GOLD support @ $3100There are a lot of things that show the price about $3100 for Gold is a really important & strong support for now.
We have 61% & 70.2% of Fibonacci retracement about this area.
The bear flag target on 4H TF is at $3100.
Even the target for double top is at that area.
In the past the price of $3100 was a support as well.
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD-4H Buying SettingsGold has secured double bottom support
#XAUUSD Buy Setup – 4H
Buy Entry: 3,223–3,219 (Confirmed breakout above resistance, retest of 3,223 as new support)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 3,238
TP2: 3,255
TP3: 3,340
Stop Loss: 3,210
Strategy: Buy after confirmed breakout, retest of 3,238 level as support, target higher resistance zone.
Mentioned as last episode Hi guys a few minutes late I was published price action strategy of xau and explained that if Liquidity will surprising us we need to getting a new chart figure.
I show you B plan on this chart .
as starting the trade session at next on houre we can making decisions for how to start our position and how configuration our TP or SL
XAUUSD SHORTIt's a beautiful setup , as we see here gold is going down since 6TH of may and it forms a bearish channel , it just tested the lower high of the channel and a resistance . I'm waiting for the market to break and retest the trendline beneath it , then i'll take a short position targeting this support level
XAU/USD – Things are waiting I’ve been quietly tracking XAU/USD, and something’s been standing out: no new high, no conviction, and no clear follow-through. That’s not weakness — that’s bait. It’s the kind of setup that shakes out the impulsive traders... right before the real move begins.
I’m not interested in chasing this range. The real opportunity — the one that matters — sits lower.
There’s only 2 zones I’m watching: the blue boxes.
That’s where I’ll position. That’s where the real story unfolds.
The market has been hovering just above a liquidity pocket, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a fast sweep, a volume spike, or even a CDV divergence down there. I want to see a reaction — not just a touch. A reclaim. A shift in control. That’s when I act.
This zone isn’t random. It’s built on order flow and inefficiency — where price previously moved too fast, leaving imbalances behind. If we return there with intent, the bounce could be aggressive.
“I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.”
That applies here too. If we never reach the blue box, or if the move back into it lacks confirmation — I don’t touch it. No signal, no entry. That simple.
🧠 If you ignore this zone and price rockets without you — that’s fine. But if it hits the blue box cleanly and you hesitate, that’s on you.
As someone who’s watched this pattern unfold more times than I can count… this is where smart money loads, not where it exits.
Let’s see if we get the dip. If we do, and it reacts the way I expect — this could be the move.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
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XAU/USD 13 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains remains the same as analysis dated 07 May 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD May 12 New York real-time trading strategy analysis.The normal plan is to trade in a unilateral falling market. However, Russia's negotiation agreement with Ukraine has not stopped. While the cashing sentiment has risen, the tax issues between the United States and China have declined. This is why the New York market continued to rebound to 3247 and then fell back to 3220.
If the price of the New York market cannot continue to break through the position of 3233 and stabilize. Then the price will continue to fall. The target is below 3190. There may be support at 3200, but it will not be too strong. But if the position of 3233 stabilizes and breaks through above 3348 again. Then we need to pay attention to the position of 3360-3375 again.
Gold Breaks Support Level – The Downtrend May Not StopAfter peaking at $3,500/ounce in April, gold is in a clear correction phase. On the H4 chart, the price has broken through both the EMA34 and EMA89, indicating that a short-term downtrend has been established. The most recent session closed at $3,223, losing nearly $130 in just a few sessions.
The sharp decline appeared after a long rally and the peak was rejected many times. The break through the EMA89 support has triggered technical selling pressure, reflecting the psychology of profit-taking after failing to surpass the old peak.
Gold Plain and SimpleTo cut to the chase, if the USD continues it's rally today and Gold stays below the $3230 - $3218 range, I am looking to short it to $3150 mark, where the previous 1 day timeframe had resistance back on the 4th of April 2025.
A break and hold above $3230 and I will consider a long position, with a tight stop loss.
GL!
XAUUSD - Is Gold Going Down?!Gold is trading in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. A downward correction in gold will open up buying opportunities from the demand areas.
Investors in the precious metals market witnessed another week of gold’s strong performance. Although overall optimism about a potential reduction in trade tariffs slightly slowed gold’s momentum, robust demand from Asia and other global regions provided solid support, preventing any major market correction.
At the beginning of the week, gold prices fell by over 1% on Monday as news of a trade agreement between the U.S. and China prompted investors to shift toward riskier assets. This drop occurred alongside easing geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, which also contributed to a calmer market atmosphere.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamison Greer announced that the two nations had reached an agreement during negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland. The deal, which is expected to be released as a joint statement, signals a reduction in trade tensions that had escalated in recent weeks with tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports.
As part of the agreement, the U.S. and China plan to establish a joint economic and trade consultation mechanism to continue discussions on tariffs. President Donald Trump hinted last week at a potential reduction in tariffs to 80%, although the official details of the deal have yet to be disclosed.
Adam Button, Chief Currency Strategist at Forexlive.com, commented that in the current market environment, it is difficult not to be bullish on gold. However, he warned that any de-escalation in U.S.-China tensions could dampen the strength of gold’s rally. He added, “Even though a 50% reduction in tariffs wouldn’t be the final chapter, if implemented, it would represent fairly rapid progress and a positive sign for both parties.”
In addition to trade developments, the easing of tensions in Kashmir and a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan have also reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The ceasefire, brokered by the United States, remained largely intact over the weekend.
Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, stated that his outlook on gold remains unchanged. He explained, “Rising concerns over a potential U.S. recession, coupled with cautious optimism about easing trade tensions—especially between Washington and Beijing—could exert pressure on gold. However, gold’s notable resilience against price declines indicates underlying demand that has not yet fully entered the market.”
Meanwhile, Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart.com, firmly maintained a bullish view on precious metals. He said, “If I had to write one analytical sentence on the market board, it would be: Precious metals must rally. I emphasize ‘must’ because nothing is certain in the markets. My bearish call last week was wrong, and it’s clear that technical analysis has become almost obsolete—especially in today’s world where algorithm-driven trading dominates.”
After a week largely influenced by the Federal Reserve’s meeting and tariff-related headlines, market focus now shifts to a data-heavy week featuring a broad range of U.S. economic indicators. The action kicks off Tuesday with the release of the April Consumer Price Index (CPI), a report that could offer insights into whether the Fed might cut interest rates in its June meeting.
The real highlight, however, is expected on Thursday, when key reports are scheduled to be published, including the Producer Price Index (PPI), retail sales figures, jobless claims data, and two major regional indices—the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing index. Amidst this flood of information, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also set to deliver a speech in Washington, which could serve as a major catalyst for market movement.
To wrap up the week, markets await Friday’s release of the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May—a report often viewed as a psychological gauge of American consumer behavior.
Momentum Shift: Gold Holds Strong Amid Mounting Dollar PressureHello,
🪙 Gold Market Outlook – May 8, 2025
📈 Current Price Snapshot
Spot Gold (XAU/USD): $3,302/oz
Gold is holding firm above key support levels, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The $3,300 level has now been clearly breached and is acting as short-term support. If this level continues to hold, further upside continuation is expected, with a possible target of $3,500.
🧭 Technical Outlook
4H Major Support: $3,274.637
1D Floor Support: $3,265.328
1W Pivot Point (PP): $3,265.203
1M Pivot Point (PP): $3,248.445
"A test of the weekly/monthly pivot points is possible but uncertain, as current sentiment favors risk-on for gold, while the USD faces risk-off pressure."
A pullback to support is possible, but it’s unlikely under the current macro and technical context.
💬 Macro Fundamentals
Gold prices fell earlier today due to optimism surrounding a potential Trump–UK trade deal and easing geopolitical tensions. However, the market remains cautious as US-China officials are scheduled to meet in Switzerland. Meanwhile, China's central bank approved foreign exchange purchases by commercial banks, further boosting gold imports and supporting physical demand.
"Such measures are likely to keep supporting bullion demand."
— Han Tan, Exinity Group
🌍 Geopolitical Risk Factor
India-Pakistan tensions have escalated, with Pakistan downing 12 Indian drones, which is contributing to increased safe-haven demand in the region.
"Potentially leading to an unquantifiable level of safe-haven demand."
— Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank
Target: $3,500.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
XAUUSD - Could we see $3,200?Gold appears to be showing signs of exhaustion after its impressive rally to record highs near $3,500 per ounce, with recent price action forming a potential double top pattern. The downward-pointing arrow on the chart suggests bearish momentum is building, and with the price currently hovering around $3,326, we may be witnessing the early stages of a deeper pullback toward the lower support box around $3,200. This correction would represent a healthy consolidation within gold's long-term uptrend, allowing overextended technical indicators to reset before the next potential leg higher. Fundamental factors including potential profit-taking, a temporary strengthening in the US dollar, and positioning adjustments ahead of upcoming economic data could accelerate this move toward the $3,200 target in the coming weeks.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DeGRAM | GOLD has reached the channel boundary📊 Technical Analysis
● Chart shows a bullish breakout from the falling wedge into a rising channel. Support near $3,300 held firm, and price is now above the $3,360 pivot, eyeing the $3,430–$3,500 resistance zone. Oscillators on daily chart remain positive, reinforcing the upward bias.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Global uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand: tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East and renewed US-China trade fears are supporting gold.
● A softer US dollar and policy uncertainty also boost bullion; analysts note continued demand keeping prices elevated above $3,000.
● Bank of America highlights that US trade-policy uncertainty will “lend support” to gold prices.
✨ Summary
Upside momentum remains strong, with key support around $3,300–$3,360. Gold’s long bias points toward ~$3,500 in the short term, underpinned by geopolitical risks and a weak dollar.
-------------------
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
After completing 3260 and 3308 yesterday, we stated that we now had ema5 lock above 3308 opening 3340.
- This was done perfectly completing this target with plenty of time to get in for the action. We are now seeing ema5 lock above 3340 leaving 3428 open. Any rejections on this zone will see price testing the lower Goldturns for suport and bonce inline with our plans to buy dips within the overall structure.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
GOLD Trade Plan 08/05/2025Dear Traders,
after FOMC and After Powell's speech, we saw heavy fluctuations in gold. I expect the price to drop below the 3300 zone, which is a buying area, and from there, we could see a strong move toward the all-time high.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold Price Analysis May 9The recent market with big fluctuations with yesterday's D1 candle down 100 price shows that the Sellers have regained their position.
Today's strategy is to watch SELL more than to watch BUY.
The Gold zone is reacting at the 3316 resistance zone and is heading towards 3322 at the end of the Asian session. Today's trading strategy pays attention to the 3322 resistance zone. If the European session does not break, SELL to 3300. If it breaks, hold to 3286. When it breaks 3286, do not BUY anymore but wait until 3325 to be able to BUY.
In the opposite direction, if it breaks 3322, wait for a test and BUY to 3350 and then SELL around 3350 today.