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GOLD trade ideas

XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025🔍 Daily Structure Summary: After rejecting from the ATH zone (3500), price formed a corrective wave, with a clean bullish reaction from 3284–3292, now confirmed on Daily. Friday’s daily candle closed bullish, forming a strong wick rejection from demand, indicating buy-side interest around 3290. EMAs show price still in a pullback phase, with EMA21 and EMA50 overhead acting as dynamic resistance (~3360–3380). 📌 Key Daily Zones & Levels Zone / Level Description 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Supply Zone – major rejection area (same as Weekly top) 3380–3395 🔁 Daily FVG + EMA confluence – near-term resistance zone 3340–3360 🔁 Old support → new resistance – possible rejection if unconfirmed 3284–3292 ✅ Confirmed Demand – recent bounce and bullish PA 3250–3265 🔵 Last defense zone – if this breaks, 3220 may be exposed 3220–3235 🔵 Major Daily Demand – matches Weekly BOS and potential reversal zone 📈 Current Price Action Notes: Price is pushing away from 3290, aiming toward 3340–3360, where we may see the first intraday test of resistance. A clean break above 3360 would open space toward 3380–3395, where FVG and EMA50 could slow price. If price fails to hold above 3290, it may revisit 3250–3265 for a deeper liquidity sweep. 🧠 Flow Outlook for Monday: Bullish scenario: Price holds above 3290 and forms higher low → potential to reach 3360–3380 intraday. If that breaks, we target 3395. Bearish scenario: If we reject below 3340 and lose 3290 again, price may head back toward 3250–3235 for stronger demand testing. 📌 Summary of Levels (For May 12): Type Price Zones Notes Resistance 3448–3500 Premium HTF rejection zone 3380–3395 FVG + EMA confluence 3340–3360 Near-term intraday resistance Support 3284–3292 Daily demand, bullish reaction confirmed 3250–3265 Key intraday demand & bounce zone 3220–3235 HTF daily demand + structure base
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
#Gold ( #XAUUSD ) Analysis for the Upcoming WeekAnalysis for the Upcoming Week Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025 Chart Overview Timeframe: Daily (1D) Current Price: $3,325.39 Key Levels: Resistance Zone: $3,347.54 – $3,359.35 (IMB - Imbalance area) Support Zone: $3,195.83 – $3,176.18 Technical Analysis 1. Price Action Gold has recently shown a bearish move from the $3,420 area, retracing to the current $3,325 zone. The chart highlights a potential supply/imbalance (IMB) zone between $3,347.54 and $3,359.35, where sellers may become active again. 2. Trade Setup Short Bias: The marked red zone indicates a potential sell area. If price retraces back to the IMB zone ($3,347.54–$3,359.35), sellers may look for short entries. Target: The green area suggests a take-profit zone around $3,195.83–$3,176.18, aligning with previous support. 3. Risk Management Stop Loss: Above the IMB zone, ideally above $3,359.35, to protect against a breakout. Risk/Reward: The setup offers a favorable risk/reward, with the stop loss relatively tight compared to the potential downside. Fundamental Considerations Monitor upcoming US economic data (CPI, PPI, Fed statements), as these can impact gold prices. Geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns may provide underlying support, but technicals currently favor a retracement. Trading Plan for the Week Wait for Retracement: Watch for price to move back into the $3,347–$3,359 IMB zone. Look for Bearish Confirmation: Seek reversal candlestick patterns or rejection wicks in the IMB zone before entering a short position. Target Previous Lows: Aim for the $3,195–$3,176 support area for profit-taking. Adjust if Breakout Occurs: If price closes above $3,360 on the daily, reassess the bearish outlook. Summary: Gold is likely to face resistance in the $3,347–$3,359 zone. If price shows rejection here, a move down toward $3,195–$3,176 is probable. Watch for confirmation before entering trades and manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by sadhutn
Gold Price Analysis May 9The recent market with big fluctuations with yesterday's D1 candle down 100 price shows that the Sellers have regained their position. Today's strategy is to watch SELL more than to watch BUY. The Gold zone is reacting at the 3316 resistance zone and is heading towards 3322 at the end of the Asian session. Today's trading strategy pays attention to the 3322 resistance zone. If the European session does not break, SELL to 3300. If it breaks, hold to 3286. When it breaks 3286, do not BUY anymore but wait until 3325 to be able to BUY. In the opposite direction, if it breaks 3322, wait for a test and BUY to 3350 and then SELL around 3350 today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, projecting a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the main ideas conveyed: 1. Support Level & Double Bottom A strong support level is marked around the 3,177 area, with the price bouncing from it twice (highlighted by two black dots), indicating a potential double bottom pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. 2. EMA 200 Support The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lies just below the current price (~3,177), acting as dynamic support. The fact that price is holding above it adds strength to the bullish argument. 3. Bullish Divergence on RSI The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a bullish divergence, where the price made lower lows but RSI made higher lows—another potential reversal indicator. 4. Price Projection If the bullish move plays out, the chart outlines two upward targets: Target Point: ~3,501.67 Next Target Point: ~3,729.23 These are based on measured moves from previous impulse legs (shown by vertical blue projections). 5. Entry Setup The chart suggests a break above the short-term consolidation could trigger the bullish run toward the first target, aligning with bullish price structure and support confirmation. Mr SMC Trading point --- Overall Idea: The chart expects a bullish reversal from support, confirmed by double bottom, EMA 200 support, and RSI divergence, targeting higher resistance zones. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
25
Gold Eyes Upside Break – Bullish Outlook for Swing TradersGold (XAUUSD) continues to show strength on the 4-hour chart, maintaining its bullish structure and offering a compelling opportunity for swing traders. The market has recently rejected a key support zone, confirming buyer interest and momentum continuation. Key Technical Observations Support Zone Rejection: Price strongly rejected the $3,199–$3,265 support zone, forming a clear bullish response. This zone also coincides with the rising trendline, adding strength to the support. Trendline Confirmation: The dotted green ascending trendline has been respected multiple times, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend. Consolidation Breakout: After consolidating for nearly 3 days, price broke above the range, confirming bullish intent. All-Time High Target: The next major resistance lies near the all-time high at $3,504, which acts as the primary upside target. Trade Setup Entry Level: $3,338 (after breakout from consolidation) Take Profit (TP): $3,504 Stop Loss (SL): $3,265 Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 2.28 Gold is clearly bullish on the 4-hour timeframe. The trendline bounce, support zone defense, and breakout from consolidation provide a solid basis for swing traders aiming to capture a move toward the all-time high. As long as price remains above the $3,265 level, bullish positions remain valid.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
GOLD falls sharply then recovers slightly from key confluenceOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply and recovered slightly, as expectations of more such deals increased after US President Donald Trump announced a “groundbreaking” trade deal with the UK, undermining the metal’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. The US and UK have reached a deal and markets are expecting more “tariff-free” avenues Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer jointly announce the signing of a trade deal • The UK will reduce tariffs on US goods from 5.1% to 1.8%; • The US will maintain a uniform tariff of 10% on UK imports; • The UK will further ease market access for US goods. The US and China will continue high-level talks this Saturday US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with top Chinese economic officials in Switzerland on Saturday to discuss the outlook for trade relations. Gold prices have hit record highs in recent months, largely due to global tensions caused by Trump's tariff policies. China's central bank allows banks to buy foreign currency to import gold, signaling potential support The People's Bank of China has approved commercial banks to buy foreign currency in the latest quota to pay for gold imports, supporting the possibility of increased physical gold demand in the market in the future. With the implementation of the US-UK agreement, the recovery of risk appetite in the market and the approaching US-China negotiations, the safe-haven demand for gold has temporarily eased, and technical downward pressure has also emerged. In addition, traders need to pay special attention to geopolitical developments with the focus on Russia - Ukraine when Ukraine has taken actions despite Russia's warnings on May 9. Any escalation of the conflict will immediately support gold's sudden price increase. Analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD technical outlook On the daily chart, after a sharp decline from the weekly target of $3,430, gold's decline has paused and recovered slightly from the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. The area around $3,292 is also an important support area as it is a confluence of important technical support factors, with the appearance of EMA21 (major support), the lower edge of the price channel which is the short-term trend price channel and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. As long as gold remains above $3,292, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term, and in case gold falls below this level, it will likely test technical support at $3,267 in the short term, more than $3,245. For the day, with the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook, and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,267 Resistance: $3,351 – $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3334 - 3332⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3338 →Take Profit 1 3326 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3320 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3259 - 3261⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3255 →Take Profit 1 3267 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3273
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD - Bullish Structure with Potential Continuation PlayThe current 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) demonstrates a clean bullish structure supported by an ascending channel and multiple unmitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) acting as potential demand zones. This setup highlights the strength of the ongoing uptrend and offers insights into a high-probability continuation entry should price retrace. Market Context and Trend Structure: Following a prolonged downtrend visible in the earlier part of the chart, Gold reversed decisively with a bullish break of structure. Since then, price has been consistently printing higher highs and higher lows while respecting an ascending parallel channel. This channel, marked by two trendlines, encapsulates the short-term bullish momentum. The current move is strong and impulsive, suggesting that institutional order flow is behind this leg. Candles are elongated with minimal wicks on the upside, reinforcing the idea of aggressive buying pressure. Key Demand Zones and FVG Analysis: Three major Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed along the recent bullish leg, each potentially acting as a zone of reaccumulation. These FVGs are marked in green and correspond to areas where price left inefficiency after strong upward moves without immediate retracements. * The most recent FVG, located just beneath current price, aligns with a minor structure support zone and overlaps partially with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This area stands out as a prime candidate for a bullish continuation entry, particularly if price retraces and shows signs of holding. * The middle FVG, slightly lower in the structure, represents a deeper mitigation level and could serve as a secondary entry in case the initial zone fails to hold. * The lowest FVG is a broader inefficiency zone that formed near the base of the bullish reversal. If price returns this far, it would likely signify a temporary shift in momentum or deeper liquidity hunt before another leg upward. Channel Structure and Momentum: The ascending channel has been respected throughout the rally, offering visual confirmation of trend strength and the rhythm of pullbacks. The current price is near the upper boundary of the channel, and a short-term retracement is a logical expectation before continuation. A pullback into the FVG + lower channel region would represent a convergence of structure, imbalance, and trendline support. These overlapping technical elements enhance the probability of a bounce from this zone. Projected Path: The chart also suggests a conservative bullish continuation projection, aiming toward the zone marked around 3449.12. This level appears to be a measured move extension and a safer target in relation to the overall structure. However, the note on the chart implies that the all-time high (ATH) could also be in play if momentum continues and market conditions remain supportive. The key here is the behavior around the nearest FVG. If price retraces and holds this area—potentially forming a bullish engulfing or confirmation on lower timeframes—it may offer an ideal continuation entry with minimal drawdown. Conclusion: This Gold 1-hour chart reflects a strong bullish structure with clear institutional footprints left in the form of unmitigated FVGs. The alignment of ascending channel support and bullish imbalances creates a favorable setup for continuation traders. Watching the immediate FVG zone will be critical, as it may define the next impulsive leg toward higher targets. If that zone fails, deeper FVGs below offer secondary opportunities while maintaining the bullish bias as long as structural higher lows remain intact.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Louigi_24
55
Downtrend - will gold price return to 3233?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounded from an early Asian session drop to a multi-day low, reclaiming ground above the $3,300 psychological level in the past hour. The precious metal continues to draw support from persistent geopolitical uncertainties, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, intensifying tensions in the Middle East, and renewed friction along the India-Pakistan border. That said, the upside appears constrained by improving risk sentiment, driven by renewed optimism surrounding a US-UK trade agreement and the launch of US-China tariff negotiations over the weekend. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices are under great selling pressure as trade negotiations on tariffs are becoming more active. They may return to the 323x price zone and continue to accumulate. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3351- 3353 SL 3358 TP1: $3340 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3320 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227 TP1: $3245 TP2: $3260 TP3: $3270 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold delivering excellent Trading opportunitiesTechnical analysis: Gold is consolidating on Hourly 4 chart after it entered my expected #3,342.80 - #3,322.80 Neutral Rectangle zone with #3,342.80 as an possible stop and local High’s. Upper maximum extension can reach #3,352.80 benchmark / Hourly 4 chart’s extension if Resistance breaks. Both ways, I doubt that Neutral candles will last for long as Gold will be ready for another Buying or Selling sequence, where another slide might be in the aftertime. It is important to note that DX found the Support and engaged the spiral recovery (# +0.81%) which can add Selling pressure on Gold. I will use this configuration and observing market closing (closing below #3,312.80 confirms the downtrend extension), where Gold is Technically ready for #3,300.80 - #3,252.80 benchmark test. DX however remains merely Neutral on bigger charts however near Lower High’s peak, adding Volatility on Gold counterbalancing mixed values on Yields. This gives me the impression that Gold has at the moment more probabilities to a Short-term uptrend than break below the Support zone. Gold continues to be contained within parabolic uptrend however isolated within Neutral range for the last #1 - #2 consecutive sessions. Daily chart is on (# +0.58%) switch and represents an cautious fractal. Keep in mind that the Medium-term pattern on Daily chart is an Ascending Channel and Gold is on its Higher High’s decimal zone with Lower levels being a potential Lower High’s Target. Total Neutrality and balance between the Support and Resistance lines is consolidation phase of next major move ahead. My position: I have expected #3,300.80 benchmark touch throughout yesterday's session where I engaged Selling order on #3,345.80 (entry point). Due news outcome, #3,352.80 was tested which triggered my Stop-loss and left me without any orders. Later on, Gold dipped towards #3,300.80 benchmark (what I did expect) as I managed to re-Sell Gold on #3,322.80 and close the order on #3,307.80. I am without any orders as Gold is Trading within Neutral Rectangle. I will Trade the break-out of values I explained above.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by goldenBear88
GOLD - Price can make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow. In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range. After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant. In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level. Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant. Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
9
GOLD FED CAUTIOUS WAIT AND SEE APPROCH 1. Inverse Correlation Between Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold and the U.S. dollar typically share a strong inverse relationship: when the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering gold prices, and vice versa. Currently, gold’s 30-day correlation to the DXY stands at around -0.68, confirming this inverse link. However, this relationship has been somewhat disrupted recently due to factors like central bank buying and geopolitical tensions, which have supported gold even amid a strong dollar. 2. Impact of Interest Rate Differentials and Federal Reserve Policy Gold is sensitive to real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation). Higher real rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, typically pressuring prices downward. The Fed’s recent decision to hold rates steady at 4.25–4.5% led to a slight dip in gold prices from session highs around $3,400 to about $3,371 per ounce, illustrating gold’s sensitivity to U.S. monetary policy. Despite this, gold remains resilient near all-time highs (~$3,500/oz), supported by ongoing trade uncertainties, geopolitical risks, and central bank demand. Markets expect possible Fed rate cuts later in 2025, which historically have supported gold rallies. For example, every 25 basis points of rate cuts have been associated with roughly a 3.5% rise in gold prices. 3. Geopolitical and Trade Tensions Supporting Gold Trade tensions (e.g., U.S. tariffs on China, EU, Canada) and geopolitical uncertainties have increased gold’s safe-haven appeal, at times overriding the typical negative impact of a stronger dollar or higher rates. Central banks, especially China, continue to accumulate gold aggressively, structurally supporting prices. 4. Summary of Dynamics Stronger U.S. Dollar (DXY) Generally bearish for gold Negative correlation with gold price Higher Real Interest Rates Bearish (higher opportunity cost) Fed rate hikes typically strengthen DXY Fed Rate Holds or Cuts Bullish (lower opportunity cost) Cuts weaken DXY, support gold Geopolitical/Tariff Uncertainty Bullish (safe haven demand) Can decouple gold from dollar strength Central Bank Gold Buying Bullish (structural support) Independent of DXY In essence: Gold prices in 2025 are influenced by a delicate balance between Federal Reserve interest rate policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, and geopolitical risks. While higher interest rates and a stronger dollar typically pressure gold, ongoing trade tensions, safe-haven demand, and central bank buying have helped gold remain near record highs. Future Fed rate cuts and easing inflation could further bolster gold, especially if the dollar weakens.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our Bullish target at 3260 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3308. This was hit perfectly also completing this target. We are now seeing ema5 lock above 3308 opening 3340. Any rejections on this zone will see price testing the lower Goldturns for suport and bonce inline with our plans to buy dips within the overall structure. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3260 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3308 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3340 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3382 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3478 BEARISH TARGETS 3217 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS 3174 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE 3126 3078 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3034 - 2979 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
14