GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3358.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3377.5
Safe Stop Loss - 3352.1
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD WILL DROP MORE !!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see Gold break 3300 levles which was expected a Strong Support Zone for a new ATH
but its rejected and now we had saw a Trade War Talks on Going with US and China to be compromise soon on Friday we saw NFP results was good for Dollar and now after closing markets under 3260 is a clear sign for us for a more incoming drop in precious metals Gold Long Term View is still bullsih but markets always not move in one direction so it a great trade ida with a very low Risk and higher Rewards we need ur Support and comments Stay Tuned for more Updates ....
Gold – False Break Signals More DownsideIn my commentary yesterday, I highlighted the importance of the 3360 support zone. While Gold initially found a bid around this level, the sharp reversal from the 3415 Asian session high suggests a failed breakout.
Key Observations:
• The quick rejection above 3360 now looks like a false break, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
• The recent high around 3415 appears to be a lower high following the 3500 ATH, confirming potential trend weakness.
• Given this structure, a drop back to at least the 3270 support zone seems highly probable.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Down nearly 2% on Wednesday, GOLD still rebounds quickly on riskOANDA:XAUUSD fell nearly 2% on Wednesday (May 7), mainly due to a stronger US dollar and optimism from upcoming trade talks between the United States and China, while the Federal Reserve's "standstill" also added pressure on gold prices. However, it was supported by escalating geopolitical risks.
On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, citing increasing uncertainty about the economic outlook and rising risks to both maximum employment and price stability. “Uncertainties about the economic outlook continue to increase,” the FOMC said in its post-meeting statement. “The Committee is concerned about bilateral risks to its dual mandate and sees increasing risks to unemployment and inflation.”
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell maintained a neutral tone, saying the current policy stance was appropriate and the Fed was in no rush to adjust interest rates. He stressed that the Fed was prepared to act “quickly as needed” if circumstances changed, but warned that the Fed’s goals would not be fully achieved if tariffs remained in place.
Powell added that if either side of the dual mandate deviates too much, the Fed will evaluate which policy tool to use to achieve rebalancing.
When asked which mandate, inflation or employment, should receive more attention, he said it was too early to tell.
The market consensus remains that the Fed will not cut rates before July. In a higher interest rate environment, non-interest-bearing gold is often under pressure.
Big news on China-US trade talks
China and the US announced that US Treasury Secretary Besant and US Trade Representative Greer will travel to Switzerland to meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng.
The talks are the first since US President Donald Trump imposed comprehensive tariffs on China and have raised optimism that the two largest economies can reach a deal.
On Wednesday, a spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Commerce answered reporters' questions about the high-level economic and trade negotiations between China and the United States. The spokesperson said China has decided to cooperate with the United States. Vice Premier He Lifeng, as head of the China-US economic and trade negotiation delegation, will hold talks with his US counterpart, US Treasury Secretary Benson, during his visit to Switzerland. - Bloomberg -
India-Pakistan tensions spiral after attack, risk of further escalation fuels demand for safe havens
India's airstrike on Pakistan has stoked tensions, raising fears of a full-blown war between the two nuclear-armed nations.
India launched missiles at nine locations in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir early on May 7 in response to a shooting that killed 26 tourists in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, two weeks ago. The Indian Ministry of Defense said its forces struck facilities used by "terrorist groups" to carry out the Pahalgam attack.
The Indian Air Force has mobilized many modern weapons, including Rafale multi-role fighters carrying SCALP-EG stealth cruise missiles and AASM Hammer extended-range guided bombs and cruise missiles. The target coordinates were provided to the forces participating in the campaign by Indian intelligence agencies.
Images released by the media show the moment the series of missiles crashed into the target, creating large fire circles and violent explosions. Pakistan said at least 26 people were killed in this attack. -According to Vnexpress -
Gold is an asset that often benefits first when market risks appear, and India is also a leading gold-using country in the world.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After yesterday's decline, gold continues to receive support from the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement area with horizontal support at $3,350 as noted by readers in yesterday's edition and it is now also aiming for a target of $3,430.
Once gold breaks $3,430 it will be in a position to continue its rally with a target of around (all-time high) in the short term.
Technical factors are completely bullish, from the short-term trend noted by the rising price channel and the long-term trend from the rising price channel. On the other hand, the nearest support is also the EMA21.
The relative strength index RSI is still quite far from the 80 level and the overbought area, indicating that there is still room for growth ahead and gold is likely to continue to increase in terms of momentum in the coming time.
During the day, the main bullish outlook for gold prices in terms of technology will be noted again by the following levels.
Support: 3,371 – 3,350 USD
Resistance: 3,430 – 3,500 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3440 - 3438⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3444
→Take Profit 1 3432
↨
→Take Profit 2 3426
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3364
GOLD H8 Update: Bulls will target 3600 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback looks complete now
▪️3000/3200/3400/3600 USD key S/R
▪️Reversal at 3200 USD
▪️Resistance near 3400 USD
▪️Bulls maintain strategic advantage
▪️Target for BULLS 3600 USD
▪️short-term dips are possible
▪️focus on buying dips
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️TP BULLS 3600 USD
🏦Fed Outlook: Mixed data fuels speculation on policy shift. Analysts see gold’s pullback as a new buying opportunity.
🌏Asian Demand: China and India remain key forces in price direction, alternating as major buyers.
📦Tariff Watch: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tension continues to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping gold in play.
🛑Geopolitics: No major updates on Iran-U.S. talks, India-Pakistan, or Russia-Ukraine ceasefire yet. These remain key risk triggers.
Gold Rally Running Out of Steam? PRZ May Trigger Drop!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has hit the targets as I shared with you in yesterday's idae . Will this uptrend of the past 5-6 days continue?
Gold seems to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and has been moving in an Ascending Channel for the past 5 days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 . The end of the main wave 3 can be at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, expect to see a clear Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks at the Resistance zone($3,434-$3,406) .
I expect Gold to start declining from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and at least to the lower line of the ascending channel . This analysis is against the main trend, so pay more attention to money management .
Note: If Gold touches $3,448(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Gold falls below $3,342, we can expect a deeper decline than expected.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3400.Colleagues, I've redrawn the waves a bit, because it looks like the correction should be over.
I believe that the upward movement will resume soon.
I expect two variants of events:
1) the price will reach the support area 3162, form wave “4” and after that we will see an upward movement - this is a variant of entering a position with pending limit orders.
2) Price has already formed wave “4” and then we will see only upward movement. This is a variant of market entry.
In both cases I expect the price to come to the target in the resistance area of 3400. This is a pretty strong level from which there could be a strong correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Risk aversion in China-US negotiations cools down!Gold closed with an "inverted hammer" positive line this week. The upper shadow line was mainly due to the continued stimulation of gold's safe-haven properties by the news at the beginning of the week. However, the tariff war with previous lessons helped the gold price to hit a historical high of 3500. The reaction of gold prices to this news this week was not as enthusiastic as before, which also led to the stop of the rise at 3439. The announcement of the interest rate decision in the second half of the week was in line with expectations. The gold price plunged 170 points in two days and stabilized above the 3300 mark as of yesterday's closing. Based on the previous evening star combination and this week's inverted hammer, it is believed that the gold price will continue to fall next week and will close below the real time, that is, below 3306.
From the perspective of daily K, this week is generally a trend of rising and falling, and a slight rebound follows after the decline at the end of the week. Weekly Review We continue with the analysis of the second half of the week. From the perspective of the gold price trend since the high point of 3500, the first wave of decline has been considered to be over. The rebound from 3200 to 3439 did not exceed the previous high, so we will continue to analyze the second wave of decline, and strictly implement this idea in the operation. Now the overall trend of gold prices is also the same. Next week's operation will focus on the key suppression position of 3378 near the end of the week. If it cannot stand firm in the first half of the week, there is still a lot of room for further decline.
From the four-hour level, the triangle convergence pattern we analyzed is still there. Unexpectedly, there was a false break of the lower track in the Asian session on Friday. Next week, we still need to continue to pay attention to the support of this position. In general, next week, we will first pay attention to the operation of the range from 3378 to 3274, and wait for the break before I will re-analyze the structure. Once again, I would like to remind you that the news market is repeated, and the base of gold prices is too large, so the intraday volatility has also increased. It is also common to go up and down more than 100 points in a single day. Everyone needs to pay attention to the risk control of their positions.
In the short term, if we move to the hourly level, we can analyze the last wave of structure. The gold price rebounded after breaking through 3288 in the Asian session on Friday. After this action, the gold price rebounded quickly. Let’s not talk about who has the upper hand. From the last wave of rebound, the continuation is insufficient. If it is a restart of the bulls, the European and American sessions also need to cross the previous downward high point of 3368 to confirm. However, the European session was sideways throughout, and the US session also slightly continued the rebound trend and closed hastily. Therefore, at the opening of next week, it is necessary to continue to watch the gold price to test the support of the low point of the Asian session on Friday. In general, the operation ideas for next week are mainly high-altitude, and low-long also look at the rebound short-term.
Gold Trade Plan 07/05/2025Dear Traders,
after False break of Side Range price break top of Range,
The price is hitting the support at 3360-3370(pullback) and the move is continuing.
Momentum of Bullish movement is very Good , i expect price will be continue Uptrend to 3480
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Buying every dip on Gold / Fed sessionTechnical analysis: Wednesday’s session Inverted Hammer practically took Gold nowhere as Hourly 1 chart remained ranged within Higher High’s Upper and Lower zone, closing out last and this week on an expected positive note. The Monthly (#1M) candle remains on decent gains (# +11.57%) and the last two sessions on the second Highest Volume throughout April - May (this is translated to Gold’s cyclical behavior which I spotted lately when #2-High Volumed sessions are delivered, strong move follows). Despite the Higher High’s, it is clear that since the #3,400.80 local High’s, Gold undergoes a consolidation phase with equal demand and supply, which according to previous models is an Resistance zone preparation for the next leg Lower or Higher regarding Weekly chart (#1W). I remain idle until Fed announcement while Buying every dip last #2-session horizon.
XAUMO DOMINATION BLUEPRINT : GOLD REPORT (May 7, 2025)This is your full-spectrum battlefield strategy report for XAU/USD. It integrates price action, volume traps, VWAP/FVG structure, Ichimoku bias, and market-maker behavior for precise strikes across all major sessions: London → Pre-NY → NY Open → NY Close.
We run both Bullish and Bearish campaigns. Chart-based zones are real. Entries are tactical. Timing is Cairo-synced. Risk management is embedded. Retail blood is our signal.
Daily Outlook Summary (Multi-Timeframe Integration)
Trend Summary:
Daily & 480m: Bullish structure but retracement from the high at 3445.07, reacting from VWAP upper bands (institutional sell zones).
240m & 60m: Reversal rejection candle forms at high-volume node; momentum slowing.
15m: Consolidation with hidden bearish divergence + low relative volume.
📍Key Levels – Daily Timeframe:
POC: 3388.92
VAH: 3445.07
VAL: 3201.73
VWAP Median: ~3318.40
VWAP Bands: Upper: 3445.07 / Lower: 3180 zone
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA + Volume Footprint Confirmed)
VSA shows climactic volume with no follow-through → classic composite operator dump setup.
Volume histograms declining across every rising move = No retail follow-up = MM unloading.
Footprint imbalance aligns with stop-hunting above 3395.
🈶 Tokyo Session (03:00–08:00)
Scenario: Range Compression | Fakeout Traps Likely
Bias: Neutral to bearish
Structure: Price hovered near VWAP median ~3388. Low-volume retest of previous POC.
Footprint/VSA: No effort to rise — volume collapsed on each bullish candle = Smart Money absorption.
===================================================
⚔️ TACTICAL ZONE MAP (Visual Layer)
🟡 YELLOW ZONE – Liquidity Sweep Trap Zone
| Price Range: 3390 – 3408
| Purpose: Smart money sweeps retail stops, triggers false breakouts, then fades.
| Behavioral Traits:
High volatility, wick rejections.
Delta divergence or “No Demand” bar formations.
Often used by market makers to load reverse positions.
✅ Tactics:
Sell Limit entries at 3398–3405.
Confirm with MACD + RSI divergence + footprint imbalance.
Scalpers: Fade false breakout near 3405 → TP1: 3370.
🟢 GREEN ZONE – Bullish Breakout Activation Zone
| Price Range: 3408 – 3445
| Purpose: Smart money confirmation zone. If price holds above 3408 with RVOL/momentum, bulls are in control.
| Behavioral Traits:
Volume expansion + positive delta.
MACD crossover + Ichimoku TK bullish cross.
Push toward daily VAH and breakout continuations.
✅ Tactics:
Buy Stop above 3408.
TP1: 3425
TP2: 3445 (VAH)
If 3445 breaks clean → trail to 3470 (FIB 1.618 extension)
🔴 RED ZONE – Bearish Supply Rejection Zone
| Price Range: 3445 – 3465
| Purpose: Historical volume shelf + institutional sell zone = ideal for profit-taking or reversal fades.
| Behavioral Traits:
RSI overbought + hidden divergence.
Chikou Span hits price or flattens under candle body.
VSA “Up-thrust” or high-volume fakeouts.
✅ Tactics:
Sell Limit near 3445–3455 with low-volume test.
Stop above 3465.
TP1: 3425
TP2: 3398
TP3: 3320 (VWAP)
===================================================
| **Zone** | **Intent** | **What to Watch** |
| --------- | ----------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------ |
| 🟡 Yellow | **Trap zone / Fake breakouts** | Long wicks, absorption volume, delta flip |
| 🟢 Green | **Breakout confirmation / Momentum bias** | Sustained price > 3408 + RVOL spike |
| 🔴 Red | **Profit target / Reversal rejection** | RSI >70, MACD divergence, Order Flow stall |
===================================================
⚔️ BULLISH CAMPAIGN – "RECLAIM AND RIP"
1. Main Breakout Play (Green Zone: 3408 – 3445)
Type: Buy Stop
Entry Price: 3408
Stop Loss (SL): 3390
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3425
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3445 (Daily VAH)
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3470 (FIB 1.618 ext.)
Confidence Level: 82%
Justification: Clean exit from Yellow Trap Zone; confirms bullish momentum into the Green Zone. Supported by MACD crossover, Ichimoku TK bullish cross, and RVOL spike.
2. Scalp Reclaim from Liquidity Sweep (Yellow Zone: 3390 – 3408 sweep and reject → retest lower)
Type: Buy Limit
Entry Price: 3320
Stop Loss (SL): 3310
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3345
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3360
Confidence Level: 75%
Justification: Tokyo session stop-hunt zone + strong absorption candle. Footprint confirms delta reversal. Aligns with Ichimoku support band.
🔻 BEARISH CAMPAIGN – "SWEEP AND SLAUGHTER"
1. Trap Rejection Fade (Yellow Zone rejection @ top → revert into POC)
Type: Sell Limit
Entry Price: 3398
Stop Loss (SL): 3408
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3320 (VWAP reclaim zone)
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3201 (VAL sweep projection)
Confidence Level: 85%
Justification: High-probability fade at the top of Yellow Zone, where MM trap longs. Confirmed by RSI bearish divergence + VSA “no demand” + MACD histogram roll-off.
2. Breakdown After Trap Failure (VWAP loss + downside momentum burst)
Type: Sell Stop
Entry Price: 3315
Stop Loss (SL): 3332
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3280
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3240
Confidence Level: 78%
Justification: Full failure to hold VWAP. Price loses key zone and initiates dump leg. MACD momentum accelerates, volume delta shifts negative
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
| **Setup Name** | **Type** | **Entry** | **SL** | **TP1** | **TP2** | **TP3** | **Confidence** |
| -------------------------------- | ---------- | --------- | ------ | ------- | ------- | ------- | -------------- |
| Breakout Above Trap (Green Zone) | Buy Stop | 3408 | 3390 | 3425 | 3445 | 3470 | 82% |
| Reclaim from VWAP Sweep | Buy Limit | 3320 | 3310 | 3345 | 3360 | — | 75% |
| Fade Trap at Zone Top | Sell Limit | 3398 | 3408 | 3370 | 3320 | 3201 | 85% |
| Breakdown Below VWAP | Sell Stop | 3315 | 3332 | 3280 | 3240 | — | 78% |
XAUUSDThe Commitment of Traders (COT) data reveals a shift toward increased selling activity, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. This suggests that traders are positioning themselves for potential declines, possibly anticipating a drop in asset prices. Such trends often signal caution, with market participants adjusting their strategies based on changing conditions.
Gold Technical Analysis Update:(XAUUSD)OANDA:XAUUSD
Not much has changed since my last update—gold remains stuck in the same range-bound, triangle pattern we've been tracking. The price action is definitely tightening, which usually means we're getting closer to a decisive breakout.
Key Levels:
- Support: 3300 is holding firm as a strong support level.
- Resistance: 3350 continues to cap the price as a major resistance, keeping gold within a wide range.
My outlook remains bearish for the short term, especially as gold is still trading below the golden Fibonacci zone (3375-3420). The weekly close also confirmed that sellers remain in control for now.
Today’s monthly close is particularly important and could set the tone for the next move:
- If gold finishes below 3330, this will strengthen the bearish outlook and open the door for a drop towards 3250, 3200, 3150, and even 3070.
- However, a breakout above the triangle and 3350 would force a reassessment of the short-term direction.
For now, I’m waiting for a clear breakout from this range to confirm the next major move.
Personal trade plan:
- I believe we can enter a sell trade here, with targets at 3250/3200/3150/3070.
- My stop loss is set at a 4-hour candle close above 3335.
As always, manage your risk and trade wisely. Good luck, traders! 🏆💰
Gold Trade Plan 06/05/2025Dear Traders,
price broken 3320 (Means Market will continue Upward movement)
i expect price will be continue upward movement to 3400-3420 Area Today ,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with our plan and look to continue with the move downside. This worked well for us and also gave us the bounce we wanted pre-event for the long trade following the retracement. For NFP, we released the KOG Report again, suggesting a move downside into the key level, then a bounce for the long. We got the short, we then got the TAP AND BOUNCE for the long, although, after having protected and managing it we closed at break even with the minimal lot that was left on the table.
We ended the week with another stellar performance on the EA, the algo and the indicators, not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
Simple one this week as it’s bank holiday. Expect thin volume during the London session with a potential burst of volume during the US session. We have pathed out the levels and what to look for, with the first resistance just above, which is ideally what we want to target and reject to give us a further move downside. There is a key level above, 3250-55, the bias will be bearish below for now, unless broken which will give us the extension of the move into 3270-75 which is where sellers may get another opportunity.
Red boxes:
Break above 3235 for 3243, 3245, 3247, 3252 and 3270 in extension of the move
Break below 3220 for 3210, 3206, 3196, 3188 and 3179 in extension of the move
Bank holiday in the UK so not sure if we’ll be around much but we’ll re-visit the charts on Tuesday.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Swing Short Trade Setup**Gold Market Analysis: Potential Reversal Formation**
Gold is finally showing strong signs of a potential top formation after an extended bullish run. After weeks of anticipation, yesterday's price action delivered a significant rejection candle at the psychologically important 3500 level, which could indicate the reversal signal we've been waiting for.
It's essential to recognize that in a robust bullish rally, tops can take longer to form than initially expected, as we've observed recently. The market often exhibits both time and price extensions in such conditions. Nevertheless, the rejection at 3500 in conjunction with the current technical setup suggests that we may be seeing a reversal pattern taking shape.
**Trading Perspective:**
From a trading standpoint, I am currently awaiting a confirmation candle (a follow-up to yesterday's rejection) to validate that the top is in place. If we witness follow-through selling pressure today or tomorrow, it could present an excellent swing short opportunity, with the following targets established:
- **Target 1 (TP1):** 3295
- **Target 2 (TP2):** 3250
- **Target 3 (TP3):** 3200
- **Target 4 (TP4):** 3170
- **Target 5 (TP5):** 3070 (psychological support level)
Stay vigilant and ready for potential short opportunities as the market unfolds. Let’s see if the signals align for a successful trade. Happy trading! OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
Gold Completes Wave 4 - Pullback – Time for the Next PushGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) touched $3,223 as I expected in the previous idea (Full Target) .
Gold has managed to break the Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) and is trying to break the Resistance lines and complete the pullback .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold is completing microwave 4 , which could act as a pullback to the broken Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) . After the completion of microwave 4 , we should expect Gold to attack the Resistance lines to complete microwave 5 .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,232 , and if the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) breaks, we can expect further gains .
Note: If Gold touches $2,272 (the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.