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XAUUSD what's going on? sittuation for 17/07/2025🔹 Current Price Action (M30 & H1): Price is stuck in a tight range between 3335–3345. Volume is dropping — showing no strong pressure from either buyers or sellers. %R indicator is in the oversold zone (below -80), but there’s no sharp bounce yet. On H1, there's a weak attempt to recover — small candles with upper wicks = uncertain growth or selling pressure at highs. 🔍 Possible Scenarios for Today: ✅ Scenario #1: Fake Breakout Down, Then Reversal Up If price holds above 3329–3331 and we see a strong bullish candle with volume, it might be worth trying a long. 🎯 Targets: 3348, then 3355 🛑 Stop-loss: below 3328 ⛔ Scenario #2: Break Below 3328, Move Lower If M30 or H1 closes confidently below 3328, that could signal a drop towards 3315–3305. Look to short on the retest of the broken level. 🎯 Targets: 3316, then 3306 📌 Priority Right Now: We're in balance — no clear bias. But if we break and hold below 3328, shorts become more attractive. If price breaks and holds above 3345, that opens up upside potential.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlgoTrader_Sergey
Gold - BUYS and SELL - did you make money with us?🟩 TRADE RECAP: GOLD (XAUUSD) — ELFIEDT RSI + REVERSION Timeframe: 15-minute Indicator Used: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Date: July 15–16 Market: Gold (XAUUSD) ⸻ 🟢 TRADE 1 – LONG SETUP (“UP” Signal) 📍 Location: Left side of chart (July 15, ~18:00) 🟢 Label: “UP” 🟦 Blue Entry Box: Bullish Reversion Zone 🟥 Red SL Box: Risk-defined stop zone below the signal bar ✅ Why This Trade Was Taken: • 📉 Price sharply sold off into extreme oversold conditions. • 📊 RSI with Standard Deviation Reversion: The RSI value pierced below the 3-standard-deviation envelope, triggering a BUY signal. • 🟢 “UP” label was automatically printed by the ELFIEDT indicator. • 🧠 System confirms that price is statistically stretched below mean, ideal for mean-reversion trades. • 📈 Entry was executed immediately at the close of the signal bar. • 🛡️ Stop loss was placed below the signal bar’s low, as per system rules. 🎯 Outcome: • Price reversed strongly back toward the mean. • Trade moved cleanly in favor, validating the signal and model. ⸻ 🔴 TRADE 2 – SHORT SETUP (“DOWN” Signal) 📍 Location: Right side of chart (July 16, ~18:00) 🔴 Label: “DOWN” 🟦 Blue Entry Box: Bearish Reversion Zone 🟥 Red SL Box: Risk-defined stop zone above signal bar ✅ Why This Trade Was Taken: • 📈 Sharp bullish spike pushed price far above equilibrium. • 📊 RSI exceeded the upper 3-standard-deviation threshold, triggering a SELL signal. • 🔴 “DOWN” label appeared based on confluence of overbought + RSI reversal structure. • 📉 The bearish candle close confirmed exhaustion at the top. • 📍 Entry was taken at the close of the “DOWN” signal bar. • 🛡️ Stop was placed above the high of the trigger bar, per indicator rules. 🎯 Outcome: • Price quickly rejected the highs and dropped into profit territory. • Tight structure with clean entry allowed favorable risk:reward. ⸻ 🔍 About the Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion This system is built on the principle that price tends to revert to its mean when it becomes statistically stretched — confirmed by: • ✅ RSI divergence • ✅ Break of trendlines • ✅ Reversion from extreme zones using a 3 SD envelope • ✅ Directional confirmations from candle structure and session timing 📊 Signals include: • 📍 “UP” and “DOWN” trade labels • 📦 Entry and SL box overlays • 🎨 Candle color overlays based on 50MA and RSI alignment • 🔔 Alerts at signal bar close (non-repainting 📸 Visual Recap: 🔹 The chart shows: • ✅ Clear visual entries with SL and TP zones • ✅ “UP” and “DOWN” labels for intuitive guidance • ✅ No repainting – signals locked at close
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ElfieTrader
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 15✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹Gold prices surged and then retreated yesterday, mainly due to risk-off sentiment triggered by Trump’s announcement of a potential 30% tariff on EU imports. However, this sentiment was offset by the EU’s softened stance, indicating that “negotiation is still possible.” Additionally, the strength in both the U.S. Dollar Index and Treasury yields added pressure on gold. 🔹Geopolitical risks continue to rise. The EU is preparing to impose retaliatory tariffs on €72 billion worth of U.S. goods, while Trump has threatened a 100% tariff on Russian products. The ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict also has the potential to escalate further, adding underlying support for gold. 🔹Today, the U.S. CPI data will be released — a key event for market participants. A higher-than-expected CPI figure will likely reinforce expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, which is bearish for gold. Conversely, a weaker-than-expected reading may boost rate-cut expectations and support gold prices. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸Gold failed to break the key resistance at $3375. The daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow and a bearish body, indicating strong selling pressure from above. The MACD is showing early signs of a bearish crossover, suggesting short-term weakness. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels: $3360–3365, $3375 (critical level) 🟢 Key Support Levels: $3340, $3325 (major downside support) ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰 If the price pulls back and stabilizes around $3335–3340, consider entering a light long position. Set a stop-loss below $3325 and aim for a target of $3355–3365. 🔰 If the price breaks above $3365 and holds, consider following the breakout with a long position, targeting $3375–3385. 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰 If the price rebounds to $3360–3365 and faces resistance, consider shorting. Set a stop-loss above $3365 and aim for a target of $3340. If that level breaks, look for $3330. 🔰 If the price breaks below $3330, consider a momentum short toward the $3320 zone. ✅ Gold is likely to remain in a consolidation range during the European session. Maintain a buy-low, sell-high strategy with light positions and strict stop-losses. Pay close attention to the support at $3340 and resistance at $3365. Before the U.S. CPI data release, it's recommended to manage risk and control position sizes to avoid unexpected volatility. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
XAU/USD 15 July Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 14 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD – July 14, 2025 – Full Tactical Battle Plan🧠 I. Market Overview & Directional Bias: 📌 Bias: Bullish-Intraday With Potential Trap Today’s price action formed a V-reversal spike low at 3353.75, clearing out stop clusters below FVG and VWAP. Followed by aggressive absorption just under 3358.5 major resistance. Volume divergence shows declining sell pressure with rising absorption on the footprint charts. 📚 Schabacker’s logic: This move resembles a classic “shakeout below support” followed by recovery—setting a trap for late sellers. 🔍 II. Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔥 5m & 15m: Bullish engulfing with wick rejection on VWAP level. Price reclaimed 61.8% Fibo and holding above Golden VWAP Zone at 3357.45. Delta spike showing buyer control with low negative absorption. 🕐 1H: Price broke above prior consolidation range. POC (3357.45) and VWAP holding. Order flow confirms buying strength, but hesitant above 3359.5. ⏳ 4H & Daily: Strong bullish candle on daily session. 4H is showing early signs of imbalance fill and distribution between 3360–3366. VAH = 3365.52 – watch for rejection here. 🎯 III. Key Levels of Interest (All Cairo Time): Type Level Commentary 🔴 Support 3353.75 Spike Low – Stop Hunt 🟠 VWAP 3357.45 Daily VWAP – Golden Zone 🟢 Resistance 3361.91 / 3365.52 Key FVRP Supply, VAH 🟣 Target Extension 3368.60 / 3373.91 Final extension targets 🎭 Market Maker Setup – Liquidity Psychology Friday’s action was pure accumulation under VWAP, followed by stop hunt sweep today at 3353. Current bounce = engineered rally to fill orders at premium. MM likely to: Push into 3361–3366 trap zone. Reject and pull back to VWAP or Breakout above 3366 to trigger Buy Stops (blowoff top), then reverse. 🎓 Schabacker: "Congestion and false breakouts near key levels are traps for emotional traders." This is classic trap anatomy forming. 🧱 IV. Recommended Hedge Plan 🟢 Long Setup Order Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3360.80 TP: 3368.60 SL: 3356.00 Confidence: 78% 🔴 Short Hedge (Trap/Fade Setup) Order Type: Sell Limit Entry: 3365.50 TP: 3353.80 SL: 3369.50 Confidence: 65% 🧠 Long = higher probability. Confluence at VWAP reclaim + absorption + breakout pattern. 💎 Jewel Trade Entry – Today’s Best Setup Entry Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3360.80 SL: 3356.00 TP: 3368.60 Time: Between 10:30 – 11:00 Cairo Confidence: 82% Justification: Breakout of micro range. Trapped shorts below VWAP. Buyers absorbing all dips. “False breakdown / true reversal” pattern.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold #gold god currency Doesn't restore to earthly realm default i.e safe heaven (haven)🌠 RALLY & correction 🪽Trade wars ✒️ Tariffs threat's stocks 🪽Geopolitics war's i.e rising lion ✒️ Loose confidence fiat & bond 🪽 Inflation concern i.eFed talk 🪽 central banks buying gold i.e french bank ✒️ Institution money invested in gold Technical analysis ☄️ H/H $3500 L/L $2828 #intergalactic 💌Trend line Support $3285 $3245 $3120 @gold_pullback $2958 $2828 Rally I $2536 Rally base $2958 Rally II. $2958 to $3500 🔗Swings A trend is over if recent swing is beyond/below previous swing Bullish continuation patterns 🌻$3360 swing high 🌻$3245 swing low 🍁 #Bullish flag 🏁support $3285 🌻$3450 swing high 🌻$3245 swing low 🦸 bullish falling 🌠 wedge
TVC:GOLDLong
by bria5
GOLD Massive Short! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 3353.5 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 3343.00 Recommended Stop Loss - 3359.88 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3358 and a gap below at 3330. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3358 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3330 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3306 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3283 3254 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
24
XAUUSD _ DOUBLE TOP AND HL REACTION ZONE 📉 XAUUSD – Double Top & HL Reaction Zone Gold formed a potential double top pattern near the 3375 resistance zone, followed by a strong BMS and consecutive CHoCHs, signaling bearish pressure. However, price has respected the higher low (HL) structure near the 200 EMA, keeping the bullish structure intact for now. We are currently in a key reaction zone. If this HL holds and bullish intent appears, price may attempt another move toward the previous high. If the HL breaks, a deeper correction could be in play toward 3327 or lower. 📌 Watch for: Confirmation around 3350 zone And tp 3330 around this zone HL reaction or breakdown
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BasitTraders
GOLD Breakout or Fakeout? Thief’s Guide to Safely Rob the Move!🏆 XAU/USD Master Plan: Loot the Bullish Rally Before the Bearish Trap!💨💰 🌟 Hola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💸 🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Alert 🔥 Time to execute our gold heist on XAU/USD! Based on technical + fundamental looting tactics, here’s the play: 📈 ENTRY ZONES (4H TIMEFRAME) BUY: Sneak in at Market Maker’s Buy Zone (Pullback Entries Only!). SELL: "The vault’s wide open!"—Ambush bearish traps at risky highs (Red Zone). 🛑 STOP-LOSS (THIEF RULES) Hide your SL at: Past key lows OR nearest swing low (4H). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, & robbery multiplier. 🎯 TARGET: 3525.00 (OR ESCAPE EARTHER!) Scalpers: Long-side only! Trail your SL to lock loot. Swing Thieves: Join forces—big pockets or small, execute the plan! ⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY TRAPS! Avoid new trades during news. Use trailing SL to protect stolen profits. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL LOOT LIST (READ BEFORE HEIST!) COT Report, Macro Data, Sentiment Outlook—Link in bi0! 🔗🤙🏻👉🏻👉🏻 Gold’s bullish now… but robbers adapt fast! 💥 BOOST THIS PLAN = STRONGER GANG! Hit 👍 & Share—More boosts = More gold stolen daily! Stay tuned… Next heist drops soon! 🚀🐱‍👤
VELOCITY:GOLD
by The-Thief
Uptrend at the end of the week 3367, maintain the upward force⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) are on track to notch a third straight day of gains on Friday, climbing toward the upper boundary of this week’s trading range as escalating trade tensions fuel safe-haven demand. In a significant intensification of global trade disputes, US President Donald Trump issued formal notices this week to multiple trading partners, detailing individual tariff rates set to take effect on August 1 should no agreements be reached. This has rattled investor sentiment and weighed on risk assets, offering solid support to Gold. Meanwhile, expectations for an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have cooled following last week’s strong US jobs data. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) remains firm, holding near a more than two-week high reached on Thursday. This USD strength could limit the upside for the non-yielding yellow metal in the near term. Therefore, traders may look for a sustained breakout before committing to further bullish positions in the XAU/USD pair. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price breaks 3330, maintaining good buying pressure, recovering at the end of the week ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3367- 3369 SL 3374 TP1: $3355 TP2: $3342 TP3: $3325 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3308 SL $3301 TP1: $3315 TP2: $3325 TP3: $3338 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
XAU/USD elliot wave countOANDA:XAUUSD 📊 Elliott Wave Analysis (Overview) 🔹 Primary Structure: We're currently moving from white Wave 3 into white Wave 4. 🔹 Wave 4 Breakdown: So far, Wave 4 is developing as a typical ABC corrective pattern. Waves (A) and (B) (in brackets) have already been formed. 🔹 Wave (B) Internal Structure: Wave (B) is unfolding as an impulse: we’ve completed Bracket 1, Bracket 2, and we’re now on the way into Bracket 3. Within Bracket 3, we've already built a yellow Wave 1 and a potential yellow Wave 2. 🔹 Current Market Condition: For the bearish scenario to stay valid, we must remain below the red trendline. If we break above the red trendline, then yellow Wave 2 would likely extend higher and complete itself inside the red Fibonacci zone — making the correction deeper. 🎯 Target Zones: Targets for yellow Wave 3 and the broader Bracket 3 are already displayed on the chart. However, these targets can still be adjusted depending on how price unfolds in the coming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ElliotXSolana
Update on: "XAU USD a little & nice BUY set up" 11-07-2025Quick update : I did "collect" a bit earlier (Unlucky I haven't got possibility to monitor trade all the way down today ), TP @ 3365.405.... Like I said earlier, a little & nice trade! Also, did hit TP around - 3367.188 as promised ! AAA+ trade ! All analysis is based on technical analysis only... Short & clear without any "BS"... I do not believe in fundamental analysis (& if you are desperate for it, then... gold is never going to get cheaper in a very long term & it is a good investment for the next 50-100+ years, if you are happy with "preserving" your wealth, but if you are looking get paid this or next week, then...trading is a way. ) All of you have a lovely weekend ( with a nice profit in the pocket ! )
OANDA:XAUUSD
by G-money2022