GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s our weekly chart update. Once again, the Goldturn channel is proving reliable, with price action unfolding as expected. Over the past few weeks, we saw multiple attempts to break above the top of the channel, but each was rejected , confirmed by the EMA5 failing to break through.
Following this, price dropped to as low as 3189 and nearly reached 3094, aligning closely with the channels half line, a key support level we've been monitoring. We caught an early bounce there and capitalized on it using confluence from our lower time frame analysis, also shared with you all, on our 1h and 4h chart ideas.
As long as price holds above the channels half line, we’ll continue to look for bounce opportunities using levels from our smaller time frame setups. However, if price crosses and holds below the half line, it may open the door for a move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
As always, patience and precision are key. We'll continue using the 1H and 4H timeframes to buy dips on retracements into these support zones, targeting clean 20–40 pip moves. These levels and pullbacks offer ideal opportunities, especially in ranging conditions where our Goldturn method truly shines.
This is exactly why we rely on our Goldturn Channels, our proprietary system built on weighted averages. It filters the noise, helps us spot real breakouts vs. fake-outs, and gives us the confidence to act with clarity and discipline.
Thanks again for all the support, your likes, comments and follows.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Update – Bearish Structure Intact, 3165 in SightIn my Monday analysis, I mentioned the possibility of Gold retesting the 3200 zone, and that scenario played out as expected.
After breaking back below the 3270 support, price accelerated to the downside, reaching a low around 3208.
A rebound followed, with XAUUSD retesting the 3270 zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown.
Looking ahead, I expect a break below the 3200 level, with the next bearish target set around the 3165 support zone.
The plan remains unchanged:
As long as Gold stays below 3270, I’m looking to sell rallies into that resistance area. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Positive US-China trade talks cause gold to continue to fall🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️Gold prices (XAU/USD) faced selling pressure early Monday during the Asian session, dipping toward $3,275 amid a stronger US Dollar. The decline was driven by optimism surrounding US-China trade talks held over the weekend in Geneva, Switzerland. Both countries reported “significant progress” after two days of negotiations aimed at easing trade tensions. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng described the discussions with US officials as an “important first step” toward stabilizing bilateral trade relations, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also confirmed “substantial progress” had been made.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Specific actions taken by the world’s two largest economies could potentially reduce the demand for safe-haven assets. However, it can be reaffirmed that the overall ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs likely remains the key underlying factor supporting gold.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3222 - 3225
❌SL: 3218 | ✅TP: 3229 - 3233 – 3237
👉Sell Gold 3323 - 3326
❌SL: 3330 | ✅TP: 3319 - 3315 – 3310
FM wishes you a successful trading day!
XAU/USD - Fed warns of Economic UncertaintyThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3473
2nd Resistance – 3519
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Gold Just Grabbed Liquidity Below a Key LowGold reacted sharply at a major structural level last week, sweeping liquidity below the previous weekly swing low. That move was immediately followed by a strong bullish rejection candle with a deep lower wick — signaling aggressive buyer absorption.
The price also respected a long-term ascending trendline, which has acted as dynamic support since early March. Two demand zones are clearly identified on the chart (based on HTF imbalances and previous accumulation ranges), and price tapped the upper zone near 3,160 before bouncing.
The bullish structure remains intact unless price closes below 3,080 on the weekly. Until then, the trendline and recent liquidity grab favor further upside continuation.
📉 COT Data Insight
Gold Non-Commercials:
Net long remains strong (238k long vs 76k short)
New long contracts: +746 | Shorts: +2,034
However, a large drop in spread positions (-12,424) signals a tactical unwind in hedge fund exposure
USD Index (DXY) Non-Commercials:
Net long positions down significantly (-5,712)
Softening dollar bias adds tailwind for gold in the short term
🧠 COT Takeaway
Speculative interest continues to favor Gold, while USD positioning weakens — supporting the idea of a technical bounce and potential bullish continuation.
🧮 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian View)
Retail traders are currently 54% short on XAU/USD — classic contrarian signal suggesting the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
📆 Seasonal Outlook (May Performance)
Historically, May tends to be a neutral-to-weak month for gold based on 10- to 15-year data.
However, in the last 2 years, May has delivered clear bullish seasonality, which reinforces the case for upward momentum after pullbacks.
✅ Summary
🔸 Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish
🔸 Invalid if: Weekly close < 3,080
🎯 First Target: 3,280 – 3,320
🎯 Extended Target: 3,440 resistance zone
📌 Final Thoughts
The technical reaction from demand, supportive COT structure, soft USD positioning, and contrarian sentiment all point toward potential continuation higher.
As long as Gold holds above the 3,080 zone, the bulls remain in control.
(XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,222 with 1:6 Risk/REntry Point: Around 3,409.33 - 3,408.41 USD.
Stop Loss: 3,437.87 USD.
Target (Take Profit): 3,222.53 USD.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:6, which is favorable.
📉 Price Action & Trend Analysis:
A rising wedge (or channel) appears to have formed and broken to the downside — a bearish signal.
The current price at 3,341.47 has broken below a minor support zone (highlighted in purple), indicating bearish momentum.
Price is now approaching the 200 EMA, which is acting as potential dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels Highlighted:
Support Zones: Near 3,347.47 (previous minor support) and 3,222.53 (main target zone).
Resistance Zones: At the entry level and above, near 3,437.87 (Stop Loss zone).
🔄 Indicators:
Moving Averages (Red and Blue Lines): Shorter-term moving average (red) is below the longer-term (blue), indicating downward pressure.
Momentum Shift: The sharp drop suggests a likely continuation of the bearish trend.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Outlook ExplainedGOLD has breached and closed below a significant daily horizontal support level.
Prior to this violation the support level, the price was consolidating in a tight horizontal range.
The bearish breakout from this trading range is a strong indicator of further declines.
The pair could continue to drop after retesting the broken structure to 3122 level.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/16/2025As mentioned yesterday, since my weekly target of 3165 was met, I would be cautious in placing buying orders. Indeed, after reaching 3120, gold quickly turned and closed above 3200. It is now quite bullish. I will place only buying orders today.
I am looking to buy from 3200-3210 level or the breaking of 3270. Targeting 3340.
Gold at major targets; stall and retrace likelyThis is relatively simple post idea. We have two formation. One is a multi-decade pattern in blue and one is a muti year pattern in orange. Simple fib draws show both have reached full performance.
We can also see that the RSI is in the process of setting a lower high. This reenforces my bias that Gold will be having a very serious pause right now. Just how intense remains to be seen. But a retrace to retest the previous cup and handle support as resistance would be a very normal movement for support and resistance traders. that would be a ~40% pull back from here. Very painful for people looking for momentum.
Provisionally I am keeping this draw on the GoldSilver ratio. Whether this means Gold will fall faster than silver or gold and silver diverge remains to be seen.
It also doesn't help that the news cycle has picked up on the gold move way too late. Of course.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3215 and a gap below at 3170. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3215
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3215 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3394 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3170
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3170 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3120
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3120 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3236 - 3176
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3176 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3033 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – Monday, May 12, 2025“Structure First. Noise Later. Gold Moves Clean When You Do.” ⚖️🧠
Intraday Bias: Bullish, short-term recovery inside broader pullback
Structure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → market forming higher low structure
🔍 H1 Market Flow Overview:
Price broke structure above 3284–3292, forming a clean CHoCH on H1.
Since then, price impulsively pushed toward 3340, pausing around 3314–3318.
EMAs (5/21/50) are starting to align bullish, with EMA5 now crossing above 21.
Volume compression + wicks suggest potential accumulation in the 3314–3318 zone.
📌 Key H1 Zones (Above & Below Price)
🔺 Resistance Zones
Zone Description
3340–3345 Friday’s high + intraday liquidity trap zone
3380–3395 Strong H1/Daily confluence resistance (OB + FVG)
🔻 Support Zones
Zone Description
3314–3318 🔵 Micro liquidity pocket + HL accumulation zone – potential inducement/reentry base
3284–3292 🔵 CHoCH base – must hold for bullish structure to continue
3260–3265 🔵 Deep intraday OB + liquidity sweep zone
3220–3235 🔵 Major HTF demand – structural last line of defense
🔁 Scenarios for Monday (May 12):
🟢 Bullish Setup:
If price holds above 3314–3318, we may see a reattempt toward 3340, then potentially push into 3380–3395.
Retest of 3314 zone could serve as HL confirmation before breakout.
🔴 Bearish Setup:
If 3314 fails and price closes below 3284, this invalidates current bullish micro-structure.
In that case, we target 3260 or even 3235 depending on momentum.
Rejection from 3340 or 3380 without BOS → short toward 3284 or 3250
Clean break below 3284 flips LTF bearish
🎯 Sniper Logic:
Gold is trapped in a battle between Friday’s high and the CHoCH base.
The true breakout will come once either 3345 is reclaimed clean, or 3284 fails hard.
Until then, play inside structure — sniper entries only.
💬 Final Words:
Gold doesn’t bluff — but it does bait and trap.
Mark your zones, wait for confirmation, and let the impulsive ones get hunted.
Gold doesn’t care about your bias — only about the zones that hold.
If 3284 stays protected, bulls might reload. If it cracks, fade the optimism and follow the flow down.
🟡 Stay smart. Stay patient. And remember: clean structure = clean profit.
✨ Drop your thoughts in the comments, smash that like, and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level clarity every session.
XAU/USD continues sideways above 3200 zone⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Monday that he does not anticipate reinstating the 145% tariffs on Chinese imports following the current 90-day suspension. In a Fox News interview on Wednesday, he emphasized the "excellent" relationship with China, which fueled trade optimism and weighed on safe-haven demand for Gold during the Asian session.
Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine are preparing for their first high-level, in-person negotiations since 2022, scheduled to take place in Istanbul this week. The talks come amid mounting international pressure for Moscow to accept a proposed 30-day ceasefire. Representing the U.S., Secretary of State Marco Rubio, along with special envoys Steve Witkoff and Keith Kellogg, are expected to participate in the discussions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulation price zone, gold price sideways around 3200 - 3270, balance between buyers and sellers
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3282- 3284 SL 3289
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3167 - $3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3178
TP2: $3189
TP3: $3200
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: The Ultimate Safe Haven Play! FOR THIS WEEK 12/05🏆 XAUUSD (Gold): The Ultimate Safe Haven Play!
📊 Live Market Snapshot (May 12, 2025)
- Current Price: $3,275
- Weekly Range: $3,201 - $3,455
- Key Liquidity Zones:
- Strong Support: $3,140-$3,145 (Best Buy Zone)
- Immediate Resistance: $3,335 (TP1)
- All-Time High: $3,500
💎 Why Gold Matters Now
1. Market Uncertainty: Perfect hedge against volatility
2. Technical Setup: Bouncing from weekly low of $3,201
3. Institutional Demand: Central banks accumulating
🎯 Trading Strategy
- Entry: $3,240-$3,245 zone
- Take Profit Levels:
→ $3,280
→ $3,330
→ $3,355
- Risk Management:
→ Stop Loss: $3,225
⚠️ Critical Notes
1. Watch USD strength (inverse correlation)
2. Monitor Fed policy decisions
3. Physical demand vs. paper gold flows
🔥 Key Indicators
1. Daily RSI: 52 (neutral)
2. 200-DMA: $3,180 (strong support)
3. Volume Profile: Key node at $3,250
📌 The Golden Opportunity
With global tensions rising, gold offers:
- Safe haven protection
- Inflation hedge
- Technical rebound potential
---
📊 DYOR| Not financial advice 🖌️
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the 3170 level after pulling back from its recent highs near 3400. Price action is showing strong signs of bullish resilience as it bounces off a key support zone, suggesting the corrective phase may be nearing completion. The structure on the 2-day chart is shaping up as a healthy retracement within a strong uptrend, and the latest bounce is gaining volume, which indicates renewed buying interest and a potential re-entry point for bulls.
From a macroeconomic perspective, ongoing concerns about persistent inflation, global debt levels, and geopolitical tensions continue to support the bullish narrative for gold. With the latest U.S. CPI data showing inflation remaining above the Fed's comfort zone, the likelihood of prolonged higher interest rates remains in play. However, real yields have not kept pace, making gold an attractive hedge in this environment. Central banks worldwide are still aggressively accumulating gold as a reserve diversification strategy, which reinforces the broader demand.
Technically, the market is reacting precisely from a demand zone around 3120–3150, where historical resistance turned support. Momentum is building for a continuation of the bullish trend, and a push toward the 3500 level looks increasingly likely if price breaks above the minor resistance around 3250 with conviction. The risk-reward here remains favorable, especially with the clear invalidation level just below the recent lows.
As a professional trader, I view this structure as a textbook bullish continuation setup. The strong trend, clean bounce, and increasing volume are aligning for a potential breakout toward 3500. With macro catalysts and technical confirmation supporting the bullish bias, this is a solid opportunity for swing buyers to ride the next leg up in gold.
#XAUUSD: Gold to continue rising,$4000 by end of the year targetGold has unexpectedly declined to 3335 in response to the anticipated price increase following the unfolding conflict in Asia. Currently, two regions exhibit price reversals.
The XAUUSD price is progressing in accordance with our previous analysis. Both analyses have successfully reached the take-profit target, and we anticipate further bullish momentum in the near future. However, price movement is subject to potential reversals in two areas. Both targets are long-term oriented, indicating potential swing moves that may take time to complete. Stop-loss, intraday target, and position decisions should be based on individual analysis and overall market assessment. Strong fundamentals are essential for price to reach the designated target area.
We acknowledge our bias in this analysis, but it does not guarantee the realisation of the described outcome.
Upon trade activation, you can establish two targets. You have the flexibility to select your own take-profit based on your analysis and trade management strategies.
We appreciate your unwavering support.
For those who wish to contribute, we offer several avenues for assistance:
- Liking our ideas
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Team Setupsfx_❤️🚀
Gold Trade Plan 12/05/2025Dear Traders,
Gold Started Correction and opened with Negative Gap Today
i Expect price will be bounce off from 3202-3220 to 3270 Area ,
Above 3270 --->3300-3330-3400
Below 3270---> My final Target 3160-3080
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Critical Reversal or Breakdown? | XAU/USD at Make-or-Break Zone📉 Chart Overview:
Instrument: XAU/USD (assumed from chart context)
Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on candlestick size)
Indicators Used:
📏 EMA 50 (Red): 3,247.86
📏 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,221.42
🔍 RSI (14): Currently at 45.90 (below midline, showing weak momentum)
🔎 Key Zones:
🧱 Support Zone: ~3,180 – 3,220
Price is currently sitting on this key demand zone.
Price previously bounced here sharply ➡️ indicating buyer interest.
📦 Resistance Block: ~3,260 – 3,280
Short-term resistance, price has been repeatedly rejected from here.
🎯 Target Zone: ~3,420 – 3,460
If price breaks out from the support-resistance squeeze, this is the potential bullish target 🎯.
🧭 EMA Analysis:
EMA 50 is still above EMA 200 ➡️ Golden Cross formation (medium-term bullish bias) ✅
However, price is currently below both EMAs, signaling short-term weakness ❌
📉 Bearish Scenario (📍Blue Arrow Down):
If price breaks below the support zone at ~3,180, we could see a sharp drop toward the next support at ~3,032 🔻.
RSI is trending down near 40, close to oversold territory ⚠️
🚀 Bullish Scenario (📈 Blue Arrow Up):
A successful retest and bounce from this support area (currently forming a rounded bottom 🥄) could lead to a bullish move toward the target zone.
This is further supported by the potential RSI bounce from the 40 area, signaling renewed momentum 🔋.
✅ Bias & Conclusion:
Neutral-to-Bullish Bias 🤝: As long as the price holds above the major support zone (~3,180), buyers have a chance to reclaim higher levels.
Look for confirmation breakout above the local resistance (~3,260) for a move toward 3,400+ 🚀.
A breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish thesis and target 3,030 instead 📉.
🛠️ Trading Plan (not financial advice!):
Long Entry: On bullish breakout & retest of ~3,260 ✅
Stop-Loss: Below ~3,180 ⚠️
Target: ~3,420 – 3,460 🎯
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse.
As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely.
Want to support us? Do the following ❤️
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Much love ❤️
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD forms a DOUBLE TOP. Support 3200. Trend reversalGOLD is forming support for the double top reversal pattern
A break of 3200 will confirm the market's intention to reverse the trend and go downwards.
Scenario: There is a lot of important news from the US and Great Britain ahead. If the general fundamental background remains and the dollar continues its bullish trend, then we will be close to a breakdown of 3200.
Thus, a break of 3200 and consolidation below the level will be a signal that we are ready to go down.
XAUUSD Price Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play ??Asset Overview
The chart represents a price action analysis with support and resistance zones, along with EMA indicators (50 and 200), likely on a 4H or 1H timeframe.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~3,400 to 3,450
First Support Zone: ~3,230 to 3,250
Second Support Zone: ~3,090 to 3,130
Indicators
EMA 50 (Red): Currently around 3,340, acting as dynamic resistance.
EMA 200 (Blue): Positioned near 3,232, reinforcing the first support zone.
Price Action Insight
Price had a strong uptrend, peaking above 3,440 before pulling back.
A lower high may be forming, suggesting possible trend exhaustion.
The current bounce appears to be a retracement back toward resistance or EMA 50.
Projected Move (As Illustrated on Chart)
Short-term bullish move into the resistance zone (~3,400–3,450).
Failure to break above resistance leads to sharp rejection.
Price retraces to first support zone (aligned with EMA 200).
If support fails, deeper drop expected toward the lower support zone (~3,100).
Strategic Notes
📉 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above resistance.
🔍 Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or divergences near resistance.
🛡️ First support aligns with EMA 200, making it a critical level for bulls to defend.
🔻 Breakdown below 3,230 opens room for larger correction to 3,100–3,090.
Conclusion
Currently, the chart suggests a potential short opportunity if price confirms rejection at resistance. The EMA cross structure remains bullish long-term, but momentum is weakening, and failure to reclaim highs could shift sentiment bearish in the short to mid-term.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 12th May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Gap down on market open
-Looking for price to fill up the gap and form a
bearish structure
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3330
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.