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GOLD trade ideas

GOLD| THE CHANNEL MAY BREAK.Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday after hitting a one-week low in the previous session, as uncertainties stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff plans dampened risk appetite and boosted demand for safe-haven bullion. Gold price reversed from the high and broke below 2935, currently testing the 2908 level. The price attempted to break 3908 but failed, indicating strong resistance at that level. We are now awaiting another attempt to breach this key resistance. A confirmed break below 2908 could lead to a sharp decline toward the next support zone, potentially extending down to 2809, which would also break the ascending channel. On the bullish side, if the price reclaims 2935 and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this would reactivate the bullish trend, pushing the price toward the previous high and potentially establishing a new high. Markets are all about perspective. If you see something different, let’s discuss in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Detailed Insights 1. RSI Analysis (Relative Strength Index) The RSI is near 30, which indicates the market is approaching oversold levels. This suggests a possible bounce or reversal if buyers step in. If RSI drops below 30, expect further downside movement. 2. Moving Averages (50 MA & 200 MA) 50 MA is trending downward, confirming the bearish trend. Price is well below the 50 MA and 200 MA, suggesting continued bearish momentum. No immediate sign of reversal unless the price reclaims the 50 MA as support. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels Based on the high of 2950 and low of 2885, the key Fibonacci retracement levels are: 23.6% Retracement: 2934.66 (Potential resistance) 38.2% Retracement: 2925.17 (Strong resistance level) 50% Retracement: 2917.50 (Mid-level resistance) 61.8% Retracement: 2909.83 (Key level for trend change) 78.6% Retracement: 2898.91 (Critical decision level) Trading Strategy Bullish Scenario (If price holds support & RSI rebounds) Buy Entry: Around 2890 - 2893 (If price shows bullish rejection) SL (Stop-Loss): Below 2885 TP1: 2909.83 (Fib 61.8%) TP2: 2925.17 (Fib 38.2%) TP3: 2934.66 (Fib 23.6%) Bearish Scenario (If price breaks 2885 support) Sell Entry: Below 2885 (If confirmed breakdown) SL: Above 2898 TP1: 2875 TP2: 2865 Conclusion Short-term: Bearish, but RSI suggests a possible reversal if buyers defend 2890. Long-term: Still bearish unless price reclaims 2926. Watch the Fib 61.8% level at 2909.83 for a potential short-term reversal.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by DhandaTheGreat
Gold Intraday trade idea 27/02/2025Gold’s daily candle closed as a doji with a 245-pip wick to the downside, which we are currently still filling. With the past two days rejecting 2900, my overall bias remains bullish unless we get a daily close below. For intraday setups, I’ll be watching: Buys above 2900 targeting 2919, where we saw earlier resistance. Sells below 2872 down to 2850 if momentum shifts. With key news today, I’ll reassess and post an update after the NYSE open. Stay adaptive.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Thetraderscollective
Gold Extends Three-Day Rally Amid Economic Weakness, Trade UncerGold has posted three consecutive sessions of gains this week as markets react to a combination of weak economic data, prolonged trade tensions, and resurging geopolitical risks. U.S Economic Data Signals Slowdown The latest U.S economic reports continue to point toward a weakening outlook. February’s ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came in at just 77,000, significantly below expectations of 141,000 and the prior month’s 186,000. This suggests a cooling labor market, raising concerns about the pace of economic growth. Meanwhile, the S&P Global Services PMI exceeded forecasts but remains insufficient to restore confidence in a sustained economic recovery. Trade Tensions Remain a Market Headwind A temporary relief came as President Trump announced a delay in tariffs on imported automobiles from Mexico and Canada. However, this reprieve is short-lived, with tariffs set to be reassessed on April 2, leaving uncertainty in place. Furthermore, unresolved trade tensions with China continue to weigh on market sentiment, keeping investors cautious and supporting safe-haven demand for gold. Geopolitical Risks Drive Safe-Haven Flows On the geopolitical front, tensions have escalated following the U.S. decision to halt military aid to Ukraine. At the same time, NATO has reinforced its military presence and reaffirmed support for Ukraine, increasing investor fears of a potential conflict escalation. These developments have further fueled demand for gold as a hedge against geopolitical instability. Market Focus Shifts to Key Economic Data As the week progresses, investors will closely monitor upcoming economic reports, particularly the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rate. These data releases could have a significant impact on gold’s trajectory and broader financial markets. A weaker-than-expected jobs report may reinforce expectations of economic slowdown, strengthening gold’s bullish momentum, while a robust reading could temper the metal’s gains. Gold’s recent rally underscores its resilience as a safe-haven asset amid macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. The short-term outlook remains bullish, with market dynamics favoring continued strength unless a significant shift in economic conditions or policy direction emerges.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by thtinh
LARGE SELL ORDER : orders stacking up near $2,900 - $2,907📊 REAL-TIME XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Minute Chart Analysis 📈🔥 🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 💰🚀 📌 CURRENT MARKET OVERVIEW 💲 Current Price: $2,897.50 🚀 High of the Day: $2,925.10 🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,920.28 - $2,925.10 📉 Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,900.05 📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,895.50 🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $2,890.00 🔍 INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS 🏦 📉 US Dollar Index (DXY): Strengthening, currently at 106.43 – This typically pressures gold downward. 📊 Liquidity Analysis: ✅ Large sell orders stacking up near $2,900 - $2,907 ✅ Stop-hunt zones identified above $2,907 and below $2,890 🏦 Institutional Trend: Market makers engineering a liquidity grab above key resistance before further downside. ✅ BEST INDICATOR COMBINATION ✔ Fibonacci Retracement Levels: (Key zones to watch) 38.2%: $2,910 50%: $2,915 61.8%: $2,920 ✔ 50 EMA & 200 EMA: Price rejected at 50 EMA, still below 200 EMA (bearish trend) ✔ RSI (7): Currently at 45, indicating neutral to slightly oversold ✔ VWAP: Price struggling below VWAP, indicating institutional price pressure lower ✔ MACD: Bearish divergence, momentum declining 🎯 SMART MONEY KEY QUESTION: 💭 Are market makers engineering a liquidity sweep before further downside? ✅ YES – We see a classic manipulation pattern targeting retail traders' stop losses above $2,907 📈 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN & TRADE SETUP 💰 Given the setup, the highest probability trade is: 🔴 SELL (Short XAU/USD) at a key resistance level 📉 SELL Setup: Entry: $2,910 - $2,907 (Institutional liquidity grab zone) Stop-Loss: $2,912 (Above order block & manipulation zone) Take-Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: $2,892 (Key support) TP2: $2,885 (Liquidity sweep target) TP3: $2,875 (Deep liquidity pocket) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.5:1 ✅ ⚡ ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE EXECUTION PLAN 🚀 1️⃣ Wait for a liquidity grab above $2,900-$2,907 2️⃣ Look for a bearish rejection candle at VWAP & 50 EMA resistance 3️⃣ Validate with sell order flow confirmation 4️⃣ Enter aggressively with institutional momentum 🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 📌 Direct verdict: SELL XAU/USD at $2,900-$2,907 🔥 📌 Exact Entry Price: $2,900 📌 Stop-Loss: $2,912 📌 Take-Profit Levels: $2,892 - $2,885 - $2,875 📌 Institutional Money Flow: Smart money taking profit on longs, switching to sell-side liquidity. 🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 💰🔥📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
XAU/USD 27 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955 Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 26 January 2025. Price has printed as per alternative scenario analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS, which price printed. As a result of the bearish iBOS, we now have a confirmed swing high. Price has also printed a bearish CHoCH and traded in to premium of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal low priced at 2,888.180. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD - After correct to support line, price can bounce to $2930Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price started to grow inside upward wedge, and soon reached $2855 level and broke it, after which made retest. Then Gold some time traded near this level, corrected to support area and then continued to move up. Later it reached resistance line of wedge, before making a gap, after which price turned around and dropped. Price almost fell to support line of wedge and then bounced up to resistance area, after which quickly fell back. Next, price in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking $2930 level, but then started to decline. In my opinion, after a breakout of $2930 level, Gold can bounce up to $2970 from support line and exit from wa edge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
4
Gold can drop to support level, breaking resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. On this chart, we can see that the price rebounded from the mirror line and began to rise. Shortly after, it reached the support level, broke it, and hovered around this area for some time before dropping back to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once again and started trading within a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone, before pulling back to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone but quickly surged above the mirror line, entering the seller zone. After this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line before resuming its upward trajectory. Not long after, the price reached the resistance level, broke through it, and exited the range. For some time, Gold traded above the seller zone, but recently, it dropped and is now hovering near the 2930 resistance level within the seller zone. I believe that Gold might rise slightly before continuing its decline, eventually breaking the resistance level. Additionally, I anticipate that after the breakout, it could extend its decline toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
8
Gold (XAU/USD) Elliott Wave Analysis by Pro Ally MugaboWave 3 Completion: The chart suggests that Gold has completed its Wave 3, marked by a strong bullish impulse. Wave 4 Correction Expected: A corrective decline (Wave 4) is projected, targeting the 2,200 - 2,300 USD support zone. This aligns with typical Elliott Wave structures, where Wave 4 retraces a portion of Wave 3 before resuming the trend. Potential for Wave 5 Rally: After Wave 4 finds support, a strong Wave 5 rally is expected, potentially pushing Gold beyond 3,200 USD. 📢 Trading Considerations: Traders should wait for Wave 4 completion and look for buy confirmation around the 2,300 - 2,400 USD zone before entering long positions. Fibonacci retracement levels and price action confirmation can help determine the exact entry point. 💡 Final Thoughts: Since Elliott Wave analysis evolves with price action, it’s essential to monitor the market closely and validate the expected movements. If Wave 4 unfolds as anticipated, it could present a great long-term buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ElliotWaveUnite
GOLD → Volatile. Entering consolidation. What is next?OANDA:XAUUSD after a short-term uptrend, gold is now shifting into a consolidation phase, with speculative traders actively defending key risk zones. In this environment, what can we expect from the precious metal next? Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies and weak U.S. economic data has driven investors back toward safe-haven assets. However, after reaching a record high of $2,956 on Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. Despite this, weak U.S. consumer confidence data has helped support a partial recovery. While gold still holds bullish potential, its upside movement is being restrained by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields. However, trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 2,921 – 2,942 Support: 2,905 – 2,888 At this stage, the market is forming a sideways range, leading to two potential scenarios: A pullback to retest the 2,905 – 2,888 support zone before a potential rebound. A breakout above resistance, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend. If buyers can push gold into the 2,921 – 2,929 zone and maintain control above this level, the metal could regain upward momentum. Stay tuned and seize the best opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold