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GOLD trade ideas

02/07/25 - XAUUSD Trade Analysis & Execution Overall Context The chart showcases:     •    Smart money concepts (SMC) such as liquidity grabs, order blocks, and session-based trading.     •    A bullish bias following a successful manipulation and mitigation during the Asian to London/NY overlap. Key Concepts Highlighted Liquidity Zones     •    Buyside Liquidity (BSL) is marked above the recent highs, indicating retail buy stop orders — a key magnet for institutional price action.     •    Price ultimately targets and sweeps this liquidity. Sessions     •    Tokyo/Asian Session Range is shaded, showing consolidation.     •    Price creates a high marked “ASIAN SESSION HIGH”, which becomes a short-term liquidity target. Order Block (OB)     •    A bullish Order Block is marked below price, around the 3,332.126 area.     •    Price taps into this OB during the London session, indicating institutional accumulation. Trade Setup Breakdown Entry Zone     •    Price dipped into the Order Block (OB) after forming a higher low (HL) — this likely triggered long positions.     •    Bullish order flow followed with clean, impulsive moves upward. First Trade Position     •    Trade enters post-OB mitigation and breaks above short-term structure.     •    First TP (Take Profit) is possibly near the Asian Session High, where 50% was closed (partial profit-taking).     •    Price retraces post-take-profit, but maintains bullish structure. Second Trade Position     •    After a retracement into a demand zone (gray shaded), another long opportunity arises.     •    The second entry likely occurs after confirmation of support in the retracement.     •    TP targets the next buyside liquidity pool. Trade Management     •    50% Closures are clearly annotated — a risk management tactic to secure profit while letting the rest run.     •    Each leg upwards is followed by a correction but respects bullish structure. Final Target     •    The final buyside liquidity pool at the top is swept, suggesting:     •    Completion of the smart money play.     •    Potential reversal zone or exhaustion. Summary of Trade Execution Bias >Bullish Entry Basis > OB Mitigation + Liquidity Sweep + Bullish Break of Structure (BoS) TP Zones > Asian Session High, then Final BSL Risk Management > 50% closure at intermediate targets Confirmation > Structure shift + aggressive entry post-mitigation
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by jayrollings
XAU/USD 02 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 01 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD Bulls Winning ! 560 Pips and Still Aiming for +2500 Pips ! 📊 GOLD XAU/USD — Trendline Play in Action! My plan from yesterday played out perfectly: price bounced from $3274 to $3334 — that’s +560 Pips banked so far! 💙 But this is only the start of the bigger move — I’m still targeting a 2500 Pips upside on this bullish leg. ✅ Technical Bias: Price is respecting the main ascending trendline perfectly. Demand zone at 3220 – 3270 held as expected. Next resistances: 3385, 3433, 3500, then 3553 as extended target. ✅ Fundamental Bias: The market is still pricing in more Fed rate cuts, which keeps the upside for gold alive. 📢 If you like clear setups that deliver: Like 👍 | Comment 💬 | Share 📤 | Follow 🔔 me for real-time technical & fundamental updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Aser_Hosary
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 1st July 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -Fed Chair Powell Speaks -ISM Manufacturing PMI -JOLTS Job Openings Notes: - Strong bullish momentum with strong daily rejection -Looking continuation buy to target level - Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe - Pivot point: 3270 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. I just wanted to follow up on this chart. I have changed nothing since the last post. I just wanted to show the trade set up was on point. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. I find the first few days of the week gold carves out its potential paths both up and down. Wednesday, many times the weekly will be right in the middle of the moves from the previous few days. Not sure if that makes sense, but I just ripped a bongload of Gorilla Glue and I am not proof reading this or checking for typos.. my bad. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how the overnight sessions play out. Thanks for checking out my chart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
Gold Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025 - Gold reversed from support level 3250.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 3400.00 Gold recently reversed up from the support level 3250.00 (which stopped wave (b) at the end of May, as can be seen from the daily Gold chart below) intersecting with the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May. The support level 3250.00 was further strengthened by the upward-sloping support trendline from February. Given the clear daily uptrend, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3400.00, which stopped the previous short-term correction ii.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
XAU/USD 30 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. On H4 TF price has been failing to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold price bull-bear life and death line--3300Gold price bull-bear life and death line--3300 Gold rose in the Asian session today Buy on dips and technical rebound: Last Friday (June 28), gold fell 2%, hitting a low of $3247/ounce. Some investors believed that it was oversold in the short term and bought on dips during the Asian session. Key support level of $3,270: From a technical perspective, there is a concentrated area of ​​institutional buying near $3,270, which will trigger a short-term rebound. Near $3,300 is still a strong resistance range. Although Powell maintains a hawkish stance, the market is still betting on a rate cut in September (with a probability of more than 90%), and the decline in the US dollar index supports gold. As shown in Figure 4h: The current fluctuation range of gold price: 3240-3300, with a fluctuation range of nearly 60 US dollars Short selling strategy: Sell: 3295-3300 range Stop loss: 3305 Target: 3280-3270-3250 Buy 1: 3250 (conservative) Buy 2: 3270 (stable) Buy 3: 3280 (aggressive) Stop loss: 3240 Target: 3300-3320+ It is recommended to pay attention to the long-short strength dividing line near 3300 Standing at 3300, the market will continue to rise this week As long as the gold price is below 3300, take a high-altitude mentality
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Isla_suri001
Gold Extends Decline Amid Easing Safe-Haven DemandGold continues its downward trajectory as safe-haven sentiment weakens. Geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel appear to be easing following a ceasefire agreement, reducing the perceived need for defensive assets such as gold. At the same time, the market is reassessing its expectations regarding U.S. monetary policy. With the Federal Reserve unlikely to cut interest rates in the near term—and concerns about inflation resurfacing due to potential tax policy changes under former President Donald Trump—gold is facing a dual source of short-term pressure. Investor sentiment is currently shifting toward riskier assets, as capital flows increasingly favor equities over gold. This risk-on environment has further eroded demand for traditional safe havens. From a technical perspective, gold failed to break above the $3,350 level, signaling waning bullish momentum. This may indicate the onset of a short-term corrective phase. On the political front, recent remarks by Donald Trump—including the possibility of a long-term diplomatic solution with Iran and discussions around replacing Fed Chair Jerome Powell—have introduced additional volatility into global financial markets. Furthermore, according to market data I have reviewed, gold sales in the second quarter have shown signs of slowing. Buyers are becoming more cautious amid elevated price levels, while many investors are choosing to take profits, contributing to an increasingly two-sided market dynamic. Despite this, I maintain a positive medium- to long-term outlook for gold. The U.S. dollar is currently at its weakest point in three and a half years, offering significant support. Notably, central banks managing over $5 trillion in assets are planning to increase their gold reserves within the next one to two years—a strong structural driver for gold’s long-term growth. In summary, I believe gold is currently experiencing short-term corrective pressure due to a combination of geopolitical developments, interest rate expectations, and shifting investor sentiment. However, its long-term outlook remains solid, supported by a weaker dollar, global macroeconomic risks, and continued central bank accumulation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasGlobal
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential DropGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential Drop Ahead! 🎯 📊 Technical Analysis Summary: The chart illustrates a bearish setup forming after multiple rejection points near a key resistance zone around 3,360–3,380 USD. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔴 Double Rejection Pattern: Red arrows highlight strong bearish rejections from resistance. Indicates sellers are defending this zone aggressively. 🟠 Support Turned Resistance: The previous support (labelled as "SUPPOT") is now acting as resistance. Classic bearish retest behavior. 🔷 Bearish Flag Formation: Price consolidates in a descending flag pattern. Breakdown below the flag suggests continuation to the downside. 🎯 Target Zone: If breakdown confirms, price may drop towards target area near 3,275–3,280 USD (marked as “TARGET FAXS”). 🟧 Important Reaction Zones: Multiple orange circles indicate zones of high reaction – historically significant for both buyers and sellers. 📌 Conclusion: Unless bulls reclaim the 3,360–3,380 resistance zone convincingly, the bias remains bearish, and the next leg down may target the 3,280 USD area. 🔔 Traders should watch for a clean break below 3,320 to confirm bearish continuation.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
1
XAUUSD Forming Bullish Continuation Patternhi traders, let's have a look at Gold on 3D time frame. ✅ Technical Outlook: Uptrend Still Intact Price action remains firmly within a higher high, higher low structure, confirming that Gold is still in an active uptrend. * We can observe the Ascending Triangle Formation. An ascending triangle has formed, with the price consistently finding support on a rising trendline while pressing against the horizontal resistance around $3,430. This pattern typically acts as a bullish continuation, especially within strong trends. Potential Breakout Target If XAUUSD breaks above the horizontal resistance, the measured move (height of the triangle) points to a potential upside of ~13.32%, targeting the $3,880–3,900 zone. RSI Observations The RSI is consolidating just above 50 and remains in bullish territory. A breakout above the RSI trendline would further support bullish momentum. 📌 Trade Scenario (Plan A – Bullish Breakout): Entry: Upon breakout and daily close above ~$3,430 Target: ~$3,880 Support Trendline: Acting as dynamic support 📌 Alternate Scenario (Plan B – Retest): Price may retest the ascending trendline support before attempting a breakout. This would offer a lower-risk entry opportunity with tighter invalidation. 🧠 Summary: Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the formation of an ascending triangle suggests a likely continuation to the upside. Watch for a breakout confirmation above the horizontal resistance for a potential high-probability long setup.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by vf_investment
2
Gold Trade Plan 09/06/2025Dear Traders. 📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis | 1H Timeframe | June 9, 2025 Price has recently broken below the ascending trendline and filled a nearby gap, now retracing back toward the broken structure zone. Two key scenarios are in play: 🔹 Alternative 1: A rejection from the broken resistance area could trigger a bearish continuation toward the demand zone around $3,260–$3,240. 🔹 Alternative 2: If sellers fail to defend this level, price may push higher to test the $3,420–$3,440 supply zone. ✅ Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,360 and $3,420–$3,440 Support: $3,260 and $3,190 📉 The RSI is hovering in the neutral-to-oversold range, signaling indecision in momentum. 📌 Summary: Traders should monitor how price reacts to the current resistance zone. A clear rejection could validate the downside scenario, while a breakout may open the door for a bullish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Lingrid | GOLD Retracement Entry Opportunity from Support ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is attempting to stabilize after breaking below the consolidation zone and forming a new lower low near the 3,313 support. Price action hints at a bullish rebound setup, potentially targeting the 3,375 resistance aligned with the descending red trendline. The structure may shift if price forms a higher low and retests broken support as a springboard. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 3,313 – 3,320 Sell trigger: break below 3,313 Target: 3,375 Buy trigger: higher low and breakout above minor resistance 💡 Risks Failure to reclaim 3,313 could trigger another sell-off Resistance trendline near 3,375 remains a rejection risk Lack of volume confirmation may weaken bullish scenario If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
26