GOLD (XAUUSD): Move Up Ahead?!
Friday's fundamentals made Gold very bullish during the New York session.
The price formed a high momentum bullish candle on a daily,
breaking a minor daily resistance area.
It gives us a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH and indicates
a highly probable bullish continuation next week.
I think that the price will reach 3400 level.
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GOLD trade ideas
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Technical Analysis – 4H Char🔍 XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Technical Analysis – 4H Chart
Based on my shared image from TradingView, here's a detailed analysis of the current XAU/USD market scenario:
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🧩 Chart Type & Indicators Used
Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4)
Platform: TradingView
Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud
Bollinger Bands (BB)
Support/Resistance zones
Trendlines
Price Action with Target Points Marked
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📉 Current Market Structure
Price: ~$3,324 (Sell/Buy zone shown)
Overall Trend: Turning bearish in the short term.
Price Action:
Price has broken below an ascending trendline, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing a bearish bias.
Failed retest of the cloud resistance zone (around 3,335–3,340), which now acts as a resistance.
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🔻 Bearish Signals
1. Trendline Break:
The rising trendline support (mid-July to now) is broken.
This indicates a potential reversal from the previous bullish momentum.
2. Retest & Rejection:
Price attempted to retest the breakdown zone and was rejected from the 3,335–3,340 level.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Bearish Setup:
Price is clearly below the cloud.
Future cloud is bearish (red shaded).
Chikou Span (lagging line) is below price candles and cloud.
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🎯 Targets
First Target Point: ~3,300
This is the next horizontal support level (near recent lows).
Final Target Point: ~3,270
Stronger support zone and measured move from breakdown.
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🛡 Resistance Zone
Immediate Resistance: 3,335–3,340
Stronger Resistance: 3,370
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📌 Conclusion
The XAU/USD 4H chart shows a bearish breakout below the rising channel, with confirmation from Ichimoku and price rejection at cloud resistance. The market is targeting 3,300 as the first support, and if that breaks, 3,270 will likely follow.
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✅ Strategy Suggestion (if trading):
Bias: Short/Sell
Entry: After a weak pullback or retest near 3,330–3,335
Targets:
TP1: 3,300
TP2: 3,270
Stop Loss: Above 3,345 or near 3,350 zone
Let me know if you'd like this in simpler terms or want me to track the next setup.
XAUUSD Market Update – July 30 Late NY Recap🔸Macro Context
Markets are still digesting Powell’s ongoing speech with no clear pivot signals. While FOMC tone remained cautious, no dovish surprise emerged. Trump’s upcoming comments keep geopolitical risks elevated. USD remains firm. Gold is reacting within key HTF demand as intraday volatility cools off.
🔸Bias Overview
Weekly Bias:
• Bearish rejection from the major supply wick 3439–3350
• Structure still below 3345, maintaining downside pressure
• Weekly RSI cooling off — no bullish divergence yet
Daily Bias:
• Lower high locked below 3345
• Price reentered the imbalance toward 3272
• Clean structure remains bearish unless we reclaim 3302
H4 Bias:
• Lower high formed at 3314
• Current price testing HTF Extreme Demand Base (3289–3272)
• Still bearish unless we see a confirmed M15 or H1 BOS from demand
🔸Key Structural Zones
🔺Above Price (3272):
• 3289–3294
Decision Block – M30 OB + FVG. First sign of momentum shift if reclaimed.
• 3302–3314
Supply Reversal – H1 OB + previous BOS zone. EMA alignment adds pressure.
• 3345–3350
Major Rejection Zone – H4 origin of last leg down. Strong resistance area.
🔻Below Price (3272):
• 3254–3264
Imbalance + OB – H4 FVG + clean demand zone. Buy setup only on deep flush + reversal PA.
• 3227–3214
HTF Demand Base – Daily OB + historical volume shelf. Final structural floor before deeper downside opens.
🔸Battle Plan
▶ Scenario 1 – Bearish Breakout
If 3272 fails with momentum and no reversal signs, expect continuation into 3254–3264.
No long trades unless BOS confirms.
▶ Scenario 2 – Reactive Long from Demand
If price gives a strong reaction from 3272 with BOS on M15 or H1 and clears 3294, then a recovery into 3302 is possible. Only valid with confirmed PA + EMA shift.
▶ Scenario 3 – Choppy Rejection from 3294
If price tests 3294 but fails, watch for rejections back toward 3272. Scalpers can fade reactions if no bullish structure forms.
🔸Final Thoughts
Price is once again testing our Extreme Demand Base from July 28 (3289–3272). The zone remains valid — but execution depends entirely on confirmation. Bears still in control unless we reclaim 3302 cleanly.
No need to rush. Best RR setups are found at clean structural edges.
Patience = profits.
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📊 Analysis based on Trade Nation TradingView charts.
GOLD → Retest of trend support. Consolidation...GOLD is consolidating below the previously broken trend support. On Sunday, Trump announced a trade deal with the EU, which is putting pressure on the market along with the rising dollar...
Gold rebounded from support at $3310 after a week-long low, interrupting a three-day decline amid profit-taking. However, the overall downtrend remains intact as markets brace for a busy week with the release of US GDP data and the Fed's decision. Optimism surrounding US-China trade talks and the US-EU framework agreement is reducing demand for safe-haven assets. Additional pressure on gold is coming from easing geopolitical tensions: Thailand and Cambodia have agreed to ceasefire talks. The metal's recovery may be short-lived.
Technically, we have global and local bullish trends, against which gold is testing support, but as we can see, buyers are trying to hold back the decline due to uncertainty over interest rates. There is a chance that we will see active action by the Fed, behind which lies a rate cut, this week...
Resistance levels: 3345, 3375
Support levels: 3320, 3287
At the moment, I do not see a proper reaction to the support breakout. The price is consolidating after confirming the key trigger at 3345. Thus, if the price starts to return to 3345, test and consolidate above the level, we will have a chance for growth. I do not rule out a liquidity grab from 3325 (false breakout) before the rise.
BUT! The structure will be broken if the price breaks 3325 - 3320 and begins to consolidate below this zone. In this case, gold may fall to 3287
Best regards, R. Linda!
Latest Gold Price Update TodayHey everyone! Let’s take a closer look at what’s happening with gold today.
Over the past week, the global gold market experienced dramatic swings. Prices tumbled following cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, only to rebound sharply after disappointing U.S. employment data.
On Wednesday, the Fed held interest rates steady, and Powell stated, “We haven’t made any decisions for September.” Though brief, that statement hinted that a rate cut isn’t guaranteed — dashing investor hopes and sending gold to its lowest level in four weeks.
But by Friday, the narrative flipped. A weaker-than-expected jobs report triggered a powerful rally. Within just two minutes of the data release, gold surged by $30, closing the week at $3,361 — a gain of over 2% in a single day.
These moves highlight just how sensitive gold is to Fed signals. A slight shift in tone or a single data point can spark major volatility.
From a technical perspective, falling U.S. Treasury yields have allowed XAU/USD to regain bullish momentum, as the market reassesses Fed rate expectations after the weak NFP print. If gold successfully breaks out of its current channel after a short-term pullback, the next target could be $3,400 — or even higher.
Do you agree with this outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Good luck and happy trading!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Continuation Ahead?!
Gold retested a recently broken significant liquidity cluster.
I see a clear sign of strength of the sellers after its test
with multiple intraday confirmation.
I think that the price will retrace to day to 3276 level.
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Gold : Holding Ground Below 3345 Amid USD SurgeGold : Holding Ground Below 3345 Amid USD Surge
Gold's upward potential from Friday appears limited by the 3345 level—a narrow but firm resistance zone. As long as price fails to break above it, this zone has a high importance.
If gold holds below 3345, the probability of further downside increases significantly.
Meanwhile, the recent US–EU agreement has strengthened the USD. While this isn’t expected to severely impact gold, short-term fluctuations can’t be ruled out.
If price stabilizes in the red zone, it may consolidate ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. In such cases, volatility could erupt based on news-driven catalysts—so be prepared for unexpected moves.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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XAUUSD – Is This a Short-Term Top?1. What happened yesterday
After dipping to 3340 in early trading—just shy of the key 3335 support where I was looking to buy—Gold resumed its bullish momentum that began on Friday. During the New York session, price spiked to a new intraday high near 3385. However, the final hour brought a pullback, and since then, Gold has entered a tight consolidation range.
2. Key question: Is Gold forming a short-term top?
The 1H chart shows a new failed breakout attempt above 3380 during the Asian session. This left behind a minor double top, with the neckline sitting around 3370. That level is especially important—it aligns with a short-term rising trendline.
3. Why a correction might follow
• Price rejected above 3380 twice
• Small double top visible on LTF
• 3370 is a make-or-break level (neckline + trendline)
• A break below could trigger a correction of the +1000 pips rally from Friday’s lows
4. Trade plan
While there is some evidence of a potential top, this remains a high-risk and aggressive short.
Any attempt to trade against the trend should be done with tight stops and small size .
5. Final thoughts
A short-term top could indeed be in place, but Gold must break below 3370 to unlock deeper downside. Until then, the bulls are still in control—just taking a breather. ⚖️
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Gold can reach resistance area and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Over an extended period, the price action of Gold has been contained within a large descending triangle, a pattern characterized by a series of lower highs testing a descending resistance line and a relatively flat support base. The major seller zone around the 3415 resistance level has consistently capped upward rebounds, establishing a clear downward pressure on the asset. The most critical recent development has been a decisive breakdown, where the price broke below a key ascending trend line and, more importantly, below the horizontal support at 3310. This structural break has shifted the immediate market dynamics, turning the former support area of 3310 - 3320 into a new ceiling of resistance. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario based on the principle of a breakdown and retest. It is anticipated that the price will attempt a corrective rally back towards this new resistance area around 3310. A failure to reclaim this level, confirmed by a strong rejection, would validate the breakdown and signal the continuation of the larger downward trend. Therefore, the tp for this next bearish leg is logically placed at the 3240 level. This target represents a significant area of potential support and a measured objective following the resolution of the recent consolidation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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$GOLD: Projections of Compression & Release 🏛️ Research Notes
Price is at fib boundary derived from its structure that covers growth patterns. Several attempts were taken place to push higher and ended up as lower highs.
Contraction of fractal cycles and amplitude.
Topologically, the compression to a point of proportional release in fibonacci proportions and scaling law 1:1 to original triangle would look like a cube. And let's limit for now with that horizon.
Probabilistic Filter - Another layer of fibonacci channels to inherit roughness of observed temporal pattern which then rhymes with extended series.
The longer the price fluctuates in these geometric boundaries, the more accurate the colors tend to reflect the outcome.
For measuring percentages of swings I used this modification of Zig Zag.
Gold - Eyes on the Final Flush Before ReclaimGold recently dropped after reacting perfectly inside a higher time frame fair value gap. That zone acted as clean supply, offering a precise close within the imbalance and initiating a strong bearish leg. The move confirmed that buyers were overwhelmed at that level, and price began its descent back into a broader consolidation range.
Support Cluster and Fibonacci Alignment
The current zone being tested holds significant weight. Price has tapped into a clear support region, one that has already caused multiple strong bounces in recent sessions. What adds further confluence is the alignment of this zone with the golden pocket region of the entire upward leg. This kind of technical overlap increases the chances of responsive buying once liquidity is cleared below.
Liquidity Target and Inducement Setup
Just below current price action, there's a clean low that hasn't been taken out yet. This low acts as the inducement, sitting right above deeper Fibonacci levels, especially the 0.702. If price continues lower in the short term, a sweep of that low into the golden pocket would provide the ideal liquidity grab before a reversal. The market often rewards those who wait for that final flush.
Bullish Recovery Path
Once the liquidity is taken and price stabilizes at the golden pocket zone, the path is open for a recovery move back into the midrange and potentially higher. The most likely magnet for price after a successful bounce would be the previous resistance zone, which coincides with the 0.5 retracement of the recent drop. That area should act as the next decision point and could either cap the rally or provide the base for a continuation if buyers show strength.
What I’m Watching
The cleanest scenario would be a sweep of the low just below support, ideally pushing into the lower green box near the 0.702 level, followed by a strong bullish reaction. I’ll be watching for a market structure shift on the lower timeframes at that point to confirm the entry. If that happens, the trade has room to develop back into the prior resistance zone, offering a solid range for intraday or swing setups.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a broader range for now, but the technicals suggest one more drop to clear late long positions before a recovery. The reaction at the support cluster will be crucial. If bulls step in after the sweep, there’s a high-probability path back toward resistance, with the move likely supported by the golden pocket confluence.
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Gold Bounces from PRZ — Is a Short-Term Rally Underway?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise from the Support zone($3,307-$3,275) as I expected in the previous idea .
Gold is currently moving near the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and $3,334 (Important price) .
From the Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed its 5 impulsive waves and now we should wait for corrective waves . Corrective waves can complete at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Gold to rise to $3,383(at least) in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,396
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,321
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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My first take on XAUUSDI see this last fall as a very clear sweep of liquidity (the recent lows. After that i see an impulsive push away from this zone giving me a change of character. Left behind is an FVG on hopurly chart that aligns within the kill zone on my Fibonacci tool. and that is where i would enter. I would expect price to mitigate this FVG. Another confluence is that we created many IFVG's on the way up showing balanced price action. Only one more confluence i would have liked is a HTF order block from the liquidity sweep but only have one on the 5 minute. i will monitor. First tp is that internal liquidity from the move, second tp is the external liquidity where we have had consolidation and a few failed attempts to break above this opening gap fvg. thanks for looking. any comments welcome,
Gold keeps falling – is there more to come?Hello everyone, great to see you again!
Today, gold remains under pressure following a series of strong U.S. economic data releases, which have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer. As a result, the U.S. dollar has strengthened, Treasury yields have climbed, and gold has lost its footing.
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is clearly trading within a descending price channel. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are acting as dynamic resistance zones. Recent attempts to rally have consistently failed at these levels, mirroring the bearish setup seen before July 29.
Currently, price is retesting a minor resistance area. If this retest fails, the next downside targets lie near 3,270 – and potentially down to 3,230 USD, which aligns with the lower boundary of the price channel.
From my perspective, the bearish momentum is likely to continue.
What about you? How do you think gold will close the day?
Follow master candle for today's SELL strategy✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD has continued a strong downtrend. Yesterday's D1 candle closed with a 60-price decrease, forming a master candle that determines the market trend. With the market having a master candle, pay attention to the 25% or 50% candle zones to trade in the direction of the trend. Today's main trading strategy will be to SELL according to the master candle. The BUY strategy will only be implemented when the 3313 zone is broken.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3285-3270-3250
Resistance: 3301-3312-3333
SELL Trigger. Rejection 3301, 3312
Target 3250
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Waiting for Buy Opportunity Near Range SupportWe're currently inside a range and approaching its lower boundary.
There was a chance to go long a bit lower, but there’s still time — the highlighted zone looks like a solid area to consider longs.
We’re patiently waiting for price to enter the zone and give us a valid buy signal.
No rush. Let the market come to us
Gold Poised to Rise on Looming Russia Sanctions!!Hey Traders, above is a breakdown of the current technical and fundamental setup for Gold, with a focus on key support zones and the macro landscape that could drive further upside.
From a technical standpoint, the first major support area to watch is around 3,334, which previously acted as a strong resistance level. Now that price has broken above it, we could see this zone retested as a support — a classic breakout-retest scenario that may offer a potential bounce opportunity.
The second key zone is located near 3,311, a historically significant support/resistance level. What makes this level even more critical is its confluence with the primary ascending trendline, reinforcing its importance as a structural support in case of a deeper retracement.
On the fundamental side, gold continues to benefit from its role as a safe-haven asset, especially amid rising geopolitical and economic tensions. There are two major catalysts in play right now:
Escalating trade tensions, particularly around new tariffs. Markets are pricing in a high baseline tariff risk of 15%, which adds a layer of uncertainty and supports defensive assets like gold.
Mounting geopolitical pressure on Russia, with the U.S. expected to announce secondary sanctions this week. These could further disrupt global markets and drive demand for hard assets.
In summary, gold is positioned well both technically and fundamentally. If price holds above the mentioned support zones, we could see renewed bullish momentum in the sessions ahead. Keep an eye on developments related to trade policy and sanctions, they could be key drivers of the next move.
Gold Drops After Failing to Hold Above $3322📊 Market Overview:
Gold initially surged above the $3322 resistance, hitting $3329 amid Fed pause expectations. However, a rebound in the US dollar and profit-taking triggered a sharp drop back to $3315, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $3322 – $3330
• Nearest support: $3308 – $3300
• EMA09 (H1): Price has fallen below EMA09 → turning short-term trend bearish
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Failed breakout above $3322 with strong bearish H1 reversal
• Increasing volume during the drop → rising selling pressure
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue declining in the short term if it fails to hold above $3312. Bears have taken control after the failed breakout attempt. Risk increases for a move toward $3300–$3295.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3318 – $3321
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3325
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3295 – $3292 (only with clear bullish signal)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3288
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3317.7
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3326.4
My Stop Loss - 3313.0
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK