ICT + SMC XAUUSD 100 % After Grab INDUCEMENT and sweep from bottom short term low we going long for new ATH
GOLD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
An interesting week in Camelot and on the markets this week! Can we say it went to plan, in all honesty, no, not really. We got most of the levels we wanted for the bigger moves, but the retracements just didn't come to get better entries. We've done well on the targets and the red boxes, all the weekly bias target levels were also hit, but it did take constant analysing and monitoring to keep the team on track and the right way in the market.
Now, we have support below at the 2935 level with resistance above circled, which could be a decent target from anyone holding the long trade we shared and update the wider community on late session yesterday. Unfortunately, we couldn't update the KOG Report with the idea.
Wishing you all a great weekend ahead and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report and our view for the week ahead.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2865 with targets above 2885✅, 2895✅, 2902✅ and above that 2910✅
Bearish on break of 2865 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2843, 2835 and below that 2828
RED BOXES:
Break above 2885 for 2888✅, 2902✅, 2910✅ and 2913✅ in extension of the move
Break below 2875 for 2870, 2865, 2857, 2855 and 2850 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Change of Characteristics
RSI - Divergence
Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
Fibonacci Level - 200.0%
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves
XAUUSD So this is the target for the next four hours, take the mSo we have taken out the entry part of the market, sell from this place and see, understand the ideas well and then take profit.
MY WEEKLY FORECASTING AS WELL AS AND TODAY TARGET INCULDED 2970XAUUSD market currently on 2945.00 Acoording to time frame H4 bullish trend if market WILL break the key point 2955. then it WILL BE TOUCH on 2970 if MARKET break my resistance level then IT WILL BE BEARISH on 2900.00
target 1 2960
target 2 2980
target 3 3000
resistance level 2930
Excellent Profits / #2,952.80 aheadAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged few re-Buy orders which delivered few #8 - #10 point Profits and re-engaged Gold on #2,934.80 and aimed to keep it over-night with Stop on breakeven. However my Stop got invalidated late Asian session and left me without any patterns to Trade by. #2,918.80 - #2,921.80 represents Support zone for now and every rejection there is #20 - #40 points Buying opportunity. Keep Buying the dips and Sell with cation since this is undisputed Bullish trend."
I have engaged at least #4 Buying orders throughout Friday's session (#2,925.80 entry point) and closed on #2,935.80 - #2,942.80 delivering excellent Profits as I kept final one #2,927.80 entry point / optimal Target remains #2,952.80 benchmark. I have stated that Traders should keep Buying the dips on Gold and my #4th order I will look to close as near as #2,952.80 benchmark. It is indeed excellent last week's closing and entering current week in decent Profit. Once I close my order there, I will observe market from sidelines and will Gold defend #2,948.80 - #2,952.80 newly formed Support zone with market closing. If it does, I will Buy Gold on spot towards #2,972.80 Higher High's extension. Indeed I am more than satisfied with my returns.
XAUUSD Bullish IdeaThis chart is just to represent what the market might do, it’s just for structure and charting purposes for my students.
Can gold break through the high-level fluctuations?Gold technical analysis: Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated and rebounded all the way. Today's early trading is close to the historical high of 2940 again. So can it successfully break through 2940 and set a new historical high again? The more times a position is tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Therefore, the probability of gold prices reaching a new high is very high.
At present, the support below is mainly in the 2915-2910 area. In addition, we also know that last year’s market also tested retracements near consecutive historical highs. Then there was a retracement near 2940 on Friday last week. Today’s 2940 retracement. I don’t know if 2940 will continue to suppress the retracement in the future. But you can still try a short-term short near 2940. After all, the cost-effectiveness of the retreat here is very high. The defense is very small. The short-term retreat is considerable. Of course, this is an aggressive approach. If you are prudent, wait for the gold price to rise and then participate in the retreat. At present, the author only sees the pressure of 2955. Therefore, if it hits the 2955 line, you can do a good job of risk control and participate in the retreat.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2905-2900 first-line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2906-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
Gold to $2820 by Jan 2025?Hello traders,
I'm sharing my analysis of the gold chart (XAUUSD) on a monthly logarithmic scale, which helps provide a clearer perspective on the broader trend and avoid confusion.
I'm suggesting a long position or investment targeting the $2820 to $2870 range. Here’s why:
Cup & Handle Pattern: I’ve identified a cup & handle pattern that points to a target range of $2820 to $2870, indicating a potential upward move.
Uptrend Wave Study: Analyzing the current uptrend wave from 2016 to now, we can observe a semi-flag pattern from August 2020 to November 2023. This pattern recently broke out, signaling a continuation of the upward trend towards the $2.8K area.
Daily Chart Analysis: On the daily chart, I've analyzed and marked a flag pattern with a cyan rectangle, targeting $2825 by January 2025. To determine this, I measured the time from the 0% to the 61.8% Fibonacci level (143 bars) and applied the same period (143 bars) from the 38.2% to the 100% Fibonacci level, as shown in the chart below.
Please check my previous analyses on NVDA and BTC to see how useful the logarithmic scale is when dealing with large numbers and charts that show a steep upward trajectory.
As always, I recommend conducting your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD TRADE SETUPWait for retest the key level then take a trade for Sell otherwise skip this setup
Has gold risen and fall peaked?Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that it is mainly long for pullbacks and short for rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus on the 2950-2954 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the 2918-2910 line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds around 2950-2953 and shorts two-tenths of positions in batches, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2935-2920, break the position and look at the 2915 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Gold pulls back around 2913-2916 and goes long in batches of two-tenths of positions, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2920-2930, break the position and look at the 2940 line;
XAUUSD What other factors, besides the Ukraine ceasefire, could limit or accelerate the decline in gold prices?
Current price: 2936$
(23 ,February ,2025)
If a real ceasefire in Ukraine happens, gold (XAU/USD) will likely decline. Based on historical trends and expert analysis, here’s a rough estimate of how much gold could drop:
Potential Drop Levels for Gold (XAU/USD)
•Mild drop (Short-term pullback) → $2,850 – $2,900
•If the ceasefire is announced but market confidence remains uncertain, gold may only see a small decline.
•Moderate drop (Ceasefire seen as real and stable) → $2,750 – $2,800
•A stronger ceasefire agreement, with international backing, could push gold down further.
•This would be a 4-6% decline from current levels.
•Major drop (Peace deal confirmed, global risk stabilizes) → $2,600 – $2,700
•If the ceasefire turns into a full peace agreement, gold could drop by 8-12%, returning to mid-2023 levels.
•Extreme drop (Ceasefire + Strong U.S. Economy + Fed Hawkishness) → $2,400 – $2,500
•If the ceasefire is combined with strong U.S. economic data (lower inflation, strong job reports), gold could drop 15-18% from its current highs.
What Will Influence the Drop?
1.Strength of the Ceasefire – If it’s fragile or temporary, gold may not fall much.
2.Market Sentiment – If traders believe risks remain, gold will stay above $2,800.
3.U.S. Dollar & Bond Yields – If a ceasefire strengthens the dollar and Treasury yields rise, gold will drop further.
4.Central Bank Demand – If central banks (China, India, Russia) keep buying gold, it may not fall too much.
Conclusion
•Short-term drop: $2,850 – $2,900
•Stable ceasefire drop: $2,750 – $2,800
•Full peace agreement drop: $2,600 – $2,700
•Extreme case (peace + strong U.S. economy): $2,400 – $2,500
#Ukraine #russia #gold #ceasefire
Gold Technical Analysis (1-Hour Chart)EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD Current Price: 2936.3
Resistance Level: 2952
Support Levels: 2913 - 2893
#### Overview
Gold prices are currently facing a critical resistance level at 2952. If this level holds, the trend is likely to shift to a bearish stance, targeting the support area between 2913 and 2893. The recent confirmation of a head and shoulders pattern reinforces the likelihood of a retracement.
#### Chart Patterns
- Head and Shoulders Pattern: This pattern is typically a bearish reversal signal. With the right shoulder forming, it suggests that a downward move is imminent if the price breaks below the neckline, which could align with the support levels mentioned.
#### Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance Level: 2952
- If gold prices fail to break and close above this level, it serves as a potent barrier that may prompt further selling pressure.
- Support Levels: 2913 - 2893
- A breach below the 2913 level may open the door for a further decline towards the 2893 support area. Watch for price action and volume around these levels to gauge market sentiment.
#### Indicators
- Moving Averages:
- If the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, it would further support a bearish bias.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- An RSI reading below 50 could indicate bearish momentum, while a reading towards the oversold territory (below 30) might suggest potential buying opportunities if the price rebounds.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
- A bearish crossover on the MACD indicator could provide additional confirmation of a downward trend, particularly if it's accompanied by increasing volume.
#### Conclusion
As long as gold maintains the 2952 resistance level, the outlook leans towards a bearish trend, targeting the support area of 2913-2893. Traders should closely monitor the formation of price action around these significant levels and the overall market conditions for more refined trading opportunities. Always use risk management strategies when entering trades.
Disclaimer: Please ensure to conduct thorough research and analysis, considering current market conditions, before making any trading decisions. Happy trading!
XAU/USD LONG VIEW.*triple top pattern*. A triple top is a bearish reversal pattern that typically forms after an uptrend, signaling a potential trend reversal. Here's how your gold trading setup aligns with this pattern:
---
### *Triple Top Analysis:*
1. *Pattern Structure*:
- A triple top consists of three peaks at approximately the same price level (resistance), followed by a breakdown below the support level (neckline).
- The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline, often leading to a significant downward move.
2. *Target Calculation*:
- The *bearish target* is calculated by measuring the height of the pattern (distance from the resistance peak to the neckline) and projecting it downward from the breakout point.
- Formula: *Target = Neckline - (Resistance - Neckline)*
---
### *Your Gold Trade Setup:*
- *Current Price*: 2830 (Sell signal at this level, assuming this is near the neckline or breakdown point).
- *Resistance*: 2932 (triple top peak level).
- *Support/Neckline*: 2938 (this seems inconsistent; typically, the neckline is below the triple top peaks. Double-check this level).
- *Targets*:
- 2903
- 2883
- 2833
- 2783
---
### *Revised Analysis with Triple Top:*
1. *Neckline Confirmation*:
- If the neckline is at *2830* (your sell level), and the triple top resistance is at *2932*, the pattern height is:
- *Height = 2932 - 2830 = 102 points*.
- The *bearish target* would be:
- *Target = 2830 - 102 = 2728*.
2. *My Targets*:
- Your targets (2903, 2883, 2833, 2783) are above and below the current price, which suggests a mix of short-term pullbacks and the final bearish target.
- The most relevant bearish target aligned with the triple top pattern is *2783*, and potentially lower (e.g., 2728).
3. *Support and Resistance*:
- *Resistance at 2932*: This is the triple top peak level. If the price moves back above this level, the triple top pattern is invalidated.
- *Support at 2938*: This level seems too high for a neckline in a triple top pattern. Typically, the neckline is below the peaks. Confirm this level.
---
### *Trading Strategy:*
1. *Sell at 2830*:
- This assumes the price has broken below the neckline, confirming the triple top pattern.
- Place a *stop-loss* above the resistance level (e.g., 2932 or higher, depending on your risk tolerance).
2. *Targets*:
- Short-term targets: 2833, 2783.
- Final target: 2728 (based on the triple top pattern height).
3. *Risk Management*:
- Use proper position sizing and risk-reward ratio.
- Monitor price action for any signs of a reversal or invalidation of the pattern.
---
### *Key Notes:*
- Double-check the *neckline level*. In a triple top pattern, the neckline is typically below the peaks (e.g., around 2830 in this case).
- If the price moves back above the resistance level (2932), the triple top pattern is invalidated, and you should reconsider the trade.
Let me know if you need further clarification or adjustments! 🚀
Gold is waiting to break new highs, and the callback in late traFrom a technical perspective, the current upper 2924-2930 range has become a resistance zone for further increases in gold prices. The stability of the market bottom shape and the overall stronger trend in late trading indicate that gold prices are expected to break through this resistance in the future and set a new intraday high. At the same time, the 2912-2907 area below provides solid support for gold prices and provides a strong guarantee for the continuation of the bullish trend. Therefore, in the late trading operation, we recommend that investors mainly go long on callbacks.
Late trading operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go long in the 2918-2913 area, stop loss at 2907, and the target is 2930-2940.
GOLD SPOT | 3HRS | ShortThis technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Remember to always research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions. Good luck! 📈💼🚀
Gold... To be or not to be? Hi All!
Gold might take another shot at testing its all-time high—because why not? We could see the formation of a fifth-wave impulse with a broad target range of 2780–2792. However, if it breaks below 2750, gold may head down to test the 2720 support level.
Let’s not forget—today is the Fed meeting, and Jerome is about to give the markets a reason to move. Whether it’s a rally or a rollercoaster drop, buckle up—Powell’s got the wheel!
GOLD → Retest of trend support before the NEWS FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the lower boundary of consolidation and support of the uptrend within the correction. Traders are waiting for S&P Global PMI indices in the US.
The gold price has rolled back from the record $2,955, but still retains chances for growth continuation. The decline is due to profit taking as traders prepare for the release of the S&P Global PMI indices in the US.
The PMI data may affect the expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates. Nevertheless, a possible price drop on the back of strong PMI data could be short-lived if Trump's new tariff plans reignite demand for safe-haven assets.
While gold may continue to correct, any drawdowns are likely to be seen as a near-term buying opportunity
Resistance levels: 2933, 2939, 2946, 2955
Support levels: 2924, trend support
A false breakdown of the uptrend support is forming. If the bulls hold their defenses above the key area, gold may continue its rise in the short to medium term. But, the short-term outlook depends on the news
Regards R. Linda!
Weekly Summary and Forecast 2/22/2025As predicted last week, goldy's correction won't happen without any sign. Although we didn't see head and shoulder in 2D TF, we do see some deceleration of the trend as indicated by the curved line.
And gold also faces strong resistance of 2942. This level has been tested 4 times and should get stronger. I would expect this resistance to be tested one more time next week.
For next week, I do expect Monday will be moving slowly and a green candle may be printed. From Tuesday onwards, we may see hug decline. My optimal target will be 2790.
Let's see how the week plays out next week.
Gold Technical Breakdown: Sell Strategy Below 2,888.13 Hi Traders,
This gold trading idea is based on technical analysis. As you can see, the price has broken below the critical support level of 2,888.133, indicating increased sell pressure. A significant long squeeze is likely underway, with potential downward targets at 2,846.20, 2,824.881, and 2,804.207.
Entry Zone: Any price between 2,909.013–2,888.133 presents an optimal range for placing sell orders.
Stop Loss: Set at 2,930.18 to manage risk effectively.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
We finish off another great week, with all our chart ideas playing out, as analysed.
After completing our Bullish targets yesterday, we stated that the last move up on the cross and lock gave over 200 pips but just short of the full gap at 2959. We also stated that, as long as we have no lock below 2928, we are good to buy dips into this range for now.
- This played out perfectly continuing to support above 2928, allowing us to buy dips safely
BULLISH TARGET
2890 - DONE
2928 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 21.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Chart - Intraday Trading Analysis & Signal
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels:
Uptrend in Play: Gold has been respecting an ascending trendline since $2,880, indicating continued bullish sentiment.
Current Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, aligning with multiple trendlines and horizontal support.
Resistance Levels to Watch:
$2,950 - $2,955 (first resistance zone)
$2,970 - $2,975 (major resistance and target)
Breakdown Scenario: If gold fails to hold $2,923, we could see a drop toward $2,905 - $2,898.
📈 Intraday Trading Signal for XAU/USD:
✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (If price holds this support zone and shows bullish reaction)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,950
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,970
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below $2,915
📌 Alternative Scenario (Sell Setup)
❌ Sell Entry: Below $2,922 (If price breaks below support and trendline)
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,905
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,898
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Above $2,935
🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entering Trade:
✅ Bullish Rejection from $2,923 - $2,925 for Buy
✅ Bearish Breakdown Below $2,922 for Sell
✅ Volume Surge in Direction of Trade
✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Bullish Gold
⚠ Risk Management & Trade Tips:
Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit.
If price closes below $2,922, invalidate buy trade and switch to short setup.
Monitor news events impacting USD for volatility.
🚀 Trade with discipline, and let the market confirm the move! 🔥
FOLLOW, COMMENT AND LIKE.
