction.
Trading Recommendations:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 3,400–3,410, targeting 3,450; if this level is broken, extend the target to 3,470–3,475. If prices face resistance near 3,450 during upward attempts, consider light short positions.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3400-3410
TP:3450-3470
sell@3460-3450
TP:3420-3400
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Gold price is sure to make ATH in the new weekGold confirms a long-term uptrend. The ATH 3500 zone is likely to have a reaction before 3490.
Any pullback in Gold next week is still considered a good opportunity to Buy Gold. And the bullish price gap is likely to continue on Monday.
3495 and 3345 are accumulated with many people waiting to Buy there, setting up a Buy signal with SL 10 price at the weekly support and resistance zones.
The possibility of breaking ATH next week is very high
Support 3393-3345
Resistance 3490
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,431.19 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,422.53.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Buy 3424, close during Asia open on Monday.This is a fundamentally based idea. I´m expecting GOLD will gap during weekend, diue to possible Iran "retaliation" atack during weekend(this night). The most likely target is 3500-3520. You can open your position now at 3424. Very important, you HAVE TO, control your position during Asia open on Monday and do not be greedy. Expecting very sharp pullback (do not trade it). Control your size, take it as educational idea with very small size. Wishing you good luck.
I´m not a signal service. If you want to trade signals, please contact one of the signalist commenting this idea, help them finance their life from signal services. I do not do this service. My suggestion is rely on your own trading decisions, not somebody else. You will save a lot of money.
XAUUSD:Go long, go long
"Israel announced a strike on Iran" broke out the news, gold and crude oil in the Asian session soared. Again help us recently do long ideas, too late to explain so much, the follow-up trading ideas are still long after the pullback.
After 3403 broke through has been converted into strong support, short - term to 3415-20 to do more.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3415-20
TP:3440-50
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
6/13 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold rallied to around $3399 during yesterday’s session, accurately reaching our preset sell zone at 3385–3403. Since then, the market has started pulling back, and today’s opening shows signs of accelerated downside movement. However, there are several strong support zones below, with immediate focus on 3378–3368, and further support around 3352–3343.
📉 Technical Outlook:
The current price action suggests the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern. If confirmed, this could trigger a deeper correction towards 3340–3330. A break of these levels would significantly weaken the current bullish structure and open further downside risk.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers:
Today’s inflation-related data releases may add significant volatility;
Additionally, stay alert to any developments in the Middle East geopolitical situation, which could quickly shift market sentiment toward risk-off if escalations occur.
📌 Today’s Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3410–3420
✅ Buy Zone: 3338–3326
🔄 Intraday Key Reaction Levels:
3403 / 3378 / 3362 / 3355 / 3343
🔒 Recommendation: Market is at a technically sensitive zone. Consider entering positions in batches and maintain strict risk control.
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way!
Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600
Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor .
Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment
.
📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge.
🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
Room for Further Strength as Price Approaches ResistanceOn the 1-hour timeframe, I estimate that XAUUSD is currently forming wave c of wave b of wave (a). This implies that XAUUSD still has the potential to strengthen, testing the 3379 level and possibly retesting the resistance area at 3403. However, caution is warranted going forward, as this outlook reflects the bearish scenario for XAUUSD.
Gold (XAU/USD) Chart Analysis fFrom an RTM perspective, the gold chart is in a phase of order accumulation and redistribution. The existing evidence favors sellers in the short to medium term. The price is expected to move towards the demand zone around $3,170 for a retest. Traders should carefully monitor the price action at the top and bottom of this trading range to make more informed trading decisions.
xau bias ideaexpecting this sweep below and then a higher move towards the marked highs after the cpi as dxy keeps moving towards the ssl. This is to be noted that after nfp we didnt see the breakout of consolidation probably due to the recent trade talks with china. Despite the fundamental uncertainty technical bias remains somewhat clear.
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview
This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements.
Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis
We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top.
Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios:
1 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,950
Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support
Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum
2 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,650
Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle
Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area
Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend.
Bullish Continuation Targets
TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension)
These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles.
Supporting Technicals
RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum
MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe
Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave
Macro Fundamentals & Correlations
Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold
Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold
DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold
Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD
Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum.
Scenario Interactions:
If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050.
If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold.
Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion.
Scenario Interactions:
If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite.
If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets.
A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity.
These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario.
In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance.
From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey.
Conclusion
We present a multi-phased path for gold where:
An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak
A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers
A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond
This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.