gold long after checkout candle OANDA:XAUUSD we going long on gold use risk management all hands up good luck
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD Pulls Back From Record HighGold price hits a record $3,167.84 before pulling back as traders lock in profits after a steep safe-haven rally.
XAUUSD support sits at $3,083.65, with a break lower exposing $3,000.28 as the next key downside level.
XAUUSD CLOSURE BELOW $3,053 IS NEED TO CONFIRM BEARISH I have made significant profit from gold selling from above $3,161 to $3,086. Now it is just safe to wait for a closure below $3,053 to confirm bearish continuation and sell at a restest after some bearish chart pattern to further confirm and enter.
Gold longTime to enter a long position from 3065.
I think it retraces back .
And then i will look for shorts again.
XAUUSD 1H, 03/04/2025, 04:40PM. Target Done.After deciding this trade as a sell setup in the morning, it has successfully reached its target, which we have shattered throughout the day.
4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices
1. Impact of tariff policies
- Base tax rate 10% + "reciprocal tariffs": Trump's radical tariff policy far exceeds market expectations, directly triggering concerns about escalating global trade frictions and triggering market risk aversion demand.
2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar: Tariffs may weaken the competitiveness of US exports, and the Federal Reserve may introduce loose policies, which will put pressure on the US dollar and further support gold.
3. Gold's safe-haven properties have exploded
Gold, as a hard currency without sovereign credit risk, has become a "safe haven" for funds.
4-hour cycle:
Confirmation of strong structure:
3100 support: Multiple retracements have not been broken, forming an "ascending triangle" consolidation pattern, and a sharp breakthrough in the early trading confirms the continuation of the trend.
Target forecast:
Short-term: US$3,200 (integer psychological barrier + fermentation of risk aversion).
Medium-term: If it breaks through 3,200 points, the next resistance level is 3,218 points.
1-hour chart strategy:
Key watershed 3100:
This week's lows gradually moved up (3076→3100→3106). If the callback does not break this position, the trend will not change.
Intraday strength and weakness dividing line 3130:
Yesterday's box top broke through and turned into support, which is in line with the principle of "top and bottom conversion".
Ideal intraday long position: 3115-3120 area, stop loss 3105.
Patiently wait for the callback
Aggressive strategy: If the gold price stands above 3150, you can chase long with a light position, with a target of 3173→3200.
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Analysis
This chart provides a technical outlook on **Gold (XAU/USD)**, showing possible **bullish** and **bearish** scenarios based on price action and support/resistance levels.
Bullish Outlook
Key Support Holding**: Gold is staying above **$3,125-$3,130**, showing buyers are stepping in.
- **Uptrend Structure**: Price is following a rising trendline, meaning bullish momentum is intact.
- **Breakout Zone**: If Gold surpasses **$3,155-$3,160**, it could rally toward **$3,170-$3,180**, as no major resistance exists in that range.
What to Watch?
- A strong breakout with volume above **$3,155-$3,160** confirms upside potential.
- Look for support at moving averages (EMAs) to validate trend continuation.
Bearish Outlook
- **Resistance Rejection**: If Gold fails to break above **$3,155-$3,160**, it might face selling pressure.
- **Break Below $3,140**: If price drops under this level, it could target **$3,125-$3,110**, which is the next key support.
- **Further Downside**: A breakdown below **$3,110** could lead to a deeper decline towards **$3,090-$3,080**.
What to Watch?
- A drop below **$3,140** with strong volume could confirm further downside.
- If selling pressure increases, Gold may retest lower support zones.
Final Thought
Gold is currently in an **uptrend**, but traders must monitor key levels:
✔ **Bullish if** it breaks **$3,160** 📊
✔ **Bearish if** it falls below **$3,140** 🔻
Stay cautious and wait for price confirmation before making a move! 🚀
April 3, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
After Trump announced details of new tariffs, the market turned highly active. From a fundamental perspective, this provided strong support for gold.
Pay attention to the 3105 level, which was quickly tested following Trump’s statement before price rallied higher.
Unless a clear reversal signal appears, the main strategy remains: buy on pullbacks to support.
Key Levels to Watch:
3170–3175: Bullish target zone
3168: ATH resistance
3156: Resistance
3142: Bullish/Bearish pivot line
3120–3138: Price consolidation / value zone
3105: Strong intraday support
Short-Term Trading Strategy:
For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3146. Watch 3142 first; if the decline continues, monitor 3138, 3133, and 3128.
For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price holds above 3156. Watch 3160 for confirmation; if momentum continues, target 3165, 3168, and 3170.
👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
Some history....GOLD HISTORY:
1970 TO 1980:
Gold has a strong bubble rise that falls 50% when it breaks.
2001 to 2011:
10 year up trend
Gold rises further with virtually no setbacks until 1919, but then collapses to $1019.
2015 to 2025:
10 year up trend still at the moment.
The gold price has increased from $1019 in December 2015 to well over $3155 today without serious dips or pullbacks. It is easy to see why this attracts investors, especially when compared to the turbulence in the stock market over the same period of time. It is also easy to see why people might expect that gold will continue to rise after watching it gain consistently for well over a decade.
However, history shows that asset prices cannot continue to go up indefinitely. There are always pull backs, crashes, and bear markets. The last time this happened to gold is a distant memory, but we all remember recent examples such as the tech stocks in the '90s and home prices in the '00s.
Now, lets see Elliot wave principle. When an extending wave 5 ends ( we are at one at the moment), we will see a swift correction down to sub wave 2 of this wave 5. So, the opportunity presents in two ways. First, we know it will be a rapid correction, which means we will not have to wait long for realizing our profits. Secondly, we know approximately how far the down move will likely travel.
At this moment , we are looking for the same escenario as 2008. Wave 3 travels 5.618 from wave 1, then wave 4 made a correction to the 38.2% zone, and finally wave 5 was equal to the entire previous 1-3 movement. This is what is happening right now as welll.
It is always easier to identify assets that are bubbling than to predict when the bubble will pop. Gold has much more downside than upside at this point, but this has been true for years without slowing price gains. Home prices and tech stocks also suggest that bubbles can exist for years even after objective measures (e.g. P/E ratios or rent to buy ratios) show that markets are out of equilibrium.
It is anybody's guess when gold will correct, but it is very likely that it will be ugly when it does.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout: Next Target $3,181?"Key Observations:
Current Price: Gold is trading at $3,127.450 at the time of the chart.
Trend: The chart exhibits a strong uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows.
Support Levels: Several support levels are marked in the $3,010 - $2,999 range, extending down to around $2,906.
Resistance and Target:
The immediate price range is highlighted, suggesting possible consolidation.
A breakout above this range could lead to a target around $3,181.
Chart Annotations:
A retracement (red structure) indicates a short-term correction before continuation.
A breakout structure (black lines) suggests a previous significant upward movement.
The range and possible continuation are marked, indicating that the price may consolidate before attempting to reach the target.
Trading Perspective:
If price holds above the range, we may see bullish continuation towards $3,181.
A break below support levels could signal a deeper pullback towards $3,010 or lower.
This chart suggests a bullish outlook, with potential for more upside if momentum continues. Traders might look for confirmations before entering long positions.
A SELL OPPORTUNITY EMERGES ON XAUUSD A sell opportunity is envisaged from the current market price as gold bullish momentum slowed down ahead of US tariff report coming up later In the day. I anticipate a decline in price all the way to 3065.
Gold bulls encounter resistance, high-level adjustmentsYesterday, the gold market showed an abnormal trend. The Asian and European sessions broke the routine and showed a clear weak pattern, showing the characteristics of a bear market of "fast decline without rebound". It is particularly noteworthy that despite the positive US manufacturing data released in the evening, gold has abnormally fallen into the dilemma of "good news but no rise", which is often an important signal of trend reversal. Today, the market focus is on the change in tariff expectations. If the expectations are significantly reduced, it will be the last straw that breaks the camel's back for bulls - the previous rise was largely based on tariff expectations.
Key technical nodes
Bull-bear watershed:
Key resistance above: 3124-3128 area (rebound high after testing 3100 yesterday)
Secondary resistance: 3135-3140 area (strong pressure zone)
Ultimate resistance: 3160-3165 (trend line extension)
Downward target:
First look at the breakthrough of 3100
Main target area: 3077-3057 (previous intensive trading area)
Deep correction may touch 3030-3000
Trading strategy recommendations
Main strategy: short on rebound
Ideal shorting area:
Preferred 3124-3128 range
Focus on 3135-3140 area for strong rebound
Consider 3160-3165 range in extreme cases
Stop loss setting ：
10-8 dollars above each resistance zone
Strict stop loss after breaking through the previous high
Target position:
Phase 1: 3100 mark
Phase 2: 3077-3057
Phase 3: 3030-3000
Key points for auxiliary observation
The strength of the rebound in the Asian session will determine the timing of shorting in the European session
If the rebound is too large (exceeding 3140), it may turn into high-level fluctuations
Tariff-related news needs to be paid attention to in real time, which may cause violent fluctuations
Risk warning
If Trump suddenly announces the expansion of the tariff scope, short positions need to be closed immediately
If the US economic data continues to weaken, it may slow down the pace of decline
Geopolitical emergencies may temporarily boost risk aversion demand
The current market has shown signs of fatigue, and investors are advised to remain vigilant and seize possible opportunities for trend reversals. Strict risk control and flexible position adjustments will be the key to dealing with potential violent fluctuations. Remember: when the market begins to become numb to positive news, it often indicates that the trend is about to change.
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250402Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250402
Golden Times!Another week of record gold prices, the media attention phase has properly begun.
Monday's pop higher above the trend line shows acceleration, today's pullback was perfect in kissing back that trend line and another long entry.
We are in a larger wave 3 up, within that wave we are in minor wave 3 up, still waves 4 and 5 to finish this strong move...at some point in April or perhaps May, we will top out as a larger wave 4 takes hold, that could coincide with stock market routs...too early to say.
Would not be surprised to see another $200-300 by April, perhaps a blow off much higher.
Longer time frames point to a major wave 5 up in this long bull run, a move that will have the public diving in with both hands, the greed and mania phase, you can be assured that the economy and banking systems will be stressed to say the least.
Gold and silver are rising simply because of safety, hedging and investment, silver will out perform gold at some point and catch up. The manipulation game is coming to an end as the scales correct.
Appreciate a thumbs up, God Bless you all and good trading!
XAUUSD 1H, 02/04/2025, 11:00 AM.Because the market hasn't reached our entry point, we can't enter into this trade, but the market is still on our side, so we can recite a failed with no profit and no loss for this trade.
Gold at $3149 may have already topped out!Technical analysis suggests that gold may fall 50% to under US$1700 an ounce. This will surely bring Silver with it!
Please do your own due dilegence! This is not investment advise, but made for educational purposes only.
Gold: On its way towards 3182Gold is on its way to reach the ST target (may be by April 11th) of 3182 based on magic lines and ABCD pattern.
I think a retrace is due towards last week high then the impulsive move to 3182.
GOLD ON BULLISH#XAUUSD price is on good range to continue bullish but firstly we await 3139 to hit before entry.
Buy stop at 3139, take profit at 3158, stop loss at 3123. Above 3158 holds a bearish reversal which will drop the price.
Below 3119 is new pattern which have sell also.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 1st April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-ISM Manufacturing PMI
-JOLTS Job Openings
Analysis:
-Strong bullish closure on daily
-Looking for continuation to the upside after 4hr structure retest
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3100
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
XAU/USD (Gold) AnalysisXAU/USD (Gold) 4H Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a strong uptrend, trading around $3,128.41, well above the 50-period moving average (blue line). This moving average has been acting as dynamic support, reinforcing bullish momentum.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
As long as Gold remains above the 50-period moving average, the uptrend is intact.
A retracement to the highlighted support zone could provide potential buying opportunities before the next move higher.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A break and close below the support zone could indicate a deeper pullback.
However, as long as price remains above the 50 MA, the overall trend remains bullish.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice or a trading signal. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any decisions.
