GOLD (XAU/USD) at ATH โ Two Key Scenarios to WatchGold has reached ATH, and we're currently testing a critical resistance zone. Look at my previous published post, perfectly played out and we're just getting started.
๐ Scenario 1: If the 1H candle body breaks above resistance with a confirmed close, weโre likely to see a push toward the $3,300 level before a potential pullback toward $3100
๐ Scenario 2: If we fail to break resistance, a pullback toward the $3,100 zone is expected before a bounce back to $3,350.
Wait for a retest confirmation on the 1H candle body closure before taking any position.
Updates will be published!
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSDHello, traders
This chart is an insightful visual representation of technical analysis for the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar. Based on its design, it seems geared toward identifying potential price movement patterns and decision points for trading. Here are some key takeaways:
1. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels:** Highlighted at 0.618 and 0.886, they indicate potential zones where the price might reverse or consolidate, valuable for planning entry and exit points.
2. **Significant Price Levels:** Labels like PDH (Previous Day High), PDL (Previous Day Low), and PWL (Previous Week Low) provide context on past market performance, which can signal future behavior.
3. **Market Structure Insights:** Annotations like BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) help traders analyze shifts in trend or market momentum.
4. **Current Market Data:** With an ask price of 3,238.290 and a bid at 3,237.570, accompanied by a visible increase in volume, this may suggest heightened market activity.
Gold Forms Triple Top and Breaks Channel Bearish Cont' PlayThis chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 15-minute timeframe shows a clear bearish setup forming after a strong upward channel.
Hereโs a quick breakdown:
- Trend Structure: Price was moving within a rising channel, but has now broken below the lower boundary of that channel, signaling a possible shift in trend.
- Triple Top Pattern: Three peaks marked as "TOP 1", "TOP 2", and "TOP 3" suggest a strong resistance zone and bearish reversal potential.
- Break of Structure (BoS): Several BoS labels indicate bearish breaks in market structure, supporting the downside bias.
- Projected Move: The chart suggests a pullback to retest the broken channel and then a continuation downward.
- Bearish Targets: The key downside levels are marked at 3187, 3177, and 3151 , which align with previous support zones.
Overall, this chart signals a likely bearish continuation if price respects the retest zone and fails to reclaim the channel.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down the key forces pushing gold to record highs. Learn how factors such as US-China trade tensions, global inflation pressures, and geopolitical uncertaintyโcombined with a weakening US Dollar and safe-haven demandโare reshaping the gold market.
In this quick analysis, we cover:
๐น Inflation & Economic Uncertainty: How rising prices and central bank policies continue to drive interest in gold.
๐น Trade Tensions & Geopolitical Risks: The impact of US-China disputes and global instability on market sentiment.
๐น US Dollar Weakness: Why a softer USD is making gold a more attractive asset for international investors.
๐น Technical Insights: Pinpointing key price levels and exploring potential trend continuations or reversals ahead of US retail sales data.
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational onlyโnot financial advice. Constantly assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesnโt guarantee future results.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
XAU/USD | 4H Chart Price has respected this ascending channel beautifully with multiple touches on both trendlines, confirming the structure. We recently saw a break of structure (BOS) followed by a strong bullish push.
Currently watching for a short-term pullback into the 4H support + FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone, aligning with the midline of the channel. If price reacts bullish here, I'll be looking for a continuation toward the upper trendline and potential new highs.
Trade Setup:
Entry: At support/FVG confluence
SL: Below the FVG zone
TP: At the upper channel resistance
GOLD-SELL Strategy 12 hourly chart GANN SQIt feels we are near the end of the run for the short-term and who knows, for the MT as well. It is overextended, even though we had some interim corrections, the overall correction has not taken place as yet.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,200-3,25o and take profit near $ 3,097 for now.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2% Fibo lvl 3143.50.Dear colleagues, I expect a correction in the coming week. Wave โVโ has started its development and now I think that wave โ1โ of medium order is completing its development and I think that the correction in wave โ2โ will last until the area of 38.2% Fibonacci level 3143.50.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GOLD ( XAU/USD) likely to move up from here Take this with a grain of salt. I am no expert, and this is not financial advice.
Technical Analysis (TA):
As we look at the hourly (1hr) timeframe, we can see a strong upward movement followed by a temporary consolidation creating a bullish pennant pattern suggesting a trend continuation. A conservative target puts us at around $3,350 per troy ounce of gold, but we could go as high as $3,494.63 to be exact.
Fundamentals Analysis (FA):
Macroeconomic Uncertainty: I can go into great detail about what is happening, but I would be writing an essay the size of 10 pages, and I don't want to do that now, so here is a quick and simple overview:
Tarrif War between the United States of America and China (as well as other countries) could lead to economic slow downs as well as poor revenue's for companies.
Start-ups are dead. As of today, there has been an alarming rate of start-ups which has been failing and unable to secure funding, and yes I am aware start ups fail all the time and funding dries up, just at the current rate it is scary how many are actively failing where a year back they were alive and well with bright futures and investment potential, investors are running to safe havens such as GOLD to keep their funds safe.
Central banks are expected to pause or even cut rates, which is typically bullish for gold, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
Geopolitical Tensions: War War War :(
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
With a strong bullish rally that we saw on Gold since the beginning
of the week, I prepared for you the updated support & resistance analysis.
Resistance 1: 3340 - 3357 area
Resistance 2: 3390 - 3406 area
Resistance 3: 3440 - 3450 area
Support 1: 3235 - 3246 area
Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area
Support 3: 2957 - 2983 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild correction now)(11-04-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (11-04-2025)
Current price- 3232
"if Price stays below 3250, then next target is 3222, 3200, 3170 and 3130 and above that 3270 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
Gold weekly update with both buy and sell levels๐ Short-Term Forecast for XAU/USD
Current Market Context:
Price: $3,227.375 (currently)
Recent High: Around $3,328
Structure: Strong bullish rally with minor retracement. Currently consolidating under a key resistance zone.
Fib Levels: Price has respected Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, particularly 0.618 and 0.786.
Volume Delta: High macro delta volume at 19.67%, indicating aggressive buying.
Forecast:
Bullish Bias short-term with room for a minor pullback to retest lower support zones around $3,200โ$3,180 before continuation higher.
If $3,328 is broken convincingly, we could see a rally toward $3,345, $3,360, and beyond.
๐ Potential Trading Signals
Buy Signals:
Break and Retest of $3,328 Resistance โ Watch for a clean break above $3,328 and retest as support to initiate a long position.
Pullback to $3,200โ$3,180 Zone โ This is a high confluence area of previous support + Fib level (near 0.382โ0.5). Bullish reversal candlestick patterns here could be a buy trigger.
EMA Bounce โ The 21 and 50 EMA are acting as dynamic support. A bounce from these EMAs could be a signal for continuation upward.
Sell Signals:
Failure to Break $3,328 With Strong Bearish Rejection โ Look for long wicks and engulfing candles near resistance.
Break Below $3,180 โ Could trigger a sharper correction to $3,150 and possibly $3,100.
๐ Upcoming Economic Data & Impact on XAU/USD
Key Events to Watch:
U.S. Fed Commentary & Rate Decision Expectations
U.S. CPI / PPI / Core Inflation Reports
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP)
Geopolitical Risks (Middle East, Ukraine, etc.)
Influence:
Hawkish Fed Data (higher inflation, strong jobs) โ Stronger USD โ Bearish for XAU/USD.
Dovish Signals (cooling inflation, rate cut hints) โ Weaker USD โ Bullish for XAU/USD.
Geo-Risk Escalation โ Gold rallies as a safe haven.
๐ Day Trading Plan for XAU/USD
Trading Style: Scalping to Intraday Swing
Timeframe Focus: 15min, 1hr, 4hr
Indicators Used:
21 EMA, 50 EMA
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
Price Action (Engulfing, Doji, Pin Bars)
Volume & Delta Volumes
Key S/R Zones
๐น Bullish Setup (Buy the Dip Strategy):
Entry: $3,200โ$3,180
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or pin bar + bounce from EMA
TP1: $3,245
TP2: $3,280
SL: $3,172 (below structure)
๐น Breakout Strategy (Momentum Trade):
Entry: Break of $3,328 and close above
Confirmation: 15m or 1h candle close above with increased volume
TP1: $3,345
TP2: $3,360
SL: $3,312
๐ป Bearish Setup (Fade the Resistance):
Entry: Rejection of $3,328 zone
Confirmation: Long upper wick or bearish engulfing candle
TP1: $3,280
TP2: $3,250
SL: $3,335
๐ Risk Management Tips
Risk max 1โ2% per trade.
Adjust position size according to volatility (ATR).
Use alerts around key levels: $3,200, $3,328, $3,345.
Avoid trading major news releases without clarity.
๐บ๏ธ XAU/USD Day Trading Roadmap (Short-Term)
โ
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Breakout Play)
๐ Key Level to Watch:
โ Resistance at $3,328
๐ข If price breaks and closes above $3,328:
Enter LONG on retest of $3,328 as support.
TP1: $3,345
TP2: $3,360
TP3: $3,382
SL: Below $3,312
๐ Confirmation Needed:
Bullish 15m/1h close above resistance
Increasing volume
๐ Scenario 2: Range Play / Rejection from Resistance
๐ Key Range:
Top: $3,328
Bottom: $3,200โ$3,180
๐ด If price rejects $3,328:
Consider SHORT entries from resistance
TP1: $3,280
TP2: $3,250
SL: Above $3,335
๐ Confirmation Needed:
Bearish engulfing or pin bar near $3,328
Divergence or decreasing volume
๐ข Scenario 3: Buy-the-Dip (Support Bounce)
๐ Buy Zone:
โ $3,200โ$3,180 support zone (confluence of Fib & EMA)
๐ข If price pulls back and holds above $3,180:
Go LONG on bullish candle
TP1: $3,245
TP2: $3,280
SL: Below $3,172
๐ Confirmation Needed:
Pin bar, hammer, or bullish engulfing
Volume bounce or EMA support hold
๐ป Scenario 4: Bearish Breakdown
๐ Critical Support:
โ $3,180
๐ด If price breaks & closes below $3,180:
Go SHORT on retest of $3,180 as resistance
TP1: $3,150
TP2: $3,100
SL: Above $3,190
๐ Confirmation Needed:
Clean break + bearish volume spike
EMAs cross bearish
๐ง Bonus Tips:
๐ Best sessions: London and New York overlap
๐
Check calendar: U.S. CPI, PPI, and NFP are gold movers
๐งฏ Avoid overtrading. Let price come to your key zones.
๐ฏ Use alerts at $3,180, $3,200, $3,328
XAU/ USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to suggest a bullish continuation setup after a correction. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Points from the Chart:
1. Rising Channel:
The price is moving within an ascending channel.
After a breakout and strong rally, it is currently in a flag or wedge-like correction pattern.
2. Correction Zone:
The price is consolidating downward inside a small descending wedge (a bullish pattern), potentially forming a bull flag.
This is typically a sign of continuation after a strong upward impulse.
3. Support Zone:
A 4H support level is marked around 3,301.416, which aligns with the lower boundary of the flag pattern.
This is a potential buy zone for price to react and bounce.
4. Target Point:
The target is projected at 3,404.254, implying a breakout to the upside if the support holds.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently around 65, with previous values near 80, suggesting a slight cooldown but still in bullish territory.
A slight drop in RSI might occur before the next bounce.
6. EMA 200:
The EMA 200 is well below current price (around 3,137), indicating a strong bullish trend.
Mr SMC Trading point
Possible Trade Idea:
Entry: Around the 3,301โ3,305 support area.
Confirmation: Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (engulfing candle or strong bounce).
Target: Around 3,404 (as per the marked target zone).
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (e.g., below 3,295), depending on risk tolerance.
Pales support boost ๐ analysis follow)
GOLD: What happened?Hello friends
The trend is very bullish and given the recent events in the world, the possibility of a decline is decreasing, so we can buy in pullbacks that the price is making in steps and with capital management and risk, price targets have also been specified.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold Dips From PRZ โ Will Supports Hold for New ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Resistance lines . The question is, can Gold create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
In terms of Elliott waves , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . This main wave 4 is likely to complete near the Support lines and Support zone($3,168-$3,133) .
I expect Gold to either rise again after breaking the Resistance zone($3,220-$3,211) or near the Support zone($3,168-$3,133) and Support lines .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($3,168-$3,133), we should expect a further correction from Gold.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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The first negative line after three consecutive positive linesThe current gold market is facing dual drivers of policy and fundamentals. Trump's tariff policy trend has become a key variable. Coupled with expectations of a slowdown in the US economy in 2025 and rising global geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand continues to support gold prices.
Gold technicals show the first small negative line after three consecutive positive lines, and the correction signal is to be confirmed. The intraday shock adjustment is obvious, and the magnetic effect of the 3235-3200 range is significant. It is recommended to maintain the range thinking at the operational level. The upper resistance is currently at 3232-3235, and the lower support is at 3200-3195. Wait for the key guidance on Wednesday to clarify the direction. The market is in a sensitive period of market change, and it is necessary to focus on the pulsed impact of policy dynamics and geopolitical risk evolution on gold prices.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound to 3233-3237 short, stop loss 3245, and the target is 3210-3200.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3190-3185 long, stop loss 3178, and the target is 3210-3230.
XAUUSD profit analysisGold has been breaking new highs recently. Don't chase the short position blindly. Gold is still strong. Although there is a need for a correction on the technical level, gold has not fallen sharply. It is still mainly long, but don't be blindly long at high levels. It is recommended to wait for a short-term correction before continuing to go long. In the short term, you can pay attention to the 3320-3325 range. You can enter long orders in this area, but you must pay attention to risk management when trading. If there is a loss, you must stop loss in time. Stop loss is also one of the trading techniques. Many people who shorted gold have been trapped or even cleared because they did not set a stop loss account. Don't insist meaninglessly!
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