GOLD in PIVOT AREAGold is in the support area. The commodity is expected to hit the levels of 3461 in rejected from here ( 80% Chance).
However the pair can fall further if the price breaks the levels of 3200.
GOLD trade ideas
Hanzo Drex | 30-Min Break Out Setup – 200 Pips in Sight🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Break out Execution
Time Frame: 15 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Break out
👌Bullish Break : 3333.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual- Entry Intel
Zone Activated: Deep Analysis
➕ 4 wicks connected at 3333
➕ 7 wicks connected at 3329.5
➕ Body Close at 3328
➕ Body Close at 3334
➕ Liquidity at 3344
XAUUSD/GOLD Geopolitical conflicts have escalated again. Next week is a week of heavy news. How will the gold price focus next week? How to trade? Look at the news preview first.
1. Geopolitics, Russia-Ukraine conflict, Palestine-Israel conflict, Iran-Israel conflict.
2. ADP data, NFP data.
3. Tariff deadline.
The above three news are enough to cause drastic fluctuations in the gold price.
On Friday, the New York market followed my expectations. After rebounding around 3282, it fell back. Finally closed around 3274.
The impact of the weekend news is huge. From the news perspective, the opening price of next Monday will be higher than the closing price on Friday. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to buying at a low price after the market opens.
Gold Trading Strategy June 26✏️ D1 candle shows a recovery but not significantly. Gold is currently reacting at the key resistance zone of 3342.
The immediate support zone that the price is heading toward is 3326. This forms a breakout range between 3326 and 3342.
A bullish channel may form if there is a strong price reaction at 3326. Conversely, if 3326 is broken, it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend targeting 3302 during the European and US sessions today. The bearish target could even extend to 3278.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3326 - 3342
Support: 3326 - 3314 - 3302 - 3278
Resistance: 3342 - 3363 - 3388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3302–3300 | SL: 3297
SELL: 3363–3365 | SL: 3369
GOLD REVERSAL POINT [Bearish Bias]According to this analysis, today I'm expecting a sell opportunity. So here we're analyze 1H time frame, Price is currently moving near a strong order flow area, and has also SIBI is pending. If price faces clear rejection from this key levels, So there is a high probability that the market may decline from this level. Wait with patient and maintain discipline, confirmation is key.
Now let's see how our sell zone plays out.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#GOLD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD UPCOMING WEEK ANALYSIS/SET UP On the M5 timeframe, a confirmed candle closure above 3283 would signal a shift toward short-term bullish momentum. In this scenario, the market is likely to attract buyers looking to capitalize on upward continuation. A logical strategy would be to wait for a pullback toward the 3264 or 3278 zone all depending upon price action ie swing lows, It's important to maintain a tight stop loss just below the pullback low, as the expected targets in this bullish leg are first 3291, followed by the psychological level of 3300. These levels may offer minor resistance, and partial profit-taking around them could be considered.
If buying pressure remains strong and the price closes decisively above 3303, this would confirm a continuation of bullish intent. At that point, the market is likely to push toward the unmitigated supply zone marked on the chart. This zone has not been fully tested and may act as a key inflection point where institutional selling could re-enter the market. we should watch price behavior closely in this area, as signs of rejection—such as a bearish engulfing candle or a failure to hold above 3323—would suggest exhaustion of bullish momentum.
If the market fails to hold above 3323 and instead closes below it, this would shift the bias to bearish. Such a rejection would present a high-probability sell opportunity, with the expectation of a move back toward this week’s low. This bearish move would likely be driven by a combination of profit-taking and reactivation of supply from the unmitigated zone, aligning well with smart money principles targeting liquidity beneath recent lows.
Note: Only for educational purpose not a financial advice
Gold 1H IdeaGold still not starting bullish trend. More down continues . Hope it will reach next week. Good luck.
Gold’s Future: Contrary to Expectations?With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, many analysts and global financial institutions have begun betting on a potential increase in gold prices. Some major banks have even raised their forecasts for gold to as high as $4,000 per ounce, raising a critical question: Will gold prices truly rise as expected, or are the markets heading toward a different outcome, one that sees gold’s future moving contrary to expectations?
Recent history has taught us much about gold’s behavior during times of crisis. Investors often turn to gold during heightened turmoil be it political, economic, or even health-related, because it is considered one of the most prominent safe havens and a key hedge against inflation.
Regarding the latest political tensions, gold has shown short-term positive reactions, often spiking in response to unfolding events. However, once markets absorb the impact, prices typically stabilize or partially retreat awaiting new developments or an escalation that could reignite momentum. This scenario played out in recent weeks during Middle East tensions, specifically on June 13, 2025, when gold rose by about 1.92% in a single day, only to drop 2.99% shortly after increasing all its gains.
When comparing the current situation to past events, a familiar pattern emerges. For instance, during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, gold prices initially surged but then started to disregard the ongoing war. A similar reaction occurred with trade tariff decisions imposed by the U.S. president where gold responded briefly to each new headline, only to retreat thereafter.
In summary, gold responded to the latest Middle East developments with a slight uptick but soon absorbed the tension and returned to a more stable state awaiting a potentially more severe escalation.
Technical Outlook for Gold Prices:
Gold is currently trading in a downward trend on the daily chart, forming lower lows consistently. The current zone near 3366.804 is technically significant, acting as a strong resistance level that could push gold to continue its descent toward the 3225 mark.
This bearish scenario would only be invalidated if the price breaks above 3451.130 and closes a daily candle above that level, signaling a possible reversal in the current trend.
Gold Holds Above $3340 as Dollar Drops and Fed Uncertainty Rises GOLD OVERVIEW
Gold Holds Gains as Dollar Weakens and Fed Uncertainty Grows
Gold climbed above $3,340 per ounce on Thursday, supported by a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar amid growing dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Adding to market speculation, U.S. President Donald Trump hinted he may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October, potentially reducing Jerome Powell’s influence before his term ends in June and boosting expectations for a more accommodative policy stance.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – XAU/USD
Gold shows bearish potential if the price can stabilize below the pivot level at 3,341.
However, while trading above 3,341, a short-term correction toward 3,364–3,365 is likely before any renewed selling pressure.
Today’s U.S. GDP release may add further volatility and direction to the market.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 3,341
Resistance: 3,364 → 3,373
Support: 3,320 → 3,302
previous idea:
XAUUSD has been in a strong free fall following the sell strategXAUUSD has dropped sharply in a free fall, perfectly following the sell strategy from 3348–3350.
We have won.
Trading Strategy for XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Based on the current price structure and short-term bias, here are two tactical trade setups:
Sell Setup – If Price Rejects Resistance
Entry: 3,348 – 3,350 USD
Stop-loss: 3,357 USD
Take-Profit 1: 3,340 USD
Take-Profit 2: 3,335 USD
Take-Profit 3: 3,330 USD
Buy Setup – If Price Holds Support
Entry: 3,328 – 3,330 USD
Stop-loss: 3,320 USD
Take-Profit 1: 3,338 USD
Take-Profit 2: 3,340 USD
Take-Profit 3: 3,348 USD
Important: Always set a stop-loss in every trade to manage risk effectively.
GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,419.53
Target Level: 3,348.85
Stop Loss: 3,466.65
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD - Its breakout? What's next??#GOLD... market broke our resistance area that is 3338 around
So keep close now and sustain above means a bounce expected.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold Weekly Summary and ForecastGold has been very tricky for the last two weeks. Although fundamentally and technically it all suggested bullish continuation, it retreated from 2450 and fell below the EMA and previous weekly low.
In daily, inside bar has also been formed, indicating bearish continuation. I will mostly engage selling orders next week towards 3200.
I have taken two weeks' time off and took the time to start a copy trader account. My target for this account is to achieve hundredfold. Right now after two weeks, it already achieved almost one fold. Feel free to copy it.
"Gold at Critical Zone – Parabolic Curve Support or Breakdown? 📈 Gold Parabolic Structure | Base 4 Breakout Setup | $4,000 Target
Sharing my analysis on Gold’s ongoing parabolic trend, which has followed a textbook progression of Base 1 → Base 4 since mid-2022. The price has respected a structural curved trendline, and we are currently in Base 4 consolidation — often the final pause before a blow-off rally.
Current Setup:
Gold is consolidating between $3,200 – $3,400, forming Base 4.
There is weekly bearish divergence, indicating momentum loss, but this is normal in late-stage parabolas.
I expect a retest of the $3,200 zone, near the parabolic curve support, possibly with a fakeout wick below — a common shakeout before the final rally.
Seasonality suggests the first week of July is typically bearish, which aligns with this potential retest.
Trade Plan (If Setup Confirms):
Watch for a strong bullish reversal candle near $3,200 (parabolic curve support).
Entry above the high of that bullish candle.
Stop loss just below the candle’s low.
Target: $4,000+, which aligns with typical blow-off potential (+20–25% from Base 4 breakout).
If Gold breaks and holds above $3,400, it could begin the vertical phase of the move.
Parabolic Move Concept Recap:
Base 1: Accumulation
Base 2: Confirmation
Base 3: Acceleration
Base 4: Final pause before blow-off
After Base 4, price often rallies sharply before forming a major top.
This is a high-reward but high-risk phase. Manage risk and don’t chase late entries once the move begins.
Would love to hear your thoughts and variations on this setup.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ParabolicTrend #TechnicalAnalysis #BlowOffTop #Base4
XAUUSD Forming Bullish Continuation Patternhi traders,
let's have a look at Gold on 3D time frame.
✅ Technical Outlook:
Uptrend Still Intact
Price action remains firmly within a higher high, higher low structure, confirming that Gold is still in an active uptrend.
* We can observe the Ascending Triangle Formation.
An ascending triangle has formed, with the price consistently finding support on a rising trendline while pressing against the horizontal resistance around $3,430.
This pattern typically acts as a bullish continuation, especially within strong trends.
Potential Breakout Target
If XAUUSD breaks above the horizontal resistance, the measured move (height of the triangle) points to a potential upside of ~13.32%, targeting the $3,880–3,900 zone.
RSI Observations
The RSI is consolidating just above 50 and remains in bullish territory. A breakout above the RSI trendline would further support bullish momentum.
📌 Trade Scenario (Plan A – Bullish Breakout):
Entry: Upon breakout and daily close above ~$3,430
Target: ~$3,880
Support Trendline: Acting as dynamic support
📌 Alternate Scenario (Plan B – Retest):
Price may retest the ascending trendline support before attempting a breakout. This would offer a lower-risk entry opportunity with tighter invalidation.
🧠 Summary:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the formation of an ascending triangle suggests a likely continuation to the upside. Watch for a breakout confirmation above the horizontal resistance for a potential high-probability long setup.
XAUUSD Elliot wave update: Is wave 4 still in play?From our previous count we were anticipating a drop for 4th wave completion. We can see now we have been dropping as anticipated. Given the current wave structure I am expecting a double 3 (wxy) to complete this 4th wave. If we are correct then we should expect price to continue down from current position before pulling back up and fall one more time. To take advantage of the move if not caught at the top, one should find areas where price will find resistance to short the market.
Gold prediction
XAUUSD in a downtrend since the last week as managed to break and close bellow the the past low at 3295 level.
tested the support and seem to be respected at 3254 level.
XAUUSD Update 29th JUNE 2025Last week, pullback has reached 62% fibonaci.
It have an opportunity to continue the correction in to 3205 support or more lower at 3190 level support.
So we need to becarefull on next week and we looking for a reversal / rejection signal from the market as a confirmation.
We need to give our attention to a fundamental data also. If there is a big news on war / geopolitical or global economic in July, we could be more convidence about gold price direction.
If 3155 lose...it would be more deep, but it would be unlikely.
Have a good luck !
P.S : If you agree, Boost it
My idea gold wavesCheck my idea gold waves expected moves as per my readings
Rule SL must use and enjoy
GOLD SHORT TRADEAronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
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Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion, please feel free command me.
XAUUSD SHORT SELL TRADE IDEA SIGNALSAfter thoroughly analyzing the charts, we are currently setting up for a short trade, awaiting confirmation on LTF charts.
XAUUSD h4 next move opportunity Support zone around 3,350–3,370 USD.
Price expected to bounce upward from support.
Two bullish target points: ~3,450 and ~3,550.
Clean higher high/lows structure forecasted
Everybody loves Gold Part 6Great week in Part 5.
Starting this week with a strong bias towards the upside.
Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics:
1. Expecting price to break past green line, level of significance (LOS) for continuation up
2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from -50/-100 or -150pips to the upside
3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way
As always price action determines trades
