Gold Drop Fully Expected — Now It's Bulls?This recent decline in gold was well within our expectations. Since Monday, I’ve been highlighting the following:
The 3400 zone is a strong historical resistance, with heavy supply pressure;
A gap remains open at 3289, creating downside risk.
Today's drop is a deep flush of selling pressure near the 3400 zone.
Although the 3289 gap is still unfilled, this move may trigger dip-buying activity, giving bulls some room to work with.
📌 The first rebound resistance is likely near 3343, but because the gap is still a threat, most funds remain cautious. This could result in:
Weaker-than-expected rebounds;
Even possible bull traps followed by renewed downside.
✅ Long strategy reminders:
Keep position size moderate;
Set realistic targets;
Adjust your approach in line with market development.
Stay sharp, stay flexible — profits favor the prepared.
GOLD trade ideas
Why I Think Gold Will Sell Today...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Happy Tuesday! I wanted to share my Gold analysis and why I think it will sell. This is only a technical analysis so please check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at:
- There was a break of structure on H1 and previous support was retested as resistance.
- Bearish confluence on additional time frames: D, H4 and M15
- The stoch is facing down, both lines have crossed below 20, slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) which is a bearish confirmation for me.
Additional information:
- I would set sell stops to catch the momentum going down
- I will be setting sell stops and using previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
- Focus on closing the gap from last week
Good luck if you decide to take this trade, let me know how it goes.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Trading Signals Gold buy above $3,365 Or sell below $3,365 Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3,347 after a sharp drop due to US data and showing signs of weakening bearish momentum. Gold has good support around the 6/8 Murray level, this level is key.
Gold is eventually breaking the 6/8 Murray level. If it continues its bearish cycle, it could find another support around 3,259 (200 EMA). In this area, we could also expect a technical rebound.
The confirmation for buying gold in the coming hours is to wait for the price to consolidate below 3,331. We can then buy with targets at 3,365.
On the other hand, a break and consolidation above 3,365 and above the downtrend channel could confirm a strong bullish move for gold, potentially reaching the 8/8 Murray at 3,437.
Gold left a gap around 3,324 in early May and is likely to be filled in the coming days. For this, we should expect the price to consolidate below the psychological level of 3,365.
6/5 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold surged above 3380 yesterday but faced strong resistance, pulling back before testing the critical 3400 level. Despite multiple attempts, price failed to break through, highlighting a clear lack of bullish momentum near historical highs.
From a technical perspective, a potential M-top (double top) pattern is forming on the 30-minute chart. If confirmed, we can expect a deeper retracement, with an initial target around 3330, and possibly 3300 in case of further downside. Under this structure, today’s primary trading bias should favor short positions.
That said, if gold breaks above 3400 with strength, the 3416–3438 target zone becomes viable. However, any such breakout is likely to be followed by a pullback. In that scenario, we’ll closely monitor the 3392–3368 support range before executing follow-up trades.
📉 Technical Notes:
Price remains near a historical resistance zone, and buyers are showing hesitancy at these levels;
While yesterday’s Beige Book report provided short-term bullish sentiment, we need to observe whether the Asian and European sessions digest and extend that move.
🗞 Fundamental Outlook:
The key event today is the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report, which may trigger volatility;
Gold remains supported by risk-aversion flows, but traders should be mindful of potential corrections at elevated levels.
💡 Risk Management Tip:
In such conditions, it is highly recommended to scale into positions with reduced lot size, and use tight risk controls to guard against unexpected reversals.
📌 Trading Recommendations for Today:
Sell near 3423–3436, targeting short-term pullbacks
Buy near 3312–3298, if deeper correction materializes
Pivot levels for tactical trades:
3416 / 3403 / 3392 / 3386 / 3367 / 3352 / 3343 / 3328
Strategy Summary:
Favor short setups on rallies unless 3400 is decisively broken. If support at 3362-3358 fails, expect the bearish trend to gain further momentum.
Gold could hold ahead of the FedUpward pressure from fundamentals and sentiment has been somewhat lower in June so far as trade tension has generally calmed down and stock markets have mostly recovered well from April’s turmoil. Lower volatility is clear from both contracting Bollinger Bands and ATR, which has declined since last month but remains high at around $56.
5 June’s attempt at $3,400 hasn’t been decisively rejected yet, so it’d be quite possible to see the price moving somewhat beyond there intraday in the middle of June, but another vigorous phase of the main uptrend immediately seems less likely. The 100% weekly Fibonacci extension around $3,480 seems like a potentially strong resistance although it’s only been tested once so far on 22 April.
Equally, the area around the equivalent 61.8% Fibo and the 161.8% monthly Fibo extension would probably cap losses unless there’s a strong driver of some sort. That might be a sudden resolution of trade tension or a major hawkish shift by the Fed, both of which seem quite unlikely. Overall, the situation seems to favour short-term traders for now.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
With bulls and bears in a stalemate, where will gold go?Gold fell under pressure around 3384 in the early trading on Thursday, and then rebounded after falling to 3361. The highest in the European session reached around 3403, and then fell back due to resistance. The US session accelerated its decline, reaching a minimum of 3339, and then rebounded in the late trading, closing in the negative on the daily line. The daily trend continued to fluctuate in a positive and negative cycle. On Thursday, it rose and fell, closed in the negative and fell below the 5-day moving average.
Today, we will focus on the resistance position of 3405. Whether it can break through will determine the strength of the bulls in the future market. The risk of continuous negative daily lines cannot be ruled out. The support below is the key points of 3330 and 3300. The 4-hour fluctuation range is locked at 3385-3335. The fluctuation space in the Asian and European sessions is limited. It is recommended to sell high and buy low. For stable trading, it is recommended to go long in the 3340-3350 area. The overall bullish trend has not changed, and the impact of non-agricultural data is limited. It is expected that gold will most likely rise and fall. Remember not to chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for opportunities.
Steady trading, precise attack!
GOLD Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 3,360.39.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 3,295.58 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 3360.4
Stop - 3353.9
Take - 3375.0
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Sniper Entry on Gold – Precision Over EmotionExecuted a clean sniper entry on Gold (XAUUSD) at 3,364 based on a clear structural break and demand zone confirmation.
📍 Entry: 3,364
🛡 Stop Loss: 3,355
🎯 TP1: 3,375
🎯 TP2: 3,380
🎯 TP3: 3,387
This trade was framed using price action, premium zone-to-target zone mapping, and a strict no-emotion execution strategy. The focus remained on structure, not speculation.
The setup respected all smart money rules:
✅ Break of structure
✅ Demand zone retest
✅ Controlled SL below wick zone
✅ High risk-reward (1:2+)
“No emotions, just execution.”
XAU/USD Weekly analysis 2-June-2025-Gold has been in a range for some time on the weekly time frame
-By the end of the month, a Doji candlestick formed. This is the result of equal power between buyers and sellers
-On the daily time frame:
Lower highs and lows have formed
And a downtrend and channel (purple line) have formed
-Meanwhile, on the 1H time frame, the lower highs and lows are seen within a channel (green line)
And the price tried to break through the resistance level but failed to break through it
On the other hand, given the steepening of the decline in the last trend (orange line), I expect the price to continue to decline to the next support level
*Be profitable
Thank you for expressing your opinion by liking and commenting
Short gold after reboundOvernight, gold broke through the 3400 mark due to the intensification of geopolitical risks, but plunged sharply due to the reduction of the risk of Sino-US trade decoupling. Because the news swept up and down, it brought certain difficulties to the transaction. Today, we will focus on the NFP market!
After overnight gold plunged to around 3340, it is currently maintaining a small rebound state. Relatively speaking, the rebound potential is weak, and with the sharp plunge of gold in the short term, the market bulls' confidence has been hit. At present, without major good news, it is difficult to make breakthrough progress based on technical support alone. The upper side faces short-term resistance of 3365-3375 area resistance. If gold cannot break through this area in the short term, gold will be weak!
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3370-3380 area, TP: 3355-3345
Today's gold operation suggestion is still to buy at a low levelGold will have a big non-agricultural data today. The market may fluctuate during the day, but we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3335-40. If it does not break, we can still see the upward fluctuation. We first pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3382-90. If it breaks, we will continue to see the suppression of 3400-3405. In terms of operation, we still focus on the long position after the retracement. Specifically, we will focus on the release of the big non-agricultural data in the evening. At that time, we will also conduct operation guidance and analysis.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below during the day is around 3335-40. If it stabilizes at this position, we will continue to see the strong upward rhythm of the bulls. Focus on the support of 3320-25. Focus on the suppression of 3400-3405. Keep the main tone of low-multiple participation around this range. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Add more positions at the 3338-45 line of gold, stop loss at 3332, target at 3380-3385 line, and look at 3400-05 line if it breaks;
DeGRAM | GOLD above the $3340 level📊 Technical Analysis
● H4 candle has closed above the descending-channel roof and the grey 3 284-3 325 supply, then retested it as support — a breakout-retest pattern that usually precedes trend acceleration.
● Price is now confined in a fresh rising wedge riding the long-term trend-line; the wedge’s 1.618 extension aligns with the next confluence at 3 435 while dynamic support rises toward 3 245.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold got a tail-wind after US ISM manufacturing fell back into contraction (48.7) as Treasury yields and the DXY slipped, while reports of renewed Chinese central-bank purchases lifted physical demand expectations.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 285-3 305; hold above 3 245 targets 3 435, stretch 3 500. Bias invalidated on a 4 h close below 3 245.
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Gold INTRADAY Bullish continuation consolidationThe Gold price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 3350, which is the previous consolidation trading range zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3300 level could target the upside resistance at 3410 followed by the 3430 and 3460 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3300 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3275 support level followed by 3240.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold rebounds but hits resistance, pulls back Recently, Nonfarm Payroll data dropped significantly and fell short of expectations 📊! Although the Federal Reserve has remained cautious about rate cuts, under the pressure of persistently weak data, it will face mounting pressure from all sides to cut interest rates and rescue the market ⚠️. Gold successfully stabilized and rebounded today after pulling back to test the vicinity of 3333 at its lowest point ✨! Despite currently trading within a range near 3375-3380 and hitting resistance, unable to break higher 📉, there is still room for trading opportunities 💹🚀.
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@3375-3385
tp:3340-3330
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Non-farm data is expected to help gold recover from its decline! Gold prices rose sharply in the Asian and European sessions yesterday, and fell in the US session. The roller coaster-like trend at the end of the day gave up all the gains during the day, falling below the 3350 mark and touching the 3339 line. The daily pattern showed a trend of first rising sharply and then falling sharply. The technical daily chart has been alternating between positive and negative for four consecutive trading days. The New York market fell sharply and tested the 7-day moving average, but the price is still running above the 10-day moving average/7-day moving average.
The Bollinger Bands on the short-term four-hour chart closed, the RSI indicator's middle axis flattened, and the hourly chart's four-hour moving average was glued. From a technical perspective, gold intraday trading is arranged with a volatile mindset, and the intraday range is arranged with reference to 3328/3388. Today's fundamentals focus on the non-agricultural employment data released by the New York market. The previous value was 177,000, and the market estimate was only 130,000. According to the estimate, it is bullish for gold/silver.
This year has always emphasized that 2025 is a strong year for gold, and gold may enter an acceleration period of long-term structure this year. Tariff trade policies, geopolitical tensions, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the decline in confidence in U.S. debt, and the increase in global central bank purchases have all affected the trend of gold as a strong safe-haven tool, and gold will have room to rise. Therefore, as long as the overall environment remains unchanged, gold is still an absolute bullish trend. Therefore, no matter how it is adjusted, now is an opportunity to enter the long position.
Gold fluctuated in the 3332-3392 range in the first three days of this week. During this period, our high-altitude and low-multiple layout was completed as expected. Then, today gold will remain in this range and fluctuate upward. If it rises above 3400 and stabilizes, it will look to 3500 above; if it breaks through 3330, it will look to 3280 below. Pay attention to the fluctuations before the release of non-agricultural data. Non-agricultural data will cause an increase in liquidity, so try to avoid it.
Key points:
First support level: 3342, second support level: 3328, third support level: 3303
First resistance level: 3376, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3410
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3340-3343, stop loss: 3332, target price: 3360-3370;
Sell: 3387-3390, stop loss: 3400, target: 3370-3360;
XAUUSD:Go long
Gold in yesterday bottom pick up, back to hit a low after pumping, and then stabilize and pull up, the daily line is a single negative back to step, corrected gold continues to be bullish, short - term back to step support to see 3355-3360
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3355-60
TP:3375-80
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