GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD📉Gold Market Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play
Current Price: 3324.00
Recent price structure and momentum suggest a potential bearish continuation below key resistance levels.
🔍 Technical View:
Price is consistently trading below the 50-period moving average, signaling short-term weakness.
A series of lower highs and lower lows indicate a bearish market structure.
RSI is trending below 50, reflecting fading bullish momentum.
Failure to reclaim the 3355–3345 resistance zone reinforces downside risk.
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 3355.00 – 3345.00
Sustained trading below this range may open the door to:
3300.00
3284.00
📉 Major Breakdown Scenario:
A 3-day consecutive close below 3384.00 could confirm a structural shift, exposing gold to a deeper sell-off toward 3200.00.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
Maintain price increase, NF will help gold price above 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
He stated that U.S. and Chinese negotiators would soon convene at a yet-to-be-determined location, a development that lifted market sentiment and weighed on gold prices as risk appetite strengthened. This shift occurred despite underwhelming U.S. economic data, which further fueled expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, signs of labor market weakness emerged as jobless claims rose, signaling a potential cooling in employment conditions. Meanwhile, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported a narrower trade deficit in April, largely attributed to a decline in front-loaded imports ahead of anticipated tariffs.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
anxiously awaiting NF news today, there is pressure to weaken the dollar, NF figures that investors are worried about continue to be negative for DXY
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3449- 3451 SL 3456
TP1: $3436
TP2: $3420
TP3: $3405
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3303- $3301 SL $3296
TP1: $3320
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold execution psychology - why do your trades fail on XAUUSD?🎯 You Knew the Zone but the trade failed.
Execution psychology for Gold traders who are tired of guessing.
You marked the zone.
You waited for price to tap into it.
Maybe you even caught a reaction — but the trade failed anyway.
Not because the zone was wrong.
Because the execution broke down.
🧠 1. The Problem Isn’t the Zone. It’s the Trader.
There are two valid entry styles:
🔹 Bounce Entry
→ Enter on first touch of the zone
→ Works best when:
• Structure supports your bias
• Liquidity has been swept
• You're using a refined zone (OB, FVG, confluence)
→ SL must sit outside the zone — not inside it
→ Fast entries, fast rejections — but high responsibility, not for beginners.
🔹 Confirmation Entry
→ Wait for CHoCH or BOS on M5/M15
→ Enter on the retest
→ Cleaner invalidation, but slower execution
→ Less drawdown, but requires patience
⚔ 2. Your Stop Loss Was a Suggestion, Not a Standard
Gold isn’t EURUSD.
This pair moves 100–300 pips in minutes — and it will wipe out shallow SLs for fun.
Your SL must sit:
• Below the OB (not inside it)
• Outside the liquidity sweep
• Beyond the structural invalidation point
💰 Lot Size Must Match Your SL — Not Your Ego
We don’t increase lot size because we hope it will go perfect.
We always trade small — because Gold doesn’t need size to give payout.
The wider the SL, the smaller the lot.
That’s how you control risk and let price move.
We don’t chase leverage.
We prioritize precision, patience, and profit.
📉 3. After One Loss, You Lost the Plot
One trade didn’t go your way — now you’re flipping bias, skipping rules, and forcing setups.
That’s not trading. That’s emotional spending.
Real traders analyze the loss.
They re-read the setup.
They take the next trade — only if structure allows, even skip trading to the next day.
✅ So How Do You Fix It?
1. Define your entry style
2. Keep lot size small — even with 100 pip stops
3. Move SL to BE when appropriate
4. Walk away after 2 losses.
Accept that one good trade is better than 5 emotional entries, clear mind -cleaner executions.
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Eyes on the Trap: Will Gold Explode or Collapse from Here👋 Hey gold warriors — Tuesday’s battlefield is fully loaded.
After a strong NY push, Gold is now deep in premium, pressing into key H1/H4 supply. Liquidity is building above, and the market is hunting late buyers. With Powell’s speech on the radar, structure will decide everything.
Will we explode through 3400... or collapse back into discount?
Let’s lock in the zones that matter 👇
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Reversal Hotspots
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Main Rejection Zone 3384–3398 Final imbalance + H1/H4 supply. Rejection here with M15/M30 CHoCH = high-probability short.
🔺 Breakout Trap Zone 3368–3375 Already broken weak high — could act as a pivot if price fails to hold above. Watch for bearish reaction.
🔺 Sweep Extension Zone 3405–3412 Only valid on impulsive break above 3398. Look for wick trap or quick rejection.
🔺 Extreme Premium Zone 3440–3458 Deep liquidity + fib extension. If reached, this is the ultimate sniper sell zone — watch for divergence and exhaustion.
🔹 BUY ZONES – Demand Reload Triggers
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔹 M30 Demand Rebound 3332–3342 Short-term OB + FVG. Scalps only. Must see HL confirmation on M15.
🔹 H1 Demand Cluster 3305–3315 Strong BOS origin + FVG. Clean area to build long if price pulls back.
🔹 Intermediate Reaction Zone 3270–3284 Minor FVG + past reaction. Not a major OB, but could bounce. Confirmation needed!
🔹 Deep Discount Demand 3244–3255 H4 OB + macro structure support. If market flushes here, expect powerful rejection setup.
🧠 Strategic Scenarios
📉 Sell Setup A → Spike into 3384–3398 → M15 shift → short to 3332, then 3305
📉 Sell Setup B → Breakout to 3405–3412 → trap wick → short with target back to 3342
📉 Sell Setup C → Full sweep into 3440–3458 → divergence + reversal → high-prob swing short
📈 Buy Setup A → Pullback into 3315 → HL confirmed → long toward 3375
📈 Buy Setup B → Clean bounce from 3270–3284 with CHoCH → scalp to 3332
📈 Buy Setup C → Washout into 3255 → bullish engulfing or M15 BOS → long setup toward 3305+
⚙️ EMAs & Momentum
✅ EMA 5/21/50 = bullish lock across TFs
⚠️ RSI showing divergence in premium → risk of exhaustion above 3400
🔁 Price now extended — wait for clear reaction before taking action
💬 Final Word from GoldFxMinds
We’re in the zone — literally.
This is not the time to chase green candles or short early.
🧠 Let the structure shift. Let liquidity clear.
Then enter with confidence, not emotion.
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BULLS VS BEARS. WILL GOLD MATCH THE ATH?Glossary:
Ged = Bearish scenario
Green = Bullish scenario
POI = Point of interest
ATH = All time high
LQ = Liquidity zone
Gold since the beginning has been moving in a range and break fashion you'll see this across the board, always. A 4hr range is in the process of being formed ideally what wed like to see is for the high to be matched first. That simply would give more confidence for the bears to get in and short the market however now we sit with the though of where will it go first?
preferred bias
Buys to sell, ideally and the most logical outcome is the highs do get matched forming a strong liquidity zone that can be targeted at a future date, as price begins to fall new points of interest can then be formed (since there isn't a lot to target above right now), this will allow the market to have areas it can market when we see the bullish side of this range play out when ever that may be.
Structure
Current structure allows you to get in trades, previous structure allows you to get out of trades use it to your advantage, think. where does the money want to move next where will the banks get the best bang for their buck and most importantly where can we cause traders to LOSE, a trade you win is a trade someone else lost. so long you stick with where the big guys want to go you'll be on the right side
Bullish bias (green)
Key points get broken, imbalance fill, ATH matched (this is where short orders get stacked, future sweep target.
Bearish bias (red)
Area 1, this is the first key low im looking to break if we see a candle close below continue to area 2, there are traders who WILL get stopped out at zone 1
Area 2, this is our next key point in structure there will still be traders with open positions here also, again if we see a candle close below this zone continue to monitor for Area 3
Area 3, this may be a final target, however there's still POI's sat below if price shows strong signs of bearish momentum target Areas 4 and below can be open for discussion
Conclusion
personally i would like to see POI's built on the buy side as of right now before we move down simply because the market NEEDS somewhere to move from and to without that it would be erratic.
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan 5/6/2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price action is currently overlapping — a sign that the corrective phase may not be over yet. If the correction had indeed ended at 3334, we would expect a sharper and more impulsive rally typical of wave 3 (green) within wave 3 (black). The lack of that strong momentum suggests the correction could still be unfolding.
Both wave a and wave b (red) are showing 3-wave structures, which points to the development of a Flat correction in the red abc pattern.
Within wave b (red), we’re currently seeing a smaller abc structure (green), with price likely forming wave c (green) right now.
🎯 Target Zones
Wave c (green) target zone: 3390–3393, which is our ideal Sell zone.
If price reverses from this zone, we expect wave c (red) to complete somewhere between 3334–3324.
⚡️ Momentum Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is starting to turn bearish. A confirmation will depend on how today’s daily candle closes. Until then, short-term upside is still possible.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already turned bearish, supporting the case for a potential wave C (red) to unfold.
H1 timeframe: Currently oversold, which opens the door for a minor push up or some sideways action to finish wave c (green).
📌 Trade Setup
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3390 – 3393
Stop Loss (SL): 3400
Take Profit (TP1): 3370
Take Profit (TP2): 3357
🔺 BUY Zone:
Entry: 3334 – 3331
Stop Loss (SL): 3322
Take Profit (TP1): 3357
Take Profit (TP2): 3393
Take Profit (TP3): 3410
HelenP. I Gold will break support level and fall to $3275 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price reached support 1 and then at once dropped to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, making a first gap. Then the price tried to grow, but failed and continued to decline, breaking support 2 and later reaching the trend line. After this movement, Gold turned around and made an impulse up, breaking support 2 and making a first-second gap. Next, Gold made a correction movement to support 2 and then made an impulse up to support 1, which coincided with the support zone. After this, Gold made a small correction and then rose to the support zone, where it made a third gap. Next, XAU in a short time declined to the trend line, broke it, but then started to grow above this line. Some time later, Gold rose to support 1, making a fourth gap, and recently broke support 1 with a trend line. At the moment, the price is traded inside the support zone, and I think that XAUUSD will break the support level, make a retest, and continue to decline. For this case, I set my goal at 3275 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Trading Signals for GOLD sell below $3,392 (21 SMA-6/8 Murray)Gold is trading around 3,355, reaching the 100% technical rebound according to the Fibonacci extension indicator. Gold could continue to rise in the coming days and could reach 161.8% around 3,437.
8/8 Murray has acted as a strong selling zone in the past, so we believe this level could serve as a good selling point only if the gold price consolidates below 3,392.
On the other hand, we believe that below 3,378, gold could undergo a technical correction toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level located at 3,345. This level could offer a good point to resume buying, with targets at 161.8% or around the 8/8 Murray level located at 3,437.
Gold left a gap at 3,427 in early May, and we believe it could close this gap in the coming days. Therefore, any pullback in he coming day will be seen as a buying opportunity. The key is for the price of gold to remain within the uptrend channel or above the 200 EMA located at 3,260.
At the opening of this week's trading sessions, gold left a gap around 3,289, and it is likely that this gap could be filled in the coming days. A pullback below 3,307 could confirm the decline and could even reach 3,260.
At current price levels, we believe gold will undergo a technical correction, so we must be very cautious. The key would be to sell below 3,380. The indicator is giving a negative signal, which indicates a potential technical correction in the coming hours.
XAU/USD 2H CHART PATTERNGold is currently respecting an ascending trendline, with price action forming higher lows, suggesting bullish momentum. The Ichimoku cloud provides dynamic support, and recent rejections from the trendline reinforce the buying interest. Price is testing a critical resistance zone after multiple failed breakout attempts, highlighted by the blue markers. A potential breakout above this zone may trigger strong upward continuation. Market structure favors bulls as long as price holds above the trendline and cloud. Volume and candlestick behavior near resistance will be crucial in confirming momentum. This setup aligns with breakout traders watching for continuation in the current trend.
Entry: 3350
Target 1: 3374
Target 2: 3405
Target 3: 3422
Can the bulls help gold hit 3400 today?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged more than 0.80% on Wednesday during the North American session, buoyed by disappointing U.S. economic data that signaled a slowdown in business activity and softer job growth. XAU/USD climbed to $3,382 after rebounding from a session low of $3,343.
Heightened tensions between the U.S. and China also contributed to bullish momentum in bullion. With uncertainty looming over upcoming trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing, investors sought refuge in safe-haven assets like gold.
Adding to market jitters, President Donald Trump signed an executive order doubling tariffs on steel and aluminum imports—from 25% to 50%—effective June 4. The move came just days ahead of a highly anticipated call between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, further fueling concerns over escalating trade frictions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Buying power is continuing, will break out strongly in the US trading session
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3435- 3437 SL 3442
TP1: $3420
TP2: $3410
TP3: $3400
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3344- $3346 SL $3339
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3368
TP3: $3382
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
VIP GOLD Analysis: Reversal & Breakout Zones Mapping + Target🧠 1. Black Mind Curve Resistance – The Psychological Ceiling
A uniquely drawn parabolic curve, referred to here as the Black Mind Curve, acts as a dynamic resistance level. Price has tested this curve multiple times, rejecting it consistently — a clear signal that this area holds institutional selling interest.
This resistance line is not static; it follows a natural flow of market psychology — early buyer excitement, mid-trend optimism, and late buyer FOMO, all fading around the curve. Until this is broken with volume, it continues to act as a ceiling for bullish rallies.
🏆 2. Cup & Handle Pattern – Bullish Continuation Setup
Notice the beautifully forming Cup & Handle-like structure:
The Cup represents a rounded consolidation bottom formed between May 27 and June 3.
The Handle shows a light pullback and reaccumulation, preparing for a potential breakout.
This is a classic bullish continuation pattern. A breakout above the handle — especially above 3,390–3,400 — can unleash a powerful upside rally.
📌 Breakout Entry Zone: 3,390+
🎯 Targets after breakout: 3,420 / 3,450 / 3,470
🛑 Invalidation: Break below 3,280
📉 3. Trendline Support – The Bullish Backbone
An upward sloping trendline support is holding the structure intact. Every time price retraced, it respected this trendline, making it a key bullish bias line. A breakdown below it may signal weakness, but until then, buyers are in control.
🌀 4. Reversal Zones – Marking the Battlefield
Mini Reversal Zone (3,330–3,345): Where short-term scalpers look for small bounces or rejections.
Major Reversal Zone (3,280–3,300): Strong institutional support is expected here if price dips. Look for bullish engulfing or pin bars in this area to catch sniper entries.
💼 5. Pro Trading Plan (VIP Zone Insight):
➡️ Bullish Scenario (Preferred):
Watch for bounce from Major Reversal Zone or breakout above 3,390
Entry: On bullish engulfing candle or breakout confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 3,270 or below handle low
Targets: TP1 – 3,420 / TP2 – 3,450 / TP3 – 3,470+
⬅️ Bearish Scenario (If Trendline Breaks):
Short on clean breakdown of trendline and retest
Entry: Below 3,270 with confirmation
Targets: TP1 – 3,240 / TP2 – 3,210
Risk: Avoid entering into reversal zones without confirmation
🔥 Why This Setup Matters:
This chart combines psychological resistance, classic technical patterns, and institutional zones. The confluence gives high probability signals for both swing traders and intraday scalpers.
📊 Whether you're a price action trader or a pattern-based analyst, this setup is screaming for attention. Stay sharp, manage risk, and wait for confirmation before execution.
🚀 Final Note:
Gold is approaching a make-or-break level. Keep your eyes on the Black Mind Curve Resistance and Trendline Support. Whichever breaks first will likely decide the next 150–200 point move.
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XAUUSD:[GOLD]: First Drop And Then Reverse! Comment Your Views! Gold touched $3350 but was rejected at that level, dropping around 3288. The price shows some minor support at this region, which we’re currently monitoring. If it breaks through, it could touch our buying zone, reversing the trend. You can set three targets based on your own analysis and bias. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
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XAUUSD: Still Bullish with improved entry zones! Gold experienced a sudden drop today, falling to 3335 after briefly reaching 3391. This unexpected decline was not anticipated given the bullish price momentum. However, it has provided clarity for buyers, particularly swing traders. The price could drop to 3340 once more before reversing and hitting our first target, followed by a second target later.
Another possible scenario arises if the price continues to drop further. In this case, the second entry scenario becomes more secure, as Asian session volatility could cause the price to go sideways.
Please use accurate risk management and consider liking and commenting on this idea.
Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
Bears counterattacked strongly, is the 3300 mark in danger?Gold bulls collapsed! Bears counterattacked strongly, is the 3300 mark in danger?
Fundamental analysis
Safe-haven demand weakened
The call between the leaders of China and the United States released a signal of easing trade tensions, the market risk appetite rebounded, and gold rose and fell.
Spot gold once hit a four-week high of $3,403 during the week, but eventually closed down 1.26% to $3,310.
The market is paying attention to the US non-farm data and the policy trends of the Federal Reserve. If the data is strong or strengthens the expectation of interest rate hikes, it may further suppress the gold price.
Despite the short-term pressure, the gold price has risen by 28% this year, and its long-term safe-haven attribute has not changed.
Technical analysis
Weekly level
The pattern shows significant pressure from above, and the MACD high dead cross sign indicates that the bears may continue to test the 3300 mark.
Daily level
The decline for several consecutive days broke the short-term moving average (5-day/10-day moving average), and the MACD dead cross increased in volume, which was overall bearish.
The key support moves up to 3295 (Bolin middle rail), if it fails, it will open up downward space.
4-hour level
The price breaks below the Bollinger lower rail, the moving average system is arranged in a short position, and the MACD dead cross has sufficient momentum. The short-term may test the 3280 support.
Operation strategy
Resistance level
Short-term: 3328-3330 (short dividing point)
Strong resistance: 3345-3350 (breakthrough will slow down the downward rhythm)
Support level
Primary: 3290-3280 (beginning of the week target)
After breaking, look to the 3250-3230 area
Recommendations
Main strategy: short-selling on the rebound to the 3328-3332 area, stop loss above 3345, target 3290-3280.
Auxiliary strategy: light long orders at the first touch of 3280, stop loss below 3270, target 3300-3310.
Risk warning: If the non-farm data is lower than expected or the geopolitical situation changes suddenly, be wary of a bullish counterattack.
H1 frame analysis for next week gold plan after NFMGold is running wave 3, planning to go down to the near resistance zone then run wave 4 to the area just broken out, continue running wave 5 to decrease to complete the short-term decrease cycle
Everyone pay attention to the transaction, I have noted the price zones for everyone to refer to. Thank you traders for reading the article.
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Gold Price Analysis June 63 D1 candles closed without breaking through 50% of the previous bullish main candle. Today's main view will be BUY up to 34xx
Today's resistance is around 3413 for the SELL strategy of the US Session. The Asian and European Session is looking for a BUY point. There was just a nice BUY beat around 3363 where the price swept liquidity to 3369.
3382 is the target for the BUY order and this area can SELL Scalp in today's Asian and European session because today's target is up to 3413.
In the direction of Gold Down, contrary to the analysis, the support zone 3341 and support 3324 will support the upward force of gold prices.
Breakout boundary zone 3382 and 3341. Note that the break out does not block the train
GOLD - where is current Resistance? Holds or not??#GOLD... perfect holdings and bounced back and now market have his ultimat resistance area is 3382-84
Thats play key role from yesterday and in today it will be our key level.
Keep close and only hold shorts below that other use not
Note: above 3382 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Pay close attention to this ☠️
The markets are supposed to open on an upward gap, but according to my analysis, it should be a small downward gap and then the price covers the previous price gap at 3295 and then the bullish party begins with all the power of the global economy.
But I say this from my pulpit. A bullish price gap and very high liquidity at the opening and then the markets calm down for hours and by ten o'clock in the morning on Monday, gold will have covered the previous gap at 3295 and rebounded upwards above the gap or opening price this week.
This and God knows best ❤️
Do a little search for charitable academy
XAUUSD selling pressure Current XAUUSD (Gold) Bias: SELL
Sell Below: 3365/64
Targets: 3350 → 3340/3330
Resistance: 3375–3378
Support: 3350/40/30
Why SELL?
1. Price Rejection at Resistance: Gold failed to break above the 3390–3395 resistance zone, showing strong selling pressure.
2. Bearish Momentum: Lower highs and lower lows are forming—a classic bearish pattern.
3. Stronger Dollar/Yields: If U.S. dollar strength or bond yields rise, gold usually drops as it's less attractive compared to interest-bearing assets.
4. Technical Indicators: Indicators like RSI and MACD on the 1H/4H charts are showing bearish divergence or downward momentum.
Conclusion: As long as gold stays below 3395–3394, the bias is bearish. Best strategy: look for sell entries near resistance, target 3335 and 3330
Let me know if you want live chart analysis or signals.
Today’s gold strategy: go long on support and short on pressure!Today, there is a high probability that the volatile bullish trend will continue. In terms of operation, we should seize the opportunity of short-term bullish. The key support level of the daily line is around 3350-3355. If it falls back to this level, you can arrange short-term bullish with a light position. If the market is strong and there is no obvious correction, you can enter the long position in advance at the 3370 line. Pay attention to the upper resistance level of 3400-3405. Once it breaks through effectively, wait for the opportunity to arrange short positions after the surge. In the volatile market, both long and short positions have opportunities. Don't chase the rise and sell the fall. Be sure to wait patiently for the right time to enter the market and strictly control the position.
Gold operation suggestions: short gold rebounds around 3400-3405. Go long gold when it falls back to around 3350-3360. Go long at 3370 first if it is strong and does not pull back.