Gold Trading Strategy July 1✏️ D1 candle has a bullish recovery when closing above 50% of last Friday's decline.The bullish wave of Gold is forming, heading back to the GAP 3363 zone.Today's main strategy is to wait for BUY if there is a retest of 3300. Reaction sell strategy is focused on resistance zones with not too long expectations.
📈 Key Levels
Support 3300- 3379- 3360
Resistance 3334-3348-3363
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY GOLD 3300-3298 Stoploss 3295
SELL GOLD 3348-3350 Stoploss 3353
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Possible Break Below Key StructureStructure Overview:
After printing a multi-month high around 3,473, price has formed a clear rounded top followed by lower highs, showing weakening bullish momentum. Gold is now retesting a key structure zone near 3,270–3,275, which has acted as previous support several times.
📉 Key Technical Observations:
Trend: Short-term bearish within a broader consolidation
Support Zone: 3,270–3,250 (watch closely for a break)
Resistance Levels:
Minor: 3,340
Major: 3,390–3,400
📊 Scenario Outlook
🔻 Bearish Bias (Preferred Scenario)
If price closes below 3,270, expect:
Initial target: 3,210–3,220 zone (clean imbalance + previous resistance)
Secondary target: 3,130–3,150 (March structure break zone)
This would confirm a transition into a mid-term bearish leg unless a fakeout occurs.
🔺 Bullish Recovery (Alternative Scenario)
If price reclaims 3,305 with strength:
A move back toward 3,340–3,360 is possible
Needs volume + momentum confirmation, ideally with a bullish engulfing candle
⚠️ What to Watch
Daily candle close relative to 3,270
Reaction at 3,250–3,260 demand zone
Gold often sweeps key lows before reversing — watch for liquidity grab wicks
📌 Conclusion
Gold is sitting at a critical level — a confirmed close below 3,270 could open the doors for a deeper retracement toward March’s breakout levels. Until then, this remains a watch and react environment. Avoid chasing.
Gold Trading Strategy June 26✏️ D1 candle shows a recovery but not significantly. Gold is currently reacting at the key resistance zone of 3342.
The immediate support zone that the price is heading toward is 3326. This forms a breakout range between 3326 and 3342.
A bullish channel may form if there is a strong price reaction at 3326. Conversely, if 3326 is broken, it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend targeting 3302 during the European and US sessions today. The bearish target could even extend to 3278.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3326 - 3342
Support: 3326 - 3314 - 3302 - 3278
Resistance: 3342 - 3363 - 3388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3302–3300 | SL: 3297
SELL: 3363–3365 | SL: 3369
XAUUSD Forming Bullish Continuation Patternhi traders,
let's have a look at Gold on 3D time frame.
✅ Technical Outlook:
Uptrend Still Intact
Price action remains firmly within a higher high, higher low structure, confirming that Gold is still in an active uptrend.
* We can observe the Ascending Triangle Formation.
An ascending triangle has formed, with the price consistently finding support on a rising trendline while pressing against the horizontal resistance around $3,430.
This pattern typically acts as a bullish continuation, especially within strong trends.
Potential Breakout Target
If XAUUSD breaks above the horizontal resistance, the measured move (height of the triangle) points to a potential upside of ~13.32%, targeting the $3,880–3,900 zone.
RSI Observations
The RSI is consolidating just above 50 and remains in bullish territory. A breakout above the RSI trendline would further support bullish momentum.
📌 Trade Scenario (Plan A – Bullish Breakout):
Entry: Upon breakout and daily close above ~$3,430
Target: ~$3,880
Support Trendline: Acting as dynamic support
📌 Alternate Scenario (Plan B – Retest):
Price may retest the ascending trendline support before attempting a breakout. This would offer a lower-risk entry opportunity with tighter invalidation.
🧠 Summary:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the formation of an ascending triangle suggests a likely continuation to the upside. Watch for a breakout confirmation above the horizontal resistance for a potential high-probability long setup.
WEEKLY SUPPLY MAY HOLDAfter price closed strong bearing the previous week, we have witnessed a massive rally back up into weekly highs. Even after 2 days of rally, this strong bullish pressure doesn't seem to be over looking at today's strong daily closure. We might just see price extend a little further into weekly highs as shown and now based on strong confirmations, a plunge back down into April's lows.
Gold bulls V-shaped reversal, price is rushing to 3350Gold trend analysis: Geopolitical risks still exist, technical side is strong and volatile
The recent situation in the Middle East presents a cycle of "conflict-easing-re-escalation". After a brief exchange of fire between Iran and Israel, Israel turned to attacking surrounding armed forces, and geopolitical risks have not completely dissipated. Such "deterrent conflicts" may recur, and the support effect of risk aversion on gold will ferment intermittently. The market needs to be alert to sudden events that drive the price of gold to rise in a pulsed manner.
4-hour cycle
Indicator signal: Stochastic indicator golden cross, MACD double lines sticking upward, showing the accumulation of bullish momentum.
Key pressure: 3340 (upper rail of the descending channel), breaking through will open up the upward space.
Short-term support: 3295 (yesterday's top and bottom conversion position), if lost, it will turn to oscillation.
Hourly line pattern
Short-term moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, the low point of the callback gradually moves up, and the structure is strong.
【Operation strategy】
Main idea: Focus on low-long positions when the market is pulled back, and try to go short with a light position at the pressure level of 3340-3350.
Long order: enter the market at 3300-3305, target 3315-3320, stop loss 3292.
【Risk warning】
If the geopolitical conflict intensifies again, the gold price may quickly break through 3340, and the strategy needs to be adjusted in time.
During the US trading session, pay attention to the impact of US economic data on the US dollar.
Gold technical analysis and operation suggestionsGold technical analysis and operation suggestions
Market review:
Yesterday, gold showed a bottoming-out and rebounding trend. It quickly dropped to 3250 in the Asian session and then stabilized and rebounded. It rose in the European and US sessions, reaching a high of 3296 before falling under pressure. After the US session stepped back to 3270 for the second time to confirm support, it accelerated to rise, breaking through the 3300 integer mark. The daily line closed with a bottoming-out and rebounding, indicating that the 3250 support is effective, and the short-term adjustment may come to an end.
Current trend:
Gold prices continued to rebound after opening today, and now hit the 3320 line. It is necessary to pay attention to the 3324 long-short watershed pressure. If it breaks through effectively, it will confirm the reversal, and you can step back and follow up with long orders; on the contrary, if it falls under pressure, consider arranging short orders at high levels.
Technical points:
4-hour chart: 3324 is the key long-short watershed, and the support below is 3295-3301 (yesterday's resistance conversion position).
Operation idea: high short and low long within the range, follow up after breaking through 3324.
Operation strategy:
Short order: 3321-24 light position short, stop loss 3332, target 3295-3301, hold after breaking down.
Long order: 3295-3301 stabilizes and goes long, stop loss 3287, target 3320-24, hold after breaking through.
Title: Rejection at 3340 – Gold Struggles to Break ResistanceGold faced a clear rejection at the 3340 zone, dropping nearly 30 pips. This confirms that the 3335–3340 area remains a strong resistance. If price fails to break above this zone, we may see a move towards 3330 in the coming sessions. EMA 64 is now the key support to watch.
GOLD H4 Accumulation Fractal Target is 4 000 USD 🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Pullback: XAU/USD drifted below $3,350, falling to around $3,325–$3,330 amid easing Middle East tensions and a firmer U.S. dollar.
🤝 Ceasefire Effect: De-escalation in Israel-Iran hostilities reduced safe-haven demand, capping gold’s upside.
💵 Fed & USD Dynamics: Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed that policymakers aren’t in a rush to cut rates. A softer dollar provided some support, but intraday USD strength weighed on gold.
📊 Technical Watch: Gold remains in a bearish short-term structure below the 200-period SMA. Resistance lies near $3,368–$3,370; support cluster begins around $3,300, with potential slide to $3,245–$3,200 if broken.
🔮 Forecast Updates:
• Citi Research flagged that gold may have peaked and could undergo further softening in Q3-2025.
• WSJ notes gold posting weekly gains, with futures steadying at $3,339/oz.
• Another WSJ report suggests potential for new highs later this year—forecasting an average of $3,210/oz in 2025, a 35% increase.
⚠️ Market Split: Opinions are fragmented—Wall Street sees mixed short-term direction, while Main Street maintains a bullish stance ahead of key U.S. data (GDP, PCE, jobless claims).
🏠 Central Bank Demand: Sustained demand from central banks reinforces gold’s structural support.
🔮 Live Price Snapshot: Futures are up ~0.2%, trading at $3,339.20/oz today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️ A pullback is currently unfolding
▪️ Heavy resistance seen at $3,500
▪️ Possible re-accumulation underway
▪️ Scenario mirrors summer 2024
▪️ Accumulation before breakout
▪️ Downside protected around $3,150
▪️ Short-term range trading in progress
▪️ Bulls maintain strategic upper hand
⭐️ Recommended Strategy
▪️ Buy dips within the range
▪️ Look for entries near $3,150 S/R zone
▪️ Long-term bullish target of $4K remains intact
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)We've seen s sharp move back up overnight which is no surprise considering we are at the start of a new month & quarter. Markets will be spiking to both sides for monthly liquidity, before moving in the direction of the trend.
We're still holding below our yellow support zone & below 'Minor Wave 2'. If this continues to hold, then it'll be a good sign for sellers.
XAU / USD 30 Minute Chart Hello traders. All I can say is KABOOM. 100 pips in profit on this microlot sell trade. I am, as of this writing closing 75% of the trade's profit, moving my stop loss to my entry point (break even) and leaving a runner ( the remaining 25% of the trade) running. What a day. Big G gets all my thanks. Be well and trade the trend. I am very thankful that my analysis was pretty spot on.
XAUUSD MONTHLY/WEEKLY ANALYSISWhat we’re seeing here on **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** is a **classic higher-timeframe accumulation pattern** followed by **a potential explosive bullish leg**.
After a strong move up in April, we witnessed a **textbook V-reversal**, consolidation, and now — **a higher low** forming around the \$3,290 zone. That’s our key demand level. 💥
✅ If this higher low holds and price starts pushing with volume, we may be gearing up for a **multi-phase breakout** with the following potential targets:
🔹 **Target 1:** \$3,500
🔹 **Target 2:** \$3,694
🔹 **Target 3:** \$3,902
🎯 **Final Target:** \$4,101+
This isn’t just a short-term scalp setup. This is a **position trade opportunity** for those with patience and precision. The structure is clean, momentum is returning, and the levels are marked.
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup – Strong Support Bounce & Potential Reversal
Timeframe: 4H
Gold recently bounced off a well-defined strong support zone near $3,263, forming a potential double bottom structure. The price is now showing early signs of reversal with bullish momentum building.
Key Levels:
Entry: ~ $3,294
Stop Loss: Below $3,263 (support zone)
Target 1: $3,349 (minor resistance)
Target 2: $3,413 (major resistance)
Technical Confluence:
Price respected historical support (highlighted by multiple bounces)
Bullish price action with a recovery structure
Opportunity for upside retracement toward previous supply zones
Fundamental Outlook:
Gold may see bullish pressure amid geopolitical uncertainty and potential central bank dovish pivot
Market awaiting key macroeconomic data – watch for volatility spikes
Bias: Bullish (Short-to-Medium Term)
A solid buy setup for traders looking to capitalize on price recovery from a strong support zone with clearly defined risk
H4 Outlook | XAUUSD Monday • June 30 • 2025Hey fam,
Fresh week on gold — clean structure, clean levels, clean execution ahead. Forget the noise. We trade price, we trust precision.
🔍 Market Flow & Bias
Gold remains bearish on the H4 timeframe.
Lower highs, lower lows, clean rejection from supply, and all EMAs (21/50/200) aligned down. RSI hovers near 30, showing heavy momentum — not exhaustion yet.
Price is coiled, not crushed. If structure holds, we follow the short flow into deeper zones.
📌 Bias: Bearish below 3325. Pullbacks into supply = opportunity.
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🧱 Zones of Interest (Clean & Confluent)
🔺 Zone 1 – 3380–3405 | Extreme Supply
Top OB zone with resting liquidity above. If price sweeps this level and fails, expect a sharp reversal. Only valid with reaction (CHoCH or bearish engulfing).
🔺 Zone 2 – 3325–3350 | Main Supply
Strong H4 breaker block. Origin of the last major selloff. Already defended once — if it holds again, look for sniper shorts from within.
🔺 Zone 3 – 3285–3305 | Frontline Supply
First inducement zone. Clean micro-OB that could give early fade trades. If bulls break through, Zone 2 becomes magnet.
⚖️ Zone 4 – 3260–3240 | Flip Shelf
Range base. If price holds, bulls might step in short-term. But a clean break below shifts momentum fully toward lower demand.
🟢 Zone 5 – 3215–3195 | Main Demand
Unmitigated OB with imbalance. If gold drops here with momentum and forms rejection wicks or CHoCH on LTF → long opportunity for bounce.
🟢 Zone 6 – 3150–3120 | Extreme Demand
Macro swing demand. Deepest discount level on the chart. Valid only if market flushes — this is the “last stand” for buyers.
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🎯 Key Levels Zone Cheat-Sheet
Above
• 3380–3405 → Extreme Supply (trap zone)
• 3325–3350 → Main Supply block
• 3285–3305 → Micro OB inducement
Below
• 3260–3240 → Flip shelf (structural pivot)
• 3215–3195 → Main buy zone
• 3150–3120 → Deep macro demand
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⚔️ Execution Plan
We sell from reaction zones, not assumptions.
We buy from confluence, not hope.
Every zone above comes with condition: no confirmation, no entry.
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