GOLD/USD showing short-term corrections during the downtrendPrice Action Overview
Current Price: $3,389.030
Change: -47.536 (-1.38%) at the time of the snapshot.
Recent High: Around $3,453
Support Levels:
$3,370.793
$3,236.478
$3,201.685
Resistance Levels:
$3,393.756
$3,453.443
Technical Indicators & Patterns
Price Zones:
A red shaded area near the top indicating a strong resistance zone.
Multiple green shaded boxes below suggesting prior demand zones (support).
Trade Markers:
"B" = Buy signals (e.g., on May 3–4, where a rally followed)
"R" = Resistance/reversal points
"T" = Possibly a target or technical level
Volume Spikes:
Notable spike on April 23 (2.619M) and another smaller one around April 30 (568.623K).
Price Movements:
Recent Rally: A sharp upward movement from early May, rising from support near $3,200 to resistance at ~$3,450.
Corrections: Several pullbacks marked (-0.80%, -0.95%, etc.), showing short-term corrections during the downtrend and consolidation phases.
Percentage Gains/Losses:
Ranges from minor gains (0.67% to 1.19%) to losses (e.g., -0.95%) across various candles, highlighting short-term trading opportunities.
GOLD trade ideas
XAUMO DAILY TACTICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD – May 6, 2025 DAILY TACTICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD – May 6, 2025 (Cairo Time GMT+3)
XAUM0 Verdict:
🔵 Bulls: Have the edge. Structure and indicators say "Go." But they must show volume strength at NY Open or get trapped.
🔴 Bears: Will get one shot at Red Zone (3,387+). If price gets rejected there with RVOL spike and reversal candle → ride the short wave back to 3,355.
⏳Time Bomb: NY Open — that’s where the lie is exposed. Wait for confirmation. Be ruthless.
🕒 HOURLY SESSION BEHAVIOR MAP
London Open (10:00 Cairo)
Expect reactive volatility; test into Yellow Zone.
Watch VWAP test and cloud flat-top reaction.
Pre-New York (14:00–15:30)
Trap behavior. Sweep below Conversion Line (3,356) then spring.
Ichimoku shows bullish TK Cross. Volume divergence may fakeout sellers.
New York Open (15:30)
Decision zone. Break of Green or rejection from Red.
Volume MA is key: if above 22K, STRIKE; if flat, DEFEND.
New York Close (22:00)
Likely to range after directional move is completed. Scalp or flatten swing.
==========================
✅ 1. Price Action Patterns
Tight coil after impulse up — consolidation above Ichimoku Kumo cloud on 1H and 4H.
Breakout candle (bullish engulfing) on daily from May 3–May 6 → indicates bullish control.
Repeated equal highs at 3,367–3,368 = liquidity magnet. Watch for fake break then dump or clean breakout continuation.
🔄 2. Range-Bound Dynamics
Compression range:
Support: 3,355–3,356
Resistance: 3,368–3,370
Inside this box → it's a battlefield.
Above 3,368 = breakout.
Below 3,355 = fade dump incoming.
⚠️ NY session will be the trigger — London is setup.
🔥 3. Trend Analysis
Short-term trend: Bullish
Mid-term trend: Neutral → forming base
Long-term trend: Bullish recovery phase from April low (massive V-shape reversal off demand zone)
EMA Stacks (4H/1D):
All EMAs pointing up, price stacked → bullish structure
📊 4. Volume Analysis
Accumulation Phase Confirmed:
Massive buying under cloud, now springing up
No sell climax yet = buyers in control
Volume spike + candle body = legit move.
🌊 5. Wave Analysis
This is Wave 3 of 5 in impulse cycle post-April bottom.
Wave 1 = impulse rally
Wave 2 = pullback (inside Kumo)
Wave 3 now emerging with target near 3,388–3,400
If fails → early termination → dump back to 3,320 zone.
🧩 6. Harmonic Pattern Read
Potential Bearish Bat forming on Daily
XA = 3200 to 3360
AB = 3360 to 3270
BC = 3270 to 3368 (current)
If it hits 3,387–3,390 = perfect D point → time to SHORT HARD
🎯 FINAL STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: BATTLE MAP
Zone Action Justification
3,368+ Buy Stop Breakout Above structure + volume confirmation
3,355 Liquidity Sweep Buy Trap & spring with LTF divergence
3,387+ Sell Limit Supply wall, Harmonic D-point
3,344 Crash Zone Below cloud, momentum dies, dump begins
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO
Expect:
Pullback to Conversion Line ~3,356 → Spring
Ichimoku Cloud showing bullish Kumo twist and bullish price outside cloud
Volume spike confirms breakout above 3,368
Tactical Entry (Breakout Play)
Type of Entry: Buy Stop
Entry Price: 3,368.10
Stop Loss (SL): 3,354.00
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,378.00
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,387.00
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,400.00
Confidence Level: 85%
Justification: Bullish structure + breakout above XAUMO Green Zone + volume + Ichimoku TK Cross + price above Kumo.
🔻 BEARISH SCENARIO
Expect:
Price rejects above 3,387
Massive wick and return to base at 3,355
Volume divergence + RVOL spike signals trap
Tactical Entry (Rejection Play)
Type of Entry: Sell Limit
Entry Price: 3,387.00
Stop Loss (SL): 3,395.00
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,368.00
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,356.00
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,340.00
Confidence Level: 75%
Justification: Supply rejection zone + multiple timeframe exhaustion + RVOL peak divergence + confirmed bearish momentum.
⏱️ EXECUTION TIMING GUIDE
✅ STRIKE:
At NY Open if volume spikes & price breaks 3,368 cleanly.
If breakout retests Green Zone + holds — reload.
🛡️ DEFEND:
If price whipsaws above 3,368 without volume confirmation. Wait for confirmation.
If Red Zone hit with low RVOL — fade it.
⚔️ SCALP:
3,356 – 3,359 zone if high wick traps and quick reversal printed.
🧱 SWING:
Only if NY closes above 3,368 or rejects 3,387 hard — otherwise intraday only.
Gold: Multi-cycle Liquidity & The Silent ResetThe Grand-Scale Consolidation – The Market Reckoning
The exaggerated price hike has already priced in all major factors—interest rates, geopolitics, economic shifts, and institutional positioning. Fear drove the market upwards, but now, it’s time for a long-term balance that reflects real demand, not opportunistic hype.
Right now, gold demand is opportunistic. Wealthy investors and institutions jumped in early, securing "first come, first serve" pricing at the cheap side. But the over-inflated FOMO has pushed speculative pricing beyond its actual value.
Liquidity Trap at the Top—Now What?
Liquidity is locked in a high-stakes trap, forcing major players into a cycle of cashing out and recollecting liquidity pools to break even. The initial investment isn’t profitable unless liquidity gets redistributed.
Only big players can push price higher, but now they are risking their own liquidity—they underestimated retail traders, whose excitement keeps fueling the cycle.
The Grand Consolidation Range
This trick works on a global scale—economic policies, geopolitical moves, and institutional trade positioning are primed for consolidation. If price action confirms this range-bound phase, we could be looking at a multi-cycle balancing period before the market corrects to its true value.
Swing High : 3,403 - 3,500 – The extended liquidity trap zone where institutional players exit positions.
Swing Low : 3,215 - 3,134 / 2,970 – The deeper retracement zones where liquidity pools reset before the next expansion move.
Early Warning – The Consolidation is Setting Up
This isn’t just a minor retracement—this is the early warning of an extended consolidation phase, where liquidity must cycle multiple times before any true trend shift occurs. For traders, this means selling high and buying low, but only with near-term confirmation signals to avoid liquidity traps. Key areas to watch:
Volume shifts – Exhaustion vs continuation signs.
Price reactions at swing levels – Validating liquidity absorption.
Institutional positioning – Tracking big player activity in price action.
Speculation vs Reality – Time Will Tell
While the current market behavior signals consolidation, only time will confirm whether this phase will fully materialize. There’s no absolute certainty, but the conditions are aligning toward a grand-scale liquidity rotation that could define gold’s trajectory for the foreseeable future.
I’m putting this out there first—before the rest of the market catches on. Gold is primed for grand-scale consolidation, but as always, we shall see .
Bullish Breakout Defies Trade Uncertainty and Global TensionsOANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains firm near $3,333, holding a bullish structure after a breakout above multi-year resistance. While short-term pullbacks persist, geopolitical tensions and a Fed pause continue to support safe-haven demand. Trump's refusal to ease China tariffs dampens trade optimism, further boosting gold's appeal. Key support lies around $3,333 and $3.273.
Resistance : $3,414 , $3,474
Support : $3,333 , $ 3,273
Gold: Bearish Trend Continues as Prices Retreat from HighsIn the gold market today, there has been a certain rebound, which is stronger compared to before. However, after the price soars, it quickly falls back, further confirming the overall bearish tone. During the US trading session, we decisively placed a short order at the price of 3360, and subsequently, the market plummeted as expected. Judging from the current trend, gold is still in a bearish trend of pulling back from a high level. If there is a rebound in the future, we can still seize the opportunity to go short.
Technically, the moving average of the one-hour level of gold has started to turn downward. During the US trading session, after gold soared, it immediately entered a mode of significant decline, and the trend highly coincides with expectations.
Nevertheless, there are two possibilities for the subsequent market: if there is a substantial rebound in gold, then the market is likely to maintain a pattern of large-range fluctuations; but if the rebound fails to break through the level of 3320, it is sufficient to indicate that the bullish momentum is weak, and at that time, gold is very likely to completely enter a unilateral bearish trend.
Therefore, in the subsequent US trading session, we should focus on the pressure-bearing situation when gold rebounds to the level of 3320. Once it is blocked here, we can place a short order at a high price and grasp the profit-making opportunity under the bearish trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3320-3325
tp:3300-3280
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
XAU.usd watch $3407/18: Key Resistance and end of "Wave B" ?Part of my ongoing analysis of Gold (see below).
Per the last plot, we bounced exactly where hoped.
We may well be at "Wave B" end point near $3400.
This is bears best and last chance to get a lower low.
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Last Plot that caught our bounces EXACTLY
Previous Plot called the last Dip Entry EXACTLY
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I will post updates on this Idea as price action progresses.
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Please follow and like, for more EXACT plots to use in your trading.
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GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2956.50 on 04/07/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3357.00, 3500.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3057.40
3160.00
3257.03
3357.00
3500.00
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Gold's Zigzag Retreat: Shorts' Comeback LoomsOn Friday, gold rebounded slightly and regained the $3,330 mark during the North American trading session. However, it showed an overall volatile trend throughout the week and closed near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at $3,325.54. The market interpreted the US-UK trade agreement as an "empty-shell agreement". Coupled with Trump's tariff remarks ahead of the upcoming high-level talks among major economies over the weekend, the risk aversion sentiment has risen again, providing support for the gold price.
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Judging from the current market structure, during the upward trend that started from $3,200, gold has not experienced an obvious central consolidation and has accumulated strong retracement momentum. Combining with the small-scale trend, the current adjustment is more likely to unfold in the form of a falling zigzag pattern or a rectangular consolidation pattern rather than a strong breakout, as the weekly resistance level has not been effectively digested and there has been no new positive driving force in the market.
Next week, we need to be cautious about blindly chasing long positions and especially give up the illusion of "breaking through the previous high". In the short term, the probability of a retracement is much higher than that of a continuous unilateral upward movement.
XAUUSD
sell@3330-3340
tp:3300-3280
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
Bullish Airlines Cleared for Altitude!After squinting at the 4H chart like Sherlock with a caffeine addiction, I’ve confirmed: our price broke out of a flag pattern like it was tired of napping. It even did the polite thing—came back to retest—like, “Excuse me, just checking if I actually broke out. Yep. Cool.”
Now it’s back on its bullish treadmill, charging uphill like a gym bro after pre-workout.
As long as we’re above 3200, this beast might just pump harder than Bitcoin on caffeine and hopium.
🎯 Final destination? 161.80% Fib extension at 3580.22—aka “Mount Take Profit.”
Pack snacks. It’s a climb.
XAUUSD TAKE RESISTANCE FROM TRADE LINEHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 1- Hour
Pattern: Resistance Level
Momentum: Bearish/ SELL
Entry Level : SELL 3327
Resistance zone : 3335
Target Will Be : 3300 / 3272
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the NEUTRAL LEVEL breakout (3400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (3200) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 3680 (or) Escape Before the Target
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💰💵💴💸XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bullishness🐂).., driven by several key factors.👆👆👆
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Gold Rebounds Amid Geopolitical TensionsOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) bounced back to $3,330 amid escalating global tensions, including renewed conflicts on the Russia-Ukraine front and flare-ups along the India-Pakistan border. Safe-haven demand supported the rebound, but the upside may be limited as markets watch US-China trade talks and digest the limited US-UK trade deal. Technically, gold remains in a corrective phase below the $3,365 resistance zone. A clean break above this level could trigger a retest of the $3,413 supply zone. Otherwise, bears may drag it back toward $3,289 and $3,239 support. Traders watch closely for clarity from today’s FOMC speakers.
Resistance : $3,330 , $3,364 , $3,413
Support : $3,289 , $3,239
Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave + AO Analysis (1H Chart) – 10 May 20Overview:
This 1-hour chart on XAUUSD highlights a clear 5-wave Elliott impulse, confirmed with Fibonacci extensions and the Awesome Oscillator (AO). Current structure suggests Wave (5) is in play, offering a high-probability short opportunity from the Wave (4) retracement zone.
🧠 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1): Initial bearish leg
Wave (2): Minor corrective pullback
Wave (3): Strong impulse confirmed by AO convergence
Wave (4): Corrective structure that respects the top of Wave (1) — valid Elliott structure
Wave (5): Now in progress, supported by AO divergence → momentum weakening
📌 Note: Wave 1 and Wave 3 are commonly measured using AO convergence, validating the strength of the impulse waves. Conversely, Wave 5 is often identified by AO divergence, signaling trend exhaustion.
📐 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Measured from Wave 4):
Expected zone for Wave (5) termination:
1.618 Fib: $3,312.17
2.618 Fib: $3,280.25 (most common)
4.236 Fib: $3,255.05
4.886 Fib: $3,241.30 (extreme extension)
📉 Wave (5) often terminates at 2.618 or 4.236 Fibonacci levels, especially when supported by AO divergence.
📊 AO (Awesome Oscillator) Insights:
✅ Wave (1) to (3): Clear convergence validates impulse
🚨 Wave (5): AO showing divergence = weakening sell momentum
Confirms Wave (5) status and end-stage trend behavior
🛠️ 🔴 Short-Only Strategy: Trade Wave (5) From Wave (4)
Entry Criteria:
Short initiated near the Wave (4) zone (~$3,330–$3,347)
Strong rejection candle (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) or breakdown confirmation
AO turning from green to red or histogram weakening
Stop Loss:
Above Wave (4) high = ~$3,347
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: $3,312 (1.618 Fib)
🎯 TP2: $3,280 (2.618 Fib)
🎯 TP3: $3,255 (4.236 Fib)
🎯 TP4 (optional final target): $3,241 (4.886 Fib)
Risk Management Tip: Adjust position sizing to align with stop above Wave (4) and TP zones at Fib targets.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
✅ High-probability bearish structure from Wave (4)
🚫 No bullish setups considered — focus is only on shorting Wave (5)
🔍 AO confirms both impulse strength and trend exhaustion via convergence/divergence
📐 Fibs align with standard Wave (5) projections
📈 Chart Context:
Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H timeframe
Indicators: Elliott Wave, AO, Fibonacci
Analysis Date: 10 May 2025
Bias: Bearish only
GOLD H1 / 3285 USD & 3155 USD key BUY/SELL Levels🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Market Overview
▪️correction in progress
▪️3285 USD overhead resistance
▪️Multiple waves of selling in progress
▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R
▪️3155 USD logical next target short-term
▪️flagging on lower timeframe
▪️waves of profit taking pulling prices down
▪️3285 USD a good level to SHORT
▪️3145/3155 USD will be targeted by BEARS
▪️BULLS wait to BUY/HOLD low later
▪️Once the pullback/correction is over
📊 Gold Market Summary – May 5, 2025
🟡 Current Price: $3,266.20 (+0.82%)
📉 Weekly Close: $3,247.40 (flat for the week after sharp swings)
🇺🇸 US Jobs Data: 177K jobs added in April, earnings growth slowed to 0.2%. Market now watching Fed for rate cut signals.
🏦Fed Outlook: Mixed data fuels speculation on policy shift. Analysts see gold’s pullback as a new buying opportunity.
🌏Asian Demand: China and India remain key forces in price direction, alternating as major buyers.
📦Tariff Watch: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tension continues to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping gold in play.
🛑Geopolitics: No major updates on Iran-U.S. talks, India-Pakistan, or Russia-Ukraine ceasefire yet. These remain key risk triggers.
📈 Market Sentiment: Despite volatility, investor outlook stays bullish. Analysts eye mid-term targets above $4,000 if conditions align.
Gold falls under pressureAlthough gold surged in the morning, it continued to fall in the afternoon and fell to 3320. Currently, gold rebounded moderately, but it is still under pressure after the sharp drop. The adjusted golden section line position, the 0.5 position of this wave of decline is the 3320-3318 area. The price bounced when it was touched for the first time. Going down, we need to pay attention to the 0.618 position 3288 area, which is close to the four-hour lower track 3284 area. The two together become the support area. The excess range is the double-line lower track 3270 on the hourly chart. Tonight, it is still a rebound to short, and pay attention to the 3370-74 line resistance situation above.
Hanzo : Gold15m : Reversal Zone / Next Move is Confirmed🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish After Retest at 3354
We are watching this zone closely.
———
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3350
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3325 – Major support / Key level x5 Retest
➗ 3360 – Proven resistance
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Daily Sniper Plan - XAUUSD May 9🔹 XAUUSD – Daily Sniper Plan | May 9, 2025
🎯 Precision Mode: Activated. No recycled zones. Only real-time flow.
🧠 Macro Context:
• Market digested FOMC + Powell ✅
• Price dipped into 3284 sniper zone (✅ Reaction Confirmed)
• Asia printed fresh CHoCH from discount → Now retesting
• Bias: HTF bullish — LTF shift confirmed after deep mitigation
• Today = Thursday → Keep eyes on volume traps before NY
🔍 Structure Summary:
• D1–H4: Bullish trend intact, reaction from strong OB near 3284
• H1–M15: Internal BOS + CHoCH + FVGs filled, clean transition
• Major HL defended. New short-term HH printed → demand forming below.
🔻 SELL SETUPS (only from premium)
1. Sell Setup 1 – Premium FVG Trap
📍 Zone: 3348–3354
🎯 Confluence: M15 imbalance + weak high + LTF CHoCH area
🛑 SL: 3362
TP1: 3335
TP2: 3318
TP3: 3304
2. Sell Setup 2 – Extreme Supply + Liquidity
📍 Zone: 3382–3390
🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated M30 OB + Equal highs + HTF inefficiency
🛑 SL: 3401
TP1: 3360
TP2: 3335
TP3: 3310
🟢 BUY SETUPS (only after confirmation)
1. Buy Setup 1 – CHoCH Retest + OB
📍 Zone: 3303-3310
🎯 Confluence: M15 OB + previous CHoCH + demand reaction
🛑 SL: 3292
TP1: 3324
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3354
2. Buy Setup 2 – Deep Discount Sniper Zone
📍 Zone: 3284–3292
🎯 Confluence: H4 OB + FVG + 61.8% FIB retracement
🛑 SL: 3268
TP1: 3310
TP2: 3333
TP3: 3350
Bias Today: HTF bullish | LTF flipped bullish after Asian CHoCH
Scalps and reentries only from refined zones. No countertrend unless clear CHoCH/weak high is grabbed.
💬 Note:
Don’t buy or sell from the middle of nowhere. Wait for price to deliver to the zones. If price flies without you? That’s not your train. You’re waiting at your sniper station.
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Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — let’s build the sharpest Gold team on TradingView
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.