GOLD trade ideas
Gold Outlook: From Resistance Rejection to Bullish Revival1. Recap of Yesterday's Expectations
In my previous analysis, I highlighted the 3340–3350 zone as key resistance and suggested that any rise into that area could give sellers a better entry.
✅ Indeed, price rallied into that zone and was rejected, validating the plan.
2. What Happened Next?
After rejecting the resistance, gold touched 3300 again, but again, the bulls stepped in:
🔹 A higher low formed compared to the previous day.
🔹 This suggests the market is now shifting its structure from down to potential up.
3. Why 3300 Looks Like the New Floor
Several bullish clues:
- The quick bounce back to 3330 shows buying power.
- Price structure is developing a series of higher lows.
- This suggests growing confidence from buyers.
4. Trading Plan
🔸 A break above 3340 would confirm bullish momentum and open the door toward 3400 again.
🔸 Any dives toward 3300 should now be viewed as potential buying opportunities.
5. Final Thoughts
The market is telling a story of bullish pressure building under 3340 and potential break back above.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold will grow a little more and then make correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After forming a downward wedge and several rejections near the support line, the price eventually broke out to the upside, signaling a reversal. This breakout was followed by a strong upward impulse, and Gold quickly shifted into a consolidation phase, creating a wide sideways range structure. Inside this range, we observed multiple rebounds from the lower boundary and a gradual rise toward the resistance level. Recently, the price exited the range upward after testing the buyer zone and breaking above the support area. However, this breakout seems impulsive and may need a correction. Currently, Gold trades slightly above the 3400 level, which aligns with the support area and the previous range border. In my view, the price may make a short upward move, followed by a return to the current support level. That’s why I set my TP at 3400 points, which corresponds to the support area and acts as a potential bounce zone in case of a retracement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Gold Rejected at Resistance, Targets $3,305 & Below Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) rose to $3,400, as I expected in my previous idea .
Gold is trading near the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and has failed to break the resistance zone validly .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the microwave 5 of the main wave C with the help of Expanding Ending Diagonal . It was a corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) structure .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Gold to touch $3,305 after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel at the first target and then decline to the Support zone($3,281-$3,245) and Monthly Pivot Poin t.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 3394.000
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame.
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(XAU/USD) Rising Wedge Breakdown Hints at Bearish ContinuationGold has completed a Rising Wedge pattern on the 4H chart, a classic bearish reversal structure. Price has broken below the lower trendline and is now retesting the wedge support as resistance, signaling potential continuation to the downside.
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish)
🔹 Breakdown Level: ~$3,318
🔹 Immediate Support Zone: ~$3,244
🔹 Target Area: ~$3,167
🔹 Technical Bias: Bearish below $3,329
🔹 Fundamentals: Strong USD, Fed policy uncertainty, and lower inflation expectations add bearish pressure on Gold.
Short setup activated. Further confirmation may follow if Gold fails to reclaim above the wedge breakdown zone. 📉💡
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Gold surged, what will be the trend today?Information summary:
On Wednesday, the US dollar index plunged during the session as the CPI data that was lower than expected boosted the market's expectations of interest rate cuts. As of now, the lowest point is near 98.2.
After the release of the CPI data, gold rose in the short term and touched the 3360 US dollar mark, and then quickly gave up the gains and retreated to around 3320. However, it rose again due to the sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East. As of now, the highest is around 3380.
Market analysis:
From the current 4-hour chart:
Yesterday's 3360 pressure level has been broken, and the Asian market has successfully stood above this position in the early trading. Then the suppression position of 3360 has turned into a support level. Therefore, the position we should pay close attention to next should be 3360-3350. If the price falls back to around 3350, it is possible to enter the market and do more. If the price rises again, it is very likely to break through 3400. Once it breaks through 3400, it will most likely reach around 3420.
Secondly, from the hourly chart, there are some signs of head and shoulders bottom. It would be perfect if it can fall back and then go up again. But gold cannot fall below 3345 again. If it falls below 3345 again, it cannot be long.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around 3350, stop loss at 3340, profit range 3375-3400.
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
XAUUSD(GOLD): +1874 PIPS Target| Touching $3600? Gold experienced a significant price surge, driven by the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel. This heightened uncertainty among global investors led to a price touch of $3445. The current price is accumulating, and we anticipate a strong bullish distribution in the near future. Please prioritise accurate risk management during trading.
Good luck,
Team Setupsfx_
Selling pressure, bears active⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,325 during the early Asian session on Tuesday, supported by a softer US Dollar as markets turn cautious ahead of key developments in US-China trade negotiations.
Delegations from the United States and China are set to continue discussions for a second consecutive day in London. President Donald Trump expressed optimism, stating the talks “should go very well.” According to US officials, discussions may lead to Washington lifting certain tech export restrictions in exchange for Beijing easing controls on rare earth exports — materials vital to sectors ranging from energy and defense to advanced technology. The outcome of these negotiations could provide fresh direction for the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is mainly sideways and accumulating, under selling pressure below 3300 due to the US-China trade negotiations taking place today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3350- 3352 SL 3357
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3276- $3274 SL $3269
TP1: $3285
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3312
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) H1 Chart AnalysisBullish Trade Setup – XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar)
🟢 Entry Point:
Buy at: $3,327
🎯 Targets:
1. 1st Target: $3,360
2. Final Target: $3,390
🔐 Stop-Loss:
Place below recent swing low or lower channel line, e.g., around $3,315 (adjust based on volatility or tighter risk tolerance)
XAUUSD - Risk Management - How much % do you risk daily?⭐It’s not about how much you know. It’s about how much you risk.⭐
The lesson you only learn after blowing up your account.
You’ve read hundreds of articles, watched countless hours of YouTube.
Joined 5 groups.Subscribed to 10 channels.
Maybe you even tried a prop firm challenge and failed it in two days.
Paid for mentorship.
Kinda know structure. See price action.
And yet… your account still shrinks faster than your patience.
Because at the end of the day:
It’s not about what you know. It’s about how much you risk.
⚠️ The trade was right. Your lot size wasn’t.
You had a good setup.
Price reached your zone. There was confluence.
Everything looked clean — until your lot size showed up to ruin everything.
Example: You entered with 0.50 lots on a $200 account, using a 40-pip stop loss.
Let’s break it down:
• $0.50 per pip × 40 pips = $200 loss
• You lost 100% of your account on a single trade
The strategy didn’t fail.
The size did.
💡 Why “risking 1%” works on paper — but not on XAUUSD
Every trading book, coach, and Twitter guru screams:
“Just risk 1-3% per trade.”
Cool. Sounds disciplined.
But in Gold, most traders use tight stop losses — 20, 30, maybe 50 pips.
To stay within 1% risk with such a small SL, your lot has to be bigger.
And that’s where accounts explode.
Gold doesn’t move like EURUSD.
It spikes, wicks, manipulates, and throws fakeouts for fun.
Experienced traders know that sometimes a 150–180 pip SL isn’t weak — it’s smart.
It’s not about “being wrong.” It’s about giving the setup room to breathe.
📌 What actually works
Instead of risking 1-3%, many experienced traders manage risk more conservatively:
• 0.25%–0.35% per trade is more sustainable
• 0.50% is rarely reserved for highly valid, high-confluence setups only
This allows for:
• More breathing room
• Emotional control
• Less panic during drawdown
• And more trades that survive manipulation
🧠 Your position size is your psychology, exposed.
Most traders don’t lose because they picked the wrong zone.
They lose because they sized their trade like they were trying to get rich overnight.
You want to measure discipline?
Forget strategy.
Look at how much someone risks per trade.
A 0.10 lot on a $500 account means control.
A 1.00 lot on the same account means desperation or showoff.
🧮 A quick example to make it real
You have a $1,000 account.
You risk 0.20% — that’s $2/pip.
Your stop loss is 50 pips.
That means you can trade 0.10 lot safely.
Now you’re giving the trade room to work — and if it fails, you’re still in the game.
That’s the difference between blowing up and showing up.
📉 Bonus risk reminder: Daily exposure ≠ per-trade risk
If you’re taking 2–3 trades per day, don’t risk 0.30% on each one. That’s not low risk — that’s stacking exposure. ✅ What you should do: Decide your daily risk limit (let’s say 0.30%), then split it across your planned entries. 2 trades? → 0.15% each 3 trades? → 0.10% each
🎯 Final thoughts
Your setup doesn’t need to be perfect.
You do.
→ Risk according to volatility, not emotion
→ Respect your stop loss, and scale your lot size to match
→ Don’t try to force profits out of every candle
The best traders aren’t always right —
they just size smart enough to be wrong and still come back.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
XAUUSD 4H AnalysisBased on Ichimoku, we expect short-term uptrend toward 3348 and after that we expect rejection from these levels and starting downward movement to support levels (3228-3179).
we consider all these levels as valuable zones for our trading so be cautious about the reaction of XAUUSD.
Gold trading strategy june 13Yesterday's D1 candle was bullish, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong price increase to a high of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candle above 3397, today will still be a bullish candle with a large amplitude at the end of the day.
After reaching a monthly high, Gold is in a bearish correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction will last until it touches the support level of 3397, which is a good BUY signal.
The target for BUY signals will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from Buyers, causing the price to fall. Gold may touch the pre-ATH level of 3394 and there will be a reaction.
On the other hand, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered a daily support zone and you can buy in this area.
Support: 3398- 3376
Resistance 3464-3495
Trade Plan (Multi-Leg Strategy)This chart outlines a two-phase trading strategy:
▶ Buy from the demand zone, followed by
▶ Sell from the resistance/range zone.
🟦 Phase 1: Buy Setup
Buy Entry: Around 3301 (marked demand/support zone)
: TP1 (Take Profit): 3340–3350 zone (previous supply/resistance area)
: The price is expected to bounce from this demand zone and rally toward the Range Zone.
🟧 Phase 2: Sell Setup (After Confirmation)
Sell Zone: After price hits 3340–3350 and confirms rejection in the Range Zone
> TP1 for Sell: 3310–3300 zone
> Final Target: 3250 (major support level)
> This move expects a bearish reversal after failing to break the range top.
🟡 Key Notes:
Range Zone = 3340–3350 is a key decision point. Wait for a reversal signal (e.g., double top, bearish engulfing) before shorting.
The setup blends support/resistance, price action, and zone trading logic.
✅ Summary:
Buy from 3301 → TP at 3340–3350
Sell from 3340–3350 (after confirmation) → TP1: 3300, TP2: 3250
Gold bulls take control as geopolitical risk take center stage!Gold prices advanced during the Asian trading hours, touching a fresh daily high around the $3,317 mark. The move comes amid a combination of factors boosting demand for the yellow metal, notably dovish signals from the Federal Reserve and escalating geopolitical tensions.
The US Dollar weakened following Friday's softer-than-expected inflation data, which has strengthened market expectations for a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. Investors are now positioning for looser monetary policy, which typically enhances the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
In parallel, geopolitical risks continue to dominate market sentiment. Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, coupled with renewed US-China trade tensions, have weighed on risk appetite and fueled safe-haven inflows into gold.
From a technical standpoint, XAU/USD faces immediate resistance in the $3,355–$3,375 supply zone. A sustained move above this area could open the door to further gains. Conversely, any near-term pullback might find initial support near the $3,300 psychological level, with stronger buying interest expected around the $3,280–$3,278 region.
XAUUSD BATTLE PLAN — 16 JUNE 2025GoldFxMinds — Sniper Liquidity Execution
👋 Hello traders — we’re entering a highly tactical week where liquidity rotation dominates both sides of the board. This is no longer trend-following — this is liquidity chess.
🔎 Market Narrative
Gold remains structurally bullish after a clean sequence of higher lows: 3120 → 3246 → 3448.
Last week’s sweep above 3447 cleared weak hands, activated premium liquidity traps, and left price fully positioned inside extended premium expansion. Smart money continues rotating liquidity aggressively as markets prepare for this week’s heavy catalysts.
With FOMC, Powell’s press conference, Fed projections, and Middle East tensions all unfolding, institutional positioning is building quietly beneath surface price moves.
For us, this is not a moment to guess or force trades — this is the phase where patience and structure offer the only real edge.
🎯 GoldFxMinds Bias for 16 June 2025
🔼 Short-term:
Price remains inside premium expansion, with open liquidity layers above 3450 → 3480 → 3505 still uncollected. We allow price to finish hunting late buyers before considering any premium exhaustion reactions. No blind shorting inside premium unless exhaustion signals confirm.
🔽 Medium-term positioning:
Controlled pullbacks into 3368 and deeper recalibration zones offer the cleanest tactical long opportunities, aligned with higher timeframe bullish structure for potential future premium expansions.
❌ No aggressive directional conviction intraday:
The current structure demands discipline, patience, and reactive execution — not early bias.
🔼 Premium Supply Zones (Sniper Calibrated)
Price Zone Explanation
3450 – 3462 🔸 Premium inducement zone — early liquidity pocket where price may react mildly before sweeping deeper premium levels.
3480 – 3495 🔸 Liquidity collection extension — gap zone drawing in late buyers and liquidity build-up above recent highs.
3505 – 3515 🔸 Premium exhaustion — final sweep level for late liquidity grabs before potential higher timeframe recalibrations.
🔽 Demand Defense Zones (Sniper Calibrated)
Price Zone Explanation
3410 – 3400 🔸 Micro pullback — short-term liquidity refill zone valid for scalps, not for strong swing positioning.
3368 – 3352 🔸 Tactical bullish recalibration — strong HTF OB + FVG combo, valid for tactical swing positioning with structure confirmation.
3308 – 3292 🔸 Institutional re-accumulation base — deeper liquidity recalibration where larger players likely step in for new expansions.
🎯 Execution Flow & Tactical Outlook
We let liquidity fully expose itself before positioning:
Above 3450: Expect continued liquidity sweeps. Monitor sharp reactions above 3480 for exhaustion setups — only trade short-side if clear rejection signals emerge.
Into pullbacks: Minor dips toward 3410 offer quick reactive scalps only. The real positioning opportunities open inside 3368 and deeper zones, where recalibration offers cleaner entries aligned with HTF bullish structure.
Discipline is key: No chasing. No prediction. Only reaction to clean liquidity behavior.
🧠 Trader’s Mindset for This Week
We're facing one of the heaviest institutional risk weeks:
🏛 FOMC Interest Rate Decision → Major market-moving catalyst.
🏛 Powell’s Press Conference → Immediate tone-shifting potential.
📊 Fed Projections → Will influence short-term USD positioning.
📊 Retail Sales & Housing Data → Potential intraday volatility triggers.
🌍 Middle East Tensions → Underlying risk bid remains supportive for gold.
Each event is fuel for liquidity displacement. We don't react emotionally — we position where liquidity delivers.
🚀 If this battle plan helps you stay fully locked — drop a 🚀, share your views, and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper liquidity updates throughout the week.
Stay sharp — liquidity always moves first.
— GoldFxMinds
Gold price recovers, accumulates new week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) hold steady near $3,310 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday, with the precious metal struggling to gain traction amid renewed strength in the US Dollar (USD). While a firmer Greenback poses headwinds for gold, lingering uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff strategy continues to offer some support.
On Friday, upbeat labor market data bolstered the dollar, pressuring dollar-denominated assets like gold. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 139,000 in May, outpacing expectations of 130,000 and surpassing the previous month's downwardly revised figure of 147,000 (from 177,000). The stronger-than-expected jobs report has dampened hopes of near-term Fed rate cuts, weighing on bullion’s appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price takes liquidity 3294, below 3300 GAP zone last week. Accumulate and react at lower support zones
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3348- 3350 SL 3355
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3281- $3279 SL $3274
TP1: $3292
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3315
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account